Tabel Hasil regresi dengan logaritma
Ket. ***) significance at 99% level. Dependent Variable: LN_Y
Method: Least Squares Date: 10/15/12 Time: 10:26 Sample (adjusted): 1 100 Included observations: 100
Coefficie
nt Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
LN_X1
-0.031967 0.092192 -0.346747 0.7296
LN_X2 0.471410 0.077730 6.064727 0.0000 *** LN_X3 0.169368 0.060402 2.804041 0.0061 *** LN_X4
-0.005872 0.051851 -0.113252 0.9101 C
-6.450896 0.864768 -7.459683 0.0000 R-squared 0.583004 Mean dependent var 0.386214 Adjusted R-squared 0.565068 S.D. dependent var 0.423631 S.E. of regression 0.279382 Akaike info criterion 0.337199 Sum squared resid 7.259051 Schwarz criterion 0.469086 Log likelihood
-11.52277 Hannan-Quinn criter. 0.390545 F-statistic 32.50587 Durbin-Watson stat 2.365910 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Tabel Serial correlation LM test
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic 4.535260 Prob. F(2,91) 0.0133 Obs*R-squared 8.882845 Prob. Chi-Square(2) 0.0118
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID Method: Least Squares Date: 10/24/12 Time: 12:36 Sample: 1 100
Included observations: 100
Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero. Coefficie
nt Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. LN_X1 0.001567 0.088896 0.017628 0.9860 LN_X2 0.031119 0.075941 0.409779 0.6829 LN_X3
-0.001469 0.058233 -0.025230 0.9799 LN_X4
-0.010600 0.050278 -0.210820 0.8335 C
-0.371272 0.843397 -0.440210 0.6608 RESID(-1)
-0.236985 0.102359 -2.315219 0.0228 RESID(-2)
-0.244280 0.104446 -2.338821 0.0215 R-squared 0.090641 Mean dependent var 1.21E-15 Adjusted R-squared 0.030684 S.D. dependent var 0.273561 S.E. of regression 0.269331 Akaike info criterion 0.283000 Sum squared resid 6.601081 Schwarz criterion 0.467641 Log likelihood
-6.867009 Hannan-Quinn criter. 0.357683 F-statistic 1.511753 Durbin-Watson stat 2.022974 Prob(F-statistic) 0.183156
Tabel Heteroskedasticity test
Heteroskedasticity Test: Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey
F-statistic 2.038230 Prob. F(4,93) 0.0954 Obs*R-squared 7.898794 Prob. Chi-Square(4) 0.0954 Scaled explained SS 14.66632 Prob. Chi-Square(4) 0.0054
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2 Method: Least Squares
Date: 10/24/12 Time: 12:38 Sample: 1 100
Included observations: 100 Coefficie
nt Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 0.046946 0.458265 0.102442 0.9186 LN_X1 0.132315 0.048855 2.708315 0.0080 LN_X2
-0.079769 0.041191 -1.936563 0.0558 LN_X3
-0.013041 0.032009 -0.407432 0.6846 LN_X4
-0.030230 0.027478 -1.100164 0.2741 R-squared 0.080600 Mean dependent var 0.074072 Adjusted R-squared 0.041056 S.D. dependent var 0.151189 S.E. of regression 0.148053 Akaike info criterion
-0.932826 Sum squared resid 2.038519 Schwarz criterion
-0.800940 Log likelihood 50.70848 Hannan-Quinn criter.
-0.879481 F-statistic 2.038230 Durbin-Watson stat 1.890010 Prob(F-statistic) 0.095381
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
-0.75 -0.50 -0.25 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00
Series: Residuals
Sample 1 100
Observations 100
Mean
1.21e-15
Median
0.022875
Maximum
1.163713
Minimum
-0.720843
Std. Dev.
0.273561
Skewness 0.414078
Kurtosis
5.123601
Jarque-Bera 21.21506
Probability
0.000025
Gambar Histogram Normality Test
-0.8
-0.4
0.0
0.4
0.8
1.2
-0.4
0.0
0.4
0.8
1.2
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Residual
Actual
Fitted
Gambar Actual Fitted Residual
No
Pengeluaran Wisatawan
X1
Pendapatan Wisatawan
X2
Data Primer Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
X3
Biaya Perjalanan Wisatawan
X4
Intensitas Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Y
1 500,000 5,000,000 2 500,000 2
2 300,000 4,000,000 3 100,000 1
3 150,000 10,000,000 2 70,000 3
4 300,000 4,000,000 3 150,000 2
5 400,000 6,000,000 1 200,000 2
6 300,000 5,000,000 4 300,000 2
7 250.000 4,500,000 4 150,000 1
8 300,000 8,000,000 2 150,000 2
9 400,000 9,000,000 3 200,000 3
10 200,000 5,000,000 3 300,000 2
11 100,000 4,000,000 2 75,000 1
12 150,000 3,000,000 2 100,000 1
13 100,000 2,000,000 1 50,000 1
14 250.000 7,000,000 4 150,000 3
15 200,000 5,000,000 3 100,0000 2
No
Pengeluaran Wisatawan
X1
Pendapatan Wisatawan
X2
Data Primer Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
X3
Biaya Perjalanan Wisatawan
X4
Intensitas Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Y
18 200,000 2,000,000 1 50,000 3
19 100,000 4,000,000 1 35,000 1
20 200,000 6,000,000 3 300,000 2
21 75,000 1,000,000 2 35,000 1
22 100,000 5,000,000 3 100,000 2
23 500,000 10,000,000 4 100,000 3
24 100,000 4,000,000 1 30,000 1
25 150,000 2,000,000 1 50,000 1
26 300,000 9,000,000 2 150,000 2
27 200,000 8,000,000 3 100,000 2
28 200,000 7,000,000 3 100,000 2
29 100,000 5,000,000 1 35,000 2
30 100,000 4,000,000 1 30,000 1
31 200,000 3,000,000 1 50,000 1
32 200,000 5,000,000 2 100,000 2
No
Data Primer Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
X3
Biaya Perjalanan Wisatawan
X4
Intensitas Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Y
No
Pengeluaran Wisatawan
X1
Pendapatan Wisatawan
X2
Data Primer Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
X3
Biaya Perjalanan Wisatawan
X4
Intensitas Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Y
54 200,000 5,000,000 1 150,000 2
55 250.000 10,000,000 3 100,000 3
56 200,000 4,500,000 4 50,000 1
57 150,000 4,000,000 2 50,000 1
58 100,000 2,000,000 3 50,000 1
59 150,000 3,300,000 1 50,000 1
60 500,000 12,000,000 4 1,200,000 3
61 600,000 15,000,000 5 1,200,000 3
62 500,000 12,000,000 1 300,000 3
63 700,000 12,000,000 1 1,200,000 1
64 200,000 5,000,000 1 75,000 2
65 300,000 6,000,000 5 300,000 2
66 100,000 3,000,000 4 50,000 2
67 250.000 5,000,000 1 250,000 2
68 200,000 4,000,000 2 300,000 1
No
Data Primer Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
X3
Biaya Perjalanan Wisatawan
X4
Intensitas Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Y
No
Pengeluaran Wisatawan
X1
Pendapatan Wisatawan
X2
Data Primer Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
X3
Biaya Perjalanan Wisatawan
X4
Intensitas Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Y
90 100,000 2,000,000 1 50,000 1
91 150,000 10,000,000 3 75,000 2
92 100,000 2,500,000 1 100,000 1
93 200,000 7,000,000 4 150,000 2
94 250.000 4,000,000 1 150,000 1
95 100,000 6,000,000 3 100,000 2
96 200,000 4,000,000 1 75,000 1
97 150,000 5,000,000 2 100,000 2
98 100,000 3,000,000 1 50,000 1
99 100,000 4,000,000 1 100,000 1
100 100,000 5,000,000 2 50,000 2
