3 . Angka2 penduduk jang diprojeksikan oleh Dr Hilde Wander dengan pemisahan heavy decline in mortality dan s t a b l e f o r t i l i t y d i D j a w a d a n M a d u r a s e r t a t a n d j a k a n l u r u s k e n a i k a n p e n d u d u k d i l u a r D j a w a d a r i 2 , 2 % p a d a t a h u n 1 9 5 7 , s a m -p a i 2 , 6 % -p a d a t a h u n 1 9 7 7 .
4 . Projeksi penduduk oleh S.P.S. mulai 1954/1957 sampai 1970 d e n g a n k e n a i k a n p e n d u d u k t i a p t a h u n 2 , 3 % , d e n g a n b u n g a m a d j e m u k .
D e p e r n a s b e r p e n d a p a t b a h w a
A n g k a2 U n i t e d N a t i o n s ( 2 ) d a n a n g k a ² H i l d e Wa n d e r ( 3 ) a d a l a h d i p e r o l e h d e n g a n m e t h o d e j a n g m a t h e m a t i s d a n j a n g l e b i h e x a c t d a r i p a d a m e t h o d e p r o j e k s i b u n g a m a d j e m u k m e -n u r u t ( 4 ) d a -n ( 1 ) d a r i B . P. S .
d . S e k a l i p u n d e m i k i a n , a t a s p e r t i m b a n g a n b a h w a k e l e m a h a n2 j a n g t e r d a p a t p a d a a n g k a a t a h u n d a s a r j a n g d i p a k a i d a l a m k e e m p a t m e t h o d e i t u , s e r t a k e l e m a h a n2 d a l a m a n g k a k e l a h i r a n d a n k e -m a t i a n p e n d u d u k -m e -m b u r u k k a n p u l a k e t e p a t a n -m e t h o d e ( 2 ) d a n ( 3 ) j a n g e x a c t i t u , m a k a D e p e r n a s m e n g a n g g a p b a h w a u n -t u k d j a n g k a w a k -t u 1 9 6 0 - 1 9 7 0 d a p a -t d i p a k a i p r o j e k s i b u n g a m a d j e m u k ( 4 ) a t a u ( 1 ) j a n g l e b i h s e d e r h a n a i t u .
e . D e p e r n a s b e r p e n d a p a t , b a h w a a n g k a p e n d u d u k I n d o n e s i a 8 6 , 5 6 9 d j u t a b u a t t a h u n 1 9 5 7 s e k a l i p u n m a s i h u n d e r s t a t e d , b e r h u b u n g p e n d u d u k2 d a e r a h j a n g t a k a m a n t i d a k i k u t t e r t j a t a t , d a n m e n g i -n g a t p e -n g a l a m a -n b a h w a l a p o r a -n2 d j u m l a h p e n d u d u k o l e h p e n d j a b a t ² s e t e m p a t p a d a u m u m n j a l e b i h r e n d a h d a r i k e n j a t a a n , a d a l a h m e r u p a k a n a n g k a j a n g t e r b a i k u n t u k d i d j a d i k a n t i t i k t o l a k p e r h i t u n g a n . D e p e r n a s b e r p e n d a p a t , b a h w a p r o j e k s i d e -n g a -n k e -n a i k a -n 2 , 6 % m e m b e r i k a -n a -n g k a ² p e -n d u d u k j a -n g a g a k t i n g g i ( a a n d e h o g e k a n t ) .
K e n a i k a n p e n d u d u k I n d o n e s i a s e b a g a i h a s i l l a p o r a n p a r a B u p a t i / Wa l i K o t a k e p a d a B . P. S . u n t u k t a h u n 1 9 5 7 - 1 9 5 8 m e m a n g a d a l a h s e b e s a r 2 , 6 % , t e t a p i D e p e r n a s m e n d u g a b a h w a a n g k a j a n g a g a k t i n g g i i n i d i s e b a b k a n o l e h k a r e n a t j a r a m e n t j a t a t p e n d u d u k b e r -t a m b a h b a i k d a n s e m p u r n a .
§ 1 8 3 . D e m i k i a n l a h m a k a g r a f i k p e n d u d u k I n d o n e s i a d a r i t a h u n 1 9 6 0 - 1970 adalah sebagai berikut :
Tahun Djumlah djuta :
1960 92,777
1961 94,911
1962 97,094
1963 99,327
1964 101,611
1965 103,949
1966 106,340
1967 108,785
1968 111,287
1969 113,847
P E M B A G I A N P E N D U D U K WA R G A N E G A R A I N D O N E S I A M E N U R U T D A E R A H
§ 1 8 4 . P e g a n g a n s e m e n t a r a m e n u r u t a n g k a ² d a r i D e p a r t e m e n D a -l a m N e g e r i .
No. Nama Daerah Tingkat I Pem. DPR/Konst. *) Pem. DPRD KeteranganAngka P endaft ar an penduduk
1. Djawa Timur 18.115.851 19.021.284
Pendaf-2. Djawa Tengah 15.681.775 16.452.430 taran un-3. Djawa Barat 14.567.229 15.377.063 tuk
pemilih-4. Djakarta Raya 1.642.500 1.842.819 an D.P.R.
5. Daerah Istimewa D. tahun
Jogjakarta 1.931.084 2.011.289 1956.
6. Sumatera'Selatan 3.141.318 3.640.641 idem
ta-7. Sumatera Barat 2.371.525 hun 1956.
8. Djambi 551.304
9. Riau 807.530
10. Sumatera Utara 3.678.997
11. Atjeh 1.271.269
12. Kalimantan Barat 1.085.641 1.204.544
13. Kalimantan Selatan 1.260.537 1.790.354 idem
ta-14. Kalimantan Timur 409.043 412.496 hun 1957.
15. Kalimantan Tengah 381.864 422.117
16. Maluku 695.852
17. Sulawesi Utara/Tengah 1.648.707 18. Sulawesi Selatan/Tenggara 3.681.155 19. Nusa Tenggara/Timur 2.148.526 20. Nusa Tenggara/Barat 2.290.373 21. Irian Barat
*) Pendaftaran tahun 1954.
§ 186. a. Extrapolasi Penduduk Indonesia 1957-1970 P = P (1 + r)t
x 1957
P E N D U D U K
Tahun Djawa & Madura Luar Djawa & Madura Indonesia
1954 53,505 27,382 80,887
(r) (1,8%) (3,4%) (2,3%)
1957 56,359 30,300 86,659
1958 57,373 31,279 88,652
1959 58,406 32,285 90,691
1960 59,458 33,319 92,777
1961 60,528 34,383 94,911
1.962 61,617 35,477 97,094
1963 62,726 36,601 99,327
1964 63,855 37,756 101,611
1965 65,005 38,944 103,949
1966 66,175 40,165 106,340
1967 67,366 41,419 108,785
1968 68,579 42,708 111,287
1969 69,813 44,034 113,847
1970 71,070 45,395 116,465
P e n d j e l a s a n :
1 . ( r ) = P e r s e n t a s e k e n a i k a n t a h u n a n .
D i p e r o l e h d e n g a n m e n g g u n a k a n r u m u s c o m p o u n d i n t e r e s t ( l i h a t r u m u s ) d e n g a n m e n g g u n a k a n a n g k a ² p e n d u d u k a c h i r t a h u n 1 9 5 4 d a n 1 9 5 7 s e b a g a i d a s a r p e r h i t u n g a n . 2 . D e n g a n m e n g g u n a k a n r u m u s : P x = P 1 9 5 7 ( 1 + r ) t
d i m a n a
P x = a n g k a p e n d u d u k j a n g d i t a n j a k a n P 1 9 5 7 = 1 9 5 7 a n g k a p e n d u d u k a c h i r t a h u n 1 9 5 7 t = dj u m l a h t a h u n ; t e r h i t u n g d a r i t a h u n
1 9 5 7 s a m p a i d e n g a n t a h u n j a n g di -t a n j a k a n
r = p e r s e n t a s e k e n a i k a n t a h u n a n p e n d u -d u k a c h i r t a h u n 1 9 5 7 -d i e x t r a p o l e e r s a m p a i 1 9 7 0 .
b . P e r s o a l a n ² p e n d u d u k di I n d o n e s i a b e r k i s a r p a d a :
1 . Ta m b a h n j a p e n d u d u k j a n g l u a r b i a s a t i a p t a h u n n j a , k a r e n a r e n d a h n j a t i n g k a t k e m a t i a n d a n t i n g gi n j a k e l a h i r a n .
2 . P e m b a g i a n p e n d u d u k j a n g t i d a k s e i m b a n g m e n u r u t p e m b a -g i a n d a e r a h ² I n d o n e s i a . H a l i n i b e r a k i b a t b a h w a
( a ) P e n d u d u k d i p u l a u D j a w a a k a n b e r t a m b a h t e r u s d a n m e
n j e b a b k a n t i n g k a t h i d u p j a n g r e n d a h s e r t a p e r s o a l a n2 k e m a s j a r a k a t a n j a n g l a i n .
( b ) K e k u r a n g a n t e n a g a d i - p u l a u ² d i l u a r D j a w a , j a n g t e n t u a k a n m e n g h a m b a t p e m b a n g u n a n d a n p e n g g u n a a n s e r t a p e n g u s a h a a n s u m b e r ² a l a m j a n g a d a .
U n t u k m e m e t j a h k a n p e r s o a l a n p e n d u d u k di I n d o n e s i a d e n g a n m e n g g u n a k a n l u a s n j a k e p u r a u a n I n d o n e s i a s e r t a s u m b e r ² a l a m j a n g d i m i l i k i n j a , a k a n d i t e m p u h k e b i d j a k s a n a a n s e b a g a i b e r i k u t : 1 . M e n g u s a h a k a n u n t u k m e m p e r b e s a r p r o d u k s i s a n d a n g p a
-n g a -n , a g a r d a p a t m e -n t j u k u pi k e p e r l u a -n a k a -n s a -n d a -n g d a -n p a n g a n u n t u k s e l u r u h r a k j a t I n d o n e s i a .
2. U s a h a t e r s e b u t d i s e r t a i d e n g a n u s a h a u n t u k m e m p e r b e s a r p r o d u k s i b a r a n g2 p a k a i j a n g s e l a l u d i s e s u a i k a n d e n g a n k e -n a i k a -n d j u m l a h p e -n d u d u k p a d a t a h u -n ² j a -n g a k a -n d a t a -n g , a g a r l a m b a t l a u n d a p a t d j u g a t e r t j a p a i t a r a p u n t u k m e n -t j u k u p i k e p e r l u a n s e n d i r i .
3 . U s a h a u n t u k m e m b u k a d a n m e n j e d i a k a n k e s e m p a t a n b e k e rd j a j a n g l e b i h l u a s rd e n g a n rd j a l a n i n rd us t r i a l i s a s i rd a n m e n g -u s a h a k a n b e r t a m b a h n j a m o b i l i t e t s o s i a l , m o b i l i t e t p e k e r d j a a n d a n m o b i l i t e t w i l a j a h .
4. U s a h a u n t u k m e n j e b a r k a n t e n a g a p e m b a n g u n a n d a r i p u l a u D j a w a k e p u l a u ² l a i n s e p e r t i a n t a r a l a i n d i u s a h a k a n d e n g a n d j a l a n t r a n s m i g r a s i .
d. M e n g i n g a t / a k a n p e n t i n g n j a k e t e r a n g a n 2 m e n g e n a i s o a l p e n -d u -d u k , p e r l u l a h s e g e r a -d i u s a h a k a n t e r s e l e n g g a r a n j a p e n t j a t a t a n djiwa lagi untuk seluruh Indonesia, guna mengoreksi k e t e r a n g a n ² j a n g t e r d a h u l u d a n u n t u k m e n d a p a t k a n k e t e r a n g a n ² j a n g l e b i h e x a c t h i n g g a d a p a t d i t j a p a i p e m b a g i a n t e n a g a P e m b a n g u n a n j a n g l e b i h e p e k t i p , a g a r d a p a t m e n g u r a n g i t e k a n a n p e n d u d u k d i b i d a n g k e s e m p a t a n b e k e r d j a .
O l e h k a r e n a t a t a - m a s j a r a k a t s o s i a l i s I n d o n e s i a b e r s e n d i p o k o k p a d a k e h a r u s a n b e k e r d j a , m a k a h a l i t u m e n g a k i b a t k a n k e w a d j i b a n b a g i P e m e r i n t a h d a n m a s j a r a k a t u n t u k m e n j e d i a k a n k e s e m p a t a n b e k e r d j a b a g i r a k j a t n j a , h i n g g a d e n g a n k e t e r a n g a n ² m e n g e n a i p e n -d u -d u k j a n g l e b i h e x a c t i t u -d a p a t -d i t e m p u h s u a t u k e b i -d j a k s a n a a n jang tepat, guna menjebarkan penduduk keseluruh wilajah I n d o n e s i a , d e m i k e p e n t i n g a n p e n j e b a r a n t e n a g a p e m b a n g u n a n .
