Dampak Pelaksanaan Desentralisasi Fiskal terhadap Pemerataan Kemampuan Keuangan dan Kinerja Pembangunan Daerah Provinsi Sumatera Utara

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LAMPIRAN

LAMPIRAN 1

Jumlah Penduduk Kabupaten/Kota Sumatera Utara Tahun 2011-2015 (Jiwa)

No Kabupaten/Kota 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

1 Kab. Asahan 674521 677876 681794 699720 706283 2 Kab. Dairi 272578 273394 276238 277575 279090 3 Kab. Deli Serdang 1807173 1845615 1886388 1984598 2029308 4 Kab. Tanah Karo 354242 358823 363755 382622 389591 5 Kab. Labuhan Batu 418992 424644 430718 453630 462191 6 Kab. Langkat 976582 976885 978734 1005965 1013385 7 Kab. Mandailing Natal 408731 410931 413475 426382 430894 8 Kab. Nias 132605 132860 133388 135319 136115 9 Kab. Simalungun 825366 830986 833251 844033 849405 10 Kab. Tapanuli Selatan 266282 268095 268824 273132 275098 11 Kab. Tapanuli Tengah 314142 318908 324006 342902 350017 12 Kab. Tapanuli Utara 281868 283871 286118 290864 293399 13 Kab. Toba Samosir 174748 174865 175069 178568 179704 14 Kota Binjai 248456 250252 252263 261490 264687 15 Kota Medan 2117224 2122804 2123210 2191140 2210624 16 Kota Pematang Siantar 236893 236947 237434 245104 247411 17 Kota Sibolga 85271 85852 85981 86166 86519 18 Kota Tanjung Balai 155889 157175 158599 164675 167012 19 Kota Tebing Tinggi 146606 147771 149065 154804 156815 20 Kota Padang Sidempuan 193322 198809 204615 206496 209796 21 Kab. Pakpak Barat 40884 41492 42144 44520 45516 22 Kab. Nias Selatan 292417 294069 295968 305010 308281 23 Kab.Humbang Hasundutan 173255 174765 176429 181026 182991 24 Kab. Serdang Bedagai 599941 604026 605583 606367 608691 25 Kab. Samosir 120772 121594 121924 123065 123789 26 Kab. Batu Bara 379400 381023 382960 396479 400803 27 Kab. Padang Lawas 227365 232166 237259 251927 258003 28 Kab. Padang Lawas Utara 225621 229064 232746 247286 252589 29 Kab. Labuhanbatu Selatan 280269 284809 289655 307171 313884 30 Kab. Labuhanbatu Utara 333793 335459 337404 347465 351097 31 Kab. Nias Utara 128434 128533 129053 132735 133897 32 Kab. Nias Barat 82572 82701 82854 84419 84917 33 Kota Gunung Sitoli 127382 128337 129403 134196 135995

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LAMPIRAN 2

Realisasi Dana Alokasi Umum Kabupaten/Kota Sumatera Utara tahun

2011-2015 (000 rupiah)

No Kabupaten/kota 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

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LAMPIRAN 3

Dana Alokasi Umum Per Kapita

Kabupaten/Kota Sumatera Utara

tahun 2011-2015(Rupiah) No Kabupaten/kota DAU Per

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LAMPIRAN 4

Hasil Perhitungan Indeks Williamson DAU Per Kapita

No Kabupaten/kota fi/n

(5)

(6)

(Yi-Y)

2

(fi/n)

(7)

(

�

Yi-Y)

2

(fi/n)

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2.66348E+11 3.76635E+11 4.97471E+11 5.87421E+11 6.40974E+11

� −

(

�

/

�

)

�

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

516088.9486 613706.3545 705316.1825 766433.738 800608.6476

� −

_�

(

�

/

�

)

/ Y

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

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LAMPIRAN 5

Realisasi Pendapatan APBD Kabupaten/Kota Provinsi Sumatera

Utara tahun 2011-2015 (000 rupiah)

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LAMPIRAN 6

APBD Per Kapita Kabupaten/Kota Sumatera Utara

tahun 2011-2015 (rupiah)

(10)

LAMPIRAN 7

Hasil Perhitungan Indeks Williamson Pendapatan APBD Per Kapita

No Kabupaten/kota fi/n

(11)

(Yi-Y)

2

(12)

(fi/n)(Yi-Y)

2

(13)

(

�

Yi-Y)

2

(fi/n)

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

5.2224E+11

6.15052E+11

8.31014E+11

9.16908E+11

1.23361E+12

� −

(

�

/

�

)

�

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

722661.4771

784252.7925

911599.5971

957552.9636

1110681.275

� −

_�

(

�

/

�

)

/ Y

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

(14)

LAMPIRAN 8

Realisasi Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD) Kabupaten/Kota

di Sumatera Utara (000 rupiah)

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LAMPIRAN 9

Realisasi Dana Perimbangan Kabupaten/Kota Sumatera Utara (000 rupiah)

(16)

LAMPIRAN 10

Realisasi Pendapatan Per Kapita Kabupaten/Kota Sumatera Utara

(17)

LAMPIRAN 11

Statistik Deskriptif

PDRBKAP?

DP?

PAD?

Mean

24056370

605165579

87984286

Median

22627824

521886252

34540643

Maximum

56218281

1681948783

1515685947

Minimum

9929110

137797195

2761470.

Std. Dev.

10300720

296344060

222090015

Skewness

1.107474

1.671159

5.087907

Kurtosis

3.738555

5.472397

29.18281

Jarque-Bera

37.47877

118.8263

5424.972

Probability

0.000000

Sum

3969301054 99852320552

14517407237

Sum Sq. Dev.

1.79E+16

1.44E+19

8.09E+18

Observations

165

165 Cross sections

33

33 LAMPIRAN 12

Common Effect Model

Dependent Variable: PDRBKAP?

Method: Pooled Least Squares

Date: 03/21/17 Time: 13:01

Sample: 2011 2015

Included observations: 5

Cross-sections included: 33

Total pool (balanced) observations: 165

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LAMPIRAN 13

Uji Chow

Redundant Fixed Effects Tests

Pool: DF

Test cross-section fixed effects

Effects Test

Statistic

d.f.

Prob.

Cross-section F

445.319950

(32,130)

0.0000

Cross-section Chi-square

776.502500

32 0.0000

Cross-section fixed effects test equation:

Dependent Variable: PDRBKAP?

Method: Panel Least Squares

Date: 03/21/17 Time: 13:05

Sample: 2011 2015

Included observations: 5

Cross-sections included: 33

Total pool (balanced) observations: 165

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LAMPIRAN 14

Total pool (balanced) observations: 165

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

(20)

_NIASBARAT--C

-9169704.

_SITOLI--C

-2825625.

Effects Specification

Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)

R-squared

0.993205 Mean dependent var

24056370

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LAMPIRAN 15

Random Effect Model

Dependent Variable: PDRBKAP?

Method: Pooled EGLS (Cross-section random effects)

Date: 03/21/17 Time: 13:06

Sample: 2011 2015

Included observations: 5

Cross-sections included: 33

Total pool (balanced) observations: 165

Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

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_NIASUTARA--C

-7557902.

_NIASBARAT--C

-9163540.

_SITOLI--C

-2826565.

Effects Specification

S.D.

Rho

Cross-section random

9267563.

0.9895

Idiosyncratic random

953723.8

0.0105

Weighted Statistics

R-squared

0.668479 Mean dependent var

1105968.

Adjusted R-squared

0.664386 S.D. dependent var

1640041.

S.E. of regression

950111.5 Sum squared resid

1.46E+14

F-statistic

163.3284 Durbin-Watson stat

1.020685

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

Unweighted Statistics

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LAMPIRAN 16

Hausman Test

Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test

Pool: DF

Test cross-section random effects

Test Summary

Chi-Sq.

Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f.

Prob.

Cross-section random

0.775149

2 0.6787

Cross-section random effects test comparisons:

Variable

Fixed

Random

Var(Diff.)

Prob.

PAD?

0.012912

0.013046

0.000000

0.7409

DP?

0.009853

0.009770

0.000000

0.3787

Cross-section random effects test equation:

Dependent Variable: PDRBKAP?

Method: Panel Least Squares

Date: 03/21/17 Time: 13:06

Sample: 2011 2015

Included observations: 5

Cross-sections included: 33

Total pool (balanced) observations: 165

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C

16957833

477904.9

35.48370

0.0000

PAD?

0.012912

0.001928

6.695815

0.0000

DP?

0.009853

0.000874

11.27748

0.0000

Effects Specification

Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)

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