storage in 140 reservoirs in different parts of the country on the week ending

GOVERNMENT OF INDIA

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE

(CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)

Room No. 443, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi Dated: 14.02.2022

SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OFTHE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP HELD 11.02.2022.

Week Summary

 During the week higher winter rainfall was observed. The total live

storage in 140 reservoirs in different parts of the country on the week ending

10.02.2022 was 109.77 Billion Cubic Meter, which is 62% of the storage capacity

at full reservoirs level. Overall prices remained stable during the week except

for potato, which has shown marginal decline. Summer crops sowing are

expected to pick up from end of February. Details of each sector are given here

under:

Subject: Weekly Status Report on Crop Prospects as on 11 February 2022.

Winter Rainfall Status (January – February) during the week ending 09 February, 2022

1.1 Rainfall

 Rainfall during the week (03 February to 09 February 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 18 sub-divisions, deficient/large deficient in 06 sub-divisions and 12 met sub-divisions received no rainfall. (Sub-Division wise weekly rainfall distribution is in Annex-I).

 Cumulative rainfall (01 January to 09 February 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 27 met sub-divisions, normal in 02 sub-divisions and deficient/large deficient in 07 met sub-divisions.

(Sub-division wise seasonal rainfall distribution is in Annex-II).

Table 1.1: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country:

0

LE: Large Excess, E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, LD: Large Deficient, NR: No Rain.

Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi

Table1.2: Category-wise Comparative Distribution of Sub-Division (Cumulative Rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for last 5 years (01 January 2022 to 09 February 2022)

No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall

For the period from 1 January to

08 FEB 2017

07 FEB 2018

06 FEB 2019

12 FEB 2020

10 FEB 2021

09 FEB 2022 Large Excess

Excess Normal Total

05 06 03 14

01 00 00 01

05 02 07 14

08 07 04 19

11 01 04 16

25 02 02 29 Deficient

Large Deficient No rain

Total

04 12 06 22

03 17 15 35

04 12 06 22

09 05 03 17

06 13 01 20

00 07 00 07

Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00

TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36

All-India % Rainfall Deviation 29% (-) 85% (-) 12% 23% (-) 10% 108%

Source: IMD

Region of India Week Ending (09.02.2022) Cumulative (01.01.22 to 09.02.2022) (in mm) Deviation

(%) Category (in mm) Deviation

(%) Category

Actual Normal Actual Normal

North-West 11.5 8.6 34 E 90.0 44.0 105 LE

Central India 2.0 2.0 0 N 24.7 10.1 145 LE

South Peninsula 0.3 1.5 -82 LD 20.1 10.0 101 LE

East & North-East 27.5 8.0 244 LE 55.8 28.8 94 LE

Country as a whole 8.7 4.9 77 LE 48.8 23.5 108 LE

1.2 Weather Forecast

Week 1(10 – 16 February, 2022)

 Isolated to scattered light rainfall/snowfall very likely over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit- Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand on 13th & 14th February, 2022.

 Isolated to scattered rainfall very likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Kerala &

Mahe, Lakshadweep and Andaman & Nicobar Islands during most days of the week. Isolated thunderstorm accompanied with lightning also likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe during 1^st half of the week.

 Dry weather very likely over remaining parts of the country during most days of the week.

 Overall rainfall activity is very likely to be below normal over Western Himalayan Region

& adjoining plains and above normal over extreme south Peninsular India.

Week 2 (17 – 23 February, 2022)

 Scattered to fairly widespread light/moderate rainfall/snowfall very likely over Western Himalayan Region and light isolated to scattered over plains of northwest India during 1st half of the week.

 Light/moderate isolated to scattered rainfall/thundershower is likely over east & northeast India during 2nd half of the week and over extreme south Peninsular India during most days of the week.

 Overall precipitation activity is likely to be below normal over most parts of Western Himalayan Region; normal to above normal over east & northeast India and extreme south Peninsular India.

Minimum Temperature for week 1 & 2: (10-23 February, 2022)

 Cold Day to Severe Cold Day conditions very likely in isolated pockets of Uttar Pradesh during next 2 days and Cold Day conditions very likely in isolated pockets over Uttarakhand during next 2 days.

 Dense to Very Dense Fog Conditions very likely in isolated pockets during night/morning hours:

o over Uttar Pradesh during most days of the week;

o over Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand & northeast Rajasthan during next 24 hours; and o over Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi during night/morning hours of 13^th -15^th

February,2022.

 No significant cold wave is likely over any parts of the country during week 1.

 There is likely gradual rise in minimum temperatures over most parts of the country as compare to week 1.

 These are likely to be below normal by 1-3°C over most parts of the country except south Peninsular India, where these are likely to be above normal by 1-3°C.

 No significant cold wave is likely over any parts of the country.

II. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 10 February, 2022)

 Central Water Commission monitors the live storage capacity of 140 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 175.96 BCM, which is about 68.25% of total reservoir capacity of 257.81 BCM in the country.

 Live Storage in 140 major reservoirs decreased to 109.77 BCM from the previous week’s level of 113.06 BCM. Current year’s storage position is higher than last year’s storage position of 105.14 BCM and higher than the average of last 10 year’s storage position of 85.93 BCM.

Table 2.1: For 140 major reservoirs of the country

Source: CWC

 There were 121 reservoirs with more than 80% of normal storage, 12 reservoirs with storage between 51% to 80%, 06 reservoirs with storage between 31% to 50% and 01 reservoir with storage upto 30%.

Source: Central Water Commission

 State-wise details (Reservoir Position) are given in Annex IV.

Period Storage as % of FRL

Storage as % of Last Year

Storage as % of 10 Year’s Average Level

Current Week 62 104 128

Last Week 64 103 125

The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 60% on 10.02.2021, 66% on 10.02.2020, 42% on 10.02.2019 and 42% on 10.02.2018.

III. Fertilizer Position:

Table 3.1: Requirement, Receipt, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers (UREA, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP) during Rabi 2021 (As on 10.02.2022)

(In 000’ Tonnes) Availability/Sale/Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP Complex SSP

Opening Stock as on 01.10.2021 4269 1460 656 2787 1729

Requirement for Oct. 2021 to March 2022 17901 5873 1687 6086 3012 Estimated Requirement during February, 22 1985 406 222 786 294

Cumulative Receipt upto 31.01.2022 12998 3751 466 3564 2020

Cumulative Availability upto 31.01.2022 17267 5211 1122 6350 3749

Cumulative Sales upto 31.01.2022 14077 4359 822 4905 2485

Closing Stock as on 31.01.2022 3190 852 300 1445 1264

Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC&FW)/Department of Fertilizer

IV. Pest & Diseases:

 An incidence of invasive thrip( Thrips Parvispinus) from Telangana.

o Chilli Flower thrips were reported at Moderate to Severe intensity (Above ETL) from Yadadri- Buhvangiri and Jangaon districts of Telangana.

 Overall intensity of pests and diseases remained below Economic Threshold Level.

V. Seeds:

 A requirement of 310.86 lakh quintals of certified/quality seed indicated by the State for Rabi 2021-22 in September, 2021. Against this, an all India availability of 333.75 lakh quintals certified/quality seed was reported. An overall surplus of 22.89 lakh quintals of seed is available for Rabi 2021-22.

 There is sufficient availability of certified/quality seeds of all major Rabi crops for Rabi 2021- 22 except maize, buck wheat, peas, rajmash and lethyrus which will meet from National Seed Corporation Ltd., Farm Saved Seed and Private Seed Companies.

VI. Mandi Functioning

 PRICE COMPARISON WITH MSP (on 09 February, 2021)

 Agri produce sold below MSP: Bajra, Maize, Jowar, Ragi, Arhar, Gram, Urad, Moong and Safflower.

 Agri produce sold above MSP: Wheat, Paddy, Barley, Masur, Copra, Groundnut, Mustard, Sesamum, Soyabean, Sunflower, Toria, Cotton and Jute.

VII. All-India Crop Situation Rabi (2021-22) as on 04.02.2022(Final)

Table 7.1

(In lakh ha.)

Crop Name

Normal Area for whole Rabi

Season

Area sown reported

Absolute Change This Year

2021-22

% of Normal for whole

season

Last Year 2020-21

Wheat 303.06 343.26 113.3 346.10 -2.84

Rice 42.51 35.19 82.8 42.67 -7.48

Jowar 31.75 24.56 77.3 27.60 -3.04

Maize 18.15 19.31 106.3 17.50 1.80

Barley 6.14 6.80 110.6 6.20 0.60

Total Coarse Cereals 56.05 51.31 91.6 52.03 -0.72

Total Cereals 401.62 429.77 107.0 440.80 -11.03

Gram 95.66 114.95 120.2 110.38 4.57

Lentil 13.90 17.71 127.4 16.91 0.80

Peas 7.98 10.18 127.5 10.38 -0.20

Kulthi(Horse Gram) 2.00 3.71 185.2 3.89 -0.17

Urad 9.07 8.17 90.0 8.33 -0.17

Moong 9.98 5.13 51.3 7.03 -1.90

Lathyrus 3.62 3.49 96.6 3.13 0.36

Others 4.44 4.94 111.2 6.05 -1.11

Total Pulses 146.67 168.27 114.7 166.10 2.17

Total Foodgrains 548.29 598.04 109.1 606.91 -8.87

Rapeseed & Mustard 61.55 91.63 148.9 73.12 18.51

Groundnut 7.05 5.27 74.7 5.18 0.09

Safflower 0.90 0.76 83.7 0.58 0.18

Sunflower 1.86 1.19 64.0 1.09 0.11

Linseed 2.53 2.95 116.6 2.80 0.16

Total Oilseeds (Nine) 73.91 102.79 139.1 83.69 19.10

All Crops 622.20 700.83 112.6 690.60 10.24

Source: Crops Division, DAC&FW and AS Division, DES (Normal area)

VIII. Progressive Procurement as on 11 February, 2022

Table 8.1: Rice

(In lakh tonnes)

State Progressive Procurement as on

11.02.2022 In Marketing season

2021-2022

In Marketing season 2020-2021

Andhra Pradesh 21.27 24.01

Telangana 47.05 32.67

Bihar 23.26 19.10

Chhattisgarh 61.65 39.76

Gujarat 0.82 0.74

Haryana 37.05 37.89

Kerala 1.49 1.31

Madhya Pradesh 30.72 24.97

Maharashtra 8.77 4.74

Odisha 29.91 34.25

Punjab 125.19 135.86

Tamil Nadu 8.68 6.90

Uttar Pradesh 42.24 43.51

Uttarakhand 7.75 6.79

West Bengal 3.72 4.44

All-India 452.26 420.43

Source: Food &PD

Annex-III/ P.I

Sub-division wise weekly rainfall Forecast for week 10 Feb – 16 Feb, 2022 for 36 Met Sub-Divisions:

METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST-2022

Sr. No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 10 FEB

2022

11 FEB 2022

12 FEB 2022

13 FEB 2022

14 FEB 2022

15 FEB 2022

16 FEB 2022

1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS SCT SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL FWS WS

2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH FWS FWS ISOL DRY DRY DRY ISOL

3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA SCT SCT ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY

4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA ISOL ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM SCT SCT ISOL DRY ISOL DRY DRY

6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL SCT DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

7 ODISHA ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

8 JHARKHAND ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL

9 BIHAR ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH DRY ^F DRY ^F DRY ^F DRY ^F DRY ^F ISOL DRY

11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH DRY DRY DRY ^F DRY ^F DRY ^F ISOL DRY

12 UTTARAKHAND DRY ^F DRY DRY DRY ISOL ISOL ISOL

13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI DRY DRY DRY ^F DRY ^F DRY ^F DRY DRY

14 PUNJAB DRY DRY DRY ^F DRY ^F DRY ^F DRY DRY

15 HIMACHAL PRADESH DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL ISOL ISOL

16 JAMMU & KASHMIR AND LADAKH DRY DRY DRY ISOL SCT SCT ISOL

17 WEST RAJASTHAN DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

18 EAST RAJASTHAN DRY ^F DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL DRY

21 GUJARAT REGION DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

23 KONKAN & GOA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

25 MARATHAWADA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

26 VIDARBHA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL DRY

27 CHHATTISGARH DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL

28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

29 TELANGANA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

30 RAYALASEEMA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL ISOL SCT SCT ISOL ISOL DRY DRY

32 COASTAL KARNATAKA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

35 KERALA & MAHE ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL

36 LAKSHADWEEP DRY SCT SCT SCT SCT DRY DRY

LEGENDS:

WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL

●Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ^●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ^●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)

F Fog ^H Hail * Snowfall

^-Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5 ^OC to -6.4^OC) ^{- -}Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5^OC)

Annex-III/ P.2

Sub-division-wise 5 days rainfall forecast from 11 Feb – 15 Feb 2022: