No
Thn
Y
Least square
Kuadratik
Exponential
Y’
(Y-Y’)
2Y’
(Y-Y’)
2Y’
(Y-Y’)
21 1995 10000 10727.27 528925.6 9386.533 376341.7601 10071.71 5141.966
2 1996 11000 10818.18 33057.85 9641.3708 1845873.303 10080.71 845103.3
3 1997 12000 10909.09 1190083 9859.7802 4580540.792 10089.7 36492.37
4 1998 10000 11000 1000000 10041.7612 1743.997825 10098.7 974169
5 1999 10000 11090.91 1190083 10187.3138 35086.45967 10107.7 11598.75
6 2000 13000 11181.82 3305785 10296.438 7309247.488 10116.7 8313448
7 2001 12000 11272.73 528925.6 10369.1338 2659724.562 10125.69 35130.29
8 2002 12000 11363.64 404958.7 10405.4012 2542745.333 10134.69 3479381
9 2003 10000 11454.55 2115702 10405.2402 164219.6197 10143.69 20646.1
10 2004 11000 11545.45 297520.7 10368.6508 398601.8123 10152.69 7179427
11 2005 12000 11636.36 132231.4 10295.633 2904866.871 10161.68 33794.11 jml 11 123000 123000 10727273 111257.256 137892036.6 111283.6 23944680
1. Metode kuadrat terkecil:
Least square = 10727273
Metode Kuadratik
=137892036.6Exponential
= 23944680
2. AAE =
N Y Y
'=
Least square
=
11 ' 10727273
=
975206.6Metode Kuadratik
=
11
' 6 137892036.
=
12535640Exponential
=
N
23944680'=
21767893. RASE
11 ) '
( 2
Y Y