LAMPIRAN
Uji Chow
Redundant Fixed Effects Tests Equation: Untitled
Test cross-section fixed effects
Effects Test Statistic d.f. Prob.
Cross-section F 13.352643 (28,211) 0.0000
Cross-section Chi-square 246.728267 28 0.0000
Cross-section fixed effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: KEMISKINAN Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 11/03/22 Time: 23:38 Sample: 2010 2019
Periods included: 9
Cross-sections included: 29
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 242
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 35.32724 0.650846 54.27893 0.0000
PERTUMBUHAN_EKONOM
I -1.49E-07 5.64E-08 -2.636447 0.0089
PENGANGGURAN -0.001569 0.000198 -7.941580 0.0000 R-squared 0.346320 Mean dependent var 31.17876 Adjusted R-squared 0.340849 S.D. dependent var 10.21905 S.E. of regression 8.296655 Akaike info criterion 7.081901 Sum squared resid 16451.44 Schwarz criterion 7.125152 Log likelihood -853.9100 Hannan-Quinn criter. 7.099324 F-statistic 63.31104 Durbin-Watson stat 0.537926 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
40 Uji Hausman
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test Equation: Untitled
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary
Chi-Sq.
Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 4.654637 2 0.0976
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
PERTUMBUHAN_EKONOM
I -0.000000 -0.000000 0.000000 0.4587
PENGANGGURAN -0.000515 -0.000947 0.000000 0.0436
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: KEMISKINAN Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 11/03/22 Time: 23:42 Sample: 2010 2019
Periods included: 9
Cross-sections included: 29
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 242
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 32.67337 1.105412 29.55765 0.0000
PERTUMBUHAN_EKONOM
I -7.79E-08 1.82E-07 -0.429049 0.6683
PENGANGGURAN -0.000515 0.000367 -1.400505 0.1628 Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.764177 Mean dependent var 31.17876 Adjusted R-squared 0.730648 S.D. dependent var 10.21905 S.E. of regression 5.303601 Akaike info criterion 6.293768 Sum squared resid 5935.046 Schwarz criterion 6.740698 Log likelihood -730.5459 Hannan-Quinn criter. 6.473807 F-statistic 22.79133 Durbin-Watson stat 1.350310 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Uji stasionaritas
Kemiskinan
Panel unit root test: Summary Series: KEMISKINAN Date: 11/09/22 Time: 23:04 Sample: 2010 2019
Exogenous variables: Individual effects User-specified lags: 1
Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernel Balanced observations for each test
Cross-
Method Statistic Prob.** sections Obs
Null: Unit root (assumes common unit root process)
Levin, Lin & Chu t* -10.6529 0.0000 29 232 Null: Unit root (assumes individual unit root process)
Im, Pesaran and Shin W-stat -1.37357 0.0848 29 232 ADF - Fisher Chi-square 90.1911 0.0043 29 232 PP - Fisher Chi-square 37.0050 0.9856 29 261
** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi -square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Panel unit root test: Summary Series: PERTUMBUHAN_EKONOMI Date: 11/09/22 Time: 23:10
Sample: 2010 2019
Exogenous variables: Individual effects User-specified lags: 1
Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernel Balanced observations for each test
Cross-
Method Statistic Prob.** sections Obs
Null: Unit root (assumes common unit root process)
Levin, Lin & Chu t* -6.24565 0.0000 29 232 Null: Unit root (assumes individual unit root process)
Im, Pesaran and Shin W-stat 1.79788 0.9639 29 232 ADF - Fisher Chi-square 58.8436 0.4444 29 232 PP - Fisher Chi-square 88.6717 0.0059 29 261
** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi -square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.
42
Pengangguran
Panel unit root test: Summary Series: PENGANGGURAN Date: 11/09/22 Time: 23:15 Sample: 2010 2019
Exogenous variables: Individual effects User-specified lags: 1
Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernel Balanced observations for each test
Cross-
Method Statistic Prob.** sections Obs
Null: Unit root (assumes common unit root process)
Levin, Lin & Chu t* -38.9208 0.0000 15 75 Null: Unit root (assumes individual unit root process)
Im, Pesaran and Shin W-stat -7.06904 0.0000 15 75 ADF - Fisher Chi-square 39.3507 0.1181 15 75 PP - Fisher Chi-square 54.7566 0.0038 15 105
** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi -square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.
Uji Normalitas
0 10 20 30 40 50
-25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25
Series: Standardized Residuals Sample 2010 2019
Observations 242 Mean 1.92e-15 Median 1.728449 Maximum 23.68174 Minimum -23.44967 Std. Dev. 8.262157 Skewness -0.556111 Kurtosis 3.055677 Jarque-Bera 12.50471 Probability 0.001926
U
ji multikolonieritas
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Pengangguran
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi 1,0000 0,5233
Pengangguran 0,5233 1,0000
Uji heteroskedastisitas (Uji Glejser)
Dependent Variable: RESABS Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 11/07/22 Time: 19:30 Sample: 2010 2019
Periods included: 9
Cross-sections included: 29
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 242
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 7.101776 1.652437 4.297759 0.0000
KEMISKINAN_Y -0.046046 0.045389 -1.014475 0.3115 PERTUMBUHAN_EKONOM
I 7.19E-08 1.20E-07 0.600221 0.5490
PENGANGGURAN 0.000267 0.000243 1.096201 0.2742 Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.568838 Mean dependent var 6.585737 Adjusted R-squared 0.505190 S.D. dependent var 4.971050 S.E. of regression 3.496771 Akaike info criterion 5.464190 Sum squared resid 2567.756 Schwarz criterion 5.925537 Log likelihood -629.1670 Hannan-Quinn criter. 5.650037 F-statistic 8.937293 Durbin-Watson stat 1.523537 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
44 Hasil Regresi Random Effects
Dependent Variable: KEMISKINAN
Method: Panel EGLS (Cross-section random effects) Date: 11/04/22 Time: 01:14
Sample: 2010 2019 Periods included: 9
Cross-sections included: 29
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 242
Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 34.27852 1.426944 24.02233 0.0000
PERTUMBUHAN_EKONOM
I -1.86E-07 1.08E-07 -1.728820 0.0851
PENGANGGURAN -0.000947 0.000299 -3.168614 0.0017 Effects Specification
S.D. Rho
Cross-section random 6.635252 0.6102
Idiosyncratic random 5.303601 0.3898
Weighted Statistics
R-squared 0.076112 Mean dependent var 8.339462 Adjusted R-squared 0.068381 S.D. dependent var 5.585536 S.E. of regression 5.321848 Sum squared resid 6768.975 F-statistic 9.844654 Durbin-Watson stat 1.230523 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000078
Unweighted Statistics
R-squared 0.315296 Mean dependent var 31.17876 Sum squared resid 17232.23 Durbin-Watson stat 0.483360
