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THE RISE OF CHINA AND SECURITY

IMPLICATION IN THE CONTEMPORARY ASIA

PACIFIC

COVER

AN UNDERGRADUATE THESIS

Arranged by:

M. Rilo Mildi Pambudi 20120510425

INTERNATIONAL PROGRAM OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

FACULTY OF SOCIAL AND POLITICAL SCIENCES

UNIVERSITAS MUHAMMADIYAH YOGYAKARTA

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ix

TABLE OF CONTENT

COVER ... i

AN UNDERGRADUATE THESIS ... ii

ENDORSEMENT PAGE ... iii

STATEMENT OF ORIGINALITY ... iv

QUOTATION ... v

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ... vi

THANKS TO ... vii

ABSTRACT ... viii

TABLE OF CONTENT ... ix

TABLE OF FIGURE ... xi

CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION 1.1Background ... 1

1.2Research Question ... 5

1.3Theoretical Framework ... 6

1.3.1 The Concept of Foreign Policy ... 7

1.3.2 The Concept of National Interest ... 9

1.4 Hypothesis ... 11

1.5 Purposes of writing ... 12

1.6 Method of Writing ... 12

1.7 Research Area ... 13

1.8 Organization of Writing ... 13

CHAPTER II. THE RISE OF CHINA: THE HISTORY AND SERIES OF HIGHLIGHTED EVENTS 2.1. China Massive Development: From Mao’s Military Modernization to Deng’s Reform in the Twentieth-Century ... 16

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x

CHAPTER III. THE GROWING IMPORTANCE OF CHINA IN ASIA-PACIFIC AND THE SHIFTING REGIONAL ORDER AMIDST THE RISE OF CHINA

3.1. Alliances and Partnership: The United States Commitment

in Asia-Pacific ... 30

3.2. China’s Offensive Military Development and

The Changing Regional Order ... 38

CHAPTER IV. THE NATIONAL INTEREST BEHIND CHINA’S ACTIVE ENGAGEMENT IN CONTEMPORARY ASIA-PACIFIC

4.1. China Balance of Power and Strategic Partnership in Asia-Pacific ... 47

4.2. China’s Participation in Territorial Disputes of the South China Sea

And the East China Sea ... 51

CHAPTER V.

CONCLUSION ... 57

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xi

TABLE OF FIGURE

Picture 3.1 : The Map of Asia Pacific Region ... 28

Picture 3.2 : The PLARF Missile Range ... 44

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viii

ABSTRACT

The rise of China has been predicted by the scholars and policymakers since a long time ago, that the tensions in the world of politics will shift, and there is no longer rivalry among the major power centralized in the West. A significant force, which is growing and developing in Asia-Pacific, has a huge potential towards political and military rivalry. Not only that, the pattern of dependency between the West and Asian states also changed- the support and assistance of the United States is no longer be the most coveted, on the contrary the United States depends on the continuation of cooperation with the Asia-Pacific states to ensure its influence in the region. China has proven to possess an unusual growth pattern and survivability outperforming other states that suffer the same underdevelopment as a result of the foregone Westernization. The following dramatic changes in economic system in 1980s, has offered greater opportunities to foreign investments on a large scale Furthermore, in the twenty-first century, China eventually overtook the role of the United States and European countries as the major trading partner for Asia, Africa, and Latin America.

The initial idea in choosing this topic of research is derived from author’s high

interest in the highly debated discourse of the ‘Rise of China' or massive development of China in twentieth-century, where China holds a significant role in both regional and global contemporary politics nowadays. The rising debate of perspectives and speculation are varying in nature about China’s political, economic and military activities in regional level, while there is only limited and often bias in-depth study regarding so, encouraged the author to conduct a more comprehensive research to wrap the phenomenon and analyse its implication to regional and global stage.

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1

CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION

1.1. Background

Post-Cold War there was an inevitable creation of world’s situations in which the world at that time was centralized mainly toward certain countries

involved in the war, such as the United States (US) and the Soviet Union. Not

merely in the political and economic issue, the civilization in a significant level

was also centralized in the European state system. In the midst of massive

domination of both rivalry countries in the early 1990s, the collapse of Soviet

Union eventually led the United States to become the sole hegemony throughout

the world followed by the rise of the liberal victory as the only concept applied in

the global affairs.1 As the United States in almost 20 years has defined the feature

of world affairs, the world has become more and more dependent toward the

supply, donors and political support from the United States, especially the

developing and third world countries.

Asia as a region that is growing by maintaining the form of alliances and

cooperation with the United States, in a few decades, has undergone profound

changes in its international affairs. The influence of the United States in the region

began to fade due to several important events that occurred gradually, such as the

rapid growth of regional multinational institutions, the influence of the

Association of Southeast Asian Nation (ASEAN), increased economic

interdependence throughout the region, outstanding growth of Asian countries

includes the economic miracle that China performed after the successful reforms

1

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2 in 1978.2These have also contributed to the alteration of structure of power and

the nature of regional system including the security issue throughout the

Asia-Pacific.

This setting of international affairs has long been predicted by the scholars

and policymakers, that the tensions in the world of politics will shift and there is

no longer rivalry among the major power centralized in the West. A significant

force, which is growing and developing in Asia-Pacific, has a huge potential

towards political and military rivalry. Not only that, the pattern of dependency

between the West and Asian states is also changing—the support and assistance of the United States is no longer be the most coveted one. On the contrary, the

United States increasingly dependent on the continuation of partnership with the

many countries in Asia-Pacific to ensure its influence in the region. Meanwhile,

China has been proven to pose an unusual growth pattern and survivability

outperforming other states that suffer similar underdevelopment as a result of the

foregone Westernization. Therefore, an assumption began emerge that Americans

continuous engagement in the region is no other than to lessen the excessive

power of China, which according to American policy makers is challenging the

United States security commitment in the region.

The world could be ruled out of the Eastern world for a while. However,

from the successful economic reform and trade liberalization in 1978, China

gradually emplaces itself on the right catch-up growth trajectory of an economic

superpower and become more integrated into the world politics and economics.

Following the event, a dramatic change in the economic system in the 1980s,

continued to offer a greater opportunity to foreign investments on a large scale. In

2

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3 the twenty-first century, China eventually overtook the role of the United States

and European countries as the major trading partner for Asia, Africa, and Latin

America- The data from World Development Indicators-World Bank (2013)

shows that China’s manufactured goods account for over 90 percent of all exported goods of the country.3This has a considerable impact on China's GDP in

a bigger picture. According to another data from World Development

Indicators-World Bank (2013), China managed to maintain the good trajectory of its GDP

growth since 1978 faster than any other nation in the world. In 1984 the growth

rate of the world economy is around 4.5 percent, of which less than 0.25 percent

due to China, while China's growth rate jumped up 15 percent as the highest in the

period 1978 to 2011.4 This accomplishment indicates that contribution of China to

the world GDP growth remains positive and increasingly important since the

1990s.5 As confirmed by the economist, inefficiencies and incoherence remain in

the annals of China's development to date. China has stumbled upon its priority,

the state-owned enterprises (SOEs) that the regime resisted to privatize, is proven

corrupt and inefficient.6In 2013, the economic growth has slowed to 7.5 percent

from its earlier double-digit pace.7Nevertheless, there is more substance than

water in China’s miraculous economic development. Until now China remains the

highlight of economic prosperity in both regional and global levels.

3The World Bank, ‘World Development Indicators

-China’s Export Structure’ (The World Bank, 2013), cited in Li Yang, ‘China’s Growth Miracle: Past, Present, and Future’ (Professor, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, p. 8.

4The World Bank, ‘World Development Indicators

- China’s contribution to world GDP growth

(%)’ (The World Bank, 2013), cited in Li Yang, ‘China’s Growth Miracle: Past, Present, and

Future’ (Professor, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, p. 3. 5Li Yang, ‘China’s Growth Miracle,’ p. 3 (footnote 4). 6

The Economist, 'A Bubble in Pessimism' (The Economist, 2013)

<http://www.economist.com/news/china/21583691-chinas-economy-inefficient-it-not-unstable-bubble-pessimism> accessed 21 December 2016.

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4 The rapid economy development flames the military modernization to

appear as an appendage of such extraordinary growth. Earlier in 1990s China

began to adopted technological measures to modernize the PLA contributed to

defense budgetary increase from approximately $9 billion double up to $17 billion

in 2000 and reaching $35.6 billion in 2005.8 Later China’s defense spending rose to 8.3 percent between 2011 and 2012 contributed to Asia total increase of 4.94

percent in the same years.9 China rise from modernizing military to the second

largest defense spender in the world, which also means the more advanced

military sector.10Furthermore, China’s aggressive military activities in South China Sea and East China Sea indicate that China is steadily expanding its

geopolitical role in the Pacific, which later give rise to intensifying military sector

of other emerging power in Asia,11 one example to best depicting this situation,

when China’s assertive confrontation in South China Sea aggravate the tension

between China and other claimant states and the United States. In 2013 China

began the land reclamation at it outpost in South China Sea, turned the submerged

reefs into islands and equipped them with military system. As the responses

Philippines and Japan take a more serious action by joining the United States in

maritime air patrol over the sea.12Furthermore, a security agreement between the

8Bhartendu K. Singh, ‘The Political Economy of China’s Defense Modernization’ (2005) 29

Strategic Analysis, p. 688, available at

<http://www.idsa.in/system/files/strategicanalysis_bsingh_1205.pdf> accessed 5 November 2016.

9

Myra MacDonald, 'Asia's Defense Spending Overtakes Europe's: IISS' (Reuters, 2013)

<http://www.reuters.com/article/us-security-military-iiss-idUSBRE92D0EL20130314> accessed 5 November 2016.

10 ibid. 11

Anthony H. Cordesman, 'Chinese Strategy and Military Modernization: A Comparative Analysis' (Centre for Strategic and International Studies 2015) <https://www.csis.org/analysis/chinese-strategy-and-military-modernization-comparative-analysis> accessed 8 November 2016.

12

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5 United States and the treaty allies, Philippines and Japan, has been updated in

regard with the occurrence –The United States seeking the placement of navy ships within 12 miles (19 kms) of the Chinese-built islands, while in the future the

allies target to have 60 percent of Navy ship oriented toward the Pacific by

2020.13

Many scholars perceived this phenomenon as a meaningful occurrence – as the challenges the phenomenon has offered for granted hold an image of

ambiguity to the contemporary regional order. There will always be a high

probability for the more intensified military competition in the future following

the extensive military modernization and how states afterwards interpreted the

phenomenon differently while they started to engage in defensive agenda to

address the possibility that could arise in the future.14There will always be

supposition and speculation about the true motives behind China's active

engagement in the region. Therefore, this paper seeks to analyze the phenomena

in regional Asia-Pacific amidst the rise of China. Further elaboration on the

factors that may leads to China becoming more and more active in the region— since not only has the phenomenon exacerbated the uncertainties in contemporary

global politics, but the rise of China in both economic and military development

also succeeds to increase the instability, political friction, and mistrust within the

regional level of Asia-Pacific.

1.2. Research Questions

What factors lead to China becoming more active in the contemporary

Asia-Pacific?

13

ibid. 14

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6

1.3. Theoretical Framework

In this paper, two different sets of theoretical concepts are to be discussed,

to understand certain phenomena that occur in regional Asia-Pacific following the

rise of China, the phenomena then being analyzed from the lenses of the foreign

policy concept and the concept of national interest from realism perspective. The

two concepts are rather different but are not necessarily challenging each other, in

fact, the two concepts assisting each other where the existence of one concept

serves as the basis for the other concepts, vice versa, and one concept into a final

form of the other concepts. Therefore, the two theories will be combined as a

foundation in analyzing the phenomena arises from the rise of China.

To begin with, it is important to remember that all perspective in

international relations contain statement about foreign policy.15This has been the

case, just as how the Realist takes, almost all approaches put state as the central

actor. In realist world, states are the utmost actor above all- hence, the fulfillment

of state interest is primary, despite the rationale behind the intention. Hans J.

Morgenthau described the activities and political action of a state, is seen as

directed to keeping, increasing and demonstrating.16 In other words, the three

behavioral patterns could be translated into policies of status quo, imperialism and

prestige – to maintain the balance of power, to acquire more power and to show off strength in order to keep expand power.17 In the end, the struggle for power is

the ultimate goal that is rooted in the existence of the state, indefinite and

timeless. Morgenthau conceived of interest and power as individuals’ nature, to

15

Theories of foreign policy: an historical overview

16

J. Peter Pham, 'What is in The National Interest? Hans Morgenthau's Realist Vision and American Foreign Policy' (2008) 30 American Foreign Policy Interests, p. 258.

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7

live, to propagate and to dominate, and an incessant struggle over power among

states, arising from the desire for power or animus-dominandi that deliver the idea

that it natural human urge to dominate other.18 For the sake of national interest,

individual has to possess more than just rationalities and resoluteness in

determining the best policy for the country. However, the end does not necessarily

has to be security, in developing foreign policy states could pursue two things,

change and maintenance—to change the condition of status quo in international politics and to maintain condition that are preferable to their interest.19From this

point, both national interest and foreign policy can be used as a conceptual

framework for analysis and decision making of a state. In sum, to maintain and

achieve the national interest that later reflected in its foreign policy, is at the heart

of all politics. Hence in the international stage, it behooved state to pursue its

international interest as the embodiment of strength they have.20

1.3.1 The Concept of Foreign Policy

Foreign policy as a concept often interpreted differently by scholars and

philosophers. Yet, from how the concept is being analyzed in its dimension and

kinds to the process of foreign policy, all findings lead to a perception that

country formulate their foreign policy to secure their interest.21 Foreign policy is a

behavioral pattern, adopted by states to conduct foreign and diplomatic relations

18

Hans J Morgenthau, Politics Among Nations (7th edn, McGraw-Hill 2005), pp. 36-37, cited in Michal Parizek, 'Evil Human Nature as a Necessary Assumption of the Neorealist View on International Politics' (E-International Relations, 2008), available at

http://www.e- ir.info/2008/03/03/evil-human-nature-as-a-necessary-assumption-of-neorealist-view-on-international-politics/ accessed on 7 October 2016.

19

Glenn Palmer and T. Clifton Morgan, A Theory of Foreign Policy (1st edn, Princeton University Press 2006), p. 7.

20

Pham, 'What Is in The National Interest? p. 258

21

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8 with other states –and is formulated according to state best interest.22 William Wallace (1971) perceived the foreign policy as

a stable set of attitude towards the international environment, an implicit

or explicit plan about a country’s relationship with outside world”.23

In the world of anarchy, states establish its foreign policies conform with the

international environment, including the aim to influence the behavior of other

states to act as his will. The basic and most vital interest of states are always

static, like defense and security concern, yet the methodologies and strategies to

achieve the interest is dynamic as they developed to focus and refocused in a

changed environment.24 States may compromise the secondary interest but the

most vital interest cannot be bargained out, or else the in-charge policymakers

may betray the national sovereignty.25Therefore, to consider the internal and

external environmental factors in the formulation of policy is important for

policymakers. As matter of fact, the external factors may change the nature of

foreign policy, either states has to act in a positive of negative manner, hence, it is

suggested that a foreign policy should be a synthesis of national interest and state

interest.26

Accordingly, the use of foreign policy in this research paper is understood

as a concept that would very-well explain the reasons behind China’s active engagement in the contemporary Asia-Pacific. One could argue, China through its

active foreign policy intended to counter-balancing the existing influence and

domination of the United States in the region. But behind the foreign policy

22ibid.,

p. 2.

23

William Wallace, Foreign Policy and The Political Process (1st edn, Macmillan 1971). p. 11.

24

Sadia Mushtaq and Ishtiaq Ahmad Choudhry, 'Conceptualization of Foreign Policy,’ p. 5 (footnote 21).

25

ibid., p. 6

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9 outlined in the establishment of new form of independent regional partnerships,

without including the United States, lay an intention of more than just

counter-balancing but to replace the United States in the region. Therefore, China aims to

confiscate the position as the region's supreme power, allows China to launch

certain-controversial national interest, including those interests in regard to

territorial claims in the South China Sea and East China Sea. The intention is

often correlated with China's efforts to restore the past glory.

1.3.2 The Concept of National Interest (Raison d’état)

The concept of national interest is the realist foundation in the explanation

of the politics in international relations. The concept also is the main foundation

of foreign policy concept. National interest was first applied and introduced to the

public by an Italian historian renaissance, Niccolò Machiavellian in his

controversial treatise, the prince, in the Sixteenth century. The approach of

national interest justifying the state's goal and ambitions pursued through any

political and diplomatic action, which otherwise could be disgraceful. Afterward,

the term was progressively being found utilized by the statesmen and scholars to

describe the aspirations and goals of sovereign entities in an international arena.27

The concept later, explicitly stated in many of unofficial publications and official

doctrines to describe the position of the country and, therefore, important for the

interest to be more predictable to the world.

According to Morgenthau (1949), the contest between national interest and

moral principles has been attempted for domination over minds and action of men

– these doctrines has profoundly influenced the conduct of foreign affairs since

27

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10 the beginning.28 Accordingly, the very realist ground of national interest perceives

that the idealistic vision of moral principles embodied in the idea of common

security as it ought to deter the use of excessive violence is, therefore, weak and

ineffective. This belief serves to explain how then the League of Nations with

similar idealistic vision failed in preventing the outbreak of World War II. The

Americans apparently did not find, to deter others from the use of force, is in its

national interest.

Remember always that it is not only a political necessity but also a moral duty for a nation to always follow in its dealings with other nations but one guiding star, one standard for thought, one rule for action: The National Interest."29

The concept has been extensively employed by the Americans statesman since the

establishment of the constitution, yet the American emphasized the national

interest only to the extent that can provide immediate economic gains to the

country or directly affect its security.30

Although the approach has been criticized for the absence of moral dignity

in its overall concept or the accusation that the pursuit of the national interest is

based merely on material considerations of power, it remains popular applied in

the European politics during the nineteenth century. In the face of the criticism,

Morgenthau refuses by confirms that there is a certain degree of restraint which

morally imposes upon the action of states, sometimes stricter, it simply interdicts

28

Ken Kiyono, 'A Study on The Concept Of The National Interest Of Hans J. Morgenthau: As The Standard Of American Foreign Policy' (1969) 49 経営と経済

<http://naosite.lb.nagasaki-u.ac.jp/dspace/bitstream/10069/27783/1/keieikeizai49_03_04.pdf> accessed 23 December 2016, p. 6.

29

J. Peter Pham, 'What is in the National Interest? Hans Morgenthau's Realist Vision and American Foreign Policy' (2008) 30 American Foreign Policy Interests, p. 8.

30

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11 an action or policies to be taken – even if it means another cost for a country to bear.

There is a 'misconception, usually associated with the general depreciation

and moral condemnation of power politics…Yet, if we ask ourselves what

statesmen and diplomats are capable of doing to further the power objectives of their respective nations and what they actually do, we realize that they do less than they probably could and less than they actually did in other periods of history. They refuse to consider certain ends and to use

certain means… not because in the light of expediency they appear impractical or unwise,· but because certain moral rules interpose an absolute barrier.31

After decades elapsed, the concept has grown its importance as a tool to assess

and describe the policies of the nation. One of them is to analyze the popular

contemporary phenomenon of the twentieth century, the rise of China and the

growing importance of China in the Asia-Pacific following the power shift from

West to East.

1.4. Hypothesis

Applying the concept of foreign policy and the national interest or raison

d’état as the basic approaches in analyzing the discourse of China rising power,

the authors forming multiple frames of the discussion as an initial hypothesis in

answering the problem formulation what factors lead to China becoming more

active in the contemporary Asia-Pacific?

1. China aims to counter-balance the power of the United States in

Asia-Pacific to further becoming a great power in the region;

2. China aims to strengthen and secure its position in territorial disputes in the

South China Sea and the East China Sea.

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12

1.5. Purposes of Writing

This research paper aims to analyze numbers of phenomena that occur

following the rise of China. Upon the accomplishment of this research, the author

expects to have both academic and practical contributions:

1. Academically, it can be used as an alternative resource to help the

researchers in analyzing the certain phenomena that occur from the

contemporary rise of China;

2. Practically, it can be used as a resource to increase student’s knowledge about the impact of the rise of China in contemporary regional level;

3. It can be used as a guide to study the application of national interest

concept and the theory of foreign policy behind the political conduct of

states;

4. To qualify for graduation degree in International Relations Department of

Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta.

1.6. Method of Writing

The paper is structured by using the explanatory types of research, which is

based on the descriptive qualitative research method using case study, text and

literature analysis. This paper is mainly a form of secondary research that involves

the examination of studies of other researchers.

In order to obtain the best result, the author seeks to look deeper into the

works of literature, articles, and journal about the history of China economic

development and military modernization, the role and involvement of China in

Asia-Pacific regional affairs and the nature of regional system, international

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13 also into the literature of regional dispute, the history, and legal articles in that

regard, as well as any supportive literature on applied concept.

1.7. Research Area

In this research, the author attempts to focus the analysis on certain

phenomena that arises following the rise of China in the context of contemporary

politics and how these phenomena further affect the discourse of security and

regional stability. The regional level in the paper is focused on the area of

Asia-Pacific specifically among China, Japan, and Southeast Asian countries, with

particular regard to territorial disputes in the South China Sea and East Asia Sea.

As for the timeframe, the author defines that the regional implication given by the

rise of China was increasingly visible in the contemporary Asia-Pacific regional

affairs. Contemporary Asia-Pacific refers to and emphasizes on the

twentieth-century regional activities which include the political and economic affairs in

these past decades.

1.8. Organization of Writings

Chapter One: Presents the introduction of the topic. It contains the background of the issues; Research Question; Theoretical Framework; Hypothesis; Methods

of Writing; Research Area; and Organization of Writing;

Chapter Two: Presents the brief presentation of the history of China's

development, represented by series of highlighted events from Mao’s era;

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14

Chapter Four: Presents the discussion of analysis between the finding and the applicability of the theory/concept of foreign policy and national interest as well

as the criticism opposing the applicability of the theory;

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13

CHAPTER II THE RISE OF CHINA:

THE HISTORY AND SERIES OF HIGHLIGHTED EVENTS

China, the world's third-largest country with a population reaching 1.3

billion people, was recorded as the most populous country in the world. China

accounted for a fifth of the world's population, is a country that has long and

remarkable economic development stories in modern times. Successes and failure

followed, China’s peaceful rise as an official policy under Hu Jintao leadership

drove the country to the moment of eternal triumph, despite the controversy as an

emerging giant’s international influence. The rise of China later became a notion

that marks the country's prowess in suppressing the national economy growth to

become one dominant force in Asia-Pacific even capable of being a highlight in

the global world.

Notably, the rise of China is not a new occurrence in the history of China,

rapid growth and highlighting achievements in the eighteenth century made the

rise of China as the phenomenon of revival. Despite claimed to be a peaceful

development, the event is interpreted differently by other states, the development

that followed was expanded, not only focus on one aspect of development; it

covers the fields of politics, economy, and military at once. The rise of China, by

the scholars are often used in referring to the events of China's miraculous

development following the economic reforms pursued by the Chinese

government, initiated in the Third Plenary Session of the Eleventh Central

Committee of the Communist Party of China (CPC) held in December 1978, in

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14 ensured.1 Cao (2005) argue, the ideology of the reform came directly from the

work conference and the conference also decided the general of reform in

principle, so it is correct to say that the Third Plenary Session of the Eleventh

Central Committee of the Party marked the beginning of the Chinese economic

reform, which asserted the need of major refurbishment in the production

field.2The achievement of the economic reform and opening-up policy have

ushered China’s economy into a rapid phase of development and because of this,

China being rated as one of the highest economic growth state ever achieved in

regional and global level, amidst the booming Asian economy thereof.3 Later

during the Fourteenth National Congress of the CPC in 1992, China announced

that the goal of the economic reform is primarily to replace the soviet economic

model adopted in Mao’s era, to the more open social-market economy system,

described as socialism with Chinese characteristic, which marks the beginning of

a new phase of China's economic reform thereafter.4The following discussion will

elaborate the history of economic and military development from time to time

within the context of highlighted events.

2.1. China’s Massive Development: From Mao’s Military Modernization to Deng’s Economic Reform in the Twentieth-Century

Reform for the seeks of fundamental changes in political and economic

institutions, is his excessive belief in the supremacy of "men over material",

1Liu Guoguang, ‘China’s economic reform: Successes, challenges, and prospects for the twenty

-first century,’ p. 80, in Fumio Itoh (Ed.), China in the twenty-first century: Politics, economy, and society (Tokyo, United Nations University Press 1997), p. 80.

2

Tian Yu Cao, The Chinese Model of Modern Development (1st edn, Routledge 2005), p. 28.

3Guoguang, ‘China’s economic reform,’ p. 81 (footnote 32).

4

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15 which depressingly led to the more politicized PLA. In the 1960s the political

situation is getting tense, following the split with the Soviet when Mao faced

increasing resistance to his authority within the party and in the higher echelons of

the PLA. In the end, it led to the emphasis of people's war by Mao's close

associates.5 Eventually, the ambitious Great Leap Forward project, the

Anti-Rightist Campaign (1957-1959) followed by the eruption of Cultural Revolution

(1966), ends in over million excess deaths on the Great Chinese Famine and other

immense consequences that changed the traditional system and China as a state

significantly.

One of the most challenging tasks in any political system,6 unlike the

revolutionary process, the reform process aims to achieve changes through

peaceful means, rather than force, and by working through existing political

institutions, rather than overthrowing them.7 China, in this regard, after decades of

maintaining the overly poor economic system, centrally-controlled and stagnant,

in the late 1970s under Mao Zedong, finally find a way to deliver major changes

in the political and economic system of the state. Under Mao’s administration, China’s economic growth is gradual but susceptible. It shows a reasonable

phenomenon of revival and success to break the attention from the highlights of

Western economic advancement. In addition to Mao's restoration project in the

economic sector, the other thing that deserves to be underlined was the efforts to

build-up and modernizing China's defense sector.

Even before the deterioration of Sino-Soviet relations by the early 1960s,

which ended in the dismissal of assistance in the form of men, material and

5

ibid. 6

Harry Harding, China's Second Revolution (1st edn, Brookings Institution 1987), p. 271.

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16 technology from the Soviets against China, the nation has indeed absorbed the

best from the Soviet.8By using the Soviet expertise and technology, to start a

military-industrial complex (MIC) for modernizing its defense services, Soviet

has indeed helped modernize the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) in a

significant matter.9Thus, by late 1950s, China had somewhat professionalized and

modern military included the progress of having 4000 combat aircraft for the air

forces division.10

Nonetheless, apart from the good record of Mao’s revolutionary act, the

history recorded that it was not last until the year later- it turned into a great

catastrophe. Turns out the economic and military development under Mao’s were

transient, it was susceptible, yet getting stagnated in the middle of its

implementation and led to the substantial decline in the numbers. Some methods

proved unsuccessful and disappointing, such as the poor agricultural techniques

which turned into salinization and severe deforestation. In 1971 China had

achieved grain self-sufficiency through the aggressive rural policy measures, but

the new policy, with its emphasis on local decision-making was burdened by other

political baggage that eroded its effectiveness.11

As highlighted in the history, one issue that becomes a turning point of

Mao's fall is his belief in the supremacy of "men over material" which in fact led

to the more politicized PLA. In the 1960s the political situation is getting tense,

following the split with the Soviet when Mao faced increasing resistance to his

authority within the party and in the higher echelons of the PLA. In the end, it led

8Singh, 'The Political Economy of China’s Defence Modernisation', p. 688 (footnote 8). 9 ibid.

10

Ellis Joffe, The Chinese Army After Mao (1st edn, George Widenfeld and Nicolson 1987).

11

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17 to the emphasis of people's war by Mao's close associates.12 Eventually, the

ambitious Great Leap Forward project, the Anti-Rightist Campaign (1957-1959)

followed by the eruption of Cultural Revolution (1966), ends in over million

excess deaths concluded in the Great Chinese Famine and other immense

consequences that changed the traditional system, and China as a state

significantly. The death of Mao Zedong and the arrest of major

counter-revolutionary forces in the 1976 Cultural Violence, known as the gang of four,

ended the ten-year of Cultural Revolution, gave rise to a popular demand for a

faster economic progress and a better-living standard in the People’s Republic of China.13

In 1978 the economic reform took place under the leadership of Deng

Xiaoping. It was gradual, but the effects hold the fort and they have been

remarkably successful. The post-Mao reforms have reserved the decline in

economic growth rates with an average annual rate of increase of rural output

since 1979 has been 10.5 percent, well above the rates of 4.0 percent to 5.0

percent achieved in the 1950s, 1960s, and early 1970s.14 Broadly, the sector of

rural economy enjoyed the most rapid rates of growth. The emphasis was

principally placed in the idea to change the market system. Remodelling the

system, Deng transformed the existing private and state-owned market system

into the most liberal one that is open to more opportunities and possibilities of

foreign investment and a wider network of economic partners to boost China's

economy and improve the vastly inefficient and relatively isolated economic

12Singh, 'The Political Economy of China’s DefenceModernisation,’ p. 683 (footnote 8). 13

Lin Wei and Arnold Chao, China's Economic Reforms (1st edn, University of Pennsylvania Press 1982).

14

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18 system, to improve the welfare of farmers, the central government initiated price

and ownership incentives for farmers, which enabled them to sell a portion of

their crops on the free market.15Whereas in order to increase the economic

productivity reforms were also implemented in the urban industry which allowed

the state-owned industry to sell any production in both plan and market prices, the

consideration was to avoid the strict and centrally-oriented former market, which

were too closed and only relying on the results of the housing and agricultural

production. The acceleration of the rates of growth industry and agriculture's has

allowed a large increase in nominal rural and later urban income.16

Through the intense monitoring system and strong principles, the open

market system under the framework of China's economic reform is able to

increase potential opportunities for the society to start their own business, as the

government undertaking the measures to support great value export to increase the

per capita income of the citizen. China's policy in this regard heavily relies on

commercial traffic, improving the quality and quantity of production take

precedence to break the export number and increase the interest of investor to

make investments in large numbers from the smallest to largest sectors. In this

economic modernization, China insisted on the formation of credible and

competence government structure for the sake of stability and positive reputation,

this measures This step ensured by the electoral system organized and lead by

Deng Xiaoping. In the bigger picture, Deng's recovery attempt was focused on

eight main indications:

15Wayne Morrison, 'China’s Economic Rise: History,

Trends, Challenges, And Implications for the United States' (Congressional Research Service 2015), p. 4.

16

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19 The rise in industrial and agricultural production; Faster rises in the output of some major products; The bigger volume of transport; Rises in domestic and foreign trade volumes; A rising national income; Wider employment; A general rise in people’s monetary income; and advances in education, science, culture and public health.17

There are two factors that make China could increase their economic growth so

quickly; the large-scale capital investment (financed by large foreign domestics

saving and investment) and rapid productivity growth.18Both of these factors has

successfully led China to its golden era through the improve in economic growth

efficiency and increase in economy stability. China has also achieved dramatic

gains in foreign economy relations, as in 1986, China's foreign trade at more than

$70 billion, was more than three times what it had been in 1978.19

In addition, China exports to its national output rose from 5.6 percent in 1978 to 13.9 percent in 1986, while the states succeed to absorbed $28df billion in the foreign capital between 1979 and 1986.20

With such rapidly rising economic sector China started raising its GDP share of

the world total from 5.2 percent in 1980 to 17.5 percent later in 2008.21Gradually,

China regains the global trust and prestige as the economic superpower, the one

state with the largest trade partner and the ability to surpass the Western economic

grandeur.

The economic rise of China is indeed a complex unity. Many of the political

analysts perceive this as a strategy to gain world domination. On the other hand,

when China recognizes this as a peaceful rise, one may acknowledge that this

remarkable development has given a great advantage for China to run the state's

interest; it can be observed from how the rise of China managed to change the

17

Wei and Cao, China's Economic Reforms, pp. 3-7 (footnote 44).

18Morrison, 'China’s Economic Rise,’ p. 7 (footnote 46). 19

Harding, China's Second Revolution, p. 275 (footnote: 37).

20 ibid.

(28)

20 regional order, at least in the form of alliance-based cooperation and increase the

importance of their role in regional politics. Indeed, China's re-emergence as the

world economic and the global power rises state is an important question about

what we can learn from its previous rise and fall and about the external and

internal threats confronting this emerging economic superpower for the immediate

future.

2.2. Four Modernization: China’s New Form of Military Modernization

Should be underlined, the excessive attention to the military sector is one

reason for the failure of Mao Zedong in maintaining the stability of China's

growth. While high military expenditure does mean better prospects for a

modernization in the defense sector, opinions differ over the cost and impact on

the economy.22According to Amartya Sen (1995) and what was then believed by

most of the economist, the benefits of military expenditures are uncertain, limited

and economically unproductive, while for the developing countries the long term

effects is mostly negative, in the sense that it will cause the growth reduction in

socio-economic sector or welfare losses by ‘crowding out’ other uses such as private investment and social spending.23 Similar assessment considered by Deng

Xiaoping to start China's reform era. His view on Mao’s development strategy

was pessimistic. For him to a policy that prioritizes military forces as the main

aspect, the state of the PLA is wretched and Mao's concept of People's war is

outdated. Far from being a modern army, it was a laggard in almost every

22Singh, 'The Political Economy of China’s,’ p. 680 (footnote: 8). 23

(29)

21 aspect.24In contrast to Mao's strategy, Deng implements economic development

vis-à-vis defense that favoured a grand strategy where strategic resources were to

be used in a manner that will ensure the survival and development of the Chinese

nation.25

According to Deng, the ‘four modernisations' program that emerged in 1979

was, nothing, but one of the many tools of the Chinese grand strategy. It put defense modernization as the last priority and instead gave preference to agriculture, industry and science and technology at the first, second and third place.26

Accordingly, post-Mao reform, the role of PLA and its political influence

eroded. As a result of Deng's policies to reduce the priority in the defence sector

through his four modernization program, China’s official defence expenditures

went down from an all-time peak which amounted to 13 percent fall from 1979 to

1989, which kept on falling to the subsequent years’ to be distributed to other

priority sectors such as agriculture on the first top priority; trade and industry; as

well as the investment.

By 1989, China’s official defense budget was around 9 percent of the

central government’s expenditure and less than 2 percent of the GDP. This

was a sharp decline from the 1979 official figure of 17.7 per cent and 3.5 per cent respectively.27

One may believe that economic growth is the root of the massive growth in

various sectors of the country. According to Perkin (2005);

If China does manage to sustain high economic growth rates, not only will such growth strengthen political stability, but Beijing would also find it easier to expand China’s military expenditures. Over the long term, China will likely strive to become a world military power commensurate with the

country’s size, population, and role in world history.28

24

Singh, 'The Political Economy of China’s,’ p. 684 (footnote 8).

25ibid.

p. 685

26 ibid. 27

Singh, 'The Political Economy of China’s,’ pp. 686-689 (footnote 8).

28Perkin D, 'Special Studies: China’S Economic Growth: Implications for The Defense Budget'

(30)

22 This, in fact, is quite evident in the future. After successfully implementing

economic reforms and gaining the countries confident, Deng then sees the interest

in the improvement of the defense sector. After decades of declining budget,

Funds for the PLA started increasing after 1989 and kept on increasing more

rapidly than inflation and indeed than the GDP rate.29 This policy change was

based on several highlighted issues, including the crucial role of the PLA in

suppressing the 1989 Tiananmen Square incident and the fact a decline in defense

budget has aggravated the condition and combat's capability of the PLA.30Since

then, the PLA’s modernization has been developed in four directions:

A significant increase in military spending; reforming the defense industry, bringing new technologies and approaches in its military-industrial complex which is the largest in Asia; remarkable and extensive military build-up exceeding the usual modernization; and military modernization that foresaw an increase in the salaries of PLA personnel and an improvement in their living conditions.31

This resurrection was basically felt globally and throughout the region, Asia

Pacific. The international community realizes, by means of rapid economic

growth, the Chinese government intended to entirely sophisticate its technology,

including also a military modernization. The past failure has indeed encouraged

China's optimism to improve military strength and capacity as a form of

anticipation and catch up for almost 20 years. China is also aware that economic

and military power is the prime key for them to acquire an important role in the

29Singh, 'The Political Economy of China’s,’ p. 688 (footnote 8

).

30 ibid.

31Richard A. Bitzinger, 'Modernizing China’s Military, 1997

(31)

23 international system.32 Besides, the security environment China faces vast land

and maritime frontiers, four nuclear neighbours, and four disputed areas in its

proximity – has exacerbated tensions in the region. Diversified military tasks have also increased the multi-faceted roles of China's army.33 One may understand the

main concerns from Western and neighbouring countries against China's rising

power related with the critics of the lack of transparency in its military spending

process.34The Western analysts argue that the rapid and vast development of

China’s defence sector is exceeding the usual modernization phenomenon. For instances, taking into account China’s existing territorial disputes with several of

neighbouring countries, by constructing its aircraft carrier, China has all the

necessary preconditions to develop a Carrier Battle Group, which would allow it

to carry out far-reaching and expeditionary operations.35

The realist perceives that by China's defensive military modernization, it

promotes uncertainty and evident threat; thus a mere economic capability is not

able to guarantee the existence of a state. Military force facilitated state interest

better, as it helps to expand the coalition members and strengthen alliances. This

phenomenon encourages the politicians to predict that China's rise will affect the

global order, which was dominated by the role and influence of the United States.

With extensive economic development alone, China has success to outdoing the

32GengYansheng, 'China’s National Defense Policy and New National Defense White Paper'

(National Defense University of the People’s Liberation Army, China, 2013), cited in Nora Vanaga, 'China’s Military Rise: The Lack of Transparency and Internal Political Uncertainty' (National Defence Academy of Latvia Center for Security and Strategic Research 2014), p. 5.

33Z. Xiaozhuo, 'What China’S Defense Budget Growth Means' (

China-US Focus, 2013) <http://www.chinausfocus.com/peace-security/what-chinas-defense-budget- growth-means/>

accessed 11 October 2016, cited in Nora Vanaga, 'China’s Military Rise: The Lack of

Transparency and Internal Political Uncertainty' (National Defence Academy of Latvia Center for Security and Strategic Research 2014), p. 5.

34 ibid. 35

(32)

24 United States as one big donator and trade partner, eventually with also vigorous

military capability, China will increasingly become an influential country in the

world and has the potential to attract a large dependence of developing countries

against the United States, by providing more favourable to them.36Quite a debate

among scholars, regarding China’s possibility to shift the contemporary world order, in fact, China’s rise through its military modernization although is

recognized as a peaceful movement, has given a little negative spark than

optimism and a warm welcome from other states.

(33)

33

CHAPTER III

THE GROWING IMPORTANCE OF CHINA IN ASIA-PACIFIC AND

THE SHIFTING REGIONAL ORDER AMIDST THE RISE OF CHINA

“When China awake, the world will shake” – Napoleon Bonaparte

As predicted by scholars and policy makers post-Cold War, eventually the

highlight of huge economic and political development will encounter an alteration

from West to East, from the fading ideological confrontation post the collapse of

Soviet Union that give rise to the new conflicts based on tradition, ethnic,

religious, territorial and geostrategic dilemmas around globe.1 While there is

much debate on how the nature of the twenty-first-century international affairs

will be shaped, we realized that nowadays, the attention of policy makers and

most of the international community has moved toward the Asia-Pacific region.

As for the military sector of China to rise up then, it is important for us to see the

process of how the growing importance of China in the Asia-Pacific region is

driven by the active engagement of the state of economic sectors so as to establish

the position and power of China today.

Asia-Pacific is an immense region, as defined by the scope of ECO ASIA

Project, the region is of vast proportions, stretching northward to Mongolia,

southward to New Zealand, eastward to the island states of Oceania, and

westward to Pakistan.2 Approximately it covering some 2.8 billion hectares of

1

Jae Ho Chung, 'The Rise of China and East Asia: A New Regional Order on the Horizon?' (2016) 1 Chinese Political Science Review, p. 47.

2

(34)

34 land that encompasses an enormous variation of climate and topography, from

tropical to arctic, and from the Himalayas to coral reefs,3 not only the region

presents the gigantic physical expense, the region is also wondrous with its ethnic

and cultural diversity as well as the history of dynamic economic and political

development. Consider the extensive and complex coverage Asia-Pacific region-

this paper will focus only on several of the country associated with territorial

disputes in the South China Sea and East China Sea.

Figure 3.1 The Map of Asia-Pacific Region

Source: C. Andrew Christensen III 2007.

Hosting more than half the world’s population and a growing middle class,

Asia-Pacific generates half of both global economic output and global trade

3

(35)

35 through various regional cooperation,4 No region may hold more potential growth

and development achievement than what was shown by the Asia-Pacific region

constantly. Potential growth has soared in the region in which the region under the

primary regional forums Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) has doubled

up the region’s GDP from just USD 16 trillion in 1989 to USD 20 trillion in 2015,

while the average tariffs fell from 17 percent in 1989 to 5.2 percent in 2012 and

the trade increased over seven times, outpacing the rest of the world with

two-thirds of this trade occurring between member economies.5In addition to, the

residents of Asia-Pacific witness an increase in their per capita income by 74

percent and just over two decades, the region succeed in lifting millions out of

poverty and creating a growing middle class.6

Basically, developments occurred almost throughout Asia-Pacific and from

time to time, states in the region emerged as a new force that dominates the

regional order. There are numerous interpretations regarding the distribution of

power in Asia-Pacific. Post-war period, the region-wide cooperation has been

promoted by two overlapping groups, the core states of the United States and

Japan and the group comprising business, people, and academics – while the first regional cooperation proposal initiated in the 1960s advanced as a Pacific Free

Trade Area concept.7By mid-1980s Japan emerged as a new force in Asia-Pacific

regional affairs with a remarkable growth in economic, education, government

4

Rose Gottemoeller, 'The Role of the United States In Asia-Pacific Security' (U.S. Department of State, 2015), available at <http://www.state.gov/t/us/2015/239922.htm> accessed 15 November 2016.

5

APEC, 'Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation' (APEC, 2016), available at

<http://www.apec.org/About-Us/About-APEC/Achievements%20and%20Benefits.aspx> accessed 7 November 2016.

6 ibid. 7

(36)

36 system and the social welfare. Japan has also managed to dominate East Asia

through the advancement of investment, aid, and trade, at least exceeds the United

States whose also have a role and considerable influence in the Asia-Pacific

region after the end of the Second World War. Apart from Japan, one country who

also contributes to power distribution and the obscurity picture of the region's

future is China. China with such rapid economic development followed by

military build-up, in the future will be constantly in control of regional affairs, put

the role and influence of foreign parties such as the United States comes second in

the distribution of power within the Asia-Pacific.

Indeed, the foundation of the contemporary regional order has undergone a

massive shift. While there is a change between actors in the region, there is also

change in power distribution marked by growing geopolitical and economic

complexity. The next sub-chapters present an overview of the regional order prior

to and post the rise of China in relation to the waning influence and role of the

United States in the Asia-Pacific in the context of alliance-based cooperation and

security cooperation.

3.1. Alliances and Partnership: The United States Commitment in

Asia-Pacific

Almost until the late of the twentieth century, the regional order is

characterized by the dominance of the United States in the form of alliances and

partnerships on a large scale. The role of the United States in the region has

existed long before the World War II. After the end of Cold War, along with the

United States victory in the war and the collapsed of the Soviet Union, the United

(37)

37 States has affected the global order in term of economic, political and social

culture, the regional affairs have also been affected by it and one of the most is the

Asia-Pacific. One rationale behind this occurrence is that Asia-Pacific as a region

consists of most developing countries, which has a great potential in the

geopolitics and geo-economy advantages, while the United States is seeking for a

more advantaging form of cooperation and political relations.

The region generates 30 percent of global exports and its two-way trade with the United States exceeds $1 trillion annually. It holds two-thirds of global foreign exchange reserves.8

There is indeed, an increasing importance of Asia-Pacific in the global

politics as well as for the United States. In order to maintain its position as the

world hegemony, the United States must be able to conquer the region under its

influence and control, which then in the phenomenon of contemporary

Asia-Pacific regional affairs was reflected in the emergence of alliance-based

cooperation between the United States and the countries of Asia-Pacific in

significant quantities with varying focus. In the sense of that, United States

become the major trading partner, great investor, major supplier of technology

and capitals well as capital lender for Asia-Pacific’s countries.

One could argue, the presence of United States in Asia-Pacific is one of the

political manoeuvres. Asia-Pacific is a region with enormous economic

development- the region is also known to embrace the market-oriented economic

system and advanced technology which is capable of supporting the United States

involvement globally. Asia-Pacific is estimated to generate production about 1/4

of the global exports, and to dominate 2/3 of the world's foreign-exchange

reserves the total of $6 trillion, therefore, it has been immensely predicted - even

8

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38 in the future the world fall in such financial crisis, the average economic growth

in Asia in the last decade could reach two digits.9 As expected, the United States

potency and the region massive development formed a good interdependency that

will make some benefit for the parties involved in the cooperation. In a region

experiencing development, a security agreement is very vital for the Asia-Pacific

to avoid unnecessary fluctuation that may emerge between countries that also

undergoing similar building process. While maintaining security in Asia-Pacific is

part of the United States' strategy to promote the stability and balance of power, as

well as to prevent the region being dominated by any hegemony.10 The strategy

objectives also include the freedom of navigation and protection of sea lanes,

trade and investment interests, support of treaty allies and friends, promotion of

democracy, rule of law, human rights, and religious freedom.11

Asia-Pacific has for decades attracted international attention on the

explosion of humanitarian issues and human rights violations, yet this is not the

reason why this region was stricken by the turmoil on stability. Apart from any

humanitarian issues, the competition and growing rivalry among states, followed

by the history of internal conflict is the factor of the overheating political situation

in the region. The excessive military build-up, maritime disputes, economic

rivalry, environmental problems and inequality within the region is part of the

attempts to precede others and in fact, it all poses threat to the dynamism and

economic vitality of the region.12Under the circumstances, the United States has

9

Willy F. Sumakul, 'China Dan Amerika Serikat Di Asia Pasifik: Not A Zero Sum Game? (Bagian 2)' (2012) 5 Quarterdeck, pp. 10-13.

10

Bruce Vaughn and Wayne M. Morrison, 'China-Southeast Asia Relations: Trends, Issues, and Implications for The United States' (CRS 2006)

<http://fpc.state.gov/documents/organization/65772.pdf> accessed 15 November 2016, p. 4.

11 ibid. 12

(39)

39 become an integral part of the region. The country has been the superlative in

Pacific region since World War II and as a state of world hegemony at the time,

and has the commitment to regional peace and security. For example, since the

fall of Singapore and Japan after the World War II Australia has been a loyal

partner to the United States and has long been dependent on the states’ military primacy in the Western Pacific to guarantee its security,13the presence of United

States’ bases in Australia is now considered as part of the United States ‘pivot’ in

Asia, which earlier was interrupted by pivots back to Europe and the Persian

Gulf.14 The American thinkers also notice the importance of the United States

naval in counterbalancing the ongoing disputes of the South China Sea and East

China Sea.15 The manifestation of United States intention to fulfil and support the

sustained progress of its long commitment to the region lies at the heart of the

United states’ policy, by calling up the whole elements of diplomatic, military,

economic cooperation, including the national values, in a way that it will be the

great strategies to maintain the United States’ position to shape and deter. One

may argue, such commitment facilitates the states to embed their political strategy

in the region, as well as having a great influence in it, hence, if conflict erupted,

the United States will ultimately have the position and power to involve in the

conflict.

Therefore, the positive commitment of the United States in Asia-Pacific is

mostly manifested in the form of bilateral alliances in certain sectors. Considering

the potential and position of Japan in the regional order, the United States-Japan

13

Michael G. Roskin, 'Balancing Rivalry and Perspectives in The Asia Pacific | East Asia Forum' (East Asia Forum, 2015), available at <http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2015/02/21/balancing-rivalry-and-perspectives-in-the-asia-pacific/> accessed 1 December 2016.

14 ibid. 15

(40)

40 relationship could be one of the vital forms of alliances in the region, favourable

to the United States in retaining its position as the only balance of power and

security guarantor in the Asia-Pacific's regional affairs. The United States-Japan

relationship is also a cornerstone for the United States' security interest,

manifested in the Security Treaty between both states in 1951, which in 2015 was

strengthened in the form of the revised United States-Japan Defence Guidelines

that provide for new and expanded forms of security-oriented cooperation.16 Other

forms of cooperation with Japan also penetrated sectors of the economy, science,

and technology. Through the auspices of the United States-Japan Science and

Technology Agreement, both countries have been engaged in such collaboration

for over 25 years, focusing on the research area including new energy

technologies, critical materials, and supercomputing.17 In economic sector, the

United States and Japan corporate in number if international economic agenda,

one of them manifested in the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP);

In October 2015, the United States, Japan, and 11 other Asia-Pacific countries concluded the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). The results of parallel discussions between the United States and Japan focused on trade in automobiles and auto parts, insurance, market access for agricultural goods, and other issues were integrated into the TPP agreement.18

The TPP was joined gradually by 12 of the Pacific rim’s countries, such as Japan,

Malaysia, Vietnam, Singapore, Brunei, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Mexico,

Chile, Peru, lead by the United States and not including China.19 It is a

comprehensive cooperation and a high-standard regional trade agreement that

allow the participating members states to improve and promote economic growth;

16

Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs, 'U.S. Relations with Japan' (U.S. Department of State, 2016), available at <http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/4142.htm> accessed 1 December 2016.

17 ibid. 18

ibid. 19

Gambar

Figure 3.1 The Map of Asia-Pacific Region
Figure 3.2 The PLARF Missile Range

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