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ANALISA EKONOMI, KEUANGAN PERUSAHAAN & 

ANALISA EKONOMI, KEUANGAN PERUSAHAAN & 

INVESTASI

INVESTASI

EKONOMI DAN KAITANNYA DENGAN KINERJA EFEK

EKONOMI DAN KAITANNYA DENGAN KINERJA EFEK

Didukung

Didukung

Gedung Bu!" E#ek Ind$ne!i" , T$%e II L"n"i ',

(2)

DAFTAR ISI

DAFTAR ISI

EKONOMI DAN KAITANNYA DENGAN KINERJA EFEK

EKONOMI DAN KAITANNYA DENGAN KINERJA EFEK...11 PENGANTAR

PENGANTAR... 11 MIKRO EKONOMI DAN MAKRO EKONOMI

MIKRO EKONOMI DAN MAKRO EKONOMI...11 I.

I. PASAR, PERMINTAAN, DAN PENAWARANPASAR, PERMINTAAN, DAN PENAWARAN...22 II.

II. FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI JUMLAH BARANGFAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI JUMLAH BARANG

YANG DIMINTA DAN DITAWARKAN

YANG DIMINTA DAN DITAWARKAN...44 III. KESETIMBANGAN PASAR DAN HARGA

III. KESETIMBANGAN PASAR DAN HARGA...66 IV. ELASTISITAS

IV. ELASTISITAS... 66 VI. INFLASI

VI. INFLASI... 88 VII. PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO PDB!

VII. PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO PDB!...1212 PERANAN NEGARA DALAM EKONOMI

PERANAN NEGARA DALAM EKONOMI...1414 ANALISA EKONOMI TERHADAP

ANALISA EKONOMI TERHADAP... 1919 KEGIATAN USAHA PERUSAHAAN

KEGIATAN USAHA PERUSAHAAN... 1919 I.

I. ANALISANALISIS FUIS FUNDAMENTNDAMENTAL AL FUNDFUNDAMENAMENTAL ANALTAL ANALYSISYSIS!!...1919 II.

II. ANALISANALISIS IS TEKNIKTEKNIKAL AL TECHTECHNICNICAL ANAAL ANALYSILYSISS!!...2020 PERMINTAAN DAN PENAWARAN" PENGARUHNYA TERHADAP

PERMINTAAN DAN PENAWARAN" PENGARUHNYA TERHADAP

KEGIATAN INVESTASI DI PASAR MODAL

KEGIATAN INVESTASI DI PASAR MODAL...2121 FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENAWARAN DAN PERMINTAAN INVESTASI

FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENAWARAN DAN PERMINTAAN INVESTASI

DALAM HAL INI SAHAM! DI PASAR MODAL

DALAM HAL INI SAHAM! DI PASAR MODAL...2121 PEMBAHASAN KASUS EKONOMI # KINERJA KEGIATAN INVESTASI

PEMBAHASAN KASUS EKONOMI # KINERJA KEGIATAN INVESTASI

DI PASAR MODAL

DI PASAR MODAL... 2222

(3)

EKONOMI DAN KAITANNYA DENGAN KINERJA EFEK

Learning objectives:

D()$'$01$* 0&+&'%$ d$0$% 2&*3&l$+1$* 2&*4&*$("

. P&*4&'%($* &1o*o2(, d$* 0$+$' 0&'+$(*4$* 5$*4 +&20u'*$ 2$u0u* %(d$1. . A0l(1$+( K&6(3$1$* Mo*&%&' d$* F(+1$l d$l$2 E1o*o2(.

7. P&2$)$2$* $1$* )u6u*4$* $*%$' 8$'($6&l &1o*o2( +&0&'%( I*9l$+(, P&'%u26u)$* E1o*o2(, H$'4$, P&'2(*%$$*, P&*$:$'$*, d$* L$0$*4$* K&'3$, +&'%$ 8$'($6&l-8$'($6&l l$(* 5$*4 %&'1$(% 2$1'o &1o*o2(!.

;. B$4$(2$*$ 8$'($6&l-8$'($6&l &1o*o2( %+6 d($%$+ d$0$% 2&20&*4$'u)( 1(*&'3$ 0&'u+$)$$*, d$* &9&1 5$*4 d(0&'d$4$*41$* d( 0$+$' 2od$l 2(1'o &1o*o2(!.

PENGANTAR 

K$%$ <&1o*o2(= 6&'$+$l d$'( 6$)$+$ Yu*$*( 5$(%u oikos 1&lu$'4$, 'u2$) %$*44$! d$* nomos 0&'$%u'$*, $%u'$*, )u1u2!. S&)(*44$ 6&'d$+$'1$* $+$l 1$%$*5$, &1o*o2( d($'%(1$* +&6$4$( 0&*4$%u'$* $%$u 2$*$3&2&* 'u2$) %$*44$.

S&6u$) 'u2$) %$*44$ 2&*4)$d$0( 6$*5$1 0&'2$+$l$)$* +&0&'%( +($0$ $*44o%$ 'u2$) %$*44$ 5$*4 )$'u+ 2&*4&'3$1$* 0&1&'3$$* %&'%&*%u d$* $0$ 5$*4 $1$* d(0&'ol&)*5$. Ru2$) %$*44$ d(%u*%u% u*%u1 d$0$% 2&*4$lo1$+(1$* +u26&' d$5$ 5$*4 %&'6$%$+ d&*4$* 2&20&'%(26$*41$* 1&2$20u$*, u+$)$ d$* 1&(*4(*$* 2$+(*4-2$+(*4 $*44o%$*5$.

S&0&'%( 'u2$) %$*44$, +&6u$) 2$+5$'$1$%>*&4$'$ 0u* $1$* 2&*4)$d$0( 0&'2$+$l$)$* 5$*4 +$2$. M$+5$'$1$%>*&4$'$ )$'u+ 2&2u%u+1$* +($0$ 5$*4 $1$* 2&*4&'3$1$* +u$%u 0&1&'3$$* +&+u$( 1&2$20u$*, u+$)$ d$* 1&(*4(*$* 2$+(*4-2$+(*4 $*44o%$*5$? +&'%$ 2&*&*%u1$* 6$4$(2$*$ $lo1$+( 6$'$*4 d$* 3$+$ 5$*4 *$*%(*5$ $1$* d()$+(l1$*.

M$*u+($ +&6$4$( 2$1)lu1 &1o*o2(  homo economicus! 2&2(l(1( 1&@&*d&'u*4$* u*%u1 %(d$1 0&'*$) 2&'$+$ 0u$+ d$* 2&2(l(1( 1&(*4(*$* 5$*4 %(d$1 %&'6$%$+, +&d$*41$* +u26&' d$5$ 5$*4 %&'+&d($ 3u2l$)*5$ %&'6$%$+. E1o*o2( $d$l$) +&6u$) +%ud( %&*%$*4 6$4$(2$*$ +&6u$) 2$+5$'$1$% 2&*4&lol$ +u26 &' d$5$*5$ 5$*4 %&'6$%$+ M$*1(:, !. P$d$ u2u2*5$, +u26&' d$5$ d($lo1$+(1$* ol&) %(*d$1$* d$'( 6&'3u%$-3u%$ 'u2$) %$*44$ d$* 0&'u+$)$$*. E1o*o2( 1&2ud($* 2&20&l$3$'( 6$4$(2$*$ 1&0u%u+$* d($26(l" 0'odu1 $0$ 5$*4 d(6&l(, 6&'$0$ 6$*5$1 0&*d$0$%$* 5$*4 d(%$6u*4, d$* 6$4$(2$*$ 2&*4(*8&+%$+(1$* %$6u*4$* %+6. E1o*o2( 3u4$ 2&20&l$3$'( 6$4$(2$*$ 2$+5$'$1$% 6&'(*%&'$1+( +$%u +$2$ l$(*, +&0&'%( (*%&'$1+( $*%$'$ 0&*3u$l d$* 0&26&l( 5$*4 1&2ud($* d$0$% 2&*&*%u1$* )$'4$ d$* 1u$*%(%$+ 3u$l +&6u$) 0'odu1. D$* $1)('*5$, &1o*o2( 3u4$ 2&*4$*$l(+$ 1&1u$%$* 5$*4 d$0$% 2&20&*4$'u)( 0&'&1o*o2($* +&@$'$ 1&+&lu'u)$* %&'2$+u1 +&0&'%( 3u2l$) 0&*4$*44u'$*, %(*41$% (*9l$+(, +&'%$ 1&6(3$1$* 2o*&%&' d$* 9(+1$l.

MIKRO EKONOMI DAN MAKRO EKONOMI Il2u &1o*o2( %&'6$4( 2&*3$d("

. M(1'o&1o*o2( $d$l$) (l2u 5$*4 2&20&l$3$'( 6$4$(2$*$ 'u2$) %$*44$ d$* 0&'u+$)$$* 6&'(*%&'$1+( +$%u +$2$ l$(* d$* 2&26u$% 1&0u%u+$* d$l$2 +&6u$) 0$+$'. o*%o)" 0&*4$'u) 1&*$(1$* )$'4$ 1$5u %&')$d$0 0&*4'$3(* 2&6&l, 0&*4$'u) 1o20&%(+( $*%$' 0'odu+&* d$l$2 (*du+%'( 2o6(l *$+(o*$l, d$* +&6$4$(*5$

. M$1'o&1o*o2( $d$l$) (l2u 5$*4 2&20&l$3$'( 9&*o2&*$ &1o*o2( +&@$'$ $4'&4$% $%$u 1&+&lu'u)$*. P&*3&l$+$* 2$1'o&1o*o2( 2&*@$1u0 (*9l$+(, 0&*4$*44u'$* d$*

(4)

D($4'$2 $'u+ 1&4($%$* &1o*o2( M$*1(:, !

I) PASAR, PERMINTAAN, DAN PENA8ARAN

P"!"

P$+$' $d$l$) 2&d($ 6&'%&2u*5$ 0&26&l( d$* 0&*3u$l 6$'$*4>3$+$ u*%u1 2&l$1u1$* 0&'%u1$'$*. S&6u$) 0$+$' d(1$%$1$* 2&2(l(1( 0&'+$(*4$* 5$*4 +&20u'*$ $0$6(l$ %&'d('( d$'( 6$*5$1 0&26&l( d$* 0&*3u$l +&)(*44$ 2$+(*4-2$+(*4 2&2(l(1( d$20$1 5$*4 +$2$ %&')$d$0 0&26&*%u1$* )$'4$, 5$*4 d(0&'ol&) 2&l$lu( 0'o+&+ 6&'%&2u*5$ P&'2(*%$$* d$* P&*$:$'$* %&')$d$0 +$%u 6$'$*4>3$+$ 5$*4 +$2$.

Bu'+$ E9&1 0$+$' +u'$% 6&')$'4$! $d$l$) @&'2(*$* d$'( %&o'( (*(. Ad$0u* (+%(l$) P&'2(*%$$* d$* P&*$:$'$* 2&*4$@u 1&0$d$ 0&'(l$1u 2$*u+($, 0$d$ +$$% 2&'&1$ 6&'(*%&'$1+( +$%u +$2$ l$(* d( 0$+$'. D(2$*$ P&26&l( 2&*&*%u1$* P&'2(*%$$*, +&d$*41$* P&*3u$l 2&*&*%u1$* P&*$:$'$*.

Se("in P"!" Pe!"ing"n Se*3un", ki" 9ug" *engen"( :e:e"3" 9eni! 3"!" ("in ;"ng *e*i(iki 3e!"ing"n ;"ng id"k !e*3un", "n"" ("in<

. P$+$' Mo*o0ol(, 5$(%u d(2$*$ )$*5$ $d$ +$%u 0&*3u$l 5$*4 2&*&*%u1$* )$'4$ +&6u$) 6$'$*4>3$+$ u*%u1 6$*5$1 0&26&l(.

o*%o)*5$ PT. P&'u+$)$$* D$&'$) A(' M(*u2 PDAM! +&6$4$( 0&*5&d($ %u*44$l $(' 6&'+() d( +u$%u d$&'$).

. P$+$' Ol(4o0ol(, 5$(%u d(2$*$ )$*5$ $d$ 6&6&'$0$ 0&*3u$l 5$*4 2&*&*%u1$* )$'4$ +&6u$) 6$'$*4>3$+$ u*%u1 6$*5$1 0&26&l(.

o*%o)*5$ $d$l$) O'4$*(+$+( N&4$'$-*&4$'$ P'odu+&* M(*5$1 Du*($ OPE! 5$*4 'u%(* 2&*4$d$1$* 0&'%&2u$* u*%u1 2&*&*%u1$* 1uo%$ 0'odu1+( 2$+(*4-2$+(*4-2$+(*4 *&4$'$ $*44o%$*5$ 5$*4 d(+&+u$(1$* d&*4$* 0&'2(*%$$* 0$+$', +&)(*44$ 0$d$ $1)('*5$ 2&20&*4$'u)( )$'4$ 1o2od(%$+ %&'+&6u%.

P$d$ 0$+$' Mo*o0ol( d$* Ol(4o0ol(, )$26$%$* u*%u1 2$+u1 6$4( 0&*3u$l 6$'u @u1u0 6&+$', +&d$*41$* )$26$%$* u*%u1 2$+u1 6$4( 0&26&l( 6$'u @ u1u0 1&@(l.

7. P$+$' Mo*o0+o*(, 5$(%u d(2$*$ )$*5$ $d$ +$%u 0&26&l( 5$*4 2&*&*%u1$* )$'4$ +&6u$) 6$'$*4>3$+$ u*%u1 6$*5$1 0&*3u$l.

(5)

o*%o)*5$ PT. P&'u+$)$$* L(+%'(1 N&4$'$ PLN! 5$*4 6(+$ +$3$ 2&*$:$' )$'4$ 6$%u6$'$ l&6() '&*d$) d$'( )$'4$ 0$+$' 1&0$d$ 0$'$ 0&2(l(1 %$26$*4 u*%u1 1&0&'lu$* P&26$*41(% L(+%'(1 T&*$4$ U$0 PLTU!, %&'u%$2$ 0$d$ +$$% 0&'2(*%$$* 6$%u6$'$ u*%u1 0$+$' &1+0o' +&d$*4 2&l&2$).

;. P$+$' Ol(4o0+o*(, 5$(%u d(2$*$ )$*5$ $d$ 6&6&'$0$ 0&26&l( 5$*4 2&*&*%u1$* )$'4$ +&6u$) 6$'$*4>3$+$ u*%u1 6$*5$1 0&*3u$l.

o*%o)*5$ 3$'(*4$* '(%&l 6&+$' +&0&'%( $''&9ou' d$* H50&'2$'% 5$*4 6(+$ +$3$ 2&*$:$' )$'4$ l&6() '&*d$) 1&0$d$ 0$'$ 0&%$*( +$5u'$* u*%u1 2&26&l( d$l$2 3u2l$) 6&+$'.

P$d$ 0$+$' Mo*o0+o*( d$* Ol(4o0+o*(, )$26$%$* u*%u1 2$+u1 6$4( 0&*3u$l 6$'u @u1u0 1&@(l, +&d$*41$* )$26$%$* u*%u1 2$+u1 6$4( 0&26&l( 6$'u @u1u0 6&+$'.

Pe*in""n 4De*"nd5

Ju2l$) 6$'$*4 5$*4 d(2(*%$ the quantity demanded ! $d$l$) 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 5$*4 '&l$ d$* d$0$% d(6&l( ol&) 1o*+u2&* M$*1(:, !

Hu1u2 P&'2(*%$$* L$: o9 d&2$*d!" A0$6(l$ )$'4$ %u'u* 2$1$ 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 5$*4 d(2(*%$ $1$* 2&*4$l$2( 1&*$(1$*, d$* $0$6(l$ )$'4$ *$(1 2$1$ 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 5$*4 d(2(*%$ $1$* 2&*4$l$2( 0&*u'u*$*, ceteris ari!us.

A+u2+( ceteris ari!us $'%(*5$ )u1u2 0&'2(*%$$* %&'+&6u% 6&'l$1u 3(1$ 1&$d$$* $%$u 9$1%o'-9$1%o' +&l$(* )$'4$ %(d$1 6&'u6$) d($*44$0 %&%$0!.

D$l$2 )u1u2 0&'2(*%$$* 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 5$*4 d(2(*%$ $1$* 6&'6$*d(*4 %&'6$l(1 d&*4$* %(*41$% )$'4$ 6$'$*4

T$6&l d$* Ku'8$ P&'2(*%$$* M$*1(:, !

Pen"%""n 4Supply 5

Ju2l$) 6$'$*4 5$*4 d(%$:$'1$* the quantity su"ied ! $d$l$) 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 d$* 3$+$ 5$*4 '&l$ d$* d$0$% d(3u$l ol&) 0'odu@&* M$*1(:, !.

Hu1u2 0&*$:$'$* "a# o$ su"y !" A0$6(l$ %(*41$% )$'4$ 2&*4$l$2( 1&*$(1$* 2$1$ 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 5$*4 d(%$:$'1$* $1$* *$(1, d$* $0$6(l$ %(*41$% )$'4$ %u'u* 2$1$ 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 5$*4 d(%$:$'1$* $1$* %u'u*, ceteris ari!us%

A+u2+( ceteris ari!us, +&1$l( l$4(, $'%(*5$ )u1u2 0&'2(*%$$* %&'+&6u% 6&'l$1u 3(1$ 1&$d$$* $%$u 9$1%o'-9$1%o' +&l$(* )$'4$ %(d$1 6&'u6$) d($*44$0 %&%$0!.

D$l$2 )u1u2 0&*$:$'$* 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 5$*4 d(%$:$'1$* $1$* 6&'6$*d(*4 lu'u+ d&*4$* %(*41$% )$'4$.

(6)

T$6&l d$* Ku'8$ P&*$:$'$* M$*1(:, !

II) FAKTOR.FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI JUMLAH BARANG YANG

DIMINTA DAN DITA8ARKAN

F"k$.#"k$ ;"ng *e*3eng"u=i 9u*("= :""ng d"n 9"!" ;"ng di*in" !e("in ="g" :""ng iu !endii<

. S&l&'$ taste!" A0$6(l$ +&l&'$ 1o*+u2&* %&')$d$0 +u$%u 6$'$*4 d$* 3$+$ 6&'u6$) 2&*3$d( l&6() +u1$, 2$1$ $1$* d((1u%( d&*4$* 0&*(*41$%$* 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 d$* 3$+$ 5$*4 d(2(*%$, d&2(1($* +&6$l(1*5$.

. Ju2l$) 0&26&l( num!er o$ !uyers!" Ju2l$) 0&26&l( 2&20&*4$'u)( 0&'2(*%$$* d$'( +u$%u 6$'$*4. K&%(1$ 2$1(* 6$*5$1 o'$*4 5$*4 (*4(* 2&26&l( +u$%u 6$'$*4 %&'%&*%u, 2$1$ 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 d$* 3$+$ 5$*4 d(2(*%$ $1$* +&2$1(* 2&*(*41$%.

7. P&*d$0$%$* 1o*+u2&*" A0$6(l$ 0&*d$0$%$* 1o*+u2&* +&2$1(* %(*44(, 2$1$ $1$* d((1u%( ol&) 0&*(*41$%$* d$5$ 6&l( 1o*+u2&* d$* 0&*(*41$%$* 1&2$20u$* u*%u1 2&26&l( 6$'$*4 d$* 3$+$ d$l$2 3u2l$) 5$*4 l&6() 6&+$', d&2(1($* +&6$l(1*5$. S&)(*44$ $1(6$%*5$ $1$* %&'3$d( 0&*(*41$%$* 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 d$* 3$+$ 5$*4 d(2(*%$. ;. H$'4$ 6$'$*4>3$+$ 0&*44$*%( su!stitutes!" Su$%u 6$'$*4 2&'u0$1$* 6$'$*4

+u6+%(%u+( 6(l$ +$l$) +$%u 6$'$*4 )$'4$*5$ *$(1 $1$* 2&2(@u 1&*$(1$* 3u2l$) 0&'2(*%$$* 6$'$*4 l$(*. Ko*+u2&* $1$* @&*d&'u*4 2&*@$'( 6$'$*4 $%$u 3$+$ 5$*4 )$'4$*5$ '&l$%(9 l&6() 2u'$) u*%u1 d(3$d(1$* $l%&'*$%(9 0&*44u*$$*. o*%o)*5$" 6(l$ )$'4$ %(1&% 0&+$:$% J$1$'%$-Su'$6$5$ %u'u* +&)(*44$ +$2$ )$'4$*5$ d&*4$* %(1&% 1&'&%$ $0(, 2$1$ 1o*+u2&* @&*d&'u*4 $1$* 2&2(l() 0&+$:$% +&6$4$( $l$% %'$*+0o'%$+(. S&)(*44$ 0&*u'u*$* )$'4$ %(1&% 0&+$:$% (*( $1$* 2&*u'u*1$* 3u2l$) %(1&% 1&'&%$ $0( J$1$'%$-Su'$6$5$ 5$*4 d(2(*%$.

C. H$'4$ 6$'$*4>3$+$ 0&l&*41$0 com"ements!" Su$%u 6$'$*4 2&'u0$1$* 6$'$*4 1o20l&2&*%&' 6(l$ 1&*$(1$* )$'4$ +$l$) +$%u 6$'$*4 2&2(@u 0&*u'u*$* 3u2l$) 0&'2(*%$$* 6$'$*4 l$(*. K&du$*5$ 2&'u0$1$* 1o26(*$+( 6$'$*4 5$*4 +(9$%*5$ +$l(*4 2&l&*41$0(, d$* *(l$( 4u*$ +u$%u 6$'$*4 $1$* 2&*3$d( 2&2(l(1( 1&l&6()$* 1$l$u d(+&'%$( 6$'$*4 l$(**5$. o*%o)" %(*%$ d$* 0ul0&*. K&%(1$ )$'4$ %(*%$ *$(1, 2$1$ $1$* 2&*4$1(6$%1$* 3u2l$) 0&'2(*%$$* 0ul0&* $1$* 6&'1u'$*4.

/. P&'1('$$* )$'4$ d( 2$+$ d$%$*4" A0$6(l$ 1o*+u2&* 2&20&'1('$1$* )$'4$ 6$'$*4 $1$* %&'u+ 2&*4$l$2( 1&*$(1$* d( 2$+$ d$%$*4, 2$1$ 1o*+u2&* @&*d&'u*4 u*%u1 2&*$26$) 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 5$*4 d(6&l(*5$. o*%o)" P$d$ +$$% 1'(+(+ &1o*o2(, 1&%(1$ 1o*+u2&* 2&20&'1('$1$* )$'4$-)$'4$ +&26$1o $1$* 2&l$26u*4 %(*44( d(1&2ud($* )$'(, 2$1$ 2&'&1$ $1$* 2&26o'o*4 +&26$1o %&'+&6u% )$'( (*(.

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(7)

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P&'4&+&'$* 1u'8$ 0&'2(*%$$* M$*1(:, !

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7. H$'4$ 6$'$*4 0&*44$*%( su!stitutes! d$* 0&l&*41$0 com"ements!" Hu6u*4$* $*%$'$ +$%u 9$1%o' 0'odu1+( d&*4$* 9$1%o' 0'odu1+( l$(**5$ d$0$% d(4olo*41$* 2&*3$d( 1o20l&2&*%&' 2$u0u* +u6+%(%u+(. J(1$ )u6u*4$**5$ +u6+%(%u+(, 2&*(*41$%*5$ )$'4$ +$%u 9$1%o' 0'odu1+( $1$* 2&*(*41$%1$* 0&*44u*$$* 9$1%o' 0'odu1+( l$(**5$ $%$u +&6$l(1*5$!. N$2u* 3(1$ )u6u*4$**5$ 1o20l&2&*%&', 2&*(*41$%*5$ )$'4$ +$%u 9$1%o' 0'odu1+( $1$* 2&*u'u*1$* 0&*44u*$$* 9$1%o' 0'odu1+( l$(**5$ $%$u +&6$l(1*5$!.

;. P$3$1" S&2$1(* %(*44( %$'(9 0$3$1 5$*4 d(1&*$1$* $1$* 6&'$1(6$% *$(1*5$ )$'4$ 6$'$*4 d$* 3$+$ 5$*4 $1$* 2&26$:$ d$20$1 0$d$ '&*d$)*5$ 0&'2(*%$$* 1o*+u2&* d$* 6&'1u'$*4*5$ 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 d$* 3$+$ 5$*4 d(%$:$'1$*.

C. P&'1('$$* )$'4$ 6$'$*4 d( 2$+$ d$%$*4" A0$6(l$ )$'4$ 3u$l d(2$+$ 2&*d$%$*4 d(0&'1('$1$* $1$* *$(1, 2$1$ 0&'u+$)$$* $1$* 2&20&'+($01$* d('( d&*4$* 2&20&'6$*5$1 ou%0u% 0'odu1+( d&*4$* )$'$0$* 6(+$ 2&*$:$'1$*>2&*3u$l l&6() 6$*5$1 1&%(1$ )$'4$ *$(1 $1(6$% 6&'6$4$( 9$1%o'.

/. Ju2l$) P&*3u$l" S&2$1(* 6$*5$1 0&*3u$l, 2$1$ 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 d$* 3$+$ 5$*4 d(%$:$'1$* $1$* +&2$1(* 6$*5$1.

A1(6$% 0&'u6$)$* 9$1%o'-9$1%o' %&'+&6u% $1$* 2&*44&+&' 1u'8$ 0&*$:$'$*. M(+$l*5$ 6($5$ 0'odu1+(. J(1$ )$'4$ 0$+$' 1o*+%$*, 2$1$ 0&*(*41$%$* 6($5$ 0'odu1+( $1$* 2&*u'u*1$*  3u2l$) 5$*4 d(%$:$'1$* ol&) 0&*3u$l, 1$'&*$ 0'odu1+( %&'6$%$+. A1(6$%*5$ 1u'8$ 0&*$:$'$*

(8)

P&'4&+&'$* 1u'8$ 0&*$:$'$* M$*1(:, !

III) KESETIMBANGAN PASAR DAN HARGA

Ke!ei*:"ng"n 3"!" 4market equilibrium5 $d$l$) +u$%u 1o*d(+( d(2$*$ 3u2l$) 6$'$*4>3$+$ 5$*4 d(%$:$'1$* +$2$ d&*4$* 3u2l$) 6$'$*4>3$+$ 5$*4 d(2(*%$.

Ku'8$ 0&'2(*%$$* d$* 0&*$:$'$* 5$*4 2&26&*%u1 1&+&%(26$*4$* d$0$% d(l()$% 0$d$ 4$26$' 6&'(1u%? Ku'8$ 0&*$:$'$* K&+&(26$*4$* 1u$*%(%$+ 0&'2(*%$$* +$2$ d&*4$* 0&*$:$'$*! Ku'8$ 0&'2(*%$$* P$d$ 4$26$' d($%$+, E 2&'u0$1$* %(%(1 &1u(l(6'(u2 &equi"i!rium oint !,  2&'u0$1$* 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 0$d$ +$$%

&1u(l(6'(u2 d$* P 2&'u0$1$* )$'4$ 1&+&%(26$*4$*

equi"i!rium rice!.

S&0&'%( %&l$) d(3&l$+1$* d( $%$+, 1&+&%(26$*4$* %&'3$d( 3(1$  3u2l$) 1o2od(%( 5$*4 d(2(*%$ d$l$2 0$+$' 0&' u*(% :$1%u +$2$ d&*4$* 3u2l$) 1o2od(%( 5$*4 d(%$:$'1$* +&l$2$ 0&'(od& 5$*4 +$2$. S&@$'$ 4'$9(+ 1&+&%(26$*4$* %&'3$d( 0$d$ 0&'0o%o*4$* $*%$'$ 1u'8$ 0&'2(*%$$* 0$+$' d$* 1u'8$ 0&*$:$'$* 0$+$' +&0&'%( 0$d$ 1u'8$ d( $%$+!.

Su'0lu+ %&'@(0%$ 1&%(1$ 0$'$ 0'odu+&* 2&*$:$'1$* +$%u

0'odu1 d$l$2 3u2l$) l&6() 6$*5$1 d$'(0$d$ 5$*4 d(2(*%$ ol&) 0&26&l(.

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D&9(+(% K&1u'$*4$*! $d$l$) 1o*d(+( d(2$*$ 0&26&l( 2&2(*%$ l&6() 6$*5$1 d$'(0$d$ 5$*4 2$u d$* 2$20u d(%$:$'1$* ol&) 0$'$ 0&*3u$l. Ko*d(+( +u'0lu+ d$* d&9(+(% 2&*u*3u11$* 1o*d(+( d(+-&1u(l6'(u2 0$+$'.

IV) ELASTISITAS

Pengei"n

El$+%(+(%$+ e"asticity ! $d$l$) +&6u$) u1u'$* +&*+(%(8(%$+ 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 5$*4 d(2(*%$ d! 2$u0u* 5$*4 d(%$:$'1$* +! %&')$d$0 9$1%o'-9$1%o' 0&*&*%u*5$.

(9)

E("!i!i"! d"n Pe*in""n

P&*4&%$)u$* 2&*4&*$( +&6&'$0$ 6&+$' d$20$1 0&'u6$)$* )$'4$ %&')$d$0 3u2l$) 6$'$*4 d$* 3$+$ 5$*4 d(2(*%$ +$*4$%l$) 0&*%(*4. B$4( 0'odu+&*, 0&*4&%$)u$* (*( d(4u*$1$* +&6$4$( 0&do2$* +&6&'$0$ 6&+$' 0'odu+&* )$'u+ 2&*4u6$) )$'4$ 0'odu1*5$. H$l (*( +$*4$% 6&'1$(%$* d&*4$* +&6&'$0$ 6&+$' 0&*&'(2$$* 0&*3u$l$* tota" re'enue! 5$*4 $1$* d(0&'ol&)*5$.

S&6$4$( @o*%o), $*44$0l$) 6($5$ 0'odu1+( +&6u$) 6$'$*4 2&*(*41$% +&)(*44$ +&o'$*4 0'odu+&* %&'0$1+$ 2&*$(11$* )$'4$ 3u$l 0'odu1*5$. M&*u'u% )u1u2 0&'2(*%$$*, %(*d$1$* 2&*$(11$* )$'4$ (*( 3&l$+ $1$* 2&*u'u*1$* 0&'2(*%$$*. J(1$ 0&'2(*%$$* )$*5$ 2&*u'u* d$l$2 3u2l$) 5$*4 1&@(l, 1&*$(1$* )$'4$ $1$* 2&*u%u0( 6($5$ 0'odu1+( +&)(*44$ 0'odu+&* 2$+() 2&*d$0$%1$* 1&u*%u*4$*. N$2u*, 3(1$ 0&*(*41$%$* )$'4$ (*( %&'*5$%$ 2&*u'u*1$* 0&'2(*%$$* d&2(1($* 6&+$', 2$1$ 6u1$* 1&u*%u*4$* 5$*4 ($ 0&'ol&). H$+(l 0&*3u$l$**5$ 2u*41(* +$3$ %(d$1 d$0$% 2&*u%u0( 6($5$ 0'odu1+(*5$, +&)(*44$ ($ 2&*d&'(%$ 1&'u4($*. J&l$+ d( +(*( 6$):$ 0'odu+&* )$'u+ 2&20&'%(26$*41$* %(*41$% &l$+%(+(%$+ 6$'$*4 0'odu1+(*5$ +&6&lu2 2&26u$% +u$%u 1&0u%u+$*. I$ )$'u+ 2&20&'1('$1$* +&6&'$0$ 6&+$' 1&0&1$$* 1o*+u2&* $%$u +&6&'$0$ 6&+$' 1o*+u2&* $1$* 6&'&$1+( 3(1$ ($ 2&*4u6$) )$'4$ +&6&+$' , , d$* +&%&'u+*5$.

Jeni!.9eni! E("!i!i"!

El$+%(+(%$+ 0&'2(*%$$* $d$ 7 2$@$2 5$(%u" El$+%(+(%$+ H$'4$, S(l$*4, d$* P&*d$0$%$*.

E("!i!i"! H"g" K&+&(26$*4$* 1u$*%(%$+ 0&'2(*%$$*

+$2$ d&*4$* 0&*$:$'$*!

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. I*&l$+%(+(%$+ +&20u'*$. Ko*d(+( (*( %&'3$d( 3(1$ *(l$( 1o&9(+(&* &l$+%(+(%$+ $d$l$)  *ol!. H$l (*( 6&'$'%( 0&'2(*%$$* %(d$1 %&'0&*4$'u) ol&) $d$*5$ 0&'u6$)$* )$'4$>0&*d$0$%$*.

. El$+%(+(%$+ +&20u'*$. Ko*d(+( (*( %&'3$d( 3(1$ *(l$( 1o&9(+(&* &l$+%(+(%$+ $d$l$) %(d$1 %&')(*44$. H$l (*( 6&'$'%( 0&'2(*%$$* $1$* %&'0&*4$'u) ol&) $d$*5$ 0&'u6$)$* )$'4$>0&*d$0$%$* 5$*4 +&d(1(% +$3$.

7. El$+%(+(%$+ u*(%&' U*(%$'5 El$+%(@(%5!. Ko*d(+( (*( %&'3$d(  3(1$ *(l$( 1o&9(+(&* &l$+%(+(%$+ $d$l$)  +$%u!. H$l (*( 6&'$'%( $1$* %&'3$d( 0&'u6$)$* +$%u u*(% 0&'2(*%$$* $1(6$% $d$*5$ 0&'u6$)$* +$%u u*(% 0$d$ )$'4$>0&*d$0$%$*.

;. El$+%(+. Ko*d(+( (*( %&'3$d( 3(1$ *(l$( 1o&9(+(&* &l$+%(+(%$+ $d$l$) l&6() d$'( . H$l (*( 6&'$'%( $1$* %&'3$d( 0&'u6$)$* l&6() d$'( +$%u u*(% 0&'2(*%$$* $1(6$% $d$*5$ 0&'u6$)$* +$%u u*(% 0$d$ )$'4$>0&*d$0$%$*.

C. I*&l$+%(+. Ko*d(+( (*( %&'3$d( 3(1$ *(l$( 1o&9(+(&* &l$+%(+(%$+ $d$l$) 1u'$*4 d$'( . H$l (*( 6&'$'%( $1$* %&'3$d( 0&'u6$)$* 1u'$*4 d$' ( +$%u u*(% 0&'2(*%$$* $1(6$% $d$*5$

(10)

0&'u6$)$* +$%u u*(% 0$d$ )$'4$>0&*d$0$%$*. E("!i!i"! Si("ng

M&*4u1u' +&6&'$0$ 6&+$' +&*+(%(8(%$+ 0&'u6$)$* 0&'2(*%$$* 1o*+u2&* %&')$d$0 0'odu1 A $1(6$% $d$*5$ 0&'u6$)$* )$'4$ 0'odu1 B. J(1$ &l$+%(+(%$+*5$ 0o+(%(9 2$1$ 6$'$*4 A d$* B $d$l$) +u6+%(%u+( d$* 3(1$ &l$+%(+(%$+*5$ *&4$%(9 6&'$'%( 6$'$*4 A d$* B $d$l$) 1o20l&2&*%&'.

Contoh:

K$*$dii Se:e(u* Se!ud"=

H"g" Ju*("= H"g" Ju*("=

Ko0( Y! ; C / 7

T&) !  ;  C

K$*$dii Se:e(u* Se!ud"=

H"g" Ju*("= H"g" Ju*("=

L&2o* !    C

T&) !  ;  7C

D$'( %$6&l d( $%$+ &l$+%(+(%$+ +(l$*4 d$'( 0&'2(*%$$* $*%$'$ %&) ! d$* 1o0( Y! d$* $*%$'$ %&) ! d$* l&2o* ! $d$l$)" Q x P  y 10 100 / 2  xy 0,55  P  y

Q

 x 20 90 / 2 Q x  P  z  5 30/2  xz  0,2  P  z  Q x 10 75 / 2

K$'&*$ &l$+%(+(%$+  %&')$d$0 Y 6&'*(l$( 0o+(%(9 2$1$ %&) d$* 1o0( 2&'u0$1$* 6$'$*4 +u6%(%u+(, +&d$*41$* &l$+%(+(%$+  %&')$d$0  6&'*(l$( *&4$%(9 2$1$ %&) d$* l&2o* 2&'u0$1$* 6$'$*4 1o20l&2&*%&'

E("!i!i"! Pend"3""n

M&*4u1u' +&6&'$0$ 6&+$' +&*+(%(8(%$+ 0&'u6$)$* 0&'2(*%$$* 1o*+u2&* %&')$d$0 0'odu1 $1(6$% $d$*5$ 0&'u6$)$* 0&*d$0$%$* 1o*+u2&*. J(1$ &l$+%(+(%$+*5$ 0o+(%(9 2$1$ 6$'$*4 d$* 3$+$ %&'+&6u% $d$l$) 6$'$*4 *o'2$l, d$* 3(1$ &l$+%(+(%$+*5$ *&4$%(9 2$1$ 6$'$*4 d$*  3$+$ %&'+&6u% $d$l$) 6$'$*4 (*9&'(o'

VI) INFLASI

S&@$'$ +&d&')$*$ (*9l$+( d($'%(1$* +&6$4$( 2&*(*41$%*5$ )$'4$-)$'4$ +&@$'$ u2u2 d$* %&'u+ 2&*&'u+. K&*$(1$* )$'4$ d$'( +$%u $%$u du$ 6$'$*4 +$3$ %(d$1 d$0$% d(+&6u% (*9l$+( 1&@u$l( 6(l$ 1&*$(1$* (%u 2&lu$+ $%$u 2&*4$1(6$%1$* 1&*$(1$* )$'4$! 0$d$ 6$'$*4 l$(**5$. K&6$l(1$* d$'( (*9l$+( d(+&6u% d&9l$+(. &sum!er( )ank Indonesia*.

I*d(1$%o' 5$*4 +&'(*4 d(4u*$1$* u*%u1 2&*4u1u' %(*41$% (*9l$+( $d$l$) I*d&1+ H$'4$ Ko*+u2&* IHK! $%$u C+I  Consumer +rice Inde,  !. P&'u6$)$* IHK d$'( :$1%u 1& :$1%u 2&*u*3u11$* 0&'4&'$1$* )$'4$ d$'( 0$1&% 6$'$*4 d$* 3$+$ 5$*4 d(1o*+u2+( 2$+5$'$1$%. S&3$1 Jul( , 0$1&% 6$'$*4 d$* 3$+$ d$l$2 1&'$*3$*4 IHK %&l$) d(l$1u1$* $%$+ d$+$' Su'8&( B($5$ H(du0 SBH! 5$*4 d(l$1+$*$1$* ol&) B$d$* Pu+$% S%$%(+%(1 BPS!. K&2ud($*, BPS $1$* 2&2o*(%o' 0&'1&26$*4$* )$'4$ d$'( 6$'$*4 d$* 3$+$ %&'+&6u% +&@$'$ 6ul$*$* d( 6&6&'$0$ 1o%$, d( 0$+$' %'$d(+(o*$l d$* 2od&'* %&')$d$0 6&6&'$0$ 3&*(+ 6$'$*4>3$+$ d( +&%($0 1o%$.

(11)

Indik"$ in#("!i ("inn;" :ed"!"k"n international best practice "n"" ("in<

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. D&9l$%o' P'odu1 Do2&+%(1 B'u%o PDB! 2&*44$26$'1$* 0&*4u1u'$* l&8&l )$'4$ 6$'$*4 $1)(' 9(*$l 4ood+! d$* 3$+$ 5$*4 d(0'odu1+( d( d$l$2 +u$%u &1o*o2( *&4&'(!. D&9l$%o' PDB d()$+(l1$* d&*4$* 2&26$4( PDB $%$+ d$+$' )$'4$ *o2(*$l d&*4$* PDB $%$+ d$+$' )$'4$ 1o*+%$*.

Penge($*3$k"n IHK

I*9l$+( 5$*4 d(u1u' d&*4$* IHK d( I*do*&+($ d(1&lo20o1$* 1& d$l$2  1&lo20o1 0&*4&lu$'$* 6&'d$+$'1$* the C"assi$ication o$ indi'idua" consumtion !y urose -C.IC.+ !, 5$(%u"

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(12)

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(13)

d$* %(d$1 +%$6(l 2&26&'(1$* d$20$1 *&4$%(9 1&0$d$ 1o*d(+( + o+($l &1o*o2( 2$+5$'$1$%. Su26&'" B$*1 I*do*&+($!.

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(14)

VII) PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO 4PDB5

A"u di!e:u 9ug" Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

M&'u0$1$* 3u2l$) *(l$( %$26$) 5$*4 d()$+(l1$* ol&) +&lu'u) u*(% u+$)$ d( d$l$2 +u$%u *&4$'$, $%$u d$0$% 3u4$ 2&'u0$1$* 3u2l$) *(l$( 6$'$*4 d$* 3$+$ $1)(' 5$*4 d()$+(l1$* ol&) +&lu'u) u*(% &1o*o2(. Su26&'" BPS!

A*41$ PDB d$0$% d()(%u*4 2&*44u*$1$* P&*d&1$%$* P'odu1+(, P&*4&lu$'$*, d$* P&*d$0$%$*.

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Menuu Pendek""n Penge(u""n

PDB $d$l$) +&2u$ 1o20o*&* 0&'2(*%$$* $1)(' 5$*4 %&'d('( d$'("

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E,enditure" $d$l$) *(l$( +&lu'u) 3&*(+ ou%0u% 0&2&'(*%$) d(1u'$*4( *(l$( ou%0u% u*%u1 0&26&*%u1$* 2od$l +&*d('( d(1u'$*4( *(l$( 0&*3u$l$* 6$'$*4>3$+$ 6$(1 5$*4 )$'4$*5$ +(4*(9(1$* d$* %d1 +(4*(9(1$* +&@$'$ &1o*o2(! d(%$26$) *(l$( 6$'$*4>3$+$ 5$*4 d(6&l( d$'( 0'odu+&* 0$+$' u*%u1 d(6&'(1$* 0$d$ RT +&@$'$ 4'$%(+ $%$u d&*4$* )$'4$ 5$*4 %(d$1 +(4*(9(1$* +&@$'$ &1o*o2( socia" trans$er in kind-urchased market   roduction!.

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Consumtion o$ Fi,ed Caita" ! 2&*44$26$'1$* 0&*u'u*$* *(l$( 6$'$*4 2od$l 5$*4 d(4u*$1$* 0$d$ 0'o+&+ 0'odu1+( +&@$'$ *o'2$l +&l$2$ +$%u 0&'(od&.

;. I*8&*%o'(" $d$l$) 0&'+&d($$* 5$*4 d(1u$+$( ol&) u*(% 5$*4 2&*4)$+(l1$* u*%u1 d(4u*$1$* d$l$2 0'o+&+ l&6() l$*3u%, d(3u$l, $%$u d(6&'(1$* 0$d$ 0()$1 l$(*, $%$u d(4u*$1$* d&*4$* @$'$ l$(*. D$0$% d(4u*$1$* +&6$4$( (*0u% $%$u d(3u$l 1&26$l( %$*0$ 2&*4$l$2( 0'o+&+ l&6() l$*3u%. B&6&'$0$ l&26$4$ '(+&% 2&2$+u11$* 0&')(%u*4$* I*8&*%o'( 1& d$l$2 0&')(%u*4$* PMTB.

C. E1+0o'  I20o'" S&@$'$ u2u2, 1o*+&0 &1+0o'-(20o' lu$' *&4&'( 5$*4 d(4u*$1$* d$l$2 0&*5u+u*$* PDB>PDRB P&*44u*$$* 2&*4$@u 0$d$ System o$ Nationa"   Accounts &SNA* 3445. D$l$2 SNA 3445, %'$*+$1+( &1+0o'-(20o' 6$'$*4 lu$' *&4&'(

d$l$2 1o20o*&* PDRB P&*44u*$$* P'o8(*+( 2&'u0$1$* +$l$) +$%u 6&*%u1 %'$*+$1+( (*%&'*$+(o*$l $*%$'$ 0&l$1u &1o*o2( 5$*4 2&'u0$1$* '&+(d&* +u$%u :(l$5$) P'o8(*+( %&')$d$0 0&l$1u &1o*o2( lu$' *&4&'( *o*-'&+(d&*%!. T'$*+$1+( &1+0o' 6$'$*4 d(d&9(*(+(1$* +&6$4$( %'$*+$1+( 0&'0(*d$)$* 1&0&2(l(1$* &1o*o2( 6$(1 6&'u0$ 0&*3u$l$*, 6$'%&', )$d($) $%$u0u* )(6$)! $%$+ 6$'$*4 d$'( '&+(d&* +u$%u :(l$5$) P'o8(*+( %&')$d$0 0&l$1u &1o*o2( lu$' *&4&'( non-resident !. S&6$l(1*5$, (20o' 6$'$*4 d(d&9(*(+(1$* +&6$4$( %'$*+$1+( 0&'0(*d$)$* 1&0&2(l(1$* &1o*o2( 2&*@$1u0 0&26&l($*, 6$'%&', )$d($) $%$u0u* )(6$)! $%$+ 6$'$*4 d$'( 0&l$1u &1o*o2( lu$' *&4&'( non-resident ! %&')$d$0 '&+(d&* +u$%u :(l$5$) P'o8(*+(.

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(16)

PERANAN NEGARA DALAM EKONOMI

N&4$'$ P&2&'(*%$)! d$0$% 2&*(*41$%1$* $1%(8(%$+ &1o*o2(, $*%$'$ l$(* +&6$4$( 9$+(l(%$%o', $%$u 2&l$1u1$* (*%&'8&*+(. S&6$4$( 9$+(l(%$%o', P&2&'(*%$) 6&'%u4$+ u*%u1 2&2$+%(1$* 6$):$ 2&1$*(+2& 0$+$' d$0$% 6&1&'3$ d&*4$* 6$(1 2&l$lu( 0&*&4$1$* )u1u2 d$* 0&*5&d($$* +$'$*$ d$* 0'$+$'$*$. S&2&*%$'$ 6&*%u1 (*%&'8&*+( P&2&'(*%$) d$0$% d(l$1u1$* 2&l$lu( 0&*&%$0$* K&6(3$1$* Mo*&%&' d$* F(+1$l.

Ke:i9"k"n M$nee

Ad$l$) 1&6(3$1$* 5$*4 d(1&lu$'1$* ol&) B$*1 S&*%'$l o%o'(%$+ 2o*&%&'! u*%u1 2&*4&*d$l(1$* 3u2l$) u$*4 5$*4 6&'&d$' u*%u1 2&*@$0$( 0&'1&26$*4$* 1&4($%$* 0&'&1o*o2($* 5$*4 d((*4(*1$*. K&4($%$* 0&'&1o*o2($* 5$*4 d(2$1+ud $d$l$) 1&+%$6(l$* 0&'&1o*o2($* 2$1'o 5$*4 d$0$% %&'@&'2(* 0$d$ 1&:$3$'$* l$3u (*9l$+( %&')$d$0 0&'%u26u)$* &1o*o2(, +&'%$ @u1u0 lu$+*5$ l$0$*4$* 1&'3$ 5$*4 %&'+&d($ d(6$*d(*4 d&*4$*  3u2l$) 0&*dudu1 5$*4 6&'u+($ 0'odu1%(9.

K&6(3$1$* Mo*&%&' $d$l$) 6$4($* (*%&4'$l d$'( 1&6(3$1$* &1o*o2( 2$1'o 5$*4 0$d$ u2u2*5$ d(l$1u1$* d&*4$* 2&20&'%(26$*41$* +(1lu+ &1o*o2(, +(9$% 0&'&1o*o2($* +u$%u *&4$'$ %&'6u1$ $%$u %&'%u%u0! +&'%$ 9$1%o'-9$1%o' 9u*d$2&*%$l &1o*o2( l$(**5$.

Beiku ini "d"("= :e:e"3" in!u*en Ke:i9"k"n M$nee<

. Su1u Bu*4$ Interest 6ate!? $d$l$) 0&*4&*d$l($* 3u2l$) u$*4 6&'&d$' ol&) B$*1 S&*%'$l d&*4$* @$'$ 2&*$(11$* $%$u 2&*u'u*1$* %(*41$% +u1u 6u*4$ $@u$* 5$*4 d$0$% 2&20&*4$'u)( *$(1 %u'u**5$ +u1u 6u*4$ 0(*3$2$* 2$u0u* +(20$*$* 0$d$ 6$*1 u2u2. D(+&6u% 3u4$ Pol(%(1 D(+1o*%o  Discount +o"icy !.

S&1$'$*4 (*( I*do*&+($ 2&*44u*$1$* Su1u Bu*4$ B$*1 I*do*&+($ BI R$%&! +&6$4$( $@u$*, 5$*4 d(%(*3$u +&%($0 6ul$* d$l$2 R$0$% D&:$* Gu6&'*u' RDG! B$*1 I*do*&+($ BI!. S&l$*3u%*5$, 2ul$( 6ul$* A4u+%u+ /, BI 6&'&*@$*$ 2&*44u*$1$* 6e'erse 6eo 6ate 6&'%&*o'  )$'( 5$*4 d$0$% d(%(*3$u +&%($0 0&1$*, +&)(*44$ d()$'$01$* d$0$% 2&*4)$+(l1$* 1&6(3$1$* 2o*&%&' 5$*4 l&6() '&+0o*+(9, %&'u%$2$ d$l$2 2&*4)$d$0( 1&$d$$* &1o*o2( 4lo6$l 5$*4 +&1$'$*4 (*( +&d$*4 %(d$1 2&*&*%u.

. G('o W$3(6 M(*(2u2 6eser'e 6equirement 6atio!? $d$l$) 0&*4&*d$l($* 3u2l$) u$*4 6&'&d$' ol&) B$*1 S&*%'$l d&*4$* @$'$ 2&*&*%u1$* '$+(o +(20$*$* 2(*(2u2 5$*4 )$'u+ d(0&l()$'$ ol&) 6$*1 u2u2 d$l$2 6&*%u1 +$ldo '&1&*(*4 4('o.

B$*1 I*do*&+($ BI! $1$* 2&*u'u*1$* '$+(o G('o W$3(6 M(*(2u2 GWM! u*%u1 2&*do'o*4 &1+0$*+( 1'&d(% $0$6(l$ 0&'%u26u)$* &1o*o2( 2&l&2$), +&'%$ 2&*$(11$* '$+(o GWM u*%u1 2&*$)$* l$3u &1+0$*+( 1'&d(% $0$6(l$ 0&'%u26u)$* &1o*o2( +ud$) 2&*u3u 4&l&26u*4  !u!!"e!.

7. O0&'$+( P$+$' T&'6u1$ .en Market .eration!? $d$l$) 0&*4&*d$l($* 3u2l$) u$*4 6&'&d$' ol&) B$*1 S&*%'$l d&*4$* 2&*3u$l $%$u 2&26&l( +u'$% 6&')$'4$ 0&2&'(*%$) /o'ernment securities! d( 0$+$'. Ad$0u* 0&*3u$l$* +u'$% 6&')$'4$ d(l$1u1$* $0$6(l$ %&'3$d( 1&l&6()$* l(1u(d(%$+, 5$*4 d(+&6u% d&*4$* OPT O0&'$+( P$+$' T&'6u1$! A6+o'6+(, +&'%$ 0&26&l($* +u'$% 6&')$'4$ d(l$1u1$* $0$6(l$ %&'3$d( 1&1u'$*4$* l(1u(d(%$+, 5$*4 d(+&6u% d&*4$* OPT I*3&1+(.

;. P&*4&*d$l($* K'&d(% S&l&1%(9 Se"ecti'e Credit Contro" !? $d$l$) 0&*4&*d$l($* 0&'%u26u)$* 1'&d(% u*%u1 +&1%o' (*du+%'( %&'*%&*%u d&*4$* 2&*$(11$* $%$u 2&*u'u*1$* '$+(o u$*4 2u1$ %&')$d$0 3u2l$) 0(*3$2$*  LT71 Loan to 7a"ue!.

C. H(26$u$* Mo'$l Mora" Suasion!? $d$l$) )(26$u$* 5$*4 d(1&lu$'1$* d$l$2 6&*%u1 l(+$* 2&l$lu( 0(d$%o $%$u '(l(+$* (*9o'2$+( l$(* d$'( 6$*1 +&*%'$l %&')$d$0 6$*1 u2u2 $%$u 0&*4u+$)$ d( +&1%o' (*du+%'( %&'%&*%u $%$u +&@$'$ 1&+&lu'u)$* u*%u1 2&*%$$%( +u$%u 0&'$%u'$* %&'%&*%u. B&'+(9$% +&2&*%$'$ +$20$( d&*4$* %&'6(%*5$ 0&'$%u'$* %&'%ul(+ 5$*4 '&+2(, $0$6(l$ d(0&'lu1$*.

(17)

Si#" Ke:i9"k"n M$nee<

. K&6(3$1$* E1o*o2( 5$*4 Ko*%'$1%(9 $d$l$) $0$6(l$ B$*1 S&*%'$l 2&l$1u1$* l$*41$)-l$*41$) 0&*4&%$%$* d&*4$* @$'$" 2&*$(11$* +u1u 6u*4$ $@u$*, 2&*$(11$* GWM, d$* 2&*3u$l +u'$% 6&')$'4$ OPT A6+o'6+(!.

. K&6(3$1$* E1o*o2( 5$*4 E1+0$*+(9 $d$l$) $0$6(l$ B$*1 S&*%'$l 2&l$1u1$* l$*41$)-l$*41$) 0&lo*44$'$* d&*4$* @$'$" 2&*u'u*1$* +u1u 6u*4$ $@u$*, 2&*u'u*1$* GWM, d$* 2&26&l( +u'$% 6&')$'4$ OPT I*3&1+(!.

Tu9u"n Ke:i9"k"n M$nee

K&6(3$1$* 2o*&%&' u%$2$*5$ 6&'%u3u$* u*%u1 2&*4&*d$l(1$* 3u2l$) u$*4 5$*4 6&'&d$' +&)(*44$ d$0$% 2&*3$4$ l$3u (*9l$+( $4$' +&3$l$* d&*4$* l$3u 0&'%u26u)$* &1o*o2(. K&6(3$1$* Mo*&%&' 3u4$ 6&'%u3u$* u*%u1 2&*3$4$ +%$6(l(%$+ *(l$( %u1$' 2$%$ u$*4, 1$'&*$ 0&'u6$)$* K&6(3$1$* Mo*&%&' d$0$% 2&20&*4$'u)( 0&'2(*%$$* d$* 0&*$:$'$* d( 0$+$' u$*4 d$* 0$+$' 2od$l.

Ku(+" S&6u%1$* 6&6&'$0$ +u'$% 6&')$'4$ P&2&'(*%$) 5$*4 $*d$ 1&%$)u(. Peng"u= Ke:i9"k"n M$nee Te="d"3 Kine9" E#ek

P$d$ 4'$9(1 d( 6$:$) (*( d$0$% d(l()$% 6$):$ 0&*u'u*$* (*9l$+( d$* +u1u 6u*4$ $@u$* 6&'d$20$1 0o+(%(9 %&')$d$0 0&'%u26u)$* )$'4$ &9&1, 5$*4 d$l$2 )$l (*( %&'@&'2(* d$l$2 (*d&1+ )$'4$ 1o20o+(% +$)$2 d$* o6l(4$+(.

&Sum!er( )"oom!er/*

Ku(+" M&*4$0$ 0&'u6$)$* +u1u 6u*4$ $@u$* 6$*1 +&*%'$l d$0$% 2&20&*4$'u)( 1(*&'3$ &9&1

Ke:i9"k"n Fi!k"(

Ad$l$) 1&6(3$1$* 5$*4 d(6u$% P&2&'(*%$) u*%u1 2&*4$'$)1$* 1&$d$$* &1o*o2( *&4$'$ 2&l$lu( 0&*4&*d$l($* 0&*4&lu$'$* d$* 0&*&'(2$$*.

Beiku ini "d"("= :e:e"3" in!u*en Ke:i9"k"n Fi!k"(<

. P$3$1? $d$l$) (*+%'u2&* 1&6(3$1$* 9(+1$l 5$*4 d$0$% d(4u*$1$* P&2&'(*%$) u*%u1 2&2$1+(2$l1$* 0&*&'(2$$* *&4$'$ $0$6(l$ %(*41$%*5$ d(*$(11$*, $%$u d$0$%

(18)

2&*3$d( (*+&*%(9 $%$u +u6+(d( 5$*4 6&'0o%&*+( 2&*(*41$%1$* 0&'%u26u)$* +&1%o' %&'1$(% $0$6(l$ %(*41$%*5$ d(%u'u*1$* $%$u 6$)1$* d(6&6$+1$* +$2$ +&1$l(.

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u*%u1 2&l$1u1$* 0&'&*@$*$$* 0&*&'(2$$* d$* 0&*4&lu$'$* *&4$'$ d$l$2 0&'(od& %&'%&*%u.

o*%o)" P&2&'(*%$) 6&'+$2$ DPR 2&l$1u1$* 0&'u6$)$* APBN / d&*4$* 2&*u'u*1$* $*44$'$* 6&l$*3$ *&4$'$ %$)u* (*( +&%&l$) 2&l()$% 0o%&*+( 2&*u'u**5$ 0&*d$0$%$* $1(6$% 0&'l$26$%$* &1o*o2( du*($.

Si#" Ke:i9"k"n Fi!k"(<

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. K&6(3$1$* F(+1$l Ko*%'$1%(9 d(%&20u) $0$6(l$ 0&'%u26u)$* &1o*o2( l&6() %(*44( d$'( 0o%&*+($l*5$, $*%$'$ l$(* d&*4$* @$'$ 2&*$(11$* %(*41$% 0$3$1, 2&*4u'$*4( +u6+(d(, d$* 2&*4u'$*4( 6&l$*3$ *&4$'$.

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S%'$%&4( 0&'u2u+$* 1&6(3$1$* 5$*4 &1+0$*+(9>1o*%'$1%(9 d(l$1u1$* d&*4$* 0'(*+(0 1&)$%(-)$%($* d$* %&'&*@$*$.

Tu9u"n Ke:i9"k"n Fi!k"(

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. K&+&20$%$* K&'3$ 7. P&'%u26u)$* E1o*o2(

S&@$'$ u2u2 K&6(3$1$* F(+1$l d(4u*$1$* ol&) 0&2&'(*%$) u*%u1 2&20&*4$'u)( %(*41$% 0&'2(*%$$* d$* 0&*$:$'$* $4'&4$% d$l$2 0&'&1o*o2($* 2&l$lu( 0&'u6$)$* (*+&*%(9 6$4( 0&'u+$)$$* d$* (*d(8(du. A1$* +&l$lu $d$ 1o*9l(1 $*%$'$ +%$6(l(%$+ )$'4$ d$* 1&+&20$%$* 1&'3$, d(2$*$ 0&'lu$+$* l$0$*4$* 1&'3$ $1$* d((1u%( ol&) 1&*$(1$* )$'4$, d$* +&6$l(1*5$, u+$)$ u*%u1 2&*+%$6(l1$* )$'4$ d$0$% 2&*4u'$*4( l$0$*4$* 1&'3$.

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Peng"u= Ke:i9"k"n Fi!k"( Te="d"3 Kine9" E#ek

I*d&1+ )$'4$ +$)$2 d$* o6l(4$+( 2&*4$l$2( 1&*$(1$* 0$d$ +$$% P&2&'(*%$) 2&*4u2u21$* '&*@$*$ 0&*4u'$*4$* +u6+(d( BBM 0$d$ 6ul$* No8&26&' ;, +&'%$ 0&*4&+$)$* UU P&*4$20u*$* P$3$1 0$d$ 6ul$* Ju*( /. K&du$ )$l %&'+&6u% %&'2$+u1 d$l$2 K&6(3$1$* F(+1$l 5$*4 d(5$1(*( (*8&+%o' $1$* 6&'d$20$1 6$(1 6$4( 1&u$*4$* *&4$'$, %&'u%$2$ d$l$2 2&26($5$( 0&26$*4u*$*.

(19)

Su26&'" Bloo26&'4!

SIKLUS BISNIS

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P$(" Sik(u! Bi!ni!

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(20)

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Sik(u! Bi!ni! d"n Penge(u""n In+e!"!i !e" Tingk" Peng"nggu"n

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Le"ding, >$in?iden "nd L"gging Indi?"$!

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ANALISA EKONOMI TERHADAP

KEGIATAN USAHA PERUSAHAAN

I) ANALISIS FUNDAMENTAL 4F!D"#$!%"L "!"L&S'S 5

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Ke"ngk" Ke9" An"(i!i! Fund"*en"(, T$3.D$%n A33$"?=

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II) ANALISIS TEKNIKAL 4%$!'"L "!"L&S'S 5

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Be:e"3" i!i("= 3"d" "n"(i!i! eknik"(

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Ke"ngk" Ke9" An"(i!i! Teknik"( *e(i3ui<

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$d$l$) 6$):$ +$)$2 %&'+&6u% $1$* ou%0&'9o'2 +&@$'$ 1o*%(*u %&')$d$0 0$+$'. Mo2&*%u2 +%'$%&4(&+ 2&'u0$1$* 0&*d&1$%$* 3$*41$ 0&*d&1.

PERMINTAAN DAN PENA8ARAN< PENGARUHNYA TERHADAP KEGIATAN

INVESTASI DI PASAR MODAL

B"g"i*"n" Ek$n$*i Me*3eng"u=i P"!" !e" Kegi""n In+e!"!i di P"!" M$d"( The "a# o$ su"y and demand is more imortant than a"" the ana"yst oinions on 8a""

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FAKTOR.FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENA8ARAN DAN PERMINTAAN INVESTASI 4DALAM HAL INI SAHAM5 DI PASAR MODAL

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Ku(+" M&*u'u% $*d$, 2&*4$0$ $1+( 1o'0o'$+( :$3(6 2&*d$0$% 0&'+&%u3u$* RUPS Ku(+" A1+( 1o'0o'$+( $0$ 5$*4 d$0$% d(l$1u1$* %$*0$ 0&'+&%u3u$* RUPS

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