Lampiran
Lampiran 1
Data Penelitian
TAHUN
Y
X1
X2
X3
X4_AS
X4_JPG
X4_INDH
1995
3,107,163
2308
7.24
13.34
79.4755 254.468
356.871
1996
3,102,431
2383
8.7
14.26
79.433
256.749
203.326
1997
3,443,555
4650
13.1
17.38
79.518
252.187
428.574
1998
2,713,611
8025
83.56
37.93
79.348
261.311
378.125
1999
2,606,216
7100
1.37
12.64
79.688
243.063
361.026
2000
2,437,764
9595
5.73
14.31
79.008
279.559
413.304
2001
2,294,796
10400
14.79
17.63
288.321
515.421
870.356
2002
2,891,996
8940
9.59
13.12
235.951
556.473
752.043
2003
5,022,203
8465
4.23
8.34
251.049
520.399
1095.313
2004
4,563,075
9270
6.8
7.29
251.049
520.399
1095.313
2005
5,523,901
9830
22.41
12.83
255.233
498.32
851.483
2006
7,820,899
9020
6.11
9.8
235.423
543.002
959.107
2007
9,261,977
9419
6.6
8
215.69
471.667
1290.556
2008
6,460,117
10950
10.72
10.8
200.114
441.977
1780.186
2009
6,327,254
9400
2.61
6.5
223.549
395.822
1676.102
2010
Lampiran 2
Data penelitian
Lampirn 3
Hasil Regresi Linier Berganda
Dependent Variable: LOG_Y Method: Least Squares Date: 03/29/16 Time: 11:22 Sample: 1995 2014
Included observations: 20
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 6.789744 1.826192 3.717980 0.0026
LOG_X1 0.290472 0.555409 0.522987 0.6098
LOG_X2 0.336042 0.132245 2.541065 0.0246
LOG_X3 -1.393089 0.304050 -4.581779 0.0005 LOG_X4_AS -0.176705 0.364914 -0.484237 0.6363 LOG_X4_INDH 0.013624 0.073976 0.184167 0.8567 LOG_X4_JPG 0.098738 0.293833 0.336035 0.7422
Lampiran 4
Uji Multikolinieritas
Dependent Variable: LOG_Y Method: Least Squares Date: 03/29/16 Time: 11:44 Sample: 1995 2014
Included observations: 20
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 4.655014 1.022297 4.553486 0.0002
LOG_X1 0.526818 0.262022 2.010590 0.0596
R-squared 0.183395 Mean dependent var 6.707914 Adjusted R-squared 0.138028 S.D. dependent var 0.243776 S.E. of regression 0.226327 Akaike info criterion -0.039031 Sum squared resid 0.922032 Schwarz criterion 0.060543 Log likelihood 2.390307 Hannan-Quinn criter. -0.019593 F-statistic 4.042471 Durbin-Watson stat 0.308367 Prob(F-statistic) 0.059594
LOG_X1 LOG_X2 LOG_X3 LOG_X4_AS LOG_X4_INDH LOG_X4_JPG
Dependent Variable: LOG_Y Method: Least Squares Date: 03/29/16 Time: 11:44 Sample: 1995 2014
Included observations: 20
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 6.847635 0.145613 47.02633 0.0000
LOG_X2 -0.157688 0.152434 -1.034470 0.3146
R-squared 0.056115 Mean dependent var 6.707914 Adjusted R-squared 0.003677 S.D. dependent var 0.243776 S.E. of regression 0.243327 Akaike info criterion 0.105817 Sum squared resid 1.065743 Schwarz criterion 0.205391 Log likelihood 0.941827 Hannan-Quinn criter. 0.125255 F-statistic 1.070128 Durbin-Watson stat 0.251581 Prob(F-statistic) 0.314616
Dependent Variable: LOG_Y Method: Least Squares Date: 03/29/16 Time: 11:45 Sample: 1995 2014
Included observations: 20
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 7.686908 0.177485 43.31020 0.0000
LOG_X3 -0.957454 0.170413 -5.618435 0.0000
Dependent Variable: LOG_Y Method: Least Squares Date: 03/29/16 Time: 11:45 Sample: 1995 2014
Included observations: 20
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 6.454830 0.125962 51.24415 0.0000
LOG_X4_AS 0.129449 0.059184 2.187236 0.0422
R-squared 0.209972 Mean dependent var 6.707914 Adjusted R-squared 0.166081 S.D. dependent var 0.243776 S.E. of regression 0.222614 Akaike info criterion -0.072118 Sum squared resid 0.892023 Schwarz criterion 0.027455 Log likelihood 2.721181 Hannan-Quinn criter. -0.052680 F-statistic 4.784000 Durbin-Watson stat 0.350294 Prob(F-statistic) 0.042167
Dependent Variable: LOG_Y Method: Least Squares Date: 03/29/16 Time: 11:46 Sample: 1995 2014
Included observations: 20
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 6.280757 0.209350 30.00122 0.0000
LOG_X4_INDH 0.154242 0.073390 2.101668 0.0499
Dependent Variable: LOG_Y Method: Least Squares Date: 03/29/16 Time: 11:46 Sample: 1995 2014
Included observations: 20
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 6.486855 0.132328 49.02087 0.0000
LOG_X4_JPG 0.098906 0.054539 1.813484 0.0865
R-squared 0.154482 Mean dependent var 6.707914 Adjusted R-squared 0.107509 S.D. dependent var 0.243776 S.E. of regression 0.230299 Akaike info criterion -0.004237 Sum squared resid 0.954677 Schwarz criterion 0.095336 Log likelihood 2.042372 Hannan-Quinn criter. 0.015201 F-statistic 3.288726 Durbin-Watson stat 0.307526 Prob(F-statistic) 0.086466
Lampiran 5
Uji heterokedastisitas
Heteroskedasticity Test: White
F-statistic 0.471507 Prob. F(6,13) 0.8177
Obs*R-squared 3.574493 Prob. Chi-Square(6) 0.7340 Scaled explained SS 1.303403 Prob. Chi-Square(6) 0.9715
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2 Method: Least Squares Date: 03/29/16 Time: 11:40 Sample: 1995 2014
Included observations: 20
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.023337 0.098054 0.238000 0.8156
Lampiran 6
Uji Normalitas
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
-0.25 -0.20 -0.15 -0.10 -0.05 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20
Series: Residuals
Sample 1995 2014
Observations 20
Mean
1.13e-15
Median
2.24e-05
Maximum
0.183535
Minimum
-0.246280
Std. Dev.
0.110871
Skewness
-0.278753
Kurtosis
2.726107
Lampiran 7
Uji Autokorelasi
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic 1.259889 Prob. F(2,11) 0.3216
Obs*R-squared 3.727544 Prob. Chi-Square(2) 0.1551
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID Method: Least Squares Date: 03/29/16 Time: 11:53 Sample: 1995 2014
Included observations: 20
Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -0.097924 1.992802 -0.049139 0.9617
LOG_X1 -0.015306 0.610231 -0.025082 0.9804
LOG_X2 0.031174 0.131160 0.237676 0.8165
LOG_X3 0.105523 0.308920 0.341586 0.7391
LOG_X4_AS 0.212387 0.389533 0.545235 0.5965
LOG_X4_INDH -0.001090 0.074022 -0.014721 0.9885 LOG_X4_JPG -0.174064 0.308725 -0.563818 0.5842 RESID(-1) 0.534549 0.345322 1.547975 0.1499 RESID(-2) -0.271847 0.326810 -0.831818 0.4232
R-squared 0.186377 Mean dependent var 1.13E-15 Adjusted R-squared -0.405348 S.D. dependent var 0.110871 S.E. of regression 0.131434 Akaike info criterion -0.918459 Sum squared resid 0.190024 Schwarz criterion -0.470379 Log likelihood 18.18459 Hannan-Quinn criter. -0.830989 F-statistic 0.314972 Durbin-Watson stat 2.058818 Prob(F-statistic) 0.944016
Lampiran 8
Uji Linieritas
Ramsey RESET Test Equation: UNTITLED
Specification: LOG_Y C LOG_X1 LOG_X2 LOG_X3 LOG_X4_AS LOG_X4_INDH LOG_X4_JPG
Omitted Variables: Squares of fitted values
Value df Probability
t-statistic 0.490440 12 0.6327
LR test summary:
Value df
Restricted LogL 16.12200 13 Unrestricted LogL 16.32046 12
Unrestricted Test Equation: Dependent Variable: LOG_Y Method: Least Squares Date: 03/29/16 Time: 11:54 Sample: 1995 2014
Included observations: 20
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -11.74942 37.84789 -0.310438 0.7616
LOG_X1 -1.251166 3.195063 -0.391594 0.7022 LOG_X2 -1.479302 3.703967 -0.399383 0.6966
LOG_X3 6.091590 15.26436 0.399073 0.6969
LOG_X4_AS 0.819971 2.066709 0.396752 0.6985 LOG_X4_INDH -0.056185 0.161470 -0.347960 0.7339 LOG_X4_JPG -0.479081 1.216457 -0.393833 0.7006 FITTED^2 0.400486 0.816584 0.490440 0.6327
