Week's. IHSG on the Week (05/05/14-05/09/14) 0.57% 5/5/2014 5/6/2014 5/7/2014 5/8/2014 5/9/2014

Weekly Trading Plan

Monday, May 12th ₂₀₁₄ 4898.14 59.38 827.17 1.23% 11.37 Vol (Mn): 22 1.39% Val (Bn): 23 F Net B (Bn): 896 Weekly LQ-45

Weekly IHSG _{International Last WoW Chg (%)}

DJIA 16,583.34 70.45 0.43% Nasdaq 4,071.87 -52.03 -1.26% S&P 500 1,878.48 -2.66 -0.14% FTSE 100 6,814.57 -7.85 -0.12% Nikkei 225 14,199.59 -257.92 -1.78% Hang Seng 21,862.99 -397.68 -1.79% STI 3,252.1 -0.42 -0.01%

Exchange Rates Last WoW Chg (%)

USD / IDR 11546 31.30 0.27% US $ Index 79.91 0.39 0.49% EUR / USD 1.3800 -0.01 -0.48% USD / JPY 102.00 -0.09 -0.09% GBP / USD 1.6850 0.00 -0.19% USD / CNY 6.233 -0.02 -0.33% AUD / USD 0.9361 0.01 1.16%

Others Last WoW Chg (%)

S&P 500 Vlty (VIX) 12.92 0.01 0.08%

Baltic Dry 997.00 -20.00 -1.97%

Sector Last WoW Chg (%)

Agriculture 2446.04 40.28 1.67% Mining 1496.67 49.46 3.42% Basic Industry 522.84 14.52 2.86% Misc Industry 1304.03 7.33 0.57% Consumer 2046.67 25.63 1.27% Property 435.70 9.30 2.18% Infrastructure 1036.07 9.34 0.91% Finance 654.33 6.86 1.06% Trade 873.41 -1.94 -0.22% Composite 4898.14 59.38 1.23% Recommendation Flashback Stock Rec. 05/02/2014

(close) Stop Loss Loss

Week's Highest Date Potential Gain Week's Lowest Date Potential Gain ASII TB 7425 7300 - 1.7% 7575 5/8/2014 2.0% 7400 5/6/2014 - 0.3% GGRM PS 57300 56625 - 1.2% 57925 5/5/2014 1.1% 53225 5/8/2014 - 7.1% ADRO S 1140 1115 - 2.2% 1200 5/6/2014 5.3% 1100 5/8/2014 - 3.5% BDMN TB 4220 4170 - 1.2% 4240 5/5/2014 0.5% 4125 5/8/2014 - 2.3% LQ-45 Close 817.154 815.337 820.085 821.565 827.17 LQ-45 % Chg 0.17% -0.22% 0.58% 0.18% 0.68% Frgn Net Buy (Bn) 305 -102.4 339.6 -132.51 485.99 3.10 3.14 5.66 5.25 6.13 4.05 _3.78 4.77 4.02 5.49 4,842.50 4,834.47 4,862.07 4,860.89 4,898.14 3,000.00 3,500.00 4,000.00 4,500.00 5,000.00 5/5/2014 5/6/2014 5/7/2014 5/8/2014 5/9/2014 Value (Bn) Volume (Mn) IHSG 0.08% _{-0.17% 0.57% -0.02%} 0.77%

Weekly Trading Plan

Weekly Technical Review

IHSG

S1 4910 R1 5000

S2 4843 R2 5100

S3 4768 R3 5210

Comment:

JCI surged after pulled back bullish trend line last week, Trading range 4855-4918. By the first session today the index has break out strong resistance at 4900, the index moves slightly on overbought territory.

Stochastic is on bullish movement at the overbought state, Limited upside potential. Relative Strength Index Indicator shows a momentum at overbought oscillator. The volatility of Index at upper band from Bollinger bands indicator and it’s a distributions signal if the index pulls back upper band.

Long term and medium term bullish movement.

This week stop-loss level 4850 (MA7 support level), if the index break out the support level, it will potentially continue to 4790 (MA50 support level). This week resistance level 5000, if the index break out resistance level, it will continue to move upward to 5100.

Weekly Trading Plan

Sectoral Highlight

MINING

S1 1490 R1 1533 S2 1442 R2 1577 S3 1412 R3 1630 Comment:

The Mining index surged significantly after pulled back the fractal support level and bullish trend line last week. Trading range 1478-1518.

By the first session today, The index arrived at channeling bullish trend line, if pullback at this level, its negative signal.

Stochastic, dead-crossed indications at overbought state, bearish movement potential. RSI have momentum at the overbought oscillator. The index reached the upper Bollinger band, signaling a pullback potential to the lower band.

Long term and Medium term bullish movement.

This week stop loss level around 1490. If the index broke through this support, it will potentially continue to 1470 (Max bullish trend tolerance).

The break up confirmation level is 1525 (channeling bullish trend). The rally shall continue if the index able to pierce up this level. The next upside target will be 1577.

Weekly Trading Plan

Sectoral Highlight

CONSUMER

S1 1980 R1 2047 S2 1923 R2 2128 S3 1855 R3 2200 Comment:

The consumer index surged significantly after pulled back MA7 support level. Trading range 2021-2052.

By the first session today, The index forms double top formations and a bearish harami pattern, its reversal signal.

Stochastic on bullish movement at quite overbought state, limited upside potential. Relative strength index have flat momentum at middle overbought oscillator. The index has pulled back upper Bollinger bands and potentially decreases towards to lower bands, its negative signal.

Long term and medium term bullish movement.

This week stop loss level is around 2025 (MA7 support level). If the index breaks through this support level, it will continue to 1990 (Max bullish trend tolerance).

The break up confirmation level is 2047 (thwart the formations double top). The rally shall continue if the index able to pierce up this level. Upside target 2128.

Weekly Trading Plan

Stock Highlight

ANTM

S1 1265 R1 1350 S2 1290 R2 1430 S3 1100 R3 1520 Comment:

ANTM surged significantly after pulled back The MA25 support level last week. Trading range 1205-1290.

By the first session this week, The candle forms a spinning top and a bearish AB=CD pattern. The price moves slightly on negative territory.

Stochastic, dead-cross indications at overbought state, bearish movement potential. RSI shows a momentum at the overbought oscillator. The price has pulled back away the upper Bollinger band, signaling a potential reversal to the lower band.

Upside scenario:

Intraday resistance 1350, if the price able to move above this level, it will continue its movement towards 1430.

Downside scenario:

Stop loss level at 1235 (MA200 Support level). Do a tight stop loss on this level. If a break down appeared, the price will potentially continue to 1135 (Bearish AB=CD target level and MA50 support level).

Weekly Trading Plan

Stock Highlight

ROTI

S1 1145 R1 1225 S2 1050 R2 1320 S3 960 R3 1415 Comment:

ROTI surged significantly last week, after golden-crossed The MA50. Trading range 1110-1225.

By the first session this week, The candle forms a northern star. The price moves slightly on negative territory and potentially false breaks MA200.

Stochastic, dead-cross indications at overbought state, broad downside potential. RSI shows a momentum at overbought oscillator, The price on the upper Bollinger bands, signaling a reversal towards the lower bands.

Upside scenario:

Intraday resistance 1225, if the price able to move above this level, it will continue its movement towards level 1320.

Downside scenario:

Stop loss level at 1195 (MA200 support level). Do a tight stop loss on this level. If a break down appeared, the price will probably continue to the 1145 – 1125 (MA50 support level).

Weekly Trading Plan

RESEARCH DIVISION

Jasa Adhi Mulya jasa@reliance-securities.com Robertus Yanuar Hardy robertus@reliance-securities.com Lanjar Nafi Taulat I lanjar@reliance-securities.com Hansen Teguh hansen@reliance-securities.com Aji Setiawan aji@reliance-securities.com Alan Milgerry alan@reliance-securities.com Pieter Djatmiko pieter@reliance-securities.com

Disclaimer:

Informasi, opini dan rekomendasi yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini disajikan oleh PT Reliance Securities Tbk. dari sumber-sumber yang dianggap terpercaya dan dapat diandalkan. Dokumen ini bukan merupakan penawaran, invitasi atau representasi dalam bentuk apapun untuk pengambilan keputusan membeli maupun menjual saham. Keputusan investasi yang diambil berdasarkan dokumen ini bukan merupakan tanggung jawab PT Reliance Securities Tbk. PT Reliance Securities Tbk. berhak untuk

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