Daily Outlook STOCK INDEX. Senin, 29 Januari Asia: Saham Asia memperpanjang kemenangan mereka ke hari ke 11

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Page 1 of 11

Daily Outlook

Senin, 29 Januari 2018

STOCK INDEX

Asia:Saham Asia memperpanjang kemenangan mereka ke hari ke 11 pada hari Jumat, sementara dolar yang babak belur kembali pulih setelah Presiden Donald Trump mengatakan dia menginginkan mata uang A.S. yang kuat.

Saham Eropa diperkirakan akan dibuka lebih tinggi, dengan spread- betters memperkirakan kenaikan 0,3 persen di DAX Jerman dan Prancis dan kenaikan 0,4 persen pada FTSE Inggris.

Indeks saham Asia Pasifik terbesar MSCI di luar Jepang naik 0,25 persen pada hari ini, dipimpin oleh kenaikan saham keuangan dan properti China.

Ini mengarah pada kenaikan ke-11 hari berturut-turut, urutan terpanjang sejak 2015, dan juga untuk kenaikan ketujuh minggu berturut-turut untuk pertama kalinya sejak 2010.

Nikkei Jepang berakhir turun 0,2 persen.

Pasar ekuitas dunia telah rally sepanjang tahun lalu, didukung oleh peningkatan yang disinkronkan dalam pertumbuhan ekonomi global dalam keuntungan perusahaan dan valuasi saham.

Pasar Australia tutup untuk liburan publik.

Dow dan S & P 500 berakhir pada level penutupan tertinggi pada hari Kamis, meskipun Wall Street melepaskan kenaikan intraday yang lebih besar setelah komentar kuat Presiden Trump.

Trump mengatakan pada hari Kamis bahwa dia pada akhirnya menginginkan dolar menguat, bertentangan dengan komentar yang dibuat oleh Menteri Keuangan Steven Mnuchin satu hari sebelumnya.

Indeks dolar terhadap sekeranjang enam mata uang utama berada di 89.034. Ini telah tenggelam ke level terendah tiga tahun di 88.438 pada hari Kamis setelah Mnuchin mengatakan bahwa dia menyambut pelemahan greenback, yang awalnya diambil pasar sebagai kepergian Washington dari kebijakan dolar yang kuat.

Eropa: Saham Eropa naik tipis pada hari Jumat, dibantu oleh pembaruan yang solid dari kelompok mewah LVMH namun tidak cukup untuk melawan dampak kenaikan euro, yang merusak awal yang kuat hingga tahun ini dan membuat mereka flat secara luas selama sepekan.

Euro naik pada hari Jumat, meskipun di bawah level tertinggi Desember 2014 yang dipukul pada hari Kamis, setelah Presiden A.S.

Donald Trump mengatakan bahwa dia menginginkan "strong dollar", yang bertentangan dengan komentar sebelumnya yang dibuat oleh Menteri Keuangan Steven Mnuchin, yang membuat dolar turun.

Euro yang kuat biasanya melukai eksportir Eropa yang produknya menjadi kurang kompetitif terhadap pesaing yang menghasilkan mata uang lemah.

Indeks STOXX 600 ditutup naik 0,5 persen, pulih dari level terendah satu minggu di sesi sebelumnya.

Indeks pan-Eropa turun 0,1 persen pada minggu ini namun masih naik 2,9 persen sejak awal tahun, beberapa minggu terakhir didukung oleh optimisme mengenai pemulihan pendapatan ekonomi dan korporat Eropa.

LVMH naik 4,9 persen setelah produsen barang mewah terbesar di dunia melaporkan kenaikan penjualan dan laba dan mengatakan telah membuat awal yang baik untuk 2018.

"The outlook for 2018 remains constructive, reflected in what was a confident conference call, and on account of a good entry speed into the year," kata Deutsche Bank dalam sebuah catatan.

AS & Global Markets: Laporan pendapatan kuat terakhir, termasuk dari Intel dan AbbVie, bersamaan dengan berlanjutnya pelemahan dalam dolar mengangkat masing-masing indeks utama Wall Street ke rekor penutupan pada hari Jumat.

Tiga indeks utama mencatat kenaikan empat minggu terbaik mereka sejak 2016.

Saham Intel melonjak setinggi $ 50,15, tingkat tertinggi sejak Oktober 2000, dan ditutup naik 10,55 persen pada $ 50,08 setelah hasil menunjukkan bahwa pergeseran chipmaker ke bisnis data center dengan margin lebih tinggi sedang berjalan.

Saham AbbVie melonjak 13,77 persen setelah produsen obat tersebut secara signifikan menaikkan perkiraan pendapatan 2018 dengan bantuan dari reformasi pajak A.S. dan mengatakan bahwa pihaknya berharap untuk mempercepat pertumbuhan dividen dan pembelian kembali saham.

Pertumbuhan pendapatan kuartal keempat untuk S & P 500 sekarang diperkirakan mencapai 13,2 persen, menurut data Thomson Reuters, naik dari 12 persen di awal tahun. Dari 133 perusahaan dalam indeks yang telah melapor sampai Jumat, 79,7 persen telah melampaui ekspektasi.

Penghasilan tersebut memungkinkan investor untuk mengabaikan pembacaan pertumbuhan ekonomi yang masuk di bawah ekspektasi.

Produk domestik bruto meningkat pada tingkat tahunan 2,6 persen pada kuartal keempat, Departemen Perdagangan mengatakan dalam laporan PDB sebelumnya, di bawah perkiraan 3 persen, karena laju pengeluaran konsumen terkuat dalam tiga tahun mengakibatkan lonjakan impor.

Dolar berada di jalur untuk minggu terburuk sejak Mei setelah komentar dari pejabat senior AS minggu ini mendukung mata uang yang lemah. Dow Jones Industrial Average naik 223,92 poin atau 0,85 persen menjadi 26.616,71, S & P 500 naik 33,62 poin atau 1,18 persen. , ke 2.872,87 dan Nasdaq Composite menambahkan 94,61 poin atau 1,28 persen menjadi 7.505,77.

Untuk minggu ini, Dow naik 2,08 persen, S & P 500 menguat 2,22 persen dan Nasdaq menguat 2,31 persen.

(SourceReuters,Research:rizal)

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Page 2 of 11

Daily Outlook

Senin, 29 Januari 2018

Closing Prices – 26 Januari 2018

CLOSE CHANGE CLOSE CHANGE

.DJI 26616.71  223.92/0.85% .N225 23631.88  37.61/0.16%

/.SPX 2872.62  33.37/1.17% .KS200 335.38  1.30/0.39%

/.IXIC 7505.772  94.608/1.28% .HSI 33154.12  499.67/1.53%

JPY= 108.70  0.71/0.65% /.SSEC 3559.08750  10.78050/0.30%

KRW= 1063.67  1.80/0.17% /CLc1 (Oil) 66.21  0.98/1.50%

ASIA AND GLOBAL MARKET SPOT PRICE 2018

HIGH / LOW .N225 .KS200 .HSI .DJI /.SPX /.SSEC

RECORD HIGH 38915.87 (29/Dec/89)

339.59 (02/Nov/2017)

33154.12 (26/Jan/2018)

26616.71 (26/Jan/2018)

2872.62 (26/Jan/2018)

6124.04400 (16/Oct./07) 2017 HIGH 23439.15

(13/Nov/2017)

339.59 (02/Nov/2017)

30199.69 (22/Nov/2017)

24876.07 (18/Dec/2017)

2694.97 (18/Dec/2017)

3450.49490 (14/Nov/2017) 2018 HIGH 24124.15

(23/Jan/2018)

335.38 (26/Jan/2018)

33154.12 (26/Jan/2018)

26616.71 (26/Jan/2018)

2872.62 (26/Jan/2018)

3560.73290 (24/Jan/2018) 2018 LOW 23506.33

(04/Jan/2018)

324.58 (04/Jan/2018)

30515.31 (02/Jan/2018)

24824.01 (02/Jan/2018)

2695.83 (02/Jan/2018)

3349.05200 (02/Jan/2018) 2017 LOW 18224.68

(17/Apr/2017)

258.64 (02/Jan/2017)

21883.82 (03/Jan/2017)

19677.94 (19/Jan/2017)

2245.13 (03/Jan/2017)

3016.53050 (11/May/2017) RECORD LOW 85.25

(06/Jul/50)

31.96 (16/Jun/98)

58.61 (31/Aug/67)

388.20 (17/Jan/55)

132.93 (23/Nov./82)

325.92200 (29/Jul/94)

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Page 3 of 11

Daily Outlook

Senin, 29 Januari 2018

WEEKLY ECONOMIC INDICATORS

DATE WIB CTY INDICATORS PER ACTUAL FORECAST PREV. REV.

Mon/22-Jan-18 04:00 KR PPI YoY Dec 2.3% 2.9% 3.1%

N/A KR Exports 20 Days YoY Jan -- 16.40%

N/A KR Imports 20 Days YoY Jan -- 19.50%

20:30 US Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index Dec 0.27 0.22 0.15 0.11

20:30 CA Wholesale Trade Sales MoM Nov 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 1.6%

20:40 CN AIIB President Jin Liquin Speaks in Brussels

Tue/23-Jan-18 04:30 NZ Performance Services Index Dec 56.0 -- 56.4

10:15 JP BOJ 10-Yr Yield Target Jan-23 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

10:15 JP BOJ Outlook Report

10:15 JP BOJ Policy Balance Rate Jan-23 -0.10% -0.10% -0.10%

11:30 JP All Industry Activity Index MoM Nov 1.0% 0.8% 0.3%

13:00 JP Machine Tool Orders YoY Dec F 48.3% -- 48.3%

15:30 HK CPI Composite YoY Dec 1.7% 1.8% 1.6%

16:30 GB Central Government NCR Dec 18.8b -- 12.3b 12.4b

16:30 GB PSNB ex Banking Groups Dec 2.6b 5.0b 8.7b 8.3b

16:30 GB Public Finances (PSNCR) Dec 25.1b -- 12.9b 13.2b

16:30 GB Public Sector Net Borrowing Dec 1.0b 4.3b 8.1b 6.6b

17:00 DE ZEW Survey Current Situation Jan 95.2 89.5 89.3

17:00 EZ ZEW Survey Expectations Jan 31.8 -- 29

17:00 DE ZEW Survey Expectations Jan 20.4 17.7 17.4

18:00 GB CBI Business Optimism Jan 13 -- -11

18:00 GB CBI Trends Selling Prices Jan 40 -- 23

18:00 GB CBI Trends Total Orders Jan 14 12 17

22:00 EZ Consumer Confidence Jan A 1.3 0.6 0.5

22:00 US Richmond Fed Manufact. Index Jan 14 18 20

22:00 US

Senate Holds Confirmation Hearing for Fed Nominee Goodfriend

Wed/24-Jan-18 06:30 US Fed's Evans Makes Introductory Remarks

06:30 AU Westpac Leading Index MoM Dec 0.27% -- 0.1% 0.05%

06:50 JP Exports YoY Dec 9.3% 10.0% 16.2%

06:50 JP Imports YoY Dec 14.9% 12.4% 17.2%

06:50 JP Trade Balance Dec ¥359.0b ¥520.0b ¥113.4b ¥112.2b

06:50 JP Trade Balance Adjusted Dec ¥86.6b ¥264.3b ¥364.1b ¥289.6b

07:30 JP Nikkei Japan PMI Mfg Jan P 54.4 -- 54

12:00 JP Coincident Index Nov F 117.9 -- 118.1

12:00 JP Leading Index CI Nov F 108.3 -- 108.6

15:30 DE Markit Germany Services PMI Jan P 57 55.5 55.8

15:30 DE Markit/BME Germany Composite PMI Jan P 58.8 58.5 58.9

15:30 DE Markit/BME Germany Manufacturing PMI Jan P 61.2 63.0 63.3

16:00 EZ Markit Eurozone Composite PMI Jan P 58.6 57.9 58.1

16:00 EZ Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Jan P 59.6 60.3 60.6

16:00 EZ Markit Eurozone Services PMI Jan P 57.6 56.4 56.6

16:30 GB Average Weekly Earnings 3M/YoY Nov 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%

16:30 GB Claimant Count Rate Dec 2.4% -- 2.3%

16:30 GB Employment Change 3M/3M Nov 102k -12k -56k

16:30 GB ILO Unemployment Rate 3Mths Nov 4.3% 4.3% 4.3%

16:30 GB Jobless Claims Change Dec 8.6k -- 5.9k 12.2k

16:30 GB Weekly Earnings ex Bonus 3M/YoY Nov 2.4% 2.3% 2.3%

16:50 CN China Economic Adviser Liu He Speaks in Davos

21:00 US FHFA House Price Index MoM Nov 0.4% 0.5% 0.5%

21:45 US Markit US Composite PMI Jan P 53.8 -- 54.1

21:45 US Markit US Manufacturing PMI Jan P 55.5 55.0 55.1

21:45 US Markit US Services PMI Jan P 53.3 54.3 53.7

22:00 US Existing Home Sales Dec 5.57m 5.70m 5.81m 5.78m

22:00 US Existing Home Sales MoM Dec -3.6% -1.9% 5.6% 5.1%

22:30 US DOE Cushing OK Crude Inventory Jan-19 3150k -- -4184k

22:30 US DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories Jan-19 -1071k 1600k -6861k

22:30 US DOE U.S. Distillate Inventory Jan-19 639k -1471k -3887k

22:30 US DOE U.S. Gasoline Inventories Jan-19 3098k 2486k 3620k

Thu/25-Jan-18 04:45 NZ CPI QoQ 4Q 0.1% 0.4% 0.5%

04:45 NZ CPI YoY 4Q 1.6% 1.9% 1.9%

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Daily Outlook

Senin, 29 Januari 2018

06:00 KR GDP SA QoQ 4Q P -0.2% 0.9% 1.5%

06:00 KR GDP YoY 4Q P 3.0% 3.2% 3.8%

14:00 DE GfK Consumer Confidence Feb 11.0 10.8 10.8

15:30 HK Exports YoY Dec 6.0% -- 7.80%

15:30 HK Imports YoY Dec 9.0% -- 8.60%

15:30 HK Trade Balance HKD Dec H$-59.9b H$-41.7b H$-39.7b

16:00 DE IFO Business Climate Jan 117.6 117.0 117.2

16:00 DE IFO Current Assessment Jan 127.7 125.3 125.4 125.5

16:00 DE IFO Expectations Jan 108.4 109.2 109.5 109.4

16:30 GB UK Finance Loans for Housing Dec 36115 39800 39507

18:00 GB CBI Retailing Reported Sales Jan 12 13 20

18:00 GB CBI Total Dist. Reported Sales Jan 14 -- 24

18:27 CA CFIB Business Barometer Jan 62.7 -- 59.7

19:45 EZ ECB Deposit Facility Rate Jan-25 -0.40% -0.40% -0.40%

19:45 EZ ECB Main Refinancing Rate Jan-25 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

19:45 EZ ECB Marginal Lending Facility Jan-25 0.25% 0.25% 0.25%

20:30 US Advance Goods Trade Balance Dec -$68.5b -$69.7b

20:30 US Continuing Claims Jan-13 1937k 1925k 1952k 1965k

20:30 US Initial Jobless Claims Jan-20 233k 235k 220k 216k

20:30 US Retail Inventories MoM Dec -- 0.10%

20:30 CA Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM Nov 1.6% 0.9% 0.8%

20:30 CA Retail Sales MoM Nov 0.2% 0.8% 1.5% 1.6%

20:30 US Wholesale Inventories MoM Dec P -- 0.80%

22:00 US Leading Index Dec 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5%

22:00 US New Home Sales Dec 625k 675k 733k 689k

22:00 US New Home Sales MoM Dec -9.3% -7.9% 17.5% 15.0%

23:00 US Kansas City Fed Manf. Activity Jan 16 14 14

Fri/26-Jan-18 04:00 KR Consumer Confidence Jan 110.0 109..0 110.9

06:30 JP Japan Dec CPI 1.0% 1.1% 0.6%

06:30 JP Natl CPI Ex Fresh Food YoY Dec 0.9% 0.90% 0.9%

06:30 JP Natl CPI Ex Fresh Food, Energy YoY Dec 0.3% 0.40% 0.3%

06:30 JP Natl CPI YoY Dec 1.0% 1.1% 0.6%

06:50 JP BOJ Minutes of Policy Meeting

06:50 JP PPI Services YoY Dec 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%

08:30 CN Industrial Profits YoY Dec 10.8% -- 14.9%

16:00 EZ ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters

16:30 GB GDP QoQ 4Q A 0.5% 0.4% 0.4%

16:30 GB GDP YoY 4Q A 1.5% 1.3% 1.7%

20:30 US Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air Dec P -0.3% 0.5% -0.2% 0.2%

20:30 US Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air Dec P 0.6% 0.4% -0.10% 0.4%

20:30 CA Consumer Price Index Dec 130.8 -- 131.3

20:30 US Core PCE QoQ 4Q A 1.9% 1.9% 1.3%

20:30 CA CPI Core- Common YoY% Dec 1.6% -- 1.5%

20:30 CA CPI Core- Median YoY% Dec 1.9% -- 1.9%

20:30 CA CPI Core- Trim YoY% Dec 1.9% -- 1.8%

20:30 CA CPI NSA MoM Dec -0.4% -0.3% 0.3%

20:30 CA CPI YoY Dec 1.9% 1.9% 2.1%

20:30 US Durable Goods Orders Dec P 2.9% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7%

20:30 US Durables Ex Transportation Dec P 0.6% 0.6% -0.1% 0.3%

20:30 US GDP Annualized QoQ 4Q A 2.6% 3.0% 3.2%

20:30 US GDP Price Index 4Q A 2.4% 2.4% 2.1%

20:30 US Personal Consumption 4Q 3.8% 3.7% 2.2%

Sat/27-Jan-18 01:00 US Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Jan-26 947 934 936

27-Jan - 03-Feb DE Retail Sales MoM Dec -- 2.3%

27-Jan - 03-Feb DE Retail Sales YoY Dec -- 4.4%

DATE WIB CTY INDICATORS PER ACTUAL FORECAST PREV. REV.

27-Jan - 03-Feb DE Retail Sales MoM Dec -- 2.3%

27-Jan - 03-Feb DE Retail Sales YoY Dec -- 4.4%

Mon/29-Jan-18 20:30 US PCE Core MoM Dec 0.2% 0.10%

20:30 US PCE Core YoY Dec 1.6% 1.5%

20:30 US PCE Deflator MoM Dec 0.1% 0.2%

20:30 US PCE Deflator YoY Dec -- 1.8%

20:30 US Personal Income Dec 0.3% 0.3%

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Daily Outlook

Senin, 29 Januari 2018

20:30 US Personal Spending Dec 0.5% 0.6%

20:30 US Real Personal Spending Dec -- 0.4%

22:30 US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Jan 25.3 29.7

Tue/30-Jan-18 04:00 KR Business Survey Manufacturing Feb 80.6 81

04:00 KR Business Survey Non-Manufacturing Feb -- 78

04:45 NZ Exports NZD Dec 5.03b 4.63b

04:45 NZ Imports NZD Dec 5.05b 5.82b

04:45 NZ Trade Balance 12 Month YTD NZD Dec -3420m -3439m

04:45 NZ Trade Balance NZD Dec -100m -1193m

06:30 JP Jobless Rate Dec 2.7% 2.7%

06:30 JP Job-To-Applicant Ratio Dec 1.57 1.56

06:30 JP Overall Household Spending YoY Dec 1.1% 1.7%

06:50 JP Retail Sales MoM Dec -- 1.9%

06:50 JP Retail Trade YoY Dec -- 2.2%

07:30 AU NAB Business Conditions Dec -- 12

07:30 AU NAB Business Confidence Dec -- 6

14:00 CH Exports Real MoM Dec -- 0.8%

14:00 CH Imports Real MoM Dec -- 2.3%

15:00 CH KOF Leading Indicator Jan -- 111.3

17:00 EZ Business Climate Indicator Jan -- 1.66

17:00 EZ Consumer Confidence Jan F -- 1.3

17:00 EZ Economic Confidence Jan -- 116

17:00 EZ GDP SA QoQ 4Q A -- 0.6%

17:00 EZ GDP SA YoY 4Q A -- 2.6%

17:00 EZ Industrial Confidence Jan -- 9.1

17:00 EZ Services Confidence Jan -- 18.4

30-Jan - 31-Jan US President Trump’s first State of the Union address

20:00 DE CPI EU Harmonized MoM Jan P -- 0.8%

20:00 DE CPI EU Harmonized YoY Jan P -- 1.6%

20:00 DE CPI MoM Jan P -- 0.6%

20:00 DE CPI YoY Jan P -- 1.7%

21:00 US S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City MoM SA Nov 0.7% 0.7%

21:00 US S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City NSA Index Nov -- 203.84

21:00 US S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City YoY NSA Nov -- 6.38%

21:00 US S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI NSA Index Nov -- 195.63

21:00 US S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI YoY NSA Nov -- 6.17%

22:00 US Conf. Board Consumer Confidence Jan 123.1 122.1

22:00 US Conf. Board Expectations Jan -- 99.1

22:00 US Conf. Board Present Situation Jan -- 156.6

22:30 GB Bank of England Governor Carney Speaks Before Lawmakers 23:30 EZ ECB's Mersch speaks in Frankfurt

Wed/31-Jan-18 06:00 KR Cyclical Leading Index Change Dec -- -0.1

06:00 KR Industrial Production SA MoM Dec -- 0.2%

06:00 KR Industrial Production YoY Dec -- -1.6%

06:50 JP BOJ Summary of Opinions

06:50 JP Industrial Production MoM Dec P 1.5% 0.5%

06:50 JP Industrial Production YoY Dec P -- 3.6%

07:01 GB GfK Consumer Confidence Jan -- -13

07:30 AU CPI QoQ 4Q 0.7% 0.6%

07:30 AU CPI Trimmed Mean QoQ 4Q 0.5% 0.4%

07:30 AU CPI Trimmed Mean YoY 4Q 1.9% 1.8%

07:30 AU CPI Weighted Median QoQ 4Q 0.5% 0.3%

07:30 AU CPI Weighted Median YoY 4Q 1.9% 1.9%

07:30 AU CPI YoY 4Q 2.0% 1.8%

08:00 CN Manufacturing PMI Jan 51.5 51.6

08:00 CN Non-manufacturing PMI Jan 55 55

08:30 JP BOJ Iwata makes a speech in Oita

12:00 JP Construction Orders YoY Dec -- 20.5%

12:00 JP Consumer Confidence Index Jan -- 44.7

12:00 JP Housing Starts YoY Dec -- -0.4%

15:55 DE Unemployment Change (000's) Jan -- -29k

15:55 DE Unemployment Claims Rate SA Jan -- 5.5%

16:00 CH Credit Suisse Survey Expectations Jan -- 52

17:00 EZ CPI Core YoY Jan A -- 0.9%

17:00 EZ CPI Estimate YoY Jan -- 1.4%

17:00 EZ Unemployment Rate Dec -- 8.7%

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Daily Outlook

Senin, 29 Januari 2018

20:15 US ADP Employment Change Jan 185k 250k

20:30 US Employment Cost Index 4Q 0.5% 0.7%

20:30 CA GDP MoM Nov -- 0.0%

20:30 CA GDP YoY Nov -- 3.4%

20:30 CA Industrial Product Price MoM Dec -- 1.4%

21:45 US Chicago Purchasing Manager Jan 63.5 67.6

22:00 US Pending Home Sales MoM Dec 0.5% 0.2%

22:00 US Pending Home Sales NSA YoY Dec -- 0.6%

22:30 US DOE Cushing OK Crude Inventory Jan-26 -- -3150k

22:30 US DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories Jan-26 -- -1071k

22:30 US DOE U.S. Distillate Inventory Jan-26 -- 639k

22:30 US DOE U.S. Gasoline Inventories Jan-26 -- 3098k

Thu/01-Feb-18 02:00 US FOMC Rate Decision (Lower Bound) Jan-31 1.25% 1.25%

02:00 US FOMC Rate Decision (Upper Bound) Jan-31 1.5% 1.5%

05:00 AU CBA Australia PMI Mfg Jan -- 57.1

05:30 AU AiG Performance of Mfg Index Jan -- 56.2

06:00 AU CoreLogic House Px MoM Jan -- -0.4%

06:00 KR CPI Core YoY Jan -- 1.5%

06:00 KR CPI MoM Jan -- 0.3%

06:00 KR CPI YoY Jan -- 1.5%

07:00 KR Exports YoY Jan -- 8.9%

07:00 KR Imports YoY Jan -- 13.0%

07:00 KR Trade Balance Jan -- $5783m

01-Feb - 07-Feb JP Official Reserve Assets Jan -- $1264.3b

07:30 AU Building Approvals MoM Dec -7.6% 11.7%

07:30 AU Building Approvals YoY Dec 11.5% 17.1%

07:30 JP Nikkei Japan PMI Mfg Jan F -- 54.4

07:30 KR Nikkei South Korea PMI Mfg Jan -- 49.9

08:45 CN Caixin China PMI Mfg Jan 51.5 51.5

13:45 CH SECO Consumer Confidence Jan -- -2

15:15 CH Retail Sales Real YoY Dec -- -0.2%

15:30 CH PMI Manufacturing Jan -- 65.2

15:55 DE Markit/BME Germany Manufacturing PMI Jan F 63.3 61.2

16:00 EZ Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Jan F -- 59.6

16:30 GB Markit UK PMI Manufacturing SA Jan -- 56.3

19:00 CA MLI Leading Indicator MoM Dec -- 0.5%

20:30 US Continuing Claims Jan-20 -- --

20:30 US Initial Jobless Claims Jan-27 -- --

20:30 US Nonfarm Productivity 4Q P 1.2% 3.0%

20:30 US Unit Labor Costs 4Q P 1.0% -0.2%

21:30 CA Markit Canada Manufacturing PMI Jan -- 54.7

21:45 US Markit US Manufacturing PMI Jan F -- 55.5

22:00 US Construction Spending MoM Dec 0.4% 0.8%

22:00 US ISM Employment Jan -- 57

22:00 US ISM Manufacturing Jan 58.9 59.7

22:00 US ISM New Orders Jan -- 69.4

22:00 US ISM Prices Paid Jan -- 69

Fri/02-Feb-18 04:00 NZ ANZ Consumer Confidence Index Jan -- 121.8

04:00 NZ ANZ Consumer Confidence MoM Jan -- -1.5%

04:45 NZ Building Permits MoM Dec -- 10.8%

06:50 JP Monetary Base End of period Jan -- ¥480.0t

06:50 JP Monetary Base YoY Jan -- 11.2%

07:30 AU PPI QoQ 4Q -- 0.2%

07:30 AU PPI YoY 4Q -- 1.6%

16:30 GB Markit/CIPS UK Construction PMI Jan -- 52.2

17:00 EZ PPI MoM Dec -- 0.6%

17:00 EZ PPI YoY Dec -- 2.8%

20:30 US Average Hourly Earnings MoM Jan 0.3% 0.3%

20:30 US Average Hourly Earnings YoY Jan -- 2.5%

20:30 US Average Weekly Hours All Employees Jan 34.5 34.5

20:30 US Change in Manufacturing Payrolls Jan 21k 25k

20:30 US Change in Nonfarm Payrolls Jan 180k 148k

20:30 US Change in Private Payrolls Jan 178k 146k

20:30 US Labor Force Participation Rate Jan -- 62.7%

20:30 US Two-Month Payroll Net Revision Jan -- -9k

20:30 US Underemployment Rate Jan -- 8.1%

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Page 7 of 11

Daily Outlook

Senin, 29 Januari 2018

Source: Bloomberg-Reuters-Forexfactory-DailyFX-Tradingeconomics-FXStreet, Research: @LukmanLoeng,@her1en,rizal)

20:30 US Unemployment Rate Jan 4.1% 4.1%

22:00 US Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air Dec F -- --

22:00 US Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air Dec F -- --

22:00 US Durable Goods Orders Dec F -- --

22:00 US Durables Ex Transportation Dec F -- --

22:00 US Factory Orders Dec 0.6% 1.3%

22:00 US Factory Orders Ex Trans Dec -- 0.8%

22:00 US U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation Jan F -- 2.8%

22:00 US U. of Mich. 5-10 Yr Inflation Jan F -- 2.5%

22:00 US U. of Mich. Current Conditions Jan F -- 109.2

22:00 US U. of Mich. Expectations Jan F -- 84.8

22:00 US U. of Mich. Sentiment Jan F 95 94.4

Sat/03-Feb-18 01:00 US Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Feb-02 -- --

03:30 US Fed's Williams Speaks in San Francisco

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Page 8 of 11

Daily Outlook

Senin, 29 Januari 2018

SSIamH8 (Nikkei Mar Futures) – Last Trading Date: 12 Mar 2018

 RSI harian dekat area jenuh beli

 Waspadai perubahan tren (Research – rizal)

DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE % CHANGE VOLUME

26 Jan SSIpmH8 23595 23750 23540 210 23705 ---  95 0.40 31687

26 Jan SSIamH8 23680 23785 23550 235 23610 23610  45 0.19 68051

25 Jan SSIpmH8 23685 23755 23445 310 23570 ---  85 0.36 42508

25 Jan SSIamH8 23740 23815 23625 190 23655 23655  270 1.13 69459

24 Jan SSIpmH8 23935 23960 23595 365 23745 ---  180 0.75 40928

24 Jan SSIamH8 24015 24050 23870 180 23925 23925  180 0.75 56549

23 Jan SSIpmH8 24135 24170 23925 245 24000 ---  105 0.44 29139

23 Jan SSIamH8 23945 24140 23900 240 24105 24105  305 1.28 72543

22 Jan SSIpmH8 23795 23935 23765 170 23925 ---  125 0.53 21461

22 Jan SSIamH8 23810 23820 23670 150 23800 23800 Flat Flat 41993

WEEKLY JANUARY DECEMBER 2018

HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW

24170 23445 24170 22615 22995 22015 24170 22615

(23/Jan) (25/Jan) (23/Jan) (02/Jan) (01/Dec) (06/Dec) (23/Jan) (02/Jan)

ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION

RESISTANCE

24170 High Jan 24,2018

24050 High on 1 hourly Chart

23960 High Jan 25,2018

23785 High Jan 26,2018

SUPPORT

23420 Low Jan 05

23325 Low on 1 Hourly Chart

RECOMMENDATION

BUY 23665

SELL ----

STOP LOSS 23515

TARGET 23865

23915

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Page 9 of 11

Daily Outlook

Senin, 29 Januari 2018

KSH8 (Kospi Mar Futures) – Exp. Date: 08 Mar 2018

 RSI harian berada di zona jenuh beli.

 Koreksi high dalam pergerakan harian.

(Research – rizal)

DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE %

CHANGE VOLUME

26 Jan 334.50 336.45 333.80 2.65 336.45 336.45  1.65 0.49 154148

25 Jan 331.05 335.40 331.00 4.40 334.80 334.80  2.70 0.81 180498

24 Jan 330.95 333.35 330.90 2.45 332.10 332.10  0.35 0.11 158933

23 Jan 328.15 331.75 327.85 3.90 331.75 331.75  5.00 1.53 184298

22 Jan 330.00 330.05 325.30 4.75 326.75 326.75  3.35 1.01 209180

19 Jan 330.40 331.15 329.55 1.60 330.10 330.10  0.20 0.06 128848

336.45 325.30 336.45 325.05 331.35 317.35 336.45 325.05

ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION

RESISTANCE

341.62 Fibo Projections on Daily Chart (161.8%)

339.90 High Nov 01,2017

338.60 High Nov 17,2017

337.50 High Nov 22,2017

SUPPORT

335.60 Low on 1 Hourly Chart

RECOMMENDATION

BUY 336.00

SELL ----

STOP LOSS 334.50

TARGET 338.00

338.50

Daily KSc1 15/09/2017 - 02/02/2018 (JAK)

231.45 284.60

289.30

238.55

276.25

261.25 266.35

216.90

237.80

223.10

229

224

234

254.45

241.35

235.65

248.75

336 339.95

302.70

325.30 336.45 338.60

322.65

325.05

317.35

333.50

Cndl; KSc1; Trade Price 26/01/2018; 334,50; 336,45; 333,80; 336,45 EMA; KSc1; Trade Price(Last); 20 26/01/2018; 329,87 WMA; KSc1; Trade Price(Last); 55 26/01/2018; 328,10

Price KRW

Auto 300 303 306 309 312 315 318 321 324 327 330 333 336 339 342

RSI; KSc1; Trade Price(Last); 14; Exponential

26/01/2018; 72,514 Value

KRW

Auto Mom; KSc1; Trade Price(Last); 14

26/01/2018; 4,70 Value KRW

Auto 0

18 25 10 16 23 30 06 13 20 27 04 11 18 26 02 08 15 22 29

September 2017 Oktober 2017 Nopember 2017 Desember 2017 Januari 2018

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Page 10 of 11

Daily Outlook

Senin, 29 Januari 2018

HSIF8 (Hang Seng Jan Futures) – Exp. Date: 30 Jan 2018

 Rangkaian naik level high pada harian.

 RSI harian berada dalam zona jenuh beli.

 Waspadai open gap.

(Research – rizal)

DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE %

CHANGE VOLUME

26 Jan(HSIG8) 32844 33169 32766 403 33127 33127  485 1.48 85832

26 Jan(HSIF8) 32857 33203 32800 403 33154 33154  474 1.45 263808

25 Jan 32904 33016 32620 396 32680 32680  217 0.66 269148

24 Jan 32837 32998 32733 265 32897 32897  14 0.04 209898

23 Jan 32552 32930 32518 412 32911 32911  562 1.74 219315

22 Jan 32340 32381 32011 370 32349 32349  114 0.35 167635

19 Jan 32079 32248 31989 259 32235 32235  174 0.54 159000

33203 32011 33203 30371 30027 28149 33203 30371

ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION

RESISTANCE

36158 Fibo.Projections on Daily Chart (423.6%) 34810 Fibo.Projections on Daily Chart (261.8%) 33978 Fibo.Projections on Daily Chart (161.8%) 33463 Fibo.Projections on Daily Chart (100.0%)

SUPPORT

33033 Reactions Low on 1-Hourly Chart

32909 Low on 1-Hourly Chart

32800 Low on 1-Hourly Chart

32620 Low Jan 25,2018

RECOMMENDATION

BUY 33210

SELL ----

STOP LOSS 33060

TARGET 33410

33460

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