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(1)

GODFREY HODGSON HOLMES TARCA

CHAPTER 11

POSITIVE THEORY OF

(2)

Early demand for theory

Capital markets research tried to explain

the effects of accounting

was ultimately inconclusive and inconsistent

mechanistic and no-effects hypotheses

This research relied upon the EMH

ultimately there were too many departures

Led to the development of a positive

(3)

Early demand for theory

Positive theory incorporated a number

of observations

many firms voluntarily provided

accounting reports

firms lobbied in relation to accounting

standards

(4)

Contracting theory

The firm is seen as a ‘nexus’ of

contractual relationships

The firm is seen as an efficient way

of organising economic activity to

reduce contracting costs

equity (management) contracts (an

(5)

Agency theory

An agency contract is one where one party

(the principal) engages another (the agent) to act on their behalf

e.g. where there is a separation of management

and ownership

Both parties are utility maximisers

agent may therefore act from self-interest

divergence of interests is the agency problemcontracts incorporating accounting numbers can

(6)

Agency theory

The agency problem in turn gives

rise to agency costs spent to

overcome it

monitoring costsbonding costs

(7)

Agency theory

Monitoring Costs – the cost of monitoring

the agent’s behaviour; initially borne by the principal but passed on to the agent through an adjustment to their remuneration (price protection)

auditing costs, operating rules…

Bonding Costs – the cost borne by the agent

as a result of them taking action to align their interests with those of the principal

providing more regular financial reports (a cost

to the manager in terms of time and effort)

(8)

Agency theory

The agents incur bonding costs in

order to reduce the monitoring costs

they eventually bear

Agents stop spending on bonding

costs when the marginal cost equals

the marginal reduction in the

(9)

Agency theory

Residual Loss the loss associated with

not being able to fully align the interests of the agent with those of the principal

Ex post settling up – (ex post = at the

end of each period)

agent’s future remuneration based on

observed agent performance

the principal changes the remuneration to be

(10)

Agency theory

In the real world, price protection and

settling up are not perfect or complete

Agents perceive that they will therefore not

be fully penalised for their divergent behaviour

They have incentives to act opportunisticallyThis increases the residual loss

This loss is borne by the principal as well as,

(11)

Agency theory

Agency theory attributes a role for

accounting

Accounting is part of the monitoring

and bonding mechanisms

Accounting numbers are used in

(12)

Price protection and

shareholder/manager agency

problems

The separation of ownership and

management leads to divergent

behaviour by agents

Divergence comes about because of

the risk-aversion problem

(13)

Price protection and

shareholder/manager agency

problems

Risk aversion

managers prefer less risk than do

shareholders

different degrees of diversification affecting

risk

(14)

Price protection and

shareholder/manager agency

problems

Dividend-retention

managers prefer to pay out less of the

profits as dividends than shareholders prefer

(15)

Price protection and

shareholder/manager agency

problems

Horizon

managers have a shorter time horizon

with respect to their association with the firm than do shareholders

shareholders are interested in future cash

flows

managers have a time horizon only as long

(16)

Price protection and

shareholder/manager agency

problems

Contracting can be used to reduce

the severity of these problems

manager remuneration is usually tied to firm

performance in some way to motivate

managers to act in the shareholders’ interest

performance can be related to accounting numbers

such as sales, profits, return on assets, net asset growth, cash flow, etc

(17)

Shareholder-debtholder

agency problems

In this context, the manager is

assumed to be either the sole owner

of the firm, or has interests that are

totally aligned with the interests of

the shareholders

the principal is the debtholder

the agent is the manager acting on

(18)

Shareholder-debtholder

agency problems

Firm value is the value of debt plus

the value of equity

The value of equity can be increased

by

either increasing the value of the firm

(efficient contracting); or

transferring wealth away from

(19)

Shareholder-debtholder

agency problems

Varieties of opportunistic behaviour

excessive dividend payments asset substitution

(20)

Shareholder-debtholder

agency problems

Excessive dividend payments

reduces the asset base securing the debt

shareholders have received cash but limited

liability protects them from being personally liable for the debts of the firm in the event of bankruptcy

(21)

Shareholder-debtholder

agency problems

Asset substitution

firm invests in higher risk projects to

benefit shareholders

no benefit to debtholders

but do share in possible losses

shareholders are able to diversify and

have limited liability

(22)

Shareholder-debtholder

agency problems

Underinvestment

in some circumstances, shareholders

have incentives not to undertake

positive NPV projects because to do so would increase the funds available to the debtholders but not to the

(23)

Shareholder-debtholder

agency problems

Claim dilution

occurs when the firm issues debt of a

higher priority than the debt already on issue

decreases the relative security and

(24)

Shareholder-debtholder

agency problems

Lenders will price protect

through interest rates, the withholding

of funds and the length of the loan

The interests of shareholders can be

bonded to those of debtholders via

restrictions in lending agreements

(25)

Ex post

opportunism

versus

ex

ante

efficient

contracting

Ex post

opportunism

occurs when, once a contact is in place,

(26)

Ex post

opportunism

versus

ex

ante

efficient

contracting

Ex ante

efficient contracting

occurs when agents take actions that

maximise the amount of wealth available to distribute between principals and agents

(27)

Signalling theory

Managers voluntarily provide

information to investors - signals - to

assist in their decision making

Similar to efficient contracting

Aligned with the information hypothesis

Managers signal expectations and

intentions regarding the future

Incentives to signal good, neutral and

(28)

Political processes

Often firms try to avoid public

attention that is costly to them

financially

in terms of public perception and

reputation

They reduce their reported profit or

(29)

Conservatism,

accounting standards and

agency costs

Conservatism shows a bias by

accountants accelerating recognition

of expenses and decelerating

recognition of revenue

IASB argues this does not reveal the

(30)

Additional empirical tests

of the theory

Testing the opportunistic and political

cost hypothesis

Tests using contract details

Refining the specification of political

costs

Testing the efficient contracting

(31)

Additional empirical tests

of the theory

Evidence that managers use

accounting numbers to

counter political pressure

gain political advantages

set management targets related to

remuneration

minimise breaching debt covenants

provide dividend constraints

(32)

Evaluating the theory

Mixed support for positive accounting

theory

Two categories of major criticism

methodological and statistical criticism

• empirical evidence is weak and inconclusive

philosophical criticism

contrary to its claims, it is laden with value

judgments

focuses on human behaviour and not the behaviour

(33)

Issues for auditors

The demand for auditing can be

explained by agency theory as part

of the monitoring and bonding

activity and costs

higher quality auditors

(34)

Summary

Positive accounting theory has been a major force in academic accounting research

Incorporates a theoretical model of

contractual exchange between persons who use accounting numbers to effect their payoffs • Provides an explanation as to why accountants

account as they do

minimises the cost of agency relationships

(35)

Key terms and concepts

Positive theory

Contracting theoryAgency theory

Agents Principals

Monitoring costsBonding costsResidual loss

Ex post settling up

Risk aversion problem

(36)

Key terms and concepts

Shareholder/manager agency problemShareholder/debtholder agency problemExcessive dividend payment problemAsset substitution problem

Underinvestment problemClaim dilution problem

Ex post opportunism

Ex ante efficient contractingSignalling theory

(37)

Referensi

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