Technical Analyst
Analyst : Andri Zakarias Siregar (andri.zakarias@bnisecurities.co.id)
Junior Analyst
: Nadya Isnaeni (nadya.isnaeni@bnisecurities.co.id)
Daily Technical Analysis
Daily Technical Analysis dapat dilihat di website BNI Securities: www.bnisecurities.co.id
Kondisi Daily Oversold Dapat Picu IHSG Technical Rebound.
omentum penurunan IHSG jangka pendek diperkirakan terbatas, berkat stochastic Oversold, candle Small Hanging
Man, buying power sama kuat dengan selling power, kemungkinan dalam corrective wave b/4 bearish, masih dalam
fase akumulasi & ditutup diatas area 4.757-4.765, untuk capai target 4.854/4.898. Resist: 4.825/4.848/4.876/
4.898. Support: 4.797/4.782/4.757/4.734. Perkiraan range: 4.770 - 4.840.
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
Technical Analysis
March 19, 2013
Daily Technical Analysis Table
.
Rekomendasi sangat tergantung trend pergerakan harga dan pendekatan teknikal lainnya
.
Jika ada rekomendasi BUY, maka harga cendrung bergerak keatas dikisaran R1, R2 dan R3
.
Jika ada rekomendasi SELL, maka harga cendrung bergerak kebawah dikisaran S1, S2 dan S3
.
Buy on Support = masih uptrend dengan resiko tinggi atau mendekati resist, namun jika resist berhasil
ditembus bisa jadi
uptrend baru
.
Spec. BUY = dalam down trend dengan resiko tinggi, namun jika berhasil rebound bisa jadi reversa
l.
PP adalah Pivot Point
.
Support & resistance ini ditentukan berdasarkan rumus pivot, bisa berbeda dengan perhitungan support
dan resistance berdasarkan pola grafik
.
Jika harga naik diatas pivot, maka ada kemungkinan kenaikan berlanjut
.
Jika harga bergerak dibawah pivot, maka kecenderungan harga akan melemah dulu
·
Harga disekitar Resist (R1 atau R2) merupakan level untuk mengambil profit
·
Stoploss adalah kisaran terjadinya perubahan arah jadi trend turun
Ticker
Recommendation
Price S3 S2 S1 PP R1 R2 R3
Explanation
Sektor Pertambangan (JAKMINE)
ADRO SELL, kecuali naik diatas
1,550
1500 1410 1460 1480 1510 1530 1560 1610 trend neutral, black marubozu, low vol, stoch bearish
PTBA SELL, kecuali naik diatas
15,800
15350 14367 14817 15083 15267 15533 15717 16167 trend neutral, black marubozu, vol decrease, stoch bearish
Sektor Keuangan (JAKFIN)
BBRI Spec. Buy, stoploss dibawah
8,400
8550 8133 8383 8467 8633 8717 8883 9133 trend bearish, three black crows, high vol, stoch bearish oversold
BBNI Buy on support, stoploss dibawah
4,575
4700 4483 4583 4642 4683 4742 4783 4883 trend bearish, tweezer bottom, vol decrease, stoch oversold
BBCA Buy on support, stoploss dibawah 10,400
10650 10450 10550 10600 10650 10700 10750 10850 trend neutral, candle doji, vol increase, stoch bearish
sektor Infrastruktur, Utilitas dan Transportasi (JAKINFR)
TLKM Spec. Buy, stoploss dibawah
10,150
10400 9800 10100 10250 10400 10550 10700 11000 trend bearish, tweezer bottom, vol increase, stoch oversold
PGAS Buy on support, stoploss dibawah
5,150
5400 5167 5267 5333 5367 5433 5467 5567 trend neutral, candle doji, vol decraese, stoch bullish
Sektor Properti & Real Estate (JAKPROP)
ASRI Buy on support, stoploss dibawah
960
1010 947 977 993 1007 1023 1037 1067 trend bullish, candle doji, vol decrease, stoch crossing up
MDLN Buy on support, stoploss dibawah
850
880 840 860 870 880 890 900 920 trend neutral, candle doji, vol decrease, stoch flat
Sektor Industri Dasar & Kimia (JAKBIND)
INTP Buy on support, stoploss dibawah 21,850
22500 21883 22233 22367 22583 22717 22933 23283 trend neutral, black closing marubozu, vol decrease, stoch bearish oversold
SMGR Buy on support, stoploss dibawah 17,350
18050 17617 17817 17933 18017 18133 18217 18417 trend neutral, short black candlestick, vol decrease, stoch neutral
Sektor Barang Konsumsi (JAKCONS)
INDF Spec. Buy, stoploss dibawah
7,100
7300 6767 7067 7183 7367 7483 7667 7967 trend neutral, tweezer bottom, vol decrease, stoch oversold
ICBP Buy on support, stoploss dibawah
8,700
9050 8567 8817 8933 9067 9183 9317 9567 trend neutral, black opening marubozu, vol decrease, stoch neutral
Sektor Perdagangan, Jasa & Investasi (JAKTRAD)
Daily Technical Analysis
ASII: Trend Bullish & Fase Distribusi, didukung Stochastic Oversold, candle Bullish Harami, penutupan di 7.700 (Pivot
Point), dukung peluang Technical Rebound.
Strategy: 1) Buy jika breakout 7.750 target 7.950 stop loss 7.550; 2) Buy 7.350/7.400 target 7.750 stop loss di
bawah 7.200.
ANTM: Trend Bearish & Fase Akumulasi, Stochastic Crossing Buy, candle Bullish Marubozu, penutupan di atas 1.360
(Pivot Point), dukung peluang kenaikan selama di atas 1.290.
Strategy: 1) Buy target 1.410/1.450 stop loss di bawah 1.330; 2) Buy 1.330 target 1.370 stop loss di 1.290.
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
ASII
7.200 / 7.350
7.500 / 7.600
7.700
7.750 / 7.850
7.950 / 8.150
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
Technical Analysis
March 19, 2013
SSIA: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi, didukung Stochastic crossing Buy, candle Three Inside Up, penutupan di atas
1.508 (Pivot Point), dukung peluang kenaikan selama di atas 1.490.
Strategy: 1) Buy target 1.570 stop loss di 1.470; 2) Buy 1.480/1.490 target 1.540 stop loss dibawah 1.470.
Daily Technical Analysis
KLBF : Trend bullish, penutupan di atas 1.256 (pivot point), stochastic golden cross, candle tweezer bottom, meski
volume menurun dapat memberikan peluang kenaikan terbatas.
Strategy: 1) Buy 1.240/1.250 target 1.290 stop loss di bawah 1.200; 2) Buy jika tembus di atas 1.290 target
1.330/1.350 stop loss di bawah 1.270.
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
KLBF
1.200 / 1.220
1.240 / 1.250
1.270
1.290 / 1.320
1.330 / 1.380
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
Daily Technical Analysis
TAXI : Trend bullish, penutupan di atas 893 (pivot point), candle long white candlestick dengan volume meningkat
serta stochastic bullish dapat memberikan peluang kenaikan jika mampu bergerak di atas 920.
Strategy: 1) Buy 880 target 910/920 stop loss di bawah 850; 2) Buy jika tembus di atas 920 target 960 stop loss
di bawah 900.
KBLI: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi, didukung Stochastic Bullish, candle Three White Soldier, penutupan di atas 236
(Pivot Point), dukung peluang kenaikan terbatas selama di atas 220.
Strategy: 1) Buy 230/225 target 250 stop loss di 200; 2) Buy jika breakout 255 target 270 stop loss di 230.
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
TAXI
840 / 850
870 / 890
910
920 / 960
980 / 1.000
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
Technical Analysis
March 19, 2013
Daily Technical Analysis
Tin Close
Resistance
: 24021/25250/26604
Support
: 23057/21703/20865
Wheat Close
Resistance
: 745/786/817
Support
: 701/674/652
Natural Gas Close
Resistance
: 3.99/4.19/4.32
Support
: 3.81/3.67/3.57
Nickel Close
Resistance
: 16969/17341/17714
Support
: 16438/15763/15018
Research Dept. : +62 21 25543946 Fax No : +62 21 57935831
E-mail : research@bnisecurities.co.id
Norico Gaman ext. 3934 norico@bnisecurities.co.id Head of Research Investment Strategy, Oil & Gas, Coal Mining, Manufacturing, Strategic Industries.
Andri Zakarias Siregar ext. 2054 andri.zakarias@bnisecurities.co.id Technical Analyst Market Strategy, Commodities, Currency, Bond & Stocks Nadya Isnaeni ext. 2073 nadya.isnaeni@bnisecurities.co.id Junior Tech. Analyst Market Strategy, Commodities,
Currency, Bond & Stocks Venia Allani Meissalina ext. 2050 Venia@bnisecurities.co.id Research Assistant
Thendra Crisnandra ext. 2098 Thendra@bnisecurities.co.id Research Assistant
RESEARCH TEAM
ECM : +62 21 25543946 Fax No : +62 21 57935831
Ronny Hari ext. 3929 ronny@bnisecurities.co.id Equity Division Head
Jufrani Amsal ext. 3957 amsal@bnisecurities.co.id Channel Development Division Head Yulinda ext. 3950 yulinda@bnisecurities.co.id Institutional Sales
Arif Irwanto ext. 3919 / 3960 airwanto@bnisecurities.co.id Retail Sales
EQUITIES TEAM
MAIN OFFICE - JAKARTA
PT BNI SECURITIES
Sudirman Plaza, Indofood Tower 16th Floor, Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 76-78
Jakarta 12910, Indonesia
Phone: (62-21) 25543946 (Hunting)
Fax: (62-21) 57935831
e-mail: bnisec@bnisecurities.co.id (General)
Website: http://www.bnisecurities.co.id
This document is not intended to be an offer, or a satisfaction of an offer, to buy or sell relevant securities (i.e. securities mentioned herein or of the same issuer and options, warrants or rights to or interest in any such securities). The information and opinions contained in this document have been compiled from or arrived at in good faith from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made by BNI SECURITIES or any other member of the BNI Group, including any other member of the BNI Group from whom this document may be received, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. All opinions and estimates in this report constitute our judgment as of this date and are subject to change without notice.
Dokumen ini tidak diperuntukan sebagai suatu penawaran, atau permohonan dari suatu penawaran, permintaan untuk membeli atau menjual efek dan segala hal yang berhubungan dengan efek (seperti efek yang disebutkan disini, atau dari emiten yang sama, dari waran atau hak memesan efek atau kepentingan lain dari efek tersebut). Seluruh informasi dan opini yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini dengan cara baik telah dihimpun dari atau berasal dari sumber-sumber yang dapat dipercaya dan diandalkan. Tidak ada pengatasnamaan atau jaminan, baik secara langsung maupun tidak langsung dari BNI SECURITIES atau pun pihak-pihak lain dari Grup BNI, termasuk pihak-pihak lain dari Grup BNI dari
MALANG
Jl. Buring No. 58 Malang Phone: (62-341) 321214, 321213, 341430
Fax: (62-341) 356876 e-mail: malang@bnisecurities.co.id
DENPASAR
Pertokoan Diponegoro Megah Blok. A5-A6, Lt. 2 Jl. Diponegoro No. 100 Denpasar - Bali
Phone: (62-361) 264376 Fax : (62-361) 229170 e-mail: denpasar@bnisecurities.co.id MEDAN Jl. Pemuda No. 12 Phone: (62-61) 4579616 Fax: (62-61) 4579656 e-mail: medan@bnisecurities.co.id PALEMBANG
Jl. Jend. Sudirman No. 132, Kotak Pos 165 PLG Phone: (62-711) 3619662
Fax: (62-711) 3619663 e-mail: plb@bnisecurities.co.id
PEKANBARU
BNI Cabang Pasar Pusat Jl.Jend Sudirman No.365 Pekanbaru 28282
Phone: (62-761) 46757, 839698 Fax: (62-761) 856279 e-mail: pekanbaru@bnisecurities.co.id
SEMARANG
Thamrin Square Blok B5 Jl.MH Thamrin No.5 Semarang Phone: (62-24) 3566414-5, 64126413-7
Fax: (62-24) 3581713 e-mail: bnissmg@bnisecurities.co.id
ACEH
Jl.KH Akhmad Dahlan No.111 Lt.2 Banda Aceh Phone: (62-651) 31109
Fax: (62-651) 31107
JAKARTA - Mangga Dua
Pertokoan Mangga Dua Blok E4 No. 7 Jl. Mangga Dua, Jakarta Utara
Phone: (62-21) 6123804/5 Fax: (62-21) 6123806 e-mail: manggadua@bnisecurities.co.id
JAKARTA - Wisma 46
Wisma BNI 46 Lantai 31 Kota BNI Jl.Jend Sudirman Kav.1 Jakarta 10220
Phone: 021- 2515266 Fax.021-5749837 e-mail: wisma46@bnisecurities.co.id
JAKARTA - Puri Indah
Puri Niaga 3 Blok M8 No. 1B Puri Kembangan, Jakarta Barat
Phone: (62-21) 58357464 Fax: (62-21) 58357465 e-mail: puriindah@bnisecurities.co.id
JAKARTA - Central Park
Central Park Office Tower Ground Floor Jl. Let. Jend. S Parman Kav 28, Jakarta 11470
Phone: (62-21) 29034215 Fax: (62-21) 29034216
BANDUNG
Jl. Perintis Kemerdekaan No. 3 Phone: (62-22) 4213375 Fax: (62-22) 4213376 e-mail: bdg_pk@bnisecurities.co.id YOGYAKARTA Jl. Trikora No. 1 Phone: (62-274) 385904 Fax: (62-274) 385901 e-mail: yogya@bnisecurities.co.id SOLO
Jl. Slamet Riyadi No. 332 Phone: (62-271) 729667 Fax: (62-271) 729668 e-mail: solo@bnisecurities.co.id SURABAYA Jl. Pemuda No. 36 Phone: (62-31) 5320912 Fax: (62-31) 5318425 e-mail: surabaya@bnisecurities.co.id
