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Welcome and General Information

Welcome

to the Fourth (4

t+h

) International Conference on Mathematics and

Statistics (ICoMS) 2009. The conference hosted by the Universitas

Malahayati Bandar Lampung, Indonesia. This conference is held as an

annual International Conference conducted by the Universitas

Malahayati. There will be 8 invited and 80 contributed talks to be

delivered during the conference period (12-15 August, 2009) that cover a

wide range of Mathematics and Statistics.

Name Tags

Please wear your name tag at all times. It will help participants to get to

know each other. Participants have yellow tags, paper presenters have red

tags, keynote and invite speakers have blue tags and committee members

have black tags. If you have any difficulties or problems, approach anyone

with a black name tag or anyone at the Registration Desk and they will be

able to help.

Conference Office

The central clearing point for all information is the Conference Secretariat

which is located in the theater room.

Daily News

News will be posted on a board at the Conference Office and announced

during breaks.

Guidelines for Paper Presenters

If you request special equipment for your presentation, please check

with the Secretariat Office during registration. It may not be

possible to satisfy late requests.

Please be sure to complete the autobiography form when you

register. This form will be used by your session chair to assist

him/her when introducing you.

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Report to your session chair 10 minutes before your session is due to

start.

Guidelines for Session Chairs

Please be in your venue 10 minutes before your session is due to start

to greet the paper presenters.

Please collect bio-data forms from the Registration Desk before your

session begins.

Please check that equipment is set up and working, and assist the

speakers when necessary.

Check that water and clean glasses are available for the speakers.

Please ensure that the session begins at the scheduled time and ends

on time.

Please inform the Registration Desk the names of the authors of the

papers which were not present during the session.

Refreshments, Lunches and Conference Dinner

Tea, coffee, etc., will be served in the Hall during the refreshment breaks as

indicated in the program. The venue for lunch each day is also in the Hall.

Please ensure you take with you the vouchers which are included in the

registration package. There will be a Conference Dinner on Tuesday night (12

August 2009). For details and your invitation card, please check your

registration kit. You must wear your name tag for this function. Transport will

be provided for participants.

Certificates

Certificates of attendance for participants can be collected from the

Registration Desk after 04.30 pm on Friday, 15 August 2009.

Prayer Times and Rooms

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Steering Committee

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Noor Akma Ibrahim

Dept of Mathematics / Institute for Mathematical Research, University Putra Malaysia.

Dr. Iing Lukman

Faculty of Economics, Universitas Malahayati Bandarlampung, Indonesia

Prof. Dr. Maman A. Djauhari

Department of Mathematics and Sciences, Institut Teknologi Bandung (ITB), Indonesia.

Prof. Dr. Ismail Bin Mohd

Department of Mathematics, University Malaysia Terengganu (UMT)

Dr. Abdul Kudus

Department of Statistics, Universitas Islam Bandung (Unisba), Indonesia

Dr. Eng. Admi Syarief

Faculty of Mathematics and Sciences, Universitas Lampung, Indonesia

Agung E. Hadi, M.Sc

Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Malahayati Bandarlampung, Indonesia

Dr. Wamiliana

Faculty of Mathematics and Sciences, Universitas Lampung, Indonesia

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Muhammad Rizam bin Abu Bakar Department of Mathematics, Universiti Putra Malaysia, Malaysia

Dr. Faiz A.M. Elfaki

Deparment of Sciences, Faculty of Engineering, International Islamic University Malaysia, Malaysia

Assoc. Prof.Dr. Mustofa Mamat

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Organizing Committee

Chair Person Dr. Iing Likman

Vice Chair Person Dr. Ir. Hardoyo Marsyad, M.Eng

Secretary

Indah Lia Puspita, SE.,M.Si

Treasure Devi Oktarina, M.T

Special Events

Weka Indra Dharmawan, ST., MT Agustina Retnaningsih, Apt

Rina Febrina, ST Anita K, S.E., M.Com (Acc)

Secretariat Ade Maria Ulfa, S.Farm

Eka Sariningsih, SE Natalina, ST

Facility and Decoration Tumpal O.R, ST Muhammad Luthfi, S.E

Heri Wibowo, S.T Iskandar Muda, SH

Hasan Saputra Abu Rohmat, SE

Aminullah, SE Adi Wijoyo, SE

Consumption Erna Listyaningsih, SE., M.Si

Lestari Wuryanti, SE Hardini Ariningrum, SE

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Transportation And Acomodation Widianto, S.T

Ir. Yan Juansyah, DEA Robby Chandra, S.Farm

Documentation and Publication Fredi Setiawan, S.T

(7)

KEYNOTE SPEAKER

1.

Prof. Dr. Mitsuo Gen

Graduate School of Information, Production and Systems

Waseda University, Japan

2.

Prof. Wiranto Arismunandar

Former Minister of Education of the Republic of Indonesia.

Department of Mechanical Engineering, Institut Teknologi

Bandung.

3.

Prof. Dr. Andreas Dress

Director Department of Combinatorics and Geometry, Shanghai

Institute for Biological Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences,

Shanghai China

4.

Prof Dato’ Dr. Jamil Osman,

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INVITED SPEAKERS

1.

Prof. Dr. Maman A. Djauhari

Faculty of Sciences, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Indonesia

2.

Prof Dr. Ismail Bin Mohd

Department of Mathematics,Universiti Malasyia Terengganu

3.

Assoc.Prof. Dr. Jumat Sulaiman

Deputy Dean (Academic and International),

School of Science and Technology, Univ. Malaysia Sabah.

4.

Prof. Dr. Louis Caccetta

Dept. of Mathematic and Statistics, Curtin University of

Technology Perth, Western Australia

5.

Assoc.Prof. Dr. Engku Muhammad Nazri bin Engku Abu

Bakar

Dean (Pembangunan Pelajar dan Keusahawanan,

College of Art and Sciences, Universiti Utara Malaysia

6.

Prof. Dr. Shaharuddin Bin Salleh

Dept of Mathematics Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Johor,

Malaysia

7.

Assoc.Prof. Dr. Mohd Ismail Abd. Aziz

Universiti Teknologi Malaysia Johor, Malaysia

8.

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Zainal

Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Johor, Malaysia

9.

Prof. Dr. Subanar

Faculty of Mathematics and Sciences, University Gajah Mada,

Yogyakarta, Indonesia

10.

Dr. Warsono,

Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Lampung,

Indonesia

11.

Dr. Asep Saefuddin

Dept. of Statistics FMIPA, Bogor Agriculture University (IPB),

Indonesia

12.

Dr Iing Lukman,

Faculty of Economics, Universitas Malahayati, Indonesia

13.

Prof. Dr. Zainodin Haji Jubok,

(9)

Tentative Programme

Wednesday, 12 August 2009

06.30-07.00 pm Regristration

Grand Opening

Lampung Traditional Dance Recitation of Al-Qur'an Speech from Dirjen Dikti Speech from Rector Speech from Chairman Speech from MSMSSEA 07.30-08.30

pm

Pray

(10)

Day 1 Thursday, 13 August 2009

08.00-08.45 am Prof. Dr. Mitsuo Gen Waseda University,

Japan

Moderator : Agung E. Hadi, M.Sc

08.45-09.30 am Prof. Dr. Andreas Drees

Shanghai Institute, Chinese Academy, Shanghai, China

Moderator : Dr. Eng. Admi Syarief

09.30-10.00 am Coffee Break

10.00-10.35 am Prof. Dr. Zainodin Haji Jubok Universiti Putra

Malaysia

Moderator : Dr. Wamiliana

10.35-11.10 am Prof. Dr. Subanar

Gadjah Mada University Moderator:

Prof. Dr. Maman A. Djauhari

11.10-11.45 am Dr. Asep Saefuddin Bogor Agriculture University (IPB)

Moderator: Dr. Wamiliana

11.45-12.30 am Lunch and Pray

12.30-01.05 am Prof. Dr. Ismail Bin Mohd Universiti Malaysia Terengganu Dr. Eng. Admi Syarief Moderator:

Parallel Session

Room A Room B Room C Room D Room E

Room Name Pythagoras Algebra Geometric Arithmetic Regression

Moderator Brodjol S.S.U M. Jahiding Ivonne Sartika Ma’moun H. Yunita W.S

01.40-02.00

pm Ismail Z.

Modelling Two Variances of capacitated are rounting problem based on rainy weather condition in solid waste collection. Budi Frensidy Determining The Fair Value

Of An Asset Using Mathematical Equations Suhartono Comparison Between arima,

mar, finn, and rnn for Forecasting

(11)

(pg. 36) (Pg. 52)

Yield The Best Forecast.

(pg. 69)

Percentile.

(pg. 85) (pg. 100)

Room A Room B Room C Room D Room E

Room Name Pythagoras Algebra Geometric Arithmetic Regression

Moderator Ibnu

Gunawan

S. Toaha Karyati Sumardi Teguh

02.00-02.20 pm Noraini

Abdullah Stem biomass estimation of roystonea regia Using multiple regression (pg. 38) Mery Berlian Increasing Open University Student’s Activities and Achievment of Statistics Courses by Cooperative : Jigsaw Type. (pg. 53) Esti R.A The Easy Relationship between Cryptograph and Mathematics : Helping Cryptographic Researches for Designing a Strong Cryptography. (pg. 70) Saib Suwilo Hamiltonian Disgraphs with Large Exponents. (pg. 86) Ruslan

Optimization Of Second Order Primary Response To First Order Constraints For Multiresponse Surface Model Of Mixture Designs

(pg. 101)

Room A Room B Room C Room D Room E

Room Name Pythagoras Algebra Geometric Arithmetic Regression

Moderator Holmi N. Ina Agustina Halimatus S. Ravi Ahmad Sari Agustina

02.20-02.40 pm Brodjol S.SU

Linear Multi scale Autogressive Model for Forecasting Seasonal Time Series Data. M. Jahiding Mathematical Analysis of Sea

Water Distillastion Technology by Vacuum Method. Ivonne Sartika Analysis on User Satisfaction with Web-based Information System : Case Study of Using

Website of Paramadina University. Ma’moun Harayzeh Al-Abbadi Differential Subordination Associated with Generalised Derivative Operator. Yunita W.S The Bond Pricing Valuation with the Default Risk Theory Approximation of kmv Merton

(12)

(pg. 39)

(pg. 54)

(pg. 71)

(pg. 87)

(pg.102)

Room A Room B Room C Room D Room E

Room Name Pythagoras Algebra Geometric Arithmetic Regression

Moderator Yusuf Hartono Purwoko Bertinus S. Sukono M.S.H

Chowdhury

02.40-03.00 pm Ibnu Gunawan

An Adaptive Grid Approach for Modelling non-parametric data . (pg. 40) S. Toaha Two Independent Populations model with Harvesting. (pg. 55) Karyati The Properties of The Fuzzy Green Relation

of Semi groups.

(pg. 73)

Sumardi

A Numerical Method For Non linear two

Channel Dissipation Model Based

on Their Characteristics

(pg. 88)

Teguh Teaching Addition of Unlike Fraction Based on Children ‘error patterns in computation in Elementary School. (pg. 103)

Room A Room B Room C Room D Room E

Room Name Pythagoras Algebra Geometric Arithmetic Regression

Moderator Inna

Dariwardani

Bambang WO La Ode S. Dedy Dwi S.

Padmadisastra

03.00-03.20 pm Holmi N.

The Comparison of Factoring Methods for Breaking RSA Crypto System. Ina Agustina Image Analysis using Fagin and

Threshold Alogarithm Base on Adaptive Halimatus Statistical Analysis of Multi-Environment Trials by BLUP-AMMI

Ravi Ahmad S

An Application of non-Standard Analysis to

Some Transformation

s of Piecewise

Sari Agustina

Structural Randomness test on aes with

(13)

(pg. 41) Histogram and Invariant Moment. (pg. 56) Combination. (pg. 74) Continuous functions.

(pg. 89) (pg. 104)

03.20-04.00 pm Coffee Break and Pray

Room A Room B Room C Room D Room E

Room Name Pythagoras Algebra Geometric Arithmetic Regression

Moderator Joko Siswanto Darmawijoyo H.A Parhusip Idaman Meyli M.

04.00-04.20 pm Yusuf

Hartono Continued Fraction and Diophantine Equations (pg. 42) Purwoko Drawing with Branched Function (pg. 58) Bertinus Simanihuruk Model of Identification Preparation Indonesian Contractors in Era Globalisation. (pg. 75) Sukono Mvar Normal Vs Mvar Student By Non-Constant Volatility And The Long Memory Effect (pg.90) M.S.H. Chowdhury Comparing Numerical Methods for the

Solution of Cauchy Reaction-Diffusion Problems. (pg. 105)

Room A Room B Room C Room D Room E

Room Name Pythagoras Algebra Geometric Arithmetic Regression

Moderator Sri Zulhayana Kholif F.M Ismaini Zain Dedi Rosadi Talib Hashim

04.20-04.40 pm Inna

Dariwardani Core Inflation Bambang WO Yield Curve Modelling of Indonesian Government bonds using Parametric and Non Parametric Methods.

La Ode Saidi,

Stopping point in Obtaining

top-end Elements of Two Sets of

Non-Quantitative

Data.

Dedy Dwi P.

(14)

(pg. 43) (pg. 59) (pg 77) (pg 91) (pg. 106)

Room A Room B Room C Room D Room E

Room Name Pythagoras Algebra Geometric Arithmetic Regression

Moderator Ismail Z. Purhadi Suhartono A. Fauzy Edi Cahyono

04.40-05.00 pm Joko Siswanto

An Optimal Method of Job

Employee Matching in Corporate Organizations (pg. 44) Darmawijoyo . On the Boundary Layer of Linear

Damped System. (pg. 60) H.A Parhusip Elementary Dervation of Effecien Frontier Based on the Effeciency Fuction.

(pg. 78)

Idaman,

Design of Questionnaire to Probe Demand for Internet. (pg 92) Meyli M. Comparison Between OAEP Variant in RSA.

(pg. 107)

Room A Room B Room C Room D Room E

Room Name Pythagoras Algebra Geometric Arithmetic Regression

Moderator Noraini

Abdullah

Mery Berlian Vita R.A Saib Suwilo Ruslan

05.00-05.20 pm Sri Zulhayana

(15)

Day 2 Friday, 14 August 2009

08.00-08.45 am Prof. Wiranto Aris Munandar Institut Teknologi

Bandung

Moderator :

Prof Dr. Ismail Bin Mohd

08.45-09.30 am Prof. Dato’ Dr. Jamil Osman Malaysian Institute

of Statistics

Moderator: Dr. Warsono

09.30-10.00 am Coffee Break

10.00-10.35 am Assoc. Prof. Dr. Mohd Ismail

Abdul Azis

Universiti Teknologi Malaysia

Moderator:

Dr. Iing Lukman

10.35-11.10 am Prof. Dr. Maman A. Djauhuri Institut Teknologi

Bandung, Indonesia

Moderator: Dr. Warsono

11.10-11.45 pm Prof. Dr. Hon Wai Leong NUS

Moderator: Dr. Asep Saefuddin

12.05-01.00 pm Lunch and Pray

01.00-01.35 am Dr. Warsono Universitas

Lampung, Indonesia

Moderator: Dr. Eng Hardoyo

Parallel Session

Room A Room B Room C Room D Room E

Room Name Pythagoras Algebra Geometric Arithmetic Regression

Moderator Yassinta

B.K.L.D

A.J. Endharta Sapto Raharjo Sukono Yeni

Nuraeni

01.35-01.55 pm Sri Pingit W.

Overynt 3rd class service

evaluation toward non askeskin customer satisfaction dr.

Vita R.

Ordinal probit regression

modeling (factors that

influence human development

S.

Padmadisa

stra

Rahmawatin

Identification Potential Location for

Food Crop Production

(pg. 94)

Alfian Futuhul H.

Developing Robustness Of The

Ammi Models By

(16)

Soetomo general hospital

(pg. 47)

index In east java

province) (pg. 62) Probabilty of monomorpishm in three populations. (pg. 80) Regression In Fanova Models (pg. 109)

Room A Room B Room C Room D Room E

Room Name Pythagoras Algebra Geometric Arithmetic Regression

Moderator Noraini

Abdullah

H. Parhusip S. Toaha Nurkaromah Budi Frensidy

01.55-02.15 pm Brodjol S.SU

Neural Networks Multi-scale Autoregressive Model for Forecasting Seasonal Time Series Data. (pg. 48) E. Cahyono, Asset Value Dynamics and the Fundamental Solution of a Modified Head Equation.

(pg. 64)

Nur Iriawan Bayesian Normality Relaxation using Neo-Normal Distribution and its Implementation for Data Analysis via WinBUGS. (pg.81) Fauziah Queue Theory Poisson Distribution with First in First Out (FIFO) method for Arrival (Case Study Hypermart Supermarket) (pg. 95) Idaman Identifying Prospective Districs for Promotion. (pg. 110)

Room A Room B Room C Room D Room E

Room Name Pythagoras Algebra Geometric Arithmetic Regression

Moderator Dedi Rosadi Ema Carnia Ummu

Sa’adah

Ismaini Zain Fadila

Margasaty

02.15-02.35 pm Yassinta Ben

K.L.D

On Estimating Density of Kota Mataram A.J. Endharta Short term Maximum and Sapto Raharjo Modelling of Sukono Portfolio Of Credit Risk By Factor Models

Yeni Nuraeni

System Computerizes

(17)

Household Expenditure Based on Cost Of Living Survey (SBH) 2007 Using Bayesian mixture of Mixture (pg. 49) Minimum Temperature Forecasting by using Seasonal Arima Recurrency. (pg. 65) Thermophilic Bacteria Competition in a Culture Medium. (pg. 82)

(pg. 97)

Water Resource with Stochastic Chain Markov Method (case example : Saguling’s Reservoir Operation) (pg. 111)

Room A Room B Room C Room D Room E

Room Name Pythagoras Algebra Geometric Arithmetic Regression

Moderator Sri Pingit Vita R. S.

Padmadisastra

Fauziah Idaman

02.35-02.55 pm Noraini

Abdullah MR Techniques In Estimating House Selling Prices (pg. 50) H.Parhusip Determination Parameter Non-Linear Least Square. (pg. 67) S. Toaha Stability Analysis Of Competing Population Model With Time Delay (pg. 83) Nurkaromah Em algorithm in analyzing the

mixture model With missing data (pg. 98) Purhadi Adjustments for r2 devians measures for multiple ordinal logistic regression models (factors that influence human development index in jawa timur province

in 2006) (pg 113)

Room A Room B Room C Room D Room E

Room Name Pythagoras Algebra Geometric Arithmetic Regression

(18)

02.55-03.15 pm Dedi Rosadi

Parameter Estimation Of Stable Paretian Distribution Using Quantile

Method: Implementation

In R And Its Application

(pg. 51)

Ema Carnia

Isomorphism Of Incidence Algebra Of

Poset

(pg. 68)

Umu Sa’adah

Forecasting trend and seasonal time

series Based on a

wavelet decomposition

(pg. 84)

Ismaini ZainFactors affecting to women’s labor force participation :

A relation between education,

attitude, personal values

and Women’s economic behavior by

logistic regression

(pg. 99)

Fadila

Path Analysis, Technology Trust and Individual Performances

(pg. 114)

03.15-03.45 pm Closing

03.45-end pm Coffee Break

OPENING CEREMONY

Wednesday, 12 August 2009

06.30 pm

Arrival of Guest a Registration

07.30 pm

Tari Sembah from Lampung

07.40 pm

Recitation of versus from Al-Qur’an

(19)

1.

The Director General Higher Education The

Republic Of Indonesia

(dr. Fasli Jalal, Ph.D)

2.

Rector of Universitas Malahayati, Lampung

Indonesia.

(Mustofa Usman, Ph.D)

3.

Chairman

International

Conference

on

Mathematics and Statistics (ICOMS).

(Iing Lukman, Ph.D)

4.

President of MSMSSEA

(Prof. Dr. Maman A. Djauhari)

O8.20 pm

Praying

(20)

CLOSING CEREMONY

Friday, 14 August 2009

03.45 pm

Report of Chairman International Conference on

Mathematics and Statistics (ICOMS)

(Iing Lukman, Ph.D)

03.55

Pm

Closing Speech by:

Rector of Universitas Malahayati, Lampung Indonesia

(Mustofa Usman, Ph.D)

04.05 pm

Recitation of Versus from Al-Qur’an

(21)

DETERMINATION PARAMETER BY NONLINEAR LEAST SQUARE

H.A Parhusip

1

1

Department of Industrial Mathematics and Statistics,

Faculty of Science and Mathematics ,

Satya Wacana Christian University, Indonesia

_________________________________________________________________________

Abstract.

Determination parameter from the given data by nonlinear least square is discussed here. The

case study is expressing Salatiga’s income as a function of tax and retribution using calculus

multivari-able. The function is then used in the system of ordinary differential equation. Its equilibrium point is

obtained by using trust region algorithm since the equilibrium is the solution of the governing nonlinear

system. The solutions of nonlinear ordinary differential equations are also presented.

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