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Mathematical modelling

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WHAT IS MATHEMATICAL MODELLING?

Dr. Gerda de Vries Assistant Professor

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Mathematical modelling is the use of mathematics to

• describe real-world phenomena

• investigate important questions about the

ob-served world

• explain real-world phenomena • test ideas

(3)

The real world refers to

• engineering • physics

• physiology • ecology

• wildlife management • chemistry

• economics • sports

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EXAMPLES of real-world questions that can be investigated with mathematical mod-els

Suppose there is a baseball strike. We might be interested in predicting the effects of higher players’ salaries on the long-term health of the baseball industry.

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One can think of mathematical modelling as an activity or process that allows a mathematician to be a chemist, an ecologist, an economist, a physiologist . . . .

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Process of mathematical modelling Predictions/ explanations Real-world data Mathematical conclusions Model ✛ ✻ ✲ ❄ Formulation Analysis Interpretation Test

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Challenge in mathematical modelling

“. . . not to produce the most comprehensive descriptive model

but

to produce the simplest possible model that incorporates the major features of the

phenomenon of interest.”

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Two hands-on modelling activities

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Modelling short-track running races

Consider the following two situations:

Situation 1:

Donovan Bailey runs the 100-metre dash at sea-level against a headwind of 2 m/s. His time is 9.93 seconds.

Situation 2:

Maurice Green runs the 100-metre dash at an altitude of 500 metres in windless conditions. His time is 9.92 seconds.

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Distance and velocity profiles of Maurice Green’s 100-metre race at the 1997 World Championships in Athens, Greece

0 2 4 6 8 10

time (s) 0 5 10 15 velocity (m/s)

0 2 4 6 8 10

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Simulated distance and velocity profiles (A = 12.2 m/s2 and τ = 0.892 s)

5 10 15

velocity (m/s)

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

0 20 40 60 80 100

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Effect of drag term and headwind on simulated race times

A τ D w Race Time

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How should a bird select worms?

Consider a bird searching a patch of lawn for worms, and suppose that there are two types of worms living in the lawn:

big, fat, juicy ones (highly nutritious)

and

long, thin, skinny ones (less nutritious)

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Afterword

Experimental scientists are very good at taking apart the real world and studying small com-ponents.

Since the real world is nonlinear, fitting the components together is a much harder puzzle.

Mathematical modelling allows us to do just that.

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Contact information Email:

devries@math.ualberta.ca

Webpage:

http://www.math.ualberta.ca/˜devries

Download slide presentation, modelling ac-tivities, answer keys:

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