Sustainable Energy Technology Asia (SETA) 2018
BITEC, Bangkok – Thailand, 21-23 March 2018
Masyarakat Energi Terbarukan Indonesia
(The Indonesian Renewable Energy Society) Gedung BPSDM Lantai 5
Jl. Gatot Subroto Kav.49, Jakarta 10340
Ph: 021-38901106,38901107 ; Fax : 021-38901108
E-mail: meti.ires@gmail.com ; http: //www.meti.or.id
Dr. Surya Darma
1. What is METI?
2. Strategic Issues on Energy Management
3. Energy Security Aspect
4. History Policy of the Energy
5. National Energy Policy
6. Lessons Learnt From National Energy Policy
7. Why RE in Indonesia?
8. RE Development Barriers in Indonesia
9. RE Target and Road Map
10. METIs Role in RE Development in Indonesia
11. Summary
Masyarakat Energi Terbarukan Indonesia
(METI) – Indonesia Renewable Energy Society
➢ Established in Jakarta on 1999.
➢ About 700 Members: Expertise, Private and State Own Company, Industry, Consultant, Lawyer, Academician, NGO, Government
➢ To advocate, communicate, assistance, consult, cooperation and partnership between expertise, RE operator and development and
the Universities and other research institute even national and international
➢ Forum for all RE Association: (API- INAGA, Asosiasi Biogas, Masyarakat Biogas Indonesia, Ahli Bioenergi, Biomasa, Mini
Hidro, Hidro Bandung, APAMSI & AESI, AEAI & MEAI, ASELI, APROBI, APLIBI, APPLTA, etc.)
➢ Subsidiary of METI:
➢ Yayasan Energi Lestari (YEL) – Sustainable Energy Institute
Strategic Issues on
Energy Management
Indonesia will become a net importer of gas by 2027 and net
importer coal by 2046. Need a significant effort to delay these
(Source: BPPT).
On the other hand, RE development take about 8-10 years for
geothermal plant; and take about 7-8 years for hydropower.
GOI commitment to reduce CO
2
29% by 2030
12
Source: Bappenas 2015
Simulation of Indonesian baseline emission 2010 – 2045 (in thousand tCO2e)
Source: Bappenas 2015
Against this background, Indonesian government has committed to reduce greenhouse gas emission by 26% using domestic resources, and if supported by international community, the emission reduction could reach 41%, to be achieved by 2020. Further, Indonesia also commits to reduce emission between 2020 – 2030 by 29% compared with the baseline.
The general business plan of PLN for the supply of electricity for 2015 — 2024 foresees the
development of 55 hydro power plants with the total installed capacity of 2,438 MW. These are hydro power plant with the capacity of > 10 MW each. Power plants < 10 MW are not included in this business plan, since this category is as well accessible for Independent Power Producers
(IPPs). PLN is obliged to buy electricity from IPPs generated by renewable energy sources with this installed capacity.
The following table shows the government plan to develop renewable energy between 2015 - 2019:
Hasil simulasi jangka panjang menunjukkan trend emisi GRK meningkat cukup signifikan terutama berasal dari sektor energi hingga tahun 2015-2030. Pasca 2030, emisi diperkirakan stabil pada seluruh sektor, kecuali di sektor Energi. Peak Emisi Indonesia diperkirakan berada
pada tahun 2045 dengan tingkat emisi sebesar 3.48 Gg ton CO2e pada 2045Sector 2010 2015 2020 2030 2045
IPPU 37,749 37,717 47,876 78,205 130,658 Energy 414,786 560,282 806,081 1,438,629 1,712,274 Waste 108,156 133,432 182,027 284,886 491,897 AFOLU (no peat) 339,804 367,130 379,803 436,171 625,235 Peat decoposition 245,411 249,546 251,093 254,047 257,230 Peat fire 314,467 288,445 137,171 385,709 266,998 Total emission (without peat fire) 1,145,906 1,348,107 1,666,880 2,491,938 3,217,294 Total emission (including peat fire) 1,460,373 1,636,552 1,804,051 2,877,647 3,484,292
Emisi GRK dari sektor energi menjadi kontributor utama emisi
GRK Indonesia mulai 2020 dan dapat diturunkan apabila target ET
KEN tercapai
Kehutanan, Gambut, Pertanian 680 Juta Ton
Sektor Energi 30 Juta Ton
Limbah 48 Juta Ton
Industri dan Transportasi 9 Juta Ton
Melalui pengembangan energi baru terbarukan
dan pelaksanaan
konservasi energi dari seluruh sektor
CO2 Emision Reduction by 2030
29%
(856 juta Ton) 41%
Self Effort With International Support
Perpres No. 61/2011
RAN-GRK & UU No.16/2016
Perpres No. 71/2011
GHG Inventory dan MRV
CO
2
Reduction
Investment/additional
capacity netto in 2014
• Cina investasi secara massif untuk ET
sebagai upaya untuk mengurangi
ketergantungan kepada energi fosil dan
sekaligus penurunan emisi GRK
• Kenya memimpin dalam investasi panas
bumi
Source: REN21
Global Trend in
RE Development
Installed Capacity in 2014
Global Trend in
RE Development
Energy Security Aspect
• Availability (Supply)
– National & International Sources (Import), Bukan berarti harus diproduksi sendiri – Energy security ≠ self-sufficiency
• Affordability - Keterjangkauan harga
– Apa indikator keterjangkauan? – Perlukah subsidi
– Harga yang terlalu rendah tidak mendorong investasi dan inovasi
• Accessability - Stabilitas harga
– Jarang ditinjau
Indonesia’s Energy Problems
•
Energy Resources Conflicts – for domestic or export?
•
Declining oil & gas production
•
Limited energy access and infrastructures
•
Imported fuel and LPG Dependences
•
Uncompetitive NRE prices
•
Low RE utilisation
•
Inefficient energy utilisation
•
Low NRE technology mastery
•
Geopolitical condition and environmental issues
•
National energy reserves
Diversification initiatives 2000’s:
• Building more coal power plant
• Building more natural gas power plant • Building liquid natural gas power plant • Privatization of non petrol power plant • Conversion of petrol power plant into gas
Diversification initiatives 1990’s:
• Building coal power plant
• Building natural gas power plant
• Building more Geothermal power plant • Privatization of non petrol power plant
Diversification initiatives 1980’s:
• Building coal power plant • Building big Hydro plant
• Building Geothermal power plant in Kamojang
Crisis (1998):
• Increase sale
• No additional Power plant
• Covered by petrol based plant
History Policy of the Energy
1980
1990
2000
2010
2017
Before 1980:
• Mostly using Petrol • Small Hydro
Perpres No.5 Tahun 2006
Kebijakan Energi
Nasional
Energy Law No.30 Year 2007 :
Energy supply through:
1) Resources inventarisation; 2) Increase energy reserve; 3) Energy balance;
4) Diversify, conservation, and intensify energy and energy sources; and
5) Guaranteeing energy supply, transmision, and energy resources and energy storage
RUEN; Prepres No.22 Tahun 2017;
Target ET: 23% Bauran Energi
Nasional pada Tahun 2025
2006
2014
2025
2030
2050
Perpres No.79 Tahun 2014
Kebijakan Energi Nasional
RUEN; Prepres No.22 Tahun 2017;
Target ET: 25% Bauran Energi
Nasional pada Tahun 2030
RUEN; Prepres No.22 Tahun 2017;
Target ET: 31% Bauran Energi
Nasional pada Tahun 2050;
BBN ditargetkan sebesar 26% dari
target EBT
2013
2025
2050
5% 46% 31% 18% 23% 25% 30% 22% 31% 20% 25% 24% Total 194 MTOE Total 400 MTOE Total 1000 MTOEPower Plant: 51 GW
Energy Consumption: 0.8 TOE/kap
Electricity Consumption: 776 KWh/kap
Electrification Ratio (2014): 84.33%
Power Plant:115 GW
Energy Consumption: 1.4 TOE/kap
Electricity Consumption: 2,500 KWh/kap
Electrification Ratio (2020): closely to 100%
Power Plant:430 GW
Energy Consumption: 3.2 TOE/kap
Electricity Consumption: 7,000 KWh/kap
New and Renewable Energy
Oil
Natural Gas
Coal
Data Source: National Energy Council, 2015
LONG TERM PLANNING OF
ENERGY DEVELOPMENT
23% 25% 30% 22% 5% 46% 31% 18%
194
MTOE
~ 400 MTOE
New & RE
Oil
Gas
Coal
Year 2025
Current Status (2014)
Energy Mix Target in 2025
– From NEP
Saat ini
Tahun 2025
Installed Capacity
51 GW
115 GW
Energy Consumption
0,8 TOE/kapita
1,4 TOE/kapita
Lessons Learnt From
National Energy Policy
- Intensification
- Energy Diersification
- Energy Conservation
- Pricing Policy
- Environment
- Mostly using Petrol (77%)
1.
To guarantee the energy availability through for domestic need for domestic need „
2.
To improve quality services „
3.
To guarantee long term sustainability of energy supply energy supply „
4.
To guarantee energy for export purposes „
5.
To conserve and preserve the environment.
Indonesian Government Aims
(2006)
Geothermal
Resources : 12,3 GW
Reserve : 17,2 GW
Ocean Energy
17,9 GW
RE Potential
Energi Fosil
Cadangan terbukti:
• Minyak Bumi : 3,6 miliar barel • Gas Bumi : 100,3 TSCF
• Batubara : 7,2 miliar ton
Produksi:
• Minyak Bumi : 288 Juta barel • Gas Bumi : 2,97 TSCF
• Batubara : 434 juta ton
Diperkirakan akan habis:
• Minyak Bumi : 13 tahun • Gas Bumi : 34 tahun • Batubara : 16 tahun
Hydro/Mini
hydro 75 GW
Solar
207,8 GWp
Wind
60,6 GW
Installed Capacity
Current Status
Planning
-Under Development
59,656 MW
35.000 MW
+7.500 MW New project Installed: Hydro 5,124 GW Mini Hydro 0,162 GW (7,07%) 0,085 GWp (0,04%) 1,64 GW (5,6%) 1,1 MW (0,002%) 1,78 GW (5,5%) 0,0 MW (0,000%)443,2 GW
Bioenergy
32,6 GW
8,80 GW
(2% of total potency)
BBN 200 Ribu Bph24
• Its renewable and environmental friendly
• Business : capital intensive, high technology, high risk.
• Energy Security: Abundant and the most completed Resources in the world which is
located in the rural area
• Positive economic impact to the rural, which is very difficult to be reached by fossil
fuel (limited fossil fuel infrastructure)
• To reduce risk and increase affordability may collaborate to any international
partnership through fiscal and non fiscal incentive.
• Need “level of playing field”
• Can not be transported – but positive economic impact to the local people
INFORMATION TO FACILITATE CLARITY, TRANSPARENCY AND UNDERSTANDING
!
Reduction Level # Unconditional Reduction , conditional Reduction, type, Coverage, Scope, Baseline, Fair and Ambitious
!
Key Assumption in Mitigation # Metric Applied, Methodology for estimating emission, Baseline, Assumption Used for
Projection and Policy Scenario 2020-2030, Coverage of Emission Reduction, Projected BAU and emission reduction from
each sector category
Projected BAU and emission reduction from each sector category
• Government Commitment
to reduce CO
2Emision
-GHG
• RE is one of the main
target in CO
2emision
reduction
RE Issues
Economical Tariff
“NIMBY” (not in my back yard) Perception (mindset)
Business Process
Regional Government
Business licensed and non-Licensed
Remote areas
Bilateral and Regional Cooperation
Pricing &Financial
Local content
Technology
Policies and Regulations CO2 emissions reduction Incentives Energy savings Abundant RE resources Subsidy Leadership Off-taker (substation,
Transmission and Consumer)
Intermittent
Energy and RE Road
Map Scenario
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 PLT Arus Laut PLT Bayu PLTS PLTD BBN PLT Bioenergi PLTA dan PLTMH PLTP KEN 45 GW 169 GW 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050 Geothermal 1.439 1.654 1.909 2.134 2.494 3.110 7.242 9.300 13.423 17.546 Hydro & Microhidro 5.024 5.119 5.236 5.491 7.008 7.889 20.960 25.844 35.611 45.379 Bio-energy 1.740 1.886 2.093 2.359 2.674 3.024 5.532 9.651 17.887 26.123 Solar 79 229 429 679 979 1.379 6.379 14.103 29.551 45.000Wind 7 57 107 207 307 507 1.807 7.167 17.887 28.607
Ocean & Others 372 1.860 1.860 1.860 1.861 1.863 3.128 3.779 5.081 6.383 Total 8.660 10.804 11.728 12.939 15.807 18.475 45.044 69.843 119.440 169.038
METI’s Role in RE Development
in Indonesia
1. Attractive Policy and Regulation
Perlu mendorong kebijakan dan regulasi untuk mempercepat pencapaian tingkat pemanfaatan energi baru terbarukan dalam bauran energi primer nasional.
2. RE Market
Melalui pemanfaatan EBT, penugasan PT. PLN untuk membeli energi listrik dari energi baru terbarukan
3. National Standard on Materials & Profession – LSP ET
Adanya SNI terkait dengan peralatan pembangkit dan profesi energi baru terbarukan
4. Economic Price (FEED-IN TARIFF)
Dukung Permen ESDM yang mengatur FiT dari pembangkit listrik yang menggunakan energi baru terbarukan sesuai keekonomian
5. RE Incentive and Ease of Doing Business
Perijinan usaha penyediaan tenaga listrik dari energi baru terbarukan yang lebih mudah.
6. Energy Infrastructure
Dorong APBN, APBD dan DAK untuk membangun infrastruktur energi untuk
perdesaan dg prioritas pembangkit listrik sesuai potensi energi terbarukan setempat.
7. Capacity Building
▪ Edukasi dan pelatihan di bidang perencanaan pemanfaatan dan lembaga pembiayaan energi terbarukan.
▪ Meningkatkan jaringan informasi melalui asosiasi atau jejaring terkait dengan energi terbarukan.
8. Local Content for Power Plant Manufacture - PLTM dan PLTA
Dukung adanya R & D pemanfaatan EBT
9. International Cooperation
▪ Kerjasama untuk peningkatan kapasitas dan transfer teknologi pemanfaatan energi baru terbarukan.
▪ Pertukaran informasi terkait regulasi dan kebijakan pemanfaatan energi baru terbarukan dengan negara lain.
▪ Dukungan dalam lesson learnt ET
INDOEBTKE CONEX 2014
INDOEBTKE CONEX 2015
INDOEBTKE CONEX 2017
Theme: Time to Deliver Clean Energy for The Nation
Opened by: Prof. Dr. Boediono, Vice President of The Republic of
Indonesia
Conference Participants: 1208 persons Exhibitors: 31 exhibitors
Visitors: 1985 persons
Theme:“Time to Act:
Accelerate The Implementation of Renewable Energy and Energy Conservation”
Opened by: Prof. Dr. Boediono, Vice President of The Republic of
Indonesia
Conference Participants: 1115 persons Exhibitors: 36 exhibitors
Visitors: 1578 persons
Theme:“Renewable Energy is a Solution for Energy Security and
Paris Agreement”
Opened by: Ignatiius Jonan, Minister of Mineral and Energy Resources of
the Republic of Indonesia
Conference Participants: 198 persons Exhibitors: 30 exhibitors
Visitors: 850 persons
The 7
thIndonesia EBTKE ConEx 2017
Date of Event
27 – 31 August 2018 (Tba)
Theme
Investment Breakthrough to Achieve Renewable Energy Target
Venue
Balai Kartini Auditorium Hall
Hosted by Indonesian Renewable Energy Society (IRES/METI) and supported by Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia.
EVENT TITLE
PARTICIPATION COST
BOOT
H
COLO
R
BOOTH
TYPE
PRICE/M2
REGISTRATION TYPE PRICE
Early Bird
Member METI IDR 2,000,000
Non Member (Indonesia) IDR 2,500,000
Non Member (Foreign) IDR 3,000,000
Normal
Member METI IDR 2,500,000
Non Member (Indonesia) IDR 3,000,000
Non Member (Foreign) IDR 3,500,000
