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Polarity in contemporary international politics : a uni-interpolar order?.

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References to the structural impact of the rise and resurgence of new and old great powers in international politics are common in the literature on international politics. This study attempted to explore this topic by examining the hard and soft power currencies of the major powers.

Background to the study

In this light, the study examines the gap by analyzing the soft power of the United States and China in Africa and the Middle East. The structure of the international system has generated the interests of scholars around the world.

Statement of the problem

The research examines the hard power (military and economic capabilities) of the great powers. Soft power has become increasingly important due to unprecedented interdependence in the global arena.

Research hypothesis

However, this study recognizes the importance of soft power in today's world and attempts to analyze the soft power capabilities of the major powers. In other words, in determining the power configuration of today's world, research examines both the hard and soft power capabilities of the great powers.

Research questions and objectives

Broader issues to be investigated

A limitation of his analysis lies in his underestimation of the power of the United States in the interpolar world order. He claimed that the United States was the only country with dominance in all components of power.

Research methodology and methods

The research aims to provide a balanced view of the power structure by examining the hard and soft sources of power of the dominant states in international politics, particularly the United States and China. Its importance for this study is the understanding of the global power structure in history, the current structure and the possible future configuration.

Data collection

Primary sources

These experts were essentially drawn from the two most important powers in global politics - the United States and China. In a semi-structured interview, "the researcher has a list of questions or fairly specific topics to cover, often referred to as an interview guide, but the interviewee has a lot of leeway in how to answer".

Secondary sources

Data analysis

Limitations

Delimitations/scope

Structure of dissertation

Introduction

Unipolarity: The primacy of the United States

He attributes the United States' dominant position in the global arena to its control of the commons. He argued that the military superiority of the United States in the international arena reflects that of the United States.

Multipolarity: The rise of emerging powers

The end of World War II signaled the economic and military dominance of the United States in the international system. The United States, on the other hand, became the borrower of the first emergency - the largest debtor in the world.

Alternative models: Uni-multipolarity, nonpolarity and interpolarity

The inability of the United States to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons around the world, especially in India and Pakistan's aggressive pursuit of nuclear energy status, testifies to the emergence of a multipolar world. The nature of the division prevents the great powers from exercising unilateralism in pursuing their interests in the global arena.

An assessment

This is evident in the global impact of the financial crisis that began in the United States. The limitation of Grevi's analysis lies in his underestimation of the power of the United States in the interpolar world order.

The United States and China’s soft power

America's soft power before and during the Cold War was largely derived from private organizations. This research seeks to fill this gap by examining US and Chinese soft power in Africa and the Middle East.

Theoretical and conceptual frameworks

Alliance formation is an integral part of the balance of power in an international system involving many states. Counterbalancing is a constant feature of the balance of power that guarantees the stability of the international system.

Conclusion

Economy, energy and the environment are the main issues that encourage interdependence between states in the global arena (Grevi, 2009). Terrorism, climate change and nuclear proliferation are issues that cannot be dealt with by a single state.

Introduction

It further explores the struggle for power in the multipolar and bipolar systems that culminated in the two world wars and the Cold War respectively in the twentieth century. The final substantive section of the chapter examines the unipolar era that resulted in the establishment of the United States as the sole superpower in the international system.

The growth of multipolar order

In World War I, Germany, Austria, and the Ottoman Empire (Turkey) were defeated by the allied forces of Great Britain, France, Russia, Italy, and the United States (Goldstein & Pevehouse, 2008, p. 62). Against this background, the victors of the war could easily claim permanent membership of the United Nations Security Council (Goldstein & Pevehouse, 2008, p. 62).

France, Britain and Europe in the nineteenth century

However, there was no agreement on what the balance of power would entail as reflected in the different interpretations of this by the great powers. Between 1815 and 1870, Britain gained prominence due to the stability of the international system, as there was no challenger to tilt the balance of power, which was clearly in Britain's favor.

Table 3.2: British wartime expenditure and revenue (pounds)
Table 3.2: British wartime expenditure and revenue (pounds)

The First World War

During the war, the Allied Powers attracted countries such as Japan, Italy, and the United States. It is therefore clear why the Arab world perceives the United States negatively.

Table 3.4: Total GNP and per capita GNP of the powers in 1950 (in 1964 US dollars)
Table 3.4: Total GNP and per capita GNP of the powers in 1950 (in 1964 US dollars)

The Second World War

The cold war and the bipolar order

  • The cold war in Asia
  • The cold war in southern Africa
  • The cold war in Central America and Cuba
  • The end of the cold war and the unipolar order

The rise and apparent legitimacy of the socialist Sandinista regime in Nicaragua informed United States 1980s policy in the region. For example, the United States was cautious in the Korean and Vietnamese wars because of the opposition of the USSR (Walt, 2009).

The Bush doctrine

Third, the United States gained the support of other states in its war in Afghanistan. The report acknowledges the reality of the challenges facing the United States, such as the rise of Asia, the.

Conclusion

Introduction

This has raised questions about the ability of the United States in the realities of contemporary global politics. In doing so, the chapter explores the economic and military power of the United States.

The United States hard power profiles

Jentleson (2007) noted that the United States' share of the world's gross domestic product (GDP) stands at 25%. An assessment of the United States' capacity will not be accurate without measuring its non-coercive power.

Table 4.3: The 15 countries with the highest military expenditure in 2012
Table 4.3: The 15 countries with the highest military expenditure in 2012

United States’ soft power profiles

The American culture

In the immediate aftermath of the fall of communism, American soft power was at its peak. The table below shows the places of origin of international students in the United States.

Table 4.4: Top 10 most popular musicians on twitter in 2014
Table 4.4: Top 10 most popular musicians on twitter in 2014

American political values

This creates tension in the United States and a foreign policy that must adapt to this reality. Therefore, China seeks to minimize the influence of the US in order to strengthen its bargaining power in the Middle East.

Table 4.7 generally reveals a decline in the United States global image from 2003 till the end of  George  Bush  administration  in  2008
Table 4.7 generally reveals a decline in the United States global image from 2003 till the end of George Bush administration in 2008

United States foreign policies

America’s soft power in Africa

In one survey, nine of the eleven countries with the most positive image of the United States are from Africa. This contradicts the prevailing perception of the United States in other regions in light of its unpopular policies in Iraq and the Middle East in general (Hackbarth, 2009).

Table 4.9: US favourability in Africa 21
Table 4.9: US favourability in Africa 21

American foreign policy and political values in Africa

The effect of this is to improve the image of the United States and, therefore, the effectiveness of its soft power in Africa (Hackbarth, 2009). Clearly, AGOA is a program that tends to generate immense soft power for the United States.

American cultural exports in Africa

There are so many Nigerians working in the top secret services in the United States. There is a reason why elites around the world remain eager to send their wealth, and often their families, to the United States. 32.

United States soft power in the Middle East

It is also worth noting that one of al-Qaeda's main grievances is the United States' policies in Muslim countries. Israel's perception of the United States, however, is in stark contrast to that of the other countries.

Table  4.12: US favourability in the Middle East
Table 4.12: US favourability in the Middle East

American political values

The United States obviously has close ties to all of these countries, yet there is an overwhelmingly negative perception of the United States. The United States' double standards make it difficult for the United States to successfully use its soft power currency in the Middle East.

American foreign policies in the Middle East

The unilateral position is illustrated by the war on terror in Iraq and the continued drone attacks in the Middle East. In addition to the media efforts in the Middle East, the Middle East Partnership Initiative is an important initiative by the US government to win the minds and hearts of the people in the Middle East.

Is the United States in decline?

Layne (2012) has argued that the crisis is largely responsible for the contemporary debate about American decline and the disappearance of the unipolar status of the United States. Between 1999 and 2001, United States gross domestic product (GDP) was 28 percent of world GDP.

Conclusion

Similarly, Serfaty (2011) claimed that the rise of the United States as the dominant power in the international system in the 20th century was not a function of the rise of America, but a consequence of the collapse of the other major powers. In the 21st century, the loss of American preeminence may not necessarily be the result of American decline, but rather the rise of the rest (Serfaty, 2011).

Introduction

By advocating and working toward multipolarity in the international system, they seek to meaningfully reduce the dominance of the United States. They seek to defend the sovereignty of states in the international system, regardless of regime.

Brazil: The “B” in BRICs

Brazil's victory in hosting the FIFA 2014 World Cup and the 2016 Olympic Games demonstrates Brazil's status as a global power in the 21st century. This has led to an acceptance of Brazil's leadership in its region, and it consequently plays a central role in the region and the globe.

Russia: The “R” in BRICS

The emergence of a unipolar configuration at the end of the Cold War meant an end to the influence of the Soviet Union on the globe (Russia and the United States were the main actors in international affairs in the Cold War bipolar configuration that had shaped global politics for more than four decades). However, its operations reveal that it mainly seeks to advance the interests of the Russians living in the CIS states (Cwiek-Karpowicz, 2012).

India: The “I” in BRICs

In the Middle East, where neither the United States nor China exert much soft power45, India exerts some degree of soft power through India's support for Palestine in the United Nations (Purushothaman). In terms of political values, India has gained respect in the Middle East. the world as the largest democracy in the universe and its democracy has been stable and sustainable.

China: The “C” in BRICs

China’s soft power currencies

In the Middle East, conservative leaders in Iran have been influenced by the Chinese model (Gill & Huang, 2006). Similarly, Table 4 shows China's position in the ranking of global soft power states.

Table 5.3: China’s favourability
Table 5.3: China’s favourability

China’s soft power in Africa

Some of the main objectives of China's involvement in Africa are to be able to gain the support of African countries in pursuing its interests in the United Nations and other multilateral arrangements; Chinese involvement in Africa tends to bring the following benefits to African countries, among others.

Table 5.5: China’s favourability in Africa
Table 5.5: China’s favourability in Africa

China’s soft power in the Middle East

Various polls have shown that ordinary people in the Middle East view China in a more positive light. By doing this, it tries to establish diplomatic and cultural relations with the countries of the Middle East.

Table 5.6: China’s favourability in the Middle East in 2013
Table 5.6: China’s favourability in the Middle East in 2013

Conclusion

Chinese government does not seem ready to accept the position of a real world power, reflected in their reluctance to impose solutions where they are needed around the world and the continuous emphasis by Chinese authorities that China is part of the developing world . Having examined the capabilities and influence of the United States and the emerging powers in the global arena in this and previous chapters, the main objective of the next chapter is to examine how these capabilities impact the global structure of power.

Introduction

Other key players

The European Union

Beyond BRIC: Other emerging states

Non-state actors

Interdependence and multilateralism

The American advantage over the other great powers

A uni-interpolar world?

Introduction

Summary

Conclusion

Gambar

Table 3.1 10 : Size of armies (people)
Table 3.2: British wartime expenditure and revenue (pounds)
Table 3.3: Britain’s share of world manufacturing production, 1800-1980
Table 3.4: Total GNP and per capita GNP of the powers in 1950 (in 1964 US dollars)
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