In the benchmark allocations, nonbankers are never handed passwords. I shall specify first a particular set of symmetric and stationary allocations. There are two important qualifications about the allocations discussed. First, they must satisfy sequential, indi- vidual rationality constraints, calledparticipation constraints, as in the mechanism- design approach of [4]. Second, I anticipate that the optimal stationary measure of individuals in some states must be zero, and choose a notation accordingly, so that some of the suboptimal allocations are never described.6
By assumption, there is no production in the first round of meetings, when bankers and nonbankers meet, because the individuals in these meetings are interested in consuming goods of the same type, which neither can produce. Without passwords, nonbankers are completely anonymous and can only transfer capital in exchange for money. However, money holders are not interested in buying capital from bankers because they already have the money to buy goods and will thus prefer to wait for the second round of meetings with other nonbankers. It follows that the absence of passwords shuts down capital trade between bankers and nonbankers.
Without capital transfers or production across the bank and nonbank sectors, note issue by bankers to nonbankers is not consistent with a steady state. Indeed, bankers
5This is equivalent to assuming that there is an equal probability that the first date of the model is even or odd. The type notations,dande, are thus not necessary in the description of allocations. It is also not important to associateπto preference risk or impatience, as in [5]. The same formulation would go through if I had assumed productivity risk.
6This is often the case of the measure of individuals holding both money and capital when capital is scarce. It will be clear, from the discussion preceding the derivation of Bellman equations, that there is no need to assign a payoff to them since these individuals must be part of a set of measure zero in any optimal allocation if capital is scarce. It turns out that if capital is not scarce then a state variable for capital holdings is also not needed in my description.
have nothing to offer nonbankers when it comes time to retire or destroy such notes.
I use that fact and also ignore note issue in this section, so that the bank sector is isolated, given an arbitrary endowment of bank capital,kb.
With the deterministic pattern of consumption and production dates, there is room for reallocating capital from producers to consumers after production takes place.
The planner thus recommends that every bank producer transfer his or her capital holdings to the consumer at the end of the meeting, if the consumer does not have a unit of capital already. I can assume without loss of generality thatkb ≤1,since capital is not scarce ifkb≥1.
A banker that defects from an allocation can be punished with autarky because other bankers can be instructed to not produce for him. Incentive constraints require expected utility to be above that of autarky, which is zero. Letvbdenote the expected discounted utility of a banker consumer, andwbdenote that of a banker producer with capital. The stationary valuesvbandwbsatisfy, for a given level of bank production, yb,
vb=kb[πu(yb) +βwb] + (1−kb)δvb (2) and
wb=π[−yb+βvb] + (1−π)βvb. (3) The participation constraints are
u(yb) +βwb≥0 (4)
and
−yb+βvb ≥0, (5) since the payoff from defection is zero.
Sinceδ=β2,equation (2) indicates that with probability1−kbthe consumer waits for two periods for a chance to consume, and cannot produce in the next period because he or she does not receive capital from a producer currently. There is a measure of1−kbproducers without capital, so that the welfare sum is
Ub=vb+kbwb+ (1−kb)βvb, (6) andUbequals the right-hand side of (1) forq= 1andp=kb.
Definition 1. An allocationybis implementable with capitalkb ≤ 1available to bank producers if there exists(vb, wb)such that (2–5) holds.
Having allocated the maximum amount of capital to producers, the optimumybis defined in what follows.
Bank problem. MaximizeUb by choice of an implementable allocationyb with capitalkb.
The problem of maximizingUbis thus equivalent to maximizingu(yb)−ybsubject to the participation constraints (4–5). Since (5) implieswb ≥0and thus (4), only
(5) needs to be considered . After solving the Bellman equations forvbandwb, the producer’s participation constraint is easily found to be equivalent to
u(yb)≥ yb β
(1−δ) 1 πkb +δ
. (7)
The optimum production level corresponds to the minimum between the yb that satisfies this constraint with equality and the first-best level of production, they∗ such thatu(y∗) = 1. The following lemma states that the problem of allocating capital in the bank sector imposes the same restrictions as an increase in preference risk in the problem without capital scarcity.
Lemma 1. The benchmark optimum for banks only depends onπandkbby the way of the productπkb.
I now turn to study nonbankers, also in isolation from bankers. One shall see that nonbankers need to use money, and that capital scarcity affects the way money is distributed. I assume a symmetric distribution of outside money, which is not affected by bank behavior.
One can anticipate that nonbankers without money are given priority for receiving capital at date0, and that the initial set of nonbankers without capital receives a unit of money. In order to put capital to its best use, the planner recommends that one unit of money be exchanged for a level of output,yn,whenε= 1, together with a unit of capital. If some individuals must hold money and capital, a possibility discussed in the next section, the planner suggests that money buy only goods if the consumer has capital already.
Given the above considerations when describing desirable allocations, it suffices to distinguish four values for nonbankers:vnis the value of a consumer with money (with or without capital);¯vn is the value of a consumer without money and with capital;wn is the value of a producer without money and with capital; andw¯n is the value of a producer with money (with or without capital).7Ifpis the mass of producers with capital and without money, andqis the mass of consumers with money (with or without capital), then, for a given level of nonbank production,
vn =πp[u(yn) +βwn] + (1−πp)βw¯n (8) and
wn=πq[−yn+βvn] + (1−πq)β¯vn, (9) hold. Current consumers without money have to wait for the next period, when they become producers, to engage in trade, so thatv¯n=βwn. As a result of the unit upper bound on money holdings, the same applies to current-period producers with money,
7The notation is again making use of the fact that the mass of people in some states can be considered zero, without loss of generality. If capital is scarce, it is suboptimal to give capital to consumers with money, or money to producers with capital. Since scarcity is the relevant case, these are states with measure zero and need not be considered in the notation.
so thatw¯n =βvn. Hence, one can summarize the nonbank Bellman equations in matrix notation as
M vn
wn
=
πpu(yn)
−πqyn
, (10)
where
M =
1−δ+δπp −βπp
−βπq 1−δ+δπq
. (11)
The participation constraints for nonbankers assume that defection on the part of nonbankers goes unpunished because such defection does not become part of the public record. Thus, the participation constraints are simply that trade is weakly preferred to leaving the meeting with what was brought into the meeting. There are two such constraints, one for the consumer and one for the producer:
u(yn) +βwn ≥βw¯n (12) and
−yn+βvn≥βv¯n. (13) It follows from (8–9) that the nonbank participation constraint is equivalent to the requirement thatvn≥0andwn ≥0.
The measures defined bypandqhave to be consistent with stationarity. If there are1−ppotential producers with money in the current period, whileπpqproducers (without money) engage in trade in the current period, then next’s period mass of consumers with money is given by1−p+πpq.The stationarity requirement forq is thus
q= 1−p+πpq, withp, q∈[0,1], (14) which also implies that forp,namely p = 1−q+πpq.There is also a capital constraint: The mass of producers without money and with capital, plus the mass of consumers without money and with capital, cannot exceedkn. Since these masses correspond, respectively, topand1−q,the capital constraint is
p+ 1−q≤kn. (15)
I have thus chosen to examine, in the absence of credit, the following class of allo- cations.
Definition 2. An allocation(yn, p, q)is implementable with capitalkn if (14–15) holds and there exists a nonnegative solution(vn, wn)to (10).
The sum of expected utilities for nonbankers,Un, is given by
Un=qvn+ (1−q)¯vn+pwn+ (1−p) ¯wn. (16) Substituting the expressions forvn,wn,v¯nandw¯nin (16) yields equation (1). The nonbank production problem is the following.
Outside-money problem. MaximizeUnby choice of an implementable allocation (yn, p, q)with capital kn.
The participation constraint for the producer,wn≥0, is equivalent to the inequality βvn≥yn.Sinceyn≥0,thenwn≥0impliesvn≥0. Solving now forwnandvn in (10), for a givenyn,yields, after some simple algebra, the condition thatwn ≥0 if and only if
u(yn)≥ yn β
(1−δ) 1 πp+δ
, (17)
whenpis positive.
Therefore, the nonbank optimality problem is that of maximizingpq[u(yn)−yn], subject to the producer’s participation constraint, (17), the stationarity requirement thatq= 1−p+πpq,and the capital constraintp+ 1−q≤kn.Forβsufficiently high andkn≥1, the participation constraint does not bind, and the solution is given byu(yn) = 1 andp = q satisfying πp2 −2p+ 1 = 0. This choice of (p, q) corresponds to the distribution of outside money that maximizes the flow of trade πpq.When (17) is violated for such apand the first-best level of output, satisfying u(yn) = 1, then the social planner has to trade-off a reduction in the social surplus, u(yn)−yn, and in the trade volume,πpq, for an increase in p, which weakens the participation constraint. The capital constraint, however, determines a maximum feasiblep+1−qas the intersection of a straight line with the graph ofq= 1−p+πpq in the(p, q)-plane.
The fact that nonbankers need to use money also implies that they cannot share capital as efficiently as the bank sector.
Lemma 2. If the distribution of capital is constrained bykn ≤kb < 1,andπ ∈ (0,1],thenUn< Ubholds in the constrained optimum.
The case in which capital is not scarce is also instructive. It highlights the role of shocks regarding the difference betweenUbandUn,becauseUb=Unwould tell us that outside money is working perfectly well.
Proposition 1. Assume thatkb, kn ≥1. Ifπ= 1, then optimization of benchmark allocations yieldsUn=Ub. Hence, outside money is essential (and inside money is not) for these parameters. However, whenπ <1,that optimization yieldsUn< Ub, andUnis increasing inπ.
In the face of Lemma 2, maximization of the economy-wide welfare,min{Ub, Un},forπ <1,would require a greater allocation of capital to the nonbank sector, namely,kn> kb, such thatUb=Un.
Whenπ <1,the use of outside money in the nonbank sector is such that a mass of capital remains idle in the hands of consumers who were not able to sell capital in the previous period. There is also in every period a mass of producers with money and without capital. I shall show that inside money can reduce this problem when I allow nonbankers to build a credit record with the bank sector. Even when capital
is not scarce, butπ <1, inside money, in connection with personalized credit, can insure nonbankers against the risk of unsuccessful trade attempts.8