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LTNIVERSITI T E K N O L O G I M A R A C A W A N G A N K E L A N T A N

DETERMINANTS OF MALAYSIAN ECONOMIC GROWTH

NOOR RIHA BINTI RAFIEN 2005653049

BACHELOR OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION (HONS) FINANCE FACULTY OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT

UNIVERSITI TEKNOLOGI MARA

APRIL 2007

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UNI VERS ITI TEKNOLOGI MARA m

CAW ANGAN KELANTAN

BACHELOR OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION (HONS) (FINANCE) FACULTY OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT

UNIVERSITI TEKNOLOGI MARA

DECLARATION OF ORIGINAL WORK

I, Noor Riha Binti Rafien. I/C Number: 840502-03-5046 hereby, declare that:

1. This work has not previously been accepted in substance for any degree, locally or overseas, and is not being concurrently submitted for this degree or any other degree.

2. This project paper is result o f the independent investigation of the analyst, except where otherwise stated.

3. All verbatim extracts has distinguished by quotation marks and sources of information have specifically acknowledged.

Signature:

Date:

' i $ / \ /c ^

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ABSTRACT

This project paper is conducted to analyze the relationship between the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), export and government expenditure with Malaysian economic growth.

Methodology used is multiple regression technique using Statistical Programming for Social Science Students (SPSS) program for analyzing the Foreign Direct Investment, export, government expenditure and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). GDP is used as an indicator for Malaysian economic growth. The purpose o f this study is to determine the relationships o f FDI inflows, export and government expenditure to GDP in Malaysia.

The dependent variable in this study is economic growth while the independent variables are export, FDI and government expenditure. This study only covers twenty eight years o f period from 1978 until 2005. This study is limited to secondary data on the yearly basis o f economic growth, export and government expenditure in Malaysia that is gathered from the Bank Negara Malaysia and data o f foreign direct investment from the Malaysian Industrial Development Authority (MIDA).Based on the findings, only export has a significant relationship with GDP while FDI and government expenditure has no significant relationships with GDP.

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TABLE OF CONTENT

PAGE

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT i

LIST OF TABLES ii

LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS iii

ABSTRACT iv

1.0 INTRODUCTION

1.1 Background of Study 1-4

1.1.1 Overview o f Export 5-10

1.1.2 Overview of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) 11-15 1.1.3 Overview of Government Expenditure 16-18

1.2 Problem Statement 19-21

1.3 Objective of Study 22

1.4 Scope o f Study 22

1.5 Theoretical Framework 23

1.6 Statement o f Hypotheses 24-25

1.7 Significant o f Study 26

1.8 Limitation o f Study 27-28

1.9 Definition o f Terms 29-30

2.0 LITERATURE REVIEW 31-45

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3.0 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3.1 Introduction 46

3.2 Sources of Data 46

3.3 Methodology 47

3.3.1 Multiple Regression Analysis 47-48

3.3.1.1 Correlation coefficient (R) 49 3.3.1.2 Coefficient determination (R square) 49

3.3.1.3 Durbin Watson 49

3.3.1.4 T -statistic 50

3.3.1.5 F-statistic 51

4.0 FINDINGS AND ANALYSIS 4.1 Interpretation o f result

4.1.1 Test o f Correlation 52

a) Correlation coefficient (R) 52

b) Coefficient o f Determination (R2) 53

c) Durbin Watson 53

4.1.2 Test o f Significant 54

a) T-statistic 55-57

b) F-statistic 58-59

4.1.3 Equation Model 60-61

5.0 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

5.1 Conclusions 62-65

5.2 Recommendations 66-67

6.0 BIBLIOGRAPHY 68-72

APPENDICES

Referensi

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