Kinh te nam 2 0 1 2 :
Se kiioDy dat mong mnOii
Nen kinh t e d d di qua 3/4 thoi gian cua ndm 2012, vdi su gang sOc coo nhd't de tien gan hon vdi nhung muc tieu, ke hoqch de ra. Den thoi diem ndy, dua tren nhung dien bien cd the tdc dpng, khd ndng ung pho nhd't Id su chf dqo sdt sao tCi Chinh phu d d cd the tqm dung ien mpt bOc tranh kinh te cua ndm 2012.
• Thii DUong Dan xen nhdng con so
Tdng san phim Uong nudc (GDP) 9 thing nam 2012 tang 4,73% so v&L cdng ky nam uudc, trong dd tdc dp tang GDP quy I li 4%; quy II tang 4,66%; quy UI tang 5,35%. Theo dinh gii cua Chinh phu, nhin chung mdc tang trudng kinh te trdn li hpp ly trong dilu kien ca nudc tip trung thuc hien muc tieu nam 2012 li uu tien kilm chllam phit, dn dinh kinh tdvT md.
Cung qua tijtng thing, hoal dpng san xuit cdng nghidp tiitig budc "Sim" din Idn, tuy khdng diu nlu xet vl thdi dilm vi gifla cic nginh. Tuy nhidn, xu hudng chuyin bidn, du li rit chim da kip xuit hien, khidn chi sd tdn kho tai thdi dilm diu thing 9 cua
nganh cdng nghidp che' biln ha thi'p hon, vdi mdc ling 20.4% so vdi cdng Ihdi dilm nam trudc.
Mac dd mdc tdn kho niy cdn kha cao, rdiung da cd xu hudng giam din Irong mi'y thing gin diy.
Thu hut diu tu true tilp nudc ngoii (DTNN) 9 Uiang dat 9.526 ty USD, bang 72,1% cdng k j nim uudc; rilng lupng vd'n DTNN da giai ngin dat 8,1 ty USD, gin bing mdc thuc hiln ciia cdng k j nim 2011. Theo cic chuyin gia, nhdng con sd tren tuy chua dat mong mudn nhung thit sy li sy nunh chdng cho kha ning duy tri mdc 6n dinh cao nhit cd thi cda c i nIn kuih t l Uong bdi cinh nhi DTNN ciing dang gap khd vi Vidt Nam eiing phai canh tranh vdi qudc gia
khic dl thu hdt ngudn vdn ngoai.
Kim ngach xuit khiu 9 thing dat 83,8 ty USD, ting 18,9% so vdi edng ky nim trudc, bao gdm:
Khu vuc kinh t l trong nudc dat 31.3 ty USD, giam 0,6%; khu vyc c(') vdn diu lu nudc ngoii (kl ca diu thd) dat 52,5 ty USD. ting 34.6%. Dang luu ^ li, Uong khd khan, nhung kim ngach hing hda xui't khiu ting cao nhd su ddng gdp thill thyc, to Idn ciia khu vyc ed vdn DTNN, vdi nhdng mat hing chu ydu nhu: didn td, miy tinh vi linh kidn; didn thoai cic loai vi linh kien, hing det may...
Nhu vay. kit qua xuit khiu din nay vin li mang miu sang nhit, bd dap kip thdi eho nhiing suy giam cua ndn kinh tl, tao diu ra cho -san xuit. Die biet, da cd 22 mat hang dat kim ngach xuit khiu uen I ty USD, tang diem vl sd mat hing so vdi thing uudc, trong dd cd sy xuit hien lin diu tien cua nhdm hing sin vi san phim chi bie'n td sin vi mil hang miy anh/quay [^im \'i linh kidn.
Tdy nhien, nIn kinh t l ciing bdc 10 nhdng ylu kem, ban chi ri't rd ret vi khdng thi xem Ihudng. Dd li nguy eo lam phat quay trd lai khi chi sd gii tieu ddng thing 9 "bdng Idn" d mdc tang 2.2% so vdi diing uudc; tuih Uang san xui't cdng nghidp chim phue hdi. tdn dpng san phim, sdc mua ndi dia trim ling...
Hudng Idi muc lieu tdng trtrdng hop ly Td nhflng diln biln, tdn tai trong ddi sdng kddi te'9 thing qua cho thiy, nIn kinh tdda vi se cdn hdng ehiu nhilu khd khan, bit In vi ehua thi bdt phi mOt sdm mdt chilu. Vih dl dit ra la trong hoin canh nhu viy, Chinh phu cin tip trung, chi dao cac bd, nginh va dia phuong kdt hpp trong hinh dOng, khoi thdng cic ngudn lye nham vupt qua rio cin, h6 trp cOng ddng DN gid vdng nhip dd vi tdng budc ting tiordng; tiJ dd tao di 6n dinh ddi sdng din sinh trong 3 thing cudi nim.
24 I ThU6' Nhd MiK • so 41 (399) - THANG 10/2012
Kinh te - xa hoi
Theo dd, eung vdi Nghi quylt sd 01/NQ-CP vi Nghi quylt sd 13/NQ-CP mdi day Uong phidn hpp danh gia tinh hinh kmh t l thing 9, Chinh phu da quylt dinh tilp tuc cho phep ldi thdi han nOp thul VAT them 3 thing dl DN cd them dilu kidn tip Uung cho viec duy Ui hoac phuc hdi sin xui't.
Rieng vl phdng chdng nguy co lam phat, hien gidi chuyen gia dang luu y 2 kieh bin, vdi mdc lam phil lin lupt li khoang 8% vi uen dudi 10% uong nam 2012.
Dl kiem soit tinh hinh, kim gid mdc tang CPI, cic bO. dia phuong dang quan tam ddn diln biln thj trudng hang ngiy, nhi't li vide ap dung mdc phi dich vu y t l mdl vi diln biln gia ca eua nhidig mil hang thinh phin tinh trong "rd"
hing hda. Ben canh dd, ngay td thdi dilm hien tai, cic don vi chin nudi, hiep hdi nganh hang phan phdi cin cd bidn phip giam kha nang tang gia thue phim dudi tie dOng cua sy tang gii thdc an chan nudi ciing nhu nhu eiu tieu thu gia cim tang cao dip cudi nam.
Tit ca nhim triet tieu ydu to giy ap lue len CPI ca nam.
Trong bdi canh kinh td va thi trudng toan ciu roi vao tinh thi khd khan, diln biln khd ludng thi kit qua phat tnln kinh t l Viet Nam 9 thing qua la chip nhin dupc, thim chi da xuit hien mot vai d^u hidu kha di hon. Dd li xu hudng GDP tang din qua cac quy, td dd cho phep vuon len mdc tang trudng cao hon uong vii thing tdi, dl dat mdc tang l i 5,2% ca nam 20i2.Cd le diu i n dam nhi't eua nam nay se l i kit qua tang uudng kinh t l d mdc hpp ly uen CO sd hai hda nhdng muc tieu vl md thdng qua hing loat bidn phap ihig phd hen tuc, linh hoat •
CAC MUC TIEU...
ddi mdi tu duy, khdng chay theo ting trudng nhanh bing bit cd gii nio. Thin Upng trong vide ndi long chinh sich tiln te; khic phuc
tinh giit cue, tfnh cue doan trong dtlu hinh vi sy budng long giim sit, kilm tra khi chuyin td thit chat sang ndi Idng. Bdi, dii ha lai suit cho vay li cin thilt dl giim bdt khd khan eho SXKD. hd Up thi trudng, nhung nlu ddng tiln dua ra khdng ddn dung luc, ddng chd mi bj din vio diu CO, thi tiln lai chay ra luu thdng mi khdng ed sin phim.
Ciing vdi dd, ein giim sit chit ehi chi tidu edng, diu tu cdng. tilp tuc kilm ehi nhip sidu dl trinh nhip khiu lam phit khi lam phit thi gidi ting; ddng thdi ein Irpng irong viec dilu chinh ty gii dl Uanh lim khud'ch dai lam phit d irong nude, lim cho gia nhip khiu tinh bang VND ting kip (vda tang do gii ti'nh bang USD tang, vda tang do ty gii VND/USD tang).
Nguyen nhin siu xa, ylu td tilm in eiia lam phit cao ehuih la hidu qua diu tu thi'p, nang suit lao ddng thi'p. Vi vay, viee co ciu lai nIn kinh td, chuyin ddi md hinh ling trudng cin dupc diy manh hon, khic phuc sdc y eua budc khdi dau. nhit li cin dn dinh tim ty ciia nhi diu tu va din cu trude khi Nhi nudc xd ly cic hinh ddng thiu ldm ngin hing.
Ngoii cic giai phap dupe neu trong Nghi quylt 13/NQ-CP da dua ra uudc diy. Thu tudng Chinh phu da nhin manh nhilu bien phap cu thi, nhu thao gd khd khin cho SXKD; diy manh san xuit, xui't khiu nhiing mil hang cd Ipi the' nhu gao, thuy san, hing del may, da giiy;
phit triln cic dich vu ipi thd nhu du lieh, lii ehinh, ngin hang, viln thdng. hang khdng; tip trung giai quyd't hang tdn kho, nhi't l i vat lidu xay dyng; thio gd khd khan eho thi irudng bit ddng sin vi ed bien phap giai quylt np xiu •
Kieu hoi:...
n-i mtmimim,
Cd nguydn nhan quan U"png Ii do su doi mdi cua dit nudc va sU thdng thoang, cdi md ciia chinh sach ddi vdi kieu hdi. Sy cdi md, thdng thoing niy dupc thi hidn tren nhilu dilm, trong dd cd mdt ^ diem dang luu y. Md rdng ddi tupng dupc vay vdn nudc ngoii, bao gdm ca c i nhin. Viet kilu cd the chuyin tiln vl nudc cho ngudi thin de dau tu, kinh doanh dudi hinh thdc cho vay, cho mupn vdn kinh doanh. Cho phep nhin ngoai te tiln mat hoae md tii khoan ngoai Id d eie ngan hang thuong mai.
Hll chuyin tiln dupc quy dinh d mdc rai thip, chi 0.05% tien chuyin vl, khdng han chi sd ngoai te chuyin vl. Ngudi nhin kilu hdi khdng phai chiu thud thu nhip. Nhi nudc cho phep nhilu td ehde diam gia vao chuyin kilu hdi, nhu cic NHTM, buu dien, edng ly lim dich vu chuyin kieu hd'i.
Ngudi nhin kilu hdi khdng bit bude phai bin ngoai td cho ngin hang thucmg mai theo ty gii quy dinh, mi dupc nhin dung ngoai te ehuyin vl, hoac bin cho ngan hang ihuong mai.
Cd nguyen nhan do "cinh keo" ty gii vi chenh lich lai suit gifla ndi te vi ngoai te. "Canh keo ty gia" la chenh leeh gifla ty gii hd'i doai thyc t l vi ty gia sdc mua tuong duong, mac du da giam xudng so vdi nhiing nam tnidc kia, nhung vin cdn kha Idn, hiln vio khoang 3 lan - tdc la 1 USD tai Viet Nam cd sdc mua cao gip 3 lin d My.
Lai suit gdi tiet kidm eua npi td hiln cao gip nhilu lin cua ngoai td;
nlu trd di sy biln ddng ty gia thi chenh lech vin edn hip din dd'i vdi vile gdi ngoai te vl nude. Diy eung la chilu hudng nhilu ngudi da bin ngoai tl eho ngin hing liy nOi te giJri tilt kiem vi gdp phin lim tang dy trd ngoai hdi cua Nhi nudc •
SO 41 (399) - THANG 10/2012 • Thufi' Nhd NUACI 25
