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SATYA WIDYA YUDHA

CIRCULAR ECONOMY AND

INDONESIA’S NDC:

CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR A

SUSTAINABLE FUTURE

Circular Economy Forum

Jakarta Convention Center

12 July 2017

(2)

CIRCULAR ECONOMY

Theoretical basis: David W. Pearce & R. Kerry Turner, 1990

Primary thesis

The current economic system does not

provide any real incentive for recycling;

almost all products; almost all products

are manufactured to be ultimately

disposed of.

The future: circular economy

Reuse, refurbish, remanufacture, recycle

Status quo: linear economy

Take, make, dispose ->

WASTEFUL

NO WASTE

In 2015 the EU implemented a new Circular Economy Package, designed to

encourage the system by funding implementaAon efforts as well as seCng up

(3)

CIRCULAR ECONOMY

Responding to global sustainability problems

Global Household Expenditure

1970: USD7 trillion

2012: USD25 trillion

Global GDP (Business As Usual)

2010: -1.6%

2030: -3.2%

Waste

2025: ± 2.2 trillion kilograms of waste

produced in urban settings alone

Commodity Prices

Increased 3x in the last 10 years

Climate Change & Environmental

Effects

Consistently worsening conditions from

year to year as a result of rising industrial

and household emissions

Global Resource Needs

2014: 50 billion tons

2050: 130 billion ton

Annual Raw Material Extraction

(4)

CIRCULAR ECONOMY

Fundamental and comprehensive change in economic activities

BUSINESS AS USUAL

Example of circular economy:

The

Mud Jeans

brand in the

Netherlands: jeans are rented

un2l outworn, then returned and

recycled and made into new

(5)

LOCAL INITIATIVES IN CIRCULAR ECONOMY

Examples of locally-based dissemination and sustainable processing

Cattle dung-powered biogas

reactor, Padang (PT Swen IT)

Local recyclers, Indonesia Plastic

Recyclers Association (ADUPI)

3,400 units in 243 regencies/

cities in 33 provinces

400,000 tons of plastic a year are

recycled from a total of 3–4

(6)

CIRCULAR ECONOMY AND NDC

A Zero-Waste Economy to Support Reducing Emissions

No. Sector

2010 (Million

Tons of CO2e)

2030 Emissions Levels (Million Tons of CO2e)

Emissions ReducAons

Million Tons of CO2e % of total BAU

CM1 = Counter Measure 1 (uncondi'onal mi2ga2on scenario)

CM2 = Counter Measure 2 (condi'onal mi2ga2on scenario)

(7)

CIRCULAR ECONOMY AND NDC

Emissions mitigation in the waste sector: in-line with the circular economy

URBAN SOLID WASTE SECTOR

BAU CM1 CM2

MiAgaAon steps in the processing of solid waste, an incrase in LFG recovery implementaAon from 2010 to 2030.

No mi2ga2on steps.

LFG recovery reduces CH4 from

0.65% to 10%.

LFG recovery reduces CH4 from

0.65% to 10%.

Increase in the percentage of waste handled through

composAng and 3 R (paper).

No mi2ga2on steps.

Increase to 22% in

Increase in the uAlizaAon of waste through waste-fired power plants/ RDF (Refuse Derived Fuel).

No mi2ga2on steps.

- Up to 3% of total waste in 2020 and increasing to 5% in 2030. and increasing to 5% in 2030.

- Development of waste-fired power plants in 12 ci2es

(8)

CIRCULAR ECONOMY AND NDC

Emissions mitigation in the power sector: in-line with the circular economy

ENERGY SECTOR

BAU CM1 CM2

UAlizaAon of renewables (solar, wind, and biomass/ waste) and efficient

technologies in power

generators in accordance with General ElectrificaAon Plans for 2016–2025.

No usage of renewables and efficient technologies.

Increase in renewables usage and efficient

technologies.

Increase in renewables usage.

100% penggan2an minyak tanah menjadi

bahan bakar gas.

More extensive usage of ultra supercri2cal

technology (44% efficiency) in coal-fired

power plants. Increase in use of

superefficient energy equipment (best available technology, BAT) in industry, commerce, and residences in 2030.

0% penetra2on. 10% penetra2on. 20% penetra2on.

Increase in use of biofuel in the transportaAon sector in 2030.

No increase.

Increase up to 5% of total energy from the transporta2on sector.

Increase up to 10% of total energy from the transporta2on sector.

In an ideal circular

economy model, all

acAvity is powered by

(9)

IPPU SECTOR

BAU CM1 CM2

Management of industrial

processes and product use (IPPU) in large industries.

No mi2ga2on in industrial processes.

Reducing “clinker to cement ra2o” in the cement industry (blended cement) from 80% in

2010 to 75% in 2030.

Increasing amount of cement companies that reduce their

“clinker to cement

ra2o” (blended cement) from 80% in 2010 to 75% in 2030. Ammonia industry: increase in

efficiency through op2miza2on of natural gas usage (feedstock)

and CO2 recovery in Primary Reformers.

Ammonia industry: increase in efficiency through op2miza2on of natural gas usage (feedstock)

and CO2 recovery in Primary Reformers.

Other steps:

- Steel industry to implement: CO2 recovery, process

improvement in smelters, u2liza2on of scrap iron - Remainder of IPPU claims

(PFCs) from CDM aluminum smelters.

Other steps:

- Steel industry to implement: CO2 recovery, process

improvement in smelters, u2liza2on of scrap iron - Remainder of IPPU claims

(PFCs) from CDM aluminum smelters.

CIRCULAR ECONOMY AND NDC

(10)

POSITIVE MARKET POTENTIAL

Indonesia ranks seventh overall out of 50 countries on the 2015 Top Markets

Study (TMS) with the market for environmental technologies valued at USD

6.3 billion in 2016. (International Trade Administration, 2016)

(11)

WWW.SATYAYUDHA.COM

FOLLOW ME ON TWITTER: @SATYAWIDYAYUDHA

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