Nhin lai thj iriToIng
B A T e p i M G S A N SO TRIEIM VOIMG S O I
Ths. KTS Vu Xuan Thien*
Thi tiriliig bit UpBi saa IBBS] nrijc ta M e tunh tbanb va pbat t t f l i ehaH lia nbitog co tac I d pbai triei Rtaah. iat iiVc Bbila tbaib trib. Trong nbttag nan vnb qua. thi trainii BBS d i co bilic nhat trian ticb ett, taa ra nhwa san pham 8a dang nbtf cac trans tam tbtfAig mai. khach san nha hang, van phong cho thai-, die biit san pham BBS l i nha i phat triM rat annh, gap phan rat ldn cbo vioc eai thiin diin maa d i thi K i t Ham vin minh U M dai. tiai imrit ed ban nha i eho cac tang Ilp nbaa dan i ea do t u va nong thin.
Hbian d^an IdiH nha i , khu do thi mdi vii h i thong ba tang ky thnat ba tang la bii dang bo da duUc binh thanh, ning cao diln kiin seia eia eae tang lip dia cK gop phan cbivan d|ch cd can Unh to tbao b i l H cing nghiip boa, biin dai hoa, dang thil thie day Unh t a - u bii cna Ut nhic phat trien vli nhip do tnVflg doi eaa trong nhlln nam naa; Cac tkMm irinh phat trion n N i I i b i t nha i thn nhip thap. aba I eha d n g ^ n eae kbn eoH nghiip ddVc trian hhai. gap phia baa dam an sinh la bai
T
hi (nJdng BDS trong thdi gian qua da thu hut dang ke nguon von 1 ^ tu trong va ngoai nudc, t ^ thu cho ngan sach Nha nUdc, thu hut JLlc lUdng lao dpng ldn, thuc (^y d c nganh san xuat khac phat trien. He thong v ^ ban quy pham phap luat dieu chinh hoat dpng cua thi tnidng BDS tUng bUdc dUdc hoan thien, vdi sU pha hc^ giOa d e cd quan co lien quan trong eong tac quan ly Nha nUdc, tao (Seu kien de thj tnJdng BOS phat tnen lanh manh, moi tnidng dau tu thong thoang va thuan loi cho cac nha dau U d trong nUdc va nudc ngoa.Ben canh nhQng mat tich ctfc, hoat dpng cua thi tntdng BDS thdi gian vtia qua cung d3 bgc 16 nhOtig bat cap. Oo d ^ tmng qua tiv^ phat trien dnia hoan thien, con thi&j kinh ttgNkn dieu tiSf thf tn/dng Idu co Nai dong, cbiti co d ^ A) Jtf» nang on djnh thi trudng Idii gap kho khan Idn trong tngt thdi gian ngan, nen thj tnJdng bat dmg san con dang ton tai nhieu van de can phai quan tam giai quyet nhit Thi tnidng phat tri&i thieu lanh manh va thieu tinh on dinh; Gia ca hang hoa BDS, dac biet la gia nha d van ddng d mik cao, dien bien phijfc tap, nhat la tai cac do thi l^^n; Cd cau hang hoa BDS la nha d mat can doi, tfireu hang hoa cd quy mo vUava nho, co giaca phu h^pv^A so nhu cau cua ngu&r dan, dac biet tfiioi hai hinh nha d dto thue.
'x^rty Txan^ « 0b THI 21
• I l l B l HOM NAY
Nam 2012 tfii tn^ng bat d^ng san tiep tuc dong bang
ChUdng trinh phat trien nha d xa hfli phuc vu cac doi tUdng chinh sich xa hfli, ngUdi d thu nhip thap t^ khu viic dfl thj, d n bp, cong chifc, vidn chUe, IUc lUdng vu trang, cong nhdn lao dpng tai d c 1 ^ cong nghidp cham dUdc trien khai; Viec phat trien thj tnidng nha d phi hang h d d sU dieu bet cua Nha ni/dc mdi dUdc thUc hien ndn vide giai quyS nha 6 cho mpt bp phan Idn d ^ cU do thi con kho k h ^ .
Trong nhOng nam qua, thi tn/dng BE)S co giai doan chUa dinh hudng dUdc c h u ^ xlc hudng i ^ l t tnen d a thi trudng theo nhu d u phat trien d a xa hpi dan den finh trang phat tnen do thj thieu quy hoach, ke hoach, phat bien taJ phlt con dien ra pho bien, mot sd do thj phlt trien khflng dong bp, thieu ket noi ha tang dien rpng, gay lang phi tai nguyen dat dai va von dau tU cua xa ha. Theo ^ong kd ehua that day du, hidn nay tren d nUdc d khoing 3.728 dii an phlt trien khu dd thj mdi va khu nha d mdi; Vdi tong dien tich dat theo quy hoach: 90.196 ha; Tong didn tieh nha d tai d e du I n theo quy hoadi khdng 2.749.169 d n nha tUdng dUdng 410.112.236m2 san. Trong dd d khong ft dU an can phli dJdcxem x ^ lai.
Nhin lai thj tnidng bat dong san nam 2012: chi}a dUng nhQng b i l u hien rat khac biet
- Til dau nam 2012 den nay thj trUdng BDS tep tuc gap khd khan, finh trang dong blng, gia d BDS I I nha d sut giam d t i t d d c phln khue thj tnidng. So lUdng giao djeh khong nhidu, mpt s6 du I n khflng d giao djch. ThUc te tai thj tmdng TP.Ho Chi Minh v^ Ha Npi la ndi m l d nhieu dU I n BDS Idn, chiem khoang g i n 50% thi tnJdng BOS d nudc. Tinh hinh thi trUdng BDS tai 2 thanh pho nay trong nam 2012 tiep tue gap kho khan v l chUa co dau hieu hoi phuc. Nam 2012, tinh hinh giao djch BOS tidp tuc tram lang, lUdng giao djch thanh d n g thip, mic du mpt s6 doanh nghiep da ehu dflng gilm g i l ban d n hp, ban hda von, b i n lo, d nhieu bien phap ho trd khadi hlng nhUng van khflng d i thien dUdefmh hinh thj tnidng.
Tai thj trudng Ha Nfli' Nam 2012, tinh hinh giao djch thanh d n g khong nhieu, chu yeu d giao djch tai nhflng du an da hoan thanh hoac sap hoan thanh, d dien tich trung blnh va nhd {60 m^ - 90 m^), gia tU 1 - 21^ dong/dn, NhOng du an chung cU dang thi d n g , d c can hp dien t i d Idn, d e dU an xa trung t i m chUa d ha t i n g hoac
2 2 CBO B S . e 0 1 3 ] HOC VI^N CAN BO Q U A N L Y X A Y DUNG VA DOTH
dang trong giai doan gdp von d rat it giao d j d . G i l d n hp chung eu cuoi nam 2012 giam tnjng binh 5% -10% so vdl cudi nlm 2011. Trong dd giam manh nhat la tai khu vuc Ha Dong, Thanh Tri d nh&ig dU an gilm tdi 20%
-30% so vdi ciJng ky nam 2011. G i l dat nen gilm tung binh tu 15% - 20% so vdi eung ky nam 2011. d nhDng khu VUc ngoai thanh da phlt trien ndng nam 2010 g i l gilm manh tdi 28% - 35% so vdi d n g ky nlm 2011, giam tdi 50% so vdi g i l d l u nam 2010.
Tai Thanh pho Ho Chi Ivlinh, gia BDS hien nay deu dang d mUc thip do da dUde didu ehinh ha gia qua nhieu giai doan trong d c n l m 2010 v l 2011 d nhOng dti I n g i l da xudng thap hdn gia thanh ma van khflng d giao djeh hoac rat it giao djch. So vdi cudi nam 2011, g i l BOS I I nha d trong nam 2012 tiep tue gilm khoang tU 10 den 15%, d bidt CO nhQng dii an gilm tdi 30%; G i l mpt sd du I n chung cu d didn tich d n hfl nhd hidn dang dUdc chao ban dUdi 15 tridu dong/m^ (xap xl gia thanh dau hJ)
Nim 20f2, tfrub stf la nam kho Idtin cua cac doanh nghKp BDS, nhat la cac doanh nghiep vi/&
va nhd, ^em lUC til chinh han che, nguon von d^jg chu yeu ti/he Utong ngan hmg va huy dgng cOa khach hang. Thj tri/dng BDS dang tht/c hien ddt i thanh Igc ldn, cac doanh nghi^f^ab/khang dinh
dii^c minh, nhiing doanh nghiep khong c6 chijfc nang chinh la kinh doanh BDS da va dang thorn von kh^ linh vub nay.
WIHBEHOMNAY
Cac doanh nghiep khac buoc phli didu chinh chien lUdc kinh doanh, de tranh pha san mflt so doanh n g h i ^ phai chuyen doi d d u , d doanh nghiep phai chuyai nhUdng dU an vi khong t h i d i p Ung dUdc nguwi von de t i ^ tuc trien khai dii In. Cac nha dau tU d n lai phai tim hieu ky thj trudng va nhu d u thuc sii cua khlch hang, lay lai niem tin cua khach hang vao doanh n g h i ^ , vao thj tn/dng BDS.
- Tinh hinh ton kho nha d, tmng t i m thUdng mai, van phdng eho thud, dat nen va d c loai BDS khac rlt Idn, viec giai quyet xCr ly lUdng d n pham nay ddi hoi phai d thdi gian dai, d nhidu bidn phap cu thi, sii vao cuflc d a d c Bp, nglnh dja phUdng, dae bidt la phai quan t i m den kich thich nguon d u , xay dung dUdc nldm tin ciJa ngUdi dan vao thj trUdng.
- Cd d u hang hoa BOS la nha d d n thieu d n doi.
Thi tnidng thieu hang hoa cd quy mo va gia d phu hdp vdi da so nhu d u ciia ngUdI dan d n rlt khd kh^n, thidu nha d xa hpi, nha d eho ngUdi d ^ u nhap thap, d^c bidt thidu loai hinh nha d d o thud, trong khi lai thUa hlng hoa hang sang d gia cao, didn t i d ldn. Thiic te giao djeh d a thj tn/dng BDS tU quy IV nam 2011 den quy IV nam 2012 d o thay d 2 thi tn/dng Ha Npi va TP. Ho Chi Minh thi nhu d u trong phln khuc nha gia thap, gia frung binh tang cao.
Tai quy 11/2012,111/2012, trong tong nguon cung chung cu eda H I Npi thi loai nha gia &iap (binh dan} d i d m khoang 42%, loai nha gia tnjng blnh (tnjng d p ) chidm khoing 50%, ioai nha gia cao (hang sang) khoang 8%, trong khi nguon cung chung cU TP. HCM loai nha gia thip (binh
Thi bJ/Ong th'iSu lOiadxaha cho ngUdi thu nh^ ttiap nhmg Oiita hang hoa hang sang
^XK4'uiy^^»t,aAe6m 23
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W l f t l B i H O I V l N A Y
din) chiem khoang 48%, loai nha gil tmng blnh (tmng d p ) khoang 22% va loai nha gil cao (hang sang) khoang 30%. Do vly, thj tnidng d n phll quan tim den viec d n doi cung d u , cd d u BDS la nha d, dieu chinh quy mfl d n hp phij hdp,
- Hd thong tM dinh BDS dUa h o ^ thien, nguon vdn d o thi tnidng BDS d u yeu tif he tiiong ngin hang va huy dflng c ^ khad hang, dUa d nguon tin dung tnjng va dai han de ho trd doanh nghiep va ngUdi dan trong tao lap nha d. Trong nam 2012, tuy da d nhieu thay doi nhung ddng tien thUc K/
he thdng ngin hang vao thi tnidng BDS dUdc gili ngan chUa ding kl, dUa huy dong dUdc ngudn von rat Idn tU trong din, do ngUdi dan van chua dat hdt Iflng tin vao thi tnidng BDS.
- N§m 2012, la nam d c cd quan cao nhat cua Nha nUdc da rlt quan tam den vide chi dao thao gd kho khin cho thi trudng BDS, chl dao d c Bp, nganh, dia phUdng tnln khai d c v§n ban quy pham phap luat co lien quan ddn thj trudng BDS, kilm tra tinh hinh thUc hien dU In, rl seat d c du an phlt tnln khu do thj mdi, d c du In phat trien nha d d l tSng cUdng quin ly, dieu chlnh thi tn/dng BDS.
Nlm 2012, II nam dau tien tnen khai thUc hidn chien lUdc phat tnen nha d ddn nam 2020 va tam nhin ddn nam 2030, vdl sU quan tam xay dUng va tnln khai d c chinh sach nha d, dac bl$t la dinh sleh nha d d o ngudi mu nhap thap, cho d c dfli tuOng x l •
"•ilW, chfnh sleh ve xay diinj nha d cho yiue. Nlm 2102 cOrTg la naj|f dilu BgRi^Uc hipF^dng^^ra soat
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Diy manh nha d xa hoi, nha d cho ngiidi thu nhap thap ia cti sd quan trong thuc day thi tri/dng BDS 2013 phat tnen
cua Thu tudng Qiinh phu de phan loai du an nao can tam diJng, da an nao can dieu chinh, du an nao tiep tuc difclc tnen \<ha\... Day chinh la cd sd de thi trUdng BDS phat tnen dung hudng trong nhQng nam tdi,
Trien vpng thj trUdng bat dpng san nam 2013
Thi trLldng BDS b\J6c sang nam 2013 vdi nhieu dieu kien thuan ldi, biJdc dau CO tnen vpng tot,
Nam 2013, la nam ban le cua ite hoach 5 nam 2011 - 2015 vdi sU phuc hoi cua kmh te the gidi, su on dinh kinh te trong nUdc, lam phat dUdc kiem che, lai xuat tin dung giam, cung vdi sU chi dao quyet liet cua Chinh phu trien khai tong the cac nhom giai phap ve thao gS kho khan cho thi trUdng BOS gan vdi viec thiic hien chien luoc nha d den nam 2020 va tam nhin den nam 2030 day manh phat tnen nha d xa hgi, nha d cho ngudi thu nhap thap, la cO sd quan trong thuc day thi trUdng BDS phat tnen,
Tnen khai Nghi quyet so 02/NQ-CP ngay 07/01/2013 cua Chinh phu, nam 2013, cac doanh nghiep se dUdc h6 trd tif chinh sach dan nd thue thu nhap doanh nghiep, thue gia tri gia tang, giam tien thue dat, doanh nghiep diJdc nop tien sU dung dat theo tien do ban hang, lai suat tin dung tiep tuc ha xuong; Cac ngan hang thiJdng mai se danh lUdng von nhat dinh cho cac doi tUdng chinh sach vay mua nha de d v6i lai suat hop ly va keo dai thdi han cho vay. Dong thdi, cac 86 nganh va cac dia phiJOng thuc hien tot viec tnen khai cac giai phap thao gS kho khan cho thi trudng BDS... thi thi trudng se co dieu kien khoi phuc trd lai va phat tnln on dinh
Tren cd s6 chl dao quyet liet cua Chinh phu, sU vao cuoc cua cac Bo, nganh, dia pht/Ong thUc hien d c giai phap thao gd kho khan cho thi trudng BDS de d c giai phap cua Chinh phu di vao cupc song cung vdi su co gang no IUc tu dieu chinh cua cac doanh nghiep kmh doanh BOS, dac biet cua ngUdi dan d mem tin vao thi trudng, tnen vong thi tn/dng BDS nam 2013 se am dan ler^ se eo chieu hudng phuc hoi. Chinh thdi diem nay la thdi diem phu hdp de ngudi dan co nhu cau cdthe manh dan dau tii, lUa chpn cho minh d ch6 6 hop ly vdl g l a d phu hdp B
•p/idtCfc truong Cue quan ly n/i3'iM BO Xay fJCig
24 [Bo a a - e o ' t f l I IQC vigN CAN.ECLQUAN LY XAY DUNG VA GO IHI
