Teknikal Saham Harian ANALISA DAN REKOMENDASI

(1)

Technical Analyst

Teknikal Saham

Harian

ANALISA DAN REKOMENDASI

Senin, 18 April 2016

Pola Candle Hanging Man & Closed < 20-D MA Dukung Kerawanan Profit Taking.

IHSG masuk area 4.500 - 5.000, dukung trend jangka pendek IHSG bulllish, Stochastic Bearish, Fase

Distri-busi, penutupan di bawah 5D MA, candle Hanging Man, trend Volume menurun, menunjukkan peluang

kenaikan terbatas dalam konsolidasi selama di bawah 4.908. Namun selama di atas 4.757 & closed > 4.770

di minggu ini, seharusnya masih dukung target kenaikan short term ke 4.908/4.940. Resist:

4.841/4.863/4.886/4.908. Support: 4.803/4.771/4.757/4.723. Perkiraan Range: 4.790 - 4.855.

Support 2

Support 1

Price

Resist 1

Resist 2

IHSG

4.757/4.723

4.803/4.771

4,823

4.841/4.863/

4.886/4.908

(2)

Technical Analyst Team : Indah Lestari, Venia A. Meissalina

Tabel Teknikal Saham

* Rekomendasi sangat tergantung trend pergerakan harga dan pendekatan teknikal lainnya * Jika ada rekomendasi BUY, maka harga cenderung bergerak ke target dikisaran R1, R2 * Jika ada rekomendasi SELL, maka harga cenderung bergerak ke target dikisaran S1, S2

* Buy on Support = masih uptrend dengan resiko tinggi atau mendekati resist, namun jika resist berhasil ditembus bisa jadi uptrend baru

* Spec. BUY = Dalam down trend dengan resiko tinggi, namun jika berhasil rebound bisa jadi reversal

* Acc. BUY = Strategi perdagangan dengan melakukan cicil beli atau average BUY di harga open dikisaran S1, S2 * Trading Buy = Perdagangan Intraday untuk sesi 1 dan sesi 2

* Support & resistance ini ditentukan berdasarkan rumus pivot, bisa berbeda dengan perhitungan support dan resistance berdasarkan pola grafik

* Jika harga naik diatas 5-DAY MA, maka ada kemungkinan kenaikan berlanjut

* Jika harga bergerak dibawah 5-DAY MA, maka kecenderungan harga akan melemah dulu * Harga disekitar Resist (R1 atau R2) merupakan level untuk mengambil profit

* Stoploss adalah kisaran terjadinya perubahan arah jadi trend turun

* Blue Chip mengacu pada saham perusahaan yang memiliki kapitalisasi pasar cukup besar (total asset > Rp. 5 T), biasanya mem- berikan dividen secara reguler

* 2nd Liners adalah saham lapisan kedua yang memiliki total asset antara Rp. 1 T dan Rp. 5 T (kapitalisasi sedang) * 3rd Liners adalah saham lapisan terakhir yang memiliki total asset di bawah Rp. 1 T (kapitalisasi rendah) Ticker Trend Last

Price R2 R1

5-DAY

MA S1 S2 Commentary

BLUE CHIP

BBCA

_↔

BUY 13100 13600 13350 13045 12945 12780 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Netral ICBP

_↗

BUY 14500 15425 14900 14780 14200 13850 Stochastic Oversold; MACD Netral LPKR

_↗

BUY ON WEAKNESS 1045 1090 1070 1038 1025 995 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Netral TLKM

_↗

AKUMULASI BUY 3500 3730 3625 3413 3300 3180 Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi PGAS

_↔

BUY ON WEAKNESS 2660 2865 2740 2689 2615 2570 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Netral

2nd_{& 3}rd_LINERS

AISA

_↗

AKUMULASI BUY 1195 1290 1240 1176 1170 1130 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Netral CPIN

_↗

BUY ON WEAKNESS 3715 3900 3810 3706 3680 3590 Stochastic Overbought; MACD Akumulasi INDY

_↗

BUY ON WEAKNESS 314 339 322 300 296 289 Stochastic Netral; MACD Akumulasi

PPRO

_↗

BUY ON WEAKNESS 304 336 318 269 293 278 Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi

TAXI

_↔

BUY 176 191 182 173 161 148 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Netral

(3)

Analisa Teknikal Saham

BBNI: TREND NETRAL & FASE DISTRIBUSI, CANDLE

BEARISH OPENING MARUBOZU, STOCHASTIC

OVER-SOLD.

Rekomendasi: BUY 4.800-4.840 target 4.920/5.100 stop

loss di bawah 4.730.

KLBF: TREND BULLISH & FASE DISTRIBUSI; CANDLE

BEARISH 3 INSIDE DOWN, STOCHASTIC BULLISH.

Rekomendasi: BUY 1.390-1.400 target 1.450/1.470 stop

loss di bawah 1.350.

Support 2

Support 1

Price

Resist 1

Resist 2

BBNI

4.730/4.650

4.820/4.770

4,840

4.880/4.920

4.970/5.100

Support 2

Support 1

Price

Resist 1

Resist 2

KLBF

1.320/1.270

1.390/1.350

1,420

1.440/1.470

1.510/1.550

Support 2

Support 1

Price

Resist 1

Resist 2

UNTR

15.350/14.900 16.000/15.725

16,250

16.450/16.750 17.300/17.550

Support 2

Support 1

Price

Resist 1

Resist 2

ADRO

610/570

680/650

700 720/745

780/810

(4)

Analisa Teknikal Saham

ACES: TREND NETRAL & FASE DISTRIBUSI, CANDLE DARK

CLOUD COVER; STOCHASTIC NETRAL.

Rekomendasi: BUY 800-820 target 860/890 stop loss di

bawah 770.

BSDE: TREND BULLISH & FASE DISTRIBUSI; STOCHASTIC

OVERSOLD, CANDLE HANGING MAN.

Rekomendasi: BUY 1.790-1.810 target 1.860 stop loss di

bawah 1.740.

Support 2

Support 1

Price

Resist 1

Resist 2

BSDE

1.740/1.700.

1.810/1.770

1,830

1.865/1.890

1.940/2.000

Support 2

Support 1

Price

Resist 1

Resist 2

ACES

770/735

820/800

840 860/890

940/980

(5)

Improving : Sektor yang mulai mengalami kenaikan

Leading : Sektor yang telah mengalami kenaikan

dan tertinggi dari sektor lainnya

Lagging :

Sektor yang belum meningkat namun

berpeluang

meningkat

Weakening :

Sektor terlemah di IHSG

Grafik Rotasi Sektor di IHSG

(6)

EQUITY TEAM

CM : +62 21 25543946 Fax No : +62 21 57935831

Sukanto ext. 3997 sukanto@bnisecurities.co.id Equity Division Head Jufrani Amsal ext. 3957 amsal@bnisecurities.co.id Channel Distribution Division Head Entis Sutisman ext. 3945 entis@bnisecurities.co.id Head of Local Institution Department Chandrawati ext. 3941 chandrawati@bnisecurities.co.id Head of HO Retail Department

RESEARCH TEAM

Research Division : +62 21 25543946 Fax No : +62 21 57935831

E-mail : research@bnisecurities.co.id

Norico Gaman ext. 3934 norico@bnisecurities.co.id Head of Research Investment Strategy Andri Zakarias ext. 2054 andri.zakarias@bnisecurities.co.id Head of Technical Market Strategy,

Research Department Commodities, Stocks Currency, Bond Maxi Liesyaputra ext. 3968 maxi@bnisecurities.co.id Head of Equity Property, Cement,

Research Department Construction, Infrastructure Ariawan ext. 2098 ariawan@bnisecurities.co.id Head of Fixed Income Fixed Income Market,

Research Department Corporate Bond,

Government Bond Heru Irvansyah ext. 2030 heru@bnisecurities.co.id Economist Macroeconomic Yasmin Soulisa ext. 3987 yasmin@bnisecurities.co.id Equity Analyst Coal & Metal

Mining, Plantation, Oil & Gas, Media & Advertising Ankga Adiwirasta ext. 3986 ankga.adiwirasta@bnisecurities.co.id Equity Analyst Consumer Goods,

Pharmaceutical, Health Care, Manufacture Richard Jerry ext. 2032 richard@bnisecurities.co.id Equity Analyst Banking, Tower Infra.,

Telecommunication Dessy Lapagu ext. 2051 dessy@bnisecurities.co.id Research Analyst Poultry, Corps, Fishing,

Retail

Venia Allani ext. 2050 venia.allani@bnisecurities.co.id Research Assistant Data Administrator Thennesia Debora ext. 2123 thennesia@bnisecurities.co.id Research Assistant Transportation,

Automotive Indah Lestari ext. 2073 indah.lestari@bnisecurities.co.id Research Assistant Data Administrator

(7)

PT BNI SECURITIES

Sudirman Plaza, Indofood Tower 16th Floor, Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 76-78 Jakarta 12910, Indonesia

Phone: (62-21) 25543946 (Hunting) Fax: (62-21) 57935831 e-mail: bnisec@bnisecurities.co.id (General)

Website: http://www.bnisecurities.co.id

JAKARTA - Mangga Dua Pertokoan Mangga Dua Blok E4 No. 7

Jl. Mangga Dua Raya, Jakarta Utara Phone: (62-21) 6123804-5,62203890

Fax: (62-21) 6123806 e-mail: manggadua@bnisecurities.co.id

JAKARTA - Puri Indah Gedung Bank BNI Ruko Grand Puri Niaga

Puri Kencana Blok K 6 no.2J 2K Puri Kembangan, Jakarta Barat Phone: (62-21) 58357464

Fax: (62-21) 58357465 e-mail: bnispuri@bnisecurities.co.id

JAKARTA - Central Park Central Park, APL Tower Podomoro City

Jl. Letjen S. Parman Kav 28, Tanjung Duren Selatan, Petamburan Phone: (62-21) 29034215

Fax: (62-21) 29034216 email: centralpark@bnisecurities.co.id

JAKARTA – Wisma Bumiputera Wisma Bumiputera Lt. 6 Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 75 Jakarta 12910

Phone: (62-21) 2523349 Fax: (62-21) 2523350 e-mail: wisma46@bnisecurities.co.id BANDUNG Jl. Perintis Kemerdekaan 3 Bandung - 40117 Phone: (62-22) 4213375 Fax: (62-22) 4220604 e-mail: bnisbpk@bnisecurities.co.id YOGYAKARTA

Jl. Laksda Adisucipto 137, Yogyakarta - 55282 Phone: (62-274) 581001-584032

Fax: (62-274) 584023 e-mail: jogja@bnisecurities.co.id

SOLO

Jl. Honggo Wongso No. 24, Surakarta Phone: (62-271) 729667, 730525

Fax: (62-271) 729668 e-mail: solo@bnisecurities.co.id

SURABAYA

Jl. Gubernur Suryo No. 36, Surabaya Phone: (62-31) 5320912

MALANG Jl. Buring No. 58, Malang Phone: (62-341) 321214,321213,321430

Fax: (62-341) 356876 e-mail: malang@bnisecurities.co.id

DENPASAR

Komplek Pertokoan Diponegoro Megah Blok A5-6 Lantai 2 Jl. Diponegoro No. 100, Denpasar - Bali

Phone: (62-361) 264376, 2753389 Fax: (62-361) 229170 e-mail: denpasar@bnisecurities.co.id

MEDAN

Jl. Pemuda No. 12, Medan - 20151 Phone: (62-61) 4579616

Fax: (62-61) 4579656 e-mail: medan@bnisecurities.co.id

PALEMBANG

Jl. Jend. Sudirman 132, Palembang - 30126 Phone: (62-711) 361969

Fax: (62-711) 319663 e-mail: plb@bnisecurities.co.id

PEKANBARU Jl. Riau, No. 124, Lt. 2, Pekanbaru

Phone: (62-761) 46757, 839698 Fax: (62-761) 856279 e-mail: pekanbaru@bnisecurities.co.id

MANADO

BNI KLN Megamas, Lt. 3, Kawasan Mega Mas Blok I C1 Jl. Piere Tendean, No. 20, Manado

Phone: (62-431) 847256 Fax: (62-24) 847256 e-mail: manado@bnisecurities.co.id

ACEH

Kantor Cabang BNI Banda Aceh Lt.2 Jl. KH. Ahmad Dahlan No. 111, Banda Aceh

Phone: (62-651) 31109 Fax: (62-651) 31107

BANJARMASIN Gd. Bank BNI Antasari Lt. 2 Jl. Pangeran Antasari No. 44 RT 008, Banjarmasin

Phone: (62-511) 3253735 Fax: (62-651) 3253754 e-mail: banjarmasin@bnisecurities.co.id