Highlights of CWWG Meeting dated 24.12.2021

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CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTER DIRECTORATE OF ECONOMICS & STATISTICS

DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE

Highlights of CWWG Meeting dated 24.12.2021

 All-India level rainfall during the week, 16 to 22 December 2021, has been 98% lower than the Long Period Average (LPA).

 Cumulative rainfall during Post-Monsoon season, 01 October 2021 to 22 December 2021, has been 44% higher than the LPA.

 Out of 36 MET sub-divisions in the country, rainfall received has been:

- Large excess/ excess in 25 MET sub-divisions constituting 61% of total area, - Normal in 05 MET sub-division constituting 21% of total area,

- Deficient/large deficient in 06 MET sub-divisions constituting 18% of total area

 Live storage in 133 major reservoirs monitored by Central Water Commission (CWC) was 128.82 BCM (as on 23 December 2021), which is:

- 99% of last year’s storage on the same day (23 December 2020) of 130.42 BCM.

- 118% of last 10 year’s average storage (normal) of 109.47 BCM.

 During the current Rabi season 2021, (as on 24.12.2021), 600.65 lakh ha area has been sown as compared to 593.50 lakh ha during 2020-21 during the same period.

 As on 24 December 2021, during KMS 2021-22, Progressive Procurement of Rice was 288.86 lakh LMT as compared to 295.10 lakh MT procured during corresponding period of KMS 2020-21. About 44.67 Lakh farmers have been benefitted from ongoing KMS procurement.

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Subject: Weekly Status Report on Crop Prospects as on 24 December 2021.

Post-Monsoon Rainfall Status (October – December) during the week ending 22 December, 2021

1.1 Rainfall

 Rainfall during the week (16 December to 22 December 2021): Rainfall was deficient/large deficient in 09 sub-divisions and 27 met sub-divisions received no rainfall. (Sub-Division wise weekly and seasonal rainfall distribution is in Annex-I).

 Cumulative rainfall (01 October 2021 to 15 December 2021): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 25 met sub-divisions, normal in 05 sub-divisions, deficient/large deficient in 06 sub-divisions.

(Sub-division wise seasonal rainfall distribution is in Annex-II).

Table 1.1: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country:

LE: Large Excess, E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, LD: Large Deficient, NR: No Rain.

Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi

Table1.2: Category-wise Comparative Distribution of Sub-Division (Cumulative Rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for last 5 years (01 October 2021 to 22 December 2021)

No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall

For the period from 1 October to

21 DEC 2016

20 DEC 2017

19 DEC 2018

25 DEC 2019

23 DEC 2020

22 DEC 2021 Large Excess

Excess Normal Total

03 02 06 11

01 06 14 21

00 03 02 05

13 11 08 32

02 09 09 20

17 08 05 30 Deficient

Large Deficient Scanty

No rain Total

12 13 - 00 25

06 09 - 00 15

13 18 - 00 31

04 00 - 00 04

11 05 - 00 16

06 00 - 00 06

Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00

TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36

All-India % Rainfall Deviation (-) 43% (-) 8% (-) 42% 32% 3% 44%

Source: IMD

Region of India Week Ending (22.12.2021) Cumulative (01.10.21 to 22.12.2021) (in mm) Deviation

(%) Category (in mm) Deviation

(%) Category

Actual Normal Actual Normal

North-West 0.1 4.1 -99 LD 75.8 45.5 67 LE

Central India 0.0 0.9 -100 NR 96.3 74.6 29 E

South Peninsula 0.2 5.8 -97 LD 441.9 271.7 63 LE

East & North-East 0.0 1.9 -99 LD 177.1 162.3 9 N

Country as a whole 0.1 3.0 -98 LD 170.8 118.3 44 E

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1.2 Weather Forecast

Week 1(23 – 29 December)

 Fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/snowfall very likely over Western Himalayan Region on 26^th to 28^th and isolated to scatted on 29^th December. Isolated heavy rainfall/snowfall over Jammu & Kashmir on 26^th & 27^th and Himachal Pradesh on 27^th December.

 Light/moderate scattered to fairly widespread rainfall is very likely over Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi and Uttar Pradesh and isolated rainfall over Rajasthan on 26^th & 27^th and over Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha, Bihar and Jharkhand during 27^th to 29^th December.

 Isolated Hailstorm also likely over Jammu division, lower Himachal Pradesh, Northern parts of Punjab & Haryana on 26^th and over Uttarakhand & Northwest Uttar Pradesh on 26^th & 27^th December, 2021.

 Light isolated rainfall/snowfall is very likely over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh; and light rainfall over rest parts of northeastern states during 1^st half of the week.

 Light isolated rainfall is also likely over Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh and Vidharbha during 2^nd half of the week.

 Dry weather very likely over remaining parts of the country during most days of the week..

Week 2 (30 December, 2021 – 05 January, 2022)

 Rainfall activity is likely to be normal to above normal over northwest, central, east & northeast India. It is likely to be below normal over south Peninsular India.

Minimum Temperature for week 1 & 2: (23 December, 2021 – 05 January, 2022)

 During week 1, minimum temperatures likely to be above normal by 2-4°C over most parts of northwest & adjoining central India and near normal or slightly below normal over rest parts of the country.

 No Cold Wave Conditions likely to prevail over the country except Odisha (where cold wave in isolated pockets may occur during next 24 hours) during next 7 days.

 Dense fog in the morning hours in isolated pockets very likely

o over Punjab, Haryana, and northeast India on 24^th & 25^th and;

o over northwest Rajasthan during on 25th & 26th December, 2021.

 Minimum temperatures likely to be above normal by 2-4°C over most parts northwest, central, east & northeast India and near normal over south Peninsular India during week 2.

 No significant cold wave is likely over any parts of the country.

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II. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 23 December, 2021)

 Central Water Commission monitors the live storage capacity of 133 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 172.46 BCM, which is about 66.89% of total reservoir capacity of 257.81 BCM in the country.

 Live Storage in 133 major reservoirs decreased to 128.82 BCM from the previous week’s level of 131.61 BCM. Current year’s storage position is lower than last year’s storage position of 130.42 BCM and higher than the average of last 10 year’s storage position of 109.47 BCM.

Table 2.1: For 133 major reservoirs of the country

Source: CWC

 There were 114 reservoirs with more than 80% of normal storage, 11 reservoirs with storage between 51% to 80%, 07 reservoirs with storage between 31% to 50% and 01 reservoirs with storage upto 30%.

Source: Central Water Commission

 State-wise details (Reservoir Position) are given in Annex IV.

III. Fertilizer Position:

Period Storage as % of FRL

Storage as % of Last Year

Storage as % of 10 Year’s Average Level

Current Week 75 99 118

Last Week 76 99 117

The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 76% on 23.12.2020, 82% on 23.12.2019, 55% on 23.12.2018 and 57% on 23.12.2017.

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Table 3.1: Requirement, Receipt, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers (UREA, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP) during Rabi 2021 (As on 23.12.2021)

(In 000’ Tonnes) Availability/Sale/Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP Complex SSP

Opening Stock as on 01.10.2021 4269 1460 656 2787 1729

Requirement for Oct. 2021 to March 2022 17901 5873 1687 6086 3012 Estimated Requirement during December, 21 3946 948 277 1109 529

Cumulative Receipt upto 23.12.2021 7691 2944 295 2557 1329

Cumulative Availability upto 23.12.2021 11960 4404 951 5344 3058

Cumulative Sales upto 23.12.2021 8514 3624 632 3558 1974

Closing Stock as on 23.12.2021 3446 780 319 1786 1084

Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC&FW)/Department of Fertilizer

IV. Pest & Diseases:

 Overall intensity of pests and diseases remained below Economic Threshold Level.

 Incidence of Chilli thrips from Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka and Maharashtra.

o Flower thrips incidence is reported in Chilli crop at Moderate to Severe intensity (above ETL) in Guntur and Prakasam districts from Andhra Pradesh and at Moderate intensity (above ETL) from Vijayanagara, Koppal, Gadag and Haveri districts from Karnataka.

Incidence of thrips is also reported in Chilli crop in Nagpur district from Maharasthra at Moderate to Severe intensity (Above ETL) .

V. Seeds:

 A requirement of 310.86 lakh quintals of certified/quality seed indicated by the State for Rabi 2021-22 in September, 2021. Against this, an all India availability of 333.75 lakh quintals certified/quality seed was reported. An overall surplus of 22.89 lakh quintals of seed is available for Rabi 2021-22.

 There is sufficient availability of certified/quality seeds of all major Rabi crops for Rabi 2021- 22 except maize, buck wheat, peas, rajmash and lethyrus which will meet from National Seed Corporation Ltd., Farm Saved Seed and Private Seed Companies.

VI. Mandi Functioning

 PRICE COMPARISON WITH MSP (on 22 December, 2021)

 Agri produce sold below MSP: Wheat, Bajra, Maize, Jowar, Ragi, Arhar, Gram, Urad, Moong, Groundnut, Safflower and sunflower.

 Agri produce sold above MSP: Paddy, Barley, Masur, Copra, Mustard, Sesamum, Soyabean, Cotton and Jute.

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VII. All-India Crop Situation Rabi (2021-22) as on 24-12-2021

Table 7.1

(In lakh ha.)

Crop Name

Normal Area for whole Rabi

Season

Area sown reported

Absolute Change This Year

2021

% of Normal for whole

season

Last Year 2020

Wheat 303.06 305.47 100.8 309.68 -4.21

Rice 42.51 12.92 30.4 12.72 0.20

Jowar 31.75 22.56 71.1 24.94 -2.38

Maize 18.15 13.18 72.6 11.66 1.52

Barley 6.14 6.49 105.7 6.52 -0.03

Total Coarse Cereals 56.05 42.74 76.3 43.68 -0.94

Total Cereals 401.62 361.13 89.9 366.08 -4.95

Gram 95.66 102.49 107.1 102.51 -0.02

Lentil 13.90 16.30 117.2 15.63 0.67

Peas 7.98 9.35 117.2 10.00 -0.64

Kulthi(Horse Gram) 2.00 3.21 160.2 3.62 -0.41

Urad 9.07 4.97 54.7 5.68 -0.72

Moong 9.98 1.29 12.9 2.62 -1.33

Lathyrus 3.62 3.30 91.2 2.88 0.42

Others 4.44 3.57 80.3 5.02 -1.46

Total Pulses 146.67 144.47 98.5 147.96 -3.49

Total Foodgrains 548.29 505.61 92.2 514.04 -8.44

Rapeseed & Mustard 61.55 86.98 141.3 71.62 15.36

Groundnut 7.05 3.46 49.0 3.41 0.04

Safflower 0.90 0.65 72.5 0.51 0.14

Sunflower 1.86 0.98 52.3 0.84 0.13

Linseed 2.53 2.39 94.4 2.48 -0.09

Total Oilseeds (Nine) 73.91 95.04 128.6 79.46 15.58

All Crops 622.20 600.65 96.5 593.50 7.14

Source: AS Division, DES

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VIII. Progressive Procurement as on 24

^th

December, 2021

Table 9.1: Rice

(In lakh tonnes)

State Progressive Procurement as on

24. 12.2021 In Marketing season

2021-2022

In Marketing season 2020-2021

Andhra Pradesh 4.79 6.91

Telangana 33.82 24.89

Bihar 4.07 2.49

Chhattisgarh 28.57 24.35

Gujarat 0.44 0.32

Haryana 37.05 37.89

Kerala 1.18 1.12

Madhya Pradesh 9.05 10.66

Maharashtra 2.09 1.33

Odisha 4.83 9.78

Punjab 125.19 135.86

Tamil Nadu 4.64 3.75

Uttar Pradesh 24.61 28.61

Uttarakhand 7.75 6.58

West Bengal

All-India 288.86 295.10

Source: Food &PD

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Annex-III/ P.I

Sub-division wise weekly rainfall Forecast for week 23 Dec – 29 Dec, 2021 for 36 Met Sub-Divisions:

METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST -2021

Sr. No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 23 DEC 24 DEC 25 DEC 26 DEC 27 DEC 28 DEC 29 DEC

1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL

2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH ISOL^F ISOL^F ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY ISOL

3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA ISOL^F DRY^F DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL

4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA ISOL^F DRY^F DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM DRY ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY SCT

6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

7 ODISHA DRY^^- DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL

8 JHARKHAND DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL SCT SCT

9 BIHAR DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL ISOL SCT

10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH DRY DRY DRY ISOL SCT SCT FWS

11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH DRY DRY DRY SCT^H FWS^H ISOL DRY

12 UTTARAKHAND ISOL^F DRY DRY SCT^H FWS^H ISOL DRY

13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI ISOL^F DRY^F ISOL FWS^H FWS DRY DRY

14 PUNJAB ISOL ISOL^F ISOL FWS^H FWS DRY DRY

15 HIMACHAL PRADESH ISOL ISOL ISOL WS^H WS^●/* ISOL DRY

16 JAMMU & KASHMIR AND LADAKH SCT ISOL ISOL WS^●/*^H WS^●/* ISOL DRY

17 WEST RAJASTHAN DRY DRY^F DRY^F ISOL ISOL DRY DRY

18 EAST RAJASTHAN DRY DRY DRY ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY

19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL SCT DRY

20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL FWS SCT

21 GUJARAT REGION DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

23 KONKAN & GOA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

25 MARATHAWADA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

26 VIDARBHA DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL SCT FWS

27 CHHATTISGARH DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL SCT FWS

28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

29 TELANGANA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

30 RAYALASEEMA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL ISOL ISOL

32 COASTAL KARNATAKA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

35 KERALA & MAHE DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

36 LAKSHADWEEP DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

LEGENDS:

WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%)

SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL

●Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ^●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ^●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)

F Fog * Snowfall

^-Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5ÔC to -6.4ÔC) ^{- -}Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5ÔC) Hail^H

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Annex-III/ P.2

Sub-division-wise 5 days rainfall forecast from 24 December – 28 December 2021:

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