Analisis Pengaruh Variabel Ekonomi Makro Terhadap Permintaan Uang Kartal Di Indonesia

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(2)

UNIVERSITAS SUMATERA UTARA

FAKULTAS EKONOMf

MEDAN

PENANGGUNG JA WAB SKRIPSI

NAMA

: H.ENRI GONTAR SINAGA

NIM

: 020501027

DEPARTEMEN

: EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN

.JUDUL SKRIPSI

: ANALISIS PENGARUH VARIABEL EKONOMI

MAKRO

TERHADAP

PERMINTAAN

UANG

KARTAL

DI

INDONESIA

Tanggal:

'L

ｾｾ

ｃ

ｦ

＼

･

PEMBIMBING SKRIPSI

Drs. Iskandar Syarif,

MA

NIP. 131288516

(3)

UNIVERSITAS SUMATERA UTARA

FAKULTAS EKONOMI

MEDAN

Hari

Tanggal

Nama

NIM

DcpurlCI11CII

Judul Skripsi

BERIT

A ACARA UJIAN

: Senin

: 6 Maret 2006

: Henri Gontar Sinaga

: 020501027

: Lkonomi

I'cmbungunun

: Analisis

Pengaruh Variabel

Ekonomi

Makro

Terhadap Permintaan Uang

Kartal

Di Indonesia.

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KETlJl\ DEI't\RTEMEN

Lic.rer.reg. Sirojuzilam. SE

NIP. 131762429

pENGUJI I

Drs. Ruiiman. MA

NIP. 131127371

ii

PEMBIM13ING SKRIPSI

Drs. Iskandar Svarif.

MA

NIP. 131288516

pE GUll

1

ｾ ~

Drs. Jonathan Sinuhaj i

NIP. 130702279

(4)

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I

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ABSTRACT

The condition

of economy in one nation can be change in every time.

Macro economy can describe all things about inflation, exchange rate, product

domestic bruto (output), unemployment, export, and international trade. Some

variables of economy macro have relationship to each other or can be influenced

by cartal money. The variable that have relationship to cartal money are output

and exchange

rate,

Indonesia is one of nation that use democratic policy and has mix

economy system. Before monetary crisis in 1997, economy macro had increased

every year, because investors always do expantion, so that productivity of

economy continued and incerased. However, when monetary crisis, Indonesia

faces dificult condition in economy, productivity is low and value of economy

macro variables decreases.

In this thesis we can see that cartal money is very important in process of

economy.

Cartal money used in trasaction every day, because it is used by every

people (individual), consumer, and producers. Demand and supply of money in

market money make the value of money changed and influenced to some aspecs

ofeconomy.

Coeficient determination used to describe how much

variation the

independent

variables can influence the dependet variable. In this thesis, based

011

estimation with E-vicws 4.1. computer program R-squarc 0,957. Product domestic

bruto,

Bank Indonesia rate, and exchange rate make variation 95,7 % to demand

of cartaI money and 4,3% described by other variables but not including in this

model or it is disturbance error.

Product domestic bruto and exchange rate have positively influence to

demand for cartal money, theorically, same with hyphothesis, ceteris paribus and

Bank Indonesia rate have negatively influence to demand for

cartal

money, ceteris

paribus.

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