Friday 08 July 2022 - Time of Issue: 0800 hours IST

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MORNING Time of Issue: 0800 hours IST ALL INDIA WEATHER SUMMARY AND FORECAST BULLETIN

Significant Weather Features

♦ A Low Pressure Area lies over south Pakistan and adjoining Kutch with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto mid tropospheric levels tilting southwestwards with height.

♦ The monsoon trough is active and south of its normal position.

♦ An east-west shear zone runs roughly along 19°N in mid tropospheric levels tilting southwards with height across North Peninsular India.

♦ The off-shore trough at mean sea level runs from south Maharashtra coast to north Kerala coast.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lies over northwest & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal off south Odisha-north Andhra Pradesh Coasts and extends upto upto upper tropospheric levels tilting southwestwards with height.

♦ Under their influence;

i) Fairly widespread/widespread rainfall & thunderstorm/lightning with isolated heavy rainfall very likely over Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Gujarat state, Kerala & Mahe, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana and Karnataka during next 5 days.

a) Isolated very heavy rainfall very likely over Gujarat region during 08th-11th; Saurashtra & Kutch during 08th-09th; Madhya Maharashtra on 10th & 11th;

Coastal Karnataka on 09th; Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam on 08th & 11th; Telangana on 08th & 11th; South Interior Karnataka on 08th; West Madhya Pradesh on 08th & 10th; East Madhya Pradesh on 11th; Vidarbha & Chhattisgarh on 11th July, 2022.

b) Scattered heavy to very heavy rainfall with isolated extremely heavy rainfall also likely over Konkan & Goa during next 5 days and isolated extremely heavy rainfall likely over Telangana on 09th; Coastal Karnataka on 08th; Saurashtra & Kutch on 10th & 11th and over ghat areas of Madhya Maharashtra during 08th-09th July, 2022.

ii) Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall very likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal on 07th and heavy rainfall on 08th July, 2022.

iii) Isolated heavy rainfall very likely over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad on 08th & 09th and over Himachal Pradesh &

Uttarakhand on 10th July, 2022.

iv) Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall also likely over Himachal Pradesh & Uttarakhand on 08th & 09th July, 2022. Isolated extremely heavy falls also very likely over Uttarakhand on 09th July, 2022.

v) Isolated/scattered rainfall activity with isolated thunderstorm/lightning very likely over East Uttar Pradesh during next 5 days and over West Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh-Delhi and Rajasthan on 08th and increase thereafter becoming fairly widespread to widespread rainfall activity likely over the region during 09th-10th July, 2022:

a) Isolated heavy rainfall likely over Punjab & Haryana, Chandigarh on 08th & 10th; West Uttar Pradesh during 08th-10th; Rajasthan on 08th & 10th July, 2022.

b) Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall also likely over north Punjab & north Haryana, Chandigarh and south Rajasthan on 09th July, 2022.

Main Weather Observations

* Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action".

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Karnataka, Kerala & Mahe ; at many places over Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Saurashtra & Kutch, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, North Interior Karnataka and Andaman & Nicobar Islands; at a few places over Rajasthan, West Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat Region, Telangana, Lakshadweep and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry

& Karaikal and at isolated places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Arunachal Pradesh, West Bengal & Sikkim, Himachal Pradesh, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha and Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam.

♦ Chief amount of Rainfall observed (from 0830 hours IST to 1730 hours IST of yesterday): (2 cm or more): Matheran -9; Mahabaleshwar -8; Shirali, Okha and Mangalore -7each; Karwar, CSMT(Mumbai) -6; Sion(Mumbai)Jaisalmer, Mahuva and Cunnur - 5; Dwaraka and Honavar -4 each; Colaba, Rajkot, Keshod, Diu, Daman, Goa, Guna, Palkked, Valprai, Karipur and Kozikhode -3 each; Bhubaneshwar, Sambalpur, Amreli, Bombay, Khammam, Dahanu, Salem and Gopalpur -2 each.

♦ Yesterday, Heavy rainfall observed (from 0830 hours IST to 1730 hours IST of today): at isolated places over Saurashtra &Kutch, Vidarbha, Konkan and Coastal Karnataka.

♦ Thunderstorm observed (from 0830 hours IST of yesterday to 0530 hours IST of today): at isolated places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, West Uttar Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, West Bengal & Sikkim, Rajasthan, Saurashtra & Kutch, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Odisha, Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha.

♦ Minimum Temperature Departures (as on 07-07-2022): Minimum temperatures were appreciably above normal (3.1°C to 5.0°C) at a few places over Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, West Uttar Pradesh and Bihar; at isolated places over East Uttar Pradesh; above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at many places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Uttrakhand, Punjab; at a few places over Himachal Pradesh, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal &

Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh and Assam & Meghalaya; at isolated places over West Rajasthan and East Madhya Pradesh. They were below normal (-1.6°C to -3.0°C) at many places over at isolated places over West Madhya Pradesh, East Rajasthan and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and near normal over rest parts of the country. Yesterday, the lowest minimum temperature of 17.8°C wass reported at Khargone (West Madhya Pradesh) over the plains of the country.

♦ Maximum Temperature Departures (as on 07-07-2022): Maximum temperatures are markedly above normal (5.1°C or more) at a few places over Assam & Meghalaya; appreciably above normal (3.1°C to 5.0°C) at many places over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and Himachal Pradesh; above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at most places over Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and Gangetic West Bengal; at many places over East Madhya Pradesh; at a few places over Odisha. They are appreciably below normal (-3.1°C to -5.0°C) at many places over Rayalaseema and Kerala & Mahe; at a few places

over Saurashtra & Kutch, North Interior Karnataka and Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal; at isolated places over West Madhya Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra and Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam; below normal (-1.6°C to -3.0°C) at most places over South Interior Karnataka; at many places over East Rajasthan, Konkan & Goa, Marathwada and Coastal Karnataka; at a few places over Lakshadweep and Andaman & Nicobar Islands and isolated places over Telangana and near normal over rest parts of the country. Today, the highest maximum temperature of 40.0°C was reported at Ganganagar (West Rajasthan).

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♦ The Well Marked Low Pressure Area over south Pakistan & neighbourhood now lies as a Low Pressure Area over the south Pakistan and adjoining Kutch with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 5.8 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height.

♦ The monsoon trough now passes through the center of Low Pressure Area over south Pakistan and adjoining Kutch, Deesa, Udaipur, Guna, Sagar, Pendra Road, Chandbali, cyclonic circulation over northwest & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal and thence eastwards to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal and extends upto 1.5 km above mean sea level.

♦ The cyclonic circulation northwest & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal off south Odisha-north Andhra Pradesh Coasts extending upto 7.6 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height persists.

♦ The off-shore trough at mean sea level from south Maharashtra coast to north Kerala coast persists.

♦ The east-west shear zone roughly along 19°N and seen at 3.1 km above mean sea level across North Peninsular India persists.

**Weather Forecast for next 5 days * upto 0830 hours IST of 13th July, 2022**

♦ Meteorological sub-division wise detailed 5 days precipitation forecast is given in Table-1.

♦ No significant change in maximum temperatures very likely over rest parts of the country during next 5 days.

Weather Outlook for subsequent 2 days during 13th July-15th July, 2022

♦ Fairly widespread to widespread light/moderate rainfall likely to continue over many parts of West coast, Central, northwest, east India and Islands.

♦ Scattered to fairly widespread rainfall likely over many parts of peninsular India, Northeast India, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim.

♦ Isolated to Scattered rainfall over rest parts of the country.

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heavy rainfall with extremely heavy falls at isolated places over Madhya Maharashtra and Coastal Karnataka; heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over Uttrakhand, Himachal Pradesh, West Madhya Pradesh, Odisha, Gujarat State, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana and South Interior Karnataka and heavy rainfall at isolated places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, West Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Meghalaya &

Tripura, Marathwada, North Interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning & Gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) very likely at isolated places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands; thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places Uttrakhand, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, West Bengal & Sikkim, Assam & Meghalaya, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema, Coastal Karnataka and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal.

♦ Squally weather (wind speed 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph) very likely over along and off Kerala, Karnataka, Goa, Maharashtra, Gujarat coasts, north east Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep area, north east Bay of Bengal. Strong winds of 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph likely over south west Arabian Sea and adjoining west central Arabian Sea, central parts of Arabian Sea and 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph likely over east central Arabian Sea and off Karnataka, Maharashtra, south Gujarat coasts, Comorin area, Gulf of Mannar. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these seas.

09 July (Day 2): ♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places with extremely heavy falls at isolated places very likely over Uttrakhand and Konkan &

Goa; heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy falls at isolated places over Madhya Maharashtra and Telangana; heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Rajasthan, Gujarat State and Coastal Karnataka and heavy rainfall at isolated places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, West Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Andaman &

Nicobar Islands, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Meghalaya & Tripura, Marathwada, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Interior Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe.

♦Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning & Gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph) very likely at isolated places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands; thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh, Uttrakhand, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Rayalaseema.

♦ Squally weather (wind speed 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph) very likely over along and off Kerala, Karnataka, Goa, Maharashtra, Gujarat coasts, north east Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep area, north west Bay of Bengal, along and off Odisha coast, south east Bay of Bengal and Andaman Sea. Strong winds of 50- 60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph likely over south west Arabian Sea and adjoining west central Arabian Sea, central parts of Arabian Sea and 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph over east central Arabian Sea and off Karnataka, Maharashtra, south Gujarat coasts, Comorin area, Gulf of Mannar, south east Bay of Bengal and adjoining south Andaman Sea. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these seas.

10 July (Day 3): ♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places with extremely heavy falls at isolated places very likely over Konkan & Goa; heavy to very heavy with extremely heavy falls at isolated places over Saurashtra & Kutch; heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over West Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat Region, Madhya Maharashtra and Coastal Karnataka and heavy rainfall at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, Uttrakhand, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, West Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Meghalaya & Tripura, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana, Interior Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning & Gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph) very likely at isolated places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands; thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh, Uttrakhand, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, West Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam.

♦ Squally weather (wind speed 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph) very likely over along and off Kerala, Karnataka, Goa, Maharashtra, Gujarat coasts, north east Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep area, north west Bay of Bengal, along and off Odisha coast, Andaman Sea. Strong winds of 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph likely over south west Arabian Sea and adjoining west central Arabian Sea, central parts of Arabian Sea and 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph over east central Arabian Sea and off Kerala, Karnataka, Maharashtra, south Gujarat coasts, south east Bay of Bengal and adjoining south Andaman Sea. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these seas.

11 July (Day 4): ♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places with extremely heavy falls at isolated places very likely over Konkan & Goa; heavy to very heavy with extremely heavy falls at isolated places over Saurashtra & Kutch; heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Gujarat Region, Madhya Maharashtra, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Telangana and heavy rainfall at isolated places over West Madhya Pradesh, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Meghalaya & Tripura, Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe.

♦Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning & Gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph) very likely at isolated places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands; thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam.

♦ Squally weather (wind speed 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph) very likely over along and off Kerala, Karnataka, Goa, Maharashtra, Gujarat coasts, north east Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep area, north west Bay of Bengal, along and off Odisha coast. Strong winds of 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph likely over south west Arabian Sea and adjoining west central Arabian Sea, central parts of Arabian Sea and 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph over east central Arabian Sea and off Kerala, Karnataka, Maharashtra, south Gujarat coasts, south east Bay of Bengal and adjoining south Andaman Sea. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these seas.

12 July (Day 5): ♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places with extremely heavy falls at isolated places very likely over Konkan & Goa; heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy falls at isolated places over south Odisha; heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over north Odisha, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Gujarat State, Madhya Maharashtra, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Telangana and heavy rainfall at isolated places over West Madhya Pradesh, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Meghalaya & Tripura, Karnataka and Kerala &

Mahe.

♦Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning & Gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph) very likely at isolated places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands; thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam.

♦ Squally weather (wind speed 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph) very likely over along and off Kerala, Karnataka, Goa, Maharashtra, Gujarat coasts, north east Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep area, north west Bay of Bengal, along and off Odisha coast. Strong winds of 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph likely over south west Arabian Sea and adjoining west central Arabian Sea, central parts of Arabian Sea and 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph over east central Arabian Sea and off Kerala, Karnataka, Maharashtra, south Gujarat coasts, south east Bay of Bengal and adjoining south Andaman Sea. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these seas.

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ALL INDIA WEEKLY WEATHER REPORT 30 JUNE – 06 JULY, 2022

Go to:

Table-1(A) Table-1(B) Table-1(C) Table-2 Table-3 Fig-1 Fig-2 Fig-3 Fig-4 Annexure-1

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FEATURES

♦ Advance of Southwest Monsoon: Southwest Monsoon has further advanced into entire Uttar Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Jammu, Kashmir & Ladakh, some parts of Rajasthan, entire Delhi, some parts of Punjab, Haryana and Chandigarh on 30^th June, 2022 and the Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) passed through Lat. 24°N/ Long. 60°E, Lat. 24°N/ Long. 65°E, Deesa, Ratlam, Jaipur, Rohtak, Pathankot and Jammu on that day;it has further advanced into entire Punjab, Haryana and Chandigarh and some more parts of Rajasthan on 1^st July, 2022 and the Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) passed through Lat. 24°N/ Long. 60°E, Lat. 24°N/ Long.

65°E, Deesa, Chittorgarh, Bikner and Khajuwala on that day; it has further advanced into remaining parts of North Arabian Sea, Gujarat and Rajasthan states on 02^nd July 2022 and thus, the Southwest Monsoon has covered the entire country on 02nd July 2022, against the normal date of 08th July; 6 days ahead of the normal date of monsoon coverage for entire India.

♦ Under the influence of a cyclonic circulation over south Jharkhand & neighbourhood extending upto midtropospheric levels, a Low Pressure Area has formed over north Odisha and adjoining south Jharkhand &

Gangetic West Bengal in the early morning hours of 4^th July 2022; it moved west - northwestwards and lay over north Chhattisgarh & adjoining northeast Madhya Pradesh in the evening of the same day; it lay over central parts of Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood in the forenoon of 5^th July and over central parts of West Madhya Pradesh &

adjoining East Rajasthan in the evening of the same day; it lay over Kutch & neighbourhood in the forenoon of 6^th July 2022 and over Northeast Arabian Sea and adjoining coastal areas of Kutch and south Pakistan in the evening of that day; this Low pressure area and its associated cyclonic circulation extending upto mid tropospheric levels tilting southwestwards with height and an active monsoon trough with its vertical extension upto 1.5 kilometers above mean sea level and its alignment to the south of its normal position had caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over parts of Central India, northern parts of Peninsular India and over parts of East India on many days during the week; these synoptic features along with an off shore trough along Gujarat-Maharashtra coasts which persisted on four to five days and convergence of strong monsoon westerlies along the coast had caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Gujarat State, Konkan & Goa and Madhya Maharashtra on most of the days of the week; under the influence of the above mentioned synoptic situations, heavy /very heavy rainfall had occurred over Odisha, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Chattisgarh, Telangana, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat State and Konkan & Goa on most of the days during the week;

isolated extremely heavy rainfall also had occurred over Gujarat Region, Konkan & Goa and Ghat Sections of Madhya Maharashtra on two to three days and over West Madhya Pradesh on a single day along with.

♦ Convergence of strong monsoon westerlies along the coast had caused widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Kerala & Mahe, Coastal Karnataka and Lakshadweep Islands throughout the week; it has also caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Interior Karnataka and isolated to scattered rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Tamil Nadu & Rayalseema; isolated heavy/very heavy rainfall had occurred over Kerala & Mahe, Coastal & South Interior Karnataka on most of the days whereas isolated heavy rainfall had occurred over Tamil Nadu on four to five days; isolated extremely heavy rainfall also had occurred over Coastal Karnataka on one or two days along with.

♦ Under the influence of a trough in lower/mid tropospheric levels from Rajasthan to Central Arabian Sea causing moisture incursion over to the area and a cyclonic circulation over Rajasthan & neighbourhood in the lower/mid tropospheric levels which persisted for about two to three days, scattered to fairly widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity had occurred over East Rajasthan on many days and over West Rajasthan on a few days during the week;

isolated heavy rainfall had occurred over Rajasthan for about four days whereas isolated very heavy rainfall had occurred over the same areas on one or two days along with.

♦ Alignment of Monsoon Trough supporting incursion of moist easterlies/southeasterlies over to the area had caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand on most of the days; it has also caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over remaining parts of Western Himalayan Region and adjoining areas of Northwest India on one or two days and isolated to scattered rainfall/thunderstorm activity over the same areas on the rest of the days of the week; under their influence, isolated heavy rainfall had occurred over Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh on four to five days and over West Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana on two to three days; isolated very heavy rainfall also had occurred over Uttarakhand on a single day along with.

Government of India Ministry of Earth Sciences India Meteorological Department National Weather Forecasting Centre

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Heavy rain:

♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy rainfall at isolated places had occurred over Konkan & Goa on three days; over Gujarat Region, Madhya Maharashtra and Coastal Karnataka on two days each; over Arunachal Pradesh and West Madhya Pradesh on one day each during the week.

♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places had occurred over Odisha on five days; over Gujarat Region, Coastal & South Interior Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe on four days each; over Konkan & Goa on three days;

over Assam & Meghalaya, East Rajasthan, East & West Madhya Pradesh and Telangana on two days each; over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Sub Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Bihar, East & West Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Punjab, West Rajasthan Saurashtra & Kutch, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry &

Karaikkal and North Interior Karnataka on one day each during the week.

♦ Heavy rainfall at isolated places had occurred over Chhattisgarh on six days; over Himachal Pradesh and Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam on five days each; over Assam & Meghalaya, Jharkhand, East Uttar Pradesh, East & West Rajasthan, East & West Madhya Pradesh, Saurashtra & Kutch, Telangana and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikkal on four days each;over Gangetic West Bengal, Uttarakhand and South Interior Karnataka on three days each; over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram &

Tripura, Sub Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, West Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Punjab, Vidarbha, Madhya Maharashtra, North Interior Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe on two days each; over Odisha, Bihar, Konkan & Goa, Marathwada, Rayalseema and Coastal Karnataka on one day each during the week.

Temperature Scenario:

♦ The highest maximum temperature of 43.5^oC had been recorded at Ganganagar (West Rajasthan) on 30^th June 2022 and the lowest minimum temperature of 18.0^oC had been recorded at Khargone (West Madhya Pradesh) on 6^th July 2022 over the plains of the country during the week.

LEGEND: Few days-(3 days), Many days-4 to 5 days and Most days-6 to 7 days during the week.

METEOROLOGICALANALYSIS

♦ Last week’s east-west trough at mean sea level from Punjab to West Central Bay of Bengal ran from Punjab to Northeast Bay of Bengal across Haryana, south Uttar Pradesh, northeast Madhya Pradesh, north Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand and West Bengal and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 30^th June 2022; it ran from northwest Rajasthan to Northeast Bay of Bengal across south Haryana, south Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand and Gangetic West Bengal and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 1^st July 2022;the east-west trough lay as the monsoon trough and it passed through Bikaner, Alwar, Hardoi, Daltonganj, Shantiniketan and thence eastwards to Northeast Bay of Bengal and extended upto 0.9 km above mean sea level on 2^nd; it passed through Anupgarh, Gwalior, Sidhi, Jamshedpur, Digha and thence eastwards to Northeast Bay of Bengal across the cyclonic circulation over south Jharkhand & neighbourhood and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 3^rd; it passed through Jaisalmer, Kota, Guna, Sidhi, Ambikapur, Jharsuguda, the Low Pressure Area over north Odisha and adjoining south Jharkhand & Gangetic West Bengal and thence southeastwards to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 4^th; it passed through Jaisalmer, Bhilwara, centre of Low Pressure Area over central parts of Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood, Pendra Road, Sambalpur, Balasore and thence southeastwards to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 5^th; it passed through centre of Low Pressure Area over Kutch & neighbourhood, Dessa, Rajgarh, Siddhi, Ambikapur, Bhubaneswar and thence southeastwards to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 6^thJuly 2022.

♦ Last week’s off-shore trough at mean sea level ran from south Gujarat coast to north Karnataka coast on 30^th June 2022; it ran from south Gujarat coast to south Maharashtra coast on 1^st July 2022; it lay off south Gujarat- north Maharashtra coasts on 2^nd; it has become less marked on 3^rd July 2022.

♦ Last week’s cyclonic circulation over Northwest Arabian Sea lay over Westcentral Arabian Sea between 3.1 km

& 5.8 km above mean sea level tilting southwards with height on 30^th June 2022; it has merged with the trough from the cyclonic circulation over East Rajasthan & neighbourhood to Westcentral Arabian Sea between 3.1 km &

5.8 km above mean sea level on 1^st July 2022.

♦ Last week’s cyclonic circulation over coastal Odisha & neighbourhood between 3.1 km & 5.8 km above mean sea level has become less marked on 30^th June 2022.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over East Rajasthan & neighbourhood between 3.1 km & 5.8 km above mean sea level on 1^st July 2022; it lay over central parts of Rajasthan & neighbourhood between 1.5 km & 5.8 km above mean sea level on 2^nd; it has become less marked on 3^rd July 2022.

♦ A trough ran from the cyclonic circulation over East Rajasthan & neighbourhood to Westcentral Arabian Sea between 3.1 km & 5.8 km above mean sea level on 1^st July 2022; it ran from the cyclonic circulation over central parts of Rajasthan &neighbourhood to Westcentral Arabian Sea between 3.1 km & 5.8 km above mean sea level on 2^nd; it ran from southwest Rajasthan & neighbourhood to Westcentral Arabian Sea between 1.5 km & 5.8 km above mean sea level on 3^rd; it ran from northwest Rajasthan & neighbourhood to northern parts of Central

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Arabian Sea at 3.1 km above mean sea level on 4^th; it has become less marked on 5^th July 2022.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over Bangladesh & neighbourhood and extended upto 7.6 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height on 2^nd July 2022; it lay over south Jharkhand & neighbourhood and extended upto 5.8 km above mean sea level on 3^rd; under its influence, a Low Pressure Area has formed over north Odisha and adjoining south Jharkhand & Gangetic West Bengal in the early morning hours of 4^th with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 5.8 km above mean sea level; it persisted over the same areas in the forenoon and lay over north Chhattisgarh & adjoining northeast Madhya Pradesh with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 5.8 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height in the evening of the same day; it lay over central parts of Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 5.8 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height in the forenoon of 5^thand overcentral parts of West Madhya Pradesh & adjoining East Rajasthan with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 5.8 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height in the evening of the same day; it lay over Kutch &

neighbourhood with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 5.8 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height in the forenoon of 6^th July 2022 and over Northeast Arabian Sea and adjoining coastal areas of Kutch and south Pakistan with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 5.8 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height in the evening of the same day.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over northeast Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood between 5.8 km & 7.6 km above mean sea level on 2^nd July 2022; it has become less marked on 3^rd July 2022.

♦ An off-shore trough ran from Gujarat coast to Maharashtra coast on 5^th July 2022; it ran from Gujarat coast to Karnataka coast on 6^th July 2022.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over Northwest Bay of Bengal & neighbourhood and extended upto 4.5 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height on 5^th July 2022; it lay over north Odisha & adjoining Chhattisgarh and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 6^th July 2022.

♦ An east-west shear zone ran across North Peninsular India roughly along 20°N between 3.1 km & 5.8 km above mean sea level tilting southwards with height on 6^th July 2022.

RAINFALL SUMMARY

Category of the rainfall

WEEK SEASON

30.06.2022 TO 06.07.2022 01.06.2022 TO 06.07.2022 Number of Sub-divisions Number of Sub-divisions

LARGE EXCESS(LE) (+60% or more) 15 1

EXCESS (E) (+20% to +59%) 11 8

NORMAL (N) (+19% to -19%) 3 18

DEFICIENT (D) (-20% to -59%) 7 9

LARGE DEFICIENT (LD) (-60% to -99%) 0 0

NO RAIN (NR) (-100%) 0 0

Cumulative rainfall (mm) ^Actual_(mm) ^Normal_(mm) ^Departure_(%) ^Category ^Actual_(mm) ^Normal_(mm) ^Departure_(%) ^Category

EAST & NORTH-EAST INDIA 62.4 96.9 -36% D 446.5 412.7 8% N

NORTH-WEST INDIA 47.5 35.2 35% E 106.2 108.1 -2% N

CENTRAL INDIA 94.1 63 49% E 203.1 224.9 -10% N

SOUTH PENINSULA 74.9 41.1 82% LE 207.8 196 6% N

Country as a whole 70.9 55.6 28% E 213 213.3 0% N

 The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) is shown in Fig-1.

 Weekly cumulative rainfall distribution is presented in Fig-2.

 Sub-division wise weekly and seasonal rainfall distribution is presented in Fig-3 and Fig-4.

 Sub-divisionwise daily distribution of realised Rainfall is shown in Table-1(A).

 Sub-divisionwise departure of realised Maximum temperature from Normal is shown in Table-1(C)

 Statewise distribution of number of districts with Large-Excesse, Excess, Normal, Deficient, Large-deficient and no rainfall is shown in Table-2.

 Cumulative seasonal rainfall data during the corresponding weekly period for the last five years are given in Table-3.

 Sub-divisionwise realised weekly rainfall (in cm) is shown in Annexure-1.

FORECAST & WARNING FOR THE NEXT WEEK 07 JULY TO 13 JULY, 2022

 Detailed seven days Sub-division wise rainfall-forecast is given in Table-1(B).

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Fig-1

Northern Limit of Southwest Monsoon, 2022

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Fig-2

WEEKLY CUMULATIVE RAINFALL

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Table-1 (A)

METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE DISTRIBUTION OF REALISED RAINFALL-2022

S.No. MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 30 JUN 01 JUL 02 JUL 03 JUL 04 JUL 05 JUL 06 JUL

1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS SCT SCT FWS WS WS** WS** WS

2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH WS WS SCT FWS FWS SCT ISOL

3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA WS WS SCT SCT SCT ISOL FWS

4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA WS FWS FWS WS FWS FWS WS

5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM WS WS WS FWS SCT SCT FWS

6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL SCT SCT WS WS FWS SCT FWS

7 ODISHA SCT SCT FWS FWS* FWS FWS WS*

8 JHARKHAND FWS FWS WS WS FWS SCT SCT

9 BIHAR WS* ISOL FWS SCT ISOL D ISOL

10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH WS* FWS ISOL SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL

11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH FWS* FWS* ISOL SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL

12 UTTARAKHAND WS* WS FWS WS* FWS FWS FWS

13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI SCT WS** SCT SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL

14 PUNJAB ISOL WS** SCT FWS ISOL ISOL SCT

15 HIMACHAL PRADESH WS* FWS* FWS WS* WS SCT WS*

16 JAMMU & KASHMIRANDLADAKH SCT SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL FWS FWS

17 WEST RAJASTHAN D SCT FWS** SCT SCT ISOL SCT

18 EAST RAJASTHAN SCT FWS* FWS* FWS FWS SCT SCT

19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH SCT FWS* SCT FWS WS WS* FWS*

20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH WS* SCT SCT FWS WS WS* SCT

21 GUJARAT REGION SCT FWS* FWS* FWS FWS FWS WS

22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH ISOL SCT FWS FWS* FWS WS** WS**

23 KONKAN & GOA WS* WS* WS WS WS WS** WS**

24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA SCT FWS FWS FWS FWS WS* WS*

25 MARATHAWADA ISOL SCT SCT ISOL FWS* WS* FWS*

26 VIDARBHA FWS WS WS WS WS* WS** WS

27 CHHATTISGARH WS FWS FWS WS WS* WS WS

28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. &

YANAM SCT SCT FWS SCT FWS* SCT WS*

29 TELANGANA ISOL SCT FWS FWS* WS** WS* WS*

30 RAYALASEEMA SCT SCT SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL WS*

31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL ISOL SCT SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL

32 COASTAL KARNATAKA WS* WS* WS* WS WS* WS* WS*

33 NORTH INT.KARNATAKA FWS FWS* FWS* SCT SCT FWS* WS**

34 SOUTH INT.KARNATAKA SCT FWS* FWS* FWS* FWS* WS* WS*

35 KERALA & MAHE WS WS* WS WS WS* WS* WS*

36 LAKSHADWEEP WS WS WS WS WS WS WS

LEGENDS:

WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO STATION REPORTED RAINFALL

* ACTIVE (R/F 1^1/2- 4 times the normal with WS/FWS, at least 2 stations should be 5 cm. along west coast & 3 cm. elsewhere )

** VIGOROUS (R/F More than 4 times the normal with WS/FWS, at least 2 stations should be 8 cm. along west coast & 5 cm. elsewhere)

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Table-1 (B)

METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST -2022

Sr. No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 07 JUL 08 JUL 09 JUL 10 JUL 11 JUL 12 JUL 13 JUL

1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS WS WS^●^L WS^●^L WS^●^L WS^L WS FWS

2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH SCT^L SCT SCT^● SCT^● SCT^● FWS SCT

3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA SCT^●^L SCT^●^L SCT^● SCT^● SCT^● WS WS

4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA FWS^●^L FWS^● FWS^● FWS^● FWS^● FWS FWS

5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM SCT^L FWS^L FWS SCT SCT FWS FWS

6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL SCT^L SCT^L SCT SCT SCT SCT FWS

7 ODISHA FWS^● FWS^●● FWS^● WS^● WS^●● WS WS

8 JHARKHAND SCT^L SCT^L SCT SCT SCT FWS FWS

9 BIHAR ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT SCT SCT SCT

10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL ISOL SCT^L ISOL ISOL SCT FWS

11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL ISOL^● FWS^●^L SCT^●^L SCT FWS WS

12 UTTARAKHAND WS^●^L WS^●●^L WS^●●●^L FWS^●^L FWS WS WS

13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI SCT^●^L SCT^●^L WS^●●^L WS^●^L SCT FWS WS

14 PUNJAB SCT^●^L FWS^●^L WS^●●^L WS^●^L SCT FWS WS

15 HIMACHAL PRADESH WS^● FWS^●● WS^●●^L WS^●^L FWS FWS WS

16 JAMMU & KASHMIRANDLADAKH FWS FWS^● FWS^●^L SCT^L SCT FWS SCT

17 WEST RAJASTHAN SCT^●^L SCT^●^L FWS^●●^L FWS^●^L SCT SCT SCT

18 EAST RAJASTHAN SCT^●^L SCT^●^L FWS^●●^L FWS^●^L SCT FWS WS

19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH FWS^●●^L FWS^●●^L WS^●^L WS^●● FWS^● FWS WS

20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH FWS^●^L FWS^●^L FWS^●^L FWS^● WS^●● WS WS

21 GUJARAT REGION WS^●●● WS^●● WS^●● FWS^●● FWS^●● WS WS

22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH WS^●● WS^●● WS^●● WS^●●● WS^●●● WS WS

23 KONKAN & GOA WS^●●● WS^●●● WS^●●● WS^●●● WS^●●● WS WS

24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA WS^●●● WS^●●● WS^●●● WS^●● WS^●● FWS WS

25 MARATHAWADA WS^● WS^● WS^● FWS FWS FWS FWS

26 VIDARBHA WS^●●^L WS^●^L WS^●^L WS^● WS^●● WS WS

27 CHHATTISGARH WS^●●^L WS^●^L WS^●^L WS^● WS^●● WS WS

28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM FWS^●●^L FWS^●●^L FWS^●^L FWS^●^L FWS^●●^L SCT SCT

29 TELANGANA WS^●● WS^●● WS^●●● WS^● WS^●● FWS WS

30 RAYALASEEMA SCT^L SCT^L SCT^L SCT SCT SCT SCT

31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL SCT^●●^L ISOL^●^L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL

32 COASTAL KARNATAKA WS^●●●^L WS^●●●^L WS^●● WS^●● WS^● WS WS

33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA WS^●● WS^●● WS^●● FWS^● FWS^● SCT SCT

34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA WS^●● WS^●● WS^● FWS^● FWS^● SCT SCT

35 KERALA & MAHE WS^● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS WS

36 LAKSHADWEEP WS WS WS WS WS SCT FWS

LEGENDS:

WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%)

SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL

●Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ^●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ^●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)

F Fog * Snowfall ^DSDust storm /^TS Thunderstorm ^$Thunderstorm with Squall ^L Thunderstorm with Lightning ^#Thunderstorm with Hail

^-Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5ÔC to -6.4ÔC) ^{- -}Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5ÔC)

⁺Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal +4.5ÔC to +6.4ÔC) ^{+ +} Severe Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal ≥ +6.5ÔC)

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Table-1 (C)

METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE REALISED MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE-2022

S.No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS ^{30 JUNE} ^{01 JULY} ^{02 JULY} ^{03 JULY} ^{04 JULY} ^{05 JULY} ^{06 JULY}

1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS N N N N N N N

2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH N N AAN N N N AN

3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA N N AAN N N N AN

4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA BN N N N N N N

5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM N N N N N N AN

6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL N AAN N N AN N N

7 ODISHA AN N N N AN N N

8 JHARKHAND N AN N N N AN N

9 BIHAR N N AN AN AN AAN AN

10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH MBN N BN N AN N AN

11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH MBN N N N N AN AN

12 UTTARAKHAND ABN N N N ABN AN AN

13 HARYANA, CHD. & DELHI MBN MBN N N N N BN

14 PUNJAB ABN BN N N N AN N

15 HIMACHAL PRADESH N N N N N AN N

16 JAMMU & KASHMIRANDLADAKH AAN AN N AN N N N

17 WEST RAJASTHAN N N ABN N N N AN

18 EAST RAJASTHAN N N ABN N N N N

19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH ABN N N N N N N

20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH N N N N N AN N

21 GUJARAT REGION N N BN N N N N

22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH N N N N N N BN

23 KONKAN & GOA N N N N N N BN

24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA N N N N N N BN

25 MARATHAWADA N N N N N N N

26 VIDARBHA N N N N N N N

27 CHHATTISGARH N N N N N N N

28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM N N N N ABN N ABN

29 TELANGANA N N N BN N N ABN

30 RAYALASEEMA N N N N N N MBN

31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL N N N N N N BN

32 COASTAL KARNATAKA ABN BN N N N N N

33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA N N N N N N N

34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA N N N N N N BN

35 KERALA & MAHE N N N N N ABN N

36 LAKSHADWEEP N N N ABN N N N

Highest Maximum Temperature (°C) 43.5 38.8 38.7 39.0 40.8 41.4 41.7

Station/(s) observed HMT GANGANAGAR MADURAI DIU VIDYANAGAR ^VALLABH FATEHGARH GANGANAGAR GANGANAGAR

Station/(s) lies in Met-Subdivision/(s) WEST RAJ TAMILNADU S & KUTCH GUJ. REGION EAST UP WEST RAJ WEST RAJ

Lowest Minimum Temperature (°C) 20.2 20.2 20.0 20.2 20.2 18.6 18.0

Station/(s) observed LMT SAGAR Seoni Seoni Seoni SEONI KHARGONE KHARGONE

Station/(s) lies in Met-Subdivision/(s) EAST MP EAST MP EAST MP EAST MP EAST MP WEST MP WEST MP LEGENDS:

N- NORMAL LONG PERIOD AVERAGE ±1ÔC BN -BELOW NORMAL (N-2)ÔC AN -ABOVE NORMAL (N+2)ÔC ABN- APPRECIABLY BELOW NORMAL (3.1 to 4.9)ÔC BELOW NORMAL AAN- APPRECIABLY ABOVE NORMAL (3.1 to 4.9)ÔC ABOVE NORMAL

MBN MARKEDLY BELOW NORMAL 5^OCOR MORE BELOW NORMAL MAN- MARKEDLY ABOVE NORMAL 5^OC OR MORE ABOVENORMAL

 -Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5ÔC to -6.4ÔC) ⁺Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal +4.5ÔC to +6.4ÔC)

- -Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5^OC) ⁺⁺ Severe Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal ≥ +6.5^OC)