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DISCLAIMER: All contents of This Report have been prepared by Research Dept. and are provided solely for informational purpose.
We have taken reasonable measures to ensure the accuracy of the report, however, do not guarantee its accuracy and will not accept liability for any consequential loss or damage which may arise directly or indirectly from any use of the report.
Email: research@valbury.com Twitter: @researchvaf
MARKET UPDATE & OUTLOOK
Asia: Sebagian besar tolok ukur ekuitas Asia diperdagangkan dalam warna hijau pada awal transaksi pada hari Jumat karena pendapatan AS yang kuat dan sebuah langkah maju dalam Kongres mengenai reformasi pajak AS mencerahkan suasana hati, meskipun para investor mencatat bahwa banyak rintangan masih harus melewati kesepakatan mengenai pemotongan pajak. Sementara itu, pasar Jepang terutama lebih tinggi, memperpanjang kenaikan dari sesi sebelumnya karena rebound semalam di Wall Street mengangkat sentimen investor. Saham eksportir juga sebagian besar bergerak maju meski ada penguatan yen. Di antara pasar Asia lainnya, Malaysia, Korea Selatan, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Singapura dan Taiwan juga lebih tinggi. Melawan tren, Shanghai berada di wilayah negatif. Nikkei 225 menambah 53,96 poin atau 0,24% menjadi 22.405,08, Taiwan Tertekan naik 82,76 poin atau 0,78% menjadi 10.707,80, Hang Seng naik 231,33 poin atau 0,8% menjadi 29.250,09, Straits Times menguat 30,38 poin atau 0,91% menjadi 3.371,68, Komposit Jakarta melonjak 38,62 poin atau 0,64% sampai dengan 6,076,53, Indeks KOSPI meningkat 4,94 poin atau 0,19% menjadi 2.539,73, dan FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI naik sebesar 4,32 poin atau 0,25% menjadi 1.722,43. Di sisi lain, Shanghai Composite turun sebesar 18,62 poin atau 0,55% menjadi 3.380,63.
Eropa: Update pendapatan yang mengecewakan dan serangkaian downgrade broker membebani saham Eropa pada hari Jumat, dengan indeks regional mencatat penurunan mingguan kedua berturut-turut. Investor telah mengunci keuntungan, mengabaikan kuatnya data ekonomi karena pertumbuhan pendapatan zona euro melambat dibandingkan kuartal sebelumnya dan kekhawatiran menguat mengenai apakah sebuah rally pasar saham dapat berlanjut. Pada hari Jumat, Elior merosot lebih dari 18 persen setelah kelompok katering terbesar ketiga di Eropa memotong panduan keuntungannya, dengan mengutip dampak Badai Irma. Saham Fresenius SE, Greene King, Just Eat, United Utilities dan H & M semuanya turun lebih dari 2 persen setelah penurunan peringkat dari broker. STOXX 600 turun 0,3 persen pada penutupan, mengambil kerugian sejauh minggu ini menjadi 1,3 persen, minggu negatif kedua berturut-turut. Indeks patokan pan-Eropa masih naik lebih dari 6 persen sepanjang tahun ini. Pidato dari Presiden ECB Mario Draghi di Frankfurt memiliki dampak kecil pada saham, meskipun para pedagang mengatakan nadanya relatif optimis terhadap ekonomi. Di antara saham-saham unggulan, Vivendi naik 4,4 persen, membalikkan kelemahan sebelumnya karena investor mencerna update pendapatan dari konglomerat media Prancis yang mengakuisisi. Vivendi merindukan perkiraan kuartal ketiga analis namun mempertahankan target pertumbuhan pendapatan dan EBITA pada 2017. Ini juga mengesampingkan pengambilalihan Ubisoft yang bermusuhan selama enam bulan ke depan. UBS menegaskan peringkat pembeliannya, dengan mengatakan bahwa pembuktian yang dikonfirmasi menunjukkan bahwa penurunan penjualan di unit Universal Music Group Vivendi dapat berbalik pada kuartal keempat, sementara mengharapkan bisnis Canal + Vivendi untuk membantu meningkatkan pendapatan dalam jangka pendek. Di luar STOXX, Carillion turun lebih dari 48 persen setelah pembangun Inggris tersebut mengatakan akan melanggar perjanjian keuangannya dan memperingatkan pada keuntungan untuk ketiga kalinya tahun ini. Sky naik lebih dari 4 persen. Reuters melaporkan bahwa Comcast dan Verizon sama-sama menyatakan minatnya untuk memperoleh bagian penting dari aset Fox's Twenty-First Century Fox milik Rupert Murdoch, termasuk penyedia TV berbayar Eropa.
AS & Global Markets: Dolar A.S. lebih rendah pada hari Jumat bersamaan dengan saham Wall Street karena investor mundur dari saham teknologi dan partai Republikan Donald Trump yang skeptis akan berhasil dalam upayanya untuk merombak undang-undang pajak A.S. Hasil Treasury A.S. beringsut lebih rendah, sejalan dengan penurunan indeks saham A.S. dan yield obligasi Jerman 10 tahun, karena risk appetite memudar. Kurva yield terus merata setelah data perumahan A.S. yang kuat mulai bulan Oktober dan investor bertaruh untuk kenaikan suku bunga lebih lanjut dari Federal Reserve. Dewan Perwakilan Rakyat A.S. memilih untuk menyetujui versi undang-undang perombakan pajak yang akan memotong pajak perusahaan pada hari Kamis. Tapi kemudian fokus investor beralih ke pertarungan Senat atas tagihan saingannya dan kekhawatiran tentang apakah DPR dan Senat akan menyetujui sebuah kompromi. Dolar juga menyipit oleh sebuah laporan bahwa tim Penasihat Khusus Robert Mueller bulan lalu membatalkan pemilihan kampanye Trump untuk dokumen yang berisi kata kunci Rusia tertentu dari lebih dari selusin pejabat. Indeks dolar turun 0,28 persen, dengan euro naik 0,2 persen menjadi $ 1,1793. S & P 500 jatuh karena investor melihat prospek pemotongan pajak dan menempatkan diri pada penutupan musim pendapatan dan biasanya minggu yang sepi karena banyak pedagang beristirahat sejenak pada liburan Thanksgiving hari Kamis. Dow Jones Industrial Average turun 100,12 poin atau 0,43 persen menjadi 23,358.24, S & P 500 kehilangan 6,79 poin atau 0,26 persen menjadi 2.578,85 dan Nasdaq Composite turun 10,50 poin atau 0,15 persen menjadi 6.782,79. Indeks pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 kehilangan 0,29 persen dan ukuran saham MSCI di seluruh dunia sedikit lebih tinggi. Di pasar Treasuries, imbal hasil dua tahun A.S. naik ke puncak sembilan tahun baru di 1,73 persen. Itu terakhir di 1,725 persen, dari 1,712 persen pada hari Kamis. Catatan tersebut telah menyentuh tonggak sembilan tahun untuk delapan sesi terakhir. Benchmark catatan 10 tahun terakhir naik 5/32 pada harga untuk menghasilkan 2,3452 persen dibandingkan dengan 2,361 persen akhir Kamis. Hasil obligasi Jerman 10 tahun menunjukkan penurunan mingguan terbesar dalam tiga minggu, dengan hutang safe haven didorong oleh penjualan aset berisiko dan penurunan harga minyak.
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RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf
ASIA AND GLOBAL MARKET SPOT PRICE 2017
HIGH / LOW .N225 .KS200 .HSI .DJI /.SPX /.SSEC
RECORD HIGH 38915.87 (29/Dec/89)
338.83 (03/Nov/2017)
31958.41 (30/Oct/07)
23548.42 (06/Nov/2017)
2591.13 (06/Nov/2017)
6124.04400 (16/Oct./07) 2016 HIGH 19592.90
(21/Dec/16)
264.42 (21/Dec/16)
24364.00 (09/Sep/16)
19987.63 (20/Dec/16)
2277.53 (13/Dec/16)
3538.68940 (04/Jan/16) 2017 HIGH 23439.15
(13/Nov/2017)
339.59 (02/Nov/2017)
29199.04 (17/Nov/2017)
23602.12 (07/Nov/2017)
2597.02 (07/Nov/2017)
3448.68070 (13/Nov/2017) 2017 LOW 18224.68
(17/Apr/2017)
258.64 (02/Jan/2017)
21883.82 (03/Jan/2017)
19677.94 (19/Jan/2017)
2245.13 (03/Jan/2017)
3016.53050 (11/May/2017) 2016 LOW 14864.01
(24/Jun/16)
222.92 (20/Jan/16)
18278.80 (12/Feb/16)
15450.56 (20/Jan/16)
1810.10 (11/Feb/16)
2638.30160 (27/Jan/16) RECORD LOW 85.25
(06/Jul/50)
31.96 (16/Jun/98)
58.61 (31/Aug/67)
388.20 (17/Jan/55)
132.93 (23/Nov./82)
325.92200 (29/Jul/94)
Closing Prices – 17 November 2017
CLOSE CHANGE CLOSE CHANGE
.DJI 23358.24 100.12/ 0.43% .N225 22396.80 45.68/0.20%
/.SPX 2578.85 6.79/ 0.26% .KS200 334.18 0.18/0.05%
/.IXIC 6782.791 10.500/ 0.15% .HSI 29199.04 180.28/0.62%
JPY= 112.07 0.98/ 0.86% /.SSEC 3382.33610 16.91420/0.50%
KRW= 1093.45 2.73/ 0.25% /CLc1 (Oil) 56.68 1.42/2.56%
WEEKLY ECONOMIC INDICATORS
DATE WIB CTY INDICATORS PER ACTUAL FORECAST PREV. REV.
09-Nov - 18-Nov N/A CN Foreign Direct Investment YoY CNY Oct - -- 17.3%
10-Nov - 14-Nov N/A NZ REINZ House Sales YoY Oct - -- -26.2%
Mon/13-Nov-17 04:00 KR Export Price Index MoM Oct - -- 0.9%
04:00 KR Export Price Index YoY Oct - -- 10.9%
04:00 KR Import Price Index YoY Oct - -- 10.7%
04:00 KR Import Price Index MoM Oct - -- 1.7%
05:00 AU RBA's Debelle Gives Speech in Sydney
06:50 JP PPI YoY Oct 3.4% 3.1% 3.0% 3.1%
06:50 JP PPI MoM Oct 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3%
07:10 US Fed's Harker Speaks in Tokyo on Balance Sheet Unwind
13:00 JP Machine Tool Orders YoY Oct P 49.9% -- 45.0%
16:00 EZ ECB's Constancio Speaks in Frankfurt
Tue/14-Nov-17 00:45 JP BOJ Governor Kuroda scheduled to speak in Zurich
02:00 US Monthly Budget Statement Oct -$63.2b -$59.0b -$45.8b
07:30 AU NAB Business Conditions Oct 21 -- 14
07:30 AU NAB Business Confidence Oct 8 -- 7
09:00 CN Retail Sales YoY Oct 10.0% 10.5% 10.3%
09:00 CN Retail Sales YTD YoY Oct 10.3% 10.4% 10.4%
09:00 CN Industrial Production YoY Oct 6.2% 6.3% 6.6%
09:00 CN Industrial Production YTD YoY Oct 6.7% 6.7% 6.7%
14:00 DE GDP SA QoQ 3Q P 0.8% 0.6% 0.6%
14:00 DE GDP WDA YoY 3Q P 2.8% 2.3% 2.3%
14:00 DE GDP NSA YoY 3Q P 2.3% 2.3% 0.8% 1.0%
14:00 DE CPI MoM Oct F 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14:00 DE CPI YoY Oct F 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
14:00 DE CPI EU Harmonized MoM Oct F -0.1% -0.1% -0.1%
14:00 DE CPI EU Harmonized YoY Oct F 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
15:05 EZ Fed's Evans Speaks in Frankfurt
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RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf
15:05 US Fed's Evans Speaks at ECB Conference
15:15 CH Producer & Import Prices MoM Oct 0.5% -- 0.5%
15:15 CH Producer & Import Prices YoY Oct 1.2% -- 0.8%
16:00 EZ ECB's Lautenschlaeger Speaks in Frankfurt 16:00 EZ ECB's Nouy Speaks in Frankfurt
16:30 GB CPIH YoY Oct 2.8% 2.9% 2.8%
16:30 GB CPI MoM Oct 0.1% 0.2% 0.3%
16:30 GB CPI YoY Oct 3.0% 3.1% 3.0%
16:30 GB CPI Core YoY Oct 2.7% 2.8% 2.7%
16:30 GB PPI Input NSA MoM Oct 1.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2%
16:30 GB PPI Input NSA YoY Oct 4.6% 4.8% 8.4% 8.1%
16:30 GB PPI Output NSA MoM Oct 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
16:30 GB PPI Output NSA YoY Oct 2.8% 2.9% 3.3%
16:30 GB PPI Output Core NSA MoM Oct 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% -0.1%
16:30 GB PPI Output Core NSA YoY Oct 2.1% 2.2% 2.5%
16:30 GB House Price Index YoY Sep 5.4% -- 5.0% 4.8%
17:00 EZ Draghi, Yellen, Carney, Kuroda Speak in Frankfurt
17:00 EZ Industrial Production SA MoM Sep -0.6% -0.6% 1.4%
17:00 EZ Industrial Production WDA YoY Sep 3.3% 3.2% 3.8% 3.9%
17:00 EZ ZEW Survey Expectations Nov 30.9 -- 26.7
17:00 EZ GDP SA QoQ 3Q P 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
17:00 EZ GDP SA YoY 3Q P 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
17:00 DE ZEW Survey Current Situation Nov 88.8 88.0 87
17:00 DE ZEW Survey Expectations Nov 18.7 20.0 17.6
17:00 US
Yellen Speaks on ECB Panel with Draghi, Kuroda, and Carney
18:00 US NFIB Small Business Optimism Oct 103.8 104.5 103
19:45 EZ ECB's Villeroy de Galhau Speaks in Paris
20:15 US Fed's Bullard Speaks on U.S. Economy in Louisville 20:30 EZ ECB's Benoit Coeure Speaks in Brussels
20:30 US PPI Final Demand MoM Oct 0.4% 0.1% 0.4%
20:30 US PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM Oct 0.4% 0.2% 0.4%
20:30 US PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoM Oct 0.2% -- 0.2%
20:30 US PPI Final Demand YoY Oct 2.8% 2.4% 2.6%
20:30 US PPI Ex Food and Energy YoY Oct 2.4% 2.3% 2.2%
20:30 US PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade YoY Oct 2.3% -- 2.1%
Wed/15-Nov-17 01:05 US
Fed's Bostic Speaks on Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy
06:00 KR Unemployment rate SA Oct - -- 3.7%
06:30 AU Westpac Consumer Conf Index Nov 99.7 -- 101.4
06:30 AU Westpac Consumer Conf SA MoM Nov -1.7% -- 3.6%
06:50 JP GDP SA QoQ 3Q P 0.3% 0.4% 0.6%
06:50 JP GDP Annualized SA QoQ 3Q P 1.4% 1.5% 2.5% 2.6%
06:50 JP GDP Nominal SA QoQ 3Q P 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6%
06:50 JP GDP Deflator YoY 3Q P 0.1% 0.1% -0.4%
06:50 JP GDP Private Consumption QoQ 3Q P -0.5% -0.4% 0.8% 0.7%
06:50 JP GDP Business Spending QoQ 3Q P 0.2% 0.3% 0.5%
07:30 AU Wage Price Index QoQ 3Q 0.5% 0.7% 0.5%
07:30 AU Wage Price Index YoY 3Q 2.0% 2.2% 1.9%
11:30 JP Industrial Production MoM Sep F -1.0% -- -1.1%
11:30 JP Industrial Production YoY Sep F 2.6% -- 2.5%
11:30 JP Capacity Utilization MoM Sep -1.5% -- 3.3%
14:00 AU RBA's Ellis Gives Speech in Melbourne 14:00 EZ ECB's Lane Speaks in Dublin 15:00 GB
ECB's Hansson Participates in Panel Discussion in London
15:00 US Fed's Evans Speaks at European Conference in London
16:30 GB Claimant Count Rate Oct 2.3% -- 2.3%
16:30 GB Jobless Claims Change Oct 1.1k -- 1.7k 2.6k
16:30 GB Average Weekly Earnings 3M/YoY Sep 2.2% 2.1% 2.2% 2.3%
16:30 GB Weekly Earnings ex Bonus 3M/YoY Sep 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.2%
16:30 GB ILO Unemployment Rate 3Mths Sep 4.3% 4,3% 4.3%
16:30 GB Employment Change 3M/3M Sep -14k 50k 94k
17:00 EZ
ECB's Praet, BOE's Haldane, Denmark's Rohde Speak in Frankfurt
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RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf
17:00 EZ Trade Balance SA Sep 25.0 -- 21.6b
17:00 EZ Trade Balance NSA Sep 26.4b -- 16.1b
20:30 US CPI MoM Oct 0.1% 0.1% 0.5%
20:30 US CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM Oct 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
20:30 US CPI YoY Oct 2.0% 2.0% 2.2%
20:30 US CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY Oct 1.8% 1.7% 1.7%
20:30 US CPI Core Index SA Oct 253.428 253.252 252.86
20:30 US CPI Index NSA Oct 246.663 246.646 246.819
20:30 US Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY Oct 0.4% -- 0.6%
20:30 US Empire Manufacturing Nov 19.4 25.1 30.2
20:30 US Real Avg Hourly Earning YoY Oct 0.4% -- 0.7% 0.6%
20:30 US Retail Sales Advance MoM Oct 0.2% 0.0% 1.6% 1.9%
20:30 US Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM Oct 0.1% 0.2% 1.0% 1.2%
20:30 US Retail Sales Ex Auto and Gas Oct 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6%
20:30 US Retail Sales Control Group Oct 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5%
21:00 CA Existing Home Sales MoM Oct 0.9% -- 2.1%
22:00 US Business Inventories Sep 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.6%
22:30 US DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories Nov-10 1854k -2400k 2237k
22:30 US DOE Cushing OK Crude Inventory Nov-10 -1504k -- 720k
22:30 US DOE U.S. Gasoline Inventories Nov-10 894k -1500k -3312k
22:30 US DOE U.S. Distillate Inventory Nov-10 -799k -1800k -3359k
Thu/16-Nov-17 06:45 CA Bank of Canada's Wilkins Gives Speech in New York
06:50 JP Housing Loans YoY 3Q 2.9% -- 3.3%
07:00 AU Consumer Inflation Expectation Nov 3.7% -- 4.3%
07:00 NZ ANZ Consumer Confidence Index Nov 123.7 -- 126.3
07:00 NZ ANZ Consumer Confidence MoM Nov -2.1% -- -2.8%
07:00 GB
Carney, Broadbent, Haldane at BOE Future Forum, Liverpool
07:30 AU Employment Change Oct 3.7k 18.8k 19.8k 26.6k
07:30 AU Unemployment Rate Oct 5.4% 5.5% 5.5%
07:30 AU Full Time Employment Change Oct 24.3k -- 6.1k 9.3k
07:30 AU Part Time Employment Change Oct -20.7k -- 13.7k 17.3k
07:30 AU Participation Rate Oct 65.1% 65.2% 65.2%
13:00 JP Machine Tool Orders YoY Oct F 49.8% -- 49.9%
15:30 HK Unemployment Rate SA Oct 3.0% -- 3.1%
16:30 GB Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel MoM Oct 0.1% 0.0% -0.7% -0.6%
16:30 GB Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel YoY Oct -0.3% -0.4% 1.6%
16:30 GB Retail Sales Inc Auto Fuel MoM Oct 0.3% 0.1% -0.8%
16:30 GB Retail Sales Inc Auto Fuel YoY Oct -0.3% 0.6% 1.2% 1.2%
17:00 EZ CPI MoM Oct 0.1% 0.1% 0.4%
17:00 EZ CPI YoY Oct F 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%
17:00 EZ CPI Core YoY Oct F 0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
20:30 CA Manufacturing Sales MoM Sep 0.5% -0.5% 1.6% 1.4%
20:30 CA ADP Publishes First-Ever Canada Payrolls Report
20:30 US Initial Jobless Claims Nov-11 249k 235k 239k
20:30 US Continuing Claims Nov-04 1.860m -- --
20:30 US Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Nov 22.7 25.0 27.9
20:30 US Import Price Index MoM Oct 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8%
20:30 US Import Price Index ex Petroleum MoM Oct 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4%
20:30 US Import Price Index YoY Oct 2.5% 2.5% 2.7%
20:30 US Export Price Index MoM Oct 0.0% 0.4% 0.8% 0.7%
20:30 US Export Price Index YoY Oct 2.7% -- 2.9% 2.8%
21:00 GB BOE's Carney, Broadbent, Cunliffe, Haldane Speak in Liverpool 21:10 US Fed's Mester Delivers Keynote Address at Cato Conference
21:15 US Industrial Production MoM Oct 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4%
21:15 US Capacity Utilization Oct 77% 76.3% 76.0% 76.4%
21:15 US Manufacturing (SIC) Production Oct 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.4%
21:30 EZ ECB's Villeroy De Galhau Speaks in Amsterdam
22:00 US NAHB Housing Market Index Nov 70 67 68
Fri/17-Nov-17 01:10 US Fed's Kaplan Speaks in Houston 03:00 EZ ECB's Constancio Speaks in Ottawa
04:30 NZ BusinessNZ Manufacturing PMI Oct 57.2 -- 57.5
04:45 NZ PPI Output QoQ 3Q 1.0% -- 1.3%
04:45 NZ PPI Input QoQ 3Q 1.0% -- 1.4%
04:45 US
Fed's Williams Speaks at Asia Economic Policy Conference
HK Composite Interest Rate Oct - -- 0.3%
EZ EU Social Summit in Gothenburg, Sweden
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RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf
(Source: Reuters-FXstreet-DailyFX- Tradingeconomics-forexfactory, Research: @LukmanLoeng,@her1en,rizal) 15:30 EZ ECB's Draghi Speaks in Frankfurt
16:00 EZ ECB Current Account SA Sep 37.8b -- 33.3b 34.5b
16:00 EZ Current Account NSA Sep 41.8b -- 29.6b 30.8b
17:00 EZ Construction Output MoM Sep 0.1% -- -0.2% 0.0%
17:00 EZ Construction Output YoY Sep 3.1% -- 1.6% 1.9%
20:00 EZ
Bundesbank's Weidmann Speaks at European Banking Congress
20:30 CA CPI NSA MoM Oct 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
20:30 CA CPI YoY Oct 1.4% 1.4% 1.6%
20:30 CA Consumer Price Index Oct 130.9 -- 130.8
20:30 CA CPI Core- Common YoY% Oct 1.6% -- 1.5%
20:30 CA CPI Core- Trim YoY% Oct 1.5% -- 1.5%
20:30 CA CPI Core- Median YoY% Oct 1.7% -- 1.8%
20:30 US Housing Starts Oct 1290k 1190k 1127k 1135k
20:30 US Housing Starts MoM Oct 13.7% 5.6% -4.7% -3.2%
20:30 US Building Permits Oct 1297k 1250k 1215k 1225k
20:30 US Building Permits MoM Oct 5.9% 2.0% -4.5% -3.7%
23:00 US Kansas City Fed Manf. Activity Nov 16 21 23
Sat/18-Nov-17 01:00 US Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Nov-17 915 907
05:30 US Fed's Williams Speaks with Reporters
DATE WIB CTY INDICATORS PER ACTUAL FORECAST PREV. REV.
Mon/20-Nov-17 04:00 KR PPI YoY Oct -- 3.6%
04:30 NZ Performance Services Index Oct -- 56
04:45 NZ Food Prices MoM Oct -- -0.2%
06:50 JP Exports YoY Oct 16.8% 14.1%
06:50 JP Imports YoY Oct 22.0% 12.0%
06:50 JP Trade Balance Oct ¥380.0b ¥670.2b
06:50 JP Trade Balance Adjusted Oct ¥232.3b ¥240.3b
08:35 AU RBA's Kearns Gives Speech in Sydney 10:45 AU RBA's Kohler Gives Speech in Sydney
14:00 DE PPI MoM Oct 0.2% 0.3%
14:00 DE PPI YoY Oct -- 3.1%
21:00 EZ ECB's President Draghi speaks in Brussels
22:00 US Leading Index Oct 0.6% -0.2%
23:00 EZ Draghi speaks in Brussels in his capacity as ESRB Chair
Tue/21-Nov-17 07:00 KR Exports 20 Days YoY Nov -- 6.9%
07:00 KR Imports 20 Days YoY Nov -- 3.1%
07:30 AU RBA Nov. Rate Meeting Minutes
N/A AU RBA Governor Lowe Gives Speech in Sydney
N/A NZ GDT Price Index -- -3.5%
11:30 JP All Industry Activity Index MoM Sep -0.4% 0.1%
14:00 CH Exports Real MoM Oct -- -0.9%
14:00 CH Imports Real MoM Oct -- -3.2%
14:00 CH Trade Balance Oct -- 2.92b
15:30 HK CPI Composite YoY Oct 1.7% 1.4%
16:30 GB Central Government NCR Oct -- 19.3b
16:30 GB PSNB ex Banking Groups Oct -- 5.9b
16:30 GB Public Finances (PSNCR) Oct -- 11.2b
16:30 GB Public Sector Net Borrowing Oct -- 5.3b
18:00 GB CBI Trends Selling Prices Nov -- 18
18:00 GB CBI Trends Total Orders Nov -- -2
20:30 US Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index Oct -- 0.17
22:00 US Existing Home Sales Oct 5.41m 5.39m
22:00 US Existing Home Sales MoM Oct 0.4% 0.7%
Wed/22-Nov-17 06:00 US Fed's Yellen Speaks at Stern Business School
06:30 AU Westpac Leading Index MoM Oct -- 0.08%
19:30 GB
U.K. Chancellor Hammond Makes Autumn Statement to Parliament
20:30 US Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air Oct P 0.3% 1.7%
20:30 US Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air Oct P -- 0.9%
20:30 US Initial Jobless Claims Nov-18 -- 249k
Page 6 of 9
RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf
20:30 US Continuing Claims Nov-11 -- 1.860m
20:30 US Durable Goods Orders Oct P 0.3% 2.0%
20:30 US Durables Ex Transportation Oct P 0.4% 0.7%
22:00 EZ Consumer Confidence Nov A -- -1
22:00 US U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation Nov F -- 2.6%
22:00 US U. of Mich. 5-10 Yr Inflation Nov F -- 2.5%
22:00 US U. of Mich. Current Conditions Nov F -- 113.6
22:00 US U. of Mich. Expectations Nov F -- 87.6
22:00 US U. of Mich. Sentiment Nov F 98 97.8
22:30 US DOE Cushing OK Crude Inventory Nov-17 -- -1504k
22:30 US DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories Nov-17 -- 1854k
22:30 US DOE U.S. Distillate Inventory Nov-17 -- -799k
22:30 US DOE U.S. Gasoline Inventories Nov-17 -- 894k
Thu/23-Nov-17 02:00 US FOMC Meeting Minutes Nov-01 -- --
04:45 NZ Retail Sales Ex Inflation QoQ 3Q -- 1.7%
14:00 DE Capital Investment QoQ 3Q -- 1.0%
14:00 DE Domestic Demand QoQ 3Q -- 1.0%
14:00 DE Exports QoQ 3Q -- 0.7%
14:00 DE GDP NSA YoY 3Q F -- 2.3%
14:00 DE GDP SA QoQ 3Q F -- 0.8%
14:00 DE GDP WDA YoY 3Q F -- 2.8%
14:00 DE Government Spending QoQ 3Q -- 0.6%
14:00 DE Imports QoQ 3Q -- 1.7%
14:00 DE Private Consumption QoQ 3Q -- 0.8%
15:30 DE Markit Germany Services PMI Nov P -- 54.7
15:30 DE Markit/BME Germany Composite PMI Nov P -- 56.6
15:30 DE Markit/BME Germany Manufacturing PMI Nov P -- 60.6
16:00 EZ Markit Eurozone Composite PMI Nov P -- 56
16:00 EZ Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Nov P -- 58.5
16:00 EZ Markit Eurozone Services PMI Nov P -- 55
18:00 GB CBI Retailing Reported Sales Nov -- -36
18:00 GB CBI Total Dist. Reported Sales Nov -- 1
19:30 EZ ECB account of the monetary policy meeting
20:30 CA Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM Sep -- -0.7%
20:30 CA Retail Sales MoM Sep -- -0.3%
All Day JP Bank Holiday/Labour Thanksgiving Day All Day US Bank Holiday/ Thanksgiving Day
Fri/24-Nov-17 04:00 KR Consumer Confidence Nov -- 109.2
04:45 NZ Exports NZD Oct -- 3.78b
04:45 NZ Imports NZD Oct -- 4.92b
04:45 NZ Trade Balance 12 Mth YTD NZD Oct -- -2908m
04:45 NZ Trade Balance NZD Oct -- -1143m
07:30 JP Nikkei Japan PMI Mfg Nov P -- 52.8
12:00 JP Coincident Index Sep F -- 115.8
12:00 JP Leading Index CI Sep F -- 106.6
15:15 CH Industrial Output WDA YoY 3Q -- 2.9%
15:15 CH Industry & Construction Output WDA YoY 3Q -- 3.4%
24-Nov - 28-Nov N/A DE Import Price Index MoM Oct -- 0.9%
24-Nov - 28-Nov N/A DE Import Price Index YoY Oct -- 3.0%
16:00 DE IFO Business Climate Nov -- 116.7
16:00 DE IFO Current Assessment Nov -- 124.8
16:00 DE IFO Expectations Nov -- 109.1
16:30 GB UK Finance Loans for Housing Oct -- 41584
21:45 US Markit US Composite PMI Nov P -- 55.2
21:45 US Markit US Manufacturing PMI Nov P -- 54.6
21:45 US Markit US Services PMI Nov P -- 55.3
Sat/25-Nov-17 01:00 US Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Nov-24 -- 915
Page 7 of 9
RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf
SSIamZ7 (Nikkei Dec Futures) – Last Trading Date: 07 Dec 2017
Perhatikan RSI harian turun
Level penting resistance 23435, support 21590.
(Research – rizal)
DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE % CHANGE VOLUME
17 Nov SSIpmZ7 22475 22500 22280 220 22305 --- 170 0.76 19884
17 Nov SSIamZ7 22585 22765 22320 445 22475 22475 95 0.42 116489
16 Nov SSIpmZ7 22420 22615 22385 230 22585 --- 205 0.92 31547
16 Nov SSIamZ7 22095 22430 21985 445 22385 22385 345 1.57 74601
15 Nov SSIpmZ7 22025 22155 21840 315 22095 --- 55 0.25 52828
15 Nov SSIamZ7 22315 22320 22005 315 22040 22040 405 1.80 98448
14 Nov SSIpmZ7 22425 22485 22265 220 22295 --- 150 0.67 34682
14 Nov SSIamZ7 22390 22545 22330 215 22445 22445 135 0.61 70423
13 Nov SSIpmZ7 22295 22410 22115 295 22370 --- 60 0.27 35855
13 Nov SSIamZ7 22530 22630 22265 365 22325 22325 210 0.93 71738
WEEKLY NOVEMBER OCTOBER 2017
HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
22765 21840 23435 21840 22220 20370 23435 18190
(17/Nov) (15/Nov) (09/Nov) (15/Nov) (31/Oct) (02/Oct) (09/Nov) (17/Apr)
ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION
RESISTANCE24172 Fibo Projections (161.8%)
23557 Fibo Projections (100.0%)
23435 High 09/Nov/2017
22945 High 10/Nov/2017
SUPPORT
22265 Low 13/Nov/2017
21960 Low 01/Nov/2017
21845 Low 31/Oct/2017
21745 Low 27/Oct/2017
RECOMMENDATION
BUY ----
SELL 22340
STOP LOSS 22440
TARGET 22140
22090
Page 8 of 9
RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf
KSZ7 (Kospi Dec Futures) – Exp. Date: 14 Dec 2017
Koreksi terjadi dalam pergerakan harian
RSI harian turun (Research – rizal)
DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE %
CHANGE VOLUME
17 Nov 336.25 338.60 334.20 4.40 334.30 334.30 0.35 0.10 228720
16 Nov 333.40 335.25 332.55 2.70 334.65 334.65 2.15 0.65 130737
15 Nov 334.00 334.20 332.05 2.15 332.50 332.50 2.15 0.64 193511
14 Nov 334.80 335.30 333.80 1.50 334.65 334.65 0.25 0.07 154520
13 Nov 336.30 337.90 334.40 3.50 334.90 334.90 1.35 0.40 185406
10 Nov 335.45 337.20 335.20 2.00 336.25 336.25 0.75 0.22 189938
WEEKLY NOVEMBER OCTOBER 2017
HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
338.60 332.05 339.95 332.05 334.85 321.40 339.95 259.25
(17/Nov) (15/Nov) (03/Nov) (15/Nov) (31/Oct) (10/Oct) (03/Nov) (02/Jan)
ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION
RESISTANCE
348.04 Fibo.Projections (423.6%)
342.74 Fibo.Projections (261.8%)
339.95 High 03/Nov/2017
339.25 High 09/Nov/2017
SUPPORT
332.05 Reactions Low 15/Nov/2017 (Daily)
330.30 Low 30/Oct/2017
327.45 Low 27/Oct/2017
324.10 Low 11/Oct/2017
RECOMMENDATION
BUY ----
SELL 334.65
STOP LOSS 335.65
TARGET 333.15
332.65
Daily KSc1 07/06/2017 - 27/11/2017 (JAK)
231.45 284.60
289.30
238.55
276.25
261.25 266.35
216.90
237.80
223.10
229
224
234
254.45
241.35
235.65
248.75
327.10 339.95
302.70
314.30
335.25
Cndl; KSc1; Trade Price 17/11/2017; 336,25; 338,60; 334,20; 334,30 EMA; KSc1; Trade Price(Last); 20 17/11/2017; 333,35 WMA; KSc1; Trade Price(Last); 55 17/11/2017; 328,79
Price KRW
Auto 300 303 306 309 312 315 318 321 324 327 330 333 336 339
RSI; KSc1; Trade Price(Last); 14; Exponential
17/11/2017; 49,001 Value
KRW
Auto Mom; KSc1; Trade Price(Last); 14
17/11/2017; 3,50 Value KRW
Auto 0
12 19 26 03 10 17 24 31 07 14 21 28 04 11 18 25 10 16 23 30 06 13 20 27
Juni 2017 Juli 2017 Agustus 2017 September 2017 Oktober 2017 Nopember 2017
Page 9 of 9
RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf
HSIX7 (Hang Seng November Futures) – Exp. Date: 29 Nov 2017
Koreksi terjadi pada harian.
Waspadai RSI mendekati area jenuh beli.
(Research – rizal)
DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE %
CHANGE VOLUME
17 Nov 29230 29253 29141 112 29193 29193 135 0.46 128042
16 Nov 28946 29095 28931 164 29058 29058 171 0.59 115187
15 Nov 29074 29077 28867 210 28887 28887 288 0.98 130943
14 Nov 29222 29275 29135 140 29175 29175 12 0.04 105509
13 Nov 29095 29227 29105 122 29187 29187 118 0.40 98993
10 Nov 29054 29179 29033 146 29069 29069 58 0.20 136193
09 Nov 28955 29170 28950 220 29127 29127 178 0.61 132486
WEEKLY NOVEMBER OCTOBER 2017
HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
29275 28867 29275 28087 28811 27688 29275 21863
(14/Nov) (15/Nov) (14/Nov) (06/Nov) (16/Oct) (03/Oct) (14/Nov) (03/Jan)
ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION
RESISTANCE
30250 High 05/Nov/2007
30094 High 07/Des/2007
29420 High 11/Des/2007
29275 High 14/Nov/2017
SUPPORT
29059 Low 17/Nov/2017
28870 Low 09/Nov/2017
28555 Low 07/Nov/ 2017
28087 Low 06/Nov/2017
RECOMMENDATION
BUY ----
SELL 29230
STOP LOSS 29330
TARGET 29080
29030
Daily HSIc1 08/06/2017 - 29/11/2017 (JAK)
17856 23614
24485 24946
23985
23538 28621
27371
21488
25620
21051
19394
21664
19400
18037
21195
18850
20278
22321
29275
28087
27244 26805
25110 Cndl; HSIc1; Trade Price
20/11/2017; 29.193; 29.193; 29.118; 29.146 EMA; HSIc1; Trade Price(Last); 20 20/11/2017; 28.827 WMA; HSIc1; Trade Price(Last); 55 20/11/2017; 28.541
Price HKD
Auto 25.500 25.800 26.100 26.400 26.700 27.000 27.300 27.600 27.900 28.200 28.500 28.800 29.100 29.400
RSI; HSIc1; Trade Price(Last); 14; Exponential
20/11/2017; 62,697 Value
HKD
Auto 30
Mom; HSIc1; Trade Price(Last); 14 20/11/2017; 946 Value
HKD
Auto
12 19 26 03 10 17 24 31 07 14 21 28 04 11 18 25 03 09 16 23 30 06 13 20 27
Juni 2017 Juli 2017 Agustus 2017 September 2017 Oktober 2017 Nopember 2017