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(1)

Green Economy and Sustainable Development

in Indonesia

Prof. Dr. Armida S. Alisjahbana

Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis

Universitas Padjadjaran

(2)

Outline*

1. From MDGs to Sustainable Development Goals

2. Sustainable Development in Indonesia: An Unfinished Agenda

3. Framework for Priority Policies and Strategies

4. Green Economy and Sustainable Development

5. Implementation and Priority Issues

(3)
(4)
(5)

SDGs in the Post 2015 Development Agenda

(6)

Sustainable Development Goals Agenda:

Renewing and strengthening commitment to MDGs

(MDGs+)

Based on Agenda 21

Focus on 3 dimensions of Sustainable Development

(Pillars: Economic, Socio and Environment)

A coherent and integral part of Post-2015 Development

(7)
(8)

Main Components:

Human resources development and welfare improvement

Inequality and poverty alleviation

Access to basic infrastructure and public services

Inclusive and sustainable economic development

Environment, natural resources, ecosystem, bio-resources

management and development

Promote peaceful and inclusive societies

Targets (some) and Means of Implementation (including finance,

(9)

No.

Proposed Goals

Targets

MoI

1

End poverty in all its forms everywhere

2

End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition,

and promote sustainable agriculture

3

Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages

4

Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and

promote life-long learning opportunities for all

5

Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls

6

Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and

sanitation for all

7

Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable, and

modern energy for all

(10)

No.

Proposed Goals

Targets

MoI

8

Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth,

full and productive employment and decent work for all

9

Build resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable

industrialization and foster innovation

10

Reduce inequality within and among countries

11

Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and

sustainable

12

Ensure sustainable consumption and production patterns

13

Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts*

14

Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine

(11)

No.

Proposed Goals

Targets

MoI

15

Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of terrestrial ecosystems,

sustainably manage forests, combat desertification, and halt and

reverse land degradation and halt biodiversity loss

16

Promote peaceful and inclusive societies for sustainable development,

provide access to justice for all and build effective, accountable and

inclusive institutions at all levels

17

Strengthen the means of implementation and revitalize the global

partnership for sustainable development (Finance, Technology,

capacity building, Trade, Policy and institutional coherence,

Multi-stakeholder partnerships, Data, monitoring and accountability)

(12)

Highlights of Selected Goals

Goals

Selected Targets

Goals 1. End Poverty in all its forms everywhere

 Eradicate extreme poverty for all people everywhere by 2030

 Reduce at least by half the proportion of all ages living in poverty by 2030

 Implement nationally appropriate social protection systems by 2030

Goal 2. End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable agriculture

 End hunger and ensure access by all people, in particular the poor and people in vulnerable situations by 2030

 End all forms of malnutrition by 2030

(13)

Goals

Selected Targets

Goal 4. Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all

 Ensure that all girls and boys complete free, equitable and quality primary and secondary education by 2030

 Ensure that all girls and boys have access to quality early childhood development by 2030

 Ensure equal access for all to affordable and quality technical, vocational and tertiary education, including university by 2030  Substantially increase the number of youth and adults who

have relevant skills by 2030 Goal 6. Ensure availability and sustainable

management of water and sanitation for all

 Achieve universal and equitable access to safe and affordable drinking water for all by 2030

(14)

Goals

Selected Targets

Goal 7. Ensure access to affordable,

reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all

 Ensure universal access to affordable, reliable and modern energy services by 2030

 Increase substantially the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix by 2030

 Double the global rate of improvement in energy efficiency by 2030

Goal 8. Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, full and productive employment and decent work for all

 Achieve higher levels of economic productivity

 Improve global resource efficiency in consumption and

production and endeavour to decouple economic growth from environmental degradation

(15)

Goals

Selected Targets

Goal 9. Build resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization and foster innovation

 Develop quality, reliable, sustainable and resilient

infrastructure, to support economic development and human well-being

 Promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization  Increase the access of small-scale industrial and other

enterprises, to financial services, and their integration into value chains and markets

Goal 10. Reduce inequality within and among countries

 Progressively achieve and sustain income growth of the bottom 40 per cent of the population at a rate higher than the national average

 Adopt policies, especially fiscal, wage and social protection policies, and progressively achieve greater equality

 Improve the regulation and monitoring of global financial

(16)

Goals

Selected Targets

Goal 12. Ensure sustainable consumption and production patterns

 Rationalize inefficient fossil-fuel subsidies

Goal 14. Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development

 Sustainably manage and protect marine and coastal ecosystems to avoid significant adverse impacts

 Effectively regulate harvesting and end overfishing, illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing and destructive fishing practices

 Conserve at least 10 per cent of coastal and marine areas, consistent with national and international law

(17)

2. Sustainable and Inclusive Development in Indonesia:

An Unfinished Agenda

Economic growth in Indonesia for the past decade has transformed

the economy, increase welfare

Total number and percentage of extreme poverty has rapidly

declined (people lived under USD1.25 a day)

Depth of poverty has declined

(18)

Decreased job growth, increased economic insecurity

and vulnerabilities

High incidence of informal sector jobs

Youth unemployment

Youth unemployment is forecast to edge upwards in 2015

Social security system in transition

(19)

Indonesia’s

Gini Coefficient, 1996

2014

Increasing Income Inequality

Income inequality (Gini ratio) in Indonesia increased from 0.36 in 1996 to

0.41 in the latest available year.

0.36

0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41

0.20

(20)

Unfinished Development Agenda: Selected Indicators

Maternal death per 100,000

live birth

346 (SP 2010)

Infant mortality rate per 1,000

live birth 32 (2012/2013)

Prevalence of malnutrition (underweight) for

children age less than 5 years

(percent) 19,6 (2013)

Prevalence of

stunting (height short and very short) for children

(age less than 2 years) (percent)

32,9 (2013)

Access to clean water 70% (2014)

Access to sanitation 60.9%

(21)

Unsustainable Use of Resources

• Asia-Pacific economy, including Indonesia is requiring more resources to produce one dollar of GDP as the economy grows

• Future growth of resource use in several countries, including Indonesia holds

significant implications for overall resource demand

• Vulnerability to natural disasters (Indonesia prone to natural disasters):

– 42% of the global economic losses due to natural disasters

– Disaster losses since 1980 have

increased by 16 times in Asia while GDP

CO2 emissions from fuel combustion (IEA) [Metric tons of CO2 equivalent per capita]

1992-2002 1992-2012 1993-2003 2002-2012 China

East Asia and Pacific

(22)

3. Framework for Priority Policies and Strategies

On the onset of Global Economic Situation*:

• Subdued euro zone economy, decelerating China growth and Policy uncertainty in US

Impact on Asia-Pacific (including Indonesia)

• Decreased economic activity through the trade and finance channel

• Estimated regional GDP loss of 3% since the onset of the global crisis five years ago -$870 billion

• Loose monetary policies, quantitative easing (QE), of the developed world including in US and the end of QE starting in 2014

Impact on Asia-Pacific (including Indonesia)

• Short-term capital flows volatility

• Rapid short-term currency appreciation turned into depreciation

• Food and fuel price volatility (increase during the commodity boom period of 2000s until 2011 and now food and fuel price decrease, currency appreciation/depreciation and volatility and end of oil subsidy for certain countries)

Impact on Asia-Pacific (including Indonesia)

(23)

Inclusive and Sustainable Development

Resource mobilization

Higher Productivity and Sustained Growth

Public debt and inflation

Healthier and more educated labor force, Better environment, Resilient

people, Inclusive society

Strengthening social and environmental pillars by providing universal access to basic public services through well designed national public

investment policies, that focus on:

Education Required public

investment

ECONOMIC SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL

(24)

4. Green Economy and Sustainable Development

(Source: Murniningtyas, 2015)

Green Economy and Sustainable Development Concept

Principles of Green Economy

Economic Restructuring; Sustainable Consumption and Production

Internalizing Environmental Aspect into Economic

(25)

Social Aspect

Economic Aspect 1. Economic

structure 2. Consumption

and

3. Coastal and sea 4. Clean water 5. Biodiversity

Governance Aspect 1. Institutional

framework

(institution, inter-relationship and rules)

2. Capacity:

institution and human resources

Human Development/MDG

Governance Green Economy Environment and Biodiversity

SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

Disadvantage 1:

environmental aspect is not as developed as economic and

Disadvantage 2:

(26)

GREEN ECONOMY

1. Resource efficiency 2. Minimum/clean waste 3. Renewable resources

DEFINITION  AN ECONOMY WHICH:

1. Utilization of resources is efficient (in particularnon renewable resources): a. Resour es a e utilized lo ger

b. Efficient – o aste

Key: continuous increase in productivity –technology is key 2. Utilization of resources along its value chain such that:

a. Zero waste

b. Minimal waste –can be absorbed by the ecosystem

Key: Technology for development ofby-product; and Clean Technology for separation and recycling of waste, safe for the ecosystem

3. The use of renewable resources:

a. No non-biodegradable waste

Sustainable use of resources and management of the environment

(27)

Where to start?

1. Economic restructuring (at macro level):

a. Value added creation

value added chain in economic activity

industry/manufacturing (technology is key)

b. Services

sector which relies on human resources, skills.

2. Sustainable consumption and production:

a. Efficient consumption and zero waste (versus affluent

consumption with high waste)

(28)

SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IMPLEMENTATION

Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction (Low Carbon

Development)

SCP Green Economy ... Sustainable Development

Reducing water and land

pollution

• Resource efficient

• Sustainable production

• Sustainable consumption

(29)

Components and Strategic Approach of

SCP INDONESIA

Sustainable Concumption and Production

PRODUCTION:

1. Agriculture

2. Fisheries and Maritime

3. Energy and Mining

4. Industry

5. Services: finance; tourism,

environment, expertise

Consumption:

1. Households

2. Corporation

3. Living: City, Style/living

(30)

TO INTERNALIZE ENVIRONMENTAL ASPECT INTO ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL

PILLARS:

1. Address disadvantages 1 and 2 by:

Completing data and

value/environmental valuation

: (i) people have to understand

environmental attributes/characteristics (disadvantage 1); (ii)

understand disadvantage 2 as a result of economic and social

impact on environment due to economic activities which have gone

ignored

(31)

5. Implementation and Priority Issues

Our National and International Commitment

“DGs Age da is i I do esia’s atio al i terest. Need stro g o

it e t

and political will.

15 years horizon: 3 RPJMNs, across RPJP (beyond 2025)

Built on 2014 baseline (Sustainable Development Indicators

baseline

RPJMN III). Ma y of the “DGs Targets are ithi rea h, ho e er…..

Challenging year 2015: Economic Slowdown, increased poverty, increased

unemployment, stagnated or potentially decreasing socio-economic

(32)

The Goals have to be translated into concrete annual targets,

budgets, roles of stakeholders (RPJMN

5 year targets and indicative

budget, supported by Regulatory Framework, Budgetary Framework,

Institutional Framework, and Evaluation Framework or

Kerangka

Regulasi, Kerangka Pendanaan, Kerangka Kelembagaan, Kerangka

Evaluasi

)

The importance of Outcome, Output and Process

(33)

The importance of synergy with Provinces, Kabupaten and Kota

Experiences with RAN MDGs and RAD MDGs, dan Inpres 3/2010

(Pembangunan yang Berkeadilan)

The importance of synergy with all stakeholders (CSOs, academics,

communities, etc)

Roles of Regional and Local Governments, and Communities

Role of monitoring and evaluation, feed back mechanism to annual

planning

(34)

Economic Consideration:

Macroeconomic stability is a must

Conducive economic and business environment is a must

Both can not be taken for granted

The need for inclusive economic development (employment creation

and poverty alleviation)

What are the leading economic sectors? (manufacturing, services

including tourism and creative economy?)

(35)

Human Resources and Institution Development

Human resources: roles of education (with the education expansion

a child now entering school age will have an expected years of

schooling of 13.2 years), but inequality in access and quality is still a

problem.

Governance and institution development (Political, Law and

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