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LAMPIRAN
Lampiran 1Lahan pertanian yang tergenang banjir akibat luapan Bengawan Solo di Kecamatan Kanor tiap desa pada tahun 2007-2013
No Desa Lahan pertanian yang tergenang (Ha) Rata-
rata
(Ha) 1 Tejo 50 192 - - 35 23 53 50,4 2 Prigi - - 20 - - - 110 18,57 3 Temu - 200 50 20 120 35 350 110,75 4 Bakung 35 - - - 5 5 Pesen - - 20 - - - 28 6,86 6 Simorejo 10 - 125 - - 30 20 26,4 7 Pilang 10 100 - - 70 10 120 42,86 8 Tambahrejo - 3 - - - 2 13 2,57 9 Kanor 35 70 150 - - - 115 52,86 10 Cangaan 80 71 20 - 61 72 91 56,43 11 Gedongarum - 350 - 25 80 50 350 122,1 12 Sarangan 20 32 20 - - 35 - 15,28 13 Kedungprimpen 150 300 50 31 110 180 320 163 14 Semambung - 2 - - - 3 98 14,7 15 Palembon - 20 - - - - 40 8,57 16 Piyak 42 42 - 45 20 40 42 33 17 Kabalan 125 109 25 20 97 75 110 80,14 18 Simbatan 100 101 120 28 63 100 130 91,7 19 Sumberwangi - - 55 - - - 110 23,57 20 Bungur - - - - 21 Sedeng - 20 25 - - 15,5 15,5 10,86 22 Caruban - - - - 23 Ngalarangan - - - - 24 Sroyo - - - - 25 Samberan - - - - Sumber :BPS(2015)
Lampiran 2Hasil regresi faktor produksi
Model R R Square Adjusted R Square Std. Error of the Estimate Durbin-Watson 1 .887a .786 .775 .804791890 1.842
a. Predictors: (Constant), pes, dummy, tk, Tpupuk, luas
b. Dependent Variable: Lnproduksi
ANOVAb
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 223.864 5 44.773 69.127 .000a
Residual 60.883 94 .648
Total 284.746 99
a. Predictors: (Constant), pes, dummy, tk, Tpupuk, luas
b. Dependent Variable: Lnproduksi
Coefficientsa Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized Coefficients t Sig. Collinearity Statistics
B Std. Error Beta Tolerance VIF
1 (Constant) 4.501 1.360 3.309 .001 luas .264 .176 .185 1.501 .137 .150 6.685 tk .095 .133 .047 .719 .474 .540 1.853 Tpupuk .206 .103 .239 2.001 .048 .159 6.296 dummy -2.363 .172 -.700 -13.731 .000 .875 1.143 pes .206 .157 .142 1.312 .193 .194 5.164
a. Dependent Variable: Lnproduksi
Model Summaryb Model R R Square Adjusted R Square Std. Error of the Estimate Durbin-Watson 1 .555a .308 .271 .90898 2.076
a. Predictors: (Constant), Tpupuk, dummy, tk, pes, luas
b. Dependent Variable: risiko
ANOVAb
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 34.536 5 6.907 8.360 .000a
Residual 77.667 94 .826
Total 112.203 99
a. Predictors: (Constant), Tpupuk, dummy, tk, pes, luas
b. Dependent Variable: risiko
Coefficientsa Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized Coefficients t Sig. Collinearity Statistics
B Std. Error Beta Tolerance VIF
1 (Constant) 1.203 1.536 .783 .435 luas .316 .199 .352 1.587 .116 .150 6.685 tk -.134 .150 -.105 -.896 .373 .540 1.853 dummy 1.088 .194 .514 5.600 .000 .875 1.143 pes -.023 .177 -.026 -.132 .896 .194 5.164 Tpupuk -.029 .116 -.053 -.246 .807 .159 6.296
a. Dependent Variable: risiko
Lampiran 4 Hasil regresi faktor sosial ekonomi yang mempengaruhi AR
Model R R Square Adjusted R Square Std. Error of the Estimate Durbin-Watson 1 .575a .331 .237 .22045 1.424
a. Predictors: (Constant), JTK, Dpenghasilan, pendidikan, pengalaman, aset, umur
b. Dependent Variable: AR10
ANOVAb
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 1.033 6 .172 3.542 .006a
Residual 2.090 43 .049
Total 3.122 49
a. Predictors: (Constant), JTK, Dpenghasilan, pendidikan, pengalaman, aset, umur
b. Dependent Variable: AR10
Coefficientsa Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized Coefficients t Sig. Collinearity Statistics
B Std. Error Beta Tolerance VIF
1 (Constant) -.510 .374 -1.364 .180 pendidikan .113 .052 .384 2.158 .037 .491 2.038 Dpenghasilan -.162 .133 -.154 -1.212 .232 .970 1.031 pengalaman -.005 .006 -.163 -.857 .396 .432 2.313 aset .065 .054 .222 1.193 .239 .452 2.214 umur .008 .008 .219 1.126 .267 .410 2.437 JTK -.006 .036 -.023 -.161 .873 .748 1.337
a. Dependent Variable: AR10
Lampiran 5 Nilai AR masing masing petani padi di Desa Kedungprimpen, Kecamatan Kanor MT II tahun 2013
No AR(X1) AR(X2) AR(X3) AR(X4) Rata-Rata AR 1 -0.0068589 -0.0001060 -0.0075310 -0.0000110 -0.0036267 2 -0.0001499 -0.0000725 -0.0000236 -0.0000026 -0.0000621 3 -0.2045935 -0.0002369 -0.0000650 -0.0001550 -0.0512626 4 -0.0000049 -0.0000196 -0.0000001 -0.0000003 -0.0000062 5 -0.0001888 -0.0000593 -0.0002070 -0.0000039 -0.0001148 6 -0.0000653 -0.0001205 -0.0000056 -0.0000089 -0.0000501 7 -0.0008761 -0.0000603 -0.0221124 -0.0000034 -0.0057631 8 -0.0003330 -0.0000931 -0.0121589 -0.0000062 -0.0031478 9 -0.0000159 -0.0000673 -0.0000188 -0.0000010 -0.0000257 10 -0.2091686 -0.0002923 -0.0000157 -0.0001403 -0.0524042 11 -0.2229276 -0.0002416 -0.0000094 -0.0001471 -0.0558314 12 -0.0061477 -0.0001630 -0.0000145 -0.0000225 -0.0015869 13 -0.0008706 -0.0000829 -0.0000213 -0.0000019 -0.0002442 14 -0.0033186 -0.0001305 -0.0000903 -0.0000149 -0.0008886 15 -0.0031191 -0.0001150 -0.0000874 -0.0000146 -0.0008340 16 -0.0002517 -0.0000735 -0.0000424 -0.0000063 -0.0000935 17 -0.0004221 -0.0000503 -0.0000297 -0.0000100 -0.0001280 18 -0.0000390 -0.0000372 -0.0015432 -0.0000028 -0.0004056 19 -0.0000146 -0.0000296 -0.0000001 -0.0000002 -0.0000111 20 -0.0022885 -0.0001318 -0.0006961 -0.0000117 -0.0007820 21 -0.0000853 -0.0000259 -0.0000872 -0.0000028 -0.0000503 22 -0.0014189 -0.0001529 -0.0000545 -0.0000191 -0.0004114 23 -0.2045935 -0.0002315 -0.0001765 -0.0001352 -0.0512842 24 -0.2045935 -0.0002280 -0.0001051 -0.0001352 -0.0512654 25 -0.0206615 -0.0002260 -0.0000103 -0.0000373 -0.0052338 26 -0.0000327 -0.0000296 -0.0000260 -0.0000021 -0.0000226 27 -0.0084182 -0.0001029 -0.0008878 -0.0000348 -0.0023609 28 -0.0002572 -0.0000666 -0.0001936 -0.0000053 -0.0001307 29 -0.0003985 -0.0000344 -0.0000002 -0.0000015 -0.0001086 30 -0.2045935 -0.0002545 -0.0000107 -0.0001352 -0.0512485 31 -0.2045935 -0.0002484 -0.0000050 -0.0001352 -0.0512455 32 -0.2091686 -0.0002524 -0.0000351 -0.0001341 -0.0523975 33 -0.0082386 -0.0001275 -0.0000023 -0.0000479 -0.0021041 34 -0.0000597 -0.0000166 -0.0000094 -0.0000003 -0.0000215 35 -0.0015920 -0.0001373 -0.0000229 -0.0000151 -0.0004418 36 -0.0015920 -0.0001240 -0.0133584 -0.0000188 -0.0037733 37 -0.0052301 -0.0001924 -0.0001733 -0.0000344 -0.0014075 38 -0.0000327 -0.0000332 -0.0007327 -0.0000014 -0.0002000 39 -0.0000891 -0.0000464 -0.0000037 -0.0000034 -0.0000357
40 -0.0015920 -0.0001623 -0.0000266 -0.0000125 -0.0004483 41 -0.0033186 -0.0001580 -0.0178559 -0.0000127 -0.0053363 42 -0.0000871 -0.0000352 -0.0001792 -0.0000010 -0.0000756 43 -0.0128364 -0.0001016 -0.0003846 -0.0000119 -0.0033336 44 -0.0050117 -0.0001774 -0.0000526 -0.0000345 -0.0013190 45 -0.0002572 -0.0000605 -0.0001062 -0.0000040 -0.0001070 46 -0.2137493 -0.0002224 -0.0236675 -0.0000554 -0.0594237 47 -0.0015920 -0.0001074 -0.0002968 -0.0000185 -0.0005037 48 -0.0000390 -0.0000245 -0.0000155 -0.0000017 -0.0000202 49 -0.0002517 -0.0000443 -0.0001289 -0.0000063 -0.0001078 50 -0.2137493 -0.0001979 -0.0000386 -0.0001063 -0.0535230
Lampiran 6 Nilai AR masing masing petani padi di Desa Kedungprimpen, Kecamatan Kanor MT II tahun 2013
No AR(X1) AR(X2) AR(X3) AR(X4) Rata-Rata AR 1 -0.0062642 -0.0000576 -0.0016791 -0.0000125 -0.0020034 2 -0.0001199 -0.0000412 -0.0000011 -0.0000016 -0.0000410 3 -0.1902506 -0.0001392 -0.0000403 -0.0000217 -0.0476129 4 -0.0000044 -0.0000194 -0.0000035 -0.0000002 -0.0000069 5 -0.0001642 -0.0000323 -0.0001026 -0.0000022 -0.0000753 6 -0.0000523 -0.0000453 -0.0000230 -0.0000037 -0.0000311 7 -0.0008087 -0.0000481 -0.0006727 -0.0000020 -0.0003829 8 -0.0003711 -0.0000615 -0.0108075 -0.0000062 -0.0028116 9 -0.0000113 -0.0000316 -0.0000159 -0.0000006 -0.0000148 10 -0.1902506 -0.0001273 -0.0000392 -0.0000247 -0.0476105 11 -0.1902506 -0.0000992 -0.0000361 -0.0000628 -0.0476122 12 -0.0091677 -0.0000923 -0.0000072 -0.0000119 -0.0023198 13 -0.0007932 -0.0000878 -0.0000366 -0.0000021 -0.0002299 14 -0.0023882 -0.0000709 -0.0005477 -0.0000063 -0.0007533 15 -0.0022287 -0.0000761 -0.0000012 -0.0000076 -0.0005784 16 -0.0002052 -0.0000391 -0.0002405 -0.0000036 -0.0001221 17 -0.0003109 -0.0000381 -0.0000518 -0.0000046 -0.0001013 18 -0.0000458 -0.0000290 -0.0000280 -0.0000026 -0.0000264 19 -0.0000106 -0.0000268 -0.0000029 -0.0000002 -0.0000101 20 -0.0019897 -0.0000469 -0.0000751 -0.0000070 -0.0005297 21 -0.0000454 -0.0000242 -0.0000003 -0.0000015 -0.0000179 22 -0.0005496 -0.0000420 -0.0000132 -0.0000060 -0.0001527 23 -0.1902506 -0.0001308 -0.0001635 -0.0000743 -0.0476548 24 -0.1772592 -0.0001201 -0.0000082 -0.0000694 -0.0443642 25 -0.0281931 -0.0001207 -0.0000006 -0.0000198 -0.0070835 26 -0.0000290 -0.0000206 -0.0000210 -0.0000017 -0.0000181 27 -0.0114752 -0.0000547 -0.0002200 -0.0000257 -0.0029439 28 -0.0001915 -0.0000352 -0.0000103 -0.0000036 -0.0000602 29 -0.0000348 -0.0000208 -0.0000238 -0.0000011 -0.0000201 30 -0.1902506 -0.0001361 -0.0000136 -0.0000950 -0.0476238 31 -0.1643128 -0.0001867 -0.0007545 -0.0000822 -0.0413340 32 -0.1902506 -0.0001580 -0.0000069 -0.0000950 -0.0476276 33 -0.0125557 -0.0001084 -0.0001454 -0.0000486 -0.0032145 34 -0.0000647 -0.0000216 -0.0000237 -0.0000002 -0.0000276 35 -0.0017345 -0.0000765 -0.0000002 -0.0000108 -0.0004555 36 -0.0013999 -0.0000596 -0.0005223 -0.0000087 -0.0004976 37 -0.0039204 -0.0000874 -0.0000109 -0.0000224 -0.0010103 38 -0.0000332 -0.0000210 -0.0000160 -0.0000013 -0.0000179 39 -0.0000953 -0.0000241 -0.0000033 -0.0000027 -0.0000313
40 -0.0016802 -0.0000563 -0.0000175 -0.0000066 -0.0004402 41 -0.0023882 -0.0000807 -0.0009594 -0.0000081 -0.0008591 42 -0.0000635 -0.0000314 -0.0000223 -0.0000008 -0.0000295 43 -0.0012385 -0.0000760 -0.0000419 -0.0000086 -0.0003413 44 -0.0039204 -0.0000907 -0.0000384 -0.0000235 -0.0010183 45 -0.0002805 -0.0000446 -0.0000019 -0.0000026 -0.0000824 46 -0.1772592 -0.0001281 -0.0008389 -0.0000342 -0.0445651 47 -0.0023724 -0.0000534 -0.0000153 -0.0000151 -0.0006141 48 -0.0000408 -0.0000190 -0.0000040 -0.0000013 -0.0000163 49 -0.0002394 -0.0000288 -0.0000355 -0.0000052 -0.0000772 50 -0.1411219 -0.0001411 -0.0000094 -0.0000756 -0.0353370 RIWAYAT HIDUP
Penulis dilahirkan di Lampung pada tanggal 20 April 1991 sebagai anak sulung dari pasangan Subari dan Siti Munawaroh. Pendidikan sarjana ditempuh di Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Lampung, lulus pada tahun 2013. Selama kuliah di Universitas Lampung, penulis menjadi asisten dosen pada mata kuliah Ekonomi Sumber Daya Alam dan Manajemen Pemasaran. Selain itu, penulis juga aktif menjadi kepala divisi transfusi darah dan ketua umum pada Korps Sukarela Palang Merah Indonesia Universitas Lampung. Karya ilmiah berjudul Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Keikutsertaan Petani Padi pada Program GP3K PT PUSRI di Lampung Timur telah dimuat pada Jurnal Ilmu Ilmu Agribisnis Universitas Lampung Volume 1 Nomor 3 Tahun 2013.
Pada tahun 2014 penulis melanjutkan studi di sekolah pascasarjana IPB pada program studi Magister Sains Agribisnis,Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen. Selama kuliah di IPB penulis mengikuti program Upaya Khusus Padi Jagung Kedelai (UPSUS PAJALE) dari Kementrian Pertanian sebagai pendamping petani di Cianjur selama dua bulan pada tahun 2015 dan pendamping petani di Sukabumi selama tiga bulan pada tahun 2016. Penulis memiliki karya ilmiah yang berjudul Perilaku Petani Menghadapi Risiko Produksi di Daerah Aliran Sungai Bengawan Solo,Kabupaten Bojonegoro,Provinsi Jawa Timur yang akan diterbitkan pada Jurnal Manajemen Agribisnis IPB.