GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE
(CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)
Room No. 443, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi Dated: 23.05.2022
SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OF THE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP HELD 20.05.2022.
Summary Points of the CWWG meeting:
Higher pre-monsoon rainfall was observed during the week, as compared to Long Period Average (LPA) by 122%.
During the next week, rainfall activity is likely to be normal to above normal over south Peninsular and central India; near normal over east & northeast India and below normal over northwest India.
During the week severe heat wave spell was prevailing over west Rajasthan and west Madhya Pradesh from 7th may, which was further extended to east Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, east Madhya Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana and Delhi. However, it was abated by 16th May. Condition will continue to be favorable in the following week.
The total live water storage in 140 reservoirs across the country is 32% of the storage capacity at full reservoirs level. The current year's storage is nearly 106 percent of the last year's storage.
Soil moisture condition was good in some parts of North Eastern region and some Northern Region of the country, Karnataka, Maharashtra , Kerala, Tamil Nadu , West Bengal.
Summer crops area sown is 74.94 lakh ha. which have shown increase as compared to last year, which was 70.41 lakh ha. Pulses area sown has shown significant increase and Oilseeds has shown marginally increase.
There is sufficient availability of certified/quality seeds of all major Kharif crops for Kharif-2022 except jute and common millet which will meet from National Seed Corporation Ltd, Farm Saved Seed and Private Seed Companies.
Inflation (WPI Food Index) has increased from 8.71% in March 2022 to 8.88% in April, 2022.
Overall major foodgrains prices have remained stable during the last week.
Prices of tomato have shown significant increase while potato has shown marginally increase and onion remained stable.
Out of 15 crops, the Wholesale Average Prices of 5 crops namely, Masur, Urad, Mustard, Soyabean and Sesamum have shown more than Rs. 1000 above MSP.
Details of each sector are given here under:
Subject: Weekly Status Report on Crop Prospects as on 20 May 2022.
Pre-Monsoon Rainfall Status (March – May) during the week ending 18 May, 2022 1.1 Rainfall
Rainfall during the week (12 May to 18 May 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 16 sub- divisions, normal in 02 sub-divisions, deficient/large deficient in 13 sub-divisions and 05 met sub- divisions received no rainfall. (Sub-Division wise weekly rainfall distribution is in Annex-I).
Cumulative rainfall (01 March to 18 May 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 11 met sub- divisions, normal in 05 sub-divisions and deficient/large deficient in 20 met sub-divisions. (Sub- division wise seasonal rainfall distribution is in Annex-II).
Table 1.1: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country:
LE: Large Excess, E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, LD: Large Deficient, NR: No Rain.
Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi
Table1.2: Category-wise Comparative Distribution of Sub-Division (Cumulative Rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for last 5 years (01 March 2022 to 18 May 2022)
No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall
For the period from 1 March to
17 MAY 2017
16 MAY 2018
15 MAY 2019
20 MAY 2020
19 MAY 2021
18 MAY 2022 Large Excess
Excess Normal Total
01 05 11 17
03 07 10 20
04 02 06 12
18 03 09 30
12 06 12 30
07 04 05 16 Deficient
Large Deficient No rain
Total
12 07 00 19
13 03 00 16
17 07 00 24
06 00 00 06
06 00 00 06
06 14 00 20
Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00
TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36
All-India % Rainfall Deviation (-) 4% (-) 11% (-) 22% 15% 0% (-) 5%
Source: IMD
Region of India Week Ending (18.05.2022) Cumulative (01.03.22 to 18.05.2022) (in mm) Deviation
(%) Category (in mm) Deviation
(%) Category
Actual Normal Actual Normal
East & North-East 126.4 40.5 212 LE 371.8 287.9 29 E
North-West 2.8 7.9 -64 LD 22.9 99.5 -77 LD
Central India 1.7 4.9 -65 LD 11.9 27.9 -57 D
South Peninsula 49.3 18.1 173 LE 142.7 87.2 64 LE
Country as a whole 31.3 14.1 122 LE 98.3 103.0 -5 N
1.2 Weather Forecast
Week 1(19 - 25 May, 2022)
Fairly widespread to widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls & thunderstorm /lightning/ gusty winds very likely:
o over Andaman & Nicobar Islands and Northeast India during the week;
o over Kerala-Mahe & Karnataka during most days of the week.
o over Jammu-Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh & Uttarakhand during 1st half of the week.
Isolated to scattered light rainfall with thunderstorm/lightning/gusty winds very likely over Punjab, Haryana, North Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh during 20th to 24th May with scattered to fairly widespread light rainfall over the region on 23rd May, 2022.
Duststorm/Thunderstorm at isolated places very likely over Uttar Pradesh on 20th and over Rajasthan on 21st & 22nd May.
Strong Surface Winds with wind speed reaching 25-35 kmph over Rajasthan on 20th & 21st and over Punjab, Haryana & Uttar Pradesh on 22nd & 23rd May.
Widespread light/moderate rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls very likely over Arunachal Pradesh on 19th to 21st; over Assam-Meghalaya and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal &
Sikkim during 19th to 22nd May. Isolated extremely heavy falls very likely over Meghalaya on 19th & 21st May, 2022. Rainfall activity is very likely to decrease thereafter.
Isolated to scattered light rainfall with isolated thunderstorm/lightning/gusty winds likely over Bihar, Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal and Odisha during most days of the week.
Light isolated rainfall/thunderstorm is also likely over central parts of the country during 2nd half of the week.
No significant weather likely over remaining parts of the country during the week.
Week 2 (26 May – 01 June, 2022)
Decrease in rainfall/thunderstorm activity over northeast India as compared to week 1.
Due to strong westerly flow from Arabian Sea and trough over south Peninsula India, light/moderate fairly widespread to widespread rainfall activity likely over southwest Peninsular India and isolated to scattered rainfall over rest peninsular India. Isolated heavy rainfall is also likely over Kerala, Coastal & South Interior Karnataka during many days of the week.
Overall, rainfall activity is likely to be normal to above normal over south Peninsular and central India; near normal over east & northeast India and below normal over northwest India during the week.
Maximum Temperature for week 1 & 2: (19 May – 01 June, 2022)
During the week 1, No significant change in maximum temperatures during next 2 days over Northwest, Central India and Gujarat State and fall by 2-4°C thereafter.
Heat wave conditions in many places with severe heat wave conditions in isolated pockets over West Rajasthan on 20th with heat wave conditions in some parts on 19th May.
Heat wave conditions in isolated pockets very likely over East Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, south Punjab and south Haryana on 19th & 20th May; 2022.
During the week 2, Maximum temperatures likely to fall over most parts of northwest &
adjoining central India as compared to week 1.
These are likely to be above normal by 1-3°C over most parts of Western Himalayan Region, Odisha & adjoining Coastal Andhra Pradesh. It is likely to be below normal to near normal over rest parts of India.
No significant heat wave is likely over any part of the country.
II. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 19 May, 2022)
Central Water Commission monitors the live storage capacity of 140 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 175.96 BCM, which is about 68.25% of total reservoir capacity of 257.81 BCM in the country.
Live Storage in 140 major reservoirs decreased to 56.88 BCM from the previous week’s level of 58.76 BCM. Current year’s storage position is higher than last year’s storage position of 53.54 BCM and the average of last 10 year’s storage position of 44.41 BCM.
Table 2.1: For 140 major reservoirs of the country
Source: CWC
There were 112 reservoirs with more than 80% of normal storage, 16 reservoirs with storage between 51% to 80%, 03 reservoirs with storage between 31% to 50%, 09 reservoirs with storage upto 30% and 02 reservoirs having no live storage.
Source: Central Water Commission
State-wise details (Reservoir Position) are given in Annex IV.
Period Storage as % of FRL
Storage as % of Last Year
Storage as % of 10 Year’s Average Level
Current Week 32 106 128
Last Week 33 106 128
The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 30% on 19.05.2021, 36% on 19.05.2020, 22% on 19.05.2019 and 20% on 19.05.2018.
III. Fertilizer Position:
Table 3.1: Requirement, Receipt, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers (UREA, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP) during Kharif 2022 (As on 19.05.2022)
(In LMT) Availability/Sale/Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP NPKS SSP
Opening Stock as on 01.04.2022 47.83 7.73 2.47 14.05 15.69
Actual Requirement for Kharif 2022 179.01 58.82 19.82 63.72 33.19 Estimated Requirement during May, 2022 26.65 10.18 3.14 9.38 5.07 Cumulative Receipt upto 19.05.2022 39.97 16.05 2.33 10.36 4.91 Cumulative Availability upto 19.05.2022 87.80 23.77 4.79 24.41 20.60
Cumulative Sales upto 19.05.2022 21.38 5.43 1.01 4.23 3.27
Closing Stock as on 19.05.2022 66.42 18.34 3.78 20.17 17.33
Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC&FW)/Department of Fertilizer
IV. Pest & Diseases:
An intensity of Anthracnose (Colletotrichumgloeosporioides) in Mango from Andaman&
Nicobar Union territory.
o Anthracnose in Mango was reported at Trace to moderate intensity (Above ETL) from North, South and Middle Andaman districts of Andaman Nicobar in 1 (Ha) area.
Overall intensity of pests and diseases remained below Economic Threshold Level.
V. Seeds:
The states have reported tentative 177.97 lakh quintals seed availability against the requirement of 160.45 lakh quintals in the country for Kharif-2022 season. An overall surplus of 17.52 lakh quintals of seed is available for Kharif-2022.
There is sufficient availability of certified/quality seeds of all major Kharif crops for Kharif- 2022 except Jute and Common Millet.
Certified/Quality seeds shortage was in some states in some commodities.
VI. Mandi Functioning
PRICE COMPARISON WITH MSP (on 13 May, 2021)
Agri produce sold below MSP:, Nil.
Agri produce sold above MSP: Wheat, Arhar, Gram, Masur, Moong, Urad, Groundnut, Mustard, Soyabean, Sesamum and Sunflower.
Inflation (WPI Food Index) has increased from 8.71% in March 2022 to 8.88% in April, 2022.
Status of change of WPI in March 2021 over April 2022 for some major items is as under.
- All Commodities: increase from 14.55% to 15.08%.
- Primary Articles: declined from 15.54% to 15.45%
- Food Articles: increase from 8.06% to 8.35%.
- Non-food Articles: declined from 25.41% to 23.81%.
- Pulses: declined from 2.22% to -0.34%.
- Cereals: declined from 8.12% to 7.80%.
- Wheat: declined from 14.04% to 10.70%.
- Paddy: increase from 1.05% to 1.48%.
- Fruits and Vegetables: increase from 15.46% to 16.87%.
- Milk: increase from 2.90% to 5.11%.
VII. Variations in the Wholesale Price Indices (WPI) of Major items
Table: 7.1Period /
Commodities Weight
Inflation (year on year)
Apr-2022 Mar-2022 Apr -2021
All Commodities 100.00 15.08 14.55 10.74
Primary Articles 22.62 15.45 15.54 9.94
(a) Food Articles 15.26 8.35 8.06 4.60
Cereals 2.82 7.80 8.12 -3.07
Paddy 1.43 1.48 1.05 -0.43
Wheat 1.03 10.70 14.04 -3.16
Pulses 0.64 -0.34 2.22 10.74
Gram 0.26 -0.18 3.95 12.54
Arhar 0.13 -0.73 1.66 13.94
Moong 0.07 -1.18 -0.24 -2.58
Masur 0.05 17.98 22.03 14.83
Urad 0.09 -9.73 -10.17 8.14
Vegetables 1.87 23.24 19.88 -8.97
Potato 0.28 19.84 24.62 -30.01
Onion 0.16 -4.02 -9.33 -19.72
Fruits 1.60 10.89 10.62 23.54
Milk 4.44 5.11 2.90 2.04
Egg, Meat & Fish 2.40 4.50 9.42 10.88
(b) Non-Food
Articles 4.12 23.81 25.41 15.58
Oilseeds 1.12 16.10 22.49 29.95
VIII. Progressive Procurement as on 20 May, 2022
Table 8.1: Rice
(In Lakh Metric Tonnes)
State Progressive Procurement as on
20.05.2022 In Marketing season
2021-2022
In Marketing season 2020-2021
Andhra Pradesh 36.66 40.89
Telangana 55.16 52.63
Bihar 30.09 23.40
Chhattisgarh 61.65 39.76
Gujarat 0.82 0.74
Haryana 37.05 37.89
Kerala 4.27 4.58
Madhya Pradesh 30.70 24.97
Maharashtra 8.96 9.07
Odisha 39.09 42.80
Punjab 125.48 135.89
Tamil Nadu 24.04 21.37
Uttar Pradesh 43.91 44.78
Uttarakhand 7.74 7.12
West Bengal 16.68 15.56
All-India 531.63 508.48
Source: Food &PD Table 8.2: Wheat
State Progressive Procurement as on
20.05.2022 In Marketing season
2022-2023
In Marketing season 2021-2022
Punjab 95.90 132.10
Haryana 40.72 84.93
Uttar Pradesh 2.51 29.95
Madhya Pradesh 42.21 115.02
Rajasthan 0.01 15.19
Uttarakhand 0.02 1.14
All-India 181.45 380.22
Annex-III/ P.I
Sub-division wise weekly rainfall Forecast for week 19 May – 25 May, 2022 for 36 Met Sub-Divisions:
METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST-2022
Sr. No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 19 MAY 20 MAY 21 MAY 22 MAY 23 MAY 24 MAY 25 MAY
1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS WS L●● WS L●● WS L● WS L● WS L● FWS SCT
2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH WS L●● FWS●● FWS● FWS FWS SCT SCT
3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA WS L●● WS L●● WS L●● WS● WS FWS SCT
4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA WS L● WS WS● WS WS SCT FWS
5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM WS L●● WS L●● WS● WS● FWS FWS SCT
6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL SCT L ISOL L SCT L SCT L SCT L FWS SCT
7 ODISHA ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
8 JHARKHAND ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L FWS WS
9 BIHAR SCT L SCT L SCT L SCT L ISOL FWS SCT
10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH DRY+ ISOL+DSTS ISOL L ISOL L FWS# FWS ISOL 11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH DRY+ ISOL+DSTS ISOL L ISOL L FWS# SCT ISOL
12 UTTARAKHAND ISOL ISOL FWS L WS# WS# FWS SCT
13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI DRY+ ISOL L+ ISOL L ISOL# FWS L SCT ISOL
14 PUNJAB DRY+ ISOL L+ ISOL L ISOL# SCT L ISOL DRY
15 HIMACHAL PRADESH ISOL SCT L FWS# WS# WS L SCT SCT
16 JAMMU & KASHMIR AND LADAKH FWS# FWS L FWS L WS# WS# SCT ISOL 17 WEST RAJASTHAN DRY+ DRY++ ISOLDSTS ISOLDSTS ISOL L DRY DRY
18 EAST RAJASTHAN DRY+ DRY+ DRY ISOL L ISOLDSTS ISOL ISOL
19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH DRY+ DRY+ DRY ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL 20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL L+ DRY+ ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL
21 GUJARAT REGION DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
23 KONKAN & GOA ISOL L● ISOL L● ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA ISOL L ISOL L ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY
25 MARATHAWADA ISOL L ISOL L DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
26 VIDARBHA ISOL L+ ISOL L ISOL DRY DRY DRY ISOL
27 CHHATTISGARH ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL
28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM SCT L SCT L SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT
29 TELANGANA SCT L ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY
30 RAYALASEEMA FWS L● SCT L SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL SCT L● ISOL L ISOL ISOL SCT SCT SCT
32 COASTAL KARNATAKA WS L●●● WS L●● WS FWS FWS SCT SCT
33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA WS L● WS L●● SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA WS L●● WS L●● FWS SCT SCT FWS SCT
35 KERALA & MAHE WS L●● WS L●● WS L● WS L● WS L● WS WS
36 LAKSHADWEEP WS L WS L WS L WS L WS L WS WS
LEGENDS:
WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL
●Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)
F Fog * Snowfall DSTSDust storm/ Thunderstorm $Thunderstorm with Squall L Thunderstorm with Lightning # Thunderstorm with Hail
+ Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal +4.5 OC to +6.4OC) ++ Severe Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal ≥ +6.5OC)
-Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5 OC to -6.4OC) - -Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5OC)
Annex-III/ P.2
Sub-division-wise 5 days rainfall forecast from 20 May – 24 May 2022:
