Analisa Teknikal
Riset Teknikal Saham Harian
Samuel Research 11 Januari 2017
Doji Untuk Mengakhiri Technical Correction
Dengan terbentuknya Doji, Technical Analyst memperkirakan penurunan IHSG selama 6 hari berturut – turut segera berakhir dan IHSG berpeluang melanjutkan kenaikan membentuk January Effect (Positive Return sepanjang Jan’17). Technical Analyst prediksi IHSG naik mendekati 5,280 hari ini.
FMCG Sector, Auto Sector, Retail Sector, Oil&Gas Sector dan Coal Sector bergerak naik perlahan dan memberi harapan naik hari ini. Cigarettes Sector, Pharmacy Sector, Cement Sector dan Mineral Sector memberikan peluang Bottom Fishing. Waspadai Poultry Sector, Industrial Area Sector dan Interest Related Sector dari kondisi Oversold
Day Trading Recommendation LQ45 : WSKT dan BBTN Non-LQ45 : BWPT dan RALS Swing Trading Recommendation Add : No Change
Drop : No Change
Commodity Related : Coal (ADRO, DOID), Mineral (ANTM), CPO (BWPT, LSIP)
Consumer Related : Auto (ASII), FMCG (MYOR, ROTI), Retail (RALS)
Infrastructure Related : Construction (ADHI, WSKT, TOTL), Oil&Gas (MEDC, ELSA) Telecom (TLKM, ISAT)
Interest Related : Bank (BBNI, BBTN), Residential (PPRO)
Riset Teknikal Saham Harian 11 Januari 2017
Day Trading Recommendation
Saham Last Price 1D %Ch Supp.1 Supp.2 Resist.1 Resist.2 Daily Target Cut Loss
BWPT 286 2.9 280 270 290 300 290 280
RALS 1250 0.4 1230 1220 1270 1290 1280 1220
WSKT 2640 0.4 2620 2590 2660 2670 2700 2580
BBTN 1900 1.1 1860 1810 1930 1960 1940 1860
BWPT dan BBTN berpeluang Outperform IHSG Swing Trading Recommendation
Stock 1st Add Date
1st Add Open Price
Latest Close
% Change Since Add
Estimated Target
% Upside Potential Since Last Close
Entry Timing
ADRO 31-Aug-16 1,145 1,700 48.5% 2,000 17.6% Wait
DOID 22-Nov-16 474 515 8.6% 620 20.4% Now
BWPT 4-Jan-17 276 286 3.6% 310 8.4% Now
LSIP 22-Nov-16 1,620 1,685 4.0% 2,050 21.7% Now
ANTM 15-Sep-16 620 895 44.4% 1,100 22.9% Wait
MEDC 4-Jan-17 1,570 1,395 -11.1% 1,800 29.0% Wait
ASII 16-Jan-17 8,075 8,050 -0.3% 8,900 10.6% Wait
MYOR 3-Jan-17 1,645 1,750 6.4% 2,200 25.7% Now
ROTI 8-Sep-16 1,615 1,655 2.5% 1,800 8.8% Now
RALS 3-Jan-17 1,195 1,250 4.6% 1,400 12.0% Wait
ADHI 4-Jan-17 2,180 2,140 -1.8% 2,500 16.8% Now
TOTL 27-Oct-16 855 800 -6.4% 920 15.0% Wait
WSKT 4-Jan-17 2,600 2,640 1.5% 2,900 9.8% Now
ELSA 6-Dec-16 472 426 -9.7% 580 36.2% Now
ISAT 22-Nov-16 6,100 6,050 -0.8% 7,800 28.9% Wait
TLKM 16-Sep-16 4,140 3,970 -4.1% 4,600 15.9% Now
BBNI 8-Nov-16 5,625 5,525 -1.8% 5,900 6.8% Wait
BBTN 16-Jan-17 1,900 1,900 0.0% 2,100 10.5% Now
PPRO 3-Jan-17 1,360 1,235 -9.2% 1,650 33.6% Now
Saham CPO, FMCG dan Construction layak diperhatikan
Riset Teknikal Saham Harian 11 Januari 2017
Recommendation Charts
BWPT (Rp286) : Segera Mengakhiri Bullish Continuation, Melanjutkan Uptrend Menuju Rp330
BWPT berpeluang segera mengakhiri Bullish Continuation dengan Breakout Rp290 untuk menuju target di Rp330 dan Breakout Resistance di Rp310. Waspadai penurunan di bawah Rp280
RALS (Rp1,250) : Bersiap Melanjutkan Uptrend Menuju Rp1,400
RALS berpotensi kembali naik setelah mengalami penurunan dalam bentuk Throwback dengan bertahn di Rp1,200.
Kenaikan kali ini berpotensi membawa RALS menuju Rp1,400. Waspadai penurunan di bawah Rp1,190
Riset Teknikal Saham Harian 11 Januari 2017
WSKT (Rp2,640) : Breakout Valid, Melanjutkan Uptrend Menuju Rp2,900
WSKT telah Breakout Rp2,600 dan mengindikasikan Downtrend telah berakhir serta berpeluang besar melanjutkan Uptrend menuju Rp2,900. Waspadai penurunan di bawah Rp2,600
BBTN (Rp1,900) : Breakout Valid, Melanjutkan Uptrend Menuju Rp2,100
BBTN berpotensi Breakout Down Trendline di Rp1,840 dan berpeluang besar mengakhiri Downtrend sebagai Tech.
Correction dari Uptrend jangka panjang (sejak Agust'15). Target BBTN adalah di Rp2,100. Waspadai penurunan di
bawah Rp1,850
Riset Teknikal Saham Harian 11 Januari 2017
Sectoral Movement
Riset Teknikal Saham Harian 11 Januari 2017
Interest Related dan Staples Consumer Related mencatat positif setelah berada di area negatif
Infrastructure Related, Commodity Related dan Discretionary Consumer Related masih dalam tren turun
FMCG Sector, Auto Sector, Retail Sector, Oil&Gas Sector dan Coal Sector bergerak naik perlahan dan memberi harapan naik hari ini
Cigarettes Sector, Pharmacy Sector, Cement Sector dan Mineral Sector memberikan peluang Bottom Fishing
Waspadai Poultry Sector, Industrial Area Sector dan Interest Related Sector dari kondisi Oversold
Dates Saham Price Before Open Price Close Price High Price Low Price Return in 1D Return in 2D Return in 3D 17-Jan-17 ADRO 1,700 1,680 1,700 1,705 1,680 0.0%
17-Jan-17 BBNI 5,475 5,475 5,525 5,550 5,475 0.9%
17-Jan-17 RALS 1,245 1,245 1,250 1,270 1,235 0.4%
17-Jan-17 ROTI 1,625 1,625 1,655 1,655 1,620 1.9%
16-Jan-17 ANTM 920 910 895 915 895 -1.1%
16-Jan-17 ASII 8,000 7,950 8,050 8,075 7,950 0.9%
16-Jan-17 BBTN 1,900 1,865 1,900 1,915 1,840 1.1%
16-Jan-17 WSKT 2,640 2,610 2,640 2,650 2,610 0.4%
12-Jan-17 ADRO 1,750 1,750 1,715 1,750 1,715 -1.7% -2.9% -2.9%
12-Jan-17 ELSA 438 440 438 444 434 0.9% -3.2% -3.2%
12-Jan-17 INAF 4,560 4,600 4,450 4,600 4,450 -1.8% -18.5% -18.5%
12-Jan-17 RALS 1,255 1,240 1,230 1,265 1,230 0.4% 0.8% 0.8%
11-Jan-17 BBNI 5,600 5,625 5,600 5,625 5,575 0.0% -1.8% -1.8%
11-Jan-17 BJBR 2,880 2,900 2,870 2,930 2,810 -0.4% -13.4% -13.4%
11-Jan-17 LPKR 780 780 775 780 770 -0.6% -7.7% -7.7%
11-Jan-17 WSKT 2,580 2,600 2,590 2,620 2,580 0.4% 1.5% 1.5%
10-Jan-17 ADHI 2,160 2,160 2,240 2,250 2,160 3.7% 1.9% -0.9%
10-Jan-17 ELSA 450 446 438 446 436 -2.7% -1.8% -4.5%
10-Jan-17 MYOR 1,775 1,775 1,755 1,775 1,755 -1.1% -1.4% -1.4%
9-Jan-17 ISAT 6,025 6,025 6,075 6,100 6,025 0.8% 2.9% 2.5%
9-Jan-17 PPRO 1,295 1,300 1,295 1,315 1,285 0.0% -1.5% -1.5%
9-Jan-17 TLKM 4,000 4,000 4,020 4,030 3,990 0.5% -1.0% -1.0%
9-Jan-17 WSKT 2,580 2,580 2,540 2,620 2,540 -1.6% 0.4% 0.8%
6-Jan-17 ANTM 870 880 865 885 865 -0.6% -1.7% -0.6%
6-Jan-17 BJBR 2,850 2,850 2,910 3,000 2,800 2.1% 1.1% 0.7%
6-Jan-17 KAEF 2,660 2,660 2,660 2,710 2,660 0.0% 0.0% 2.3%
6-Jan-17 PPRO 1,275 1,275 1,295 1,315 1,275 1.6% 1.2% 0.4%
5-Jan-17 ADHI 2,160 2,180 2,120 2,180 2,110 -1.9% -0.9% 2.8%
5-Jan-17 BWPT 272 276 272 280 270 0.0% 5.1% 2.2%
5-Jan-17 MEDC 1,555 1,570 1,500 1,600 1,440 -3.5% -4.5% -4.8%
5-Jan-17 WSKT 2,600 2,600 2,550 2,630 2,550 -1.9% -2.3% -0.8%
4-Jan-17 AISA 1,975 1,960 2,000 2,010 1,955 2.6% 1.5% 1.0%
4-Jan-17 DOID 525 530 525 535 520 -0.9% 2.8% 1.9%
4-Jan-17 INAF 4,700 4,700 4,650 4,790 4,650 -1.1% -2.6% -4.5%
4-Jan-17 WSKT 2,540 2,600 2,550 2,630 2,550 -1.9% -0.8% -2.3%
DAY TRADING RECOMMENDATION RECORD
Riset Teknikal Saham Harian 11 Januari 2017
Technical Analysis Glossary
Support : Level harga dimana berpotensi menahan penurunan lebih lanjut Resistance : Level harga dimana berpotensi menahan kenaikan lebih lanjut
Breakout : Pergerakan harga melewati Resistance dari bawah ke atas. Mengindikasikan Uptrend Breakdown : Pergerakan harga melewati Support dari atas ke bawah. Mengindikasikan Downtrend Throwback : Penurunan paksa terjadi Breakout dimana maksimum penurunan adalah Support yang
berasal dari Resistance yang baru saja di-Breakout
Pullback : Kenaikan paska terjadi Breakdown dimana maksimum kenaikan adalah Resistance yang berasal dari Support yang baru saja di-Breakdown
Technical Rebound : Kenaikan sementara di tengah Downtrend. Kenaikan tersebut akan lebih kecil dari penurunan yang segera terjadi
Technical Correction : Penurunan sementara di tengah Uptrend. Penurunan tersebut akan lebih kecil dari kenaikan yang segera terjadi
Bullish Continuation : Pergerakan yang mengindikasikan Uptrend sebelumnya akan berlanjut Bearish Continuation : Pergerakan yang mengindikasikan Downtrend sebelumnya akan berlanjut
Bullish Reversal : Pergerakan yang mengindikasikan Downtrend sebelumnya berubah menjadi Uptrend Bearish Reversal : Pergerakan yang mengindikasikan Uptrend sebelumnya berubah menjadi Downtrend Up Trendline : Support Diagonal ke arah atas yang menandakan pergerakan Uptrend
Down Trendline : Support Diagonal ke arah atas yang menandakan pergerakan Uptrend Day Trading : Strategi trading dengan Holding Period selama 1 hari sampai 2 minggu Swing Trading : Strategi trading dengan Holding Period sampai 3 bulan
Bottom Fishing : Strategi trading dengan membeli saham yang telah turun cukup dalam
DISCLAIMERS : Analyst Certification : The views expressed in this research accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issuers and no part of the compensation of the analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the inclusion of specific recommendations or views in this research. The analyst(s) principally responsible for the preparation of this research has taken reasonable care to achieve and maintain independence and objectivity in making any recommendations. This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others.
Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia
Research Team
Andy Ferdinand, CFA Head Of Equity Research, Strategy,
Banking, Consumer [email protected] +6221 2854 8148
Rangga Cipta Economist [email protected] +6221 2854 8396
Muhamad Makky Dandytra, CFTe Technical Analyst [email protected] +6221 2854 8382 Akhmad Nurcahyadi, CSA Auto, Aviation, Cigarette, Construction
Healthcare, Heavy Equipment, Property [email protected] +6221 2854 8144 Arandi Ariantara Cement, Telecommunication, Utility [email protected] +6221 2854 8392 Marlene Tanumihardja Poultry, Retail, Small Caps [email protected] +6221 2854 8387 Sharlita Lutfiah Malik Mining, Plantation [email protected] +6221 2854 8339 Adde Chandra Kurniawan Research Associate [email protected] +6221 2854 8338
Private Wealth Management
Evelyn Satyono Head of PWM / Institutional Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8380 Muhamad Alfatih CSA, CTA, CFTe Senior Technical Portfolio Advisor [email protected] +6221 2854 8129 Ronny Ardianto Institutional Equity Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8399 Clarice Wijana Institutional Equity Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8395 Fachruly Fiater Institutional Equity Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8325
Equity Sales Team
Kelvin Long Head of Equities [email protected] +6221 2854 8150
Yulianah Institutional Equity Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8146
Lucia Irawati Retail Equity Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8173
Online Trading Sales Team
Nugroho Nuswantoro Head of Marketing Online Trading [email protected] +6221 2854 8372
Wahyu Widodo Marketing [email protected] +6221 2854 8371
Aben Epapras Marketing [email protected] +6221 2854 8389
