Summary Points of the CWWG meeting

GOVERNMENT OF INDIA

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE

(CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)

Room No. 443, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi Dated: 28.02.2022 SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OFTHE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP

HELD 25.02.2022.

Summary Points of the CWWG meeting:

 During the week, lower winter rainfall was observed as compared to Long Period Average (LPA).

 During the next week light isolated rainfall is very likely over extreme South Peninsular India, dry weather is very likely over remaining parts of the country.

 The total live water storage in 140 reservoirs across the country is 58% of the storage capacity at full reservoirs level.

 Soil moisture condition was good in most of the parts of country specially, North Eastern region and some Northern Region of the country.

 Prospects of Rabi crops and Summer crops seems to be very good.

 Summer crops area sown is 24.64 lakh ha. which has shown a slight decrease as compared to last year, which is 25.69 lakh ha. This is expected to pick up in due course.

 Overall major foodgrains prices remained stable during the week. Average retail prices for Masur increased by 1.5% during the last week.

 Prices of Potato and onion have marginally increased, while the prices of tomato have shown a slight decline.

 Out of 22 mandated crops, the Weighted Average Prices of 10 crops are above MSP in which 4 crops namely Masur Whole, Mustard, Sesamum and Soyabean show more than Rs. 1000 above MSP.

Details of each sector are given here under:

Subject: Weekly Status Report on Crop Prospects as on 25 February 2022.

Winter Rainfall Status (January – February) during the week ending 23 February, 2022

1.1 Rainfall

 Rainfall during the week (17 February to 23 February 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 03 sub-divisions, normal in 03 sub-divisions, deficient/large deficient in 20 sub-divisions and 10 met sub-divisions received no rainfall. (Sub-Division wise weekly rainfall distribution is in Annex- I).

 Cumulative rainfall (01 January to 23 February 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 26 met sub-divisions, normal in 02 sub-divisions and deficient/large deficient in 08 met sub-divisions.

(Sub-division wise seasonal rainfall distribution is in Annex-II).

Table 1.1: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country:

0

LE: Large Excess, E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, LD: Large Deficient, NR: No Rain.

Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi

Table1.2: Category-wise Comparative Distribution of Sub-Division (Cumulative Rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for last 5 years (01 January 2022 to 23 February 2022)

No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall

For the period from 1 January to

22 FEB 2017

21 FEB 2018

20 FEB 2019

26 FEB 2020

24 FEB 2021

23 FEB 2022 Large Excess

Excess Normal Total

03 03 04 10

01 02 03 06

08 03 05 16

05 05 08 18

12 01 02 15

20 06 02 28 Deficient

Large Deficient No rain

Total

08 12 06 26

07 21 02 30

09 07 04 20

07 08 03 18

07 13 01 21

03 05 00 08

Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00

TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36

All-India % Rainfall Deviation 5% (-) 64% 16% (-) 1% (-) 30% 50%

Source: IMD

Region of India Week Ending (23.02.2022) Cumulative (01.01.22 to 23.02.2022) (in mm) Deviation

(%) Category (in mm) Deviation

(%) Category

Actual Normal Actual Normal

North-West 7.2 12.1 -40 D 98.1 68.5 43 E

Central India 0.3 1.6 -80 LD 25.7 14.1 82 LE

South Peninsula 1.4 2.5 -45 D 23.7 14.8 60 LE

East & North-East 5.3 10.2 -49 D 66.3 45.2 47 E

Country as a whole 3.4 6.4 -46 D 54.0 35.9 50 E

1.2 Weather Forecast

Week 1(24 February – 02 March, 2022)

 A fresh Western Disturbance is very likely to influence northwest India from 28^th February, 2022. It is very likely to cause scattered to fairly widespread light/moderate rainfall/snowfall over Western Himalayan Region during 28th February to 02nd March, 2022 and isolated light rainfall over adjoining plains of northwest India on 01st & 02^nd March, 2022.

 Light isolated rainfall is very likely over extreme south Peninsular India during 1st half of the week.

 Dry weather very likely over remaining parts of the country during most days of the week.

Week 2 (03 - 09 March, 2022)

 No intense Western Disturbance is likely to affect northwest India during the week.

 Light/moderate isolated to scattered rainfall/thundershower is likely over east and extreme south Peninsular India during most days of the week.

 Overall precipitation activity is likely to be above normal most parts of east India and Andaman & Nicobar Islands and below normal rest parts of the country.

Minimum Temperature for week 1 & 2: (24 February – 09 March, 2022)

 Minimum temperatures are above normal by 2 to 4°C over parts of Western Himalayan Region, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, Rajasthan, East Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Vidharbha, Jharkhand, Bihar, Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Chhattisgarh and Saurashtra &

Kutch..

 No significant change in minimum temperatures likely over most parts of India during the week. These are likely to be near normal over most parts of the country during the week 1.

 There is likely gradual rise in minimum temperatures over most parts of the country as compare to week 1.

 These are likely to be near normal or slightly above normal over most parts of northwest

& west India and slightly below normal or near normal over rest parts of the country during the week 2.

II. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 24 February, 2022)

 Central Water Commission monitors the live storage capacity of 140 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 175.96 BCM, which is about 68.25% of total reservoir capacity of 257.81 BCM in the country.

 Live Storage in 140 major reservoirs decreased to 101.21 BCM from the previous week’s level of 105.62 BCM. Current year’s storage position is higher than last year’s storage position of 91.37 BCM and the average of last 10 year’s storage position of 78.86 BCM.

Table 2.1: For 140 major reservoirs of the country

Source: CWC

 There were 122 reservoirs with more than 80% of normal storage, 10 reservoirs with storage between 51% to 80%, 06 reservoirs with storage between 31% to 50% and 02 reservoirs with storage upto 30%.

Source: Central Water Commission

 State-wise details (Reservoir Position) are given in Annex IV.

Period Storage as % of FRL

Storage as % of Last Year

Storage as % of 10 Year’s Average Level

Current Week 58 111 128

Last Week 60 105 128

The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 52% on 24.02.2021, 61% on 24.02.2020, 41% on 24.02.2019 and 40% on 24.02.2018.

III. Fertilizer Position:

Table 3.1: Requirement, Receipt, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers (UREA, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP) during Rabi 2021 (As on 24.02.2022)

(In 000’ Tonnes) Availability/Sale/Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP Complex SSP

Opening Stock as on 01.10.2021 4269 1460 656 2787 1729

Requirement for Oct. 2021 to March 2022 17901 5873 1687 6086 3012 Estimated Requirement during February, 22 1985 406 222 786 294

Cumulative Receipt upto 24.02.2022 14490 3944 511 3851 2265

Cumulative Availability upto 24.02.2022 18759 5404 1167 6638 3994

Cumulative Sales upto 24.02.2022 15455 4537 852 5079 2756

Closing Stock as on 24.02.2022 3304 867 315 1559 1238

Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC&FW)/Department of Fertilizer

IV. Pest & Diseases:

 An incidence of invasive thrip( Thrips Parvispinus) from Telangana, Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu.

o Chilli Flower thrips were reported at Moderate to Severe intensity (Above ETL)from Medchal and Medak districts of Telangana, Guntur and Prakasam District of Andhra Pradesh and Tirchy district of Tamil Nadu.

 Overall intensity of pests and diseases remained below Economic Threshold Level.

V. Seeds:

 A requirement of 310.86 lakh quintals of certified/quality seed indicated by the State for Rabi 2021-22 in September, 2021. Against this, an all India availability of 333.75 lakh quintals certified/quality seed was reported. An overall surplus of 22.89 lakh quintals of seed is available for Rabi 2021-22.

 There is sufficient availability of certified/quality seeds of all major Rabi crops for Rabi 2021- 22 except maize, buck wheat, peas, rajmash and lethyrus which will meet from National Seed Corporation Ltd., Farm Saved Seed and Private Seed Companies.

VI. Mandi Functioning

 PRICE COMPARISON WITH MSP (on 23 February, 2021)

 Agri produce sold below MSP: Bajra, Jowar, Ragi, Arhar, Gram, Urad, Moong, Groundnut, Nigerseed and Safflower.

 Agri produce sold above MSP: Wheat, Paddy, Barley, Maize, Masur, Copra, Mustard, Sesamum, Soyabean, Sunflower, Toria, Cotton and Jute.

VII. All-India Crop Situation Rabi (2021-22) (2

^nd

Adv. Est.) vis-à-vis 2020-21

Table 7.1

(In lakh ha.)

Crop Name

Normal Area for whole Rabi Season

Area sown reported

Absolute Change 2^nd Adv. Est.

2021-22

% of Normal for whole season

Final Est. 2020- 21

Wheat 303.06 309.46 102.1 311.25 -1.79

Rice 42.51 52.02 122.4 54.11 -2.09

Jowar 31.75 23.84 75.1 27.36 -3.51

Maize 18.15 18.60 102.5 21.37 -2.77

Barley 6.14 6.77 110.3 5.93 0.85

TotalCoarse

Cereals 56.05 49.21 87.8 54.65 -5.44

Total Cereals 401.62 410.69 102.3 420.01 -9.32

Gram 95.66 107.46 112.3 99.96 7.50

Urad 9.07 9.39 103.5 9.30 0.09

Moong 9.98 13.12 131.5 13.08 0.04

Lentil 13.90 16.24 116.8 14.68 1.56

Others 18.06 17.24 95.4 16.51 0.72

Total Pulses 146.67 163.44 111.4 153.53 9.91

Total Foodgrains 548.29 574.13 104.7 573.53 0.60

Rapeseed&

Mustard 61.55 78.72 127.9 67.00 11.72

Groundnut 7.05 7.29 103.4 8.44 -1.15

Safflower 0.90 0.59 65.7 0.56 0.03

Sunflower 1.86 1.36 73.2 1.27 0.09

Linseed 2.53 2.11 83.5 1.75 0.36

Total Oilseeds 73.91 90.07 121.9 79.01 11.06

All- Crops 622.20 664.20 106.8 652.55 11.65

Source: As Division, DES

VIII. Progressive Procurement as on 25 February, 2022

Table 8.1: Rice

(In lakh tonnes)

State Progressive Procurement as on

25.02.2022 In Marketing season

2021-2022

In Marketing season 2020-2021

Andhra Pradesh 23.85 26.76

Telangana 47.05 32.67

Bihar 29.70 23.40

Chhattisgarh 61.65 39.76

Gujarat 0.82 0.74

Haryana 37.05 37.89

Kerala 1.65 1.46

Madhya Pradesh 30.70 24.97

Maharashtra 8.93 5.70

Odisha 35.10 38.54

Punjab 125.19 135.86

Tamil Nadu 12.36 11.07

Uttar Pradesh 43.24 44.57

Uttarakhand 7.75 6.79

West Bengal 3.72 10.70

All-India 473.17 444.95

Source: Food &PD

Annex-III/ P.I

Sub-division wise weekly rainfall Forecast for week 24 Feb – 02 March, 2022 for 36 Met Sub-Divisions:

METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST-2022

Sr. No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 24 FEB 25 FEB 26 FEB 27 FEB 28 FEB 01 MAR 02 MAR

1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS SCT ^T SCT ^T FWS ^T WS ^T WS ^T FWS SCT

2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH ISOL FWS FWS ^T SCT ISOL ISOL DRY

3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA SCT ^TH SCT ^TH SCT ^T ISOL ISOL DRY DRY

4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA ISOL SCT ^T SCT ^T ISOL DRY DRY DRY 5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM ISOL ^T SCT ^T SCT ISOL DRY DRY DRY

6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL ISOL ^T SCT ^T ISOL ISOL DRY DRY DRY

7 ODISHA ISOL ISOL ^T ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY

8 JHARKHAND ISOL ^T SCT ^T ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY

9 BIHAR ISOL ^T SCT ^T DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY

12 UTTARAKHAND SCT ^TH SCT ^TH SCT ISOL DRY ISOL SCT

13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI ISOL SCT ^T DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL

14 PUNJAB ISOL SCT ^T DRY DRY DRY ISOL ISOL

15 HIMACHAL PRADESH WS ^T FWS ^T SCT ISOL DRY ISOL SCT

16 JAMMU & KASHMIR AND LADAKH WS ^T FWS ^T FWS ISOL ISOL SCT SCT

17 WEST RAJASTHAN DRY ISOL DRY DRY DRY ISOL DRY

18 EAST RAJASTHAN DRY ISOL ISOL DRY DRY DRY ISOL

19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL

20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL ^T DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL

21 GUJARAT REGION DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

23 KONKAN & GOA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

25 MARATHAWADA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

26 VIDARBHA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

27 CHHATTISGARH ISOL ^T ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

29 TELANGANA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

30 RAYALASEEMA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY DRY

32 COASTAL KARNATAKA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

35 KERALA & MAHE ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY

36 LAKSHADWEEP SCT DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

LEGENDS:

WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL

●Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ^●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ^●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)

F Fog ^H Hail TH Thunderstorm withHail * Snowfall

^-Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5 ^OC to -6.4^OC) ^{- -}Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5^OC)

Annex-III/ P.2

Sub-division-wise 5 days rainfall forecast from 25 Feb – 01 March 2022: