Technical Analyst
Analyst
: Andri Zakarias Siregar ([email protected])
Research Assistant
: Venia Allani Meissalina ([email protected])
Indah Lestari ([email protected])
Teknikal Saham
Harian
ANALISA DAN REKOMENDASI
Selasa, 13 September 2016
Pola Bearish Marubozu & Oversold Dapat Picu Technical Rebound.
IHSG menunjukkan peluang kenaikan dalam range baru 5.200-5.500, didukung Stochastic Oversold, Fase
Distribusi, closed di bawah 5 & 20 Day MA, candle Bearish Marubozu, trend Volume meningkat,
menunjuk-kan momentum penurunan masih terbuka selama di bawah 5.348. IHSG selama close di bawah 5.348? dapat
menggagalkan masih dukung target kenaikan med term ke (4.848 DONE/4.875 DONE/4.945 DONE/5.006
DONE/5.071 DONE/5.134 DONE/5.198 DONE/5.282 DONE/5.358 DONE/5.382 DONE/5.424 DONE/5.524.
Resist: 5.296/5.324/.348/5.396. Support: 5.276/5.254/5.238/5.171. Perkiraan range: 5.230 - 5.330.
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
IHSG
5.238/5.171
5.276/5.254
5,281
5.296/5.324
5.348/5.396
Technical Analyst Team : Indah Lestari, Venia A. Meissalina
Tabel Teknikal Saham
* Rekomendasi sangat tergantung trend pergerakan harga dan pendekatan teknikal lainnya
* Jika ada rekomendasi BUY, maka harga cenderung bergerak ke target dikisaran R1, R2
* Jika ada rekomendasi SELL, maka harga cenderung bergerak ke target dikisaran S1, S2
* Buy on Support = masih uptrend dengan resiko tinggi atau mendekati resist, namun jika resist berhasil ditembus bisa jadi up-
trend baru
* Spec. BUY = Dalam down trend dengan resiko tinggi, namun jika berhasil rebound bisa jadi reversal
* Acc. BUY = Strategi perdagangan dengan melakukan cicil beli atau average BUY di harga open dikisaran S1, S2
* Trading Buy = Perdagangan Intraday untuk sesi 1 dan sesi 2
* Support & resistance ini ditentukan berdasarkan rumus pivot, bisa berbeda dengan perhitungan support dan resistance ber-
dasarkan pola grafik
* Jika harga naik diatas 5-DAY MA, maka ada kemungkinan kenaikan berlanjut
* Jika harga bergerak dibawah 5-DAY MA, maka kecenderungan harga akan melemah dulu
* Harga disekitar Resist (R1 atau R2) merupakan level untuk mengambil profit
* Stoploss adalah kisaran terjadinya perubahan arah jadi trend turun
* Blue Chip mengacu pada saham perusahaan yang memiliki kapitalisasi pasar cukup besar (total asset > Rp. 5 T), biasanya mem-
berikan dividen secara reguler
* 2nd Liners adalah saham lapisan kedua yang memiliki total asset antara Rp. 1 T dan Rp. 5 T (kapitalisasi sedang)
* 3rd Liners adalah saham lapisan terakhir yang memiliki total asset di bawah Rp. 1 T (kapitalisasi rendah)
Selasa, 13 September 2016
Ticker Trend
Last
Price
R2
R1
5-DAY
MA
S1
S2
Commentary
BLUE CHIP
ASII
↗
BUY 8225 8500 8275 8280 8175 7885 Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi BMRI↗
BUY ON WEAKNESS 10850 11150 10925 11135 10775 10500 Stochastic Netral; MACD Akumulasi INDF↗
BUY ON WEAKNESS 8200 8450 8225 8330 8125 7875 Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi JSMR↘
TRADING BUY 4760 4840 4780 4784 4740 4680 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Distribusi LPPF↔
TRADING BUY 18075 18950 18250 18730 17900 17250 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Akumulasi PTBA↗
TRADING BUY 10125 10650 10285 10140 10000 9580 Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi WIKA↗
BUY ON WEAKNESS 3130 3300 3180 3236 3090 2970 Stochastic Netral; MACD Akumulasi2
nd& 3
rdLINERS
ASRI
↗
TRADING BUY 474 498 486 490 461 448 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Akumulasi BBTN↗
TRADING BUY 2000 2160 2080 1993 1915 1830 Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi CPIN↗
BUY 3570 3730 3650 3604 3490 3410 Stochastic Oversold; MACD Akumulasi ERAA↗
BUY ON WEAKNESS 795 865 830 822 700 665 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Akumulasi KAEF↗
TRADING BUY 2430 2535 2480 2468 2380 2330 Stochastic Oversold; MACD Akumulasi NIKL↗
AKUMULASI BUY 725 815 770 650 680 635 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Akumulasi TINS↗
TRADING BUY 800 880 840 802 755 710 Stochastic Bearish; MACD AkumulasiAnalisa Teknikal Saham
BBRI: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi; Candle Evening
Star, Stochastic Overbought.
Rekomendasi: BUY 11.600-11.600 target 11.875/12.000
stop loss di bawah 11.350.
SMGR: Trend Bullish & Fase Distribusi; Candle Bullish 3
Inside Up, Stochastic Oversold.
Rekomendasi: BUY di atas 10.050 target 10.200/10.350
stop loss di bawah 9.800.
PGAS: Trend Bullish & Fase Distribusi; Candle Morning
Doji Star, Stochastic Oversold.
UNTR: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi, Candle Three
Black Crows, Stochastic Bearish.
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
BBRI
11.375/11.250 11.600/11.450
11,750
11.825/11.950 12.050/12.300
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
SMGR
9.600/9.450
9.900/9.725
10,050
10.150/10.350 10.425/10.600
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
UNTR
16.800/16.450 17.400/17.225
17,500
17.750/18.000 18.350/18.550
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
PGAS
2.710/2.650
2.790/2.750
2,810
2.830/2.875
2.925/2.960
Analisa Teknikal Saham
SRIL: Trend Bearish & Fase Distribusi; White Candle,
Sto-chastic Bearish.
Rekomendasi: BUY 245-253 target 268/278 stop loss di
bawah 240.
TLKM: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi; Long Black
Can-dle, Stochastic Netral.
Rekomendasi: TRADING BUY target 4.150/4.175 stop
loss di bawah 3.945.
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
TLKM
3.970/3.945
4.015/4.000
4,050
4.075/4.125
4.175/4.210
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
SRIL
222/210
246/234
258
268/278
290/302
Improving : Sektor yang mulai mengalami kenaikan
Leading : Sektor yang telah mengalami kenaikan
dan tertinggi dari sektor lainnya
Lagging :
Sektor yang belum meningkat namun
berpeluang
meningkat
Weakening :
Sektor terlemah di IHSG
Grafik Rotasi Sektor di IHSG
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