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Renminbi

China’s forex reserves continued to fall in December

Pressure on the renminbi continues as Chinese seek to get money out

of the country

© Bloomberg

JANUARY 7, 2017by: Charles Clover in Beijing and Jennifer Hughes in Hong Kong

China’s foreign exchange reserves continued to fall in December, albeit at a

slower rate than previous months, as the central bank announced a lower than

expected drop in foreign exchange reserves for the month.

Reserves fell by $41bn, to $3.01tn, less than the expected $51bn drop according

to a Reuters poll of analysts. In November reserves fell $70bn.

The lower than expected drop nonetheless showed that pressure on the

renminbi continues, as many Chinese seek to get money out of the country.

Like previous months’, December’s fall in reserves was mainly accounted for by

the central bank selling foreign currency to slow the renminbi’s decline,

(2)

which said that the central bank’s effort to stabilise the currency was the key

reason for the fall in reserves in 2016 from $3.3tn to just above $3tn.

Starting in November the Chinese government began to impose new capital

controls, including strict limits on large business deals abroad, in an effort to

close off an avenue widely used to get money out of China.

The controls have made life

complicated for many multinational

companies — even routine business

operations such as paying dividends

abroad have been subject to delays and

new scrutiny, according to a report by

the EU’s Chamber of Commerce in

China last month.

The continued capital outflow

heightens the possibility that the

Chinese government will either tighten

the screws further or make a one-off

devaluation to relieve pressure on the

currency next year.

The data come as investors debate the

renminbi’s likely direction after a

surprise two-day surge

(http://next.ft.com/content/dcd3e4fa-d313-11e6-b06b-680c49b4b4c0)

wrongfooted China bears betting on

further depreciation.

Last year, the offshore renminbi fell 5.8 per cent against the dollar while its

onshore cousin dropped 6.6 per cent, touching its lowest levels in eight years.

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(3)

Last week the offshore renminbi

jumped 2.6 per cent in two days — its

biggest-ever two day gain against the

dollar since it was introduced in 2010

— while the onshore rate reached its

highest level in more than a month.

The two ended Asian trading on Friday

at Rmb6.844 and Rmb6.924

respectively, up 1.9 per cent and 0.3

per cent on the week. The dollar’s lows

were Rmb6.7826 against the offshore

renminbi and Rmb6.8694 onshore

earlier on Friday.

The unexpected rally followed strong

economic data and further signs of

China’s efforts to curb capital outflows. Last week it imposed extra paperwork

on citizens planning to use their annual $50,000 foreign exchange limit.

Print a single copy of this article for personal use. Contact us if you wish to print

more to distribute to others. © The Financial Times Ltd.

PBoC raises

renminbi’s daily fix

by most since 2005

(http://next.ft.com/content/c1630e5a-

d3c5-11e6-9341-7393bb2e1b51)

Authorities act on rate after 2-day surge but currency drifts lower

Read latest

Offshore renminbi enjoys extended show of strength

Latest on Renminbi

(4)

Offshore renminbi enjoys

extended show of strength

Chinese currency’s outperformance versus onshore rate could help slow mainland outflows

Markets Insight Jennifer Hughes

Hong Kong’s forex market benefits from a yen for hedging

City stands to gain on Asia rivals if it can keep its newfound liquidity going

Henny Sender

China in a squeeze over financial liberalisation

Authorities must tread carefully as they squeeze out the leverage that risks instability

Special Report Investing 2.0: Unlocking Yield

Three alternative sources of income for yield-hungry investors

Consultants and fund managers are offering a broader range of assets

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(5)

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