F. No. 3-1/ 2016-17-CFCC-E&S GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, COOPERATION AND FARMERS WELFARE (CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)
Room No. 344-A, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi Dated: 02.08.2016
SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OF THE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP HELD ON 29.07.2016.
Summary observations of the Group on Agenda Items
Details of the mean maximum and minimum temperature during the week 21st July, 2016 to 27th July, 2016 were as under:-
Maximum Temperature
Above normal by 4 to 60C over some parts of West Rajasthan and by 2 to 40C over Kutch, many parts of Rajasthan, some parts of Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Madhya Pradesh, Saurashtra, Gujarat region and isolated pockets of Jammu Kashmir, Uttar Pradesh, Kerala.
Normal to near normal over rest of the country except Arunachal Pradesh, many parts of Assam, Nagaland and isolated pockets of Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim where it was below normal by 2 to 40C.
Minimum Temperature
Above normal by 2 to 40C over some parts of West Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana.
Normal to near normal over rest of the country except some parts of Jammu & Kashmir, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Odisha and isolated pockets of Coastal Andhra Pradesh where it was below normal by 2 to 40C.
In the monsoon season, weekly Rainfall for the country as a whole during the week 21st July, 2016 to 27th July, 2016 has been 4% lower than Long Period Average (LPA). Rainfall (%
departure from LPA) in the four broad geographical divisions of the country during the above period has been higher by 22% in East & North East India, 4% in South Peninsula and lower by 22% in North West India, 11% in Central India.
The cumulative rainfall in the country during the monsoon season i.e. 01st June, 2016 to 27th July, 2016 has been equal to Long Period Average (LPA). Rainfall (% departure from LPA) in the four broad geographical divisions of the country during the above period has been higher than LPA by 9% in Central India, 2% in South Peninsula, equal to LPA in North West India and lower by 12%in East & North East India.
Out of 36 met sub-divisions, 28 met sub-divisions constituting 80% of the total area of the country has received excess/normal rainfall, 8 met sub-divisions constituting 20% of the total area of the country has received deficient/scanty rainfall. Central Water Commission monitors 91 major reservoirs in the country which have total live capacity of 157.80 BCM at Full Reservoir Level (FRL). Current live storage in these reservoirs as on 28th July, 2016 was 59.37 BCM as against 68.45 BCM on 28.07.2015 (last year) and 63.13 BCM of Normal (average storage of the last 10 years) storage. Current year’s storage is 87% of the last year’s storage and 94% of the normal storage.
As per latest information available on sowing of Kharif crops, around 75% of the normal area under Kharif crops has been sown upto 29.07.2016. Total area sown under Kharif crops in the country as on 29.07.2016 has been reported to be 799.51 lakh hectares as compared to 752.29 lakh hectares last year. This year’s area coverage so far is higher by 47.2 lakh ha. than normal as on date.
Area coverage under rice is higher by 6.2 lakh ha. than the last year.
Area coverage under wheat is higher by 9.8 lakh ha. than the last year.
Area coverage under pulses is higher by 32.1 lakh ha. than the last year and by 33.6 lakh ha. than normal as on date. This is due to higher coverage in Tur, Urad and Moong.
Area coverage under Kharif coarse cereals has been higher by 5.9 lakh ha as compared to last year.
Area coverage under total Kharif Oilseeds is higher by 11.8 lakh ha. than the last year and by 14.7 lakh ha. than normal as on date.
Area coverage under Cotton is lower by 9.6 lakh ha. than the last year.
Availability position of seeds and fertilizers has been found satisfactory.
1. Monsoon Season (June – September) during the week ending on 27th July, 2016
Sub-division-wise weekly rainfall forecast & weather warning is shown in Table-1.1
Rainfall during the week (21st July, 2016 to 27th July, 2016) Rainfall was excess/normal in 22, deficient/scanty in 14 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions.
Cumulative rainfall (01st June, 2016 to 27th July, 2016) Rainfall was excess/normal in 28, deficient in 08 out of 36 meteorological sub-division.
Table-1.2: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country1
E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, S: Scanty, NR: No Rain.
Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi
Table – 1.3: Category wise comparative distribution of Sub-division (cumulative rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for the last five years since: 1st June to
Source: IMD
Sub-division-wise 5 days rainfall forecast from 01st Aug., 16 to 05th Aug, 16 is shown in Table 1.4
1. North-west India - Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi, Punjab, Uttaranchal, Himachal Pradesh, and Jammu and Kashmir.
Central India - Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra and Gujarat
SouthPeninsula - Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu & Pondicherry, Kerala and Lakshadweep.
North-east India - Bihar, Jharkhand, Orissa, West Bengal, Sikkim, Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, and Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
Region Week Ending (27.07.2016) Cumulative (01.06.16 to 27.07.16) (in mm) Devi-
ation (%)
Cat. (in mm) Devi-
ation (%)
Cate- gory
Actual Normal Actual Normal
North-West India 42.5 54.4 -22 D 258.9 257.7 0 N
Central India 65.9 74.2 -11 N 485.3 445.1 9 N
South Peninsular India 55.8 53.6 4 N 359.6 350.9 2 N East & North-East India 116.0 95.3 22 E 647.9 735.9 -12 N
Country as a whole 64.7 67.3 -4 N 416.9 415.3 0 N
No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall
For the period from 1st June to 27 JUL
2011
25 JUL 2012
24 JUL 2013
30 JUL 2014
29 JUL 2015
27 JUL 2016 Excess
Normal Total
06 22 28
01 13 14
18 11 29
00 15 15
06 20 26
11 17 28 Deficient
Scanty No rain Total
08 00 00 08
18 04 00 22
07 00 00 07
21 00 00 21
10 00 00 10
08 00 00 08
Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00
TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36
All-India % Rainfall Deviation
(-) 4% (-) 22% 16% (-) 23% (-) 3% 0%
Table: 1.1
Table: 1.4
2. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 28.07.2016)
The Central Water Commission monitors the live storage of 91 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 157.80 billion cubic meters (BCM), which is about 62% of total reservoir capacity in the country.
Water stock in 91 major reservoirs increased to 59.37 BCM from the previous week’s level of 54.37 BCM. Current storage is lower than the last year’s position of 68.45 BCM and average of last 10 year’s storage of 63.13 BCM.
Table – 2.1 : For 91 major reservoirs of the country Period Current Year’s
Storage as % of FRL*
Current Year’s storage as % of last year
Current year as a % of 10 years average level
Current Week Last Week
38 34
87 92
94 104
The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 43% on 28/07/2015, 30% on 28/07/2014, 48% on 28/07/2013 and 20% on 28/07/2012.
* Live storage as % to Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 157.80 Billion Cub. Mts.(BCM) Source: CWC
There were 48 reservoirs having storage more than 80%, 24 reservoirs having storage between 50% to 80% of Normal Storage, 10 reservoir having storage between 30% to 50%, 09 reservoir having storage upto 30% of Normal Storage and 04 reservoir having no live storage.
Source: Central Water Commission
3. Fertilizer Position:
Table – 3.1: Requirement, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers Urea, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP during Kharif 2015-16 (As on 28.07.2016)
(in ‘000 Tonnes) Availability / Sale / Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP Complex SSP Opening Stock as on 01.04.2016 932 376 150 530 123 Requirement for Kharif, 2015-16 14739 5082 1742 5368 3060
Requirement upto July, 2016 3121 949 353 1062 568
Availability upto 28.07.2016 9607 3120 839 3117 1166
Sales upto 28.07.2016 6946 1656 480 1729 778
Closing Stock upto 28.07.2016 2660 1464 359 1387 388 Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC) / Deptt. of Fertilizer
4. Pest & Diseases:
Incidence of white fly & jassid on cotton crop has been reported in low to moderate intensity in Gumjal, Panniwalamals, Panjkosi & Killianwali villages under Khuian sarwar block of Fazilka district; Behlewal, Khara, Seda Sing Wala, Kothe Chand Singh, Kothe Narayangarh, Srawan, Lambwali and Kotsukhian villages of Faridkot district of Punjab. The crop stage is vegetative to square formation.
Incidence of white fly, late blight & buck eye rot on tomato crop has been reported in moderate intensity in Almora district of Uttrakhand.
Incidence of Top borer on Sugarcane crop has been reported in moderate intensity in Haridwar district of Uttrakhand.
No shortage of Chemical / Bio-pesticides was reported from any State / UT.
5. All India Crop Situation – Kharif (2016-17) as on 29.07.2016
Table 5.1
