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CHAPTER 13

Capital Structure and

Leverage

 Business vs. financial risk  Optimal capital structure  Operating leverage

(2)

 Uncertainty about future operating income (EBIT),

i.e., how well can we predict operating income?

 Note that business risk does not include financing

effects.

What is business risk?

Probability

EBIT E(EBIT)

0

Low risk

(3)

What determines business

risk?

 Uncertainty about demand (sales).  Uncertainty about output prices.

 Uncertainty about costs.

(4)

What is operating leverage, and

how does it affect a firm’s

business risk?

 Operating leverage is the use of

fixed costs rather than variable costs.

 If most costs are fixed, hence do

(5)

Effect of operating

leverage

 More operating leverage leads to more

business risk, for then a small sales decline causes a big profit decline.

What happens if variable costs change?

Sales

$ Rev.

TC

FC

QBE Sales

$ Rev.

TC FC

QBE

(6)

Using operating leverage

 Typical situation: Can use operating leverage to get higher E(EBIT), but risk also increases.

Probability

EBITL

Low operating leverage

High operating leverage

(7)

What is financial leverage?

Financial risk?

 Financial leverage is the use of

debt and preferred stock.

 Financial risk is the additional

risk concentrated on common stockholders as a result of

(8)

Business risk vs. Financial

risk

 Business risk depends on business

factors such as competition,

product liability, and operating leverage.

 Financial risk depends only on the

types of securities issued.

 More debt, more financial risk.  Concentrates business risk on

(9)

An example:

Illustrating effects of financial leverage

 Two firms with the same operating

leverage, business risk, and probability distribution of EBIT.

 Only differ with respect to their use of

debt (capital structure).

Firm U Firm L

No debt $10,000 of 12% debt

(10)

Firm U: Unleveraged

Economy

Bad Avg. Good

Prob. 0.25 0.50 0.25

EBIT $2,000 $3,000 $4,000

Interest 0 0 0

EBT $2,000 $3,000 $4,000

Taxes (40%) 800 1,200 1,600

(11)

Firm L: Leveraged

Economy

Bad Avg. Good

Prob.* 0.25 0.50 0.25

EBIT* $2,000 $3,000 $4,000

Interest 1,200 1,200 1,200

EBT $ 800 $1,800 $2,800

Taxes (40%) 320 720 1,120

NI $ 480 $1,080 $1,680

(12)

Ratio comparison between

leveraged and unleveraged

firms

FIRM U Bad Avg Good

BEP 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% ROE 6.0% 9.0% 12.0% TIE ∞ ∞ ∞

FIRM L Bad Avg Good

(13)

Risk and return for leveraged

and unleveraged firms

Expected Values: Firm U Firm L

E(BEP) 15.0% 15.0% E(ROE) 9.0% 10.8%

E(TIE) ∞ 2.5x

Risk Measures:

Firm U Firm L

σROE2.12% 4.24%

(14)

The effect of leverage on

profitability and debt

coverage

 For leverage to raise expected ROE, must

have BEP > kd.  Why? If k

d > BEP, then the interest

expense will be higher than the operating income produced by debt-financed assets, so leverage will depress income.

 As debt increases, TIE decreases because

(15)

Conclusions

 Basic earning power (BEP) is

unaffected by financial leverage.

 L has higher expected ROE

because BEP > kd.

 L has much wider ROE (and EPS)

swings because of fixed interest charges. Its higher expected

(16)

Optimal Capital Structure

 That capital structure (mix of debt,

preferred, and common equity) at which P0 is maximized. Trades off higher E(ROE) and EPS against higher risk. The

tax-related benefits of leverage are exactly offset by the debt’s risk-related costs.

 The target capital structure is the mix of

debt, preferred stock, and common equity with which the firm intends to raise

(17)

Describe the sequence of

events in a

recapitalization.

 Campus Deli announces the

recapitalization.

 New debt is issued.

 Proceeds are used to repurchase

stock.

 The number of shares repurchased

is equal to the amount of debt

(18)

Cost of debt at different levels of debt, after the proposed

recapitalization

Amount D/A D/E Bond

borrowed ratio ratio rating kd $ 0 0 0 --

250 0.125 0.1429 AA 8.0%

500 0.250 0.3333 A 9.0%

750 0.375 0.6000 BBB 11.5%

(19)

Why do the bond rating and cost of debt depend upon the amount

borrowed?

 As the firm borrows more

(20)

Analyze the proposed

recapitalization at various levels of debt. Determine the EPS and TIE at each level of debt.

(21)

Determining EPS and TIE at different levels of debt.

(D = $250,000 and kd = 8%)

(22)

Determining EPS and TIE at different levels of debt.

(D = $500,000 and kd = 9%)

(23)

Determining EPS and TIE at different levels of debt.

(D = $750,000 and kd = 11.5%)

(24)

Determining EPS and TIE at different levels of debt.

(D = $1,000,000 and kd = 14%)

(25)

Stock Price, with zero

growth

 If all earnings are paid out as

dividends, E(g) = 0.

 EPS = DPS

 To find the expected stock price (P

0),

we must find the appropriate ks at each of the debt levels discussed.

s s

s 1 0

k DPS k

EPS

g -k

D

(26)

What effect does increasing debt have on the cost of equity for the firm?

 If the level of debt increases, the

riskiness of the firm increases.

 We have already observed the

increase in the cost of debt.

 However, the riskiness of the firm’s

(27)

The Hamada Equation

 Because the increased use of debt causes

both the costs of debt and equity to

increase, we need to estimate the new cost of equity.

 The Hamada equation attempts to quantify

the increased cost of equity due to financial leverage.

 Uses the unlevered beta of a firm, which

(28)

The Hamada Equation

βL = βU[ 1 + (1 - T) (D/E)]

 Suppose, the risk-free rate is 6%,

(29)

Calculating levered betas and

costs of equity

If D = $250,

βL = 1.0 [ 1 + (0.6)($250/$1,750) ]

βL = 1.0857

ks = kRF + (kM – kRF) βL

ks = 6.0% + (6.0%) 1.0857

(30)
[image:30.720.24.679.44.497.2]

Table for calculating levered

betas and costs of equity

Amount borrowed

$ 0

(31)

Finding Optimal Capital

Structure

 The firm’s optimal capital

structure can be determined two ways:

 Minimizes WACC.

 Maximizes stock price.

 Both methods yield the same

(32)
[image:32.720.49.669.184.479.2]

Table for calculating WACC

and determining the

minimum WACC

D/A ratio 0.00% 12.50 25.00 37.50 50.00 WACC 12.00% 11.55 11.25 11.44 12.00 E/A ratio 100.00% 87.50 75.00 62.50 50.00 ks 12.00% 12.51 13.20 14.16 15.60

kd (1 – T) 0.00% 4.80 5.40 6.90 8.40 Amount borrowed $ 0 250 500 750 1,000

(33)
[image:33.720.21.654.35.479.2]

Table for determining the

stock price maximizing

capital structure

Amount

Borrowed DPS ks P0

$ 0 $3.00 12.00% $25.00

250,000 3.26 12.51

500,000 3.55 13.20

26.03 26.89

750,000 3.77 14.16 26.59

(34)

What debt ratio maximizes

EPS?

 Maximum EPS = $3.90 at D =

$1,000,000, and D/A = 50%.

(Remember DPS = EPS because payout = 100%.)

(35)

What is Campus Deli’s

optimal capital structure?

 P

0 is maximized ($26.89) at D/A =

$500,000/$2,000,000 = 25%, so optimal D/A = 25%.

 EPS is maximized at 50%, but primary

interest is stock price, not E(EPS).

 The example shows that we can push up

(36)

What if there were more/less business risk than originally

estimated, how would the analysis be affected?

 If there were higher business risk,

then the probability of financial

distress would be greater at any debt level, and the optimal capital

structure would be one that had less debt. On the other hand, lower

business risk would lead to an

(37)

Other factors to consider when

establishing the firm’s target capital structure

1. Industry average debt ratio

2. TIE ratios under different scenarios

3. Lender/rating agency attitudes

4. Reserve borrowing capacity

5. Effects of financing on control

6. Asset structure

(38)

How would these factors

affect the target capital

structure?

1. Sales stability?

2. High operating leverage?

3. Increase in the corporate tax rate?

4. Increase in the personal tax rate?

5. Increase in bankruptcy costs?

6. Management spending lots of

(39)

Modigliani-Miller Irrelevance

Theory

Value of Stock

0 D D D/A

MM result

Actual

(40)

Modigliani-Miller Irrelevance

Theory

 The graph shows MM’s tax benefit

vs. bankruptcy cost theory.

 Logical, but doesn’t tell whole

capital structure story. Main

(41)

Incorporating signaling

effects

 Signaling theory suggests firms

should use less debt than MM suggest.

 This unused debt capacity helps

(42)

What are “signaling” effects

in capital structure?

 Assume:

 Managers have better information

about a firm’s long-run value than outside investors.

 Managers act in the best interests of

(43)

What can managers be

expected to do?

 Issue stock if they think stock is

overvalued.

 Issue debt if they think stock is

undervalued.

 As a result, investors view a

common stock offering as a

(44)

Conclusions on Capital

Structure

 Need to make calculations as we did,

but should also recognize inputs are “guesstimates.”

 As a result of imprecise numbers, capital

structure decisions have a large judgmental content.

 We end up with capital structures

Gambar

Table for calculating levered
Table for calculating WACC
Table for determining the

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