F. No. 3-1/ 2015-16-CFCC-E&S GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, COOPERATION AND FARMERS WELFARE (CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)
Room No. 344-A, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi Dated: 12.01.2016
SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OF THE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP HELD ON 08.01.2016.
Summary observations of the Group on Agenda Items
Details of the mean maximum and minimum temperature during the week 31st December, 2015 to 06th January, 2016 were as under:-
Maximum Temperature
Above normal by 4 to 6oC over many parts of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Marathwada, Vidarbha, isolated pockets of Punjab, Haryana, Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Telangana and North Interior Karnataka and by 2 to 4 oC over the country except Mizoram, Tripura, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, many parts of Jammu & Kashmir, West Bengal & Sikkim, Odisha, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, some parts of Bihar, South Interior Karnataka and isolated pockets of Assam, Telangana, Konkan, Madhya Maharashtra and North Interior Karnataka.
Normal to near normal in remaining parts of the country.
Minimum Temperature
Above normal by 4 to 6oC over some parts of West Rajasthan and isolated pockets of Kutch and by 2 to 4 oC over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, many parts of Uttarakhand, West Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Saurashtra & Kutch, Gujarat, West Madhya Pradesh, some parts of Himachal Pradesh, Haryana, Delhi, East Uttar Pradesh and isolated pockets of Odisha, Chhattisgarh, East Madhya Pradesh and Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Telangana.
Below normal by 2 to 4oC over isolated pockets of Rayalaseema, South Interior Karnataka, Kerala and Tamil Nadu.
Normal to near normal in remaining parts of the country.
In the winter season, weekly Rainfall for the country as a whole during the week 31st December, 2015 to 06th January, 2016 was 68% lower than Long Period Average (LPA). Rainfall (% departure from LPA) in the four broad geographical divisions of the country during the above period was lower by 96% in East & North East India, 44% in North West India, 100% in Central India and 99% in South Peninsula.
The cumulative rainfall in the country during the post monsoon season i.e. 01st October to 31st December, 2015 was 23% lower than Long Period Average (LPA). Rainfall (% departure from LPA) in the four broad geographical divisions of the country during the above period was lower by 58% in East & North East India, 26% in North West India and 63 in Central India. However, in South Peninsula has been higher by 16%.
Out of 36 met sub-divisions, 10 met sub-divisions constituting 22% of the total area of the country has received excess/normal rainfall and 26 met sub-divisions constituting 78% of the total area of the country has received deficient/scanty rainfall. Central Water Commission monitors 91 major reservoirs in the country which have total live capacity of 157.80 BCM at Full Reservoir Level (FRL). Current live storage in these reservoirs as 07th January, 2016 was 69.59 BCM as against 89.41 BCM on 07.01.2015 (last year) and 92.20 BCM of normal (average storage of the last 10 years) storage. Current year’s storage is 78% of the last year’s storage and 75% of the normal storage.
As per latest information available on sowing of Rabi crops, around 91% of the normal area under Rabi crops has been sown upto 08.01.2016. Area sown under all Rabi crops taken together has been reported to be 564.98 lakh hectares at All India level as compared to 582.46 lakh hectares in the corresponding period of last year.
Availability position of seeds and fertilizers has been found satisfactory.
1. Post Monsoon Season (October – December) during the week ending on 06th January, 2016
Sub-division-wise daily distribution of rainfall and minimum temperature are shown in Table-1.1
Rainfall during the week (31st December, 2015 to 06th January, 2016) Rainfall was normal in 01, deficient/scanty in 07 and no rain in 28 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions.
Cumulative rainfall (01st October to 31st December, 2015) Rainfall was excess/normal in 10 and deficient/scanty in 26 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions.
Table-1.2: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country1
E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, S: Scanty, NR: No Rain.
Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi
Table – 1.3: Category wise comparative distribution of Sub-division (cumulative rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for the last five years since: 1st October to
Source: IMD
1. North-west India - Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi, Punjab, Uttaranchal, Himachal Pradesh, and Jammu and Kashmir.
Central India - Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra and Gujarat
SouthPeninsula - Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu & Pondicherry, Kerala and Lakshadweep.
North-east India - Bihar, Jharkhand, Orissa, West Bengal, Sikkim, Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, and Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
Region Week Ending (06.01.2016) Cumulative (01.10.15 to 31.12.15) (in mm) Devi-
ation (%)
Cat. (in mm) Devi-
ation (%)
Cate- gory
Actual Normal Actual Normal
North-West India 3.2 5.7 -44 D 46.1 62.7 -26 D
Central India 0.0 1.3 -100 NR 29.2 79.6 -63 S
South Peninsular India 0.0 1.9 -99 S 317.9 273.3 16 N East & North-East India 0.1 2.8 -96 S 71.2 171.4 -58 D
Country as a whole 1.0 3.1 -68 S 97.8 127.2 -23 D
No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall
For the period from 1st October to 31 DEC
2010
31 DEC 2011
31 DEC 2012
31 DEC 2013
31 DEC 2014
31 DEC 2015 Excess
Normal Total
18 07 25
01 06 07
02 13 15
16 06 22
02 10 12
05 05 10 Deficient
Scanty No rain Total
10 01 00 11
05 23 01 29
09 12 00 21
13 01 00 14
13 11 00 24
08 18 00 26
Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00
TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36
All-India % Rainfall Deviation
21% (-) 48% (-) 21% 18 (-) 33% (-) 23%
Table: 1.1
2. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 07.01.2016)
The Central Water Commission monitors the live storage of 91 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 157.80 billion cubic meters (BCM), which is about 62% of total reservoir capacity in the country.
Water stock in 91 major reservoirs decreased to 69.59 BCM from the previous week’s level of 72.10 BCM. Current storage is lower than the last year’s position of 89.41 BCM and the average of last 10 year’s storage of 92.20 BCM.
Table – 2.1 : For 91 major reservoirs of the country Period Current Year’s
Storage as % of FRL*
Current Year’s storage as % of last year
Current year as a % of 10 years average level
Current Week Last Week
44 46
78 79
75 75
The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 57% on 07/01/2015, 62% on 07/01/2014, 54% on 07/01/2013 and 61% on 07/01/2012.
* Live storage as % to Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 157.80 Billion Cub. Mts.(BCM) Source: CWC
There were 41 reservoirs having storage more than 80%, 27 reservoirs having storage between 50% to 80% of Normal Storage, 08 reservoir having storage between 30% to 50%, 15 reservoir having storage 30% of Normal Storage and 02 reservoir having no live storage.
Source: Central Water Commission
3. Fertilizer Position:
Table – 3.1: Requirement, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers Urea, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP during Rabi 2015 (As on 07.01.2016)
(in ‘000 Tonnes) Availability / Sale / Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP Complex SSP Opening Stock as on 01.10.2015 289 930 260 840 340 Requirement for Rabi, 2015 15974 5151 1785 5353 3248 Requirement upto January, 2016 2811 471 277 751 517 Availability upto 07.01.2016 9584 3527 883 3240 1440
Sales upto 07.01.2016 8792 2462 631 2212 1082
Closing Stock upto 07.01.2016 792 1065 252 1028 358
` Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC) / Deptt. of Fertilizer
4. Pest & Diseases:
Incidence of Red rot disease on Sugarcane has been reported in trace to moderate intensity in Cuddalore district of Tamilnadu state covering about 327 hectares. Incidence of brown plant hopper pest on Rice crop has been reported in trace to moderate intensity in nagapattinam district of Tamilnadu state covering about 27 hectares areas.
Incidence of spotted pod borer (Maruca testulatis) in Pulse crops like blackgram and greengram has been reported damaging crops considerable in few districts of Andhra Pradesh.
Incidence of Helicoverpa armigera pest on Arhar crop was reported in trace to moderate intensity in Dhamdha block of Durg district of Chhattisgarh state covering 40 hectares area. The crop stage was at flowering to pod initiation.
An advisory issued to Gujarat state regarding Incidence of Pink bollworm (PBW) on Bt (Bollgard II) cotton crop has been reported in low to moderate intensity in Baroda, Saurashtra, & adjacent regions of Gujarat Farmers may be advised to terminate Cotton crop in December without extending it any further. Further farmers are also advised not to store stalks, residues and infested seeds. Stalks and residues may be decomposed instead of burning of crop residues. If seeds are infested, these may be destroyed immediately. Farmers should ensure clean Cotton that is picked and stored in clean cloth bags. Farmers are also advised to avoid usage of gunny bags to prevent contamination of the Cotton.
Ginning mills were also advised to destroy the remains and infested seed of cotton.
General advisories have been issued to state Governments and CIPMCs for continuous monitoring of Yellow Rust diseases on Wheat crop in wheat growing areas of Haryana, Punjab, Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh along with the monitoring of Aphids and White rust on Mustard growing areas on mustard in crop.
Incidence of yellow rust in wheat crop has been reported in trace intensity in few fields of Brahampur Upper, Upper Dabkheda, Nagliwara & Patti blocks of Anandpur Sahib of Ropar district of Punjab.
No shortage of Chemical / Bio-pesticides was reported from any State / UT.
