Friday 24 June 2022 - Time of Issue: 0800 hours IST

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MORNING Time of Issue: 0800 hours IST ALL INDIA WEATHER SUMMARY AND FORECAST BULLETIN

Significant Weather Features

Advance of Southwest Monsoon:

♦ The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Lat. 22°N/ Long. 60°E, Lat. 22°N/ Long. 65°E, Porbandar, Baroda, Shivpuri, Rewa, Churk, 27.0°N/84°E.

Rainfall/thunderstorm Forecast & Warnings:

♦ Under the influence of an off-shore trough, a middle-level cyclonic circulation over Eastcentral Arabian Sea off Maharashtra coast and strong westerly winds along the west coast in lower tropospheric levels:

o Fairly widespread/ widespread rainfall with thunderstorm/lightning very likely over Karnataka, Konkan & Goa, Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep and scattered to fairly widespread rainfall likely over Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana and Tamilnadu, Puducherry &

Karaikal during next 5 days.

o Isolated heavy rainfall very likely over Gujarat region and Kerala & Mahe during next 4 days and over Konkan & Goa and Coastal Karnataka during next 5 days; ghat areas of Madhya Maharashtra during 24th-26th; Interior Karnataka on 25th; Coastal Andhra Pradesh on 24th June, 2022. Isolated Very heavy rainfall also likely over Konkan & Goa during next 3 days.

♦ Under the influence of southerly/southwesterly winds from Bay of Bengal to Northeast & adjoining East India:

o Widespread rainfall very likely over Northeast India and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim during next 5 days. Isolated heavy rainfall likely over Sub- Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura during next 5 days. Isolated very heavy rainfall also likely over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal during 25th-28th June.

o Fairly widespread rainfall with thunderstorm/lightning very likely to continue over Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha and Gangetic West Bengal during next 5 days. Isolated heavy rainfall likely over Vidarbha on 24th & 25th; Bihar during 24th-28th and over Odisha during 24th-25th & 27th-28th and over Chhattisgarh during 24th-28th June. Isolated Very heavy rainfall also likely over Bihar on 28th June, 2022.

Main Weather Observations

♦ Rainfall/thundershower observed (from 0830 hours IST to 1730 hours IST of yesterday): at most places over Coastal Karnataka; at many places over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Jharkhand and Andaman & Nicobar Islands; at a few places over Gangetic West Bengal, Bihar, East Madhya Pradesh, Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, North Interior Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe and at isolated places over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam &

Meghalaya, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Odisha, Chhattisgarh, East Uttar Pradesh, West Madhya Pradesh, Saurashtra & Kutch, Vidarbha, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Lakshadweep.

♦ Chief amount of Rainfall observed (from 0830 hours IST to 1730 hours IST of yesterday)(2 cm or more): Panjim-6; Car Nicobar-5; Honavar, Mahabaleshwar, Dahanu, Porbandar, Jagdalpur & Port Blair-3 each; Churk, Daltonganj, Agathi & Long Island-2 each.

♦ Thunderstorm observed (from 0830 hours IST of yesterday to 0530 hours IST of today): at isolated places over Coastal Karnataka, Kerala, Maharashtra, East Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat state, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, North Interior Karnataka, Bihar, Assam &

Meghalaya and Lakshadweep.

♦ Maximum Temperature Departures (as on 23-06-2022): Maximum temperatures were appreciably above normal (3.1°C to 5.0°C) at a few places over Saurashtra & Kutch; above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at many places over Bihar, Jharkhand and Gangetic West Bengal; at a few places over Uttarakhand, West Uttar Pradesh, West Madhya Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra and Kerala & Mahe; at isolated places over East Uttar Pradesh, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal &

Sikkim, Assam & Meghalaya, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Gujarat Region, Telangana, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Tamilnadu, Puducherry

& Karaikal. They were markedly below normal (-5.1°C or less) at a few places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad;

appreciably below normal (-3.1°C to -5.0°C) at isolated places over Rajasthan; below normal (-1.6°C to -3.0°C) at a few places over Haryana, Chandigarh

& Delhi and Andaman & Nicobar Island; at isolated places over Rayalaseema and near normal over rest parts of the country. Yesterday, the highest maximum temperature of 42.0°C was reported at Naliya (Saurashtra & Kutch).

♦ Minimum Temperature Departures (as on 23-06-2022): Minimum temperatures were above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at many places over East Uttar Pradesh; at a few places over West Bengal & Sikkim; at isolated places over Assam & Meghalaya. They were markedly below normal (-5.1°C or less) at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad; appreciably below normal (-3.1°C to -5.0°C) at a few places over West Rajasthan and Himachal Pradesh; at isolated places over Gujarat Region and East Madhya Pradesh; below normal (-1.6°C to -3.0°C) at many places over Punjab and Jharkhand; at a few places over Saurashtra & Kutch, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal; at isolated places over Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, East Rajasthan, West Madhya Pradesh, Konkan & Goa and Odisha and near normal over rest parts of the country.

Yesterday, the lowest minimum temperature of 18.0°C was reported at Khargone (West Madhya Pradesh) over the plains of the country.

* Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action".

Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day For more details kindly visit www.imd.gov.in or contact : +91 11 24631913, 24643965, 24629798

(Service to the Nation since 1875)

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♦ The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Lat. 22°N/ Long. 60°E, Lat. 22°N/ Long. 65°E, Porbandar, Baroda, Shivpuri, Rewa, Churk, 27.0°N/84°E.

♦ The Western Disturbance as a trough in mid & upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level now runs roughly along Long 74°E to the north of Lat 26°N.

♦ The off shore trough at mean sea level from south Gujarat coast to Karnataka coast persists.

♦ The cyclonic circulation over southeast Uttar Pradesh & neighbourhood extending upto 3.1 km above mean sea level tilting southwards with height persists.

♦ The cyclonic circulation over Eastcentral Arabian Sea off Maharashtra coast between 3.1 & 4.5 km above mean sea level persists.

Weather Forecast for next 5 days * upto 0830 hours IST of 29th June, 2022

♦ Meteorological sub-division wise detailed 5 days precipitation forecast is given in Table-1.

♦ Gradual rise in maximum temperatures by 2-4°C very likely over most parts of Northwest India during next 5 days.

♦ No significant change in maximum temperatures very likely over rest parts of the country during next 5 days.

Weather Outlook for subsequent 2 days during 29th June-30th June, 2022

♦ Widespread light/moderate rainfall likely to continue over West coast, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Northeast India.

♦ Scattered to fairly widespread rainfall likely over peninsular India & East India and Islands.

♦ Increase in rainfall activity likely over Northwest and Central India.

♦ Dry weather likely to prevail over rest parts of the country.

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24 June (Day 1): ♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places very likely over Konkan & Goa and heavy rainfall at isolated places over Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Odisha, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Gujarat state, Madhya Maharashtra, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Coastal Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places very likely over East Uttar Pradesh, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal & Sikkim, Odisha, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana, Rayalaseema, Karnataka, Tamilnadu, Puducherry

& Karaikal, Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep.

♦ Squally weather (wind speed 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) very likely over east central Arabian Sea, along and off south Gujarat, Maharashtra, Goa, Karnataka coasts. Strong winds of 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph likely over south west Arabian Sea and adjoining west central Arabian Sea, 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph likely over east central Arabian Sea.Fishermen are advised not to venture into these seas.

25 June (Day 2): ♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places very likely over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Konkan & Goa and heavy rainfall at isolated places over Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Odisha, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Gujarat region, Madhya Maharashtra, Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places very likely over East Uttar Pradesh, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Karnataka, Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep.

♦ Squally weather (wind speed 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) very likely over east central Arabian Sea, along and off south Gujarat, Maharashtra, Goa, Karnataka, Kerala coasts. Strong winds of 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph likely over south west Arabian Sea and adjoining west central Arabian Sea, 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph likely over east central Arabian Sea. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these seas.

26 June (Day 3): ♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places likely over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Konkan & Goa and heavy rainfall at isolated places over Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Madhya Maharashtra, Gujarat state, Coastal Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places likely over Uttarakhand, East Uttar Pradesh, East Rajasthan, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Coastal & North Karnataka, Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep.

♦ Squally weather (wind speed 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) very likely over east central Arabian Sea, along and off south Gujarat, Maharashtra, Goa, Karnataka, Kerala coasts. Strong winds of 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph likely over south west Arabian Sea and adjoining west central Arabian Sea, 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph likely over east central Arabian Sea. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these seas.

27 June (Day 4): ♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places very likely over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh and heavy rainfall at isolated places over Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Odisha, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Konkan & Goa, Gujarat Region, Telangana, Coastal Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places very likely over Uttarakhand, East Rajasthan, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Coastal Karnataka, Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep.

♦ Squally weather (wind speed 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) very likely over east central Arabian Sea, along and off Maharashtra, Goa coasts. Strong winds of 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph likely over south west Arabian Sea and adjoining west central Arabian Sea. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these seas.

28 June (Day 5): ♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places very likely over Bihar, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Assam & Meghalaya and heavy rainfall at isolated places over East Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Kerala & Mahe, Odisha, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram

& Tripura, Konkan & Goa, Gujarat Region, Telangana and Coastal Karnataka.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places very likely over Uttarakhand, East Uttar Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Squally weather (wind speed 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) very likely over east central Arabian Sea, along and off Maharashtra, Goa coasts. Strong winds of 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph likely over south west Arabian Sea and adjoining west central Arabian Sea. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these seas.

Kindly download MAUSAM APP for location specific forecast & warning, MEGHDOOT APP for Agromet advisory and DAMINI APP for Lightning Warning & visit state MC/RMC websites for district wise warning.

(Service to the Nation since 1875)

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ALL INDIA WEEKLY WEATHER REPORT 16 JUNE – 22 JUNE, 2022

Go to: Table-1(A) Table-1(B) Table-1(C) Table-2 Table-3 Fig-1 Fig-2 Fig-3 Fig-4 Annexure-1

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FEATURES

♦ Advance of Southwest Monsoon: Southwest Monsoon has advanced into remaining parts of Sub- Himalayan West Bengal and some more parts of Bihar on 17^th June, 2022; the Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) was passing through Lat. 21°N/ Long. 60°E, Lat. 21°N/ Long. 70°E, Diu, Nandurbar, Jalgaon, Parbhani, Medak, Rentachintala, Machilipatnam, Lat. 17°N/ Long. 84°E, Lat. 18.5°N/ Long.

87°E,Lat.22°N/90°E, Lat.25°N/89°E, Balurghat,Supaul, Lat.26.5°N/Long.86°E in the beginning of the week and it passed through Lat. 22°N/ Long. 60°E, Lat. 22°N/ Long. 65°E, Porbandar, Bhavnagar, Khandwa, Gondia, Durg, Bhawanipatna, Kalingapatnam, Lat.22°N/89.5°E, Lat.25°N/89°E, Malda, Motihari and Lat.27°N/Long.84°E on 17^th; it has further advanced into entire Westcentral Bay of Bengal, most parts of Northwest Bay of Bengal, some parts of Gangetic West Bengal and Jharkhand and some more parts of Bihar on 18^th June, 2022 and the NLM passed through Lat. 22°N/ Long. 60°E, Lat. 22°N/ Long. 65°E, Porbandar, Bhavnagar, Khandwa, Gondia, Durg, Bhawanipatna, Kalingapatnam, Lat.20°N/87°E, Haldia, Bardhaman, Dumka, Banka, Motihari, and Lat.27°N/Long.84°E on that day; it has further advanced into some more parts of Gujarat region, Madhya Pradesh, remaining parts of Vidarbha, some more parts of Chhattisgarh, Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand and Bihar on 19^th June, 2022 and the NLM passed through Lat. 22°N/ Long. 60°E, Lat. 22°N/ Long. 65°E, Porbandar, Baroda, Indore, Umaria, Pendra Road, Bhawanipatna, Kalingapatnam, Lat.20°N/87°E, Digha, Giridih, Patna, Lat.27°N/Long. 84°E on that day; it has further advanced into most parts Madhya Pradesh, remaining parts of Chhattisgarh and Coastal Andhra Pradesh, remaining parts of Northwest Bay of Bengal, entire Odisha and Gangetic West Bengal, most parts of Jharkhand and Bihar and some parts of southeast Uttar Pradesh on 20^th June, 2022 and the NLM passed through Lat. 22°N/ Long.

60°E, Lat. 22°N/ Long. 65°E, Porbandar, Baroda, Shivpuri, Rewa, Churk and Lat.27°N/Long.84°E on that day; since there had been no further advance of monsoon during the remaining two days of the week, the NLM continued to pass through Lat. 22°N/ Long. 60°E, Lat. 22°N/ Long. 65°E, Porbandar, Baroda, Shivpuri, Rewa, Churk and Lat.27°N/Long.84°E till the end of the week.

♦ Under the influence of a trough at mean sea level which lay extending from Northwest to Northeast India across the plains and convergence of strong southwesterlies/southerlies from Bay of Bengal causing moisture incursion over to the area, widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity had occurred over Northeast India and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim on most of the days and fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity had occurred over parts of East India on three to four days during the week;

isolated heavy/very heavy rainfall had occurred over Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland Manipur, Mizoram Tripura and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal Sikkim on most of the days and over Arunachal Pradesh on three to four days whereas isolated heavy rainfall activity had occurred over parts of East India on three to four days; isolated extremely heavy rainfall also had occurred over Assam & Meghalaya and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim on four to five days and over Arunachal Pradesh on a single day along with.

♦ Under the influence of an off shore trough and convergence of monsoon westerlies along the west coast, fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity had occurred over Konkan & Goa, Coastal Karnataka, Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep throughout the week; these synoptic situations along with cyclonic circulations in the lower/mid tropospheric levels and a trough in lower tropospheric levels across south Peninsula had caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Vidarbha and scattered to fairly widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over parts of South Peninsula and adjoining areas of Marathwada on many days during the week; isolated heavy/very heavy rainfall had occurred over parts of Peninsular India on many days and over Konkan & Goa on three to four days; isolated extremely heavy rainfall also had occurred over Konkan & Goa on a single day.

♦ Movement of Western Disturbances had caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Western Himalayan Region on many days and over Punjab on three to four days; passage of the systems along with the presence of a cyclonic circulation over Haryana & neighbourhood in the lower tropospheric levels on many days during the week had caused scattered to fairly widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh on many days and over Haryana, Chandigrh & Delhi on four to five days; under their influence, isolated to scattered rainfall/thunderstorm

Government of India Ministry of Earth Sciences India Meteorological Department National Weather Forecasting Centre

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activity had occurred over Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi on the remaining days of the week and over other parts of northwest India throughout the week; isolated heavy/very heavy rainfall had occurred over Jammu Kashmir & Ladakh and Uttarakhand on one or two days whereas isolated heavy rainfall had occurred over Madhya Pradesh on four to five days and over Rajasthan on two to three days along with; isolated hailstorm activity also had occurred over Western Himalayan Region on one or two days.

♦ Under the influence of a trough from south Rajasthan to Central Arabian Sea across Northeast Arabian Sea in the lower/mid tropospheric levels and convergence of strong southwesterlies along the coast in the lower tropospheric levels, isolated to scattered rainfall/thunderstorm activity had occurred over Gujarat State throughout the week along with isolated heavy rainfall activity on two to three days; isolated extremely heavy rainfall also had occurred over Gujarat Region on a single day during the week.

Heavy rain:

♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy rainfall at isolated places had occurred over Assam &

Meghalaya on five days; over Sub Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim on three days; over Arunachal Pradesh, Gujarat Region and Konkan & Goa on one day each during the week.

♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places had occurred over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura on five days; over Sub Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim on three days; over Arunachal Pradesh, Odisha and Telengana on two days each; over Assam & Meghalaya, Bihar, Uttarakhand, Jammu Kashmir & Ladakh, East Madhya Pradesh, Konkan & Goa, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalseema, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikkal and Coastal Karnataka on one day each during the week.

♦ Heavy rainfall at isolated places had occurred over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikkal on six days;over East & West Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Coastal Karnataka on five days each;over Odisha, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, South Interior Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe on four days each; over Jharkhand, Bihar, East Rajasthan, Gujarat Region, Telengana, and North Interior Karnataka on three days each; over Gangetic West Bengal, West Rajasthan, Saurashtra & Kutch, Konkan & Goa, Vidarbha, Rayalseema and Lakshadweep on two days each; over Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, East Uttar Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu Kashmir & Ladakh and Marathwada on one day each during the week.

Temperature Scenario:

♦ The highest maximum temperature of 44.5^oC had been recorded at Ganganagar (West Rajasthan) on 16^th June 2022 and the lowest minimum temperature of 17.4^oC had been recorded at Seoni (East Madhya Pradesh) on 19^th June 2022 over the plains of the country during the week.

LEGEND: Few days-(3 days), Many days-4 to 5 days and Most days-6 to 7 days during the week.

METEOROLOGICALANALYSIS

♦ Last week’s cyclonic circulation over southwest Rajasthan & neighbourhood persisted over the same region at 3.1 km above mean sea level on 16^th and 17^th June 2022; it has become less marked on 18^th June 2022.

♦ Last week’s trough at mean sea level from northwest Uttar Pradesh to Assam ran from Haryana to Nagaland across Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and Assam on 16^th June 2022;

it ran from northwest Uttar Pradesh to Manipur across Bihar, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Assam on 17^th; it ran from north Rajasthan to Manipur across Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Assam on 18^th; it ran from East Uttar Pradesh to Manipur across Bihar, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Assam on 19^th;it ran from West Uttar Pradesh to Bangladesh across East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and Gangetic West Bengal on 20^th; it ran from south Haryana to Northeast Bay of Bengal across Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and Gangetic West Bengal on 21^st; it ran from northwest Rajasthan to Northwest Bay of Bengal across Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and Gangetic West Bengal and extended upto 0.9 km above mean sea level on 22^nd June 2022.

♦ Last week’s feeble Western Disturbance as a trough in middle tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level ran roughly along Long. 80°E to the north of Lat. 30°N on 16^th June 2022; it has become less marked on 17^th June 2022.

♦ Last week’s other Western Disturbance as a trough in middle tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level ran roughly along Long. 68°E to the north of Lat. 28°N on 16^th June 2022; it continued to be seen as a trough in middle tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along Long. 75°E to the north of Lat. 30°N on 17^th; it has moved away east- northeastwards on 18^th June 2022.

♦ Last week’s north-south trough from south Bihar to south Coastal Andhra Pradesh across East Madhya Pradesh at 0.9 km above mean sea level has become less marked on 16^th June 2022.

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♦ Last week’s trough from South Interior Karnataka to Comorin area at 1.5 km above mean sea level has become less marked on 16^th June 2022.

♦ Last week’s trough in westerlies roughly along Long. 87°E to the north of Lat. 28°N at 5.8 km above mean sea level has become less marked on 16^th June 2022.

♦ Last week’s cyclonic circulation over central parts of North Arabian Sea & neighbourhood between 3.1 km

& 4.5 km above mean sea level has become less marked in the early morning hours of 16^th June 2022.

♦ A trough ran from the cyclonic circulation over southwest Rajasthan & neighbourhood to Northwest Arabian Sea at 3.1 km above mean sea level on 16^th and 17^th June 2022; it ran from southwest Rajasthan &

neighbourhood to Central Arabian Sea at 3.1 km above mean sea level on 18^th; it ran from the cyclonic circulation over southwest Haryana & neighbourhood to central parts of Arabian Sea across West Rajasthan and Northeast Arabian Sea and extended upto 4.5 km above mean sea level on 19^th; it has become less marked on 20^th June 2022.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over Haryana & neighbourhood at 0.9 km above mean sea level on 16^th June 2022; it persisted over the same region and was seen between 1.5 km & 3.1 km above mean sea level on 17^th; it lay over west Haryana & adjoining Punjab between 0.9 km & 1.5 km above mean sea level on 18^th; it lay over southwest Haryana and neighbourhood and extended upto 3.1 km above mean sea level on 19^th; it lay over West Uttar Pradesh & neighbourhood between 3.1 km & 4.5 km above mean sea level on 20^th; it has become less marked on 21^st June 2022.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over central Pakistan & neighbourhood at 1.5 km above mean sea level on 16^th June 2022; it has become less marked on 17^th June 2022.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over Southeast Bay of Bengal between 1.5 & 5.8 km above mean sea level tilting southwards with height on 16^th June 2022; it has become less marked on 17^th June 2022.

♦ A trough ran from Rayalaseema to Comorin area at 0.9 km above mean sea level on 16^th June 2022; it ran from North Interior Karnataka to south Tamilnadu and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 17^th; it ran from North Interior Karnataka to interior Tamilnadu and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 18^th; it ran from Vidarbha to south Tamil Nadu across Telangana, Rayalaseema and interior Tamilnadu and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 19^th; it ran from south Chhattisgarh to south Coastal Andhra Pradesh at 0.9 km above mean sea level on 20^th; it has become less marked on 21^st June 2022.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over north Tamil Nadu & neighbourhood at 3.1 km above mean sea level on 16^th and 17^th June 2022; it lay over Southwest Bay of Bengal off Tamilnadu coast between 3.1 km & 5.8 km above mean sea level on 18^th; it has become less marked on 19^th June 2022.

♦ A north-south trough ran from northeast Bihar to interior Odisha at 3.1 km above mean sea level on 17^th June 2022; it has become less marked on 18^th June 2022.

♦ A fresh Western Disturbance was seen as a trough in middle tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along Long.72°E to the north of Lat.25°N on 18^th June 2022;it continued as a trough in middle tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along Long.75°E to the north of Lat.28°N on 19^th; it was seen as a cyclonic circulation over Jammu Kashmir &

Ladakh and adjoining Pakistan between 4.5 km & 5.8 km above mean sea level on 20^th; it continued to be seen as a cyclonic circulation and lay over Jammu & neighbourhood between 3.1 km & 5.8 km above mean sea level on 21^st; it was seen as a cyclonic circulation over Jammu & neighbourhood between 3.1 km & 5.8 km above mean sea level with a trough aloft in upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 7.6 km above mean sea level roughly along Long 68°E to the north of Lat 26°N on 22^nd June 2022.

♦ An off-shore trough at mean sea level lay extending from south Maharashtra coast to north Kerala coast on 20^th June 2022; it lay extending from south Gujarat coast to north Kerala coast on 21^st; it ran from south Maharashtra coast to north Kerala coast on 22^nd June 2022.

♦ An induced cyclonic circulation lay over northwest Rajasthan & neighbourhood and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 21^st June 2022; it persisted over the same region and was seen at 1.5 km above mean sea level on 22^nd June 2022.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over East Uttar Pradesh & neighbourhood at 0.9 km above mean sea level on 21^st June 2022; it has merged with the trough from northwest Rajasthan to Northwest Bay of Bengal across Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and Gangetic West Bengal extending upto 0.9 km above mean sea level on 22^nd June 2022.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over east Jharkhand & adjoining north Odisha between 1.5 km & 5.8 km above mean sea level tilting southwards with height on 22^nd June 2022.

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RAINFALL SUMMARY

Category of the rainfall

WEEK SEASON

16.06.2022 TO 22.06.2022 01.06.2022 TO 22.06.2022 Number of Sub-divisions Number of Sub-divisions

LARGE EXCESS(LE) (+60% or more) 13 6

EXCESS (E) (+20% to +59%) 6 2

NORMAL (N) (+19% to -19%) 7 11

DEFICIENT (D) (-20% to -59%) 6 15

LARGE DEFICIENT (LD) (-60% to -99%) 4 2

NO RAIN (NR) (-100%) 0 0

Cumulative rainfall (mm) ^Actual_(mm) ^Normal_(mm) ^Departure_(%) ^Category ^Actual_(mm) ^Normal_(mm) ^Departure_(%) ^Category

EAST & NORTH-EAST INDIA 149.9 84.8 77% LE 305.4 220.8 38% E

NORTH-WEST INDIA 43.1 19.6 120% LE 48.9 45 9% N

CENTRAL INDIA 48.4 49.3 -2% N 67 102.3 -34% D

SOUTH PENINSULA 51 39.6 29% E 99.1 114.6 -14% N

Country as a whole 63.5 43.9 45% E 105.8 106 0% N

 The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) is shown in Fig-1.

 Weekly cumulative rainfall distribution is presented in Fig-2.

 Sub-division wise weekly and seasonal rainfall distribution is presented in Fig-3 and Fig-4.

 Sub-divisionwise daily distribution of realised Rainfall is shown in Table-1(A).

 Sub-divisionwise departure of realised Maximum temperature from Normal is shown in Table-1(C)

 Statewise distribution of number of districts with Large-Excesse, Excess, Normal, Deficient, Large-deficient and no rainfall is shown in Table-2.

 Cumulative seasonal rainfall data during the corresponding weekly period for the last five years are given in Table-3.

 Sub-divisionwise realised weekly rainfall (in cm) is shown in Annexure-1.

FORECAST & WARNING FOR THE NEXT WEEK 23 JUNE TO 29 JUNE, 2022

 Detailed seven days Sub-division wise rainfall-forecast is given in Table-1(B).

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Fig-1

Northern Limit of South West Monsoon, 2022

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Fig-2

WEEKLY CUMULATIVE RAINFALL (16 JUNE - 22 JUNE, 2022)

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Table-1 (A)

METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE DISTRIBUTION OF REALISED RAINFALL-2022

S.No. MET.SUB-DIVISIONS ^{16 JUNE} ^{17 JUNE} ^{18 JUNE} ^{19 JUNE} ^{20 JUNE} ^{21 JUNE} ^{22 JUNE}

1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS FWS FWS SCT D ISOL ISOL WS

2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH WS* WS* WS* WS* WS WS SCT

3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA WS** WS** WS* WS* WS FWS SCT

4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA WS WS WS* WS* WS* WS FWS

5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM WS** WS* WS* WS* WS* WS* FWS

6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL ISOL ISOL WS FWS WS FWS SCT

7 ODISHA SCT ISOL SCT FWS FWS* WS* SCT

8 JHARKHAND FWS SCT WS FWS FWS SCT FWS

9 BIHAR SCT SCT SCT FWS* FWS FWS* ISOL

10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT ISOL ISOL

11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL SCT SCT SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL

12 UTTARAKHAND FWS SCT SCT FWS FWS* SCT FWS

13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI ISOL FWS* WS** SCT ISOL SCT SCT

14 PUNJAB SCT WS* WS* SCT ISOL FWS* FWS*

15 HIMACHAL PRADESH WS* WS* WS* WS* ISOL FWS* SCT

16 JAMMU & KASHMIRANDLADAKH SCT FWS FWS WS** FWS WS* WS**

17 WEST RAJASTHAN D D SCT SCT SCT SCT FWS*

18 EAST RAJASTHAN ISOL SCT SCT SCT FWS** FWS* SCT

19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL SCT SCT FWS* FWS* FWS* ISOL

20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH FWS SCT FWS WS* WS* FWS ISOL

21 GUJARAT REGION ISOL SCT ISOL SCT SCT SCT ISOL

22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT ISOL ISOL

23 KONKAN & GOA FWS WS FWS WS WS WS* WS

24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT SCT SCT

25 MARATHAWADA SCT SCT ISOL SCT SCT FWS FWS*

26 VIDARBHA WS SCT FWS WS WS WS* WS

27 CHHATTISGARH WS* SCT WS* FWS FWS FWS* ISOL

28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. &

YANAM SCT SCT SCT ISOL SCT FWS* SCT

29 TELANGANA WS* SCT ISOL SCT FWS WS** FWS*

30 RAYALASEEMA ISOL FWS** SCT WS* SCT ISOL ISOL

31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL FWS** SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT

32 COASTAL KARNATAKA WS WS WS WS WS WS WS*

33 NORTH INT.KARNATAKA ISOL SCT FWS* FWS* SCT SCT WS

34 SOUTH INT.KARNATAKA SCT WS* FWS* FWS FWS SCT FWS

35 KERALA & MAHE WS WS WS WS SCT WS WS

36 LAKSHADWEEP WS WS WS WS WS WS FWS

LEGENDS:

WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO STATION REPORTED RAINFALL

* ACTIVE (R/F 1^1/2- 4 times the normal with WS/FWS, at least 2 stations should be 5 cm. along west coast & 3 cm. elsewhere )

** VIGOROUS (R/F More than 4 times the normal with WS/FWS, at least 2 stations should be 8 cm. along west coast & 5 cm. elsewhere)

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Table-1 (B)

METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST-2022

Sr. No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 23 JUN 24 JUN 25 JUN 26 JUN 27 JUN 28 JUN 29 JUN

1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS WS^L^● WS WS WS WS FWS SCT

2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH FWS^● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS^●● FWS FWS

3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA FWS^L^● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS^● FWS FWS

4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA FWS^L^● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS^● FWS FWS

5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM FWS^L^● WS^L^● WS^●● WS^●● WS^●● WS WS

6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL FWS^L FWS^L FWS^L FWS^L FWS^L SCT SCT

7 ODISHA FWS^L^● FWS^L^● FWS^● SCT FWS^● WS WS

8 JHARKHAND SCT^L FWS^L FWS^L FWS^L FWS^L WS WS

9 BIHAR SCT^L FWS^L^● FWS^L^● FWS^L^● FWS^L^● WS WS

10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL^L ISOL^L ISOL^L SCT^L FWS SCT FWS

11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH DRY DRY DRY ISOL SCT ISOL FWS

12 UTTARAKHAND ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT^L FWS^L WS WS

13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL ISOL SCT

14 PUNJAB DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL ISOL

15 HIMACHAL PRADESH DRY DRY DRY ISOL ISOL SCT WS

16 JAMMU & KASHMIRANDLADAKH ISOL DRY DRY DRY ISOL ISOL ISOL

17 WEST RAJASTHAN DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL

18 EAST RAJASTHAN ISOL DRY DRY DRY^L ISOL^L ISOL ISOL

19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT SCT FWS

20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL^L ISOL^L ISOL^L SCT^L SCT^L FWS WS

21 GUJARAT REGION SCT^● SCT^● SCT^● FWS^● SCT^● ISOL SCT

22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH SCT^● SCT^● SCT SCT^● SCT ISOL ISOL

23 KONKAN & GOA WS^●●^L WS^●● WS^●● WS^●● WS^● WS WS

24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA FWS^L^● FWS^● FWS^● FWS^● FWS SCT FWS

25 MARATHAWADA FWS^L FWS FWS FWS FWS SCT SCT

26 VIDARBHA FWS^L FWS^L^● FWS^L^● FWS^L FWS^L FWS FWS

27 CHHATTISGARH FWS^L^● FWS^L^● FWS^L^● FWS^L^● FWS^L^● WS WS

28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM FWS^L^● FWS^L^● FWS^L SCT^L SCT^L FWS FWS

29 TELANGANA SCT^L SCT^L SCT SCT FWS^● FWS SCT

30 RAYALASEEMA ISOL^L SCT^L ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT SCT

31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL SCT^L SCT^L ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT SCT

32 COASTAL KARNATAKA WS^L^● WS^L^● WS^L^● WS^L^● WS^L^● WS WS

33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA FWS^L FWS^L WS^L^● FWS^L FWS ISOL FWS

34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA FWS^L FWS^L FWS^L^● SCT SCT SCT WS

35 KERALA & MAHE WS^L^● WS^L^● WS^L^● WS^L^● WS^L^● WS WS

36 LAKSHADWEEP WS^L WS^L WS^L WS^L WS^L WS WS

LEGENDS:

WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL

●Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ^●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ^●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)

F Fog * Snowfall ^DSTSDust storm/ Thunderstorm ^$Thunderstorm with Squall ^L Thunderstorm with Lightning ^#Thunderstorm with Hail

⁺Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal +4.5ÔC to +6.4ÔC) ⁺⁺ Severe Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal ≥ +6.5ÔC)

^-Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5ÔC to -6.4ÔC) ^{- -}Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5ÔC)