LAMPIRAN
Lampiran 1
Hasil Regression Model GLS FIXED EFFECT (FEM) Dependent Variable: BD?
Method: Pooled EGLS (Cross-section weights) Date: 01/01/11 Time: 05:56
Sample: 2010 2013 Included observations: 4 Cross-sections included: 31
Total pool (unbalanced) observations: 123
Linear estimation after one-step weighting matrix
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 2374930 502101.7 4.729979 0.0000
_NIAS—C -171837.6 _MANDAILINGN
ATAL—C -101407.1 _TAPANULISELA
_ASAHAN—C -43709.01 _SIMALUNGUN—
C -38404.67
_KARO--C -109961.5 _DELISERDANG
—C 36377.45
_LANGKAT--C -32776.77 _NIASSELATAN—
C -76305.28
NDUTAN—C _PAKPAKBHARA
T--C -173300.2 _SAMOSIR--C -140975.5 _SERDANGBEDA
GAI--C -55033.10 _BATUBARA--C -112732.5 _PALUTA--C -146209.1 _PADANGLAWAS
--C -124410.1 _LABUSEL--C -118058.5 _NIASUTARA--C 242348.8 _NIASBARAT--C 90555.25 _SIBOLGA--C -161204.0 _TANJUNGBALAI
--C -144033.9 _PEMATANGSIAN
TAR--C -80663.66 _TEBINGTINGGI
—C -105055.4
_MEDAN--C 234656.3 _BINJAI--C -93385.98 _PADANGSIDIMP
UAN--C -126108.6 _GUNUNGSITOLI
—C -193574.3
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
Weighted Statistics
R-squared 0.837531 Mean dependent var 26222912 Adjusted R-squared 0.981222 S.D. dependent var 13091070 S.E. of regression 84901.09 Sum squared resid 6.3472411
F-statistic 188.5028 Durbin-Watson stat 1.280043 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Unweighted Statistics
Lampiran 2
Hasil Regression Model GLS RA NDOM EFFECT (REM)
Dependent Variable: BD?
Method: Pooled EGLS (Cross-section random effects) Date: 01/01/11 Time: 05:57
Sample: 2010 2013 Included observations: 4 Cross-sections included: 31
Total pool (unbalanced) observations: 123
Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 7626243. 1488222. 5.124400 0.0000
_NIAS--C -267588.9 _MANDAILINGN
ATAL--C -63377.64 _TAPANULISELA _ASAHAN--C 15704.55
_SIMALUNGUN--C 89169.25
_KARO--C -153565.0
_DELISERDANG--C 206031.6
_LANGKAT--C 95909.92
_NIASSELATAN--C -102717.4
_HUMBANGHASU
_PAKPAKBHARA
T--C -290221.1 _SAMOSIR--C -190415.7 _SERDANGBEDA
GAI--C -9710.769 _BATUBARA--C -116924.7 _PALUTA--C -194176.9 _PADANGLAWAS
--C -181936.6 _LABUSEL--C -168134.9 _NIASUTARA--C 89987.65 _NIASBARAT--C -169048.3 _SIBOLGA--C -228913.8 _TANJUNGBALAI
--C -218936.4 _PEMATANGSIAN
TAR--C -85959.94
_TEBINGTINGGI--C -169179.7
_MEDAN--C 415758.9 _BINJAI--C -105080.8 _PADANGSIDIMP
UAN--C -162031.5
_GUNUNGSITOLI--C -328459.0
Effects Specification
S.D. Rho
Cross-section random 475482.2 0.9249
Idiosyncratic random 135478.2 0.0751
Weighted Statistics
R-squared 0.986455 Mean dependent var 1680071. Adjusted R-squared 0.052692 S.D. dependent var 166729.1 S.E. of regression 140002.0 Sum squared resid 2.314512 F-statistic 2.696494 Durbin-Watson stat 2.294726 Prob(F-statistic) 0.034094
Unweighted Statistics
Lampiran 3 Uji Hausman Test
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test Pool: JULI
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary
Chi-Sq.
Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 5.255495 4 0.2621
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
PD? 0.000472 0.000249 0.000000 0.3359 DAU? 0.335622 0.364733 0.001336 0.4257 DBH? 0.001600 0.001488 0.000000 0.3625 HCT? -0.000046 -0.986455 0.000000 0.2080
Cross-section random effects test equation: Dependent Variable: BD?
Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 01/01/11 Time: 05:58 Sample: 2010 2013
Included observations: 4 Cross-sections included: 31
Total pool (unbalanced) observations: 123
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 7927723. 1546083. 5.127618 0.0000 PD? 0.000472 0.000812 0.580813 0.5629 DAU? 0.335622 0.132707 2.529036 0.0132 DBH? 0.001600 0.000775 2.066215 0.0417 HCT? -4.613205 0.000672 -0.068696 0.9454
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
Sum squared resid 1.622112 Schwarz criterion 27.50548 Log likelihood -1607.374 Hannan-Quinn criter. 27.03031 F-statistic 46.81418 Durbin-Watson stat 2.284726 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Lampiran 4
Data Realisasi Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD) Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi (Milyar Rupiah)
Kabupaten/Kota 2010 2011 2012 2013
Tanjung Balai 24,126,011,465 27,089,059,681 27,702,368,427 31,920,753,948 Pematang Siantar 25,910,942,909 44,792,749,488 49,915,366,002 61,357,963,445 Tebing Tinggi 26,272,468,555 32,738,790,020 47,330,983,758 53,199,538,064 Medan 588,941,453,691 995,072,572,141 1,147,901,461,607 1,206,169,709,147 Binjai 18,832,884,480 48,178,078,782 61,246,499,256 97,914,775,900 Padang Sidempuan 14,602,383,887 21,465,271,347 23,622,308,246 35,018,175,219 Gunung Sitoli 2,344,943,441 6,051,302,346 9,329,679,343 10,382,482,568
Lampiran 5
Data Realisasi Dana Alokasi Umum (DAU) Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Sumatera UtaraTahun 2010-2013 (Milyar Rupiah)
Kabupaten/Kota 2010 2011 2012 2013
Labuhanbatu Utara 346,404,972,000 346,684,689,000 400,601,985,000 457,714,720,000 Nias Utara 108,563,262,000 231,764,690,000 267,283,187,000 294,071,932,000 Nias Barat 63,068,373,000 193,616,447,000 227,860,916,000 251,631,634,000 Silboga 227,216,241,600 248,405,548,000 292,873,107,000 338,507,471,000 Tanjung Balai 241,921,536,000 275,525,468,000 313,729,707,000 369,246,576,000 Pematang Siantar 313,941,731,000 352,525,649,000 429,632,177,000 492,115,399,000 Tebing Tinggi 228,057,807,000 261,948,729,000 307,635,669,000 368,586,756,000 Medan 846,541,452,400 1,066,353,555,440 1,153,789,320,000 1,270,244,794,000 Binjai 293,536,658,000 336,779,454,000 416,965,216,000 477,553,537,000 Padang Sidempuan 270,129,118,000 308,014,507,000 364,923,284,000 423,251,346,000 Gunung Sitoli 95,768,225,000 251,728,688,000 305,726,000,000 356,042,987,000
Lampiran 6
Data Realisasi Dana Bagi Hasil (DBH) Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Tahun 2010-2013
(Milyar Rupiah)
Kabupaten/Kota 2010 2011 2012 2013
Batubara 507,735,000 27,290,973,742 28,100,566,189 37,134,469,460 Padang Lawas Utara 30,532,402,764 30,498,573,419 30,861,970,15 29,970,451,785 Padang Lawas 34,172,459,655 27,196,358,400 36,519,005,068 40,194,093,790 Labuhanbatu Selatan 51,794,131,671 48,172,886,285 53,049,624,339 56,839,085,263 Labuhanbatu Utara 29,878,410,374 36,821,724,925 38,012,918,270 35,305,107,809 Nias Utara 272,478,401.003 11,053,337,908 14,677,083,049 12,634,625,175 Nias Barat 8,641,413,627 9,607,603,929 13,679,975,385 9,931,903,187 Silboga 21,459,790,766 19,786,320,335 21,271,435,914 20,314,797,636 Tanjung Balai 18,617,690,893 16,617,286,882 18,834,267,833 20,662,436,176 Pematang Siantar 28,893,910,180 26,289,467,326 36,446,552,650 26,225,847,040 Tebing Tinggi 25,179,049,935 19,998,085,793 24,897,504,525 22,603,350,544 Medan 374,026,589,767 274,493,581,754 197,098,179,192 174,054,636,586 Binjai 334,604,231,426 39,788,887,998 41,334,651,724 33,599,444,362 Padang Sidempuan 26,428,984,994 23,994,089,924 32,822,219,830 25,797,109,529 Gunung Sitoli 12,694,065,859 10,622,292,350 4,435,726,739 13,248,308,888
Lampiran 7
Laju Perkembangan Belanja Daerah menurut Kabupaten/Kota dalam (Miliyar Rupiah) di Provinsi Sumatera Utara pada tahun 2010-2013
Kabupaten/Kota 2010 2011 2012 2013
Nias Selatan 465,251,237,439 479,421,889,590 621,171,486,118 669,036,597,703 Humbang Hasundutan 393,014,475,016 432,517,402,736 511,537,853,879 605,789,787,843 Pakpak Bharat 231,573,004,143 318,568,754,148 296,781,857,912 381,852,026,957 Samosir 367,805,497,569 431,142,832,097 415,012,206,460 522,227,935,549 Serdang Bedagai 666,468,396,241 731,773,294,426 833,559,067,726 982,962,075,740 Batubara 533,854,269,993 558,737,287,208 641,952,160,816 760,743,078,670 Padang Lawas Utara 304,464,356,527 416,234,576,099 571,471,637,184 588,852,483,907 Padang Lawas 380,148,424,392 416,234,576,099 439,833,949,611 504,166,349,741 Labuhanbatu Selatan 315,584,167,118 429,131,382,169 438,876,267,201 725,242,663,998 Labuhanbatu Utara 5,022,540,281 539,133,180,282 678,113,688,299 766,421,207,103 Nias Utara 1,396,620,675,600 1,749,848,684,724 335,400,739,586 442,082,330,985 Nias Barat 1,682,863,255,708 257,203,207,002 275,441,231,743 358,643,130,290 Silboga 291,699,218,349 368,638,103,891 414,040,749,412 450,894,422,402 Tanjungbalai 338,243,925,602 393,778,674,064 446,140,831,521 472,459,785,942 Pematangsiantar 499,631,564,449 564,819,922,154 639,607,159,845 741,073,062,641 Tebing Tinggi 315,430,692,624 439,094,659,348 479,585,196,047 584,572,435,995 Medan 2,235,195,758,724 3,041,037,853,628 3,021,172,391,041 3,224,449,048,408 Binjai 418,220,391,835 546,497,391,346 650,087,241,200 702,167,562,649 Padangsidimpuan 356,260,243,037 463,524,730,418 527,246,070,030 614,899,498,099 Gunungsitoli 136,058,576,418 343,828,336,582 401,324,408,976 442,554,279,556
Lampiran 8
Data Realisasi Harfhindal Consentration Taxes Kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Tahun 2010-2013 (persen)
Kabupaten/Kota HCT 2010 HCT 2011 HCT 2012 HCT 2013
Nias 9.53 44.63 101
Mandailing natal 44.54 20.01 41.15 30.29
Tapanuli Selatan 21.14 8.23 12.92 13.42
Tapanuli Tengah 20.09 15.58 3.07 2.29
Tapanuli Utara 5.79 65.11 25.12 24.18
Toba Samosir 12.47 16.08 3.77 5.5
Labuhanbatu 21.04 31.48 22.83 5.1
Simalungun 92.78 9.87 6.63 10.49
Dairi 22.28 18.38 28.77 52.73
Karo 27.84 30.37 19.91
Deli Serdang 21.49 19.41 22.08 18.04
Langkat 15.47 11.73 4.13 21.34
Nias Selatan 20.69 5.71 67.05 18.52
Humbang Hasundutan 21.1 11.47 13.11
Pakpak Bharat 8.81 10.82 9.28 11.73
Samosir 6.4 5.36 13.9 12.58
Serdang Bedagai 17.35 24.81 17.62 66.31
Batubara 6.88 2.97 5.16
Padang Lawas Utara 8.65 6.87 4.18 4.61
Padang Lawas 22.36 7.66 4.26 15.79
Labuhanbatu Selatan 22.35 5.54 3.21 3.1
Labuhanbatu Utara 8.91 4.64 4.3
Nias Utara 3.22 4.12 3.51 1.93
Nias Barat 3.55 1.24 10.19 4.68
Silboga 60.56 55.97 33.2 51.48
Tanjungbalai 20.24 16.82 11.19 14.68
Pematangsiantar 14.25 43.99 26.3 38.56
Tebing Tinggi 42.69 19.69 11.16 5.56
Medan 51.92 29.88 12.22 18.34
Binjai 7.96 10.5 5.29 17.27
Padangsidimpuan 27.59 25.47 12.62 36.87
