GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE
(CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)
Room No. 443, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi Dated: 09.05.2022 SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OF THE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP
HELD 06.05.2022.
Summary Points of the CWWG meeting:
Lower pre-monsoon rainfall was observed during the week, as compared to Long Period Average (LPA) by 14%.
During the next week, rainfall activity is likely to be above normal over northeast, east & adjoining central India, most parts of Peninsular India and below normal over northwest & adjoining central India.
The total live water storage in 140 reservoirs across the country is 35% of the storage capacity at full reservoirs level. The current year's storage is nearly 108 percent of the last year's storage and 127 percent of the average of last ten years.
Soil moisture condition was good in some parts of North Eastern region and some Northern Region of the country, Karnataka, Maharashtra, Kerala, Orissa.
Summer crops area sown is 71.88 lakh ha. which have shown increase as compared to last year, which was 68.84 lakh ha. Pulses area sown has shown significant increase.
Overall major foodgrains prices have remained stable during the last week.
Prices of tomato have shown significant increase and onion has shown decline.
Out of 15 crops, the Wholesale Average Prices of 5 crops namely, Masur,
Urad, Mustard, Soyabean and Sesamum have shown more than Rs. 1000
above MSP.
Subject: Weekly Status Report on Crop Prospects as on 06 May 2022.
Pre-Monsoon Rainfall Status (March – May) during the week ending 04 May, 2022
1.1 Rainfall
Rainfall during the week (28 April to 04 May 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 08 sub- divisions, normal in 05 sub-divisions, deficient/large deficient in 19 sub-divisions and 04 met sub- divisions received no rainfall. (Sub-Division wise weekly rainfall distribution is in Annex-I).
Cumulative rainfall (01 March to 04 May 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 10 met sub- divisions, normal in 01 sub-division, deficient/large deficient in 24 met sub-divisions and 01 met sub-division received no rainfall.. (Sub-division wise seasonal rainfall distribution is in Annex-II).
Table 1.1: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country:
LE: Large Excess, E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, LD: Large Deficient, NR: No Rain.
Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi
Table1.2: Category-wise Comparative Distribution of Sub-Division (Cumulative Rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for last 5 years (01 March 2022 to 04 May 2022)
No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall
For the period from 1 March to
03 MAY 2017
02 MAY 2018
01 MAY 2019
06 MAY 2020
05 MAY 2021
04 MAY 2022 Large Excess
Excess Normal Total
01 04 11 16
02 05 13 20
03 03 11 17
19 06 04 29
04 06 08 18
05 05 01 11 Deficient
Large Deficient No rain
Total
09 10 01 20
13 03 00 16
15 04 00 19
05 02 00 07
15 03 00 18
12 12 01 25
Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00
TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36
All-India % Rainfall Deviation 4% (-) 21% (-) 29% (-) 29% (-) 29% (-) 28%
Source: IMD
Region of India Week Ending (04.05.2022) Cumulative (01.03.22 to 04.05.2022) (in mm) Deviation
(%) Category (in mm) Deviation
(%) Category
Actual Normal Actual Normal
East & North-East 35.3 38.9 -9 N 220.3 210.1 5 N
North-West 4.4 7.7 -43 D 14.3 83.7 -83 LD
Central India 2.4 3.0 -21 D 7.2 19.3 -63 LD
South Peninsula 11.7 11.1 5 N 66.5 55.0 21 E
Country as a whole 10.1 11.7 -14 N 55.0 76.5 -28 D
1.2 Weather Forecast
Week 1(05 - 11 May, 2022)
Isolated to scattered light/moderate rainfall very likely over Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal &
Sikkim and Odisha during next 5 days with isolated thunderstorm/lightning/gusty winds over the region on 05th & 06th May.
Scattered to fairly widespread light/moderate rainfall with thunderstorm/lightning/gusty winds very likely over Kerala & Mahe, South Interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry &
Karaikal and isolated rainfall activity over Coastal & North Interior Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana during the week.
Isolated heavy rainfall very likely over South Interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry Karaikal and Kerala-Mahe today.
Heavy rainfall at isolated places very likely over Nicobar Islands on today and Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places very likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands during 06th-08th May.
Dry weather very likely over remaining parts of the country during most days of the week.
Week 2 (12 – 18 May, 2022)
Increase in rainfall/thunderstorm activity over most parts of the country (outside northwest & adjoining central India) as compared to week 1.
Light to moderate scattered to fairly widespread rainfall with thunderstorm activity is very likely over northeast & East India during most days of the week. Isolated heavy rainfall is also likely over northeast India during some days of the week.
Due to trough/wind discontinuity over south Peninsula India, light/moderate isolated to scattered rainfall along with thunderstorm is likely over south Peninsular India during most days of the week.
Overall, rainfall activity is likely to be above normal over northeast, east & adjoining central India, most parts of Peninsular India and below normal over northwest & adjoining central India during the week
Maximum Temperature for week 1 & 2: (05 – 18 May, 2022)
During the week 1, No significant change in maximum temperatures very likely over most parts of Northwest & Central India on 05th May and rise by 2-3°C thereafter.
Heat Wave conditions in isolated pockets over West Rajasthan during 28th- 30th April with Severe Heat Wave Conditions on 01st - 02nd May;
Heat Wave conditions in some/isolated parts o over north Madhya Maharashtra on 05th May o over Rajasthan during 07th to 11th May
o over south Haryana-Delhi, southwest Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh & Vidarbha during 08th to 11th May, 2022.
During the week 2, Maximum temperatures likely to rise over most parts of northwest &
adjoining central India as compared to week 1.
These are likely to be above normal by 2-4°C over most parts of northwest India, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Odisha. It is likely to be below normal to near normal over rest parts of India.
Heat wave at isolated pockets likely over northwest & adjoining central India during many days of the week.
II. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 05 May, 2022)
Central Water Commission monitors the live storage capacity of 140 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 175.96 BCM, which is about 68.25% of total reservoir capacity of 257.81 BCM in the country.
Live Storage in 140 major reservoirs decreased to 62.12 BCM from the previous week’s level of 65.32 BCM. Current year’s storage position is higher than last year’s storage position of 57.56 BCM and the average of last 10 year’s storage position of 48.96 BCM.
Table 2.1: For 140 major reservoirs of the country
Source: CWC
There were 116 reservoirs with more than 80% of normal storage, 13 reservoirs with storage between 51% to 80%, 04 reservoirs with storage between 31% to 50%, 07 reservoirs with storage upto 30% and 01 reservoir having no live storage.
Source: Central Water Commission
State-wise details (Reservoir Position) are given in Annex IV.
Period Storage as % of FRL
Storage as % of Last Year
Storage as % of 10 Year’s Average Level
Current Week 35 108 127
Last Week 37 108 128
The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 33% on 05.05.2021, 40% on 05.05.2020, 25% on 05.05.2019 and 22% on 05.05.2018.
III. Fertilizer Position:
Table 3.1: Requirement, Receipt, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers (UREA, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP) during Kharif 2022 (As on 06.05.2022)
(In 000’ Tonnes)
Availability/Sale/Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP NPKS SSP
Monthly Requirement 26.65 10.18 3.14 9.38 5.07
Monthly Supply 26.95 10.77 1.58 7.77 0.00
Opening Stock as on 01.05.2022 60.95 14.04 3.46 17.32 16.67
Receipt from 01 - 06 May, 2022 3.36 1.48 0.21 0.74 0.41
Availability from 01 - 06 May, 2022 64.31 15.53 3.67 18.06 17.08 Estimated Sales 01 - 06 May, 2022 1.75 0.42 0.08 0.28 0.27 Closing Stock as on 06 May, 2022 62.56 15.11 3.59 17.78 16.81
Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC&FW)/Department of Fertilizer
IV. Pest & Diseases:
Fall Army Worm reported at above ETL intensity in 02 acre of Maize at Chikali, Savargaon village, Katol Taluka in Nagpur district of Maharashtra during rapid roving survey conducted by RCIPMC, Nagpur.
Overall intensity of pests and diseases remained below Economic Threshold Level.
V. Seeds:
The states have reported tentative 177.97 lakh quintals seed availability against the requirement of 160.45 lakh quintals in the country for Kharif-2022 season.
VI. Mandi Functioning
PRICE COMPARISON WITH MSP (on 29 April, 2021)
Agri produce sold below MSP:, Nil.
Agri produce sold above MSP: Wheat, Arhar, Gram, Masur, Moong, Urad, Groundnut, Mustard, Soyabean, Sesamum and Sunflower.
VII. Progressive Procurement as on 06 May, 2022
Table 9.1: Rice
(In lakh tonnes)
State Progressive Procurement as on
06.05.2022 In Marketing season
2021-2022
In Marketing season 2020-2021
Andhra Pradesh 30.88 31.84
Telangana 47.23 32.66
Bihar 30.09 23.40
Chhattisgarh 61.65 39.76
Gujarat 0.82 0.74
Haryana 37.05 37.89
Kerala 3.36 2.54
Madhya Pradesh 30.70 24.97
Maharashtra 8.96 9.07
Odisha 38.92 42.80
Punjab 125.48 135.89
Tamil Nadu 22.99 18.34
Uttar Pradesh 43.91 44.78
Uttarakhand 7.74 7.12
.12West Bengal 14.96 15.53
All-India 513.80 473.71
Source: Food &PD
Table 9.2: Wheat
State Progressive Procurement as on
06.05.2022 In Marketing season
2022-2023
In Marketing season 2021-2022
Punjab 92.81 123.14
Haryana 40.34 80.75
Uttar Pradesh 1.76 15.52
Madhya Pradesh 38.13 84.70
Rajasthan 0.01 9.78
Uttarakhand 0.01 0.87
All-India 173.13 315.58
Annex-III/ P.I
Sub-division wise weekly rainfall Forecast for week 05 May – 11 May, 2022 for 36 Met Sub-Divisions:
METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST-2022
Sr. No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 05 MAY 06 MAY 07 MAY 08 MAY 09 MAY 10 MAY 11 MAY
1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS WS L● WS L●● WS L●● WS L● FWS FWS FWS
2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH ISOL L ISOL SCT SCT FWS WS WS
3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA SCT L SCT L SCT SCT FWS WS WS
4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA SCT L SCT L SCT FWS FWS FWS WS
5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM SCT L FWS L FWS SCT SCT WS WS
6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL SCT L SCT L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY
7 ODISHA SCT L SCT L ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY
8 JHARKHAND SCT L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY
9 BIHAR SCT L ISOL ISOL SCT SCT ISOL SCT
10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY
11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL L DRY DRY DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY
12 UTTARAKHAND ISOL L ISOL ISOL DRY DRY ISOL ISOL
13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI ISOL DRY DRY DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY
14 PUNJAB ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
15 HIMACHAL PRADESH ISOL L ISOL ISOL DRY DRY ISOL ISOL
16 JAMMU & KASHMIR AND LADAKH SCT L ISOL L ISOL DRY DRY ISOL DRY
17 WEST RAJASTHAN ISOL DSTS DRY DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY
18 EAST RAJASTHAN DRY DRY DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY
19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH DRY DRY DRY DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY
20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL L DRY DRY DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY
21 GUJARAT REGION DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
23 KONKAN & GOA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA DRY+ DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
25 MARATHAWADA ISOL L DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
26 VIDARBHA ISOL L DRY DRY DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY
27 CHHATTISGARH ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L DRY DRY
28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL
29 TELANGANA ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L DRY DRY
30 RAYALASEEMA ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL
31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL SCT L● SCT L SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
32 COASTAL KARNATAKA FWS L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY
34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA FWS L● SCT L SCT SCT SCT SCT ISOL
35 KERALA & MAHE FWS L● FWS L FWS L SCT L SCT L SCT SCT
36 LAKSHADWEEP FWS L SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
LEGENDS:
WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL
●Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)
F Fog * Snowfall DDust storm $Thunderstorm with Squall L Thunderstorm with Lightning # Thunderstorm with Hail
+ Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal +4.5 OC to +6.4OC) ++ Severe Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal ≥ +6.5OC)
-Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5 OC to -6.4OC) - -Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5OC)
Annex-III/ P.2
Sub-division-wise 5 days rainfall forecast from 06 May – 10 May 2022:
