F. No. 3-1/ 2015-16-CFCC-E&S GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, COOPERATION AND FARMERS WELFARE (CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)
Room No. 344-A, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi Dated: 16.12.2015
SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OF THE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP HELD ON 11.12.2015.
Summary observations of the Group on Agenda Items
Details of the mean maximum and minimum temperature during the week 03rd December to 09th December, 2015, were as under:-
Maximum Temperature
Above normal by 2 to 4oC over East Rajasthan, Marathwada, many parts of West Rajasthan, Haryana & Delhi, Central India, Jharkhand, Gujarat, Telangana, Madhya Maharashtra, Vidarbha, some parts of West Uttar Pradesh, Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Konkan and isolated pockets of Punjab, East Uttar Pradesh and North Interior Karnataka.
Below normal by 2 to 4oC over isolated pockets of Tamil Nadu.
Normal to near normal in remaining parts of the country.
Minimum Temperature
Above normal by 4 to 6oC over many parts of Bihar, Gangetic West Bengal, some parts of Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and isolated pockets of East Uttar Pradesh and Jharkhnad and by 2 to 4oC over Uttarakhand, Jharkhand, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, many parts of Himachal Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Sub-Himachal Pradesh West Bengal & Sikkim, Nagaland, Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Telangana, Madhya Maharashtra, Kerala, Andaman &
Nicobar Islands, some parts of Punjab, Haryana, West Rajasthan, West Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Marathwada, Tamil Nadu and isolated pockets of East Rajasthan, Gangetic West Bengal, Gujarat State, East Madhya Pradesh and Interior Karnataka. .
Normal to near normal in remaining parts of the country.
In the post monsoon season, weekly Rainfall for the country as a whole during the week 03rd December to 09th December, 2015 was 30% higher than Long Period Average (LPA). Rainfall (%
departure from LPA) in the four broad geographical divisions of the country during the above period was higher by 357% in East & North East India, 66% in South Peninsula and lower by 87%
in North West India and 94% in Central India.
The cumulative rainfall in the country during the post monsoon season i.e. 01st October to 09th December, 2015 was 21% lower than Long Period Average (LPA). Rainfall (% departure from LPA) in the four broad geographical divisions of the country during the above period was lower by 59% in East & North East India, 21% in North West India, 65% in Central India. However, in South Peninsula has been higher by 21%.
Out of 36 met sub-divisions, 10 met sub-divisions constituting 22% of the total area of the country has received excess/normal rainfall and 26 met sub-divisions constituting 78% of the total area of the country has received deficient/scanty rainfall. Central Water Commission monitors 91 major reservoirs in the country which have total live capacity of 157.80 BCM at Full Reservoir Level (FRL). Current live storage in these reservoirs as on 10th December, 2015 was 80.26 BCM as against 100.39 BCM on 10.12.2014 (last year) and 105.05 BCM of normal (average storage of the last 10 years) storage. Current year’s storage is 80% of the last year’s storage and 76% of the normal storage.
As per latest information available on sowing of Rabi crops, around 71.2% of the normal area under Rabi crops has been sown upto 11.12.2015. Area sown under all Rabi crops taken together has been reported to be 442.33 lakh hectares at All India level as compared to 486.69 lakh hectares in the corresponding period of last year.
Availability position of seeds and fertilizers has been found satisfactory.
1. Post Monsoon Season (October–December) during the week ending on 09th December, 2015
Sub-division-wise daily distribution of rainfall and minimum temperature are shown in Table-1.1
Rainfall during the week (03rd December, 2015 to 09th December, 2015) Rainfall was excess/normal in 11 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions, deficient/scanty in 13 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions and no rain in 12 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions.
Cumulative rainfall (01st October to 09th December, 2015) Rainfall was excess/normal in 10 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions and deficient/scanty in 26 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions.
Table-1.2: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country1
E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, S: Scanty, NR: No Rain.
Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi
Table – 1.3: Category wise comparative distribution of Sub-division (cumulative rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for the last five years since: 1st October to
Source: IMD
1. North-west India - Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi, Punjab, Uttaranchal, Himachal Pradesh, and Jammu and Kashmir.
Central India - Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra and Gujarat
SouthPeninsula - Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu & Pondicherry, Kerala and Lakshadweep.
North-east India - Bihar, Jharkhand, Orissa, West Bengal, Sikkim, Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, and Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
Region Week Ending (09.12.2015) Cumulative (01.10.15 to 09.12.15) (in mm) Devi-
ation (%)
Cat. (in mm) Devi-
ation (%)
Cate- gory
Actual Normal Actual Normal
North-West India 0.3 2.3 -87 S 35.7 45.3 -21 D
Central India 0.1 1.9 -94 S 26.9 76.1 -65 S
South Peninsular India 19.6 11.8 66 E 309.0 256.2 21 E East & North-East India 5.9 1.3 357 E 66.2 160.3 -59 D
Country as a whole 4.9 3.8 30 E 91.3 115.7 -21 D
No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall
For the period from 1st October to 08 DEC
2010
07 DEC 2011
12 DEC 2012
11 DEC 2013
10 DEC 2014
09 DEC 2015 Excess
Normal Total
19 03 22
01 05 06
02 14 16
18 06 24
01 09 10
06 04 10 Deficient
Scanty No rain Total
09 05 00 14
06 23 01 30
07 13 00 20
12 00 00 12
11 15 00 26
08 18 00 26
Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00
TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36
All-India % Rainfall Deviation
22% (-) 48% (-) 21% 25% (-) 35% (-) 21%
Table: 1.1
2. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 10.12.2015)
The Central Water Commission monitors the live storage of 91 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 157.80 billion cubic meters (BCM), which is about 74% of total reservoir capacity in the country.
Water stock in 91 major reservoirs decreased to 80.26 BCM from the previous week’s level of 81.11 BCM. Current storage is lower than the last year’s position of 100.39 BCM and the average of last 10 year’s storage of 105.05 BCM.
Table – 2.1 : For 91 major reservoirs of the country Period Current Year’s
Storage as % of FRL*
Current Year’s storage as % of last year
Current year as a % of 10 years average level
Current Week Last Week
51 59
80 84
76 84
The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 64% on 10/12/2014, 69% on 10/12/2013, 62%
on 10/12/2012 and 69% on 10/12/2011.
* Live storage as % to Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 157.80 Billion Cub. Mts.(BCM) Source: CWC
There were 41 reservoirs having storage more than 80%, 25 reservoirs having storage between 50% to 80% of Normal Storage, 11 reservoir having storage between 30% to 50%, 14 reservoir having storage 30% of Normal Storage and 02 reservoir having no live storage.
Source: Central Water Commission
3. Fertilizer Position:
Table – 3.1: Requirement, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers Urea, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP during Rabi 2015 (As on 10.12.2015)
(in ‘000 Tonnes) Availability / Sale / Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP Complex SSP Opening Stock as on 01.10.2015 289 930 260 840 340 Requirement for Rabi, 2015 15974 5151 1785 5353 3248 Requirement upto December, 2015 3465 846 327 896 676 Availability upto 10.12.2015 6799 2860 690 2569 1158
Sales upto 10.12.2015 5854 1700 327 1432 736
Closing Stock upto 10.12.2015 945 1160 363 1137 422 Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC) / Deptt. of Fertilizer
4. Pest & Diseases:
Incidence of Red rot disease on Sugarcane has been reported in trace to moderate intensity in Cuddalore district of Tamilnadu state covering about 200 hectare area.
Pink bollworm (PBW) on Bt (Bollgard II) cotton crop has been reported in Saurashtra, & adjacent regions of Gujarat state. In general the infestation of Pink Bollworm damaged the crop considerably in few villages of Vadodra, Anand, Panchmahal, Chhota Udaipur, Narmada, Bharuch, Bhavnagar, Ahmedabad & Khera Districts suggesting that resistance of Bt (Bollgard II) cotton to Pink bollworm has been broken. However, survey team headed by Plant Protection Adviser has visited to the infested area to assess the damage caused by Pink bollworm on cotton crop in Saurashtra of Gujarat region. Team reported that where the second picking has begun, the infestation was high in open bolls and green bolls. The CICR recommended one spray of cypermethrin or fenvelerate or lamda-cyhalothrin to prevent further infestation of green bolls.
No shortage of Chemical / Bio-pesticides was reported from any State / UT.
