Friday 16 December 2022 MORNING Time of Issue: 0915 hours IST ALL INDIA WEATHER SUMMARY AND FORECAST BULLETIN
Significant Weather Features
1. Deep Depression over Eastcentral & adjoining Westcentral Arabian Sea:
The Deep Depression over Eastcentral & adjoining Westcentral Arabian Sea moved westwards with a speed of 12 kmph during past 06
⇒
hours and lay centered at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 16th December 2022 over the same area near latitude 14.10°N and longitude 65.10°E about 890 km west-northwest of Aminidivi (Lakshadweep), about 950 km west-southwest of Panjim (Goa) and 1220 km east-southeast of Salalah (Oman). It is very likely to move nearly westwards and weaken gradually into a Depression during next 12 hours. Thereafter, it would move west-southwestwards and weaken further.
Fishermen Warning: Fishermen are advised not to venture into Eastcentral Arabian Sea till morning of 17th December and Westcentral
⇒
& Southwest Arabian Sea till 17th December.
2. Low Pressure Area over Southeast Bay of Bengal & adjoining East Equatorial Indian Ocean:
The Low Pressure Area over Southeast Bay of Bengal & adjoining East Equatorial Indian Ocean persists over the same region at 0530
⇒
hours IST of today, the 16th December. It is likely to move westwards and maintain its intensity over South Bay of Bengal till morning of 17th December 2022.
(i) Heavy Rainfall Warning: Light to moderate rainfall at many places with heavy rainfall at isolated places is very likely over Andaman &
Nicobar Islands on 16th December, 2022.
Fishermen Warning: Fishermen are advised not to venture into South Andaman Sea till morning of 17th December; Southeast Bay of
⇒
Bengal till morning of 17th December; Southwest Bay of Bengal on 16th and 17th December.
♦ Cold Wave Conditions in isolated pockets very likely over Himachal Pradesh, Punjab and north Rajasthan during 16th-18th December, 2022.
Main Weather Observations
♦ Rainfall/thundershower observed (from 0830-1730 hours IST of yesterday): at isolated places over East Madhya Pradesh and Lakshadweep.
♦ Chief rainfall amount recorded (from 0830-1730 hours IST of yesterday)(in cm): Nil.
♦ Dense fog observed (at 0530 hours IST of today): Dense fog in isolated pockets over Tripura; Moderate fog in isolated pockets over Bihar.
♦ Visibility recorded (at 0530 hours IST of today)(in m): Kailashahar-50; Purnea and Agartala-200 each; Gaya-500.
♦ Minimum Temperature Departures (as on 15-12-2022): Minimum temperatures were markedly above normal (5.1°C or more) at most places over Marathwada; at many places over Gujarat State and Vidharbha; at a few places over Madhya Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra and Konkan & Goa; above normal (1.6 °C to 3.0 °C) at most places over Odisha, Chhattisgarh, South Interior Karnataka and Telangana; at many places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema, Assam & Meghalaya and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura; at a few places over Gangetic West Bengal, Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Sub Himalayan West Bengal; at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, East Uttar Pradesh and East Rajasthan.
They were below normal (-1.6 °C to -3.0 °C) at many places over Uttarakhand and Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi; at a few places over Bihar and near normal over rest parts of the country. Yesterday, the lowest minimum temperature of 2.5°C was reported at Churu (West Rajasthan) over the plains of the country.
♦ Maximum Temperature Departures (as on 15-12-2022): Maximum temperatures were appreciably above normal (3.1°C to 5.1°C ) at most places over Himachal Pradesh; at many places over Chhattisgarh; at a few places over Vidarbha, Telangana; at isolated places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Uttarakhand, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Odisha; above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at most places over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya; at many places over Jharkhand, Saurashtra & Kutch; at a few places over Gangetic West Bengal, Madhya Pradesh, Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Karnataka, Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Rayalaseema; at isolated places over Gujarat Region, Kerala & Mahe. They were below normal (-1.6°C to -3.0°C) at many places over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim; at a few places over East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Andaman & Nicobar Islands and near normal over rest parts of the country. Yesterday, the highest maximum temperature of 35.0°C was reported at Sholapur (Madhya Maharashtra) over the country.
* Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day
Meteorological Analysis (Based on 0530 hours IST)
♦ The Deep Depression over Eastcentral & adjoining Westcentral Arabian Sea moved westwards with a speed of 12 kmph during past 06 hours and lay centered at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 16th December 2022 over the same area near latitude 14.10°N and longitude 65.10°E about 890 km west-northwest of Aminidivi (Lakshadweep), about 950 km west-southwest of Panjim (Goa) and 1220 km east-southeast of Salalah (Oman). It is very likely to move nearly westwards and weaken gradually into a Depression during next 12 hours. Thereafter, it would move west-southwestwards and weaken further.
♦ The Low Pressure Area over Southeast Bay of Bengal & adjoining East Equatorial Indian Ocean persists over the same region at 0530 hours IST of today, the 16th December. It is likely to move westwards and maintain its intensity over South Bay of Bengal till morning of 17th December 2022.
Weather Forecast for next 5 days * upto 0830 hours IST of 21th December, 2022
♦ Meteorological sub-division wise detailed 5 days precipitation forecast is given in Table-1.
♦ Gradual fall in minimum temperatures by about 2°C likely over Northwest India during next 24 hours and no significant change thereafter.
♦ Gradual fall in minimum temperatures by 2-4°C likely over Central India during next 5 days.
♦ Gradual fall in minimum temperatures by 2-3°C likely over East India during next 24 hours and no significant change thereafter.
♦ No significant change in minimum temperatures likely over Gujarat state during next 24 hours and fall by 2-4°C thereafter.
♦ Fall in minimum temperature by 2-4°C likely over Maharashtra during next 2-3 days and no significant change thereafter.
♦ No significant change in minimum temperatures likely over remaining parts of the country during next 4-5 days.
♦ Shallow to moderate fog likely at isolated pockets over parts of Sub-Himalayan West Bengal &
Sikkim, Bihar, Assam & Meghalaya and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura during next 2-3 days.
Weather Outlook for subsequent 2 days during 21th-23nd December, 2022
♦ Scattered to fairly Widespread light/moderate rainfall likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands and south Peninsular India.
♦ Dry weather likely over rest parts of the country.
Weather Warning during next 5 days *
16 Dec (Day 1): ♦ Cold wave conditions in isolated pockets very likely over Himachal Pradesh, Punjab and north Rajasthan.
♦ Heavy rainfall at isolated places very likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
♦ Squally Weather with wind speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph is prevailing over Eastcentral Arabian Sea and is likely to decrease gradually becoming 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph by 16th evening. It will gradually decrease further becoming 35-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph by 17th morning. Squally weather with wind speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph is prevailing over Westcentral Arabian Sea. It is likely to continue till 16th December evening. It will decrease gradually thereafter becoming 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph by 17th morning and improve thereafter. Squally weather with wind speed reaching 35-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph is prevailing over Westcentral Arabian Sea and is likely to become 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph during 16th evening to 17th December morning. It will gradually decrease thereafter. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.
♦ Squally Weather with wind speed reaching 35-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph is very likely over south Andaman Sea till morning of 17th December. Squally wind speed reaching 35-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph over Southeast Bay of Bengal till morning of 17th December.
Squally wind speed reaching 35-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph over Southwest Bay of Bengal on 16th and 17th December. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.
17 Dec (Day 2): ♦ Cold wave conditions in isolated pockets very likely over Himachal Pradesh, Punjab and north Rajasthan.
♦ Squally Weather with wind speed reaching 35-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph very likely over Eastcentral Arabian Sea till morning hours. Squally weather with wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph over Westcentral Arabian Sea till morning hours. Squally weather with wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph over Southwest Arabian Sea till morning hours.
Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.
♦ Squally Weather with wind speed reaching 35-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph very likely over south Andaman Sea till morning hours.
Squally wind speed reaching 35-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph over Southeast Bay of Bengal till morning hours. Squally wind speed reaching 35-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph is likely over Southwest Bay of Bengal. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.
18 Dec (Day 3): ♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places likely over Kerala & Mahe.
19 Dec (Day 4): ♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places likely over Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.
20 Dec (Day 5): ♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places likely over Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.
Kindly download MAUSAM APP for location specific forecast & warning, MEGHDOOT APP for Agromet advisory and DAMINI APP for Lightning Warning & visit state MC/RMC websites for district wise warning.
* Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day
Table-1
ALL INDIA WEEKLY WEATHER REPORT 08 DECEMBER – 14 DECEMBER, 2022
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FEATURES
♦ Last week’s Cyclonic Storm “Mandous”( pronounced as “Man-Dous”) lay over Southwest Bay of Bengal, about 300 km east-northeast of Trincomalee (Sri Lanka), 420 km east-southeast of Jaffna (Sri Lanka), 460 km east-southeast of Karaikal and about 550 km southeast of Chennai in the beginning of the week; it moved nearly west-northwestwards and intensified into a Severe Cyclonic storm in the evening of 8th December, 2022 and lay centred over Southwest Bay of Bengal, about 250 km northeast of Trincomalee (Sri Lanka), 320 km east-northeast of Jaffna (Sri Lanka), 350 km east-southeast of Karaikal and about 440 km southeast of Chennai; it maintained the intensity of Severe Cyclonic storm for about fifteen hours but weakened into a Cyclonic Storm in the morning of the next day and lay centered at 0830 hours IST of 9th December, 2022 over Southwest Bay of Bengal off north Tamilnadu-Puducherry coasts, about 280 km north of Trincomalee (Sri Lanka), 230 km northeast of Jaffna (Sri Lanka), 180 km east-northeast of Karaikal and about 260 km south-southeast of Chennai; then it moved northwestwards and reached close to north Tamil Nadu-Puducherry coasts and lay near Latitude 12.5°N and Longitude 80.3°E, about 15 km southeast of Mamallapuram (Mahabalipuram) and about 60 km south-southeast of Chennai close to midnight of 9th December 2022; moving northwestwards further, it crossed north Tamil Nadu-Puducherry coasts and adjoining south Andhra Pradesh coasts near Latitude 12.6°N and Longitude 80.15°E, close to Mamallapuram (Mahabalipuram) between 2330 hrs IST of 9th December and 0130 hrs IST of 10th December as a Cyclonic Storm with the maximum sustained wind speed of 65-75 kmph gusting to 85 kmph; moving northwestwards further, it weakened into a Deep Depression over north Tamil Nadu in the early morning hours of 10th December and lay at a distance of about 70 km northwest of Mamallapuram (Mahabalipuram) and 50 km west of Chennai; then moving nearly west-southwestwards, it weakened into Depression around noon and further into a Well Marked Low Pressure Area over north interior Tamil Nadu and neighbourhood in the evening of 10th December, 2022; it weakened further into a Low Pressure Area and lay over north interior Tamil Nadu and adjoining South Interior Karnataka & north Kerala in the early morning hours of 11th before getting less marked in the morning hours of the same day; however, its remnant cyclonic circulation emerged into Arabian Sea and under its influence, a Low Pressure has formed over Southeast and adjoining Eastcentral Arabian Sea off north Kerala-Karnataka coasts in the early morning hours of 13th which has become a Well Marked Low pressure area over the same region in the evening of the same day; it concentrated into a Depression in the afternoon of the next day and with the same intensity, it lay at a distance of about 480 km northwest of Aminidivi (Lakshadweep), about 540 km west-southwest of Panjim (Goa) and 1660 km east-southeast of Salalah (Oman) in the evening of 14th December 2022; Cyclonic Storm “Mandous”( pronounced as “Man-Dous”) crossing north Tamil Nadu- Puducherry coasts and adjoining south Andhra Pradesh coasts in the earlier part of the week, movement of its remnants across extreme south Peninsula before emerging into Arabian Sea, formation of Low pressure area over Southeast and adjoining Eastcentral Arabian Sea under the influence of those remnants and its further intensification into Depression off the coast towards the end of the week had caused severe weather activity over South Peninsula during the week; under its influence, fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity had occurred over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry &
Karaikkal and Rayalseema on four to five days and over remaining parts of south Peninsula (excluding Telangana) on three to four days; isolated to scattered rainfall activity also had occurred over these region on one or two days and over Telangana on four to five days whereas fairly widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity had occurred over Lakshadweep Islands on one or two days and isolated rainfall/thunderstorm activity had occurred over parts of Maharashtra on two to three days along with;
heavy rainfall had occurred over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikkal on five to six days, over Rayalseema on three to four days, over Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam on two to three days and over Kerala & Mahe and South Interior Karnataka on one or two days; very heavy rainfall also had occurred over these areas (excluding South Interior Karnataka) on one or two days whereas isolated extremely heavy rainfall had occurred over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikkal on two days and over Rayalseema on a single day.
♦ Movement of Western Disturbances had caused fairly widespread rainfall/snowfall activity over Jammu Kashmir & Ladakh on two days along with isolated rainfall/snowfall activity over these areas and over Himachal Pradesh on a single day during the week.
♦ Under the influence of a cyclonic circulation over south Andaman Sea and adjoining Strait of Malacca &
Government of India Ministry of Earth Sciences India Meteorological Department National Weather Forecasting Centre
Sumatra extending upto mid tropospheric levels and formation of a Low pressure area over Equatorial Indian Ocean and adjoining areas of south Andaman Sea & Southeast Bay of Bengal towards the end of the week, scattered rainfall/thunderstorm activity had occurred over Andaman & Nicobar Islands on two days towards the end of the week.
Fog:
♦ Dense to very dense fog at a few places had been reported over East Uttar Pradesh on one day and at isolated places over Bihar, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikkal and Uttarakhand on one day each during the week.
♦ Dense fog at isolated places had been reported over Gangetic West Bengal and Jammu Kashmir &
Ladakh on one day each during the week.
Heavy rain:
♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy rainfall at isolated places had occurred over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikkal on two days and over Rayalaseema on one day during the week.
♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places had occurred over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam on two days and over Kerala & Mahe on one day during the week.
♦ Heavy rainfall at isolated places had occurred over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikkal on four days;
over Rayalaseema on three days; over South Interior Karnataka on two days and over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Kerala & mahe on one day each during the week.
Temperature Scenario:
♦ The highest maximum temperature of 36.5oC had been recorded at Bulsar (Gujarat Region) on 13th December 2022 and the lowest minimum temperature of 4.6oC had been recorded at Churu (West Rajasthan) on 8th, 13th & 14th December 2022 over the plains of the country during the week.
LEGEND: Few days-(3 days), Many days-4 to 5 days and Most days-6 to 7 days during the week.
METEOROLOGICALANALYSIS
♦ Last week’s Cyclonic Storm “Mandous” (pronounced as “Man-Dous”) over Southwest Bay of Bengal moved nearly west-northwestwards and lay centered at 0830 hours IST of 8th December, 2022 over Southwest Bay of Bengal, near Latitude 9.5°N and Longitude 83.8°E, about 300 km east-northeast of Trincomalee (Sri Lanka), 420 km east-southeast of Jaffna (Sri Lanka), 460 km east-southeast of Karaikal and about 550 km southeast of Chennai; it moved nearly west- northwestwards, intensified into a Severe Cyclonic storm and lay centered at 1730 hours IST of 8th December, 2022 over Southwest Bay of Bengal near Latitude 10.1°N and Longitude 82.9°E, about 250 km northeast of Trincomalee (Sri Lanka), 320 km east-northeast of Jaffna (Sri Lanka), 350 km east-southeast of Karaikal and about 440 km southeast of Chennai; moving nearly west- northwestwards further, it weakened into a Cyclonic Storm and lay centered at 0830 hours IST of 9th December, 2022 over Southwest Bay of Bengal off north Tamilnadu-Puducherry coasts near Latitude 11.1°N and Longitude 81.5°E, about 280 km north of Trincomalee (Sri Lanka), 230 km northeast of Jaffna (Sri Lanka), 180 km east-northeast of Karaikal and about 260 km south- southeast of Chennai; it then moved northwestwards and lay centered at 1730 hours IST of 9th December, 2022 over Southwest Bay of Bengal off north Tamilnadu-Puducherry coasts near Latitude 12.0°N and Longitude 80.8°E, about 380 km north of Trincomalee (Sri Lanka), 280 km north-northeast of Jaffna (Sri Lanka), 90 km southeast of Mamallapuram and about 130 km south-southeast of Chennai; continuing to move northwestwards, it lay centered at 2330 hours IST of 9th December, 2022 over Southwest Bay of Bengal close to north Tamil Nadu-Puducherry coasts near Latitude 12.5°N and Longitude 80.3°E, about 15 km southeast of Mamallapuram (Mahabalipuram) and about 60 km south-southeast of Chennai; moving northwestwards further it crossed north Tamil Nadu-Puducherry and adjoining south Andhra Pradesh coasts near Latitude 12.6°N and Longitude 80.15°E, close to Mamallapuram (Mahabalipuram) between 2330 hrs IST of 9th December and 0130 hrs IST of 10th December as a Cyclonic Storm with the maximum sustained wind speed of 65-75 kmph gusting to 85 kmph and lay centered at 0230 hours IST of 10th December, 2022 over north Coastal Tamil Nadu near Latitude 12.8°N and Longitude 80.0°E, about 30 km northwest of Mamallapuram (Mahabalipuram) and 30 km southwest of Chennai;
km northwest of Mamallapuram (Mahabalipuram) and 50 km west of Chennai; it then moved nearly west-southwestwards and lay centred at 0830 hours IST of 10th December, 2022, over north Tamil Nadu near Latitude 12.8°N and Longitude 79.5°E, about 40km west-southwest of Vellore and 140 km east-northeast of Krishnagiri; moving nearly west-southwestwards further, it lay centred at 0830 hours IST of 10th December, 2022 over north Tamil Nadu near Latitude 12.8°N and Longitude 79.5°E, about 40km west-southwest of Vellore and 140 km east-northeast of Krishnagiri; further moving nearly west-southwestwards, it weakened into Depression and lay centred at 1130 hours IST of 10th December, 2022, over north Tamil Nadu near Latitude 12.7°N and Longitude 79.3°E, about 30 km south-southwest of Vellore and 120 km east-northeast of Krishnagiri; moving nearly west-southwestwards further, it weakened into a Well Marked Low Pressure Area over north interior Tamil Nadu and neighbourhood at 1730 hours IST of 10th December, 2022; it weakened further into a Low Pressure Area and lay over north interior Tamil Nadu and adjoining South Interior Karnataka & north Kerala with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto upper tropospheric levels in the early morning hours of 11th; the Low Pressure Area has become less marked; however, its associated cyclonic circulation persisted over north interior Tamil Nadu and adjoining South Interior Karnataka & north Kerala and extended upto 5.8 km above mean sea level in the morning of the same day; it lay over north Kerala & neighbourhood and extended upto 5.8 km above mean sea level on 12th; under its influence, a Low Pressure has formed over Southeast and adjoining Eastcentral Arabian Sea off north Kerala-Karnataka coasts with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 7.6 km above mean sea level in the early morning hours of 13th; it lay over Eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea off north Kerala-Karnataka coasts with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto mid-tropospheric levels in the morning of the same day; it lay as a Well Marked Low pressure area over the same region in the evening of 13th with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto mid-tropospheric levels; maintaining the intensity of Well Marked Low Pressure Area, it lay over Eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto mid-tropospheric levels in the forenoon of 14th; it concentrated into a Depression in the afternoon of the same day and lay centered at 1430 hrs IST of 14th December, 2022 over Eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea near Latitude 13.5°N and Longitude 69.6°E about 430 km west-northwest of Aminidivi (Lakshadweep), about 500 km west-southwest of Panjim (Goa) and 1710 km east-southeast of Salalah (Oman); it moved west- northwestwards and lay centered at 1730 hrs IST of 14th December 2022 near Latitude 13.7 °N and Longitude 69.2 °E about 480 km northwest of Aminidivi (Lakshadweep), about 540 km west- southwest of Panjim (Goa) and 1660 km east-southeast of Salalah (Oman).
♦ Last week’s Western Disturbance as a trough in mid and upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level ran roughly along Long.65°E to the North of Lat.30°N on 8th December 2022; it continued as a trough in mid and upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along Long. 68°E to the North of Lat. 32°N on 9th and roughly along Long. 70°E to the north of Lat. 32°N on 10th; it was seen as a cyclonic circulation over north Pakistan & adjoining Punjab at 3.1 km above mean sea level on 11th; it has moved away east-northeastwards on 12th December 2022.
♦ A Western Disturbance was seen as a trough in mid & upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 7.6 km above mean sea level roughly along Long. 56°E to the north of Lat. 26°N on 11th December 2022 and roughly along Long. 58°E to the north of Lat. 32°N on 12th; it was seen as a cyclonic circulation over East Afghanistan & neighbourhood at 5.8 km above mean sea level on 13th; it was seen as a trough in mid tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along Long. 68°E and Lat. 32°N on 14th December 2022.
♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over south Andaman Sea and adjoining Strait of Malacca & Sumatra and extended upto 3.1 km above mean sea level in the early morning hours of 13th December 2022; it persisted over the same region and extended upto 5.8 km above mean sea level in the remaining parts of the day and in the forenoon of 14th December 2022; Under its influence, a Low Pressure Area has formed over Equatorial Indian Ocean and adjoining areas of south Andaman
Sea & Southeast Bay of Bengal in the afternoon of 14th December,2022 and it lay over Southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas of East Equatorial Indian Ocean and South Andaman Sea in the evening of the same day.
RAINFALL SUMMARY
Category of the rainfall
WEEK SEASON
08.12.2022 TO 14.12.2022 01.10.2022 TO 14.12.2022 Number of
Sub-divisions
Sub-divisional % Area of Country
Number of Sub-divisions
Sub-divisional % Area of Country
LARGE EXCESS(LE) (+60% or more) 9 19% 7 24%
EXCESS (E) (+20% to +59%) 0 0% 10 23%
NORMAL (N) (+19% to -19%) 1 4% 13 37%
DEFICIENT (D) (-20% to -59%) 3 7% 4 6%
LARGE DEFICIENT (LD) (-60% to -99%) 8 28% 2 10%
NO RAIN (NR) (-100%) 15 42% 0 0%
Cumulative rainfall (mm) Actual (mm) Normal (mm) Departure (%) Category Actual (mm) Normal (mm) Departure (%) Category
EAST & NORTH-EAST INDIA 0 4.3 -100% NR 165 151.8 +9% N
NORTH-WEST INDIA 1.1 5.5 -80% LD 80.6 40.5 +99% LE
CENTRAL INDIA 0.6 1.6 -61% LD 94.2 73.9 +28% E
SOUTH PENINSULA 42.8 8.7 +392% LE 290.7 261.9 +11% N
Country as a whole 9 4.6 +95% LE 140 113 +24% E
Weekly cumulative rainfall distribution is presented in Fig-1.
Sub-division wise weekly and seasonal rainfall distribution is presented in Fig-2 and Fig-3.
Sub-division wise daily distribution of realised Rainfall is shown in Table-1(A).
Sub-division wise departure of realised Minimum temperature from Normal is shown in Table-1(C)
State wise distribution of number of districts with Large-Excesses, Excess, Normal, Deficient, Large-deficient and no rainfall is shown in Table-2.
Cumulative seasonal rainfall data during the corresponding weekly period for the last five years are given in Table-3.
Sub-division wise realised weekly rainfall (in cm) is shown in Annexure-1.
FORECAST & WARNING FOR THE NEXT WEEK 15 DECEMBER TO 21 DECEMBER, 2022
Detailed seven days Sub-division wise rainfall-forecast is given in Table-1(B).
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Fig-1
WEEKLY CUMULATIVE RAINFALL MAP
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Table-1 (A)
METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE DISTRIBUTION OF REALISED RAINFALL-2022
S. No. MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 08 DEC 09 DEC 10 DEC 11 DEC 12 DEC 13 DEC 14 DEC
1 ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS WS SCT SCT ISOL D SCT SCT
2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH D D D D D D D
3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA D D D D D D D
4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA D D D D D D D
5 SUB-HIM. W. BENGAL & SIKKIM D D D D D D D
6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL D D D ISOL D D D
7 ODISHA D D ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
8 JHARKHAND D D D D D D D
9 BIHAR D D D D D D D
10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH D D D D D D D
11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH D D D D D D D
12 UTTARAKHAND D D D D D D D
13 HARYANA, CHANDIGARH. & DELHI D D D D D D D
14 PUNJAB D D D D D D D
15 HIMACHAL PRADESH D ISOL D D D D D
16 JAMMU, KASHMIR & LADAKH D ISOL FWS FWS D D D
17 WEST RAJASTHAN D D D D D D D
18 EAST RAJASTHAN D D D D D D D
19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH D D D D ISOL ISOL ISOL
20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH D D D D ISOL ISOL ISOL
21 GUJARAT REGION D D D D D ISOL ISOL
22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH D D D D D D D
23 KONKAN & GOA D D D D ISOL D ISOL
24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA D D D D ISOL ISOL ISOL
25 MARATHAWADA D D D D D ISOL ISOL
26 VIDARBHA D D D D ISOL ISOL ISOL
27 CHHATTISGARH D D D D ISOL ISOL ISOL
28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM D ISOL WS** WS** FWS** SCT ISOL
29 TELANGANA D D ISOL SCT SCT SCT ISOL
30 RAYALASEEMA D ISOL FWS** WS** FWS** WS** SCT
31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL ISOL FWS FWS** SCT FWS* FWS* FWS*
32 COASTAL KARNATAKA D D ISOL WS WS FWS FWS
33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA D D ISOL SCT WS FWS ISOL
34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA D ISOL SCT WS** WS* WS* FWS**
35 KERALA & MAHE ISOL ISOL SCT WS** WS** FWS** SCT
36 LAKSHADWEEP D D D D D FWS FWS
LEGENDS:
WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO STATION REPORTED RAINFALL
* ACTIVE (R/F 11/2- 4 times the normal with WS/FWS, at least 2 stations should be 5 cm. along west coast & 3 cm. elsewhere )
** VIGOROUS (R/F More than 4 times the normal with WS/FWS, at least 2 stations should be 8 cm. along west coast & 5 cm. elsewhere)
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Table-1 (B)
METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST - 2022
S.No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 15 DEC 16 DEC 17 DEC 18 DEC 19 DEC 20 DEC 21 DEC
1 ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS SCT FWS FWS FWS SCT SCT ISOL
2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA D D D D D D D
4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA D D D D D D D
5 SUB-HIM. W. BENGAL & SIKKIM ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL D D D D D D D
7 ODISHA D D D D D D D
8 JHARKHAND D D D D D D D
9 BIHAR D D D D D D D
10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH D D D D D D D
11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH D D D D D D D
12 UTTARAKHAND D D D D D D D
13 HARYANA, CHANDIGARH. & DELHI D D D D D D D
14 PUNJAB D- D- D- D D D D
15 HIMACHAL PRADESH D- D- D- D D D D
16 JAMMU, KASHMIR & LADAKH D D D D D D D
17 WEST RAJASTHAN D- D- D- D D D D
18 EAST RAJASTHAN D- D- D- D D D D
19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL D D D D D D
20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH D D D D D D D
21 GUJARAT REGION ISOL D D D D D D
22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH ISOL D D D D D D
23 KONKAN & GOA ISOL D D D D D D
24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA ISOL D D D D D D
25 MARATHAWADA D D D D D D D
26 VIDARBHA ISOL D D D D D D
27 CHHATTISGARH D D D D D D D
28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM D D D D ISOL SCT SCT
29 TELANGANA D D D D D D D
30 RAYALASEEMA D D D D ISOL ISOL SCT
31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT L FWS WS
32 COASTAL KARNATAKA D D D D ISOL ISOL ISOL
33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA D D D D D D ISOL
34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA D D D ISOL ISOL SCT SCT
35 KERALA & MAHE ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT L SCT L SCT SCT
36 LAKSHADWEEP SCT D D SCT SCT SCT SCT
LEGENDS:
WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%)
SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL
●Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)
F Fog * Snowfall DSDust storm /TS Thunderstorm
Thunderstorm with Squall
L Thunderstorm with Lightning #Thunderstorm with Hail
-Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5 OC to -6.4OC) - -Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5OC)
+Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal +4.5 OC to +6.4OC) + + Severe Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal ≥ +6.5OC)
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Table-1 (C)
METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE REALISED MINIMUM TEMPERATURE-2022
S.
No. MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 08 DEC 09 DEC 10 DEC 11 DEC 12 DEC 13 DEC 14 DEC
1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS N N N N N N N
2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH N N N N N N N
3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA N N N N N N N
4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA N N N N AN AN N
5 SUB-HIM.W. BENGAL & SIKKIM N N N N N AN AN
6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL N N AN AN N N AAN
7 ODISHA N N N AAN N AN AAN
8 JHARKHAND N BN AN BN N AAN AN
9 BIHAR N N N N AN AN N
10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH N N N N N AAN N
11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH N N N N N N N
12 UTTARAKHAND N N N N N AN N
13 HARYANA, CHANDIGARH. & DELHI N N N N N AN N
14 PUNJAB N AN AN AAN AAN N N
15 HIMACHAL PRADESH N N N N AN N N
16 JAMMU & KASHMIRANDLADAKH BN AN AAN N N N BN
17 WEST RAJASTHAN N N N AN AN AN N
18 EAST RAJASTHAN BN N N N N AAN N
19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH BN N N N N MAN MAN
20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH BN N N N MAN MAN MAN
21 GUJARAT REGION AN N N N N MAN MAN
22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH N N N N N AAN MAN
23 KONKAN & GOA N N BN N N N N
24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA AAN N N N MAN MAN N
25 MARATHAWADA N ABN BN AAN MAN MAN N
26 VIDARBHA N ABN N N MAN MAN N
27 CHHATTISGARH N N AN MAN MAN MAN MAN
28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM N N N AAN N AN N
29 TELANGANA N N N N AAN MAN MAN
30 RAYALASEEMA N N N N AAN AN N
31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL N N N AN AN N AN
32 COASTAL KARNATAKA BN BN N N N N AAN
33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA N BN N N N AN AAN
34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA N N AN N AN AN N
35 KERALA & MAHE N N N N N N N
36 LAKSHADWEEP N N N N N N N
Lowest Minimum Temperature (°C) 4.6 5.6 5.5 6.1 5.0 4.6 4.6
Station/(s) observed LMT CHURU CHURU NOWGONG CHURU CHURU CHURU CHURU
Station/(s) lies in Met-Subdivision/(s) WEST RAJ. WEST RAJ. EAST M.P. WEST RAJ. WEST RAJ. WEST RAJ. WEST RAJ.
Highest Maximum Temperature (°C) 34.8 34.2 33.6 33.7 35.5 36.5 34.9
Station/(s) observed HMT KARWAR RATNAGIRI SANGLI, KARWAR SURAT BULSAR BULSAR (SANTACRUZ) MUMBAI
Station/(s) lies in Met-Subdivision/(s) KARNATAKA COASTAL MAHARASHTRA, MADHYA K & GOA
COASTAL KARNATAKA
GUJARAT REGION
GUJARAT REGION
GUJARAT REGION
KONKAN &
GOA
LEGENDS:
N- NORMAL LONG PERIOD AVERAGE ±1OC BN -BELOW NORMAL (N-2)OC AN -ABOVE NORMAL (N+2)OC ABN- APPRECIABLY BELOW NORMAL (3.1 to 4.9)OC BELOW NORMAL AAN- APPRECIABLY ABOVE NORMAL (3.1 to 4.9)OC ABOVE NORMAL
MBN MARKEDLY BELOW NORMAL 5OCOR MORE BELOW NORMAL MAN- MARKEDLY ABOVE NORMAL 5OC OR MORE ABOVENORMAL
-Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5 OC to -6.4OC) - -Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5OC)
