GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE
(CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)
Room No. 443, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi Dated: 04.04.2022 SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OF THE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP
HELD 01.04.2022.
Summary Points of the CWWG meeting:
Lower pre-monsoon rainfall was observed during the week, as compared to Long Period Average (LPA) by 42%.
During the next week, rainfall activity is likely to be above normal over south peninsular India including Andaman & Nicobar Islands; near normal over many parts of northeast India.
The total live water storage in 140 reservoirs across the country is 45% of the storage capacity at full reservoirs level.
Soil moisture condition was good in some parts of North Eastern region and some Northern Region of the country, Madhya Pradesh, Karnataka, Maharashtra , A.P., Telangana, Tamil Nadu, Kerala.
Summer crops area sown is 52.90 lakh ha. which have shown increase as compared to last year, which is 49.14 lakh ha.
Overall major foodgrains prices remained stable during the last week.
Prices of Potato and tomato remained stable but onion has shown decline.
Out of 15 crops, the Wholesale Average Prices of 7 crops namely, Rice, Masur, Urad, Mustard, Soyabean, Sesamum and Sunflower show more than Rs. 1000 above MSP.
Details of each sector are given here under:
Subject: Weekly Status Report on Crop Prospects as on 01 April 2022.
Pre-Monsoon Rainfall Status (March – May) during the week ending 30 March, 2022 1.1 Rainfall
Rainfall during the week (24 March to 30 March 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 07 sub-divisions, normal in 04 sub-divisions, deficient/large deficient in 11 sub-divisions and 14 met sub-divisions received no rainfall. (Sub-Division wise weekly rainfall distribution is in Annex-I).
Cumulative rainfall (01 March to 30 March 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 05 met sub-divisions, normal in 04 sub-divisions, deficient/large deficient in 24 met sub-divisions and 03 met sub-divisions received no rainfall.. (Sub-division wise seasonal rainfall distribution is in Annex-II).
Table 1.1: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country:
0
LE: Large Excess, E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, LD: Large Deficient, NR: No Rain.
Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi
Table1.2: Category-wise Comparative Distribution of Sub-Division (Cumulative Rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for last 5 years (01 March 2022 to 30 March 2022)
No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall
For the period from 1 March to
29 MAR 2017
28 MAR 2018
27 MAR 2019
01 APR 2020
31 MAR 2021
30 MAR 2022 Large Excess
Excess Normal Total
07 08 05 20
07 01 04 12
01 03 04 08
18 07 02 27
03 02 05 10
03 02 04 09 Deficient
Large Deficient No rain
Total
08 05 03 16
04 18 02 24
14 12 02 28
03 06 00 09
06 17 03 26
05 19 03 27
Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00
TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36
All-India % Rainfall Deviation (-) 11% (-) 46% (-) 36% 46% (-) 45% (-) 72%
Source: IMD
Region of India Week Ending (30.03.2022) Cumulative (01.03.22 to 30.03.2022) (in mm) Deviation
(%) Category (in mm) Deviation
(%) Category
Actual Normal Actual Normal
East & North-East 20.5 19.2 7 N 24.6 59.9 -59 D
North-West 0.4 9.7 -96 LD 5.2 46.7 -89 LD
Central India 0.1 2.0 -95 LD 1.1 8.2 -86 LD
South Peninsula 4.8 3.8 27 E 12.1 13.9 -13 N
Country as a whole 4.4 7.5 -42 D 8.3 29.4 -72 LD
1.2 Weather Forecast
Week 1(31 March – 06 April, 2022)
Isolated heavy rainfall likely over Assam-Meghalaya & Arunachal Pradesh during 31st March, 01st, 03rd & 04th April and over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim on 03rd & 04th April; 2022.
Light to moderate isolated/scattered rainfall with very likely over Kerala-Mahe, Tamil Nadu- Puducherry-Karaikal and South Interior Karnataka during most days of the week.
Isolated thunderstorm/lightning activity also very likely over Tamil Nadu-Puducherry-Karaikal, Lakshadweep, Rayalaseema & South Interior Karnataka on 31st March and over Kerala & Mahe during next 4-5 days.
Dry weather very likely over remaining parts of the country during most days of the week.
Week 2 (07 – 13 April, 2022)
Due to trough/wind discontinuity over south Peninsula India, light/moderate isolated to scattered rainfall along with thunderstorm is likely over south Peninsular India during most days of the week.
Light to moderate scattered to fairly widespread rainfall with thunderstorm activity is also likely over northeast India during many days of the week.
Overall, rainfall activity is likely to be above normal over south Peninsular India including Andaman & Nicobar Islands; near normal over many parts of northeast India; below normal over rest parts of the country.
Maximum Temperature for week 1 & 2: (31 March – 13 April, 2022)
Gradual rise in maximum temperatures by 2-3⁰C very likely over most parts of Gujarat &
Maharashtra during 1st half of the week and no significant change thereafter.
No significant change in maximum temperatures very likely over most parts of East India during 1st half of the week and fall by 2-3⁰C thereafter.
No significant change in maximum temperatures very likely over rest parts of the country during most days of the week.
During the week 2, no significant change in maximum temperatures likely over most parts of the country as compared to week 1.
These are likely to be above normal by 3-5°C over most parts of Western Himalayan Region; by 2- 3°C over many parts of plains of northwest, east & adjoining central India and over Gujarat state. It is likely to be near normal or below normal over rest parts of India.
Heat wave at isolated pockets likely over plains of northeast India and over East &
adjoining Central India during the period.
II. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 31 March, 2022)
Central Water Commission monitors the live storage capacity of 140 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 175.96 BCM, which is about 68.25% of total reservoir capacity of 257.81 BCM in the country.
Live Storage in 140 major reservoirs decreased to 79.40 BCM from the previous week’s level of 83.52 BCM. Current year’s storage position is higher than last year’s storage position of 74.18 BCM and the average of last 10 year’s storage position of 62.05 BCM.
Table 2.1: For 140 major reservoirs of the country
Source: CWC
There were 119 reservoirs with more than 80% of normal storage, 13 reservoirs with storage between 51% to 80%, 05 reservoirs with storage between 31% to 50% and 03 reservoirs with storage upto 30%.
Source: Central Water Commission
State-wise details (Reservoir Position) are given in Annex IV.
Period Storage as % of FRL
Storage as % of Last Year
Storage as % of 10 Year’s Average Level
Current Week 45 107 128
Last Week 47 107 126
The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 42% on 31.03.2021, 51% on 31.03.2020, 30% on 31.03.2019 and 29% on 31.03.2018.
III. Fertilizer Position:
Table 3.1: Requirement, Receipt, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers (UREA, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP) during Rabi 2021 (As on 31.03.2022)
(In 000’ Tonnes) Availability/Sale/Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP Complex SSP
Opening Stock as on 01.10.2021 164 90 38 374 105
Requirement for Oct. 2021 to March 2022 17901 5873 1687 6086 3012
Estimated Requirement during March, 22 1275 448 235 685 268
Cumulative Receipt upto 31.03.2022 18134 4417 611 4530 2832
Cumulative Availability upto 31.03.2022 18298 4507 649 4904 2937
Cumulative Sales upto 31.03.2022 17856 4265 635 4609 2840
Closing Stock as on 31.03.2022 442 242 14 295 97
Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC&FW)/Department of Fertilizer
IV. Pest & Diseases:
An incidence of invasive thrips (Thripsparvispinus) and Eear head caterpillar (Helicoverpaarmigera) from Andhra Pradesh.
o Chilli Flower thrips and Cotton bollworm were reported at Low to Moderate intensity (Above ETL) from Guntur district of Andhra Pradesh.
Overall intensity of pests and diseases remained below Economic Threshold Level.
V. Seeds:
A requirement of 310.86 lakh quintals of certified/quality seed indicated by the State for Rabi 2021-22 in September, 2021. Against this, an all India availability of 333.75 lakh quintals certified/quality seed was reported. An overall surplus of 22.89 lakh quintals of seed is available for Rabi 2021-22.
There is sufficient availability of certified/quality seeds of all major Rabi crops for Rabi 2021- 22 except maize, buck wheat, peas, rajmash and lethyrus which will meet from National Seed Corporation Ltd., Farm Saved Seed and Private Seed Companies.
VI. Mandi Functioning
PRICE COMPARISON WITH MSP (on 25 March, 2021)
Agri produce sold below MSP: Nil.
Agri produce sold above MSP: Rice, Wheat, Arhar, Gram, Masur, Moong, Urad, Groundnut, Mustard, Soyabean, Sesamum and Sunflower.
VII. Progressive Procurement as on 01 April, 2022
Table 7.1: Rice
(In lakh tonnes)
State Progressive Procurement as on
01.04.2022 In Marketing season
2021-2022
In Marketing season 2020-2021
Andhra Pradesh 27.14 30.33
Telangana 46.00 32.66
Bihar 30.09 23.40
Chhattisgarh 61.65 39.76
Gujarat 0.82 0.74
Haryana 37.05 37.89
Kerala 2.26 2.54
Madhya Pradesh 30.70 24.97
Maharashtra 8.95 8.75
Odisha 38.92 42.79
Punjab 125.48 135.89
Tamil Nadu 19.88 18.26
Uttar Pradesh 43.91 44.78
Uttarakhand 7.75 7.12
West Bengal 14.96 10.76
All-India 503.42 466.23
Source: Food &PD
Annex-III/ P.I
Sub-division wise weekly rainfall Forecast for week 31 March – 06 April, 2022 for 36 Met Sub-Divisions:
METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST-2022
Sr. No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 31 MAR 01 APR 02 APR 03 APR 04 APR 05 APR 06 APR
1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS ISOL ISOL FWS L FWS L FWS WS WS
2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH WS L● FWS L● FWS WS● WS● FWS FWS
3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA FWS L● FWS L● FWS WS● WS● SCT SCT
4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA SCT L SCT L SCT FWS FWS SCT SCT 5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM FWS FWS FWS WS L● WS L● SCT SCT
6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY
7 ODISHA DRY+ DRY+ DRY ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY
8 JHARKHAND DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ ISOL DRY DRY DRY
9 BIHAR ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY
10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH DRY+ DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH DRY+ + DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY
12 UTTARAKHAND DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI DRY+ DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
14 PUNJAB DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
15 HIMACHAL PRADESH DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
16 JAMMU & KASHMIR AND LADAKH DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL DRY DRY 17 WEST RAJASTHAN DRY+ + DRY+ + DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY 18 EAST RAJASTHAN DRY+ + DRY+ + DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY 19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH DRY+ + DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY 20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH DRY+ + DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY
21 GUJARAT REGION DRY DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY
22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY DRY DRY
23 KONKAN & GOA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL DRY
24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY DRY ISOL DRY
25 MARATHAWADA DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY DRY DRY
26 VIDARBHA DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY DRY
27 CHHATTISGARH DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY DRY DRY
28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL DRY
29 TELANGANA DRY DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY ISOL DRY
30 RAYALASEEMA ISOL L DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
32 COASTAL KARNATAKA ISOL DRY DRY DRY ISOL ISOL ISOL
33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL DRY
34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
35 KERALA & MAHE SCT L SCT L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L SCT SCT
36 LAKSHADWEEP SCT L SCT DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
LEGENDS:
WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL
●Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)
F Fog * Snowfall DDust storm $Thunderstorm with Squall L Thunderstorm with Lightning # Thunderstorm with Hail
+ Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal +4.5 OC to +6.4OC) ++ Severe Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal ≥ +6.5OC)
Annex-III/ P.2
Sub-division-wise 5 days rainfall forecast from 01 April – 05 April 2022:
