ﻣﻄﺎﻟﻌﻪ ﻣﻮردي ﺣﻮﺿﻪ ﺑﻨﺪي ﺧﻄﺮ وﻗﻮع ﺳﯿﻼب ﺑﺎ ﻣﺪل ﭘﻬ

(1)

ﺎﯿﻓاﺮﻐﺟ ﯽﺷزﻮﻣآ هوﺮﮔ

نﺎﯾﺎﭘ ﻪﺟرد ﺖﻓﺎﯾرد ياﺮﺑ ﻪﻣﺎﻧ ﺪﺷرا ﯽﺳﺎﻨﺷرﺎﮐ ي

ﻪﺘﺷر رد ﺎﯿﻓاﺮﻐﺟ ي

ﺶﯾاﺮﮔ ﯽﻌﯿﺒﻃ ﻪﻣﺎﻧﺮﺑ

ر ﯾﺰ ي ﺤﻣ ﯿ ﻄ ﯽ

:ناﻮﻨﻋ

ﻪﻨﻬﭘ لﺪﻣ ﺎﺑ بﻼﯿﺳ عﻮﻗو ﺮﻄﺧ يﺪﻨﺑ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ يدرﻮﻣ ﻪﻌﻟﺎﻄﻣ ANP

ﯽﻓﻮﺻ ﻪﻧﺎﺧدور ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﻪﻏاﺮﻣ يﺎﭼ

ﺮﮕﺸﻫوﮋﭘ :

ﯽﻗدﺎﺻ رذﻮﺑا

دﺎﺘﺳا ﺎﻤﻨﻫار :

ﯽﺳﻮﻣ ﺮﺘﮐد ﯽﻨﯾﺪﺑﺎﻋ

دﺎﺘﺳا روﺎﺸﻣ :

ﯽﻔﻄﺼﻣ فﻮﺋر ﺮﺘﮐد هداز

نﺎﺘﺴﺑﺎﺗ 1397

(2)

ناﻮﻨﻋ :روآﺪﯾﺪﭘ مﺎﻧ و ﻪﻨﻬﭘ

لﺪﻣ ﺎﺑ بﻼﯿﺳ عﻮﻗو ﺮﻄﺧ يﺪﻨﺑ ﻪﻧﺎﺧدور ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ :يدرﻮﻣ ﻪﻌﻟﺎﻄﻣ) ANP

ﯽﻓﻮﺻ ﯽﻗدﺎﺻ رذﻮﺑا /(ﻪﻏاﺮﻣ يﺎﭼ

دﺎﺘﺳا نا ﺎﻤﻨﻫار : ﯽﻨﯾﺪﺑﺎﻋ ﯽﺳﻮﻣ ﺮﺘﮐد

دﺎﺘﺳا :روﺎﺸﻣ نا ﯽﻔﻄﺼﻣ فﻮﺋر ﺮﺘﮐد

هداز

ﺦﯾرﺎﺗ :عﺎﻓد /13

/06 1397

داﺪﻌﺗ ﺤﻔﺻ :تﺎ 102

نﺎﯾﺎﭘ هرﺎﻤﺷ :ﻪﻣﺎﻧ

ﺎﯿﻓاﺮﻐﺟ ﯽﺷزﻮﻣآ هوﺮﮔ

هﺪﯿﮑﭼ : ﻪﮐ ﺖﺳا ﯽﻄﯿﺤﻣ تاﺮﻃﺎﺨﻣ زا ﯽﮑﯾ بﻼﯿﺳ ﻪﻤﻫ

ﻪﻟﺎﺳ ندﺮﮐ بﺮﺨﻣ و ﯽﻟﺎﻣ و ﯽﻧﺎﺟ تﺎﻔﻠﺗ ﺚﻋﺎﺑ هزﺎﺳ

ﺎﻫ ﯽﯾ

ﻪﻠﻤﺟزا و ﯽﻃﺎﺒﺗرا طﻮﻄﺧ ،ﯽﻧﻮﮑﺴﻣ ﻖﻃﺎﻨﻣ زﯾ

ﺖﺧﺎﺳﺮ ﺎﻫ ﻣ ﯽ دﻮﺷ . عﻮﻗو ﺪﻌﺘﺴﻣ ﯽﺣاﻮﻧ ﺖﺧﺎﻨﺷ ﯽﮑﯾ بﻼﯿﺳ

ﻪﻣﺎﻧﺮﺑ و ﯽﻌﯿﺒﻃ ﻊﺑﺎﻨﻣ ﺖﯾﺮﯾﺪﻣ رد ﯽﺳﺎﺳا تﺎﻣاﺪﻗازا ﻪﻌﺳﻮﺗ يﺰﯾر

ﯽﻣ يا ﺪﺷﺎﺑ ﻪﻘﻄﻨﻣ . بﺮﻏ لﺎﻤﺷ ﻪﺑ رﻮﺸﮐ

ﯽﻤﯿﻠﻗا ﻦﺘﺷاد ﻞﯿﻟد ﻧﯿ

ﻪﻤ ﮏﺸﺧ و ﯽﻧﺎﺘﺴﻫﻮﮐ و رد

ﺘﻧ ﯿ ﻪﺠ ﻐﺗ ﯿﯿ ﺬﭘﺮ ﯾﺮ ،شرﺎﺑ يﻻﺎﺑ ي ﻪﻠﻤﺟزا

ﻪﮐ ﺖﺳا ﯽﻘﻃﺎﻨﻣ

بﻼﯿﺳ ضﺮﻌﻣ رد ﯽﻣ راﺮﻗ بﺮﺨﻣ يﺎﻫ

يﺎﭼ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ .دﺮﯿﮔ ﺖﺣﺎﺴﻣ ﺎﺑ

/09 ﻊﺑﺮﻣ ﺮﺘﻣﻮﻠﯿﮐ883 رد

يﺎﻫﺮﯿﻐﺘﻣ .ﺖﺳا ﻪﺘﻓﺮﮔ راﺮﻗ ﺪﻨﻬﺳ نﺎﺘﺴﻫﻮﮐ هدﻮﺗ بﻮﻨﺟ رد و رﻮﺸﮐ بﺮﻏ لﺎﻤﺷ هدﺎﻔﺘﺳا

هﺪﺷ ﺶﻫوﮋﭘ ﻦﯾا رد

ﺮﯾﻮﺼﺗ زا .ﺪﻨﺘﺴﻫ ﻪﻫاﺮﺑآ زا ﻪﻠﺻﺎﻓ و ﯽﺿارا يﺮﺑرﺎﮐ ،يژﻮﻟﻮﺘﯿﻟ ،ﯽﺸﮑﻫز ﻢﮐاﺮﺗ ،شرﺎﺑ ،ﺐﯿﺷ ،عﺎﻔﺗرا ﻞﻣﺎﺷ هراﻮﻫﺎﻣ يا ﺖﺳﺪﻨﻟ مﺮﻧ و 8

راﺰﻓا

ENVI 5.3

ﯽﺿارا يﺮﺑرﺎﮐ جاﺮﺨﺘﺳا ياﺮﺑ و ﺪﺷ هدﺎﻔﺘﺳا

ﻪﺑ ﯽﻫد نزو ياﺮﺑ

زا ﺎﻫﺮﯿﻐﺘﻣ مﺮﻧ

راﺰﻓا

Super Decision

زا و مﺮﻧ راﺰﻓا

Arc GIS 10.5

اﺮﺑ ي هدﺎﻣآ زﺎﺳ ي ﻻ ﯾﻪ ﺎﻫ ﺪﺷ هدﺎﻔﺘﺳا رد .

لﺪﻣ ﺎﺑ شرﺎﺑ ياﺮﺑ نزو ﻦﯾﺮﺘﺸﯿﺑANP

24207 / و0 ﻢﮐ ﺮﺗ ﯾ ﻦ ﺎﺑ دور زا ﻪﻠﺻﺎﻓ ياﺮﺑ نزو 05099

/ دروآﺮﺑ0

ﻞﯿﺴﻧﺎﺘﭘ ﻪﮐ داد نﺎﺸﻧ ﺞﯾﺎﺘﻧ .ﺪﺷ ﺳ

ﯿ ﻞ ﺧ ﯿﺰ رد ي ﺖﻤﺴﻗ ﺎﻫ ﻢﮐاﺮﺗ و عﺎﻔﺗرا ،ﺐﯿﺷ ،شرﺎﺑ ياراد ﻪﮐ ﯽﻟﺎﻤﺷ ي

ﺪﻧدﻮﺑ يدﺎﯾز ﯽﺸﮑﻫز ﺮﻈﻧزا

ﻞﯿﺴﻧﺎﺘﭘ ﺳ ﯿ ﻞ ﺧ ﯿ ﺰ سﻼﮐ رد ي ﺳ

ﯿ ﻞ ﺧ ﯿﺰ .ﺪﻨﺘﻓﺮﮔ راﺮﻗ ﻻﺎﺑ ي ﺮﻈﻧزا

ﺖﺣﺎﺴﻣ

/97 سﻼﮐ رد ﻪﺿﻮﺣ %37 ﺳ

ﯿ ﻞ ﺧ ﯿﺰ و ﻻﺎﺑ ي ﻢﮐ ﺮﺗ ﯾ ﻦ ﻻﺎﺑ رﺎﯿﺴﺑ يﺰﯿﺧ ﻞﯿﺴﻧﺎﺘﭘ ﻪﺑ طﻮﺑﺮﻣ ﺖﺣﺎﺴﻣ /07

و %0

ﻦﯿﺑ رد اﯾ ﻦ ﺎﻫ ﻢﻬﺳ ﻞﯿﺴﻧﺎﺘﭘ ﺳ ﯿ ﻞ ﺧ ﯿﺰ ﻢﮐ ﯽﻠﯿﺧ ي /52

،%18 ﺳ ﯿ ﻞ ﺧ ﯿ ﺰ ﻢﮐ ي /70 ﻞﯿﺴﻧﺎﺘﭘ و %17 ﺳ

ﯿ ﻞ ﺧ ﯿﺰ ي

لدﺎﻌﻣ ﻂﺳﻮﺘﻣ /72

.ﺪﺷ دروآﺮﺑ %25

ﺪﯿﻠﮐ هژاو ﺎﻫ : ﻪﻨﻬﭘ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ ،بﻼﯿﺳ ،يﺪﻨﺑ ،ﻪﻏاﺮﻣ ،يﺎﭼ

. ANP

(3)

ﺐﻟﺎﻄﻣ ﺖﺳﺮﻬﻓ

-1 تﺎﯿﻠﮐ

ﺶﻫوﮋﭘ ...

13

-1 - 1 ﻪﻣﺪﻘﻣ ...

...

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-1 -3 ﺿﺮﻓ

ﯿ تﺎ

ﺶﻫوﮋﭘ ...

-1 -4 فاﺪﻫا

ﭘ ﺶﻫوﮋ ...

-1 -5

ﻤﻫا و تروﺮﺿ

ﯿ ﺖ

ﺶﻫوﮋﭘ ...

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-1 -6 ﭘ

ﯿ ﺸ ﯿ ﻬﻨ ﯽ

ﺶﻫوﮋﭘ ...

-1 -6 - 1 ﺟرﺎﺧ ﻊﺑﺎﻨﻣ ﯽ

...

-1 -6 - 2 ﻠﺧاد ﻊﺑﺎﻨﻣ ﯽ

...

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-2 - 1 ﻪﻣﺪﻘﻣ ...

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(4)

-2 -2 رﺎﻌﺗ

ﯾ ﻒ و

ﻫﺎﻔﻣ ﯿ ﻢ ...

-2 -2 - 2 ﺛﺄﺗ ﯿﺮ ﮔﺪﻧرﺎﺑ ﯽ ﺼﺧ ﺮﺑ ﺻﻮ ﯿ تﺎ ﺳ ﯿ ﻞ ...

-2 -2 - 3 بﺎﻧاور ...

...

-2 -2 -3 - 1 ﺮﺟ ﯾ نﺎ ﺑﯿ ﻦ ﻻ ﯾﻬ ﺎ ي ...

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.

-2 -2 -3 - 3 ﺮﺟ ﯾ نﺎ ﻧﻮﺗرﻮﻫ ﯽ (ذﻮﻔﻧ ﺮﺑ دازﺎﻣ)

...

-2 -2 -3 - 4 ﺮﺟ ﯾ نﺎ ﺤﻄﺳ ﯽ عﺎﺒﺷا ...

-2 -2 - 4 ﺳ ﯿ ﻞ ﺳ و ﯿ بﻼ ...

...

-2 -3 عاﻮﻧا

ﺳ ﯿ ﻞ ...

..

-2 -3 - 1 ﺳ ﯿ ﻞ ﮔﺎﻧ ﻧﺎﻬ ﯽ ...

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-2 -3 - 2 ﺳ ﯿ ﻪﻧﺎﺧدور ﻞ ا

ي ...

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-2 -3 - 3 ﺳ ﯿ ﻞ ﻠﺣﺎﺳ ﯽ ...

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-2 -3 - 4 ﺳ ﯿ بﻼ ﺎﻫ ي ﺮﻬﺷ ي ...

....

-2 -4 د

ﻻ ﯾ ﻞ

ﺳ عﻮﻗو

ﯿ بﻼ رد

ﻪﻧﺎﺧدور ﺎﻫ

...

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-2 -5

عﻮﻗو ﺮﺑ ﺮﺛﺆﻣ ﻞﻣاﻮﻋ

ﺳ ﯿ بﻼ ...

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-2 -5 - 1 ﻠﻗا ﻞﻣاﻮﻋ ﯿ

ﻤ ﯽ ...

...

-2 -5 -1 - 1 تﺪﻣ ﮔﺪﻧرﺎﺑ ﯽ ...

...

-2 -5 -1 - 2 ﮔﺪﻧرﺎﺑ تﺪﺷ ﯽ

...

....

-2 -5 -1 - 3 زﻮﺗ ﯾ ﻊ ﻧﺎﻣز ﯽ ﻧﺎﮑﻣ و ﯽ شرﺎﺑ ...

-2 -5 -1 - 4 ﺮﺳ بوذ ﯾ ﻊ اﺰﻓا ﺮﺛا رد فﺮﺑ ﯾ

ﺶ ﻧﺎﻬﮔﺎﻧ ﯽ ﺎﻣد Error! Bookmark not defined.

-2 -5 - 2 ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﻞﻣاﻮﻋ ا

ي ...

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-2 -5 -2 - 1 ﻪﺿﻮﺣ هزاﺪﻧا ...

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(5)

-2 -5 -2 - 2 ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﻞﮑﺷ

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-2 -5 -2 - 3 ﺷ ﯿ ﺐ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ...

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-2 -5 -2 - 4 ﺷ ﺸﮑﻫز ﻪﮑﺒ ﯽ

...

-2 -5 -2 - 5 ﺰﮐﺮﻤﺗ نﺎﻣز

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-2 -5 -2 - 6 ﺷ ﯿ ﺐ ﻠﺻا ﻪﻫاﺮﺑآ ﯽ

...

-2 -5 -2 - 7 ﻌﺿو ﯿ ﻣز ﺖ ﯿ ﻦ ﺳﺎﻨﺷ ﯽ كﺎﺧ و ﺳﺎﻨﺷ ﯽ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ Error! Bookmark not defined.

-2 -5 -2 - 8 ﮔ ﺶﺷﻮﭘ ﯿ

ﻫﺎ ﯽ ...

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-2 -5 -2 - 9 ﺮﺑرﺎﮐ ي ﺿارا ﯽ ...

....

-2 -5 - 3 ﻧﺎﺴﻧا ﻞﻣاﻮﻋ ﯽ

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-2 -7 ﺳرﺮﺑ

ﯽ

تارﺎﺴﺧ عاﻮﻧا

ﺳ ﯿ ﻞ ...

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-2 -7 - 1 سﻮﺴﺤﻣ ترﺎﺴﺧ

...

-2 -7 -1 - 1 ﺧ ﻘﺘﺴﻣ ترﺎﺴ ﯿ

ﻢ ...

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-2 -7 -1 - 2 ﻏ ترﺎﺴﺧ ﯿ

ﻘﺘﺴﻣﺮ ﯿ ﻢ ...

-2 -7 - 2 سﻮﺴﺤﻣﺎﻧ ترﺎﺴﺧ

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-2 -7 - 3 ﺳآ ﯿﺒ ﺬﭙ ﯾ ﺮﺗﺮ ﯾ ﻦ اﺮﺑ ﺎﻬﻧﺎﮑﻣ ي ﺳ ﯿ ﻞ بﺎﻧاور و ..

-2 -7 - 4 هوﺮﮔ ﺪﻨﺑ ي ﺳ ﺮﻄﺧ ﯿ بﻼ ...

-2 - 8

ﻪﻨﻬﭘ ﺪﻨﺑ ي ...

...

-2 -8 - 1 ﺎﻬﻬﺸﻘﻧ دﺮﺑرﺎﮐ ي

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-2 -8 - 2 ﺎﻬﺷور ي ﺪﻨﺒﻬﻨﻬﭘ ي ﺳ ﯿ ﻞ ...

-2 -8 - 3 ﺎﻫﺪﻫﺎﺸﻣ ي ﺳ بﺎﻏاد زا هدﺎﻔﺘﺳا و ﯿ

بﻼ ...

-2 -8 - 4 ﺎﻘﻣ ﯾ ﻪﺴ ﺎﻬﺴﮑﻋ ي اﻮﻫ ﯽﯾ ﻪﻘﻄﻨﻣ ...

-2 -8 - 5 ﺘﺳد ﻪﺒﺳﺎﺤﻣ ﯽ

...

-2 -8 - 6 ﺎﻬﻟﺪﻣ زا هدﺎﻔﺘﺳا ي

ر ﯾ ﺿﺎ ﯽ ...

-2 -9

ﻪﺸﻘﻧ ﺪﯿﻟﻮﺗ يﺎﯾاﺰﻣ

ﺎﻫ ي ﻪﻨﻬﭘ

ﺪﻨﺑ ي

رد ﻞﯿﺳ

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-2 -9 - 1 ﻧدرﻮﻣ تﺎﺣﻼﺻا و تاﺮﯿﯿﻐﺗ لﺎﻤﻋا ﺖﻟﻮﻬﺳ ﯿ

يرﺎﻣآ هرود لﻮﻃ ﺮﯿﯿﻐﺗ ﺎﺑ زﺎ Error! Bookmark not defined.

(6)

-2 -9 - 2 ﺳ ﯽﻓاﺮﮔﻮﭘﻮﺗ و ﯽﯾﺎﯿﻓاﺮﻐﺟ ضراﻮﻋ تاﺮﯿﯿﻐﺗ ﻦﺘﻓﺮﮔ ﺮﻈﻧ رد ﯿ

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ﺖﺸﮔزﺎﺑ هرود بﻼﯿﺳ ﻂﺳﻮﺗ بﺎﻗﺮﻏ حﻮﻄﺳ ﻪﺴﯾﺎﻘﻣ و ﺶﯾﺎﻤﻧ نﺎﮑﻣا ﺎﻫ

ي ﻒﻠﺘﺨﻣ Error! Bookmark not defined.

-2 -9 - 3 بآ ﻖﻤﻋ تﺎﻋﻼﻃا ﺶﯾﺎﻤﻧ ﮕﺘﻓﺮﮔ

ﯽ ﺳ ﻪﻄﻘﻧ ﺮﻫ رد ﯿ

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-2 -9 - 4 ﺳ ﻖﻃﺎﻨﻣ ﻖﯿﻗد ﻦﯿﯿﻌﺗ ﯿ

ﮔ ﻞ ﯿﺮ ...

-2 -9 - 5 ﺷرآ و تﺎﺣﻼﺻا مﺎﺠﻧا ﯿ

ﻮ ﺮﺘﻫدﺎﺳ رﺎﺸﺘﻧا و

...

-2 -10 ﺎﻬﺷور

ي ﻪﺒﺳﺎﺤﻣ

ﺳ ﯿ ﻞ ...

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-2 -10 - 1 ﺳ ﻪﺒﺳﺎﺤﻣ شور بﺎﺨﺘﻧا ﯿ

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ﺳ ﻪﺒﺳﺎﺤﻣ شور بﺎﺨﺘﻧا ﯿ

بﻼ ﻧدرﻮﻣ ﺖﻗد سﺎﺳا ﺮﺑ ﯿ

زﺎ Error! Bookmark not defined.

ﺳ ﻪﺒﺳﺎﺤﻣ شور بﺎﺨﺘﻧا ﯿ

بﻼ اﺮﺷ سﺎﺳا ﺮﺑ ﯾ

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- 3 وﯾ ﮔﮋ ﯽ ﺎﻫ ي ﺒﻃ ﯿﻌ ﯽ و داﻮﻣ و ﻪﻌﻟﺎﻄﻣ درﻮﻣ هدوﺪﺤﻣ

شور ...

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-3 -2 ﻌﻗﻮﻣ

ﯿ

ﻣﻮﻤﻋ تﺎﺼﺨﺸﻣ و ﺖ

ﯽ

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defined.

-3 -3 ﺳرﺮﺑ

ﯽ ﻠﻗا

ﯿ ﻢ

ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ...

-3 -3 - 1 ﻠﻗا ﯿ ﻢ نﺎﺘﺳا ...

...

-3 -3 - 2 شرﺎﺑ ...

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-3 -3 - 3 ﺎﻣد ...

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-3 -3 - 4 ﻌﺗ ﯿﯿ ﻦ ﻠﻗا ﯿ ﻢ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ...

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-3 -3 -4 - 1 ﻪﻘﺒﻃ ﺪﻨﺑ ي ﻦﺗرﺎﻣود ...

-3 -3 -4 - 2 ﻪﻘﺒﻃ ﺪﻨﺑ ي هژﺮﺒﻣآ ...

-3 - 4

ﻣز ﯿ ﻦ ﺳﺎﻨﺷ ﯽ ...

...

-3 -4 - 1 ﻣز ﯿ ﻦ ﺳﺎﻨﺷ ﯽ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ...

..

-3 -4 - 2 ﭼ ﯿ ﻪﻨ ﺳﺎﻨﺷ ﯽ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ...

...

(7)

ﺧﺮﺑ ﯽ ﺎﻫﺪﻧزﺎﺳ زا ي

ﻣز رد ﻢﻬﻣ ﯿ

ﻦ ﺳﺎﻨﺷ ﯽ ﺨﺑآ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﯿﺰ

ﻓﻮﺻ ﯽ ﺎﭼ ي :زا ﺪﻨﺗرﺎﺒﻋ Error! Bookmark not defined.

-3 -5 ﺻﻮﺼﺧ

ﯿ تﺎ ﺮﺘﻣﻮﺋژ

ي

ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ...

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-3 -5 - 1 ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺖﺣﺎﺴﻣ

...

-3 -5 - 2 ﺤﻣ ﯿ ﻂ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ...

...

-3 -5 - 3 ﻪﺿﻮﺣ لﻮﻃ

...

-3 -5 - 4 ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﻞﮑﺷ

...

-3 -5 -4 - 1 ﺮﺿ ﯾ ﺐ ﮔدﺮﺸﻓ ﯽ ...

..

-3 -5 -4 - 2 ﺰﮐﺮﻤﺗ نﺎﻣز

...

-3 -5 - 6 ﺗ زﻮ ﯾ ﻊ عﺎﻔﺗرا ﺐﺴﺣﺮﺑ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺢﻄﺳ

...

-3 -5 - 7 ﺳرﺮﺑ ﯽ ﺷ ﯿ ﺐ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ...

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-3 -6 ﺖﻬﺟ

ﺷ ﯿ ﺐ ...

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ﻓﺮﻌﻣ ﯽ ﺪﻣ

ل

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- 4 ﻪﺘﻓﺎﯾ يﺎﻫ

ﺶﻫوﮋﭘ ...

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-4 - 1 ﻪﻣﺪﻘﻣ ...

...

-4 -3 ﻓﺮﻌﻣ ﯽ ﺎﻬﻫداد ي اﺮﻓ رد هدﺎﻔﺘﺳادرﻮﻣ ﯾ

ﺪﻨ ﻠﺤﺗ ﯿ ﻞ ﻪﮑﺒﺷ

) (ANP ...

-4 -3 - 1 ﻓﯿ ﺰﯾ ﻓاﺮﮔﻮ ﯽ ...

...

-4 -3 -1 - 1 عﺎﻔﺗرا ...

...

-4 -3 -1 - 2 ﺷ ﯿ ﺐ ...

...

(8)

-4 -3 - 2 ﻠﻗا ﻞﻣاﻮﻋ ﯿ

ﻤ ﯽ ...

...

-4 -3 -2 - 1 شرﺎﺑ ...

...

-4 -3 -2 - 2 ﻢﮐاﺮﺗ ﺸﮑﻫز ﯽ ...

...

-4 -3 - 3 ﻣز ﯿ ﻦ ﺖﺧﺎﺳ ...

...

-4 -3 -3 - 1 ﻣز ﯿ ﻦ ﺳﺎﻨﺷ ﯽ ...

...

-4 -3 - 4 نﺎﺴﻧا ﺖﺧﺎﺳ ...

...

-4 -3 -4 - 1 ﮐ ﺮﺑرﺎ ي ﺿارا ﯽ ...

....

-4 -3 -4 - 2 ﻪﻫاﺮﺑآ زا ﻪﻠﺻﺎﻓ ...

....

-4 - 4

شور ﺳﺎﻨﺷ ﯽ ...

...

-4 -4 - 1 آﺮﻓ ﯾ ﺪﻨ ﻠﺤﺗ ﯿ ﻞ ﻪﮑﺒﺷ ...

..

-4 -4 - 2 ﮑﺸﺗ ﯿ ﻞ ﺮﺗﺎﻣ ﺮﭘﻮﺳ ﯾ

ﺲ نوزﻮﻣﺎﻧ ...

-4 -4 - 3 ﮑﺸﺗ ﯿ ﻞ ﺮﺗﺎﻣ ﺮﭘﻮﺳ ﯾ

ﺲ نوزﻮﻣ ...

-4 -4 - 4 ﺸﺗ ﯿ ﻞ ﺮﺗﺎﻣ ﺮﭘﻮﺳ ﯾ

ﺲ ﺪﺣ ي ...

-4 -4 - 5 ﺎﻬﻧ نزو ﯽﯾ ...

...

- 5 ﻪﺠﯿﺘﻧ و يﺮﯿﮔ

ﺚﺤﺑ ...

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-5 -2

و ﺚﺤﺑ

ﺘﻧ ﯿ ﻪﺠ ﮔ ﯿﺮ ي ...

-5 -3

ﺿﺮﻓ و تﻻاﻮﺳ ﻪﺑ ﺦﺳﺎﭘ

ﯿ تﺎ

ﻘﺤﺗ ﯿ ﻖ ...

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-5 - 4

ﭘﯿ تادﺎﻬﻨﺸ ...

...

(9)

- 6 و ﻊﺑﺎﻨﻣ ﺖﺳﺮﻬﻓ

:ﺬﺧﺂﻣ ...

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ﺖﺳﻮﯿﭘ و ﺎﻫ

ﻢﺋﺎﻤﺿ ...

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(10)

ﺖﺳﺮﻬﻓ لواﺪﺟ

لوﺪﺟ -2

ﻪﺻﻼﺧ1 تارﺎﺴﺧ ﻞﯿﺳ

...

لوﺪﺟ 2 – يﺎﻬﺷور2 ﺐﺳﺎﻨﻣ

ﻪﺒﺳﺎﺤﻣ بﻼﯿﺳ ﺮﺑ سﺎﺳا هداد يﺎﻫ ﻞﺑﺎﻗ ﯽﺳﺮﺘﺳد

لوﺪﺟ -2

ﺖﻗد3 يﺎﻬﺷور ﻒﻠﺘﺨﻣ

ﻪﺒﺳﺎﺤﻣ بﻼﯿﺳ ...

لوﺪﺟ -2

ﻦﯿﯿﻌﺗ4 عﻮﻧ ﻪﺒﺳﺎﺤﻣ بﻼﯿﺳ ﺮﺑ سﺎﺳا ﻂﯾاﺮﺷ ﻪﻧﺎﺧدور

لوﺪﺟ 3 – ﻪﻘﺒﻃ1 يﺪﻨﺑ ﯽﻤﯿﻠﻗا ﻦﺗرﺎﻣود

...

لوﺪﺟ 3 – ﻪﻘﺒﻃ2 يﺪﻨﺑ ﯽﻤﯿﻠﻗا هژﺮﺒﻣآ ...

لوﺪﺟ 3 – ﺖﺣﺎﺴﻣ3 و ﺪﺻرد ﺮﻫ ﮏﯾ زا تﺎﻘﺒﻃ ﯽﻋﺎﻔﺗرا ﻪﺿﻮﺣ

ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

لوﺪﺟ -3

ﺖﺣﺎﺴﻣ4 و ﺪﺻرد ﺮﻫ ﮏﯾ زا تﺎﻘﺒﻃ ﺐﯿﺷ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

لوﺪﺟ 3 – تﺎﺼﺨﺸﻣ6 ﯽﻓاﺮﮔﻮﯾﺰﯿﻓ

ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

لوﺪﺟ -4

ﺪﻧزﺎﺳ1 و سﻼﮐ ذﻮﻔﻧ بآ رد نآ ﺎﻫ رد ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

لوﺪﺟ 4 – لوﺪﺟ2 سﻼﮐ يﺮﯾﺬﭘذﻮﻔﻧ بآ

رد يﺮﺑرﺎﮐ ﯽﺿارا

لوﺪﺟ -4

ﺲﯾﺮﺗﺎﻣ3 نوزﻮﻣﺎﻧ

ﻞﻣاﻮﻋ ﺮﺛﻮﻣ ﺮﺑ ﻞﯿﺳ يﺰﯿﺧ رد ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ

ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ ...

...

لوﺪﺟ -4

ﺲﯾﺮﺗﺎﻣ4 نوزﻮﻣ

ﻞﻣاﻮﻋ ﺮﺛﻮﻣ ﺮﺑ ﻞﯿﺳ يﺰﯿﺧ رد ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ

ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ ...

...

لوﺪﺟ -4

ﺲﯾﺮﺗﺎﻣ5 ﺪﺣ

ﻞﻣاﻮﻋ ﺮﺛﻮﻣ ﺮﺑ ﻞﯿﺳ يﺰﯿﺧ رد ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

لوﺪﺟ 4 – ﺖﺣﺎﺴﻣ6 و ﺪﺻرد تﺎﻘﺒﻃ ﻞﯿﺳ يﺰﯿﺧ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

(11)

ﺖﺳﺮﻬﻓ لﺎﮑﺷا

ﻞﮑﺷ 1 – ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ1 ﻪﺿﻮﺣ

ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ يﺎﭽﯿﻓﻮﺻ رد

ناﺮﯾا و نﺎﺘﺳا نﺎﺠﯾﺎﺑرذآ ﯽﻗﺮﺷ

ﻞﮑﺷ -3 ﯽﮔﺪﻧرﺎﺑ2 هﺎﮕﺘﺴﯾا

يﺎﻫ نارﺎﺑ ﯽﺠﻨﺳ ...

ﻞﮑﺷ -2 ﻦﯿﮕﻧﺎﯿﻣ3 يﺎﻣد ﻪﻧﺎﻫﺎﻣ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

ﻞﮑﺷ -3 ﻪﺸﻘﻧ4 يﺎﻫﺪﺣاو ﻦﯿﻣز

ﯽﺳﺎﻨﺷ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ يﺎﭽﯿﻓﻮﺻ

ﻞﮑﺷ -3 ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ3 تﺎﻘﺒﻃ

ﯽﻋﺎﻔﺗرا ﻪﺿﻮﺣ

ﻞﮑﺷ -3 ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ4 ﺐﯿﺷ

ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ ....

ﻞﮑﺷ -3 ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ5 ﺖﻬﺟ

يﺎﻫ ﺐﯿﺷ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 رادﻮﻤﻧ1 ﻪﻘﺒﻃ يﺪﻨﺑ هﺪﺷ يﺎﻬﻫداد هدﺎﻔﺘﺳادرﻮﻣ

رد ﻦﯾا ﺶﻫوﮋﭘ ...

59

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 - 2 ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ ﯽﻋﺎﻔﺗرا

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 ﺖﯿﻌﻗو3 سﻼﮐ يﺪﻨﺑ ﯽﻋﺎﻔﺗرا ﻪﺿﻮﺣ

ﻞﮑﺷ - 4 ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ4 ﺐﯿﺷ

ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ ....

ﻞﮑﺷ 4 – ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ5 سﻼﮐ

يﺪﻨﺑ ﺐﯿﺷ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 ﻪﻘﺒﻃ6 يﺪﻨﺑ ﺮﯾدﺎﻘﻣ شرﺎﺑ ﻦﯿﮕﻧﺎﯿﻣ ﻪﻧﻻﺎﺳ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

ﻞﮑﺷ 4 – ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ7 سﻼﮐ

يﺪﻨﺑ شرﺎﺑ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 8 ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ ﻢﮐاﺮﺗ

ﯽﺸﮑﻫز ﻪﺿﻮﺣ

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ9 سﻼﮐ

يﺪﻨﺑ ﻢﮐاﺮﺗ ﯽﺸﮑﻫز ﻪﺿﻮﺣ

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ10 ﻦﯿﻣز

ﯽﺳﺎﻨﺷ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ يﺎﭽﯿﻓﻮﺻ

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ11 يژﻮﻟﻮﻟﻮﺘﯿﻟ

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ12 ذﻮﻔﻧ

بآ رد ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 سﻼﮐ13 يﺪﻨﺑ هﺪﺷ ناﺰﯿﻣ ذﻮﻔﻧ بآ رد ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ يﺎﭽﯿﻓﻮﺻ

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 ﺖﺤﺻ14 ﯽﺠﻨﺳ ﻪﻧﻮﻤﻧ يﺎﻫ ﺖﺷادﺮﺑ هﺪﺷ

....

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ15 يﺮﺑرﺎﮐ

ﯽﺿارا ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 سﻼﮐ16 يﺪﻨﺑ ﻪﺸﻘﻧ يﺮﺑرﺎﮐ ﯽﺿارا

ﺮﺑ سﺎﺳا نﺰﯿﻣ ذﻮﻔﻧ بآ

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ17 ﻪﻠﺻﺎﻓ

زا ﻪﻫاﺮﺑآ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ يﺎﭽﯿﻓﻮﺻ

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ18 سﻼﮐ

يﺪﻨﺑ هﺪﺷ ﻪﻠﺻﺎﻓ زا ﻪﻫاﺮﺑآ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ يﺎﭽﯿﻓﻮﺻ

(12)

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 ﻪﻧﻮﻤﻧ19 ﻪﻣﺎﻨﺸﺳﺮﭘ هدﺎﻔﺘﺳا

هﺪﺷ ياﺮﺑ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 نزو20 ﯽﯾﺎﻬﻧ ﻞﻣاﻮﻋ ﺮﺛﻮﻣ ﺮﺑ ﻞﯿﺳ يﺰﯿﺧ رد ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

ﻞﮑﺷ -4 ﻖﻃﺎﻨﻣ20 ﺰﯿﺨﻠﯿﺳ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ ﺎﺑ هدﺎﻔﺘﺳا زا لﺪﻣ

Error! Bookmark not defined.ANP

ﻞﮑﺷ -5 رادﻮﻤﻧ1 ﻞﯿﺳ يﺰﯿﺧ رد ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

ﻞﮑﺷ ﺖﺳﻮﯿﭘ - 2

ﺖﯿﻌﻗﻮﻣ ﻪﺿﻮﺣ

ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ رد يور ﻞﮔﻮﮔ ثرا

ﻞﮑﺷ ﺖﺳﻮﯿﭘ - 3

لﺪﻣ ﯽﻋﺎﻔﺗرا و ﻪﺸﻘﻧ ناﺪﯿﻣ ﺪﯾد ﻪﺿﻮﺣ ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ

rror! Bookmark not defined.

ﻞﮑﺷ ﺖﺳﻮﯿﭘ - 4

ﻪﺸﻘﻧ ﻪﺿﻮﺣTIN

ﺰﯿﺨﺑآ ﯽﻓﻮﺻ يﺎﭼ ..

ﻞﮑﺷ ﺖﺳﻮﯿﭘ - 5

بﻼﯿﺳ هدﺎﺟ97

ﯽﻃﺎﺒﺗرا نﺎﺷآ

- ﺲﯾﺮﻫ

(13)

Title and Author: zoning of the Flood occurrence risk with ANP model: Caues study Marageh Sofi chai river watershed/ Aboozar Sadeghi

Supervisor: Musa Abedini (Ph.D) Graduation date 97/6/13

Number of pages 102 Abstract

The flood is one of the environmental hazards that causes mortal and financial losses and destruction of structures, including residential areas, communication lines and infrastructure every year. Knowing the areas susceptible to floods is one of the key issues in natural resource management and development planning. The northwest region of the country is due to a semi-arid and mountainous climate, and as a result of high rainfall variability, including areas exposed to destructive floods. The Sufi Chai basin with an area of 883.09 square kilometers is located in the northwest of the country and south of the Sahand mountain range. The variables used in this study are elevation, slope, precipitation, drainage density, lithology, land use and distance from the waterway. Landsat 8 satellite imagery and ENVI 5.3 software were used to extract land use, and Super Decision was used to weigh the variables and Arc GIS 10.5 software was used to prepare the layers. In the ANP model, the maximum weight for precipitation was 0.2207 and the lowest weight for distance from the river was 0.05990. The results showed that the potential of flooding in northern parts with rainfall, slope, height and drainage density was high in the high-flue class of flood potential.

In terms of the area of 37.97% of the basin in the high-flooded area and the lowest area of high potential potential of 0.07%, among these, the contribution of the spill potential is very low 18.52%, low flooding 17.70% and average silica potential 25.72%estimated.

Keywords: Zoning,Flood,Sofi chai,Maragheh,ANP

(14)

University of Mohaghegh Ardabili Faculty of Literature and Human Science

Department of Geography

Thesis is approved for the degree of M.A.

In Natural geography- environmental planning

zoning of the Flood occurrence risk with ANP model: Caues study Marageh Sofi chai

river watershed

By

Aboozar Sadeghi

Supervisor Musa Abedini (Ph.D)

Advisor

Raoof Mostafazadeh (Ph.D)

(Sep 2018)