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(1)

Queuing System II

Wha Sook Jeon

Mobile Computing & Communications Lab.

(2)

M/G/1 (1)

Poisson Arrival Process

General service time distribution

• Embedded Markov chain (Semi-Markov chain)

− We observe the system at an instant that the served job departs the system

− Then, since the service time does not need to be considered, the system has Markovian property

Let 𝑋𝑋𝑘𝑘 be a random variable representing the number of jobs in the system at the epoch 𝑡𝑡𝑘𝑘

Embedded Markov chain is described as 𝑋𝑋𝑘𝑘 ,𝑘𝑘 = 1, 2, 3,⋯

1

time

𝑡𝑡𝑘𝑘 𝑡𝑡𝑘𝑘+1

a job leaves a job leaves

(3)

M/G/1 (2)

• State probability distribution in EMC

− Let 𝜋𝜋𝑖𝑖 be the probability of i jobs in system at a departure epoch

𝜋𝜋

𝑖𝑖

= ∑ 𝜋𝜋

𝑗𝑗 𝑗𝑗

𝑃𝑃

𝑗𝑗𝑖𝑖

(1)

where 𝑃𝑃𝑗𝑗𝑖𝑖 is the one-step transition probability from state j to state i

− We need 𝑃𝑃𝑗𝑗𝑖𝑖

− Consider two cases in calculating 𝑃𝑃𝑗𝑗𝑖𝑖

Case I: 𝑋𝑋𝑘𝑘 = 𝑖𝑖 > 0

Case II: 𝑋𝑋𝑘𝑘 = 0

2

(4)

M/G/1(3)

− Case I

If 𝑗𝑗 < 𝑖𝑖 − 1, 𝑃𝑃𝑖𝑖𝑗𝑗 = 0 … (2)

If 𝑗𝑗 ≥ 𝑖𝑖 − 1, 𝑃𝑃𝑖𝑖𝑗𝑗 = 𝑞𝑞𝑗𝑗−𝑖𝑖+1 … (3)

where 𝑞𝑞𝑚𝑚 is the probability of m arrivals in a service time

− Case II

𝑃𝑃0𝑗𝑗 = 𝑞𝑞𝑗𝑗 , j ≥ 0 … (4)

3

time

i j

𝑎𝑎 𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗 𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙 𝑎𝑎 𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗 𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙

service time

time 0

arrival of a new job

𝑗𝑗 service time inter arrival time

𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑙𝑙 𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑡𝑡 𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗 𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙 𝑎𝑎 𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗 𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙

(5)

M/G/1 (4)

• Let 𝐴𝐴 𝑧𝑧 ≔ 𝐸𝐸 𝑧𝑧x

If a 𝑟𝑟.𝑙𝑙.𝑋𝑋 represents the number of jobs within a system in stsady state,

the mean number of jobs in the system, 𝑁𝑁�, is 𝐴𝐴 1 .

from (1)

from (2) – (4)

𝐴𝐴 𝑧𝑧 = 𝜋𝜋𝑗𝑗𝑧𝑧𝑗𝑗

𝑗𝑗=0 = 𝜋𝜋𝑖𝑖𝑃𝑃𝑖𝑖𝑗𝑗𝑧𝑧𝑗𝑗

𝑖𝑖=0

𝑗𝑗=0

= 𝜋𝜋0 𝑃𝑃0𝑗𝑗𝑧𝑧𝑗𝑗

𝑗𝑗=0 + � 𝜋𝜋 𝑖𝑖

𝑖𝑖=1 𝑃𝑃𝑖𝑖𝑗𝑗𝑧𝑧𝑗𝑗

𝑗𝑗=0

= 𝜋𝜋0 𝑞𝑞𝑗𝑗𝑧𝑧𝑗𝑗

𝑗𝑗=0 + � 𝜋𝜋 𝑖𝑖

𝑖𝑖=1 𝑞𝑞𝑗𝑗−𝑖𝑖+1𝑧𝑧𝑗𝑗

𝑗𝑗=𝑖𝑖−1

= 𝜋𝜋0 𝑞𝑞𝑗𝑗𝑧𝑧𝑗𝑗

𝑗𝑗=0 + � 𝜋𝜋 𝑖𝑖

𝑖𝑖=1 𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖−1 𝑞𝑞𝑗𝑗−𝑖𝑖+1𝑧𝑧𝑗𝑗−𝑖𝑖+1

𝑗𝑗=𝑖𝑖−1

= 𝜋𝜋0 𝑞𝑞𝑗𝑗𝑧𝑧𝑗𝑗

𝑗𝑗=0 + � 𝜋𝜋 𝑖𝑖

𝑖𝑖=1 𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖−1 𝑞𝑞𝑗𝑗𝑧𝑧𝑗𝑗

𝑗𝑗=0

(6)

M/G/1 (5)

Let

𝑌𝑌(𝑧𝑧) be PGF of a random variable representing the

number of arrivals during a service time, i.e.,

𝑌𝑌 𝑧𝑧 : = ∑𝑗𝑗=0 𝑞𝑞𝑗𝑗𝑧𝑧𝑗𝑗

5

𝐴𝐴(𝑧𝑧) = 𝜋𝜋0𝑌𝑌(𝑧𝑧) + � 𝜋𝜋𝑖𝑖

𝑖𝑖=1

𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖−1𝑌𝑌(𝑧𝑧)

= 𝜋𝜋0𝑌𝑌 𝑧𝑧 + �𝜋𝜋𝑖𝑖𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 𝑧𝑧

𝑖𝑖=1

𝑌𝑌 𝑧𝑧 = 𝜋𝜋0𝑌𝑌(𝑧𝑧) + 𝑌𝑌(𝑧𝑧)

𝑧𝑧 � 𝜋𝜋𝑖𝑖𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖

𝑖𝑖=1

= 𝜋𝜋0𝑌𝑌 𝑧𝑧 + 𝐴𝐴 𝑧𝑧 − 𝜋𝜋0

𝑧𝑧 𝑌𝑌(𝑧𝑧)

𝐴𝐴 𝑧𝑧 = 𝑧𝑧 − 1 𝜋𝜋0𝑌𝑌(𝑧𝑧) 𝑧𝑧 − 𝑌𝑌 𝑧𝑧

(7)

M/G/1 (6)

• We need 𝜋𝜋0 and 𝑌𝑌 𝑧𝑧 for calculating 𝐴𝐴 𝑧𝑧

Note that 𝐴𝐴 1 = 1 and 𝑌𝑌 1 = 1. But, since A(1) = 0

0 , we apply L'Hospital's rule.

That is,

• Calculation of 𝑌𝑌 𝑧𝑧 : we need 𝑞𝑞𝑚𝑚

Probability of m Poisson arrivals during t : 𝑓𝑓𝑚𝑚 𝑡𝑡 = 𝜆𝜆𝑡𝑡 𝑚𝑚!𝑚𝑚𝑒𝑒−𝜆𝜆𝑡𝑡

Let 𝑗𝑗(𝑡𝑡) be probability density function of service time distribution

6 𝑧𝑧→1lim𝐴𝐴 𝑧𝑧 = lim𝑧𝑧→1𝜋𝜋0𝑌𝑌 𝑧𝑧 + (𝑧𝑧 − 1)𝜋𝜋0𝑌𝑌𝑌 𝑧𝑧

1 − 𝑌𝑌𝑌 𝑧𝑧 𝐴𝐴 1 = 𝜋𝜋0

1 − 𝑌𝑌𝑌 1 = 1 𝜋𝜋0 = 1 − 𝑌𝑌𝑌 1

𝑞𝑞𝑚𝑚 = � 𝑓𝑓𝑚𝑚 𝑡𝑡 𝑗𝑗 𝑡𝑡 𝑑𝑑𝑡𝑡 = 𝜆𝜆𝑡𝑡 𝑚𝑚

𝑚𝑚! 𝑙𝑙−𝜆𝜆𝑡𝑡𝑗𝑗(𝑡𝑡)𝑑𝑑𝑡𝑡

0

0

(8)

M/G/1 (7)

− Laplace transform of service time :

− ⇒

− ⇒ 𝜋𝜋0= 1 − 𝜆𝜆𝐸𝐸[𝑆𝑆]

7

𝑌𝑌 𝑧𝑧 = � 𝑞𝑞𝑚𝑚𝑧𝑧𝑚𝑚 = � � 𝜆𝜆𝑡𝑡 𝑚𝑚

𝑚𝑚! 𝑙𝑙−𝜆𝜆𝑡𝑡𝑗𝑗 𝑡𝑡 𝑑𝑑𝑡𝑡 ∙ 𝑧𝑧𝑚𝑚

0

𝑚𝑚=0

𝑚𝑚=0

= 𝜆𝜆𝑡𝑡𝑧𝑧 𝑚𝑚

𝑚𝑚! 𝑙𝑙−𝜆𝜆𝑡𝑡𝑗𝑗 𝑡𝑡 𝑑𝑑𝑡𝑡

𝑚𝑚=0

0 = � 𝑙𝑙 −𝜆𝜆(1−𝑧𝑧)𝑡𝑡𝑗𝑗 𝑡𝑡 𝑑𝑑𝑡𝑡

0

𝑙𝑙𝜆𝜆𝑧𝑧𝑡𝑡

𝐵𝐵 𝑙𝑙 = � 𝑙𝑙 −𝑠𝑠𝑡𝑡𝑗𝑗 𝑡𝑡 𝑑𝑑𝑡𝑡

0

𝑌𝑌 𝑧𝑧 = � 𝑙𝑙 −𝜆𝜆(1−𝑧𝑧)𝑡𝑡𝑗𝑗 𝑡𝑡 𝑑𝑑𝑡𝑡

0 = 𝐵𝐵 𝜆𝜆 − 𝜆𝜆𝑧𝑧

𝑌𝑌𝑌 𝑧𝑧 = � 𝜆𝜆𝑡𝑡𝑙𝑙 −𝜆𝜆(1−𝑧𝑧)𝑡𝑡𝑗𝑗 𝑡𝑡 𝑑𝑑𝑡𝑡

0 𝑌𝑌𝑌 1 = ∫ 𝜆𝜆𝑡𝑡𝑗𝑗 𝑡𝑡 𝑑𝑑𝑡𝑡0 =𝜆𝜆𝐸𝐸[𝑙𝑙]

𝜋𝜋0 = 1− 𝑌𝑌𝑌 1

𝐴𝐴 𝑧𝑧 = 1−𝑧𝑧 𝜋𝜋𝑌𝑌 𝑧𝑧 −𝑧𝑧0𝑌𝑌(𝑧𝑧) = 1−𝑧𝑧 1−𝜆𝜆𝐸𝐸 𝑆𝑆 𝐵𝐵 𝜆𝜆 1−𝑧𝑧

𝐵𝐵 𝜆𝜆 1−𝑧𝑧 −𝑧𝑧

⇒ 𝑌𝑌𝑌 𝑧𝑧 =−𝜆𝜆𝐵𝐵𝑌 𝜆𝜆 − 𝜆𝜆𝑧𝑧

(9)

M/G/1 (8)

• Performance Measures

− 𝑁𝑁� ∶ Mean number of jobs in the system

Calculate 𝐴𝐴𝑌 1 by applying the L'Hospital's rule twice,

− 𝑇𝑇� : Mean sojourn time in the system

By the Little’s law, 𝑇𝑇�= 𝑁𝑁� / 𝜆𝜆

− 𝜌𝜌 : Utilization (server busy probability) 𝜌𝜌 = 𝜆𝜆𝐸𝐸[𝑆𝑆]

8

𝑁𝑁� = 𝐴𝐴 1 = 𝑌𝑌 1 + 2 1−𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌′′ 11

=

𝜆𝜆𝐸𝐸 𝑆𝑆 + 𝜆𝜆2𝐸𝐸 𝑆𝑆2

2 1−𝜆𝜆𝐸𝐸[𝑆𝑆]

𝑇𝑇� = 𝐸𝐸 𝑆𝑆 + 𝜆𝜆𝐸𝐸 𝑆𝑆2 2 1 − 𝜆𝜆𝐸𝐸[𝑆𝑆]

(10)

M/G/1 (9)

• M/E

k

/1 : one case of M/G/1

− M/G/1: 𝑁𝑁� = 𝜆𝜆𝐸𝐸 𝑆𝑆 + 2 1−𝜆𝜆𝐸𝐸[𝑆𝑆] 𝜆𝜆2𝐸𝐸 𝑆𝑆2

− M/Ek/1: 𝐸𝐸 𝑆𝑆 = 1

𝜇𝜇 , 𝐸𝐸 𝑆𝑆2 = 𝑘𝑘+1

𝑘𝑘 1 𝜇𝜇2

𝑁𝑁� = 𝜆𝜆𝜇𝜇 + 𝜆𝜆22𝑘𝑘𝜇𝜇𝑘𝑘+1(𝜇𝜇−𝜆𝜆)

 M/E

k

/1

𝑁𝑁� =

𝜇𝜇𝜆𝜆

+

2𝑘𝑘(𝜇𝜇−𝜆𝜆)𝜆𝜆(𝑘𝑘+1)

𝜆𝜆𝜇𝜇

𝑘𝑘+12𝑘𝑘

=

𝜆𝜆𝜇𝜇

+

𝑘𝑘+12𝑘𝑘 𝜇𝜇(𝜇𝜇−𝜆𝜆)𝜆𝜆2

9

(11)

M/G/1 (10)

• Note that 𝑁𝑁� is not the mean number of jobs in the system as seen by any outside observer at any time, but 𝑁𝑁� is the mean number of jobs left in the system as seen by the departing jobs

• Equality of state distribution at arrival epoch, departure epoch, any time

(Question) Are the probability distributions of the followings in steady state equal?

− The number of jobs seen by departing jobs

− The number of jobs seen by arrival jobs

− The number of jobs seen by outside observers

(Answer) Yes

10

Burke theorem Wolff theorem

(12)

M/G/1 (11)

• Wolff theorem (

Poisson arrivals see time average)

− If the arrival process is Poisson, the steady state distribution just prior to arrival epochs is the same as that for the number of jobs seen by an outside observer at any time

• Burke theorem

− In any queuing system for which the state process is the step function with unit jump, the steady state distribution just prior to arrival epochs is the same as that just after departure epochs

11

(13)

M/G/1 (12)

• Proof of Burke theorem

− Let {𝑁𝑁 𝑡𝑡 :𝑡𝑡 ≥ 0} be a stochastic process of which any sample path is a step function with unit jump

− Let 𝐴𝐴𝑘𝑘(𝑇𝑇) be the number of arrivals to the system having 𝑘𝑘 jobs during 𝑇𝑇

− Let 𝐷𝐷𝑘𝑘(𝑇𝑇) be the number of departures leaving 𝑘𝑘 jobs in the system during 𝑇𝑇

𝐴𝐴𝑘𝑘 𝑇𝑇 − 𝐷𝐷𝑘𝑘 𝑇𝑇 ≤ 1 (from a step function with unit jump)

− Let 𝐴𝐴(𝑇𝑇) be the total number of arriving jobs in the interval [0, 𝑇𝑇]

− Let 𝐷𝐷 𝑇𝑇 be the total number of departing jobs in the interval [0, 𝑇𝑇]

− Let 𝑁𝑁(𝑇𝑇) be the number of jobs in the system at time 𝑇𝑇

𝑁𝑁 𝑇𝑇 = 𝑁𝑁 0 + 𝐴𝐴 𝑇𝑇 − 𝐷𝐷(𝑇𝑇)

12

(14)

M/G/1 (12)

− Let 𝜋𝜋𝑘𝑘d and 𝜋𝜋𝑘𝑘a be the state probabilities seen by a departing job and an arriving job at time limit, respectively

− 𝜋𝜋𝑘𝑘d = lim𝑇𝑇→∞𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷(𝑇𝑇)𝑘𝑘(𝑇𝑇) = lim𝑇𝑇→∞𝐷𝐷𝑘𝑘𝑁𝑁 0 +𝐴𝐴 𝑇𝑇 −𝑁𝑁(𝑇𝑇)𝑇𝑇 −𝐴𝐴𝑘𝑘 𝑇𝑇 +𝐴𝐴𝑘𝑘 𝑇𝑇

= lim𝑇𝑇→∞𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴(𝑇𝑇)𝑘𝑘(𝑇𝑇) (since 𝐷𝐷𝑘𝑘 𝑇𝑇 − 𝐴𝐴𝑘𝑘 𝑇𝑇 ≤ 1) = 𝜋𝜋𝑘𝑘a

∴ 𝜋𝜋

𝑘𝑘d

= 𝜋𝜋

𝑘𝑘a

13 State probability

at departure epochs

State probability at arrival epochs

(15)

M/G/1: Busy Period (1)

• Busy period

− The busy period starts when a job arrives at the system in idle state and is continued until there remains no job to be served in the

system

− Let 𝐵𝐵 be a random variable representing the duration of busy period

− Let 𝑆𝑆 and 𝑆𝑆𝑖𝑖 be random variables representing the service times of the first job and the 𝑖𝑖-th arrived job after the first job, respectively

− Let 𝐴𝐴(𝑆𝑆) be the number of arrivals while the first job is served

14 time

arrival departure

idle first job busy

idle busy

(16)

M/G/1: Busy Period (2)

− Let 𝐵𝐵𝑖𝑖 be the total sum of service times of the 𝑖𝑖-th arrived job and its descendants

− Example

𝐴𝐴 𝑆𝑆 = 3

𝐵𝐵 = 𝑆𝑆 + 𝐵𝐵1 + 𝐵𝐵2 + 𝐵𝐵3

𝐵𝐵1 = 𝑆𝑆1 + 𝑆𝑆4 + 𝑆𝑆5 + 𝑆𝑆6 + 𝑆𝑆7 + 𝑆𝑆9 + 𝑆𝑆10 + 𝑆𝑆11

𝐵𝐵2 = 𝑆𝑆2

𝐵𝐵3 = 𝑆𝑆3 + 𝑆𝑆8

15 S

S1 S2 S3

S4 S5 S6 S7 S8

S9 S10 S11

𝐵𝐵1

𝐵𝐵2 𝐵𝐵3

B

(17)

M/G/1: Busy Period (3)

• Calculating the average of busy period, E[𝐵𝐵]

− 𝐵𝐵 𝜃𝜃 ≔ E 𝑙𝑙−𝜃𝜃𝐵𝐵 = ∫ 𝑙𝑙0 −𝜃𝜃𝜃𝜃𝑓𝑓 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥 where 𝑓𝑓(𝑥𝑥) is the pdf of 𝐵𝐵

𝜃𝜃→0lim 𝑑𝑑𝐵𝐵𝑑𝑑𝜃𝜃 𝜃𝜃 = lim𝜃𝜃→0 ∫ −𝑥𝑥 𝑙𝑙0 −𝜃𝜃𝜃𝜃𝑓𝑓 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥 = −𝐸𝐸[𝐵𝐵]

− 𝐵𝐵 𝜃𝜃 = E 𝑙𝑙−𝜃𝜃(𝑆𝑆+𝐵𝐵1+𝐵𝐵2+⋯+𝐵𝐵𝐴𝐴 𝑆𝑆 )

= ∑𝑘𝑘=00 E 𝑙𝑙−𝜃𝜃(𝑆𝑆+𝐵𝐵1+𝐵𝐵2+⋯+𝐵𝐵𝐴𝐴 𝑆𝑆 )|𝑆𝑆 = 𝑥𝑥, 𝐴𝐴 𝑆𝑆 = 𝑘𝑘 × Pr 𝐴𝐴 𝑆𝑆 = 𝑘𝑘|𝑆𝑆 = 𝑥𝑥 × Pr 𝑆𝑆 = 𝑥𝑥

= ∑𝑘𝑘=00E 𝑙𝑙−𝜃𝜃(𝜃𝜃+𝐵𝐵1+𝐵𝐵2+⋯+𝐵𝐵𝑘𝑘) 𝜆𝜆𝜃𝜃𝑘𝑘! 𝑘𝑘𝑙𝑙−𝜆𝜆𝜃𝜃 𝑗𝑗 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥

= ∑𝑘𝑘=00 E 𝑙𝑙−𝜃𝜃𝜃𝜃 E 𝑙𝑙−𝜃𝜃𝐵𝐵1 ⋯E[𝑙𝑙−𝜃𝜃𝐵𝐵𝑘𝑘] 𝜆𝜆𝜃𝜃𝑘𝑘! 𝑘𝑘 𝑙𝑙−𝜆𝜆𝜃𝜃𝑗𝑗 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥 = ∑𝑘𝑘=0∫ 𝑙𝑙0 −𝜃𝜃𝜃𝜃 E[𝑙𝑙−𝜃𝜃𝐵𝐵] 𝑘𝑘 𝜆𝜆𝜃𝜃𝑘𝑘! 𝑘𝑘𝑙𝑙−𝜆𝜆𝜃𝜃𝑗𝑗 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥

since E[𝑙𝑙−𝜃𝜃𝐵𝐵𝑖𝑖] has the same value for all 𝑖𝑖 16 pdf of S

(18)

M/G/1: Busy Period (4)

𝐵𝐵 𝜃𝜃 = ∑𝑘𝑘=0∫ 𝑙𝑙0 −𝜃𝜃𝜃𝜃 𝐵𝐵 𝜃𝜃 𝑘𝑘 𝜆𝜆𝜃𝜃𝑘𝑘! 𝑘𝑘𝑙𝑙−𝜆𝜆𝜃𝜃𝑗𝑗 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥 = ∫ ∑0 𝑘𝑘=0 𝜆𝜆𝜃𝜃𝐵𝐵𝑘𝑘! 𝜃𝜃 𝑘𝑘𝑙𝑙− 𝜆𝜆+𝜃𝜃 𝜃𝜃𝑗𝑗 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥

= ∫ 𝑙𝑙 − 𝜆𝜆+𝜃𝜃−𝜆𝜆𝐵𝐵 𝜃𝜃 𝜃𝜃

0 𝑗𝑗 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥

= 𝑆𝑆 𝜆𝜆 + 𝜃𝜃 − 𝜆𝜆𝐵𝐵 𝜃𝜃

17 𝑆𝑆(φ): Laplace transform of service time

−E 𝐵𝐵 = lim𝜃𝜃→0𝑑𝑑𝐵𝐵𝑑𝑑𝜃𝜃 𝜃𝜃 = lim𝜃𝜃→0𝑑𝑑𝑆𝑆 𝜆𝜆+𝜃𝜃−𝜆𝜆𝐵𝐵𝑑𝑑𝜃𝜃 𝜃𝜃

= lim𝜃𝜃→0∫ −𝑥𝑥0 + 𝜆𝜆𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝐵𝐵𝑑𝑑𝜃𝜃 𝜃𝜃 𝑙𝑙− 𝜆𝜆+𝜃𝜃−𝜆𝜆𝐵𝐵 𝜃𝜃 𝜃𝜃𝑗𝑗 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥 = ∫ −𝑥𝑥 − 𝜆𝜆𝑥𝑥0 E 𝐵𝐵 𝑗𝑗 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥

= − ∫ 𝑥𝑥𝑗𝑗 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥0 − 𝜆𝜆E 𝐵𝐵 ∫ 𝑥𝑥𝑗𝑗 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥0

=

−E 𝑆𝑆 − 𝜆𝜆E 𝐵𝐵 E 𝑆𝑆

⇒ E 𝐵𝐵 =

1−𝜆𝜆E 𝑆𝑆E 𝑆𝑆

since 𝐵𝐵(0)=1

(19)

M/G/1: Busy Period (5)

• Another Approach

− N : the number of jobs served during busy period

− E 𝐵𝐵 = E 𝑁𝑁 × E 𝑆𝑆

− 𝜌𝜌 = 𝜆𝜆E 𝑆𝑆 : server utilization, i.e., server busy probability

− Pr 𝑁𝑁 = 𝑛𝑛 = 𝜌𝜌𝑛𝑛−1(1 − 𝜌𝜌)

− E 𝑁𝑁 = ∑𝑛𝑛=1𝑛𝑛𝜌𝜌𝑛𝑛−1(1 − 𝜌𝜌) = (1 − 𝜌𝜌) ∑𝑛𝑛=1𝑛𝑛𝜌𝜌𝑛𝑛−1 = 1−𝜌𝜌1 = 1−𝜆𝜆E 𝑆𝑆1

E 𝐵𝐵 =

1−𝜆𝜆E 𝑆𝑆E 𝑆𝑆

18

(20)

M/G/1: Busy Period (6)

• Another Approach for calculating E 𝑁𝑁

− N = 1 + 𝑁𝑁1 + 𝑁𝑁2 + ⋯+ 𝑁𝑁𝐴𝐴 𝑆𝑆

𝑁𝑁𝑖𝑖 is the number of arrivals while the 𝑖𝑖–th job is served

G(𝑧𝑧) = E 𝑧𝑧𝑁𝑁 = E 𝑧𝑧(1+𝑁𝑁1+𝑁𝑁2+⋯+𝑁𝑁𝐴𝐴 𝑆𝑆 )

= 𝑘𝑘=0E 𝑧𝑧(1+𝑁𝑁1+𝑁𝑁2+⋯+𝑁𝑁𝐴𝐴 𝑆𝑆 )|𝐴𝐴 𝑆𝑆 = 𝑘𝑘 × Pr 𝐴𝐴(𝑆𝑆) = 𝑘𝑘

= ∑𝑘𝑘=0E 𝑧𝑧(1+𝑁𝑁1+𝑁𝑁2+⋯+𝑁𝑁𝑘𝑘) × 0Pr 𝐴𝐴(𝑆𝑆) = 𝑘𝑘|𝑆𝑆 = 𝑥𝑥 Pr 𝑆𝑆 = 𝑥𝑥

= ∑𝑘𝑘=0z E[𝑧𝑧𝑁𝑁] 𝑘𝑘 0 𝜆𝜆𝜃𝜃𝑘𝑘!𝑘𝑘 𝑙𝑙−𝜆𝜆𝜃𝜃𝑗𝑗 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥 since E[𝑧𝑧𝑁𝑁𝑖𝑖] has the same value for all 𝑖𝑖

= z∫ ∑0 𝑘𝑘=0 𝜆𝜆𝜃𝜃𝜆𝜆(𝑧𝑧)𝑘𝑘! 𝑘𝑘 𝑙𝑙−𝜆𝜆𝜃𝜃 𝑗𝑗 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥

= z∫ 𝑙𝑙0 −(𝜆𝜆−𝜆𝜆𝜆𝜆(𝑧𝑧))𝜃𝜃 𝑗𝑗 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥 = z 𝑆𝑆(𝜆𝜆 − 𝜆𝜆𝜆𝜆(𝑧𝑧))

E[N ] = 𝜆𝜆 1

= ∫ 𝑙𝑙 − 𝜆𝜆−𝜆𝜆𝜆𝜆 1 𝜃𝜃

0 𝑗𝑗 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥+𝜆𝜆 𝜆𝜆 1 ∫ 𝑥𝑥𝑙𝑙0 −(𝜆𝜆−𝜆𝜆𝜆𝜆(1))𝜃𝜃 𝑗𝑗 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥 = 1 + 𝜆𝜆E[N ]E[S ]

E[N ]= 1−𝜆𝜆E 𝑆𝑆1 19

since G(1)=1

(21)

M/G/ ∞ (1)

• Mean number of jobs in the system: 𝑁𝑁�

1. By Little’s law, 𝑁𝑁� = 𝜆𝜆E[𝑆𝑆]

2. By Probability theory, E[N ] = ∑𝑘𝑘=0𝑘𝑘 𝑃𝑃𝑘𝑘

Since the jobs arrive according to Poisson process, the probability distribution on the number of jobs in system is also Poisson.

Probability of k jobs in the system equals the probability of k Poisson arrivals during E[𝑆𝑆], 𝑃𝑃𝑘𝑘 = (λE[𝑆𝑆])𝑘𝑘! 𝑘𝑘e−𝜆𝜆E[𝑆𝑆]

𝑁𝑁� = ∑𝑘𝑘=1𝑘𝑘 (𝜆𝜆E[𝑆𝑆])𝑘𝑘! 𝑘𝑘𝑙𝑙−𝜆𝜆E[𝑆𝑆] = 𝜆𝜆E[𝑆𝑆]𝑙𝑙−𝜆𝜆E[𝑆𝑆]𝑘𝑘=0(λE[S])k! k = 𝜆𝜆E[𝑆𝑆]

20

Poisson arrivals

with rate 𝜆𝜆 E[𝑆𝑆]

E[𝑆𝑆]

𝑁𝑁�

E[𝑆𝑆]

(22)

M/G/ ∞ (2)

• Derivation of 𝑃𝑃

𝑘𝑘

− 𝑃𝑃𝑘𝑘 = lim𝑡𝑡→∞Pr {𝑁𝑁 𝑡𝑡 = 𝑘𝑘}

𝑁𝑁 𝑡𝑡 : r.v. representing the number of jobs in the system at time t

− Let 𝑃𝑃𝑘𝑘 𝑡𝑡 : = Pr 𝑁𝑁 𝑡𝑡 = 𝑘𝑘 .

− We first derive 𝑃𝑃𝑘𝑘 𝑡𝑡 . Then, 𝑃𝑃𝑘𝑘 = lim𝑡𝑡→∞𝑃𝑃𝑘𝑘 𝑡𝑡

< Derivation of

𝑃𝑃𝑘𝑘 𝑡𝑡

>

− Let 𝐴𝐴(𝑡𝑡) be the total number of arrivals for [0,𝑡𝑡]

− 𝑃𝑃𝑘𝑘 𝑡𝑡 = ∑𝑛𝑛=𝑘𝑘 Pr 𝐴𝐴 𝑡𝑡 = 𝑛𝑛 × Pr {𝑁𝑁 𝑡𝑡 = 𝑘𝑘|𝐴𝐴 𝑡𝑡 = 𝑛𝑛}

= ∑𝑛𝑛=𝑘𝑘(𝜆𝜆𝑡𝑡)𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛!𝑒𝑒−𝜆𝜆𝑡𝑡 × Pr {𝑁𝑁 𝑡𝑡 = 𝑘𝑘|𝐴𝐴 𝑡𝑡 = 𝑛𝑛}

21

(23)

M/G/ ∞ (3)

− We need Pr 𝑁𝑁 𝑡𝑡 = 𝑘𝑘 𝐴𝐴 𝑡𝑡 = 𝑛𝑛 , which is the probability that k jobs among n arrivals are still being served at time t.

Let 𝑞𝑞 𝑡𝑡 Pr a job arrived at 0, t is still in the server at time 𝑡𝑡 Then, Pr 𝑁𝑁 𝑡𝑡 = 𝑘𝑘 𝐴𝐴 𝑡𝑡 = 𝑛𝑛 = 𝑛𝑛

𝑘𝑘 𝑞𝑞(𝑡𝑡)𝑘𝑘 1 − 𝑞𝑞(𝑡𝑡) 𝑛𝑛−𝑘𝑘

We focus on any one job tagged by J.

𝑞𝑞 𝑡𝑡 = Pr J is still in the server at time 𝑡𝑡| J arrived at 0,𝑡𝑡 = 0 𝑡𝑡 Pr{ J arrived at 𝑥𝑥| J arrived at 0,𝑡𝑡 }

Pr{J is in the server at time 𝑡𝑡 | J arrived at time x}

= ∫0𝑡𝑡 𝑑𝑑𝜃𝜃𝑡𝑡 ⨯ Pr{𝑆𝑆 > 𝑡𝑡 − 𝑥𝑥}

where S is a r.v. representing the service time

time 22

The tagged job J arrived at x

t

dx

(24)

M/G/ ∞ (4)

− 𝑞𝑞 𝑡𝑡 = 1 𝑡𝑡 0𝑡𝑡 Pr 𝑆𝑆 > 𝑡𝑡 − 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥 = 1 𝑡𝑡0𝑡𝑡 Pr 𝑆𝑆 > 𝑦𝑦 𝑑𝑑𝑦𝑦

− Pr {𝑁𝑁 𝑡𝑡 = 𝑘𝑘|𝐴𝐴 𝑡𝑡 = 𝑛𝑛}

= 𝑛𝑛

𝑘𝑘 𝑞𝑞(𝑡𝑡)𝑘𝑘 1 − 𝑞𝑞(𝑡𝑡) 𝑛𝑛−𝑘𝑘 = 𝑛𝑛

𝑘𝑘 1 𝑡𝑡0𝑡𝑡Pr 𝑙𝑙 > 𝑦𝑦 𝑑𝑑𝑦𝑦 𝑘𝑘 1 − 1 𝑡𝑡0𝑡𝑡Pr 𝑙𝑙 > 𝑦𝑦 𝑑𝑑𝑦𝑦 𝑛𝑛−𝑘𝑘

− 𝑃𝑃𝑘𝑘 𝑡𝑡 = ∑𝑛𝑛=𝑘𝑘Pr {𝑁𝑁 𝑡𝑡 = 𝑘𝑘|𝐴𝐴 𝑡𝑡 = 𝑛𝑛} × Pr {𝐴𝐴 𝑡𝑡 = 𝑛𝑛}

=

𝑛𝑛=𝑘𝑘 𝑛𝑛𝑘𝑘 1𝑡𝑡 0𝑡𝑡Pr 𝑆𝑆 > 𝑦𝑦 𝑑𝑑𝑦𝑦 𝑘𝑘 1 1𝑡𝑡 0𝑡𝑡 Pr 𝑆𝑆 > 𝑦𝑦 𝑑𝑑𝑦𝑦 𝑛𝑛−𝑘𝑘 𝜆𝜆𝑡𝑡 𝑛𝑛

𝑛𝑛! 𝑙𝑙−𝜆𝜆𝑡𝑡

=

𝜆𝜆 ∫0𝑡𝑡Pr 𝑆𝑆 > 𝑦𝑦 𝑑𝑑𝑦𝑦 𝑘𝑘 𝑒𝑒−𝜆𝜆𝑡𝑡𝑘𝑘! × 𝜆𝜆𝑡𝑡−𝜆𝜆 ∫ Pr 𝑆𝑆>𝑦𝑦 𝑑𝑑𝑦𝑦0𝑡𝑡 𝑛𝑛−𝑘𝑘 𝑛𝑛−𝑘𝑘 !

𝑛𝑛=𝑘𝑘

= 𝜆𝜆 ∫ Pr 𝑆𝑆>𝑦𝑦 𝑑𝑑𝑦𝑦0𝑡𝑡 𝑘𝑘

𝑘𝑘! 𝑙𝑙−𝜆𝜆 ∫ Pr 𝑆𝑆>𝑦𝑦 𝑑𝑑𝑦𝑦0𝑡𝑡

23

(25)

M/G/ ∞ (5)

− 𝑃𝑃𝑘𝑘 = lim𝑡𝑡→∞𝑃𝑃𝑘𝑘 𝑡𝑡

= 𝜆𝜆 ∫ Pr 𝑆𝑆>𝑦𝑦 𝑑𝑑𝑦𝑦0 𝑘𝑘

𝑘𝑘! 𝑙𝑙−𝜆𝜆 ∫ Pr 𝑆𝑆>𝑦𝑦 𝑑𝑑𝑦𝑦0

− Since ∫0Pr 𝑆𝑆 > 𝑦𝑦 𝑑𝑑𝑦𝑦 = ∫ ∫ 𝑓𝑓0 𝑦𝑦 𝑆𝑆 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑦𝑦 = ∫ 𝑥𝑥𝑓𝑓0 𝑆𝑆 𝑥𝑥 𝑑𝑑𝑥𝑥 = E 𝑆𝑆

− 𝑃𝑃

𝑘𝑘

=

𝜆𝜆E[𝑆𝑆]𝑘𝑘! 𝑘𝑘

𝑙𝑙

−𝜆𝜆E[𝑆𝑆]

24

Poisson distribution

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