Market View
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Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) ditutup melemah pada perdagangan kemarin, Selasa (3/3/2015). IHSG berada pada level 5.474,62 -3,21/-0,06%. Sentimen positif dari regional mengenai meningkatnya belanja konsumen di AS tidak sanggup menahan aksi profit taking. Tercatat sektor Property dan Mining menjadi kontributor utama penurunan indeks.♦
Bursa saham Amerika Serikat (AS) turun pasca NASDAQ naikdiatas 5.000. Turunnya bursa AS dipengaruhi oleh melemahnya saham-saham perusahaan teknologi dan kesehatan. Beberapa data ekonomi domestik AS yang akan dirilis minggu ini dapat memberikan petunjuk Federal Reserve untuk meningkatkan suku bunga acuan. Mayoritas investor juga menunggu rincian program pembelian surat hutang oleh Presiden ECB Mario Draghi pada hari kamis mendatang.
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Dari dalam negeri pelaku pasar masih mewaspadai pelamahan nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar. Kami perkirakan IHSG akan bergerak mixed dengan kecenderungan melemah, dalam kisaran support 5.452 dan resistance 5.501.Today’s Pick
Highlight
The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such informa-tion or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The informainforma-tion contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendainforma-tion made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
Sumber : Investor Daily, Kontan, Beritasatu, ChartNexus, Bloomberg.
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Harga Penutupan +/- % Leading Movers ASII 8,000 125 1.6% MPPA 4,440 135 3.1% BBCA 14,400 175 1.2% UNTR 22,225 600 2.8% ICBP 14,725 400 2.8% Lagging Movers BBNI 6,675 -175 -2.6% BBRI 12,875 -75 -0.6% BMRI 11,900 -100 -0.8% SMGR 14,825 -75 -0.5% LPPF 17,750 -750 -4.1% Most Active MPPA 4,440 135 3.14% TLKM 2,945 -5 -0.17% BBTN 1,115 50 4.69% ASRI 635 -25 -3.79% ADRO 1,015 -5 -0.49% Top Value ASII 8,000 125 1.59% BBCA 14,400 175 1.23% MPPA 4,440 135 3.14% BBNI 6,675 -175 -2.55% UNTR 22,225 600 2.77%Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan +/- % USD 12,962 12,958 0.03 SBI 1 mo 7,5% 7,50% (0.25) Deflasi MoM 0,36% 0,24% 0.12 Inflasi YoY 6,29% 6,96% (0.67)
Saham Dual Listing
% USD IDR TLKM 0.65 12,962 2,948 Indeks Dunia +/- % DJIA 18,203 (85.26) (0.47) Nasdaq 4,980 (28.20) (0.56) Nikkei 225 18,815 (11.72) (0.06) Hangseng 24,703 (184.66) (0.74) Perubahan Valuasi Perubahan Perubahan Perubahan Penutupan
AKTIVITAS BURSA
Selasa, 3 Maret 2015Market Volume : 6,731 Billion Share IHSG : 5,474.619 (-3,212)/-0,059 %
Market Value : 7,311.027 Billion Rupiah
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Ekonomi : BI berupaya memperdalam pasar valuta asing.√
PALM : Mengucurkan pinjaman Rp 200 miliar.√
ROTI : Rilis obligasi Rp 500 miliar.√
SMGR : Laba tumbuh 3,7% sepanjang 2014.√
PTPP : Kantongi kontrak baru Rp 27 triliun di 2015.: Pelopori penggunaan teknologi inner boring.
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WTONAksi Kode Harga Target Keterangan BUY ICBP 14,725 14,800 Uptrend. Candlelistick white candle. SOS INTP 24,100 24,325 Overbought. Stochastic diatas 80%. SOS AISA 2,245 2,200 Overbought. Stochastic diatas 80%, RSI diatas 70%. BUY MPPA 4,440 4,515 Uptrend. Stochastic golden cross. SOS LINK 6,075 5,225 Overbought. Stochastic diatas 80%. SELL PTPP 3,980 3,870 Downtrend. Stochastic dead cross. SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy
The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such informa-tion or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The informainforma-tion contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendainforma-tion made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment Economic News
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Bank Indonesia (BI) berupaya memperdalam pasar valuta asing (valas) domestik yang likuiditasnya masih rendah. Diantaranya dengan menerapkan kebijakan letter of credit (L/C) bagi perusahaan yang mengimpor/mengekspor komoditas sawit mentah (CPO), crude palm kernel oil (CPKO), kandungan asam lemak di atas 46%, mineral, batu bara serta minyak dan gas bumi. Dengan kebijakan tersebut setiap ekspor dan impor yang dilakukan perusahaan bisa tercatat dan dibukukan di Bank Indonesia. Hal itu akan mempu meningkatkan devisa hasil ekspor dalam rangka menambah supply valas domestik. Sebelumnya BI telah menerapkan kebijakan intervensi berupa swap valas dan term deposit valas. Swap valas memungkinkan perusahaan yang memiliki kelebihan dolar Amerika Serikat (AS) menukarkan dolar mereka ke rupiah untuk keperluan operasional domestik, kemudian tiga bulan berikutnya bisa kembali ditukar untuk keperluan pembayaran utang berdenominasi dolar AS. Sementara term deposit valas memandatkan perusahaan agar menyimpan dolarnya di BI selama periode tertentu.♦
PT Provident Agro Tbk (PALM) mengucurkan pinjaman Rp 200 miliar ke anak usahanya.PT Provident Agro Tbk (PALM) mengucurkan pinjaman Rp 200 miliar ke anak usahanya PT Sumatera Candi Kencana. PALM memberinya bersama dengan PT Nakau dan PT Transpacific Agro Industry. Pinjaman dana ke Sumatera Candi Kencana tanpa bunga dan akan jatuh tempo 20 Oktober 2015. Sumatera Candi Kencana merupakan perusahaan perkebunan yang beroperasi di Sumatera Selatan.
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PT Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI) rilis obligasi Rp 500 miliar.PT Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI) segera mengeluarkan surat utang. Produsen merek Sari Roti ini akan menerbitkan obligasi berkelanjutan I tahap II sebesar Rp 500 miliar. Ini merupakan rangkaian obligasi sebesar Rp 1 triliun yang telah dikeluarkan 2013 lalu. ROTI menjanjikan bunga 10% per tahun untuk obligasinya. Adapun, obligasi tersebut memiliki tenor 5 tahun. Penjamin obligasi emisi obligasi berkelanjutan I tahap II ROTI ini adalah PT BCA Sekuritas dengan porsi 82,4% dan PT Mandiri Sekuritas 17,6%. Kemudian, ROTI menunjuk PT Bank Mega Tbk (MEGA) sebagai wali amanat. Tahun 2015 EPS ROTI sebesar Rp. 2.4 per saham. Dengan asumsi rata-rata PER
ROTI sebesar 173.5 kali. Maka harga wajar ROTI tahun 2015 Rp. 4.164 per saham.
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Laba PT Semen Indonesia Tbk (SMGR) sepanjang 2014 tumbuh 3,7%.Laba PT Semen Indonesia Tbk (SMGR) tumbuh tipis. SMGR ini membukukan laba bersih Rp 5,65 triliun sepanjang 2014, tumbuh 3,72% dibanding laba tahun 2013 yang sebesar Rp 5,37 triliun. Kenaikan laba SMGR didukung oleh pendapatan tahun 2014 yang naik 10,16% menjadi Rp 26,99 triliun dari sebelumnya Rp 24,5 triliun. Hingga lima tahun ke depan SMGR akan terus melakukan ekspansi, baik di dalam maupun di luar negeri. Saat ini, SMGR tengah membangun pabrik di Indrarung, Sumatera Barat dan Rembang, Jawa Tengah. Tahun 2015 EPS SMGR sebesar Rp.
1.081 per saham. Dengan asumsi rata-rata PER SMGR sebesar 18.30 kali. Maka harga wajar SMGR tahun 2015 Rp. 19.782 per saham.
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PT PP Tbk (PTPP) Targetkan Kantongi Kontrak Baru Rp 27 triliun di 2015.PT PP Tbk (PTPP) menargetkan kontrak baru sebesar Rp 27 triliun pada 2015. Target itu 30 persen dari realisasi perolehan tahun 2014 sebesar Rp 20,24 triliun. Angka itu belum termasuk carry over tahun 2014 sebesar Rp 29 triliun. Ada sejumlah langkah yang dilakukan perseroan untuk meningkatkan laba perusahaan pada 2015. salah satunya perseroan melalui anak usahanya yaitu PT PP Properti akan meneruskan pembangunan proyek Grand Kamala di Kalimalang dan proyek Grand Sungkono Lagoon di Surabaya.
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PT Wijaya Karya Beton Tbk (WTON) pelopori penggunaan teknologi inner boring.PT Wijaya Karya Beton Tbk (WTON) menjadi pelopor penggunaan teknologi inner boring tiang pancang pembangunan gedung di Indonesia. Teknologi inner boring memiliki sejumlah keuntungan dibandingkan dengan teknologi-teknologi pemasangan fondasi gedung vertikal yang sudah ada sebelumnya. Keunggulannya antara lain tidak menghasilkan getaran karena melubangi tanah dengan cara dibor sambil dimasukkan tiang pancang dengan cara ditekan.
The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
Today’s Pick Chart
Stochastic diatas 80% dan RSI diatas 70%, didukung EMA-5 downtrend. Mengindikasikan saham di area jenuh beli dan rawan aksi profit taking. Rec : Sell On Strength (SOS). Support 2.200 dan Resistance 2.265.
Penutupan gagal breakout di level 24.125 didukung stochastic diatas 80%. Saham INTP bergerak di area overbought dan rawan profit taking. Rec : Sell On
Strength (SOS). Support 23.600 Resistance 24.125.
Stochastic golden cross, didukung tren penjualan menurun. Penutupan breakout resistance 1 di level 4.420, mempunyai potensi untuk menembus resistance berikutnya di level 4.475. Rec : Buy. Support 4.200 dan resistance 4.475.
Penutupan di area positif, trend penjualan mereda. Akan bergerak di area bullish jika mampu breakout di level 3.645. Rec : Speculatife Buy (SB). Stoploss dibawah 3.515.
AISA ICBP
MPPA
PTPP SCMA
INTP
Candelistick chart membentuk whote candle. MACD golden cross didukung trend volume meningkat. Rec : Buy. Support 14.125 dan resistance 14.700.
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Stochastic dead cross, EMA 5 downtrend. Candlelistck chart membentuk pola black candle, secara teoritis mengindikasikan penurunan lebih lanjut. Rec : Sell. Support 3.870 dan resistance 4.130.
The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such informa-tion or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The informainforma-tion contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendainforma-tion made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
Closing Target Stop
Price Loss I II I II 1 ASII 8,000 Buy 8,100 7,800 7,900 7,800 7,900 8,000 8,500 2 BBCA 14,400 SB 13,90014,425 14,10014,200 14,500 14,600 14,700 3 BBNI 6,675 Sell 6,675 6,775 6,500 6,000 7,000 7,000 7,500 4 BBRI 12,875 Sell 12,45011,900 12,60012,700 12,800 12,900 13,000 5 BMRI 11,900 Sell 11,80011,700 11,70011,800 11,900 12,000 13,000 6 GGRM 55,000 Sell 53,00052,000 54,00054,500 54,900 55,000 56,000 7 INDF 7,425 Buy 7,500 7,300 7,300 7,000 7,500 7,600 8,000 8 SMGR 14,825 Sell 14,77514,500 14,00014,700 14,800 14,500 15,000 9 TLKM 2,945 Sell 2,880 2,900 2,900 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 10 AALI 25,625 Buy 24,45026,000 25,00025,500 25,600 25,800 26,000 11 BWPT 362 Sell 345 350 400 350 450 550 650 12 LSIP 1,920 Buy 1,980 1,775 1,900 1,800 1,900 2,000 2,500 13 SIMP 740 Buy 780 680 700 600 800 850 900 14 SSMS 1,985 Buy 2,020 1,930 1,900 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 15 ADHI 3,360 Sell 3,255 3,120 3,300 3,200 3,400 3,500 3,600 16 PTPP 3,980 Sell 3,860 3,780 3,900 3,000 4,000 4,500 5,000 17 WIKA 3,595 Sell 3,345 3,315 3,500 3,600 3,700 3,700 3,800 18 WSKT 1,810 Buy 1,935 1,725 1,800 1,700 1,900 2,000 2,500 24 ASRI 635 Sell 630 585 600 500 700 800 900 25 BSDE 2,190 Sell 2,045 1,985 2,100 2,000 2,200 2,500 3,000 26 CTRA 1,455 SOS 1,450 1,400 1,500 1,000 1,600 1,700 1,800 27 KIJA 349 Sell 325 341 350 300 450 500 600 28 LPKR 1,170 Buy 1,200 1,065 1,100 1,000 1,200 1,300 1,400 29 ADRO 1,015 Buy 980 930 1,000 900 1,200 1,200 1,300 30 ANTM 1,000 Buy 1,030 990 900 800 1,000 1,100 1,200 31 INCO 3,425 Buy 3,600 3,510 3,300 3,200 3,500 3,600 3,700 32 ITMG 17,500 Buy 16,30017,500 17,00017,200 17,600 17,800 18,000 33 TINS 990 Buy 1,045 1,005 900 800 1,000 1,150 1,200 34 BBTN 1,115 Buy 1,105 975 1,000 900 1,150 1,200 1,300 35 INTP 24,100 SOS 24,37524,600 23,40023,700 24,000 25,000 25,500 36 KLBF 1,825 Buy 2,966 2,880 1,800 1,000 1,850 1,900 2,000 37 MPPA 4,440 Buy 4,600 3,745 4,300 4,000 4,500 4,600 4,700 38 PGAS 5,350 Buy 5,325 5,100 5,300 5,000 5,300 5,400 5,600 39 UNTR 22,225 Buy 20,10022,500 21,40021,800 22,000 22,500 22,700 40 UNVR 36,075 Sell 35,00034,000 35,60035,800 36,000 36,500 37,000
BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy
Rec Pivot
Agriculture
NO Stock Support Resistance
Contractor & Property
Mining
EMA-5 Uptrend Stochastic Dead Cross
EMA-5 Downtrend
RSI dan Stochastic Netral
Stochastic Dead Cross Stochastic Dead Cross Stochastic Golden cross
Stochastic Dead cross Stochastic dead cross Stochastic Dead cross Stochastic Dead cross Stochastic Golden cross
Others
Technical Alert
Candlelistck white Candle RSI Netral Black Candle Black Candle MACD Dead cross EMA-5 Downtrend
Second Liners Trust Universe
Stochastic Golden Cross Candlelistick black candle
Open Gap White Candle
Stochastic dibawah 20% Stochastic Dead Cross
Stochastic golden cross Stochastic Golden cross
Candlelistck white marubozu EMA-5 Uptrend
Evening Star Stochastic Golden cross Stochastic dibawah 20% Stochastic Reversal Stochastic diatas 80% EMA-5 Uptrend EMA-5 Uptrend
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The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
Research Team
Muhammad Reza
Head Of Research
Sector Coverage : Banking, F & B, Mining. Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext .431
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Lailan Natasya Putri
Research Analyst
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Research Support
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Danang Narasworo
Junior Research Analyst
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Senior Equity Sales
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