EIBD – Pharmaceutical Sector Meeting
Shangri-La Hotel, Jakarta
22 October 2013
Implementation of National
Healthcare Security (JKN):
Opportunities and Challenges
Population Growth
2
Primary Care Accessibility
Health Spend
Universal Coverage
Changing Disease Pattern/ Morbidity
Per Capita Spend
Now=240 Million
1
ST
10 Years
60%
Succeeding 20Years
40%
USD 82
USD 1,780
Now
2040
Now=140 Million
2019=264 Million
58%
Coverage
100%
Coverage
Now=8300
2040=12000
USD 25 Bn
USD 640 Bn
Now=2.5% of GDP (USD 1T) 2040=80% of GDP (USD 8T)
Now
2017
55%
45%
65%
35%
Infection
Life-Style
At a Glance
2040=360 Million
Relatively Young Population is Expected to Sustain in the
Future…
Total Healthcare Expenditure Expected to Increase
Low Healthcare Spending per Capita Creates High Upside
Potential…
…
…that is Supported by Stable Macroeconomic Fundamentals
0-4
5-9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75+
2012 Indonesian Population (mm) by Age and Gender
Female
Male
2012
=
3.1% of GDP
2018
=
4.4% of GDP
US$59 bn
US$27 bn
Total HC
Expenditure
Total HC
Expenditure
as % of GDP
Total GDP
US$871 bn
US$1,341 bn
High Demand in an Underserved Indonesian Market
Lack of Beds
1…
and Qualified Doctors
1…
2.9
2.8
2.8
2.2
2.0
1.6
1.0
1.0
China USA UK Singa-pore
Thailand Malaysia India Indo-nesia
B
e
ds p
e
r
1
,0
0
0
peopl
e
Global Average = 3.0
2.8
2.3
1.8
1.5
1.3
0.7
0.3
0.3
UK USA Singa-poreChina Malaysia India Indo-nesia Thailand