LAMPIRAN 1. Program Estimasi Model EkonomiRumahtangga PetaniKedelaiMetode 2SLS
/*Program SAS913 13022012 UjianTerbuka 31012012*/
Title 01 ProSAS 13022012 UT31012012 By : RMS;
Data Satu;
Input NO LAT LAP PRO PKpPKt JB JPU JPS JPK JO JZ JR BS BTK BUK;
Label NO = No mo rResponden LAT = Luas Areal Tana m(Ha ) LAP = Luas Areal Panen(Ha) PRO = ProduksiKedela i(Kg) PKp = Prodtvts.KPnn(Kg/Ha ) PKt = Prodtvts.KTnm(Kg/Ha) JB = Jmlh BenihKede lai(Kg) JPU = JmlhPupuk Urea (Kg) JPS = JmlhPp k.Sp 36/Tsp(Kg) JPK = JmlhPp k.Kcl/Za (Kg) JO = JmlhObat/Pestsd(Lt) JZ = Ju mlah ZPT/ Ppc (Lt) JR = Jmlh Rhizo+ (Sachet) BS = BiayaSa ranaProd(Rp) BTK = BiayaTenagaKerja(Rp) BUK = Biaya Ut.Kedela i(Rp );
Cards;
Data Dua;
Input NO TKDK TKLK TKK TKDN TKDL TKD TKL TK CK TKLN TKLL CKL;
Label NO = No mo rResponden TKDK = TK DlmKlrg Kdl (HOK) TKLK = TK LuarKlrgKd l(HOK) TKK = TenagaKerjaKd l(HOK) TKDN = TKDlmKlgNonKdl(HOK) TKDL = TKDlmKlgNUtLa in(HOK) TKD = TKDa la mKeluarga (HOK) TKL = TK LuarKeluarga(HOK) TK = TenagaKerjaTtl(HOK) CK = CurahKerjaTotal(HOK) TKLN = TKLrKlrgNonKd l(HOK) TKLL = TKLrKlgNUtLa in(HOK) CKL = CurahKerja LrKlg(HOK);
Cards;
Data Tiga;
Input NO BB BP BO BS BTK BUK PUK PUKT PNK PNL PRT;
Label NO = No mo rResponden BB = Biaya Benih (Rp) BP = BiayaPupuk (Rp) BO = Biaya Obat/Pests(Rp) BS = BiayaSa ranaProd(Rp) BTK = BiayaTenagaKerja(Rp) BUK = Biaya Ut.Kedela i(Rp ) PUK = PenerimaanUt.Kd l(Rp) PUKT = PndapatnUtKdlTtl(Rp) PNK = PndapatnNonKdl (Rp)
PNL = PndapatnNUt Lain(Rp) PRT = PendapatanRT.Ttl(Rp);
Cards;
Data Empat;
Input NO PRT PD KPT KNP KT IE IH IS PBB KL;
Label NO = No mo rResponden PRT = PendapatanRT.Ttl(Rp) PD = PndptnDisposable(Rp) KPT = KonsumsiPngTunai(Rp) KNP = KonsumsiNonPngn(Rp) KT = KonsumsiRT.Total(Rp) IE = InvestasiPdidikn(Rp) IH = InvestasiKsehatn(Rp) IS = InvestasiSmbrDy(Rp) PBB = Pa jakBu miBngn (Rp) KL = Konsumsi La in (Rp );
Cards;
Data Lima;
Input NO IS IP INV TA B KRE KT BRT PRO KK KJ;
Label NO = No mo rResponden IS = InvestasiSmbrdy(Rp) IP = InvestasiProPert(Rp) INV = InvestasiRT.Ttl(Rp) TAB = Tabungan (Rp) KRE = KreditPe rtanian(Rp) KT = Konsumsi Total (Rp) BRT = Pengeluaran RTTtl(Rp) PRO = ProduksiKedela i(Kg) KK = KonsumsiKedelai(Kg) KJ = Kd lJual/Su rplusP(Kg);
Cards;
Data Ena m;
Input NO HK HG HJ HS HU HKT HKH HTpHTh HHK HTI ; Label NO = No mo rResponden
HK = Ha rgaKedela i(Rp/Kg) HG = Ha rga GabahKP(Rp/Kg) HJ = Ha rgaJagung (Rp/Kg) HS = Ha rgaSingkong(Rp/Kg) HU = Ha rgaUbiJala r(Rp/Kg) HKT = Ha rgaKacngTnh(Rp/Kg) HKH = Ha rgaKacangHj(Rp/Kg) HTp = Ha rgaTe mpe(Rp/0.5Kg) HTh = Ha rgaTahu(Rp/0.5Kg) HHK = Hrg Rata2HslKebun(Rp) HTI = Hrg Rata2Tnk/Ikan(Rp);
Cards;
Data Tujuh;
Input NO HB HPU HPS HPK HO HZ HR UTKL HPH JPH;
Label NO = No mo rResponden HB = Ha rgaBen ihKdl(Rp/Kg) HPU = Ha rgaPpk.Urea(Rp/Kg) HPS = Hrg PSp36/Tsp(Rp/Kg)
HPK = Ha rgaPKc l/Za(Rp/Kg) HO = HrgObat/Pest(Rp/Lt) HZ = Ha rgaZpt/Ppc(Rp/ Lt) HR = Ha rgaRh izo+(Rp/Sch) UTKL = UpahTKLuarKl(Rp/HOK) HPH = Hg PHijau/Kdng(Rp/Kg) JPH = JmlhPHijau/Kdng(Kg);
Cards;
Data Delapan;
Input NO SB UM ED AKK A K AT PBB KL LAT LAP;
Label NO = No mo rResponden SB = Su kuBungaKredit (%/T) UM = UmurPetani (Th) ED = La ma Pendidikan (Th) AKK = AngktnKerjaKlg(Orng) AK = AnggotaKlrg (Orang) AT = Asset Total (Rp) PBB = Pa jakBu miBngnn(Rp) KL = KonsumsLa inTunai(Rp) LAT = Luas Areal Tana m(Ha ) LAP = Luas Areal Panen(Ha);
Cards;
Data Se mbilan;
Input NO KKB KKP KKL KK TKLN TKLL CKL DA DI DG DS;
Label NO = No mo rResponden KKB = KonsumsiKdlBenih(Kg) KKP = KonsumsiKdlPngn(Kg ) KKL = KonsumsiKdlLa in(Kg ) KK = KonsumsiKedelai(Kg) TKLN = TKLuarKlgNonKd l(HOK) TKLL = TKLuarKlNUt La in(HOK) CKL = CurahKerja LrKlg(HOK) DA = Du mmyArea "MilikSdr=1"
DI = Du mmyIrigasi"Teknis=1"
DG = Du mmy Gender "La ki2=1"
DS = Du mmySkill "Ta matSD=1";
Cards;
Options NoDateNoNu mbe rNo Center;
Data DELE;
Set SatuDuaTiga Empat Lima Ena mTu juhDelapan Se mb ilan;
Merge SatuDuaTiga Empat Lima Ena mTu juhDelapan Se mb ilan;
BS = (JB* HB)+((JPU*HPU)+(JPS* HPS)+(JPK* HPK))+((JO*HO)+(JZ* HZ)+(JR* HR));
BTK = (TKLK)*(UTKL);
PUK = (PRO)*(HK);
PUKT = PUK - BS - BTK;
PKp = (PRO)/(LAP);
Hkpu = (Hk/Hpu);
Hkps = (Hk/Hps);
Hkp k = (Hk/Hpk);
If DA>0 Then DA =1; Else DA=0;
If DI>0 Then DI=1; Else DI=0;
If DG>0 Then DG=1; Else DG=0;
If DS>0 Then DS=1; Else DS=0;
Label DA = Du mmyArea "MilikSdr=1"
DI = Du mmyIrigasi"Teknis=1"
DG = Du mmy Gender "La ki2=1"
DS = Du mmySkill "Ta matSD=1"
Hkpu = RasioHgKd l/HgPUrea Hkps = RasioHgKd l/HgPSpTsp Hkp k = RasioHgKd l/HgPKclZa BS = BiayaSa ranaProd(Rp) BTK = BiayaTenagaKerja(Rp) PUK = PenerimaanUt.Kd l(Rp) PUKT = PndapatnUtKdlTtl(Rp) PKp = ProdtvtKdlPnn(Kg/Ha);
RUN;
Title 02 Prosedur SYSLIN ProSAS 13022012;
ProcSyslin Data=DELE 2SLS OutEst=Kede lai Simple;
Endogenous LAP PRO JB JPU JPS JPK JO JZ JR TKDK TKLK TKDN TKDL PNK PNL KPT KNP IE IH IP TAB KRE TKK TKD TKL TK CK BS BTK BUK PUK PUKT PRT PD KT IS INV BRT KJ PKp;
Instruments HK HG HJ HS HU HKT HKH HB HPU HPS HPK HO HZ HR HTp HTh HTI HHK UTKL UM ED AKK AK AT SB PBB KL KK TKLN TKLL CKL JPH Da Di Dg Ds Hkpu Hkps Hkp k ;
;
LAP: Model LAP = HK HJ hkhhpu AT JB TKDK PRT / DW;
PRO: Model PRO = HB hps HZ HR LAP KRE PUK / DW;
JB: Model JB = HB HZ HR LAP KRE PUK / DW;
JPU: Model JPU = HKPU HB HO HZ jph PNK pnl PUK / DW;
JPS: Model JPS = HKPS HB HZ da LAP TKLK PNK / DW;
JPK: Model JPK = hkp khb HO hzjph lap PNK PUK / DW;
JO: Model JO = HO HB h z HR jph di PNK PUK / DW;
JZ: Model JZ = HZ hb HO HR PNK PUK / DW;
JR: Model JR = HR hbhpu HO h z JPH LAP prt / DW;
TKDK: Model TKDK = utkl UM ED AKK DG LAP JPS TA B / DW;
TKLK: Model TKLK = UTKL u m ed DS tkdl JPS PUK / DW;
TKDN: Model TKDN = utklhka kk tklk PNK tab / DW;
TKDL: Model TKDL = utkl UM ED tklk PNL PUKT / DW;
PNK: Model PNK = HKT PNL pukt TAB KRE /Noint DW;
PNL: Model PNL = HTP hti at PNK PUKT TA B KRE / Noint DW;
KPT: Model KPT = HJ AK KK KNP KRE / DW;
KNP: Model KNP = UM AK KPT PNL KT / Noint DW;
IE: Model IE = HK hshuhtihhk um eda k IP pnl INV / DW;
IH: Model IH = hg hth IP KRE INV / DW;
IP: Model IP = AT IS pro PRT /No int DW;
TAB: Model TA B = SB hti PD / Noint DW;
KRE: Model KRE = SB HPU HO JPH tab JB KT IH /Noint DW;
;
TKK: Identity TKK = TKDK + TKLK;
TKD: Identity TKD = TKDK + TKDN + TKDL;
TKL: Identity TKL = TKLK + TKLN + TKLL;
TK: Identity TK = TKD + TKL;
CK: Identity CK = TKD + CKL;
BS: Identity BS = BS + 0;
BTK: Identity BTK = BTK + 0;
BUK: Identity BUK = BS + BTK;
PUK: Identity PUK = PUK + 0;
PUKT: Identity PUKT = PUK - BUK;
PRT: Identity PRT = PUKT + PNK + PNL;
PD: Identity PD = PRT - PBB;
KT: Identity KT = KPT + KNP + KL;
IS: Identity IS = IE + IH;
INV: Identity INV = IS + IP;
BRT: Identity BRT = KT + INV;
KJ: Identity KJ = PRO - KK;
PKp: Identity PKp = PKp + 0;
RUN;
;
LAMPIRAN 2. HasilEstimasi Model EkonomiRumahtangga PetaniKedelaiMetode 2SLS
ProSAS 13022012 Ujian Terbuka 31012012 By: RMS.
Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model LAP Dependent Variable LAP
Label Luas Areal Panen(Ha) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 8 76.99921 9.624901 136.30 <.0001 Error 241 17.01830 0.070615
Corrected Total 249 98.00149
Root MSE 0.26574 R-Square 0.81899 Dependent Mean 0.65980 Adj R-Sq 0.81298 CoeffVar 40.27516
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label Intercept 1 0.066704 0.351519 0.19 0.8497 Intercept
HK 1 0.000072 0.000029 2.47 0.0143 HargaKedela i(Rp/Kg ) HJ 1 -0.00022 0.000065 -3.45 0.0007 HargaJagung (Rp/Kg) HKH 1 -0.00002 0.000028 -0.87 0.3827 HargaKacangHj(Rp/Kg) HPU 1 -0.00017 0.000263 -0.66 0.5125 HargaPpk.Urea(Rp/Kg) AT 1 2.55E-9 4.55E-10 5.60 <.0001 Asset Total (Rp) JB 1 0.010007 0.000990 10.11 <.0001 Jmlh BenihKede lai(Kg) TKDK 1 0.002492 0.000401 6.22 <.0001 TK DlmKlrgKdl (HOK) PRT 1 1.66E-8 4.838E-9 3.43 0.0007 PendapatanRT.Ttl(Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.439768
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation 0.277378
Model PRO Dependent Variable PRO
Label ProduksiKedela i(Kg) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 7 1.6709E8 23870168 183.23 <.0001 Error 242 31525801 130271.9
Corrected Total 249 2.2944E8
Root MSE 360.93200 R-Square 0.84127 Dependent Mean 853.10400 Adj R-Sq 0.83668 CoeffVar 42.30809
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label Intercept 1 1168.302 320.0019 3.65 0.0003 Intercept
HB 1 -0.17114 0.038576 -4.44 <.0001 HargaBen ihKdl(Rp/Kg) HPS 1 -0.19309 0.194336 -0.99 0.3214 Hrg PSp36/Tsp(Rp/Kg) HZ 1 -0.00246 0.001524 -1.62 0.1076 HargaZpt/Ppc(Rp/ Lt) HR 1 -0.09223 0.027695 -3.33 0.0010 HargaRh izo+(Rp/Sch) LAP 1 250.1141 115.9366 2.16 0.0320 Luas Areal Panen(Ha) KRE 1 0.000458 0.000126 3.64 0.0003 KreditPe rtanian(Rp) PUK 1 0.000274 0.000034 8.14 <.0001 Penerimaan Ut.Kd l(Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.61638
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation 0.163261
Model JB Dependent Variable JB
Label Jmlh BenihKede lai(Kg) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 6 185909.2 30984.86 152.85 <.0001 Error 243 49258.15 202.7084
Corrected Total 249 229920.7
Root MSE 14.23757 R-Square 0.79054 Dependent Mean 31.92800 Adj R-Sq 0.78537 CoeffVar 44.59274
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label Intercept 1 50.34381 6.438580 7.82 <.0001 Intercept
HB 1 -0.00579 0.001520 -3.81 0.0002 HargaBen ihKdl(Rp/Kg) HZ 1 -0.00019 0.000059 -3.22 0.0015 HargaZpt/Ppc(Rp/ Lt) HR 1 -0.00634 0.001050 -6.04 <.0001 HargaRh izo+(Rp/Sch) LAP 1 20.97170 4.425472 4.74 <.0001 Luas Areal Panen(Ha) KRE 1 7.06E-6 4.95E-6 1.43 0.1551 KreditPe rtanian(Rp) PUK 1 6.546E-6 1.266E-6 5.17 <.0001 Penerimaan Ut.Kd l(Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.35467
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation 0.314543
Model JPU Dependent Variable JPU
Label JmlhPupuk Urea (Kg) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 8 221451.1 27681.39 10.92 <.0001 Error 241 611111.6 2535.733
Corrected Total 249 845947.5
Root MSE 50.35606 R-Square 0.26599 Dependent Mean 49.22400 Adj R-Sq 0.24162 CoeffVar 102.29982
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label Intercept 1 73.23491 18.01896 4.06 <.0001 Intercept
Hkpu 1 10.53485 5.754650 1.83 0.0684 RasioHgKd l/HgPUrea HB 1 -0.01359 0.005822 -2.33 0.0204 HargaBen ihKdl(Rp/Kg) HO 1 -0.00050 0.000139 -3.61 0.0004 HrgObat/Pest(Rp/Lt ) HZ 1 -0.00055 0.000215 -2.54 0.0118 HargaZpt/Ppc(Rp/ Lt) JPH 1 0.004604 0.004616 1.00 0.3196 JmlhPHijau/Kdng(Kg ) PNK 1 4.236E-6 1.504E-6 2.82 0.0052 PndapatnNonKdl (Rp) PNL 1 1.128E-6 1.265E-6 0.89 0.3734 PndapatnNUtLain (Rp ) PUK 1 7.359E-6 2.143E-6 3.43 0.0007 Penerimaan Ut.Kd l(Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.677979
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation 0.054992
Model JPS Dependent Variable JPS
Label JmlhPp k.Sp 36/Tsp(Kg) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 7 111436.8 15919.54 13.89 <.0001 Error 242 277441.2 1146.451
Corrected Total 249 399138.7
Root MSE 33.85928 R-Square 0.28656 Dependent Mean 35.41600 Adj R-Sq 0.26592 CoeffVar 95.60448
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label Intercept 1 -0.66949 12.26134 -0.05 0.9565 Intercept
Hkps 1 11.86229 5.619310 2.11 0.0358 RasioHgKd l/HgPSpTsp HB 1 -0.00573 0.003970 -1.44 0.1501 HargaBen ihKdl(Rp/Kg) HZ 1 -0.00035 0.000148 -2.40 0.0171 HargaZpt/Ppc(Rp/ Lt) DA 1 4.111293 4.736468 0.87 0.3862 Du mmyAreaMilikSdr=1 LAP 1 13.69883 6.933913 1.98 0.0493 Luas Areal Panen(Ha) TKLK 1 0.131396 0.042733 3.07 0.0023 TK LuarKlrgKd l(HOK) PNK 1 2.203E-6 1.212E-6 1.82 0.0703 PndapatnNonKdl (Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.788806
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation 0.044793
Model JPK Dependent Variable JPK
Label JmlhPp k.Kcl/Za (Kg ) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 8 85252.21 10656.53 15.81 <.0001 Error 241 162479.7 674.1897
Corrected Total 249 244065.8
Root MSE 25.96516 R-Square 0.34413 Dependent Mean 20.21200 Adj R-Sq 0.32236 CoeffVar 128.46409
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label Intercept 1 8.786600 9.349009 0.94 0.3482 Intercept
Hkp k 1 1.353340 4.249404 0.32 0.7504 RasioHgKd l/HgPKclZa HB 1 -0.00254 0.003052 -0.83 0.4062 HargaBen ihKdl(Rp/Kg) HO 1 -0.00006 0.000071 -0.89 0.3750 HrgObat/Pest(Rp/Lt ) HZ 1 -0.00014 0.000114 -1.21 0.2265 HargaZpt/Ppc(Rp/ Lt) JPH 1 0.001978 0.002378 0.83 0.4065 JmlhPHijau/Kdng(Kg ) LAP 1 9.972467 9.158262 1.09 0.2773 Luas Areal Panen(Ha) PNK 1 2.379E-6 9.444E-7 2.52 0.0124 PndapatnNonKdl (Rp) PUK 1 3.465E-6 2.104E-6 1.65 0.1008 Penerimaan Ut.Kd l(Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.570851
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation 0.135812
Model JO Dependent Variable JO
Label Jmlh Obat/Pestsd(Lt) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 8 267.5056 33.43820 14.91 <.0001 Error 241 540.4225 2.242417
Corrected Total 249 794.7492
Root MSE 1.49747 R-Square 0.33110 Dependent Mean 1.21560 Adj R-Sq 0.30890 CoeffVar 123.18774
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label Intercept 1 3.927157 0.871148 4.51 <.0001 Intercept
HO 1 -0.00002 4.138E-6 -4.90 <.0001 HrgObat/Pest(Rp/Lt ) HB 1 -0.00032 0.000166 -1.90 0.0582 HargaBen ihKdl(Rp/Kg) HZ 1 -7.82E-6 6.433E-6 -1.22 0.2252 HargaZpt/Ppc(Rp/ Lt) HR 1 -0.00033 0.000129 -2.57 0.0108 HargaRh izo+(Rp/Sch) JPH 1 0.000081 0.000137 0.59 0.5557 JmlhPHijau/Kdng(Kg ) DI 1 0.271045 0.294409 0.92 0.3582 Du mmyIrigasiTe knis=1 PNK 1 8.193E-8 4.641E-8 1.77 0.0788 PndapatnNonKdl (Rp) PUK 1 3.326E-7 6.409E-8 5.19 <.0001 Penerimaan Ut.Kd l(Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.78933
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation -0.07583
Model JZ Dependent Variable JZ
Label Jumlah ZPT/Ppc (Lt) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 6 342.2634 57.04390 16.45 <.0001 Error 243 842.7477 3.468098
Corrected Total 249 1146.934
Root MSE 1.86228 R-Square 0.28883 Dependent Mean 1.18640 Adj R-Sq 0.27127 CoeffVar 156.96923
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label Intercept 1 3.282425 0.892788 3.68 0.0003 Intercept
HZ 1 -0.00003 7.923E-6 -3.63 0.0003 HargaZpt/Ppc(Rp/ Lt) HB 1 -0.00023 0.000206 -1.13 0.2595 HargaBen ihKdl(Rp/Kg) HO 1 -0.00001 4.939E-6 -2.67 0.0082 HrgObat/Pest(Rp/Lt ) HR 1 -0.00032 0.000127 -2.52 0.0124 HargaRh izo+(Rp/Sch) PNK 1 2.112E-7 5.483E-8 3.85 0.0002 PndapatnNonKdl (Rp) PUK 1 2.826E-7 7.913E-8 3.57 0.0004 Penerimaan Ut.Kd l(Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.646834
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation 0.017281
Model JR Dependent Variable JR
Label Jmlh Rhizo+ (Sachet) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 8 220.2451 27.53064 9.68 <.0001 Error 241 685.5052 2.844420
Corrected Total 249 875.4240
Root MSE 1.68654 R-Square 0.24316 Dependent Mean 1.95200 Adj R-Sq 0.21804 CoeffVar 86.40066
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Va lue Pr> |t | Label Intercept 1 3.610284 1.996962 1.81 0.0719 Intercept
HR 1 -0.00015 0.000115 -1.29 0.1989 HargaRh izo+(Rp/Sch) HB 1 -0.00014 0.000182 -0.75 0.4529 HargaBen ihKdl(Rp/Kg) HPU 1 -0.00126 0.001624 -0.78 0.4387 HargaPpk.Urea(Rp/Kg) HO 1 -8.4E-6 4.674E-6 -1.80 0.0737 HrgObat/Pest(Rp/Lt ) HZ 1 -5.03E-6 7.306E-6 -0.69 0.4916 HargaZpt/Ppc(Rp/ Lt) JPH 1 0.000429 0.000156 2.76 0.0063 JmlhPHijau/Kdng(Kg ) LAP 1 1.228472 0.334269 3.68 0.0003 Luas Areal Panen(Ha) PRT 1 4.458E-8 3.514E-8 1.27 0.2058 PendapatanRT.Ttl(Rp) Durbin-Watson 2.022777
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation -0.13027
Model TKDK Dependent Variable TKDK
Label TK DlmKlrgKdl (HOK) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 8 258911.9 32363.98 9.27 <.0001 Error 241 841474.0 3491.593
Corrected Total 249 1084800
Root MSE 59.08971 R-Square 0.23529 Dependent Mean 102.49600 Adj R-Sq 0.20991 CoeffVar 57.65074
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label Intercept 1 93.41927 27.85522 3.35 0.0009 Intercept
UTKL 1 -0.00141 0.002389 -0.59 0.5558 UpahTKLuarKl(Rp/HOK) UM 1 -0.75052 0.395901 -1.90 0.0592 UmurPetani (Th )
ED 1 -3.66962 1.374443 -2.67 0.0081 La ma Pendidikan (Th) AKK 1 5.591721 2.898532 1.93 0.0549 AngktnKerjaKlg(Orng) DG 1 23.91475 11.63580 2.06 0.0409 Du mmy Gender Laki2=1 LAP 1 29.65159 11.97117 2.48 0.0139 Luas Areal Panen(Ha) JPS 1 0.384268 0.221722 1.73 0.0844 JmlhPp k.Sp 36/Tsp(Kg) TAB 1 1.367E-6 1.059E-6 1.29 0.1983 Tabungan (Rp)
Durbin-Watson 1.22171 Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation 0.373101
Model TKLK Dependent Variable TKLK
Label TK LuarKlrgKd l(HOK) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 7 395359.4 56479.91 11.47 <.0001 Error 242 1191913 4925.260
Corrected Total 249 1428711
Root MSE 70.18020 R-Square 0.24908 Dependent Mean 160.75200 Adj R-Sq 0.22736 CoeffVar 43.65743
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label Intercept 1 173.6533 30.88286 5.62 <.0001 Intercept
UTKL 1 -0.00545 0.002770 -1.97 0.0502 UpahTKLuarKl(Rp/HOK) UM 1 -0.38456 0.455396 -0.84 0.3993 UmurPetani (Th )
ED 1 -1.49175 1.798996 -0.83 0.4078 La ma Pendidikan (Th) DS 1 25.28731 12.90813 1.96 0.0513 Du mmySkillTa matSD=1 TKDL 1 -0.09211 0.094922 -0.97 0.3328 TKDlmKlgNUt Lain(HOK) JPS 1 1.173357 0.239377 4.90 <.0001 JmlhPp k.Sp 36/Tsp(Kg) PUK 1 5.371E-6 2.901E-6 1.85 0.0653 Penerimaan Ut.Kd l(Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.610027
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation 0.115075
Model TKDN Dependent Variable TKDN
Label TKDlmKlgNonKdl(HOK) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 6 348074.9 58012.48 10.81 <.0001 Error 243 1303675 5364.917
Corrected Total 249 1614578
Root MSE 73.24559 R-Square 0.21073 Dependent Mean 142.01600 Adj R-Sq 0.19124 CoeffVar 51.57559
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label Intercept 1 90.92766 28.26124 3.22 0.0015 Intercept
UTKL 1 -0.00237 0.003088 -0.77 0.4444 UpahTKLuarKl(Rp/HOK) HK 1 0.008825 0.008036 1.10 0.2732 HargaKedela i(Rp/Kg ) AKK 1 3.764380 3.383508 1.11 0.2670 AngktnKerjaKlg(Orng) TKLK 1 -0.08005 0.089692 -0.89 0.3730 TK LuarKlrgKd l(HOK) PNK 1 9.348E-6 2.394E-6 3.90 0.0001 PndapatnNonKdl (Rp) TAB 1 1.353E-6 1.383E-6 0.98 0.3290 Tabungan (Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.283914
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation 0.357558
Model TKDL Dependent Variable TKDL
Label TKDlmKlgNUt Lain(HOK) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 6 361364.4 60227.40 11.74 <.0001 Error 243 1246706 5130.479
Corrected Total 249 1426037
Root MSE 71.62736 R-Square 0.22472 Dependent Mean 106.41200 Adj R-Sq 0.20558 CoeffVar 67.31136
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label Intercept 1 115.1008 32.43410 3.55 0.0005 Intercept
UTKL 1 -0.00112 0.002960 -0.38 0.7047 UpahTKLuarKl(Rp/HOK) UM 1 -0.63897 0.448221 -1.43 0.1553 UmurPetani (Th )
ED 1 -4.06150 1.653320 -2.46 0.0147 La ma Pendidikan (Th) TKLK 1 -0.09087 0.082401 -1.10 0.2712 TK LuarKlrgKd l(HOK) PNL 1 0.000014 1.882E-6 7.66 <.0001 PndapatnNUtLain (Rp ) PUKT 1 5.206E-6 2.862E-6 1.82 0.0702 PndapatnUtKdlTtl(Rp) Durbin-Watson 2.096008
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation -0.0517
Model PNK Dependent Variable PNK
Label PndapatnNonKdl (Rp) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 5 6.555E15 1.311E15 162.47 <.0001 Error 245 1.977E15 8.069E12
UncorrectedTotal 250 8.268E15
Root MSE 2840569.91 R-Square 0.76828 Dependent Mean 4267716.82 Adj R-Sq 0.76356 CoeffVar 66.55948
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label
HKT 1 225.3152 141.1018 1.60 0.1116 HargaKacngTnh(Rp/Kg) PNL 1 -0.18535 0.074212 -2.50 0.0132 PndapatnNUtLain (Rp ) PUKT 1 -0.11844 0.157170 -0.75 0.4518 PndapatnUtKdlTtl(Rp) TAB 1 0.421136 0.044515 9.46 <.0001 Tabungan (Rp) KRE 1 4.800250 0.765457 6.27 <.0001 KreditPe rtanian(Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.700394
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation 0.144237
Model PNL Dependent Variable PNL
Label PndapatnNUtLain (Rp ) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 7 6.395E15 9.135E14 81.38 <.0001 Error 243 2.728E15 1.123E13
UncorrectedTotal 250 1.027E16
Root MSE 3350491.76 R-Square 0.70098 Dependent Mean 4751787.20 Adj R-Sq 0.69237 CoeffVar 70.51014
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label
HTp 1 1683.705 302.0322 5.57 <.0001 HargaTe mpe(Rp/0.5Kg) HTI 1 0.481391 0.694317 0.69 0.4888 Hrg Rata2Tnk/Ikan(Rp) AT 1 0.005364 0.006305 0.85 0.3958 Asset Total (Rp) PNK 1 -0.33056 0.132951 -2.49 0.0136 PndapatnNonKdl (Rp) PUKT 1 -0.47292 0.211564 -2.24 0.0263 PndapatnUtKdlTtl(Rp) TAB 1 0.426002 0.070642 6.03 <.0001 Tabungan (Rp) KRE 1 1.616235 1.205117 1.34 0.1811 KreditPe rtanian(Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.998463
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation -0.00688
Model KPT Dependent Variable KPT
Label KonsumsiPngTunai(Rp) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 5 7.168E10 1.434E10 33.09 <.0001 Error 244 1.057E11 4.3325E8
Corrected Total 249 1.678E11
Root MSE 20814.7596 R-Square 0.40407 Dependent Mean 25458.5600 Adj R-Sq 0.39186 CoeffVar 81.75938
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label Intercept 1 15819.43 7394.888 2.14 0.0334 Intercept
HJ 1 -7.51611 4.704050 -1.60 0.1114 HargaJagung (Rp/Kg) AK 1 1583.559 1078.094 1.47 0.1432 AnggotaKlrg (Orang) KK 1 376.3395 48.47550 7.76 <.0001 KonsumsiKedela i(Kg) KNP 1 -0.00304 0.001079 -2.82 0.0052 KonsumsiNonPngn(Rp) KRE 1 0.015452 0.006903 2.24 0.0261 KreditPe rtanian(Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.520251
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation 0.232679
Model KNP Dependent Variable KNP
Label KonsumsiNonPngn(Rp) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 5 8.858E15 1.772E15 1408.68 <.0001 Error 245 3.081E14 1.258E12
UncorrectedTotal 250 9.717E15
Root MSE 1121449.96 R-Square 0.96638 Dependent Mean 5785780.00 Adj R-Sq 0.96570 CoeffVar 19.38287
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label
UM 1 15917.22 4620.937 3.44 0.0007 UmurPetani (Th ) AK 1 211566.5 51044.27 4.14 <.0001 AnggotaKlrg (Orang) KPT 1 -7.00978 3.899695 -1.80 0.0735 KonsumsiPngTunai(Rp) PNL 1 0.062295 0.027446 2.27 0.0241 PndapatnNUtLain (Rp ) KT 1 0.488622 0.030000 16.29 <.0001 KonsumsiRT.Total(Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.917981
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation 0.037948
Model IE Dependent Variable IE
Label InvestasiPdidikn(Rp) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 11 7.112E11 6.466E10 51.32 <.0001 Error 238 2.999E11 1.2599E9
Corrected Total 249 2.627E12
Root MSE 35495.2215 R-Square 0.70343 Dependent Mean 64235.4000 Adj R-Sq 0.68972 CoeffVar 55.25804
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label Intercept 1 -74899.8 21011.88 -3.56 0.0004 Intercept
HK 1 11.02389 4.088518 2.70 0.0075 HargaKedela i(Rp/Kg ) HS 1 17.55448 21.90169 0.80 0.4236 HargaSingkong(Rp/Kg) HU 1 11.21535 18.58377 0.60 0.5467 HargaUb iJala r(Rp/Kg) HTI 1 0.004974 0.007300 0.68 0.4963 Hrg Rata2Tnk/Ikan(Rp) HHK 1 1.106450 2.074445 0.53 0.5943 Hrg Rata2HslKebun(Rp) UM 1 179.7959 229.3207 0.78 0.4338 UmurPetani (Th ) ED 1 1094.343 838.6213 1.30 0.1932 La ma Pendidikan (Th) AK 1 1392.739 1790.101 0.78 0.4373 AnggotaKlrg (Orang) IP 1 -0.81980 0.045379 -18.07 <.0001 InvestasiProPert(Rp) PNL 1 0.000898 0.000963 0.93 0.3524 PndapatnNUtLain (Rp ) INV 1 0.817995 0.045067 18.15 <.0001 InvestasiRT.Ttl(Rp) Durbin-Watson 2.02147
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation -0.01207
Model IH Dependent Variable IH
Label InvestasiKsehatn(Rp) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 5 2.345E10 4.6892E9 3.67 0.0032 Error 244 3.121E11 1.2793E9
Corrected Total 249 3.973E11
Root MSE 35766.6412 R-Square 0.06987 Dependent Mean 27338.0000 Adj R-Sq 0.05081 CoeffVar 130.83123
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label Intercept 1 -18268.7 21241.87 -0.86 0.3906 Intercept
HG 1 17.95468 16.37675 1.10 0.2740 Harga GabahKP(Rp/Kg) HTh 1 4.569207 5.578002 0.82 0.4135 HargaTahu(Rp/0.5Kg) IP 1 -0.11150 0.041650 -2.68 0.0079 InvestasiProPert(Rp) KRE 1 0.016546 0.009100 1.82 0.0703 KreditPe rtanian(Rp) INV 1 0.111192 0.041353 2.69 0.0077 InvestasiRT.Ttl(Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.94772
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation 0.02582
Model IP Dependent Variable IP
Label InvestasiProPert(Rp) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 4 3.986E14 9.965E13 19.86 <.0001 Error 246 1.234E15 5.017E12
UncorrectedTotal 250 1.624E15
Root MSE 2239873.41 R-Square 0.24413 Dependent Mean 668290.000 Adj R-Sq 0.23184 CoeffVar 335.16489
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label
AT 1 0.007940 0.004378 1.81 0.0710 Asset Total (Rp) IS 1 -3.70737 2.469641 -1.50 0.1346 InvestasiSmbrDy(Rp) PRO 1 336.1520 281.6674 1.19 0.2338 ProduksiKedela i(Kg) PRT 1 0.042096 0.030789 1.37 0.1728 PendapatanRT.Ttl(Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.895376
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation -0.11819
Model TAB Dependent Variable TAB
Label Tabungan (Rp) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 3 9.633E15 3.211E15 116.28 <.0001 Error 247 6.821E15 2.761E13
UncorrectedTotal 250 2.023E16
Root MSE 5254943.72 R-Square 0.58545 Dependent Mean 4407145.48 Adj R-Sq 0.58042 CoeffVar 119.23690
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label
SB 1 -103469 29648.50 -3.49 0.0006 SukuBungaKred it(%/T) HTI 1 1.177352 0.982198 1.20 0.2318 Hrg Rata2Tnk/Ikan(Rp) PD 1 0.690053 0.060566 11.39 <.0001 PndptnDisposable(Rp ) Durbin-Watson 1.718713
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation 0.129546
Model KRE Dependent Variable KRE
Label KreditPe rtanian(Rp) Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Va lue Pr> F Model 8 9.367E13 1.171E13 74.06 <.0001 Error 242 3.826E13 1.581E11
UncorrectedTotal 250 1.305E14
Root MSE 397627.951 R-Square 0.71000 Dependent Mean 556787.500 Adj R-Sq 0.70041 CoeffVar 71.41467
Para meter Estimates
Para meter Standard Variable
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr> |t | Label
SB 1 11827.49 3537.559 3.34 0.0010 SukuBungaKred it(%/T) HPU 1 -175.960 107.4666 -1.64 0.1029 HargaPpk.Urea(Rp/Kg) HO 1 -2.06696 1.102620 -1.87 0.0621 HrgObat/Pest(Rp/Lt ) JPH 1 52.14107 38.05726 1.37 0.1719 JmlhPHijau/Kdng(Kg ) TAB 1 0.004139 0.005591 0.74 0.4598 Tabungan (Rp) JB 1 4173.824 1103.497 3.78 0.0002 Jmlh BenihKede lai(Kg) KT 1 0.047838 0.010441 4.58 <.0001 KonsumsiRT.Total(Rp) IH 1 2.799003 1.566713 1.79 0.0753 InvestasiKsehatn(Rp) Durbin-Watson 1.750627
Nu mber of Observations 250 First-Order Autocorrelation 0.123013
LAMPIRAN 3. Program Validasi Model EkonomiRumahtangga PetaniKedelaidenganMetodeSolusi Newton
Options NoDateNoNu mbe rNo Center;
Data DELE;
Set SatuDuaTiga Empat Lima Ena mTu juhDelapan Se mb ilan;
Merge SatuDuaTiga Empat Lima Ena mTu juhDelapan Se mb ilan;
BS = (JB* HB)+((JPU*HPU)+(JPS* HPS)+(JPK* HPK))+((JO*HO)+(JZ* HZ)+(JR* HR));
BTK = (TKLK)*(UTKL);
PUK = (PRO)*(HK);
PUKT = PUK - BS - BTK;
PKp = (PRO)/(LAP);
Hkpu = (Hk/Hpu);
Hkps = (Hk/Hps);
Hkp k = (Hk/Hpk);
If DA>0 Then DA =1; Else DA=0;
If DI>0 Then DI=1; Else DI=0;
If DG>0 Then DG=1; Else DG=0;
If DS>0 Then DS=1; Else DS=0;
Label DA = Du mmyArea "MilikSdr=1"
DI = Du mmyIrigasi"Teknis=1"
DG = Du mmy Gender "La ki2=1"
DS = Du mmySkill "Ta matSD=1"
Hkpu = RasioHgKd l/HgPUrea Hkps = RasioHgKd l/HgPSpTsp Hkp k = RasioHgKd l/HgPKclZa BS = BiayaSa ranaProd(Rp) BTK = BiayaTenagaKerja(Rp) PUK = PenerimaanUt.Kd l(Rp) PUKT = PndapatnUtKdlTtl(Rp) PKp = ProdtvtKdlPnn(Kg/Ha);
;
Title 04 Prosedur SIMNLIN ProSA S 13022012 UT31012012 by:RMS;
Proc SIMNLIN Data=DELE Type=N2SLS Ne wton Ma xIter=50 Converge=1E-8 Simu late Stats Out=Kedele OutactualOutpredictTheilNoprint ;
Endogenous LAP PRO JB JPU JPS JPK JO JZ JR TKDK TKLK TKDN TKDL PNK PNL KPT KNP IE IH IP TAB KRE TKK TKD TKL TK CK BS BTK BUK PUK PUKT PRT PD KT IS INV BRT KJ PKp ; Exogenous HK HG HJ HS HU HKT HKH HB
HPU HPS HPK HO HZ HR HTp HTh HTI HHK UTKL UM ED AKK AK AT SB PBB KL KK TKLN TKLL CKL JPH DA DI DG DS Hkpu Hkps Hkp k ;
Parms
a0 0.066704 a1 0.000072 a2 -0.00022 a 3 -0.00002 a 4 -0.00017 a5 2.55E-9 a6 0.010007 a7 0.002492 a 8 1.66E-8
b0 1168.302 b 1 -0.17114 b2 -0.19309 b3 -0.00246 b4 -0.09223 b5 250.1141 b 6 0.000458 b7 0.000274
c0 50.34381 c1 -0.00579 c 2 -0.00019 c 3 -0.00634 c 4 20.97170 c5 7.06E-6 c6 6.546E-6
d0 73.23491 d 1 10.53485 d2 -0.01359 d3 -0.00050 d4 -0.00055 d5 0.004604 d 6 4.236E-6 d7 1.128E-6 d8 7.359E-6
e0 -0.66949 e1 11.86229 e 2 -0.00573 e 3 -0.00035 e 4 4.111293 e5 13.69883 e6 0.131396 e7 2.203E-6
f0 8.786600 f1 1.353340 f2 -0.00254 f3 -0.00006 f4 -0.00014 f5 0.001978 f6 9.972467 f7 2.379E-6 f8 3.465E-6
g0 3.927157 g 1 -0.00002 g2 -0.00032 g3 -7.82E-6 g 4 -0.00033 g5 0.000081 g 6 0.271045 g7 8.193E-8 g 8 3.326E-7
h0 3.282425 h 1 -0.00003 h2 -0.00023 h3 -0.00001 h4 -0.00032 h5 2.112E-7 h6 2.826E-7
i0 3.610284 i1 -0.00015 i2 -0.00014 i3 -0.00126 i4 -8.4E-6 i5 -5.03E-6 i6 0.000429 i7 1.228472 i8 4.458E-8
j0 93.41927 j1 -0.00141 j2 -0.75052 j3 -3.66962 j4 5.591721 j5 23.91475 j6 29.65159 j7 0.384268 j8 1.367E-6
k0 173.6533 k1 -0.00545 k2 -0.38456 k3 -1.49175 k4 25.28731 k5 -0.09211 k6 1.173357 k7 5.371E-6
l0 90.92766 l1 -0.00237 l2 0.008825 l3 3.764380 l4 -0.08005 l5 9.348E-6 l6 1.353E-6
m0 115.1008 m1 -0.00112 m2 -0.63897 m3 -4.06150 m4 -0.09087 m5 0.000014 m6 5.206E-6
n1 225.3152 n 2 -0.18535 n3 -0.11844 n4 0.421136 n 5 4.800250 o1 1683.705 o 2 0.481391 o3 0.005364 o4 -0.33056 o 5 -0.47292 o6 0.426002 o 7 1.616235
p0 15819.43 p 1 -7.51611 p2 1583.559 p3 376.3395 p 4 -0.00304 p5 0.015452
q1 15917.22 q 2 211566.5 q 3 -7.00978 q4 0.062295 q 5 0.488622 r0 -74899.8 r1 11.02389 r2 17.55448 r3 11.21535 r4 0.004974 r5 1.106450 r6 179.7959 r7 1094.343 r8 1392.739 r9 -0.81980 r10 0.000898 r11 0.817995
s0 -18268.7 s1 17.95468 s2 4.569207 s3 -0.11150 s4 0.016546 s5 0.111192
t1 0.007940 t 2 -3.70737 t 3 336.1520 t4 0.042096 u1 -103469 u2 1.177352 u3 0.690053
v1 11827.49 v 2 -175.960 v3 -2.06696 v4 52.14107 v5 0.004139 v6 4173.824 v 7 0.047838 v8 2.799003 ;
;
LAP = a0 +a 1*HK +a2* HJ +a3*hkh +a4*hpu +a5*AT +a6*JB +a 7*TKDK +a 8*PRT;
PRO = b0 +b1* HB +b 2*hps +b3*HZ +b4*HR +b5* LAP +b6* KRE +b7*PUK;
JB = c0 +c 1*HB +c 2*HZ +c3* HR +c4* LAP +c5* KRE +c6*PUK;
JPU = d0 +d1* (HK/HPU) +d 2*HB +d3* HO +d4* HZ +d5*jph +d6*PNK +d7*pnl +d8*PUK;
JPS = e0 +e 1*(HK/ HPS) +e2* HB +e 3*HZ +e 4*da +e 5*LAP +e 6*TKLK +e 7*PNK;
JPK = f0 +f1*(hk/hpk) +f2*hb +f3*HO +f4*h z +f5*jph +f6* lap +f7*PNK +f8*PUK;
JO = g0 +g1* HO +g 2*HB +g3*hz +g4* HR +g 5*jph +g 6*di +g7*PNK +g 8*PUK;
JZ = h0 +h1* HZ +h2*hb +h3* HO +h4* HR +h 5*PNK +h6*PUK;
JR = i0 +i1* HR +i2*hb +i3*hpu +i4*HO +i5*hz +i6*JPH +i7* LAP +i8*prt;
TKDK = j0 +j1*utkl +j2*UM +j3*ED +j4*AKK +j5*DG +j6* LAP +j7*JPS +j8*TA B;
TKLK = k0 + k1*UTKL +k2*u m +k3*ed +k4*DS +k5*t kdl +k6*JPS +k7*PUK;
TKDN = l0 +l1*utkl +l2*hk +l3*a kk +l4*tklk +l5*PNK +l6*tab;
TKDL = m0 +m1*utkl +m2*UM +m3* ED +m4*tklk +m5*PNL +m6*PUKT;
PNK = n1* HKT +n2* PNL +n 3*pukt +n4*TAB +n 5*KRE;
PNL = o1* HTP +o2*hti +o3*at +o 4*PNK +o5*PUKT +o6*TAB +o 7*KRE;
KPT = p0 +p1* HJ +p2*AK +p3* KK +p4* KNP +p5*KRE;
KNP = q1* UM +q 2*AK +q 3*KPT +q 4*PNL +q 5*KT;
IE = r0 +r1*HK +r2*hs +r3*hu +r4*hti +r5*hhk +r6*um +r7*ed +r8*ak +r9*IP +r10*pnl +r11*INV;
IH = s0 +s1*hg +s2*hth +s3*IP +s4*KRE +s5*INV;
IP = t1*AT +t2*IS +t 3*pro +t4*PRT;
TAB = u1*SB +u2*hti +u3*PD;
KRE = v1*SB +v2* HPU +v3*HO +v4*JPH +v5*tab +v6*JB +v7* KT +v8*IH;
;
TKK = TKDK + TKLK;
TKD = TKDK + TKDN + TKDL;
TKL = TKLK + TKLN + TKLL;
TK = TKD + TKL;
CK = TKD + CKL;
BS = (JB* HB)+((JPU*HPU)+(JPS* HPS)+(JPK* HPK))+((JO*HO)+(JZ* HZ)+(JR* HR));
BTK = (TKLK)*(UTKL);
BUK = BS + BTK;
PUK = (PRO)*(HK);
PUKT = PUK - BUK;
PRT = PUKT + PNK + PNL;
PD = PRT - PBB;
KT = KPT + KNP + KL;
IS = IE + IH;
INV = IS + IP;
BRT = KT + INV;
KJ = PRO - KK;
PKp = (PRO)/(LAP);
RUN;
LAMPIRAN 4. HasilValidasi Model EkonomiRumahtangga PetaniKedelaidenganMetodeSolusi Newton
ProSAS 13022012 Ujian Terbuka 31012012 By: RMS.
The SIMNLIN Proce dure - Simul taneous Simulation Descripti ve Statistics
Ac tual Predicte d
Vari able Nobs N Me an StdDe v Mean StdDe v Label
LAP 250 250 0.6598 0.6274 0.7867 2.2916 Luas Areal Panen(Ha) PRO 250 250 853.10 959.90 1054.8 5454.2 ProduksiKedela i(Kg) JB 250 250 31.928 30.387 38.535 161.30 Jmlh BenihKede lai(Kg) JPU 250 250 49.224 58.287 56.327 155.80 JmlhPupuk Urea (Kg) JPS 250 250 35.416 40.037 39.583 73.674 JmlhPp k.Sp 36/Tsp(Kg) JPK 250 250 20.212 31.308 25.062 100.10 JmlhPp k.Kcl/Za (Kg ) JO 250 250 1.2156 1.7866 1.4669 6.1802 Jmlh Obat/Pestsd(Lt) JZ 250 250 1.1864 2.1462 1.6732 6.4668 Jumlah ZPT/Ppc (Lt) JR 250 250 1.9520 1.8750 2.1468 3.7367 Jmlh Rhizo+ (Sachet) TKDK 250 250 102.50 66.005 109.60 115.20 TK DlmKlrgKdl (HOK) TKLK 250 250 160.80 75.748 168.50 169.60 TK LuarKlrgKd l(HOK) TKDN 250 250 142.00 80.525 148.70 86.717 TKDlmKlgNonKdl(HOK) TKDL 250 250 106.40 75.677 109.10 35.529 TKDlmKlgNUt Lain(HOK) PNK 250 250 4267717 3862284 4870966 8629986 PndapatnNonKdl (Rp) PNL 250 250 4751787 4311062 4979984 2491605 PndapatnNUtLain (Rp ) KPT 250 250 25459 25957 26020 21031 KonsumsiPngTunai(Rp) KNP 250 250 5785780 2327017 5758605 1699883 KonsumsiNonPngn(Rp) IE 250 250 64235 102722 61977 181797 InvestasiPdidikn(Rp) IH 250 250 27338 39943 27461 34575 InvestasiKsehatn(Rp) IP 250 250 668290 2464677 1064774 2539331 InvestasiProPert(Rp) TAB 250 250 4407145 7857649 5680085 14214360 Tabungan (Rp) KRE 250 250 556788 461375 586007 835539 KreditPe rtanian(Rp) TKK 250 250 263.20 107.40 278.10 283.80 TenagaKerja Kdl(HOK) TKD 250 250 350.90 162.30 367.40 231.50 TKDa la mKe luarga(HOK) TKL 250 250 397.50 138.70 405.20 203.80 TK LuarKe luarga(HOK) TK 250 250 748.40 234.60 772.60 423.70 TenagaKerjaTtl(HOK) CK 250 250 745.80 261.80 762.30 283.60 CurahKe rjaTotal(HOK) BS 250 250 333315 312840 400467 1469621 BiayaSaranaProd(Rp) BTK 250 250 900822 471315 992536 1218663 BiayaTenagaKerja(Rp) BUK 250 250 1234163 633164 1393003 2649050 BiayaUt.Kede lai(Rp) PUK 250 250 1848492 2290849 2419060 16504283 Penerimaan Ut.Kd l(Rp) PUKT 250 250 614355 1966327 1026057 13924625 PndapatnUtKdlTtl(Rp) PRT 250 250 9633834 6937665 10877007 20529124 PendapatanRT.Ttl(Rp) PD 250 250 9599719 6912464 10842893 20520707 PndptnDisposable(Rp ) KT 250 250 8056117 3216638 8029504 3089718 KonsumsiRT.Total(Rp) IS 250 250 91573 114082 89438 214598 InvestasiSmbrDy(Rp) INV 250 250 759863 2475576 1154212 2607414 InvestasiRT.Ttl(Rp) BRT 250 250 8815980 4515198 9183716 4044894 PengeluaranRTTt l(Rp) KJ 250 250 804.40 928.30 1006.1 5449.60 KdlJual/ SurplusP(Kg ) PKp 250 250 1292.96 800.90 1340.8 1393.47 ProdtvtKdlPnn(Kg/Ha )
The SIMNLIN Proce dure - Simul taneous Simulation Statistics of fi t
Mean Me an% MeanAbs MeanAbs RMS RMS%
Vari able N Error Err or Error % Error Error Error
LAP 250 0.1269 16.101 0.8631 149.00 2.2164 341.00 PRO 250 201.70 60.580 1916.6 417.10 5426.1 1369.6 JB 250 6.6072 12.177 58.936 279.00 160.00 823.20 JPU 250 7.1032 641.50 72.751 1023.5 175.00 4953.6 JPS 250 4.1671 759.80 41.618 962.60 84.996 3160.8 JPK 250 4.8500 580.30 42.292 1426.3 104.50 4462.8 JO 250 0.2513 124.70 2.4656 325.00 6.6698 992.40 JZ 250 0.4868 710.00 2.8539 985.00 7.1362 4016.3 JR 250 0.1948 51.976 1.8707 113.60 4.1679 277.90 TKDK 250 7.1043 41.646 70.553 89.914 126.00 169.30 TKLK 250 7.7146 40.774 91.337 80.653 180.90 272.70 TKDN 250 6.7204 53.525 77.096 86.999 108.00 144.20 TKDL 250 2.6469 191.90 63.375 223.80 77.674 542.90 PNK 250 603249 100.50 4479782 164.70 8547061 324.90 PNL 250 228197 144.00 3418043 187.40 4743953 395.10 KPT 250 561.50 73.091 14468 100.90 23853 207.50 KNP 250 27175 9.8962 1587527 30.093 2199270 41.973 IE 250 2258.0 632.40 139013 4039.4 186913 8405.5 IH 250 122.80 367.10 32583 464.30 53262 1320.2 IP 250 396484 848.10 1642665 1161.7 3539954 2167.3 TAB 250 1272939 89219 8367244 129712 15579921 3910.0 KRE 250 29220 2519.5 500758 2590.2 927786 1003.6 TKK 250 14.819 20.043 135.60 57.823 292.20 153.20 TKD 250 16.472 27.598 163.60 59.330 258.90 95.186 TKL 250 7.7146 6.3746 91.337 23.932 180.90 43.677 TK 250 24.186 7.8368 214.00 28.746 409.60 49.162 CK 250 16.472 7.3635 163.60 23.545 258.90 36.340 BS 250 67152 32.416 559161 198.80 1509476 504.20 BTK 250 91713 40.774 544562 80.653 1250789 272.70 BUK 250 158840 28.914 1020731 88.680 2679959 236.40 PUK 250 570568 60.580 5314639 417.10 16413444 1370.0 PUKT 250 411703 61.381 4464397 2087.7 13838743 1184.0 PRT 250 1243174 47.151 9205839 112.30 20283226 229.10 PD 250 1243174 47.454 9205839 112.90 20283226 230.20 KT 250 26613 4.2026 1585816 20.810 2196402 27.508 IS 250 2135.2 148.60 162822 621.30 223528 1745.4 INV 250 394349 439.00 1601239 618.00 3561434 1030.9 BRT 250 367735 12.431 2428880 28.747 3965284 39.858 KJ 250 201.70 90.167 1916.6 478.00 5426.1 1647.9 PKp 250 1367.9 56.707 3563.9 461.20 25965 3132.6
The SIMNLIN Proce dure - Simul taneous Simulation Theil Forecast Err or Statistics
MS E Decomposition Pr oporti ons
Corr Bi as RegDistVar Covar Ine qualCoef
Vari able N MS E (R) (UM) (UR) (UD) (US) (UC) U1 U LAP 250 4.9125 0.25 0.00 0.92 0.07 0.56 0.44 2.4367 0.6660 PRO 250 29443042 0.11 0.00 0.97 0.03 0.68 0.32 4.2300 0.7948 JB 250 25593 0.13 0.00 0.96 0.04 0.67 0.33 3.6330 0.7633 JPU 250 30611 0.17 0.00 0.89 0.11 0.31 0.69 2.2960 0.7242 JPS 250 7224.4 0.03 0.00 0.78 0.22 0.16 0.84 1.5919 0.6209 JPK 250 10917 0.01 0.00 0.91 0.09 0.43 0.57 2.8078 0.7453 JO 250 44.486 0.15 0.00 0.93 0.07 0.43 0.57 3.0908 0.7849 JZ 250 50.925 0.16 0.00 0.91 0.09 0.37 0.63 2.9145 0.7828 JR 250 17.372 0.01 0.00 0.80 0.20 0.20 0.80 1.5413 0.5948 TKDK 250 15871 0.12 0.00 0.73 0.27 0.15 0.84 1.0340 0.4488 TKLK 250 32715 0.07 0.00 0.82 0.17 0.27 0.73 1.0182 0.4343 TKDN 250 11661 0.17 0.00 0.46 0.54 0.00 0.99 0.6618 0.3221 TKDL 250 6033.3 0.17 0.00 0.08 0.92 0.27 0.73 0.5953 0.3168 PNK 250 7.31E13 0.25 0.00 0.80 0.19 0.31 0.69 1.4863 0.5463 PNL 250 2.25E13 0.10 0.00 0.18 0.81 0.15 0.85 0.7401 0.3961 KPT 250 5.69E8 0.50 0.00 0.11 0.89 0.04 0.96 0.6567 0.3420 KNP 250 4.84E12 0.44 0.00 0.10 0.90 0.08 0.92 0.3528 0.1797 IE 250 3.49E10 0.23 0.00 0.71 0.29 0.18 0.82 1.5450 0.5977 IH 250 2.84E9 0.02 0.00 0.44 0.56 0.01 0.99 1.1019 0.5762 IP 250 1.25E13 0.01 0.01 0.50 0.48 0.00 0.99 1.3888 0.6682 TAB 250 2.43E14 0.10 0.01 0.74 0.25 0.17 0.83 1.7320 0.6418 KRE 250 8.61E11 0.06 0.00 0.75 0.25 0.16 0.84 1.2841 0.5327 TKK 250 85400 0.11 0.00 0.86 0.13 0.36 0.63 1.0282 0.4290 TKD 250 67015 0.17 0.00 0.62 0.38 0.07 0.92 0.6698 0.3155 TKL 250 32715 0.50 0.00 0.56 0.44 0.13 0.87 0.4298 0.2069 TK 250 167782 0.34 0.00 0.71 0.29 0.21 0.78 0.5224 0.2460 CK 250 67015 0.55 0.00 0.29 0.71 0.01 0.99 0.3276 0.1615 BS 250 2.28E12 0.03 0.00 0.96 0.04 0.58 0.41 3.3052 0.7635 BTK 250 1.56E12 0.13 0.01 0.86 0.14 0.36 0.64 1.2308 0.4837 BUK 250 7.18E12 0.07 0.00 0.94 0.06 0.56 0.43 1.9329 0.6126 PUK 250 2.69E14 0.10 0.00 0.98 0.02 0.75 0.25 5.5827 0.8379 PUKT 250 1.92E14 0.10 0.00 0.98 0.02 0.74 0.26 6.7299 0.8654 PRT 250 4.11E14 0.20 0.00 0.88 0.11 0.45 0.55 1.7097 0.5785 PD 250 4.11E14 0.20 0.00 0.89 0.11 0.45 0.55 1.7158 0.5796 KT 250 4.82E12 0.76 0.00 0.09 0.91 0.00 1.00 0.2533 0.1272 IS 250 4.99E10 0.18 0.00 0.75 0.25 0.20 0.80 1.5299 0.5910 INV 250 1.27E13 0.03 0.01 0.51 0.48 0.00 0.99 1.3778 0.6557 BRT 250 1.57E13 0.58 0.01 0.13 0.86 0.01 0.98 0.4005 0.1989 KJ 250 29443042 0.10 0.00 0.97 0.03 0.69 0.31 4.4226 0.8029 PKp 250 6.74E8 0.02 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.94 0.06 16.615 0.9444
LAMPIRAN 5. Program SimulasiKebijakan Model Ekonomi RumahtanggaPetaniKedelai
Options NoDateNoNu mbe rNo Center;
Data DELE;
Set SatuDuaTiga Empat Lima Ena mTu juhDelapan Se mb ilan;
Merge SatuDuaTiga Empat Lima Ena mTu juhDelapan Se mb ilan;
BS = (JB* HB)+((JPU*HPU)+(JPS* HPS)+(JPK* HPK))+((JO*HO)+(JZ* HZ)+(JR* HR));
BTK = (TKLK)*(UTKL);
PUK = (PRO)*(HK);
PUKT = PUK - BS - BTK;
PKp = (PRO)/(LAP);
Hkpu = (Hk/Hpu);
Hkps = (Hk/Hps);
Hkp k = (Hk/Hpk);
If DA>0 Then DA =1; Else DA=0;
If DI>0 Then DI=1; Else DI=0;
If DG>0 Then DG=1; Else DG=0;
If DS>0 Then DS=1; Else DS=0;
Label DA = Du mmyArea "MilikSdr=1"
DI = Du mmyIrigasi"Teknis=1"
DG = Du mmy Gender "La ki2=1"
DS = Du mmySkill "Ta matSD=1"
Hkpu = RasioHgKd l/HgPUrea Hkps = RasioHgKd l/HgPSpTsp Hkp k = RasioHgKd l/HgPKclZa BS = BiayaSa ranaProd(Rp) BTK = BiayaTenagaKerja(Rp) PUK = PenerimaanUt.Kd l(Rp) PUKT = PndapatnUtKdlTtl(Rp) PKp = ProdtvtKdlPnn(Kg/Ha);
;
Title 03 KenaikanHargaKede lai25.0% ; HK = (1.25* HK);
RUN;
;
Title 04 Prosedur SIMNLIN ProSA S 13022012 UT31012012 by: RM S;
Proc SIMNLIN Data=DELE Type=N2SLS Ne wton Ma xIter=50 Converge=1E-8 Simu late Stats Out=Kedele OutactualOutpredictTheilNoprint ;
Endogenous LAP PRO JB JPU JPS JPK JO JZ JR TKDK TKLK TKDN TKDL PNK PNL KPT KNP IE IH IP TAB KRE TKK TKD TKL TK CK BS BTK BUK PUK PUKT PRT PD KT IS INV BRT KJ PKp ; Exogenous HK HG HJ HS HU HKT HKH HB
HPU HPS HPK HO HZ HR HTp HTh HTI HHK UTKL UM ED AKK AK AT SB PBB KL KK TKLN TKLL CKL JPH DA DI DG DS Hkpu Hkps Hkp k ;
Parms
a0 0.066704 a1 0.000072 a2 -0.00022 a 3 -0.00002 a 4 -0.00017 a5 2.55E-9 a6 0.010007 a7 0.002492 a 8 1.66E-8
b0 1168.302 b 1 -0.17114 b2 -0.19309 b3 -0.00246 b4 -0.09223 b5 250.1141 b 6 0.000458 b7 0.000274
c0 50.34381 c1 -0.00579 c 2 -0.00019 c 3 -0.00634 c 4 20.97170 c5 7.06E-6 c6 6.546E-6
d0 73.23491 d 1 10.53485 d2 -0.01359 d3 -0.00050 d4 -0.00055 d5 0.004604 d 6 4.236E-6 d7 1.128E-6 d8 7.359E-6
e0 -0.66949 e1 11.86229 e 2 -0.00573 e 3 -0.00035 e 4 4.111293 e5 13.69883 e6 0.131396 e7 2.203E-6
f0 8.786600 f1 1.353340 f2 -0.00254 f3 -0.00006 f4 -0.00014 f5 0.001978 f6 9.972467 f7 2.379E-6 f8 3.465E-6
g0 3.927157 g 1 -0.00002 g2 -0.00032 g3 -7.82E-6 g 4 -0.00033 g5 0.000081 g 6 0.271045 g7 8.193E-8 g 8 3.326E-7
h0 3.282425 h 1 -0.00003 h2 -0.00023 h3 -0.00001 h4 -0.00032 h5 2.112E-7 h6 2.826E-7
i0 3.610284 i1 -0.00015 i2 -0.00014 i3 -0.00126 i4 -8.4E-6 i5 -5.03E-6 i6 0.000429 i7 1.228472 i8 4.458E-8
j0 93.41927 j1 -0.00141 j2 -0.75052 j3 -3.66962 j4 5.591721 j5 23.91475 j6 29.65159 j7 0.384268 j8 1.367E-6
k0 173.6533 k1 -0.00545 k2 -0.38456 k3 -1.49175 k4 25.28731 k5 -0.09211 k6 1.173357 k7 5.371E-6
l0 90.92766 l1 -0.00237 l2 0.008825 l3 3.764380 l4 -0.08005 l5 9.348E-6 l6 1.353E-6
m0 115.1008 m1 -0.00112 m2 -0.63897 m3 -4.06150 m4 -0.09087 m5 0.000014 m6 5.206E-6
n1 225.3152 n 2 -0.18535 n3 -0.11844 n4 0.421136 n 5 4.800250 o1 1683.705 o 2 0.481391 o3 0.005364 o4 -0.33056 o 5 -0.47292 o6 0.426002 o 7 1.616235
p0 15819.43 p 1 -7.51611 p2 1583.559 p3 376.3395 p 4 -0.00304 p5 0.015452
q1 15917.22 q 2 211566.5 q 3 -7.00978 q4 0.062295 q 5 0.488622 r0 -74899.8 r1 11.02389 r2 17.55448 r3 11.21535 r4 0.004974 r5 1.106450 r6 179.7959 r7 1094.343 r8 1392.739 r9 -0.81980 r10 0.000898 r11 0.817995
s0 -18268.7 s1 17.95468 s2 4.569207 s3 -0.11150 s4 0.016546 s5 0.111192
t1 0.007940 t 2 -3.70737 t 3 336.1520 t4 0.042096 u1 -103469 u2 1.177352 u3 0.690053
v1 11827.49 v 2 -175.960 v3 -2.06696 v4 52.14107 v5 0.004139 v6 4173.824 v 7 0.047838 v8 2.799003 ;
;
LAP = a0 +a 1*HK +a2* HJ +a3*hkh +a4*hpu +a5*AT +a6*JB +a 7*TKDK +a 8*PRT;
PRO = b0 +b1* HB +b 2*hps +b3*HZ +b4*HR +b5* LAP +b6* KRE +b7*PUK;
JB = c0 +c 1*HB +c 2*HZ +c3* HR +c4* LAP +c5* KRE +c6*PUK;
JPU = d0 +d1* (HK/HPU) +d 2*HB +d3* HO +d4* HZ +d5*jph +d6*PNK +d7*pnl +d8*PUK;
JPS = e0 +e 1*(HK/ HPS) +e2* HB +e 3*HZ +e 4*da +e 5*LAP +e 6*TKLK +e 7*PNK;
JPK = f0 +f1*(hk/hpk) +f2*hb +f3*HO +f4*h z +f5*jph +f6* lap +f7*PNK +f8*PUK;
JO = g0 +g1* HO +g 2*HB +g3*hz +g4* HR +g 5*jph +g 6*di +g7*PNK +g 8*PUK;
JZ = h0 +h1* HZ +h2*hb +h3* HO +h4* HR +h 5*PNK +h6*PUK;
JR = i0 +i1* HR +i2*hb +i3*hpu +i4*HO +i5*hz +i6*JPH +i7* LAP +i8*prt;
TKDK = j0 +j1*utkl +j2*UM +j3*ED +j4*AKK +j5*DG +j6* LAP +j7*JPS +j8*TA B;
TKLK = k0 + k1*UTKL +k2*u m +k3*ed +k4*DS +k5*t kdl +k6*JPS +k7*PUK;
TKDN = l0 +l1*utkl +l2*hk +l3*a kk +l4*tklk +l5*PNK +l6*tab;
TKDL = m0 +m1*utkl +m2*UM +m3* ED +m4*tklk +m5*PNL +m6*PUKT;
PNK = n1* HKT +n2* PNL +n 3*pukt +n4*TAB +n 5*KRE;
PNL = o1* HTP +o2*hti +o3*at +o 4*PNK +o5*PUKT +o6*TAB +o 7*KRE;
KPT = p0 +p1* HJ +p2*AK +p3* KK +p4* KNP +p5*KRE;
KNP = q1* UM +q 2*AK +q 3*KPT +q 4*PNL +q 5*KT;
IE = r0 +r1*HK +r2*hs +r3*hu +r4*hti +r5*hhk +r6*um +r7*ed +r8*ak +r9*IP +r10*pnl +r11*INV;
IH = s0 +s1*hg +s2*hth +s3*IP +s4*KRE +s5*INV;
IP = t1*AT +t2*IS +t 3*pro +t4*PRT;
TAB = u1*SB +u2*hti +u3*PD;
KRE = v1*SB +v2* HPU +v3*HO +v4*JPH +v5*tab +v6*JB +v7* KT +v8*IH;
;
TKK = TKDK + TKLK;
TKD = TKDK + TKDN + TKDL;
TKL = TKLK + TKLN + TKLL;
TK = TKD + TKL;
CK = TKD + CKL;
BS = (JB* HB)+((JPU*HPU)+(JPS* HPS)+(JPK* HPK))+((JO*HO)+(JZ* HZ)+(JR* HR));
BTK = (TKLK)*(UTKL);
BUK = BS + BTK;
PUK = (PRO)*(HK);
PUKT = PUK - BUK;
PRT = PUKT + PNK + PNL;
PD = PRT - PBB;
KT = KPT + KNP + KL;
IS = IE + IH;
INV = IS + IP;
BRT = KT + INV;
KJ = PRO - KK;
PKp = (PRO)/(LAP);
RUN;
;
LAMPIRAN 6. HasilSimulasiKebijakan Model Ekonomi RumahtanggaPetaniKedelai
ProSAS 13022012 Ujian Terbuka 31012012 By: RMS.
Ke naikanHargaKe delai 25.0%
The SIMNLIN Proce dure - Simul taneous Simulation Descripti ve Statistics
Actual Predicte d
Vari able Nobs N Mean StdDe v Mean StdDe v Label
LAP 250 250 0.6598 0.6274 0.9866 1.9002 Luas Areal Panen(Ha) PRO 250 250 853.10 959.90 1392.3 4617.7 ProduksiKedela i(Kg) JB 250 250 31.928 30.387 49.260 137.10 Jmlh BenihKede lai(Kg) JPU 250 250 49.224 58.287 71.533 132.10 JmlhPupuk Urea (Kg) JPS 250 250 35.416 40.037 50.572 62.387 JmlhPp k.Sp 36/Tsp(Kg) JPK 250 250 20.212 31.308 32.476 84.303 JmlhPp k.Kcl/Za (Kg ) JO 250 250 1.2156 1.7866 1.8308 5.3322 Jmlh Obat/Pestsd(Lt) JZ 250 250 1.1864 2.1462 2.0912 5.5550 Jumlah ZPT/Ppc (Lt) JR 250 250 1.9520 1.8750 2.4595 3.1993 Jmlh Rhizo+ (Sachet) TKDK 250 250 102.50 66.005 121.20 97.898 TK DlmKlrgKdl (HOK) TKLK 250 250 160.80 75.748 186.00 146.20 TK LuarKlrgKd l(HOK) TKDN 250 250 142.00 80.525 160.70 73.589 TKDlmKlgNonKdl(HOK) TKDL 250 250 106.40 75.677 111.00 32.591 TKDlmKlgNUt Lain(HOK) PNK 250 250 4267717 3862284 5639699 7295401 PndapatnNonKdl (Rp) PNL 250 250 4751787 4311062 4941169 2317412 PndapatnNUtLain (Rp ) KPT 250 250 25459 25957 27427 19092 KonsumsiPngTunai(Rp) KNP 250 250 5785780 2327017 5735941 1689426 KonsumsiNonPngn(Rp) IE 250 250 64235 102722 158433 192468 InvestasiPdidikn(Rp) IH 250 250 27338 39943 41219 33196 InvestasiKsehatn(Rp) IP 250 250 668290 2464677 833103 2197014 InvestasiProPert(Rp) TAB 250 250 4407145 7857649 6720436 12118508 Tabungan (Rp) KRE 250 250 556788 461375 672570 713618 KreditPe rtanian(Rp) TKK 250 250 263.20 107.40 307.20 242.80 TenagaKerja Kdl(HOK) TKD 250 250 350.90 162.30 392.80 197.30 TKDa la mKe luarga(HOK) TKL 250 250 397.50 138.70 422.70 169.30 TK LuarKe luarga(HOK) TK 250 250 748.40 234.60 815.50 352.10 TenagaKerjaTtl(HOK) CK 250 250 745.80 261.80 787.70 254.50 CurahKe rjaTotal(HOK) BS 250 250 333315 312840 492584 1242310 BiayaSaranaProd(Rp) BTK 250 250 900822 471315 1027506 824959 BiayaTenagaKerja(Rp) BUK 250 250 1234163 633164 1520090 2010115 BiayaUt.Kede lai(Rp) PUK 250 250 1848492 2290849 3323869 13888710 Penerimaan Ut.Kd l(Rp) PUKT 250 250 614355 1966327 1803779 11952441 PndapatnUtKdlTtl(Rp) PRT 250 250 9633834 6937665 12384647 17443364 PendapatanRT.Ttl(Rp) PD 250 250 9599719 6912464 12350533 17443431 PndptnDisposable(Rp ) KT 250 250 8056117 3216638 8008246 3082782 KonsumsiRT.Total(Rp) IS 250 250 91573 114082 199652 223921 InvestasiSmbrDy(Rp) INV 250 250 759863 2475576 1032755 2215133 InvestasiRT.Ttl(Rp) BRT 250 250 8815980 4515198 9041001 3860070 PengeluaranRTTt l(Rp) KJ 250 250 804.40 928.30 1343.6 4613.8 KdlJual/ SurplusP(Kg ) PKp 250 250 1292.97 800.90 1411.2 643.17 ProdtvtKdlPnn(Kg/Ha )