CHARTING THE WAY FORWARD IN ACCELERATING A GREEN ECONOMY TRANSITION THROUGH GREENING THE RPJM

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Presented by: Edib Muslim Head of Division – Public Communications and Promotion THE COMMITTEE FOR ACCELLERATION AND

EXPANSION OF INDONESIA ECONOMIC

THE COMMITTEE FOR ACCELLERATION AND EXPANSION

OF INDONESIA ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT – KP3EI

CHARTING THE WAY FORWARD IN ACCELERATING

A GREEN ECONOMY TRANSITION THROUGH GREENING THE RPJM

THE COORDINATING MINISTRY FOR ECONOMIC AFFAIRS THE REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA

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REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA AND THE WORLD

N o rt -so u th 1900 K M

GMT + 7

GMT + 8

GMT + 9

east-west 5200 KM

The world’s largest archipelagic state and is located in the heart of South East Asia. Indonesia has always regarded the seas within its archipelago as internal waters. In 1957, Indonesia announced the policy of „Wawasan Nusantara‟ (Unity/Archipelagic Outlook) to provide a symbol of unity. This has remained official government policy ever since.

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CLIMATE CHANGE: INDONESIA POSITIONING

IPCC Skenario (1999) predicted that temperature will increase by 1.30_{C to 4.6}0_{C as per 2100 with trend 0.1}0_C–0.40_{C per year.}

Susandi (2006) projected an increase of 3,50_{C (2100), whilst}

global temperature will reach max 6,20_{C (2100) .}

Sea level rise will increase 70-100 cm by 2100.

Climate Change, Global Demographic Change construct future Indonesia economic leverage vis a vis global market.

HUNTING FOR WATER.

Central Asia, part of South

Asia, Middle East, Saharan Africa and part of East

Asia Mainland (

FAO-2008).

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SOUTH ASIA, MIDDLE EAST, AFRIKA AND EUROPE 2,7 BILLION PEOPLE

EAST ASIA CONSUMERS 1,8 BILLION PEOPLE

Climate Change, Global

Demographic Change construct

future Indonesia economic leverage

vis a vis global market

blessed with almost all of the prerequisites for transformation into a great

economic power, .. assets and access empower Indonesia to establish itself to

its rightful place among the leading economies.

CLIMATE CHANGE: INDONESIA POSITIONING

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Surplus Terutama di wilayah SUMUT Kalimantan Surplus Jawa Defisit Sulawesi Surplus Maluku Surplus Papua Surplus

WATER DAN CARRYING CAPACITY

Ketersediaan air tahunan Indonesia menurut FAO diperkirakan sebesar 2.800 km3.[1]_.

Pengembangan Dinamika Transaksi

dan Infrastruktur, perlu mencermati

daya dukung ekologi”

No Pulau Ketersedia an (milliar m3 Kebutuhan (milliar m3) 2003 Neraca Proyeksi 2020 Neraca

1 Sumatera 96,20 11,60 Surplus 13,3 Surplus 2 Jawa-Bali 25,30 38,40 Defisit 44,1 Defisit 3 Kalimantan 167,00 2,90 Surplus 3,5 Surplus 4 Nusa

Tenggara

4,20 4,30 Defisit 4,7 Defisit 5 Sulawesi 14,40 9,00 Surplus 9,7 Surplus 6 Maluku 12,40 0,10 Surplus 0,1 Surplus 7 Papua 163,60 0,10 Surplus 0,2 Surplus

Indonesia 483,10 66,40 Surplus 75,6 Surplus

Water Balance in the six Economic Corridors – Dry Season

Sumber: Sutardi, 2003, Ditjen Sumberdaya Air. Departemen Kimpraswil Jakarta 2003. Buku : Status Lingkungan Hidup Indonesia Tahun 2003.

[1]_{FAO AQUASTAT 2003.}

Nusa Tenggara Defisit

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INDONESIA 2025

Start from the end

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DEFINITION OF INDONESIA SIX ECONOMIC CORRIDORS

8 8

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THE STRATEGY :

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Presiden RI, MAY 2011 ...

“Smart, Focus, Measureable and Sustainable”



... HIGH ECONOMY GROWTH, INCLUSIVE

AND SUSTAINABLE IN THE

ARCHIPELAGO



... THROUGH “BREAKTHROUGH” AND

“BUSINESS AS NOT USUAL” WAYS...



MAJOR PLAYER OF WORLD ECONOMY

GDRP IN THE CORRIDORS

GINI RATIO AND HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEXES

RESOURCES ACCOUNTING

ASSET DAN AKSES MANAJEMEN SERTA

INDONESIA POSITION IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY

INDICATORS OF P3EI

BENEFICIAL GOALS OF P3EI

10

BENEFICIAL INDICATORS TO QUALITY OF

GROWTH

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MP3EI aims to accelerate Indonesia’s economic transformation

through cross-entity synergy and collaboration

2010

GDP ~ US$ 700 B GDP/capita: US$ 3,005 17th_{largest economy}

2014

GDP: US$ ~ 1,2 T GDP/capita: US$ ~ 4.800 14th _{largest economy}

2025

GDP: US$ 3,8 – 4,5T GDP/capita: 13.000 –16.100 US$ 12th _{largest economy}

1

Developing economic potential through _{economic corridors}

2

Strengthening national connectivity

In creating

economic transformation

for

Indonesia, MP3EI policy rests on three pillars…

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“Not Business

As Usual”

RESOURCES ACCOUNTING

beneficial transformative

STRENGTHENING HUMAN RESOURCES CAPABILITY AND SCI - TECH STRENGTHENING CONNECTIVITY ECONOMIC POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT THROUGH ECONOMIC CORRIDORS

Smart, Focus, Measureble, Innovative AND

Transformative

INFRASRUCTURE INVESTMENT

WEHAB

WATER, ENERGY, HEALTH, FOOD SECURITY AND

BIODIVERSITY

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“MP3EI DOCTRINE”

• Wawasan Nusantara >> Membangun dan

memperkuat kapasitas dan kapabilitas maritim

nasional yang berkeunggulan global

• Outer Java Exponential >> Mendorong

Peningkatan Pertumbuhan Eksponensial di luar

KE Jawa

• Unloading Java >> Mendorong pertumbuhan

Jawa dengan komponen berekuitas tinggi atas

daya dukung ekologinya

• Geo-Economy dan Geo Politics >> Cut Off

THINK,

Infrastructure

for

Quality

Growth

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57,5

%

23,8% 9,3%

4,8%

2,5%

2,1%

KE Sumatera KE Kalimantan KE Jawa KE Bali-NT KE Sulawesi KE Papua-Maluku

Peran Masing-Masing KE dalam

Pembentukan PDB Nasional (BPS, Des 2012) ~ US$ 910 B

2025: PDB ~ US$ 4-4,5 T (~ 5 X PDB 2012)

2,1%  3,5%

US$ 19  US$ 149

Bill

4,8%  6 %

US$ 44  US$ 225

Bill

7,8

X

5,8

X

6,5 X 5,3 X 2,5 %  3,3 %

US$ 23  US$ 143 Bill

23,8%  27%.

US$ 217  US$ 1148 Bill

Penurunan dominasi a/d 49% berarti Jawa akan memiliki PRDB ~ US 2080 T ( konflik lahan ++, daya dukung ? ) 5,5 X 9,3%  11% US$ 85  US$ 468 Bill 4,0 X

₁₄

UNLOADING JAVA TRANSFORMATION OF THE

OUTER ISLANDS EQUITY

Scenario

2025

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Developing economic potential

through economic corridors

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STRATEGIC FOCUS AREAS TO BOOST REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT

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22 main economic activities in 8 main programs of

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ACCESS TO 5 LARGE MARINE ECOSYSTEM (0UT OF 64 LMES)

LME Bay of Bengal– 2.7 JT TON

LME North Australia– 800 RB TON LME Sulu-Celebes Sea – 1 JT TON

LME Indonesia Sea – 2.2 JT TON

LME South China Sea – 6 JT TON

PENGARUH CLIMATE CHANGE YANG MODERATE TERHADAP PERAIRAN DI KEPULAUAN INDONESIA DAN SEKITARNYA,

INDUSTRI PERIKANAN TANGKAP NASIONAL MAMPU MENJADI “BOOSTER” ATAS PDB INDONESIA

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Strengthening national connectivity

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CILAMAYA TL. LEMBAR MAKASAR ALKI-I ALKI-II ALKI-III SLOC MALACA

INDONESIA’S ACCESS TO GLOBAL SEA LANES OF

COMMUNICATION

EMPOWER NATIONAL MARITIM CAPABILITY

FORWARD GATES AND COASTAL SHIPPING STRATEGIES

Global Hub Port Front Line West

KUALA TANJUNG Global Hub Port Front Line East

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RESOURCES ACCOUNTING KORIDOR EKONOMI

KALIMANTAN

Oil & Gas based Industry clusters

Palm oil nodes Coal mining nodes Proposed location for SEZ Industrial area/cluster Domestic ship route network Forestry node

Oil and Gas node

Fishery node Future Coal Gasification clusters Aluminum industry cluster Steel industry Cluster 20 Tema:

"Pusat Produksi dan

Pengolahan Hasil Tambang & Lumbung Energi Nasional"

KAYAN ENERGY INVESTME

NT REGION

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PALU –PARIGI PASS - 35,7 KILOMETRES

SMART DEVELOPMENT: COMPETITIVE AND INTEGRATED NATIONAL

LOGISTIC

A 35,7 km length of road in Central Sulawesi, that will logistically

connect ALKI 2 (Strait of Makassar) and ALKI 3 (The Gulf of Tomini) in less than 60 minutes.

Parigi

Kota Palu

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Oil & Gas, Gold mining clusters Large-scale Food crops and Energy Estate, SEZ Fisheries Cluster and Marine Tourism spoke Hydropower potentials ~ 10 – 15 GW Raja Ampat Diving Spot Future Nickel indust.complex 22

LME 38 PELUANG < 1 JUTA TON MSY

Pengembangan infrastruktur

Jalan dari Teluk Cendrawash

ke Teluk Enai di KE Ekonomi

Papua diharapkan mampu

menerobos kebuntuan

logistik sosial dan ekonomi.

Mengintegrasi sistem

logistik Laut, Udara dan

Darat serta Energi Listrik

dari Mamberamo sebagai

modalitas pembangunan KE

Papua-Maluku.

TEROBOSAN BERBASIS MARITIM

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Sustainable energy intensive industry

Connected to North through Pacific Ocean

(Southeast Asia, East Asia)

Nabire

Islands protect Nabire Port against Tsunamis.

Hydro Electric Capacity > 10000MW

1 .

Jalan shortcut dari Pelabuhan Nabire di Papua ke Selatan yang berakhir di pelabuhan baru di tepi lautan Arafura di Papua Barat

Bertujuan untuk meningkatkan konektivitas dan fleksibilitas penerimaan bahan material dan pengiriman hasil produksi.

2.

PLTA Membramo dan jalur transmisi ke daerah industri

Perusakan hutan (dari pembangunan jalan, pabrik, dll) diminimalisir dengan memusatkan pembangunan industri di satu tempat yang berlokasi strategis dan terlindung dari ancaman Tsunami.

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Unifying time zone:

Critical mass of 240 million market place

WIB – GMT+7

WEST INDONESIA TIME ZONE

WITA – GMT+8

MIDDLE INDONESIA TIME ZONE

WIT – GMT+9

EAST INDONESIA

TIME ZONE

“UNIFIED TIME

ZONE”

GMT+8

24

GMT+8

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Strengthening national human

resources capability and science &

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INDONESIA

TINGGI MENENGAH DASAR

100%

175%

20%

45%

As target for national human resources structure

35%

26 HUMAN RESOURCES AND ECONOMY 2025

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KAWASAN

PERHATIAN

INVESTASI

Pendidikan

Penghasil

Angkatan

Kerja

Kebutuhan (MP3EI):

22 Kegiatan Ekonomi +

Konektivitas

Tingkat Pendidikan Akreditasi Pendidikan Populasi Lulusan Pendidikan Standar Kualitas Lulusan Pendidikan Sebaran Lokasi Pendidikan

Human Resources Mapping in MP3EI

Pendidikan & Kompetensi Sebaran Lokasi Industri Perkembangan Pertumbuhan Jumlah SDM Sesuai Teknologi

Sertifikasi Keahlian & Ketrampilan +Akademi Komunitas + Perguruan Tinggi & Politeknik