Monday, March 26th 2018
D A I LY R E P O R T
Daily Report is also available in BNI Sekuritas website : www.bnisekuritas.co.id
RESEARCH
Equity
MARKET PREDICTION TODAY
The JCI Is Predicted to Continue its Weakening
On last Friday, the JCI posted a significant decline of -0.69%, closed down at level of 6,210.70. All of Asia Pacific regional bourses also tumbled, which Nikkei fell by -4.51% to level of 20,617.86 and Hang Seng dropped by -2.45%. Most of the declining indices were influenced by the negative sentiment from US bourses. Among sectors which posted significant declines such as consumer discretionary and telecommunication. Meanwhile, Rupiah (IDR) weakened against US dollar (USD) at the level of IDR 13,789 per USD while oil price was closed at USD 65.88 per barrel.
Form global bourses, on last Friday, Dow Jones index declined by 1.77.% to 23.,533.20 while Nasdaq posted fell by 2.43% due to the sentiment of concerns of trade war. From Asia Pacific regional bourses, this morning Nikkei is opened down due to the sentiment of strengthening JPY against USD. The global issue of concerns of trade war and domestic issue of weakening IDR against USD are estimated to influence the JCI movement today. We predict that the JCI today may continue its weakening which the index movement is projected in the range of 6,100 and 6,250. Our top stock picks for today trading session are UNVR, BBCA and CPIN.
Analyst: Maxi Liesyaputra (maxi@bnisekuritas.co.id)
COMPANY/INDUSTRY UPDATE
Puradelta Lestari (DMAS)’s Net Profit fell by 13% YoY. NOT RATED. Analyst: Maxi Liesyaputra.
PT Jasa Armada Indonesia Tbk (IPCM) targets five new contracts this year. NOT RATED. Analyst: Thennesia Debora.
PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk (ITMG)’s Export Target. BUY. Analyst: Dessy Lapagu.
Global Indices Closing Change %Chg %Ytd P/E
Americas INDU Index 23,533.20 -424.69 -1.77 (4.80) 19.01 SPX Index 2,588.26 -55.43 -2.10 (3.19) 20.88 CCMP Index 6,992.67 -174.011 -2.43 1.29 31.01 IBOV Index 84,377.20 -390.68 -0.46 10.44 21.90 EMEA UKX Index 6,921.94 -30.65 -0.44 (9.96) 12.83 CAC Index 5,095.22 -71.99 -1.39 (4.09) 15.84 RTSSTD Index 15,027.17 9.04 0.06 9.91 7.18 IBEX Index 9,393.10 -94.3 -0.99 (6.48) 13.75 FTSEMIB Index 22,289.10 -108.74 -0.49 1.99 3.88 AEX Index 521.45 -6.92 -1.31 (4.25) 15.46 SMI Index 8,569.08 -68.79 -0.80 (8.66) 28.55 Asia / Pacific NKY Index 20,398.98 -218.88 -1.06 (10.39) 14.97 HSI Index 30,309.29 -761.76 -2.45 1.30 12.79 SHCOMP Index 3,152.76 -110.719 -3.39 (4.67) 15.95 TWSE Index 10,794.53 -28.8 -0.27 1.43 15.63 KOSPI Index 2,417.35 0.59 0.02 (2.03) 11.87 JCI Index 6,210.70 -43.376 -0.69 (2.28) 22.43 SET Index 1,794.21 -4.34 -0.24 2.31 18.09 PCOMP Index 7,970.80 -153.65 -1.89 (6.87) 22.01 SENSEX Index 32,596.54 -409.73 -1.24 (4.29) 22.24 FSSTI Index 3,421.39 -69.98 -2.00 0.54 11.17
Description Last Previous %Chg
Market Capitalization (IDR Trillion) 6,908.34 6,956.66 -0.69 Transaction Volume (Million Shares) 7,586.00 8,031.45 -5.55 Transaction Value (IDR Million) 6,130.00 6,785.82 -9.66 Stocks Value (IDR) 808.07 844.91 -4.36 Net Foreign (IDR Million) (1,060,045.75) 127,014.50 -934.59
Commodities Last Previous %Chg
Nickel (US$/Ton) 12,950.00 13,190.00 -1.82 Copper (US$/Ton) 6,660.00 6,695.00 -0.52 Tins (US$/Ton) 20,775.00 20,850.00 -0.36 Oil (US$/BBL) (*) 65.83 64.20 2.54 Gas (US$/MMBTU) 2.63 2.68 -2.11 Coal (US$/Ton) (**) 96.75 96.70 0.05
Gold (USD/OZ) n.a n.a n.a
CPO PALMROTT(USD/ton) n.a n.a n.a
CPO MALAYSIA(RM/ton) 2,432.00 2,438.50 -0.27 (*) WTI Cushing
(**) McCloskey Newscatle
ADR Stocks Last (US$) % Conversition Last (IDR) (US$) Chg (IDR)
Stocks Code Last (US$) %Change Conv (Rp) Last (IDR)
Telkom TLK US 26.10 -1.84 9,162.25 3660.00
Recommendation TP (IDR)
PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk (DMAS) NOT RATED
-PT Jasa Armada Indonesia Tbk (IPCM) NOT RATED
-PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk (ITMG) BUY 28,900
Company/Industry Updates Bloomberg
Monday, March 26th 2018
D A I LY R E P O R T
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RESEARCH
Equity
HIGHLIGHT NEWS
PT Tower Bersama Infrastructure Tbk (TBIG) will conduct buyback shares as
many as 204,000,000 shares or 4.5% from all issued and fully paid capital. PT Wintermar Offshore Tbk (WINS) experienced a rising net loss which could
be distributed to the owner of the parent entity of US$27.10 million as of 31 December 2017 from a net loss of US$16.03 million in the same period of previous year.
The profit of PT Bank Dinar Tbk (DNAR) decreased by 22.9% as of 31
December 2017 to Rp10.08 billion compared to a profit of Rp13.08 billion in 2016.
PT Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk (PORT) gained operating revenues of
Rp1.20 trillion as of 31 December 2017, or was down from operating revenues of Rp1.23 trillion in the same period of previous year.
PT Fast Food Indonesia Tbk (FAST) experienced a decreasing net profit of
3.2% to Rp166.99 billion as of 31 December 2017 compared to a net profit of Rp172.60 billion in 2016.
PT Samindo Resources Tbk (MYOH) is targeting revenue in 2018 to grow
annually by 35.57% to US$255 million.
(Source: IQ Plus; Bisnis Indonesia)
Net Foreign BUY Accumulation
USD/IDR Currency and JCI
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 -60,000,000 -50,000,000 -40,000,000 -30,000,000 -20,000,000 -10,000,000 0 10,000,000 20,000,000 30,000,000 40,000,000 3/ 01 /2 01 7 16 /0 1 /2 0 17 27 /0 1 /2 0 17 9/ 02 /2 01 7 23 /0 2 /2 0 17 8/ 03 /2 01 7 21 /0 3 /2 0 17 4/ 04 /2 01 7 18 /0 4 /2 0 17 4/ 05 /2 01 7 18 /0 5 /2 0 17 2/ 06 /2 01 7 15 /0 6 /2 0 17 6/ 07 /2 01 7 19 /0 7 /2 0 17 1/ 08 /2 01 7 14 /0 8 /2 0 17 28 /0 8 /2 0 17 11 /0 9 /2 0 17 25 /0 9 /2 0 17 6/ 10 /2 01 7 19 /1 0 /2 0 17 1/ 11 /2 01 7 14 /1 1 /2 0 17 27 /1 1 /2 0 17 11 /1 2 /2 0 17 22 /1 2 /2 0 17 9/ 01 /2 01 8 22 /0 1 /2 0 18 2/ 02 /2 01 8 15 /0 2 /2 0 18 1/ 03 /2 01 8 14 /0 3 /2 0 18
Accumulation JCI Index
12,800 12,900 13,000 13,100 13,200 13,300 13,400 13,500 13,600 13,700 13,800 13,900 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000
JCI Index USDIDR
No Stock Top Value (IDR)
1 BBRI IJ 699,845,600,000
2 TLKM IJ 378,511,700,000
3 BMRI IJ 356,280,200,000
4 BBCA IJ 293,286,200,000
5 ASII IJ 275,936,000,000
No Stock Top Volume (Shares)
1 IIKP IJ 636,812,800.00
2 RIMO IJ 602,406,500.00
3 MYRX IJ 511,572,700.00
4 BUMI IJ 400,019,300.00
5 IKAI IJ 359,168,600.00
No Top Gainers % Change
1 PKPK IJ 33.8
2 OASA IJ 24.35
3 IKAI IJ 23.88
4 RELI IJ 22.01
5 TBMS IJ 20.87
No Top Losers % Change
1 PSDN IJ -18.42
2 KOBX IJ -17.65
3 LMSH IJ -10.86
4 DWGL IJ -10
5 KARW IJ -9.15
No Leading Movers % Change
1 BBCA IJ 1.49
2 BMRI IJ 0.63
3 UNVR IJ 0.44
4 TPIA IJ 1.27
5 CPIN IJ 2.39
No Lagging Movers % Change
1 HMSP IJ -2.86
2 BBRI IJ -1.91
3 TLKM IJ -1.08
4 GGRM IJ -2.54
Monday, March 26th 2018
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RESEARCH
Equity
COMPANY/INDUSTRY UPDATE
News: Puradelta Lestari (DMAS)’s Net Profit Fell by 13% YoY
DMAS posted a significant revenue decline of 16.2% YoY to Rp 1.3 trillion in FY17. The slide was mainly due to lower industrial sales of 30.6% YoY to Rp 1.1 trillion, although residences sales soared by 4.4 times to Rp 122.3 billion, but the contribution was much smaller. Industrial sale is the company’s core business. The company’s net profit declined by 13.3% YoY to Rp 656.7 billion, although its net margin grew meaningfully.
Analyst Opinion:
DMAS’s revenue decline was restrained by residences sales growth, supported by good revenue portfolio. The revenues were also derived by commercial sales and hotel rental which both increased significantly by 5.5 times to Rp 110.3 billion and 2.0 times to Rp 30.1 billion respectively. Industrial sale has a potential to grow along with the improving production activities in Indonesia. Currently, DMAS is traded at forward 2018E PER and PBV of 9.5x and 1.0x correspondingly. Recommendation: NOT
RATED.
Analyst: Maxi Liesyaputra (maxi@bnisekuritas.co.id)
News: PT Jasa Armada Indonesia Tbk (IPCM) targets five new contracts this year
This year, the Company will be more expansive which is targeting five new contracts. Until mid-March, the Company has obtained two contacts of pilotage and tugboats services.
Analyst Opinion:
We assess the potential business development of the Company is quite large in line with the government support to increase maritime sector. Moreover, the Company currently is also reviewing for export transportation business. The Government's policy of requiring import-export activities in Indonesia's waters for rice, CPO and coal must use Indonesian-flagged vessels which is expected to be a positive sentiment for domestic players, one of which is IPCM. It has a potential to become an operator which is operating coal and cement transport vessels. Last Friday's trading (3/23), IPCM's share price rose by 6 points to Rp460 per share (+1.3%). Recommendation: NOT RATED.
Analyst: Thennesia Debora (thennesia@bnisekuritas.co.id)
News: PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk (ITMG)’s Export Target Analyst Opinion:
The Company targets its business expansion to overseas market for developing power plants in countries such as Vietnam, India, Bangladesh and UEA. We see that along with the rising production target of 22.5 million tons for this year (2017 realization of 22.1 million tons); ITMG would potentially achieve its expansion target. Furthermore, we should consider that the increase of Domestic Market Obligation (DMO) of 25% would be an obligation for domestic coal producers. Therefore, we still have a positive view on ITMG’s performance this year supported by the increasing global coal prices. Currently, ITMG stock is traded with PE of 9.3x and PBV of 2.5x which are higher than peers’ average with PE of 8.58x and PBV of 2.05x. The stock price has been appreciated by 39.61% as of YTD. Recommendation: BUY with a target price (TP) of Rp23,750 per share. The TP has an upside potential of 16.78% from its closing price of Rp28,900 on March 23rd, 2018.
Analyst: Dessy Lapagu (dessy@bnisekuritas.co.id
FY16 FY17 yoy
Revenue 1,593.79 1,336.39 -16.15% Operating profit 724.13 624.07 -13.82% Net income 757.24 656.72 -13.27% EPS (Rp) 15.71 13.63 Operating margin 45.43% 46.70% Net margin 47.5% 49.1%
Monday, March 26th 2018
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Equity
Monday, March 26th 2018
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Monday, March 26th 2018
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RESEARCH TEAM
Phone : +62 21 25543946 (Hunting) Fax : +62 21 57935831 Email : research@bnisekuritas.co.id Website : www.bnisekuritas.co.id Norico Gaman (Head of Research Division) norico@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 3934 Investment Strategy Maxi Liesyaputra (Head of Equity Research Department) maxi@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 3968 Construction, Property, Infrastructure, Cement Ariawan(Head of Fixed Income Research Department) ariawan@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2098
Fixed Income Market, Corporate & Government Bond
Andri Zakarias Siregar (Head of Technical Analysis Research Department) andri.zakarias@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2054
Market Strategy, Currency, Commodities, Bond & Stocks
Thennesia Debora (Equity Analyst) thennesia@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2123 Transportation, Automotive, Heavy Equipment, Plantation, Health Care
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ankga.adiwirasta@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 3986
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Dessy Lapagu (Equity Analyst) dessy@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2051
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Fixed Income Market, Corporate & Government Bond
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Monday, March 26th 2018
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RESEARCH
Equity
EQUITY TEAM
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RESEARCH
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